Episode 2279 Scott Adams - CWSA 11/01/23, Solving US Debt Problem And More

good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization be that as it may if you'd like your experience today to go up to levels which nobody could even imagine with the best imaginations in the world well then all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass a tank your Chelsea's time can't and joer flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure the dopamine end of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous hip and Happ nowo oh my God I don't know if any of you have ever tried this it's something I don't know I don't know when it was the last time I ever tried it but but I tried it yesterday and it's amazing I got almost enough sleep has anybody ever done that I mean it wasn't like a ton probably 6 hours but 6 hours is like you know that's like nine to me so I'm like raring to go let me at it my God you should try sleeping I really recommend it I'll tell you my two biggest sleeping tricks number one if I exercise that day perfect correlation one to one exercise good sleep period no exceptions never once not once in my life has that not worked exercise equals good sleep so you just got to get to sleep on time that basically if you've exercised that day there's nothing except getting to bed on time that's it and then you solv the biggest problem in your life right there yeah you could take your melatonin you can do all those things but I guarantee you if you exercise that day you're going to fall asleep you don't need any of that stuff all right here's uh some would you like some optimistic news because it looks like the world's falling apart today I'm going to give you the optimistic news a whole bunch of it just a whole bunch of optimistic news and of course a number of stories about where I'm right about everything you know the usual um well and it has come up with a uh discovery that they can make water evaporate uh far more efficiently with light than heat does that sound like a big deal doesn't really is that big deal but you know that it uh apparently the light without any heat under only the ideal conditions has to be some kind of edge condition that they can create the light without heat will evaporate water far more efficiently like way more efficiently than heat do you know what that means might it mean it could mean that desalinization just became cheap it it could go down by a you know factor of you know hundreds of percents and that changes a lot because imagine imagine if you could uh you could have water anywhere what what's the biggest limiter to where people can live and how they can grow food probably water as much as anything right climate of course number one but water is going to be the big one so imagine imagine if there's a technology in five years where pretty much anybody can live off grid and just have a little device and it makes all the water they want now there a whole bunch of there have been a whole bunch of breakthroughs in producing water out of the atmosphere but so so between the atmosphere that they can now suck the water out of that already exists and then this thing which might be a to desalinate as scale could be that our real estate options just increase by 100 right there just more places you could live without without having a city bring a pipe to you so that's one thing here's another one that is just this is just so perfect you know this is one of those things that makes you think the simulation is real and that the life we're living is at least partly scripted like a sacom you know there'll be little things that happen that you say how did that happen by coincidence that had to be in a script somewhere there's no way this happens by chance all here's another one um big Improvement in Steam Engines as you say to yourself Scott why do we need Improvement in Steam steam engines are you going to be running your car on of steam engines God no no no no turns out the steam engines have been used for I don't know how many decades to produce electricity so if you've got uh some big source of energy uh like a falling waterfall it could drive a generator which could drive steam engines I don't know now that's the wrong example I think it's nuclear right is it nuclear that drives the steam engines yeah nuclear power steam anyway so if you want to make a lot of steam to make energy from nuclear power uh the the way we've done it traditionally is with some kind of steam engines um used in power plants worldwide but it turns out that technology is from the 19th century we're using steamed turbines from the 19th century so they found a way to run the steam turbines without water what what would you guess is the replacement for the water that gives it a huge increase in energy production CO2 liquefied CO2 I guess you could put CO2 under pressure and liquefy it and it makes your steam engine or some modified steam engine way way more efficient it looks like it's all doable like there's nothing that would stop them from doing it so here's something that could uh have a huge impact someday on our energy costs at the same time desalinization could have a huge impact now if you've got cheap water or at least ubiquitous and you've got way cheaper energy that's a good world isn't it because then all you need is robots and Ai and those are both coming more on that later all right um you probably saw that Joe Rogan talked to Elon Musk and made about 10 pieces of news you know one of them is that Joe Rogan shot his bow and arrow at the side of a cyber truck and it did not penetrate it but I'm told if it had been a normal car that that bow uh from the distance was pretty close would have gone right through a door of a normal car which is kind of impressive I had no idea that an arrow could be that powerful but apparently it's as powerful as a gun at a short distance um now the interesting thing is that the glass windows are not uh bulletproof so as Elon says you're going to have to duck if somebody starts shooting at your car you're still going to have to duck because it will break the window now they could have bulletproof glass but it would be so thick that Elon says it's too hard to make it go up and down so that's not an option really I mean it is an option if you don't want to ever put your windows down um but most interesting thing in my opinion that must said was about George Soros and he speculated that George Soros had a you know troubling childhood and that might contribute to the fact that at least by his actions says musk it would appear that he hates Humanity because his actions are so so anti- human that maybe has something to do with the upbringing and to which I say I like I like the line of thinking but there's a problem with it which you know may be a solvable problem but why is his son exactly on the same page because his son would have been raised in a privileged upbringing so if somebody's bad childhood is what makes them hate Humanity wouldn't uh Alex Soros the guy who's in charge at the moment the son of George Soros wouldn't the son have had more like an ideal upbringing and have no interest in destroying Humanity he looks like he's having a good time so whatever the truth is here and this might be right I mean musk might be exactly right he just he's a he's a broken man with a hatred of humanity but I usually think that's not the case uh my best I've told and by the way musk also says he thinks Soros is scile so I think that's the better explanation I I see one of I see a couple of different possible explanations for what appears to be anti-humanity actions the example would be funding prosecutors who don't want to prosecute crime and my first my first uh this would be just a speculation or it would be a theory I guess so it's not based on any facts there could be some intelligence um some country that has an intelligence group that controls Soros so maybe he's just controlled by some foreign entity that wants the United States to be destroyed in which case he's just doing what he has to do for whatever reason to stay alive or to stay Rich maybe they have some blackmail on them I don't know but he he acts like somebody who's controlled by an enemy because what he does is so dangerous to America that's one possibility the other possibility is that um he doesn't exactly know what he's doing and that he has a sprawling Empire and he hasn't been paying attention and when people talk to him when people talk to him they say some version of everything everything's great your money is going to these great causes you're saving the world and then he doesn't read maybe newspapers that have bad articles about him so maybe he just never sees the other argument and he's told by his people who are receiving his money and want to receive more of it hey you're doing great do some more of this and then he gets lots of PS on the back and he feels like he's really helping the world but maybe he lives such a small world at the moment cuz he's age that he just kind of doesn't know what's going on it seems like it it seems to me like he's not aware of it now that would also explain why his son would not be able to change the boat because the dad presumably still has his full authority to fire his son it could be that the son's just waiting for the dad to die and then he's going to reverse some of the worst parts of the father's philosophy but he may you know Alex might know again this is just speculation I have no idea of knowing who's thinking what but there's either something about blackmail something about senility something about what information he receives versus what you receive something like that but I don't quite buy the bad childhood explanation because it it would seem just as likely that the bad childhood would want him to be a a celebrity and do the right things unless he thinks he is which would be the information problem so we don't know but it was an interesting speculation and I would love to see somebody set his son down and ask the following questions what's going on it looks like your father is trying to destroy civilization how could you explain it I'd love to say that interview that's never going to happen all right uh as musk pointed out the two biggest donors to Democrats were George Soros who arguably looks like he's trying to destroy civilization no joke that's a that's like a serious conversation by serious people that he may want to destroy civilization that's their biggest donor now I don't know that he wants to destroy civilization but it's a serious question that's pretty scary second biggest Doner was Sam bankman freed a con man basically so those are their two biggest donors so if you're wondering hey why is everything up well maybe it's because the two biggest donors are one is seems to be an evil genius Crook and the other one seems to be demented Evil Genius I billionaire maybe if you follow the money it gets you to exactly where we are which is a completely corrupted government that's of no use to the people all right some uh new science in the category of you should have just asked Scott you would have saved some time um turns out two separate studies one on gratitude and one on empathy so I guess empathy could reduce depression that's what one study says so thinking about other people and caring about them could make you less depressed do you know who else knew that I did didn't you all know that I I thought it was sort of obvious I've always in fact um I may have told you this in the past before I guess all of my dilber career um when I was getting more than I needed for myself whenever I had a bad day I would just randomly do something awesomely good for somebody else and I always cheered up 100% of the time it worked I just pick somebody and say you know what today's your lucky day and just made somebody happy like in some substantial way and oh my god it feels good yeah so they could have saved a lot of money in this study just ask me I I've been doing it for years it works every time and I've recommended it to people and when they try it works every time right you really didn't need to study that here's another one uh gratitude can make you healthier again ask me I could have told you that uh in fact most self-help gurus could have told you that that gratitude is a very healthy mindset it's going to make everything work better and it does so so what do gr gratitude and empathy have in common gratitude and empathy it's about getting you out of your own head and making you think about the well-being of other people and the value they have in your life the Gratitude part so getting out of your own head is is the trick for not being depressed now why is there a gigantic mental health problem in the United States at the moment well I would say again you you don't need to do a big expensive study let me explain it to you it's your screens when I was a child human beings were human beings and if if I watched television you know that was just television that wasn't really my life it was just a thing I did something but if your life is mostly online your friends are online everybody's online are those people real kind of I mean you mean you you know that they're real people but do they have the same effect on you in terms of let's say gratitude and empathy as somebody in the real world my guess is no my guess is that our social life has turned into a social life in which gratitude and empathy are hard to express because you're just people on screens the people who are in the room with you you can have gratitude and empathy just naturally and easily so it could be something about how much we see people in person that makes sense and we know that uh loneliness of course works against your happiness so a lot of it is just very obviously screens you can see that the graph of mental illness spikes exactly when smartphones came into the market is pretty obvious at this point that's what it is but more generally having a good attitude about life is good for your health and your mental well-being so no surprises there well it's uh almost one year ago God it seems longer since Elon Musk bought the Twitter platform and now turned it into X think about what people said when he bought it uh it's the last day of Twitter Twitter's going to fail he's destroyed this valuable asset what's the latest update the latest update is it might be cash positive in 2024 uh and the engagement is higher than ever and he's driven out the government uh oversight on the platform which was essentially not essentially it was directly government uh blocking your free speech and when when musk talks casually about how bad twitter was when he bought it and that basically it was a government organ and he says that the other entities at least the social media he says they're just government organs that they can only do what the government tells them they can do there's no free speech there so he claims and I think this is true that the only place Free Speech exists is on X I think that's exactly true there's the only place Free