Episode 950 Scott Adams - Don't Miss My One-Act Play Called Kim Jong-Un Plans His Schedule
My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Content: Planning your day when you have 2,000 sex slaves Test kits versus herd immunity Tucker Carlson and totalitarian concerns Testosterone levels and AJ Cortes provocative tweet Success and drugs ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Please subscribe to my channel…it REALLY helps. Like my video? Hate my video? Let me know, VOTE! Please leave a comment, let me know how I'm doing. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Hey, boom-boom-boom-boom. Hey Greg, come on in here. Good to see you. I'm glad you joined. The rest of you, come on in. Hurry up. It's good to see all of you. It's another wonderful day. It's a perfect day for a Coffee with Scott Adams. What a way to spend your morning. What a way to wake up and joi…
View segment →nd the best way to kick off the weekend, I think you know. Yeah. Yep. I think you know it requires a little thing called the simultaneous sip. And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tankard, a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a decanter, a flask, a thermos, a vessel. Fill it with your favori…
View segment →will make you stop and really, really think, or it won't make any sense at all. So one of those two things is going to happen to you in a moment. You're either going to have a really profound moment, or for most of you, maybe 80 percent, you're going to say, I don't even know what that meant. It go…
View segment →. Eighty percent of you just went, I don't even know what that's supposed to mean. So that was just for the twenty percent of you. All right, let's talk about some other things. Kim Jong-un apparently has been photographed at the opening of a fertilizer plant. Now, I had jokingly said that when the…
View segment →w you know. "Dear Leader, we're planning your day and we have very, very important budget meetings. Can I put you down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.?" Kim Jong-un: "Uh-huh. Budget meeting. Yeah, yeah, I could attend the budget meeting. That's one possibility. Or I could go to my seaside reso…
View segment →use him to lose access to his two thousand sex slaves anytime soon. So I just don't see it happening. All right. I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count, which my understanding is that if we go back to work, so I think these estimates are based on we're still mitigating in all…
View segment →ything that would allow us to test our way out. We're nowhere near the number, and we're nowhere near the number of tests available. We're nowhere near testing the right people. We're not even close. And I think that you know again people give me a hard time for bolstering the president and saying…
View segment →ort of tweaking it all the time. Now assuming that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last forever, which of these rights that is being denied to us will still be denied to us in let's say the end of the year? Do you think that any of these rights will be permanent? The reduction in rights, do you thin…
View segment →tness. So my mindset is that when I feel stressed, and by the way this is totally legitimate and this is a lifetime habit, so I'm not making this up because I just read this story. There's something I've done all my life. If I have a day of work and I'm really stressed out and I don't think it's goi…
View segment →the fact that the averages can be the average. So I know you know somebody who is not like that. I know you're not like that. Can we agree that you and your friends are not what we're talking about? So let's get out of the anecdotal mindset. I mean yes we all know individuals are all over the board…
View segment →I would just doubt your science because it's so freaking obvious. Now I don't know how in the world you could not see it. It's as obvious as anything could be obvious. Now what causes that? Now keep in mind there are two things happening. One is that Trump has more male supporters. So if you are si…
View segment →you interpreted it as 17 say it's true, well probably true, then you got it completely wrong. There's nothing in the reality that would suggest the 17 intelligence agencies in the United States agreeing tells you anything. It doesn't tell you anything. That's how you should process it. All right, l…
View segment →China was lying? We already know that. That's public information. So what are the intelligence agencies know that we don't? Yes, Elon Musk's tweet storm. So Elon tweeted among other things, I think in last 48 hours or so, among other things that his girlfriend was having a baby on Monday. People di…
View segment →, I said what a lot of people have thought but you don't want to say. If what you got addicted to is alcohol, probably that's not going to go well for you unless you're a functional alcoholic and you're in sales. If you're a functional alcoholic and you're in a sales profession it might be pretty go…
View segment →rm play here. So the long-term reason for putting it on a subscription platform is that the YouTubes of the world they can't really handle my content because their business model requires them to pair content with advertisers. And the advertisers all say why would we take a chance on something that'…
View segment →ere on how to write humor. So these are very, very short videos on one topic where I teach you that one topic. My next will probably be designed so it'd be like five to ten minutes to bring you up to about eighty percent of what you need to be a better designer. So that's what we're going to do. And…
View segment →Hey, boom-boom-boom-boom. Hey Greg, come on in here. Good to see you. I'm glad you joined. The rest of you, come on in. Hurry up. It's good to see all of you. It's another wonderful day. It's a perfect day for a Coffee with Scott Adams. What a way to spend your morning. What a way to wake up and join the weekend, which is going to be amazing. Best weekend in a while.
And the best way to kick off the weekend, I think you know. Yeah. Yep. I think you know it requires a little thing called the simultaneous sip. And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tankard, a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a decanter, a flask, a thermos, a vessel. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Enjoy it with me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including the damn pandemic. It's called the simultaneous sip.
