Back to episode — Episode 2279 Scott Adams - CWSA 11/01/23, Solving US Debt Problem And More
Context —
e the claustrophobia right before you die of being in a little casket thing. I don't like that part but I certainly like the option to be able to go out on my own terms. So I got mixed feelings about that. Here's another one. Should have asked Scott. Climate scientist Roger Pielke Jr. who has long been on the side of let's say skepticism. And I don't believe he's saying that there's no connection…
← Previous segment →Pielke Jr.? Did he need to tell me that the financial models are being gamed and are not any kind of indication of reality? He did not need to tell me that. That was obvious, super obvious from day one. I've never had a different opinion. The first time I ever heard that there were long-term data predictions I mean I just laughed. There's nobody who does this work or any version of this work who thinks you can even do that. There's no such thing as predicting the future about anything. Yeah anyway. So just say ask me next time.
So the Wall Street Journal has a story that says the rate of babies dying in the US rose significantly for the first time in two decades. Wow. Increasing 3% from 2021 to 2022. So just recently, up to 2022, a big increase in babies dying in the United States according to the latest federal government. So does that sound like real news to you? Do you think it's real news that the rate of babies dying in the US rose significantly for the first time in two decades? Well that headline was directly over the graph that shows the rate of death and the graph showed that it's 10.4 recently that it's uptick. So the graph proved that the headline was false. And then there was still an article about it after the graph because let, I don't think I misread the graph. Can somebody confirm? I mean I just need a fact check on this. This direction is down right where I'm pointing. Can you confirm that that's down right? Am I confused about that? Yeah okay that's down. Now here's the part where I'm confused about. Is this direction up? I think it is. So if they had a graph that had substantial portions of it that were pointing in this direction is that up or down? I'm forgetting again. Oh it's up. It's up. And was it in the last 20 years? Yes all four of the upticks were in the last 20 years. What kind of story is this? Am I confused or did they literally write a headline that didn't match the graph, their own data? I don't know what's going on. I'm just actually confused by it. But don't believe data. Don't believe news and don't believe data.
Here's what I think happened. You ready for this? I think it's cognitive blindness where smart people, even groups of smart people can
Context —
be blinded to the obvious because there's something else going on. Basically that's how all magic tricks work. A magic trick takes your brain to the place where you can't solve the trick. Your brain is just working on the wrong problem. Here's what I think and this is just wild speculation. That we've been served up for three weeks now stories about dead babies because of the Gaza situation right?…
Next segment → →