Speech exists is on X and you know and that's limited by you can't go too far but I don't think that's hurting us all right so that's kind of amazing and I like to take a little bit of every day to just thank Elon Musk for what I believe was primarily a unselfish act you know you could always make some argument well you know you could always say with rich people well lose forther ego or whatever I don't know he's a different kind of cat it does look like he did this for the world and it worked and and and I do believe that so well you know history is strange because the winners write it and all that but I think this is one of the biggest events in American history musk getting the government an of x to me this is on this is on a level with the Boston Tea Party you know is is right up there with the most important things that have ever happened in the Republic so thank you thank you Elon Musk he had an interesting uh explanation of why Twitter became a toilet um and he says this geographical that San Francisco has always been sort of an oddball uh culture but usually it was geographically constrained you could go to San Francisco and there would be some weird people there and then you would go home and it didn't bother anybody they they could be weird in San Francisco Isco and you could go to your house and not have any of it but once once Twitter started hiring locally which everybody does um they turned this Niche or Niche philosophy into a worldwide phenomenon through their control of the algorithm and that's where it all went to hell so in the old days that in the old days they would have just stayed localized and nobody would have known the difference it's a fascinating way to explain it you know all these things could have 10 different explanations depending on you know what frame you decide to look at but that's a really interesting frame that technology allowed pockets of craziness in this weird way just because the company was centered there to become worldwide it's a good explanation um let's see uh here's news about Tik Tock apparently Republicans are renewing calls for a Tik Tock ban because it turns out that oh oh didn't see this coming oh total surprise who could have ever seen this coming that as soon as something's really important let's say the Gaza situation that Tik Tock was um I guess his study showed that the pro-israel messages were about I oneth of the SC of the pro or the anti- Israel messes it was enormously balanced against Israel which is against the United States in this particular case enormously enormously now let me ask you do you think that happened on its own do you think the tick tock owning uh Chinese people said you know let's just let this one play out oh wow surprise lots lots of different people like the Palestinian side no ladies and gentlemen it's exactly what I've been warning Congress about for 5 years for 5 years I've been saying stop talking about the data security problem that is a diversion it might also be a problem but it's a diversion the real problem is the heat button that China or Tik Tok owned by China can push one button that is literally labeled heat which they admit they have that can boost any message you don't think they push that button do do you think that China sat there and thought to themselves you know if we did push this button it would be really really bad for America and they probably wouldn't do anything about it and it would be perfect crime because nobody knows you push the button and then you think that they had that conversation with themselves and decided to not push P the button that is that what you think do you think they didn't push the button because oh that would be biasing things no no it's exactly what I told you would happen if you allow Tik Tock it is the user interface to Young mines in America and other places but the American mines The Young Ones under you know some age are completely controlled by Tik Tock and so China built a user interface for our young people's brains you know the future of the world future of our country anyway and then they put a button on there and they even told us we have a button that's the user interface to all the young people's brains in America but you know we don't like to push it for any bad reasons oh oh fine thank goodness you have that button that you could simply push and it would change the world in a way that's good for you and bad for your enemies but you're you're not going to push it right do you promise Pi you swear don't push it that's that's amazingly that's the situation we're in and now there's some Republicans saying hey hey I wonder I wonder if this is a problem oh I wonder again may I say they should have asked Scott for pretty much all of the science and politics you should have just asked me I could have told you this was coming and it's not and I also make a further prediction that Tik Tock has sufficient control of our Congress and sufficient control of the Democrats and sufficient control of our news sources that this won't change my prediction is Congress will not ban Tik Tock because Tik Tock already owns Congress they lost that's what it looks like to me to me it looks like it was a battle and Congress lost and there's no way they can reverse it because the you know the the tentacles are already around them all right um I controlled myself and I can't believe I did it when Matthew Perry um tragically died in his hot tub it took every bit of my self-control not to tweet the word fenel I mean I I had to just like pry my phone out of my own hand because it's the obvious the obvious thing that makes you die suddenly if you're an addict is you got some fenel that you didn't know you were getting but it turns out he had none in his system there was no fenel in his system so I'm I'm chastising my imaginary self that couldn't control myself and I I said that that when it would have been really inappropriate and tacky to say it but God I wanted to so that's bad on me but uh we so we don't know if I had to guess well I won't guess I I guess I'll let the process play out so I guess there's a little bit of still some mystery of what what it might have been um over in s Switzerland they've built what they call suicide pods it's like a coffin-sized pod with a glass top and you can get in this if you're ready for assisted suicide and they'll just turn up the uh uh they fill it with nitrogen gas which rapidly lowers oxygen levels causing its user to die I assume this is painless otherwise it wouldn't exist now of course the um the opponents say my God this will be a abused would you agree that it will be abused and it won't just be people who are you know in Desperate end of life situation but that it would naturally slide down to people who are just having a bad time in life yeah probably so I'll tell you I have very mixed feelings about it number one for 30 years I've imagined the invention of this product pretty much exactly the way it exists except I didn't know what gas would be involved um although I thought it would be used for murder I thought it would be more of a murder device here will tie your hands and put you in this pod and next thing you know you'll be dead so um I have mixed feelings about it because on one hand it looks like it will definitely be abused no doubt about it but you know what else is abused everything food is abused like the most innocent thing in the world is our food we all abuse our food until we're like you know dying from food eating too much food so there's nothing we don't abuse so on one on one hand you could say hey it's going to lead to all these abuses on the other hand you could say well if it's a free country at the moment this is only in Switzerland but if it were here I could easily say yeah it's totally going to get abused so are guns so is food so is alcohol so are cigarettes all legal all abused so the fact that something is abused to the point of death is not a stopper I mean if we were going to be objective about it it wouldn't be a stopper for any product so would it be abused yes um especially you know if things get worse in the future economically Etc but on the other hand I really really want this option from for myself although I don't like the claustrophobia right before you die of being in a little in a little casket thing I don't like that part but I certainly like the option to be able to go out in my own terms so I got mixed feelings about that um here's another one should have asked Scott uh climate scientist Roger Roger py Jr who has long been on the side of let's say um skep ISM so skepticism and I don't believe he's saying that there's no connection between CO2 and warming I don't think he's that kind of skeptic he's a skeptic on the models so that's the part I know he's a skeptic about so I have less less knowledge about what else he might be skeptical about but he has you know another uh I guess he gave a speech or something recently and he talked about all the problems with the models but here's the one that makes the most difference so apparently there are several models that people could use to do their additional science and say if this changed what would happen we study this variable if you add this variable to the existing model what happens so I guess they've got some you know a low medium and high models that are most often used you know the worst case best case average case and which one do you think they usually use to show the effects of their science if you said they use the worst case scenario You' be right do you know why they do that because if you make a a paper or discovery which shows the most cataclysmic eventual outcome you get you're more likely to get funded because that makes it more important and you're more likely get get attention and you're more likely to get promoted and you're more likely to get more grants so basically the system is designed to incentivize people to always chase the worst case scenario and the worst case scenario could happen but it's probably the least likely outcome you somewhere in the middle is the usual so there it is again now um I hate to brag no I love to brag but everybody who ever had any experience doing Financial modeling or any kind of modeling of the future we all knew this like we all knew that all models that predict the future are just financially driven period there's no exception to that if it comes out of a corporation they're showing you something because they want to make money if I produced a number as part of my analysis of what you know the financial long-term effect of some decision would be which was my job I knew I was just doing what my boss needed me to do to support what he already wanted to do like everybody knows that that's just common knowledge so did I did I need to be told by an expert who knows a lot about it Roger pilki Jr did he need to tell me that the financial models are being gamed and are not any kind of indication of reality he did not need to tell me that that was obvious super obvious from day one I've never I've never had a different opinion the first time I ever heard that there were long-term data uh predictions I mean I just laughed there's nobody who does this work or any version of this work who thinks you can even do that there's no such thing as predicting the future about anything yeah anyway um so just say ask me next time so the Wall Street Journal uh has a uh story that says the rate of babies dying in the US Rose significantly for the first time in two decades wow increasing 3% from 2021 to wow so just recently the last 20 up to 2022 a big increase in babies dying in the United States according to the latest federal government so does that sound like real news to you do you think it's real news that the rate of babies dying in the US Rose significantly for the first time in two decades well that headline was directly over the graph that shows the rate of death and the graph showed that it's 104 times recently that it's uptick so the graph proved that the headline was false and then there was still an article about it after the graph because let I I I don't think I misread the graph can somebody confirm I mean I just need a fact check on this this direction is down right where I'm pointing can you confirm that that's down right am I confused about that yeah okay that's down now here's the part where I'm confused about is this direction up I think it is so if they had a graph that had substantial portions of it that were pointing in this direction is that up or down I'm forgetting again oh it's up it's up and was it in the last 20 years yes all four of the upticks were in the last 20 years what kind of story is this am I confused or did they literally write a headline that didn't match the graph their own data I don't know what's going on I I'm just actually confused by it but don't believe data don't believe believe news and don't don't believe data here's what I think happened you ready for this I think it's cognitive blindness where smart people even groups of smart people can be blinded to the obvious because there's something else going on basically that's how all magic tricks work a magic trick takes your brain to the place where you can't solve the trick your your brain is just working on the wrong problem here's what I think and this is just wild speculation that we've been served up for 3 weeks now stories about dead babies because of the Gaza situation right every every hour on the hour for three weeks I've heard about a dead baby so then some data comes out that says there's an uptick in dead babies in the United States could that blind the people involved to the point where where they could only see the data as more dead babies because they've been fed more dead babies more dead babies highest rate of dead babies so many dead babies all dead babies dead babies dead babies oh here's some data sure enough up taken dead babies write the story write the story and did they actually write the story while looking at the data they showed that there was no uptick that was unusual there is an uptick but not an unusual one that's actually possible in the in the hypnotist world if you had a hypnotist filter on the world I'm not saying that's what happened I'm saying it would be perfectly within the normal realm of behavior that somebody would be cognitively blinded and not even notice that the graph didn't match the headline now I'll be embarrassed by tomorrow because by tomorrow the Wall Street Journal will explain why I read the graph wrong but at the moment I'm just confused so you should wait for the other side of the story story this this is sort of the documentary problem you're hearing me me make a claim but you've not heard the Wall Street Journal saying Scott you're looking at the graph wrong or you know maybe you interpreted it wrong or something so just consider I could be wrong about this wait till hear the other side if there is one all right I saw a lawyer for some of the January six people somebody who goes by Shipwrecked crew on the xplatform and and is apparently a lawyer with some j6 clients and he makes this claim he or she makes this claim I have two new clients charged with j6 crimes neither went inside the capital and there are no allegations of any interference with the police I'm not aware of any previous cases where defendants were charged just for being present outside the building and watching if anyone knows of such a case mentioned in the comments if this is a new standard for the Department of Justice there are thousands of potential defendants still on charge now question number one is this an accurate description of the situation well remember this is coming from a lawyer who is a proponent for clients so the lawyer is going to put it in the most minimalistic description of what happened but let's let's say that the the main claim is true that they didn't go inside and they didn't interfere with police what could they have been doing that would get them charged what you can't you can't be in the general area of other people doing a crime inciting because they were saying things well if it's inciting it's going to be everybody I'll tell you my interpretation of this is that um Democrats mostly are looking for any excuse to increase the number of Republicans they're putting in jail which I call hunting this to me looks like lawfare hunting where they're literally looking for Republicans that they can jail to make sure that Republicans stay in line in the future I think it's not so much about punishing anybody I think it's about creating a standard of fear so that Republicans will know that if they get you know anywhere near a line they're going to jail yeah um do you know I consider my biggest risk in my life I consider my biggest risk being jailed for a crime I did not commit it's 2023 in America literally my biggest risk and there are plenty of things that can you know be risky but my biggest risk is going to jail for a crime I didn't commit that's that's reality of America in 2023 and you know if you've watched Mike covich tweeting lately he would be an obvious Target for the bad guys to want to invent a crime and charge him with it I think they would be sorry if they did that that that would be way more push back than than they understand but I think we're all we're all at risk at this point anybody who's talking about the news and a way the Democrats don't like I think we're all at risk that's America 2023 all right I asked on the the xplatform uh can you describe any way in the world that the national debt could be paid off and we are not running as fast as we we we can toward certain doom and nobody could do it but I saw one suggestion that made me think it might be possible now I'm going to go to the Whiteboard whiteboard I'm going to explain maybe the best case scenario for paying off the debt now there there are things that you can do when the debt is small that you can't do when the debt is enormous and growing at an enormous rate the normal way uh if you've got a crushing debt or just debt in general um you either have to create money from nothing you have to create money from nothing move this uh or inflated away and there there are basically three ways three ways to get rid of a debt and by the way this is my first draft sort sort of a first take so if anybody knows more than I do about this topic you know tell me to add something or subtract something right so we're just getting the conversation going the reason I'm doing this by the way is I've seen no serious person describe how you even could possibly like even in the best case scenario how could we get off of this uh trained Doom which is the debt I've heard nobody do it have you has anybody heard anybody serious describe any scenario where we're not doomed from debt right you haven't heard it so I'm going to give you what I think is the first the first possibility I think it's possible but boy would it take some things to go right I think they might actually but here are the options there could be some kind of weird uh crypto trickery by trickery I mean something that I can't quite imagine and I wouldn't know how it works but the basic idea is that crypto can create an artificial value from nothing right so that that's the only thing I'm starting with we've got this huge debt and we don't have the money to pay it but what if we just invented money now you say to yourself but Scott that creates 10 new problems maybe but I'm just saying is is there any play not one that I can quite describe but is there anything you could do that would one time only now here's the key one time only create a bunch of money and pay off the debt is there any way to do it now before you say haha it's obvious that it won't work I would I would bet that you know less than me not more if you believe it's obvious there's no way to do it I can't I can't take you seriously at all I'm not saying I know how to do it I'm saying that crypto literally creates money that people will accept out of nothing so maybe there's a play there I just don't know how how I would do it all right here's the other things um I believe the debt is too big to inflate away meaning you could you could try to inflate it away but remember it's growing to trillion a year how much inflation would you need to inflate it away I believe the answer is too much meaning that that rate of inflation would just destroy the country basically your your standard of living would just go to crap now so can we all agree that inflating it away if that's the only thing you're doing won't work do you think that's true now in the past a smaller debt you could actually inflate away in fact that's where that's where we were at a few years ago this can't be inflated away so the the other way to go would be a massive Improvement in GDP normally our GDP grows what 2 to 4% a year that is nowhere nowhere near enough to pay down the debt not not even in the same universe you would need something like and this is just sort of The Economist off the top of my head it feels like you would need something like a very rapid 40% % increase in our GDP how many of you would accept that as sort of a a ballpark for just talking about the topic a 40% increase is there anything in the world that would make the economy increased by that rate war war is the wrong answer because War creates more debt yeah War creates a lot of activity but it also creates more debt here's here's what I think and this is partly a borrowed idea suppose suppose you get a president Trump or a president ramaswami I'll just take two Republicans as my example both deal makers both understand capitalism both know how to get rid of regulations uh both know the value of fossil fuels in the short term right so they're basically the right right people for the job imagine them coming in and doing something so radical that the cost of energy drops to almost trivial is that possible absolutely you just remove the um prohibitions against small nuclear reactors that's day one you just say look we're not even going to have state standards there's going to be a federal standard and it's going to be friendly to the industry because we don't have an option now so you build a bunch of nuclear reactors is a risk probably but it's way better than the risk of just spending yourself into a certain Doom if those are your two options you're going to take a little extra risk on your nuclear development because even if you get a meltdown on a small reactor it's going to be way less problem than spending yourself into Oblivion so given the energy is such a large portion of our total expenses if you could just subtract that from our expenses suddenly everybody has more money that's a reverse inflation PR GDP thing now it's not just that it reduces your current expenses if you could take energy from its current um current level to closer to zero then there's a whole bunch of businesses that become economical that could not have been done before because there would be too energy um intensive one of them would be desalinization right imagine the number of companies that would immediately go into the small nuclear reactor plus desalinization business I mean that alone would be you know a trillion dollar business and it wouldn't be practical until you had that power source so imagine drilling like crazy getting rid of regulations um you know building nuclear building Elon Musk says if you build a 100 mile by 100 mile solar facility you could power the entire United States does anybody want to check his work does anybody want to take a chance that he got the numbers wrong I don't think I'm going to go down that that path and actually I I do think there's an argument there um if you listen to some the critics will say you can't get there with solar but I'd like to have that conversation but I'd also like to see see robots build um facilities so because the robots can do it cheaper so if you've got cheap electricity and energy suddenly robots are way more um practical because the cost of your robot is probably going to be half energy cost and half material cost you know at some point if you could take the half of the energy cost closer to zero suddenly I'm buying two robots Elon mus said that he thought the Tesla robots um that are already can be taught skills you can already teach him to you know fold the laundry and stuff uh that he he might sell more of those than anything else he's doing bigger than Tesla bigger than SpaceX I don't know if it' ever be bigger than SpaceX but so robots plus AI plus cheap energy creates an industrial type Revolution greater than anything we've ever experienced yet and there are probably two candidates who could give this world to you and they're both Republicans there is no chance that a Democrat could ever pay off the the debt because Democrats are limited in their options they're not going to remove regulations they're not going to do anything that hurts one belated grass in the environment and they're not going to do anything that their base reflexively doesn't like such as nuclear power so there's no way that a Democrat can get you to uh anything that's not total doom and there is a way and I think it's a stretch honestly this none of this is easy none of it's predictable but it's there it's there yeah we could all have solar roof tiles and be powering our own homes and making our own water and yeah the only thing left is good waste treatment which I think will turn into some kind of like laser beam that turns all of your waste into CO2 that gets used in the steam engine or something um but that's coming that's coming all right is this the best explanation of debt repayment options you've ever seen it is isn't it it I saw one person say no if there's somebody who did a better job of explaining the options can you send me a link because I've never seen one I've never seen anybody get close now when you say it's not the best description is it because the the crypto part which part are you complaining about just the crypto part because the rest is very ordinary everybody would agree that we can't inflate it away everybody would agree that more GDP would work everybody would agree that more energy would be good everybody would agree that robots are good right so it's it's really the crypto part that you don't like right crypto equals tulips well here's something I think you don't understand about crypto the United States could make any crypto immediately um valuable by saying they would accept it for tax payments on day one they can make any crypto valuable cuz the only thing that makes a crypto valuable if somebody's willing to take it as their payment if the United States says we'll accept it for tax payments you're there day one it has permanent value and it won't won't become less or I guess it could so for those of you who think the crypto option is Magic and crazy you might be right but you cannot deny that is a way to create money out of nothing it might have some other problems with it all right well I thought I'd take a run at that remember this is a first draft what what are the things I think I can you know add as value to the public conversation is when the public is not being served I think I do a good job of explaining what we haven't been told I always think that's my greatest value is that I do a good job of telling you what they haven't told you and how that's important and you better find that out so with the debt we are letting all of our politicians off the hook let me ask you this question this this is going to blow your mind wh watch your head just explode watch this number one would you agree that our debt problem probably is our biggest one would you agree with that first of all you see some NOS because you might have some other things that you think are bigger problems well if you think no then that would suggest you know that there's some way to pay it off but you don't so there's one problem we have where we can't conceive of a solution there's a bunch of problems we have that could become really bad but we can totally conceive of solutions for example the border is open can you conceive of a solution um let me see uh close the border yes uh we might have a World War can you conceive of some way to avoid it uh yes negotiating and the usual stuff yes now I would agree with you that some surprise thing like a nuclear war Could Happen suddenly Anything could happen but there's only one thing we have where the straight line is to doom and that's the debt the debt because it's going up two two trillion a year if if the debt were just stable then I wouldn't worry about it we've just inflated away but it's also going up two trillion a year so it's unsustainable and growing quickly that's definitely the biggest Risk by far that's the biggest risk all right I'm that's my opinion all right here's the part that's going to blow your mind now remember all the news you've watched and try to remember anytime that a top politician was asked this question how would you handle the debt I don't remember it once I can't think of it once can you do you know why they don't ask that question they don't ask it on the right and they don't ask it on the left do you know why probably because the um the reporters don't understand the topic you your average reporter would not really quite understand how debt works because some people make the mistake of saying national debt is like personal debt you know if anybody makes that analogy like if you bought this house and you know the interest rate was this and you had made this much money what would you do that's not the right model anybody who thinks that a mortgage of your house is a good thing to learn about how to handle the national debt you should immediately stop talking to them because they don't understand the basics of anything so you've got reporters if they're not the business reporters the regular you know generic reporters they don't know how to ask the question or they wouldn't understand the answer because here's the answer a politician would give you uh Mr politician let I say Mr.

Republican how are you going to pay off the debt well we've got to get these omnius spending bills under control and then what does the reporter say well how will you do that well you know we'll try to break them up the Speaker of the House blah blah blah and then the Reporter Goes to the next question do you think that breaking up our bills into individual spending bills is going to solve the national debt not even close it's not even in the it's not even in the zipo of a solution it's simply better than what we were doing it it's a it's a small tweak to improve the quality of the budgeting it's not going to solve the national debt or even close and nobody serious believes it would but I'll bet you the Republicans get away with saying that I'll bet the reporter stops asking questions when they say oh we've got to cut our budget there's no way to cut the budget enough to pay off this debt you'd have to you'd have to cut it like 70% or something give you'd have to give up the military right you're not not going to cut the budget enough at all so we have reporters who don't know how to ask the question would you agree with that our reporters do not know how to ask the question and you have politicians who on the Democrat side apparently have never been asked let me say it again I don't think a democrat's ever been asked what would they say because Democrats can't say we're going to reduce um social services and if they say we're going to reduce the military well just ask them to show you the math because that doesn't work out either if you want to actually have a National Defense so we have a reporter problem primarily the reporters refuse to know what is the important stuff so with Tik Tok they don't know that influence is the important thing as opposed to data security so because our reporters can't tell the story right right it gives Congress a way to ignore it because our reporters don't tell the story right right it gives them a free pass if nobody's reporting it correctly they just going to ignore it that's what they do with Tik Tock so nobody reports the national debt story accurately or even close nobody knows how to even ask the question of a politician and if they did they would allow the politician to get away with oh yeah yeah we got to we're going to have to have a national conversation about these spending what how's that going to help uh yes we're going to have to cut one of these big expenses it won't help yeah uh it's a complete abdication of responsibility by the press and it allows the politicians to just kick the can so here's what I'd like to see I'd like to see vake come up with a specific plan even if it's a long shot for solving the debt and I think he could make a story V good um that would say what we're doing with energy and what we're doing with new tech and robots and Ai and Quantum Computing and he's going to have to make an argument that we need a Second Industrial Revolution we need to bring our manufacturing back from China in the smartest way you know not in a complete way but in the smartest way so that we're manufacturing the things that we care about um pharmaceu Les in particular and we need to figure out how to build our own chip factory so we're not depending on the one Tai Taiwan use Factory by the way do you know the story that the biggest chip maker is it Taiwan semiconductor uh in Taiwan the one that we're totally dependent on the entrepreneur for that tried to build it in Texas and was rejected he couldn't build it in Texas so he went to where he could build it and he went to Taiwan man is that on us that is so so on us God what a up that that's like the up of the last 200 years let letting that guy go start the big essential chip company in another country that we have to protect I guess right it couldn't have been a more up situation right if it if it had gone to any other country it would have been suboptimal but it went to Taiwan right I mean it might have gone to Gaza like is there any other way we could make that more up so there are a lot of things that a v could make a good story for a solution Trump could do it too Trump likes to keep things a little simpler so I don't know that this is his ideal uh approach um and he's and and Trump also is a little less uh um fail about the new technology so you know vake is going to understand the AI plus Quantum Computing changes everything Trump you know might have heard that story but I doubt that would become part of his narrative you know it's a it's a little bit more futuristic than Trump usually talks but to be fair when Trump talks about building these um new cities from scratch I think that the new technologies plus the new cities could be the biggest boom in building and Industrial everything could solve housing by bringing the cost down uh there's just a whole bunch of ways that Trump could use a real estate um focus to fix the economy but he would fix energy first Trump would fix energy because that's a big part of the building and the construction um puzzle yeah Trump is actually very good about talking about you know the golden future but I don't know if he could quite get AI robots and Quantum Computing right but very could there there's a reason I'm I'm biased toward young right it makes sense to be a little biased toward the young at the moment speaking of that do you know at the politicians who are driving up our debt the most powerful politicians are the ones who are about a year away from being dead themselves if you were a year away from being dead do you think you should be in charge of driving up the debt for the United States for the next 100 years and you're going to be dead in a year and you're in charge of deciding what the rest of us will do for the next hundred years now I saw some push back on that because I said it on x and the push back was but scottt all of these ancient people they've got kids they've got grandkids of course they care about them so they care about the future as much as anybody does to which I replied have you met people let me explain something about people they really do make selfish decisions and they really do follow the money even if it's bad for their grandkids that's people now I'd love to tell you that there are people making the grandkid decision and there are but I don't think that's what drives the politicians I think they say to themselves I could try to solve an unsolvable problem and fail which is how to get the debt down or I could just vote for one more omnius Bill and I'm going to be dead in a few years anyway you know it's never going to come back to bite me and then they'd say well grandchildren will work it out you you know life's never been easy grandkids will work it out one way or the other so I think it does make a big difference that the people voting on The Debt are 100 years old I suggest the following fix that the only members of Congress who can vote on debt long-term debt have to be under 50 years old and if you're over 50 you can't you can't vote on debt or any kind of spending Bill and then I would say um public you are free to elect anybody you want if you'd like your representative to be over 50 just know that your state will not be involved in any of the budget decisions they can talk about it but they don't get to vote because letting people who won't be here to pay the debt decide how much debt you have is a stupid system and if you think that have them having grandkids is is going to save you that's not how people work they just don't I wish they did but they don't so that'll never happen but might be the only way to survive um there's a new study that says uh two of the things that predict a marriage lasting there are two factors psychologists found uh one is that the man has high verbal intelligence does that surprise you if the man has high verbal intelligence what goes along with high verbal intelligence is there anything else correlated with that besides long marriages uh I see the suggestion a huge penis but I don't think that's what I was going for um well I don't know let's see if there is anything else about the second thing that suggests along long marriage see the second thing is that uh the man in the marriage is able to buy new and more expensive cars that also signals longevity so what would what would having the ability to buy new expensive cars have in common with a man who has high intellect and verbal abilities could it be that money makes people stay the the person with the high IQ and the high verbal ability probably has a good job that's what that gets you if they're able to buy new cars probably got money good job and women like to be in stable situations of course everybody does but um the researchers said at least the carart is has something to do with signaling higher Social Status money the the car is just a signal of money it's not the car although women do like women do see their mate and the mate's car as their accessories by the way this is one of the best ways to think about this I know people and I used to be one how dumb I was when I was young I used to think that I would not be judged by the quality of my automobile I know pretty stupid I used to think women aren't going to care they're going to care about my wonderful personality my my empathy my conversation style my ability to engage things you know maybe my my clever thoughts yeah my haircut you know my I I thought those are the things would that would really influence women but it turns out it's your car you car yeah and the the I I've told you the story of how I learned learned that the hard way when I was in my 20s I guess I had the the worst little you'll never get laid car in the world I mean I'm not even going to describe it but it was sad no nobody would ever get in that car and think you know I sure want to have sex with the owner of this car I guarantee you nobody ever had that thought so one day when things were going a little bit better in my career this was before Dilbert but you my corporate career was advancing on time and I bought bought a very old BMW but it was still a BMW and one day I pulled it into the parking garage it was brand new and I wanted to get the opinion of some other people and uh my neighbor had a couple of girls who were twins who happen to be hanging out in the parking lot and I knew them pretty well cuz they lived right across the hall and I said to them they they noticed the new car and they said something I said all right what do you think of the car and they're like oh we love it we love it and I said do you think that women will like me better because I have this car now remember these are like 9-year-old twin girls and the 9-year-olds said oh yeah oh yeah yeah and like their eyes got big and like for sure no doubt about it and I'm I'm thinking it starts that early the 9-year-old girls are completely aware that if I don't have a good car I'm not going to get any action at 9 years old they knew that and and once once you understand that your car is a reflection of the woman who's in it like she's not going to want to be painted with the embarrassment of your automobile that the paint is falling off but if you got a good car it's like a good accessory and the same for how you dress and how tall you are and if you have hair and all that stuff yes people are shallow but you'll get used to it all right um what is it that uh links the various groups on the left the pro Palestine people with the climate people with the gay rights people with the indigenous rights people Etc um apparently it's some kind of intersectionality and I was reading some tweets by Michael naana but one thing they have in common all of those groups that you would think would be completely different groups is a victim narrative and the oppressor is always the same person it's always you know somebody white so everybody who is not a uh white person with money uh thinks that all of their groups have in common if only if only those white people would do something differently things would be better for all the rest rest of us um so that's what they have in common so to say that they are illegitimate would be an understatement all right um I guess the US is telling Qatar cutter to give up the Hamas leader who lives in luxury in Cutter I would like to suggest the following technique for getting that guy I think Israel Andor the United States in conjunction should say to Cutter this guy is dead the only thing you have to decide is where he is when it happens we're going to kill him and cutter if we don't have a choice and we're going to do it on Tuesday I think that's the way you have to play it because as long as cutter thinks that this is a point of negotiation or that maybe it won't happen they're going to act that way you have to take away from them any notion that this guy isn't going to going to die on Tuesday you have to say Tuesday he dies the only question that we're asking you is where you want him to be if you want him to be in one of your nicest high-rise buildings we are going to take him out there and it's going to be Tuesday and there will be casualties now I know cutter you're going to have to do everything you can to punish us back in whatever way you can and we're going to take that punishment but the only thing that's not going to happen is he's going to be alive on Wednesday the only thing we can guarantee you is he's going to be dead you only get to decide where it happens and when not even when you get to decide where so we'd like you to give him up but if you want to just walk him out to the desert where we can kill him that would be great but if you want him to be in one of your very expensive highrises in the middle of your main city we'll do that too on Tuesday on Tuesday I don't see any other way to handle it do you now this is something that you couldn't do do under any other context than the October 7th um Horrors after those Horrors everybody knows you're not kidding right if they thought you were bluffing they'd play it that way do you think Israel is bluffing would you think Israel was bluffing if they said we're going to take out the you know two stories of that building and we're going to do it on Tuesday and there's nothing you can do about it and whatever you do to us we'll take it no they would mean it and I think they could do it so that's the way I'd play it I wouldn't I wouldn't act like maybe cutter has a choice they only have a choice of where and ladies and gentlemen this concludes the best live stream you'll see today um we'll talk lots more about other stuff at other times I hope this was useful to you and what have MBS make the call yeah maybe all right thanks for joining You.

Tube I'll talk to you tomorrow

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human

civilization be that as it may if you'd

like your experience today to go up to

levels which nobody could even imagine

with the best imaginations in the world

well then all you need is a cup or a mug

or a glass a tank your Chelsea's time

can't and joer flask a vessel of any

kind fill it with your favorite liquid I

like coffee and join me now for the

unparallel pleasure the dopamine end of

the day the thing that makes everything

better it's called the simultaneous hip

and Happ

nowo oh my God I don't know if any of

you have ever tried

this it's

something I don't know I don't know when

it was the last time I ever tried it but

but I tried it yesterday and it's

amazing I got almost enough sleep has

anybody ever done that I mean it wasn't

like a ton probably 6 hours but 6 hours

is like you know that's like nine to me

so I'm like raring to

go let me at it my God you should try

sleeping I really recommend it I'll tell

you my two biggest sleeping tricks

number one if I exercise that day

perfect correlation one to one exercise

good sleep period no exceptions never

once not once in my life has that not

worked exercise equals good sleep so you

just got to get to sleep on time that

basically if you've exercised that day

there's nothing except getting to bed on

time that's it and then you solv the

biggest problem in your life right there

yeah you could take your melatonin you

can do all those things but I guarantee

you if you exercise that day you're

going to fall asleep you don't need any

of that stuff all right here's uh some

would you like some optimistic news

because it looks like the world's

falling

apart today I'm going to give you the

optimistic news a whole bunch of it just

a whole bunch of optimistic

news and of course a number of stories

about where I'm right about everything

you know the

usual um well and it has come up with a

uh discovery that they can make water

evaporate uh far more efficiently with

light than

heat does that sound like a big

deal doesn't really is that big deal but

you know that it uh apparently the light

without any heat under only the ideal

conditions has to be some kind of edge

condition that they can create the light

without heat will evaporate water far

more efficiently like way more

efficiently than

heat do you know what that means might

it mean it could mean that

desalinization just became

cheap it it could go down by a you know

factor of you know hundreds of percents

and that changes a lot because imagine

imagine if you could uh you could have

water

anywhere what what's the biggest limiter

to where people can live and how they

can grow food probably water as much as

anything right climate of course number

one but water is going to be the big one

so imagine imagine if there's a

technology in five years where pretty

much anybody can live off

grid and just have a little device and

it makes all the

water they want now there a whole bunch

of there have been a whole bunch of

breakthroughs in producing water out of

the

atmosphere but so so between the

atmosphere that they can now suck the

water out of that already exists and

then this thing which might be a to

desalinate as

scale could be that our real estate

options just increase by 100 right there

just more places you could live without

without having a city bring a pipe to

you so that's one thing here's another

one that is just this is just

so perfect

you know this is one of those things

that makes you think the simulation is

real and that the life we're living is

at least partly scripted like a sacom

you know there'll be little things that

happen that you say how did that happen

by coincidence that had to be in a

script somewhere there's no way this

happens by chance all here's another one

um big Improvement in Steam

Engines as you say to yourself Scott why

do we need Improvement in Steam steam

engines are you going to be running your

car on of steam engines God no no no no

turns out the steam engines have been

used for I don't know how many decades

to produce

electricity so if you've got uh some big

source of energy uh like a falling

waterfall it could drive a generator

which could drive steam engines I don't

know now that's the wrong example I

think it's nuclear right is it nuclear

that drives the steam

engines yeah nuclear power steam anyway

so if you want to make a lot of steam to

make energy from nuclear power uh the

the way we've done it

traditionally is with some kind of steam

engines um used in power plants

worldwide but it turns out that

technology is from the 19th century

we're using steamed

turbines from the 19th century so they

found a way to run the steam turbines

without

water what what would you guess is the

replacement for the water that gives it

a huge increase in energy

production

CO2 liquefied CO2 I guess you could put

CO2 under pressure and liquefy it and it

makes your steam engine or some modified

steam engine way way more efficient it

looks like it's all doable like there's

nothing that would stop them from doing

it so here's something that could uh

have a huge impact someday on our energy

costs at the same time desalinization

could have a huge impact now if you've

got cheap water or at least ubiquitous

and you've got way cheaper

energy that's a good world isn't it

because then all you need is robots and

Ai and those are both coming more on

that

later all right um you probably saw that

Joe Rogan talked to Elon Musk and made

about 10 pieces of news you know one of

them is that Joe Rogan shot his bow and

arrow at the side of a cyber truck and

it did not penetrate it but I'm told if

it had been a normal car that that bow

uh from the distance was pretty close

would have gone right through a door of

a normal

car which is kind of impressive I had no

idea that an arrow could be that

powerful but apparently it's as powerful

as a gun at a short

distance um now the interesting thing is

that the glass windows are not uh

bulletproof so as Elon says you're going

to have to duck if somebody starts

shooting at your car you're still going

to have to duck because it will break

the window now they could have

bulletproof glass but it would be so

thick that Elon says it's too hard to

make it go up and down so that's not an

option really I mean it is an option if

you don't want to ever put your windows

down um but most interesting thing in my

opinion that must said was about George

Soros and he speculated that George

Soros had a you know troubling childhood

and that might contribute to the fact

that at least by his actions says musk

it would appear that he hates

Humanity because his actions are so so

anti- human that maybe has something to

do with the

upbringing

and to which I

say I like I like the line of thinking

but there's a problem with it which you

know may be a solvable problem but why

is his son exactly on the same page

because his son would have been raised

in a privileged upbringing so if

somebody's bad childhood is what makes

them hate

Humanity wouldn't uh Alex Soros the guy

who's in charge at the moment the son of

George Soros wouldn't the son have had

more like an ideal upbringing and have

no interest in destroying Humanity he

looks like he's having a good

time so whatever the truth is here and

this might be right I mean musk might be

exactly right he just he's a he's a

broken man with a hatred of humanity but

I usually think that's not the case

uh my best I've told and by the way musk

also says he thinks Soros is scile so I

think that's the better

explanation I I see one of I see a

couple of different possible

explanations for what appears to be

anti-humanity

actions the example would be funding

prosecutors who don't want to prosecute

crime

and my first my first uh this would be

just a

speculation or it would be a theory I

guess so it's not based on any facts

there could be some

intelligence um some country that has an

intelligence group that controls Soros

so maybe he's just controlled by some

foreign entity that wants the United

States to be destroyed in which case

he's just doing what he has to do for

whatever reason to stay alive or to stay

Rich maybe they have some blackmail on

them I don't know but he he acts like

somebody who's controlled by an enemy

because what he does is so dangerous to

America that's one possibility the other

possibility is that um he doesn't

exactly know what he's doing and that he

has a sprawling Empire and he hasn't

been paying attention and when people

talk to

him when people talk to him they say

some version of everything everything's

great your money is going to these great

causes you're saving the world and then

he doesn't read maybe newspapers that

have bad articles about him so maybe he

just never sees the other argument and

he's told by his people who are

receiving his money and want to receive

more of it hey you're doing great do

some more of this and then he gets lots

of PS on the back and he feels like he's

really helping the world but maybe he

lives such

a small world at the moment cuz he's age

that he just kind of doesn't know what's

going on it seems like it it seems to me

like he's not aware of it now that would

also explain why his son would not be

able to change the boat because the dad

presumably still has his full authority

to fire his

son it could be that the son's just

waiting for the dad to die and then he's

going to reverse some of the worst parts

of the father's philosophy but he may

you know Alex might know again this is

just speculation I have no idea of

knowing who's thinking

what but there's either something about

blackmail something about

senility something about what

information he receives versus what you

receive something like that but I don't

quite buy the bad childhood

explanation because it it would seem

just as likely that the bad childhood

would want him to be a a celebrity and

do the right

things unless he thinks he is which

would be the information problem so we

don't know but it was an interesting

speculation and I would love to see

somebody set his son down and ask the

following

questions what's going on it looks like

your father is trying to destroy

civilization how could you explain it

I'd love to say that interview that's

never going to happen all right

uh as musk pointed out the two biggest

donors to Democrats were George

Soros who arguably looks like he's

trying to destroy civilization no joke

that's a that's like a serious

conversation by serious people that he

may want to destroy civilization that's

their biggest

donor now I don't know that he wants to

destroy civilization but it's a serious

question that's pretty

scary second biggest Doner was Sam

bankman freed a con

man

basically so those are their two biggest

donors so if you're wondering hey why is

everything

up well maybe it's because the two

biggest donors are one is seems to be an

evil genius Crook and the other one

seems to be demented Evil Genius I

billionaire maybe if you follow the

money it gets you to exactly where we

are which is a completely corrupted

government that's of no use to the

people all right some uh new science in

the category of you should have just

asked Scott you would have saved some

time um turns out two separate studies

one on gratitude and one on empathy so I

guess empathy could reduce depression

that's what one study says so thinking

about other people and caring about them

could make you less depressed do you

know who else knew

that I

did didn't you all know that I I thought

it was sort of

obvious I've always in fact um I may

have told you this in the past

before I guess all of my dilber

career um when I was getting more than I

needed for myself whenever I had a bad

day I would just randomly do something

awesomely good for somebody

else and I always cheered

up 100% of the time it worked I just

pick somebody and say you know what

today's your lucky day and just made

somebody happy like in some substantial

way and oh my god it feels good yeah so

they could have saved a lot of money in

this study just ask me I I've been doing

it for years it works every time and

I've recommended it to people and when

they try it works every time right you

really didn't need to study that here's

another one uh gratitude can make you

healthier

again ask me I could have told you that

uh in fact most self-help gurus could

have told you that that gratitude is a

very healthy mindset it's going to make

everything work better and it does so so

what do gr gratitude and empathy have in

common gratitude and empathy it's about

getting you out of your own head and

making you think about the well-being of

other people and the value they have in

your life the Gratitude part so getting

out of your own

head is is the trick for not being

depressed now why is there a gigantic

mental health problem in the United

States at the moment well I would say

again you you don't need to do a big

expensive study let me explain it to

you it's your

screens when I was a child human beings

were human beings and if if I watched

television you know that was just

television that wasn't really my life it

was just a thing I did something but if

your life is mostly online your friends

are online everybody's online are those

people

real kind of I mean you mean you you

know that they're real people but do

they have the same effect on you in

terms of let's say gratitude and empathy

as somebody in the real

world my guess is no my guess is that

our social life has turned into a social

life in which gratitude and empathy are

hard to express because you're just

people on screens the people who are in

the room with you you can have gratitude

and empathy just naturally and easily so

it could be something about how much we

see people in

person that makes sense and we know that

uh loneliness of course works against

your happiness so a lot of it is just

very obviously screens you can see that

the graph of mental illness spikes

exactly when smartphones came into the

market is pretty obvious at this point

that's what it is but more generally

having a good attitude about life is

good for your health and your mental

well-being so no surprises there well

it's uh almost one year ago God it seems

longer since Elon Musk bought the

Twitter platform and now turned it into

X think about what people said when he

bought

it uh it's the last day of Twitter

Twitter's going to fail he's destroyed

this valuable

asset what's the latest update the

latest update is it might be cash

positive in

2024 uh and the engagement is higher

than

ever and he's driven out the government

uh oversight on the platform which was

essentially not essentially it was

directly government uh blocking your

free speech and when when musk talks

casually about how bad twitter was when

he bought

it and that basically it was a

government organ and he says that the

other entities at least the social media

he says they're just government organs

that they can only do what the

government tells them they can do

there's no free speech there so he

claims and I think this is true that the

only place Free Speech exists is on

X I think that's exactly true there's

the only place Free Speech exists is on

X and you know and that's limited by you

can't go too far but I don't think

that's hurting

us all

right

so that's kind of amazing and I like to

take a little bit of every day to just

thank Elon Musk for what I believe was

primarily a unselfish

act you know you could always make some

argument well you know you could always

say with rich people well lose forther

ego or whatever I don't know he's a

different kind of cat it does look like

he did this for the world and it worked

and and and I do believe that so well

you know history is strange because the

winners write it and all that but I

think this is one of the biggest events

in American

history musk getting the government an

of x to me this is on this is on a level

with the Boston Tea

Party you know is is right up there with

the most important things that have ever

happened in the

Republic so thank you thank you Elon

Musk

he had an interesting uh explanation of

why Twitter became a

toilet um and he says this

geographical that San Francisco has

always been sort of an

oddball uh culture but usually it was

geographically constrained you could go

to San Francisco and there would be some

weird people there and then you would go

home and it didn't bother anybody they

they could be weird in San Francisco

Isco and you could go to your house and

not have any of it but once once Twitter

started hiring locally which everybody

does um they turned this Niche or Niche

philosophy into a worldwide phenomenon

through their control of the

algorithm and that's where it all went

to hell so in the old days that in the

old days they would have just stayed

localized and nobody would have known

the difference it's a fascinating

way to explain it you know all these

things could have 10 different

explanations depending on you know what

frame you decide to look at but that's a

really interesting

frame that technology allowed pockets of

craziness in this weird way just because

the company was centered there to become

worldwide it's a good

explanation

um let's

see uh here's news about Tik Tock

apparently Republicans are renewing

calls for a Tik Tock ban because it

turns out that oh oh didn't see this

coming oh total surprise who could have

ever seen this coming that as soon as

something's really important let's say

the Gaza situation that Tik Tock was um

I guess his study showed that the

pro-israel messages were about I oneth

of the SC of the pro or the anti- Israel

messes it was enormously balanced

against Israel which is against the

United States in this particular case

enormously enormously now let me ask you

do you think that happened on its

own do you think the tick tock owning uh

Chinese people said you know let's just

let this one play out oh wow surprise

lots lots of different people like the

Palestinian side

no ladies and gentlemen it's exactly

what I've been warning Congress about

for 5 years for 5 years I've been saying

stop talking about the data security

problem that is a diversion it might

also be a problem but it's a diversion

the real problem is the heat button that

China or Tik Tok owned by China can push

one button that is literally labeled

heat which they admit they have

that can boost any message you don't

think they push that

button do do you think that China sat

there and thought to themselves you know

if we did push this button it would be

really really bad for

America and they probably wouldn't do

anything about

it and it would be perfect crime because

nobody knows you push the

button and then you think that they had

that conversation with themselves and

decided to not push P the button that is

that what you think do you think they

didn't push the button because oh that

would be biasing things no no it's

exactly what I told you would happen if

you allow Tik Tock it is the user

interface to Young mines in America and

other places but the American mines The

Young Ones under you know some age are

completely controlled by Tik Tock and so

China built a user interface for our

young people's brains you know the

future of the world future of our

country anyway and then they put a

button on there and they even told us we

have a button that's the user interface

to all the young people's brains in

America but you know we don't like to

push it for any bad reasons oh oh fine

thank goodness you have that button that

you could simply push and it would

change the

world in a way that's good for you and

bad for your enemies but you're you're

not going to push it right do you

promise Pi you swear don't push

it that's that's amazingly that's the

situation we're in and now there's some

Republicans saying hey hey I wonder I

wonder if this is a problem oh I

wonder again may I

say they should have asked

Scott for pretty much all of the science

and politics you should have just asked

me I could have told you this was coming

and it's not and I also make a further

prediction that Tik Tock has sufficient

control of our Congress and sufficient

control of the Democrats and sufficient

control of our news sources that this

won't

change my prediction is Congress will

not ban Tik Tock because Tik Tock

already owns Congress they lost that's

what it looks like to me to me it looks

like it was a battle and Congress lost

and there's no way they can reverse it

because the you know the the tentacles

are already around

them all right

um I controlled myself and I can't

believe I did it when Matthew Perry um

tragically died in his hot

tub it took every bit of my

self-control not to tweet the word

fenel I mean I I had to just like pry my

phone out of my own hand because it's

the obvious the obvious thing that makes

you die suddenly if you're an addict is

you got some fenel that you didn't know

you were getting but it turns out he had

none in his system there was no fenel in

his system so I'm I'm chastising my

imaginary self that couldn't control

myself and I I said that that when it

would have

been really inappropriate and tacky to

say it but God I wanted to so that's bad

on me but uh we so we don't know if I

had to

guess well I won't guess I I guess I'll

let the process play out so I guess

there's a little bit of still some

mystery of what what it might have

been um over in s Switzerland they've

built what they call suicide pods it's

like a coffin-sized pod with a glass top

and you can get in this if you're ready

for assisted suicide and they'll just

turn up the

uh uh they fill it with nitrogen gas

which rapidly lowers oxygen levels

causing its user to

die I assume this is painless otherwise

it wouldn't exist now of course the um

the opponents say my God this will be a

abused would you agree that it will be

abused and it won't just be people who

are you know in Desperate end of life

situation but that it would naturally

slide down to people who are just having

a bad time in life yeah probably so I'll

tell you I have very mixed feelings

about

it number one for 30 years I've imagined

the invention of this product pretty

much exactly the way it exists except I

didn't know what gas would be involved

um although I thought it would be used

for murder I thought it would be more of

a murder

device here will tie your hands and put

you in this pod and next thing you know

you'll be dead so um I have mixed

feelings about it because on one hand it

looks like it will definitely be

abused no doubt about it but you know

what else is

abused

everything food is

abused like the most innocent thing in

the world is our food we all abuse our

food until we're like you know dying

from food eating too much food so

there's nothing we don't abuse so on one

on one hand you could say hey it's going

to lead to all these abuses on the other

hand you could say well if it's a free

country at the moment this is only in

Switzerland but if it were here I could

easily say yeah it's totally going to

get abused so are guns so is food so is

alcohol so are cigarettes all legal all

abused so the fact that something is

abused to the point of death is not a

stopper I mean if we were going to be

objective about it it wouldn't be a

stopper for any product so would it be

abused yes um especially you know if

things get worse in the future

economically Etc but on the other hand I

really really want this option from for

myself although I don't like the

claustrophobia right before you die of

being in a little in a little casket

thing I don't like that part but I

certainly like the option to be able to

go out in my own terms so I got mixed

feelings about

that um here's another one should have

asked Scott uh climate scientist Roger

Roger py Jr who has long been on the

side of let's say

um skep

ISM

so

skepticism and I don't believe he's

saying that there's no connection

between CO2 and warming I don't think

he's that kind of skeptic he's a skeptic

on the

models so that's the part I know he's a

skeptic about so I have less less

knowledge about what else he might be

skeptical about but he has you know

another uh I guess he gave a speech or

something recently and he talked about

all the problems with the models but

here's the one that makes the most

difference so apparently there are

several models that people could use to

do their additional science and say if

this changed what would happen we study

this variable if you add this variable

to the existing model what happens so I

guess they've got some you know a low

medium and high models that are most

often used you know the worst case best

case average case and which one do you

think they usually use to show the

effects of their science if you said

they use the worst case scenario You' be

right do you know why they do that

because if you make a a paper or

discovery which shows the most

cataclysmic eventual outcome you get

you're more likely to get funded because

that makes it more important and you're

more likely get get attention and you're

more likely to get promoted and you're

more likely to get more grants so

basically the system is designed to

incentivize people to always chase the

worst case

scenario and the worst case

scenario could happen but it's probably

the least likely outcome you somewhere

in the middle is the

usual so there it is again now um I hate

to brag no I love to brag but

everybody who ever had any experience

doing Financial modeling or any kind of

modeling of the future we all knew this

like we all knew that all models that

predict the future are just financially

driven period there's no exception to

that if it comes out of a corporation

they're showing you something because

they want to make money if I produced a

number as part of my analysis of what

you know the financial long-term effect

of some decision would be which was my

job I knew I was just doing what my boss

needed me to do to support what he

already wanted to do like everybody

knows that that's just common knowledge

so did I did I need to be told by an

expert who knows a lot about it Roger

pilki Jr did he need to tell me that the

financial models are being gamed and are

not any kind of indication of reality he

did not need to tell me that that was

obvious

super obvious from day one I've never

I've never had a different opinion the

first time I ever heard that there were

long-term data uh predictions I mean I

just laughed there's nobody who does

this work or any version of this work

who thinks you can even do that there's

no such thing as predicting the future

about

anything

yeah

anyway um so just say ask me next

time so the Wall Street Journal uh has a

uh story that says the rate of babies

dying in the US Rose significantly for

the first time in two decades wow

increasing 3% from 2021 to wow so just

recently the last 20 up to 2022 a big

increase in babies dying in the United

States according to the latest federal

government so does that sound like real

news to you do you think it's real news

that the rate of babies dying in the US

Rose significantly for the first time in

two

decades well that headline was directly

over the graph that shows the rate of

death and the graph showed that it's 104

times recently that it's

uptick so the graph proved that the

headline was

false and then there was still an

article about it

after the graph because let I I I don't

think I misread the graph can somebody

confirm I mean I just need a fact check

on this this direction is down right

where I'm pointing can you confirm that

that's down right am I confused about

that yeah okay that's down now here's

the part where I'm confused about is

this direction

up I think it is so if they had a graph

that had substantial portions of it

that were pointing in this direction is

that up or down I'm forgetting again oh

it's up it's

up and was it in the last 20 years yes

all four of the upticks were in the last

20

years what kind of story is

this am I confused or did they literally

write a headline that didn't match the

graph their own data I don't know what's

going on I I'm just actually confused by

it but don't believe

data don't believe believe news and

don't don't believe

data here's what I think

happened you ready for this I think it's

cognitive

blindness where smart people even groups

of smart people can be blinded to the

obvious because there's something else

going on basically that's how all magic

tricks work a magic trick takes your

brain to the place where you can't solve

the trick your your brain is just

working on the wrong problem here's what

I think and this is just wild

speculation that we've been served up

for 3 weeks now stories about dead

babies because of the Gaza

situation right every every hour on the

hour for three weeks I've heard about a

dead baby so then some data comes out

that says there's an uptick in dead

babies in the United States could that

blind the people involved to the point

where where they could only see the data

as more dead babies because they've been

fed more dead babies more dead babies

highest rate of dead babies so many dead

babies all dead babies dead babies dead

babies oh here's some data sure enough

up taken dead babies write the story

write the story and did they actually

write the story while looking at the

data they showed that there was no

uptick that was unusual there is an

uptick but not an unusual

one that's actually possible in the in

the hypnotist world if you had a

hypnotist filter on the

world I'm not saying that's what

happened I'm saying it would be

perfectly within the normal realm of

behavior that somebody would be

cognitively blinded and not even notice

that the graph didn't match the headline

now I'll be embarrassed by tomorrow

because by tomorrow the Wall Street

Journal will explain why I read the

graph wrong but at the moment I'm just

confused so you should wait for the

other side of the story story this this

is sort of the documentary problem

you're hearing me me make a claim but

you've not heard the Wall Street Journal

saying Scott you're looking at the graph

wrong or you know maybe you interpreted

it wrong or something so just consider I

could be wrong about this wait till hear

the other side if there is

one all right I saw a lawyer for some of

the January six people somebody who goes

by Shipwrecked crew on the xplatform and

and is apparently a lawyer with some j6

clients and he makes this claim he or

she makes this claim I have two new

clients charged with j6 crimes neither

went inside the capital and there are no

allegations of any interference with the

police I'm not aware of any previous

cases where defendants were charged just

for being present outside the building

and

watching if anyone knows of such a case

mentioned in the comments if this is a

new standard for the Department of

Justice there are thousands of potential

defendants still on charge now question

number

one is this an accurate description of

the

situation well remember this is coming

from a lawyer who is a proponent for

clients so the lawyer is going to put it

in the most minimalistic description of

what

happened but let's let's say that the

the main claim is true that they didn't

go inside and they didn't interfere with

police what could they have been doing

that would get them

charged what you can't you can't be in

the general area of other people doing a

crime inciting because they were saying

things well if it's inciting it's going

to be

everybody I'll tell you my

interpretation of this is that

um Democrats mostly

are looking for any excuse to increase

the number of Republicans they're

putting in jail which I call

hunting this to me looks like lawfare

hunting where they're literally looking

for Republicans that they can jail to

make sure that Republicans stay in line

in the future I think it's not so much

about punishing anybody I think it's

about creating a standard of fear so

that Republicans will know that if they

get you know anywhere near a line

they're going to

jail

yeah um do you know I consider my

biggest risk in my

life I consider my biggest risk being

jailed for a crime I did not

commit it's 2023 in

America literally my biggest risk and

there are plenty of things that can you

know be risky but my biggest risk is

going to jail for a crime I didn't

commit that's that's reality of America

in

2023 and you know if you've watched Mike

covich tweeting

lately he would be an obvious Target for

the bad guys to want to invent a crime

and charge him with it I think they

would be sorry if they did

that that that would be way more push

back than than they understand but

I think we're all we're all at risk at

this point anybody who's talking about

the news and a way the Democrats don't

like I think we're all at

risk that's America

2023 all right I asked on the the

xplatform uh can you describe any way in

the world that the national debt could

be paid off and we are not running as

fast as we we we can toward certain

doom and nobody could do it but I saw

one

suggestion that made me think it might

be

possible now I'm going to go to the

Whiteboard whiteboard I'm going to

explain maybe the best case scenario for

paying off the

debt now there there are things that you

can do when the debt is small that you

can't do when the debt is enormous and

growing at an enormous rate the normal

way

uh if you've got a crushing

debt or just debt in

general

um you either have to create money from

nothing you have to create money from

nothing move

this uh or inflated

away and there there are basically three

ways three ways to get rid of a

debt and by the way this is my first

draft sort sort of a first take so if

anybody knows more than I do about this

topic you know tell me to add something

or subtract something right so we're

just getting the conversation going the

reason I'm doing this by the way is I've

seen no serious person describe how you

even could possibly like even in the

best case scenario how could we get off

of this uh trained Doom which is the

debt I've heard nobody do it have you

has anybody heard anybody serious

describe any scenario where we're not

doomed from

debt right you haven't heard it so I'm

going to give you what I think is the

first the first

possibility I think it's possible but

boy would it take some things to go

right I think they might actually but

here are the options there could be some

kind of weird uh crypto trickery by

trickery I mean something that I can't

quite imagine and I wouldn't know how it

works but the basic idea is that crypto

can create an artificial value from

nothing right so that that's the only

thing I'm starting with we've got this

huge debt and we don't have the money to

pay it but what if we just invented

money now you say to yourself but Scott

that creates 10 new problems maybe but

I'm just saying is is there any play not

one that I can quite describe but is

there anything you could do that would

one time only now here's the key one

time only create a bunch of money and

pay off the debt is there any way to do

it now before you say haha it's obvious

that it won't work I would I would bet

that you know less than me not more if

you believe it's obvious there's no way

to do it I can't I can't take you

seriously at all

I'm not saying I know how to do it I'm

saying that crypto literally creates

money that people will accept out of

nothing so maybe there's a play there I

just don't know how how I would do it

all right here's the other things um I

believe the debt is too big to inflate

away meaning you could you could try to

inflate it away but remember it's

growing to trillion a year how much

inflation would you need to inflate it

away I believe the answer is too much

meaning that that rate of inflation

would just destroy the country basically

your your standard of living would just

go to crap now so can we all agree that

inflating it away if that's the only

thing you're

doing won't work do you think that's

true now in the past a smaller debt you

could actually inflate away in fact

that's where that's where we were at a

few years ago this can't be inflated

away so the the other way to go would be

a massive Improvement in

GDP normally our GDP grows what 2 to 4%

a year that is nowhere nowhere near

enough to pay down the debt not not even

in the same universe you would need

something like and this is just sort of

The Economist off the top of my head it

feels like you would need something like

a very rapid 40% % increase in our

GDP how many of you would accept that as

sort of a a ballpark for just talking

about the topic a 40%

increase is there anything in the world

that would make the economy increased by

that

rate war war is the wrong answer because

War creates more

debt yeah War creates a lot of activity

but it also creates more

debt here's here's what I

think and this is partly a borrowed

idea suppose suppose you get a president

Trump or a president ramaswami I'll just

take two Republicans as my example both

deal makers both understand capitalism

both know how to get rid of

regulations uh both know the value of

fossil fuels in the short term right so

they're basically the right

right people for the job imagine them

coming in and doing something so radical

that the cost of energy drops to almost

trivial is that possible absolutely you

just remove the um prohibitions against

small nuclear reactors that's day one

you just say look we're not even going

to have state standards there's going to

be a federal standard and it's going to

be friendly to the industry because we

don't have an option now so you build a

bunch of nuclear reactors is a risk

probably but it's way better than the

risk of just spending yourself into a

certain Doom if those are your two

options you're going to take a little

extra risk on your nuclear development

because even if you get a meltdown on a

small reactor it's going to be way less

problem than spending yourself into

Oblivion so given the energy is such a

large portion of our total expenses if

you could just subtract that from our

expenses suddenly everybody has more

money that's a reverse inflation PR

GDP thing now it's not just that it

reduces your current expenses if you

could take energy from its current um

current level to closer to

zero then there's a whole bunch of

businesses that become economical that

could not have been done before because

there would be too energy um intensive

one of them would be

desalinization right imagine the number

of companies that would immediately go

into the small nuclear reactor plus

desalinization business I mean that

alone would be you know a trillion

dollar business and it wouldn't be

practical until you had that power

source so imagine drilling like crazy

getting rid of

regulations um you know building nuclear

building Elon Musk says if you build a

100 mile by 100 mile solar facility you

could power the entire United

States does anybody want to check his

work does anybody want to take a chance

that he got the numbers

wrong I don't think I'm going to go down

that that path and actually I I do think

there's an argument there

um if you listen to some the critics

will say you can't get there with solar

but I'd like to have that

conversation but I'd also like to see

see robots build um

facilities so because the robots can do

it cheaper so if you've got cheap

electricity and energy suddenly robots

are way more um practical because the

cost of your robot is probably going to

be half energy cost and half material

cost you know at some point if you could

take the half of the energy cost closer

to zero suddenly I'm buying two robots

Elon mus said that he thought the Tesla

robots um that are already can be taught

skills you can already teach him to you

know fold the laundry and stuff uh that

he he might sell more of those than

anything else he's doing bigger than

Tesla bigger than SpaceX I don't know if

it' ever be bigger than SpaceX

but so robots plus

AI plus cheap

energy creates an industrial type

Revolution greater than anything we've

ever experienced yet and there are

probably two candidates who could give

this world to you and they're both

Republicans there is no chance that a

Democrat could ever pay off the the debt

because Democrats are limited in their

options they're not going to remove

regulations they're not going to do

anything that hurts one belated grass in

the

environment and they're not going to do

anything that their base reflexively

doesn't like such as nuclear

power so there's no way that a Democrat

can get you to uh anything that's not

total

doom and there is a way and I think it's

a stretch honestly this none of this is

easy none of it's predictable but it's

there it's there yeah we could all have

solar roof tiles and be powering our own

homes and making our own water and yeah

the only thing left is good waste

treatment which I think will turn into

some kind of like laser beam that turns

all of your waste into CO2 that gets

used in the steam engine or something

um but that's

coming that's coming all right is this

the best explanation of debt repayment

options you've ever

seen it is isn't

it

it I saw one person say no if there's

somebody who did a better job of

explaining the options can you send me a

link because I've never seen one I've

never seen anybody get close now when

you say it's not the best description is

it because the the crypto part which

part are you complaining about just the

crypto part because the rest is very

ordinary everybody would agree that we

can't inflate it away everybody would

agree that more GDP would work everybody

would agree that more energy would be

good everybody would agree that robots

are good right so it's it's really the

crypto part that you don't like

right crypto equals tulips well here's

something I think you don't understand

about

crypto the United States could make any

crypto immediately um valuable by saying

they would accept it for tax

payments on day one they can make any

crypto valuable cuz the only thing that

makes a crypto valuable if somebody's

willing to take it as their payment if

the United States says we'll accept it

for tax payments you're there day one it

has permanent value and it won't won't

become

less or I guess it

could so for those of you who think the

crypto option is Magic and

crazy you might be

right but you cannot deny that is a way

to create money out of nothing it might

have some other problems with

it all right

well I thought I'd take a run at that

remember this is a first draft what what

are the things I think I can you know

add as value to the public conversation

is when the public is not being

served I think I do a good job of

explaining what we haven't been

told I always think that's my greatest

value

is that I do a good job of telling you

what they haven't told you and how

that's important and you better find

that out so with the debt we are letting

all of our politicians off the hook let

me ask you this question this this is

going to blow your mind wh watch

your head just

explode watch

this number one would you agree that our

debt problem probably is our biggest one

would you agree with that first of all

you see some NOS because you might have

some other things that you think are

bigger problems well if you think no

then that would suggest you know that

there's some way to pay it off but you

don't so there's one problem we have

where we can't conceive of a solution

there's a bunch of problems we have that

could become really bad but we can

totally conceive of solutions for

example the border is open can you

conceive of a solution um let me see

uh close the

border yes uh we might have a World War

can you conceive of some way to avoid it

uh yes negotiating and the usual stuff

yes now I would agree with you that some

surprise thing like a nuclear war Could

Happen suddenly Anything could happen

but there's only one thing we have where

the straight line is to

doom and that's the debt

the debt because it's going up two two

trillion a year if if the debt were just

stable then I wouldn't worry about it

we've just inflated away but it's also

going up two trillion a year so it's

unsustainable and growing

quickly that's definitely the biggest

Risk by far that's the biggest risk all

right I'm that's my opinion all right

here's the part that's going to blow

your

mind now remember all the news you've

watched

and try to remember anytime that a top

politician was asked this

question how would you handle the

debt I don't remember it once I can't

think of it once can you do you know why

they don't ask that

question they don't ask it on the right

and they don't ask it on the left do you

know

why probably because the um the

reporters don't understand the topic you

your average reporter would not really

quite understand how debt works because

some people make the mistake of saying

national debt is like personal debt you

know if anybody makes that analogy like

if you bought this house and you know

the interest rate was this and you had

made this much money what would you do

that's not the right model anybody who

thinks that a mortgage of your house is

a good thing to learn about how to

handle the national debt you should

immediately stop talking to them because

they don't understand the basics of

anything so you've got reporters if

they're not the business reporters the

regular you know generic reporters they

don't know how to ask the question or

they wouldn't understand the answer

because here's the answer a politician

would give

you uh Mr politician let I say Mr

Republican how are you going to pay off

the

debt well we've got to get these omnius

spending bills under

control and then what does the reporter

say well how will you do that well you

know we'll try to break them up the

Speaker of the House blah blah blah and

then the Reporter Goes to the next

question do you think that breaking up

our bills into individual spending bills

is going to solve the national

debt not even close it's not even in the

it's not even in the zipo of a solution

it's simply better than what we were

doing it it's a it's a small tweak

to improve the quality of the

budgeting it's not going to solve the

national debt or even close and nobody

serious believes it would but I'll bet

you the Republicans get away with saying

that I'll bet the reporter stops asking

questions when they say oh we've got to

cut our budget there's no way to cut the

budget enough to pay off this debt you'd

have to you'd have to cut it like 70% or

something give you'd have to give up the

military right you're not not going to

cut the budget enough at all so we have

reporters who don't know how to ask the

question would you agree with that our

reporters do not know how to ask the

question and you have politicians who on

the Democrat side apparently have never

been

asked let me say it again I don't think

a democrat's ever been

asked what would they say because

Democrats can't say we're going to

reduce um social

services and if they say we're going to

reduce the military well just ask them

to show you the math because that

doesn't work out either if you want to

actually have a National

Defense so we have a reporter problem

primarily the reporters refuse to know

what is the important stuff so with Tik

Tok they don't know that influence is

the important thing as opposed to data

security so because our reporters can't

tell the story right right it gives

Congress a way to ignore it because our

reporters don't tell the story right

right it gives them a free pass if

nobody's reporting it correctly they

just going to ignore it that's what they

do with Tik Tock so nobody reports the

national debt story accurately or even

close nobody knows how to even ask the

question of a politician and if they did

they would allow the politician to get

away with oh yeah yeah we got to we're

going to have to have a national

conversation about these spending

what how's that going to help uh yes

we're going to have to cut one of these

big expenses it won't

help yeah uh it's a complete abdication

of responsibility by the

press and it allows the politicians to

just kick the can so here's what I'd

like to

see I'd like to see

vake come up with a specific plan even

if it's a long shot for solving the debt

and I think he could make a story V good

um that would say what we're doing with

energy and what we're doing with new

tech and robots and Ai and Quantum

Computing and he's going to have to make

an argument that we need a Second

Industrial Revolution we need to bring

our manufacturing back from China in the

smartest way you know not in a complete

way but in the smartest way so that

we're

manufacturing the things that we care

about um pharmaceu Les in particular and

we need to figure out how to build our

own chip factory so we're not depending

on the one Tai Taiwan use Factory by the

way do you know the story that the

biggest chip maker is it Taiwan

semiconductor uh in Taiwan the one that

we're totally dependent on the

entrepreneur for that tried to build it

in

Texas and was

rejected he couldn't build it in Texas

so he went to where he could build it

and he went to Taiwan man is that on us

that is so so on

us God what a up that that's like

the up of the last 200 years let

letting that guy go start the big

essential chip company in another

country that we have to protect I guess

right it couldn't have been a more

up

situation right if it if it had gone to

any other country it would have been

suboptimal but it went to

Taiwan right I mean it might have gone

to Gaza like is there any other way we

could make that more

up so there are a lot of things that a v

could make a good story for a solution

Trump could do it too Trump likes to

keep things a little simpler so I don't

know that this is his ideal uh

approach um and he's and and Trump also

is a little less uh um fail about the

new

technology so you know vake is going to

understand the AI plus Quantum Computing

changes everything

Trump you know might have heard that

story but I doubt that would become part

of his narrative you know it's a it's a

little bit more futuristic than Trump

usually talks but to be fair when Trump

talks about building these um new cities

from scratch I think

that the new technologies plus the new

cities could be the biggest boom in

building and Industrial everything could

solve housing by bringing the cost down

uh there's just a whole bunch of ways

that Trump could use a real

estate um focus to fix the economy but

he would fix energy first Trump would

fix energy because that's a big part of

the building and the construction um

puzzle

yeah Trump is actually very good about

talking about you know the golden

future but I don't know if he could

quite get AI robots and Quantum

Computing right but very

could there there's a reason I'm I'm

biased toward

young right it makes sense to be a

little biased toward the young at the

moment speaking of that do you know at

the politicians who are driving up our

debt the most powerful politicians are

the ones who are about a year away from

being dead

themselves if you were a year away from

being dead do you think you should be in

charge of driving up the debt for the

United States for the next 100 years and

you're going to be dead in a year and

you're in charge of deciding what the

rest of us will do for the next hundred

years now I saw some push back on that

because I said it on x and the push back

was but scottt all of these ancient

people they've got kids they've got

grandkids of course they care about them

so they care about the future as much as

anybody does to which I

replied have you met

people let me explain something about

people they really do make selfish

decisions and they really do follow the

money even if it's bad for their

grandkids that's people

now I'd love to tell you that there are

people making the grandkid decision and

there

are but I don't think that's what drives

the politicians I think they say to

themselves I could try to solve an

unsolvable problem and fail which is how

to get the debt down or I could just

vote for one more omnius Bill and I'm

going to be dead in a few years anyway

you know it's never going to come back

to bite me and then they'd say well

grandchildren will work it out you you

know life's never been easy grandkids

will work it out one way or the other so

I think it does make a big difference

that the people voting on The Debt are

100 years old I suggest the following

fix that the only members of Congress

who can vote on debt long-term

debt have to be under 50 years old and

if you're over 50 you can't you can't

vote on debt or any kind of spending

Bill and then I would say um public

you are free to elect anybody you want

if you'd like your representative to be

over 50 just know that your state will

not be involved in any of the budget

decisions they can talk about it but

they don't get to vote because letting

people who won't be here to pay the debt

decide how much debt you have is a

stupid

system and if you think that have them

having grandkids is is going to save you

that's not how people work

they just don't I wish they did but they

don't so that'll never happen but might

be the only way to

survive um there's a new study that says

uh two of the things that predict a

marriage

lasting there are two factors

psychologists found uh one is that the

man has high verbal

intelligence does that surprise you if

the man has high verbal

intelligence what goes along with high

verbal

intelligence is there anything else

correlated with

that

besides long

marriages uh I see the suggestion a huge

penis but I don't think that's what I

was going for

um well I don't know let's see if there

is anything else about the second thing

that suggests along long marriage see

the second thing is that uh the man in

the marriage is able to buy new and more

expensive

cars that also signals longevity so what

would what would

having the ability to buy new expensive

cars have in common with a man who has

high intellect and verbal

abilities could it

be that money makes people stay

the the person with the high IQ and the

high verbal ability probably has a good

job that's what that gets you if they're

able to buy new cars probably got money

good

job and women like to be in stable

situations of course everybody does but

um the researchers said at least the

carart is has something to do with

signaling higher Social

Status

money the the car is just a signal of

money it's not the car although women do

like women do see their mate and the

mate's car as their accessories by the

way this is one of the best ways to

think about this I know people and I

used to be one how dumb I was when I was

young I used to think that I would not

be judged by the quality of my

automobile I know pretty stupid I used

to think women aren't going to care

they're going to care about my wonderful

personality my my empathy my

conversation style my ability to engage

things you know maybe my my clever

thoughts yeah my haircut you know my I I

thought those are the things would that

would really influence women but it

turns out it's your car you car yeah and

the the I I've told you the story of how

I learned learned that the hard way when

I was in my 20s I guess I had the the

worst little you'll never get laid car

in the world I mean I'm not even going

to describe it but it was sad no nobody

would ever get in that car and think you

know I sure want to have sex with the

owner of this car I guarantee you nobody

ever had that thought so one day when

things were going a little bit better in

my career this was before Dilbert but

you my corporate career was advancing on

time and I bought bought a very old

BMW but it was still a BMW and one day I

pulled it into the parking garage it was

brand new and I wanted to get the

opinion of some other people and uh my

neighbor had a couple of girls who were

twins who happen to be hanging out in

the parking lot and I knew them pretty

well cuz they lived right across the

hall and I said to them they they

noticed the new car and they said

something I said all right what do you

think of the car and they're like oh we

love it we love it

and I said do you think that women will

like me better because I have this car

now remember these are like 9-year-old

twin girls and the 9-year-olds said oh

yeah oh yeah

yeah and like their eyes got big and

like for sure no doubt about it and I'm

I'm thinking it starts that early the

9-year-old girls are completely aware

that if I don't have a good car I'm not

going to get any action at 9 years old

they knew

that and and once once you understand

that your car is a reflection of the

woman who's in it like she's not going

to want to be painted with the

embarrassment of your automobile that

the paint is falling off but if you got

a good car it's like a good accessory

and the same for how you dress and how

tall you are and if you have hair and

all that stuff yes people are shallow

but you'll get used to

it all right

um what is it that uh links the various

groups on the left the pro Palestine

people with the climate people with the

gay rights people with the indigenous

rights people

Etc

um apparently it's some kind of

intersectionality and I was reading some

tweets by Michael naana

but one thing they have in common all of

those groups that you would think would

be completely different groups is a

victim

narrative and the oppressor is always

the same person it's always you know

somebody

white so everybody who is not a uh white

person with

money uh thinks that all of their groups

have in common if only if only those

white people would do something

differently things would be better for

all the rest rest of

us um so that's what they have in common

so to say that they are

illegitimate would be an

understatement all

right um I guess the US is telling Qatar

cutter to give up the Hamas leader who

lives in luxury in Cutter I would like

to suggest the

following technique for getting that guy

I think Israel Andor the United States

in conjunction

should say to Cutter this guy is dead

the only thing you have to decide is

where he is when it

happens we're going to kill him and

cutter if we don't have a choice and

we're going to do it on

Tuesday I think that's the way you have

to play it

because as long as cutter thinks that

this is a point of negotiation or that

maybe it won't happen they're going to

act that way you have to take away from

them any notion that this guy isn't

going to going to die on Tuesday you

have to say Tuesday he dies the only

question that we're asking you is where

you want him to be if you want him to be

in one of your nicest high-rise

buildings we are going to take him out

there and it's going to be Tuesday and

there will be casualties now I know

cutter you're going to have to do

everything you can to punish us back in

whatever way you can and we're going to

take that

punishment but the only thing that's not

going to happen is he's going to be

alive on Wednesday the only thing we can

guarantee you is he's going to be dead

you only get to decide where it happens

and when not even when you get to decide

where so we'd like you to give him up

but if you want to just walk him out to

the desert where we can kill him that

would be great but if you want him to be

in one of your very expensive highrises

in the middle of your main city we'll do

that too on Tuesday on

Tuesday I don't see any other way to

handle it do you now this is something

that you couldn't do do under any other

context than the October 7th um

Horrors after those Horrors everybody

knows you're not kidding right if they

thought you were

bluffing they'd play it that

way do you think Israel is bluffing

would you think Israel was bluffing if

they said we're going to take out the

you know two stories of that building

and we're going to do it on Tuesday and

there's nothing you can do about it and

whatever you do to us we'll take it

no they would mean it and I think they

could do

it so that's the way I'd play it I

wouldn't I wouldn't act like maybe

cutter has a choice they only have a

choice of

where and ladies and gentlemen this

concludes the best live stream you'll

see

today

um we'll talk lots more about other

stuff at other times I hope this was

useful to you

and

what have MBS make the call yeah

maybe all right thanks for joining

YouTube I'll talk to you tomorrow