If it happens now... go. Mm-hmm. I can feel the hospitalization rates decreasing with every sip.
Let's talk about some stuff. I tweeted a real thinker yesterday. This one will make you stop and really, really think, or it won't make any sense at all. So one of those two things is going to happen to you in a moment. You're either going to have a really profound moment, or for most of you, maybe 80 percent, you're going to say, I don't even know what that meant.
It goes like this. Listen carefully. Twenty percent of you are going to have a profound moment. Eighty percent of you are going to wish I would just change the topic. Here's the statement: Predicting and creating would be the same thing if you were good at both of them. Yeah, let that sink in. Creating and predicting would be the same thing if you were good at both of them. Yeah. Twenty percent of you just went, whoa. Eighty percent of you just went, I don't even know what that's supposed to mean. So that was just for the twenty percent of you.
All right, let's talk about some other things. Kim Jong-un apparently has been photographed at the opening of a fertilizer plant. Now, I had jokingly said that when the news came out that he attended the opening of a fertilizer plant, I said on Twitter, but we don't know if he attended as a guest or as the fertilizer, because it seemed like both possibilities were open at the time.
But we have been provided with photographs, yes, actual photographs of something that may or may not be a fertilizer plant and which Kim Jong-un is cutting a ribbon at some place that may or may not be North Korea and may or may not have been in the last ten years. So in other words, we can't really tell from the photographs. They don't tell you as much as they... oh no, we do know he wasn't walking with a cane. And unless he got a miracle cure, do you think he went away for a week and got a miracle cure and now he doesn't need a cane? Maybe. Maybe it was such a good hospital trip that he left looking younger. Yeah, it was such a good hospital trip that they fixed him up and now he's thinner and younger and he doesn't walk with a cane. Glad we got those photographs, huh?
All right, I'm going to go on record. Here's my prediction: fake photographs. Fake photographs. Here's why. If you are going to produce real photographs, the point of which is to show that your leader is alive, they would be a little more unambiguous. You know, you don't publish ambiguous photos to prove something. No, you prove something with unambiguous photos, perhaps something called video. Even North Korea has heard of video. It's a thing with movement. Wouldn't be hard to demonstrate that Kim Jong-un was alive. Wouldn't be hard at all. In fact, it would be quite easy. But instead they went with grainy photos of a young-looking Kim. I don't know. I don't know.
So I heard the news today, and I don't know. I think I was vaguely aware of this, but when you read a story about it, it reminds you of something that you couldn't believe, which is that reportedly Kim Jong-un has, assuming he's still alive, sex slaves. Literally sex slaves who apparently will accompany him on trips to his multiple resort compounds on his train and whatnot to dance and sing and the other stuff for him and his elites. Sex slaves for Kim Jong-un.
So here's the news as best we know it. And thank goodness we have intelligence agencies, because if we didn't have intelligence agencies and a free press, we wouldn't be able to narrow it down. So we don't know exactly what Kim Jong-un is doing this week, but thanks to our press and our intelligence agencies, we have narrowed it down. It's either he's dead or he's partying at his seaside resort with two thousand sex slaves.
I've come to understand that he doesn't spend much time in between those two extremes, because think about it. You're Kim Jong-un. You have two thousand sex slaves. What else are you going to spend your time on? And so I present to you a one-act play which features Kim Jong-un's advisors talking to him about the schedule for the day.
I'll start in the role of the adviser to Kim Jong-un. You can tell who the advisor is because the advisers always have notepads. So that's how you know.
"Dear Leader, we're planning your day and we have very, very important budget meetings. Can I put you down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.?"
Kim Jong-un: "Uh-huh. Budget meeting. Yeah, yeah, I could attend the budget meeting. That's one possibility. Or I could go to my seaside resort party with my two thousand sex slaves, and maybe you could attend that meeting for me. And if I hear later that things didn't go well, I could execute you and everyone who attended the meeting. How about that instead?"
"Okay, very good. Very good. I won't put you down for the two o'clock meeting. But we've got a ribbon-cutting at a fertilizer plant. That's tomorrow. Could you make the fertilizer plant ribbon-cutting, Dear Leader?"
"Yeah, yeah, that's completely possible. I could drag my fat ass across North Korea to visit a factory that literally makes... or I could go to my seaside resort and I could party with my two thousand sex slaves while you visit the fertilizer plant. And if I hear later that anything went wrong, I could execute you and kill everybody at the fertilizer plant too, just to make sure I've wrapped it all up. How about that?"
"Excellent plan. An excellent plan, Dear Leader. Do we need to talk about the rest of this schedule?"
"Not so much. Not so much."
And scene.
Now, here's this is actually an answer to a mystery that I've had all my life, and I should have known the answer because it was kind of obvious. And I always say to myself, why is it you can't get a dictator to retire? Why is there never any story about a dictator says, I've been enjoying my dictatorship, but I'll tell you what, I'll retire. We'll turn this into a democracy or whatever.
Now it turns out that the answer is that if you retire from being a dictator, you will lose, and here I'm just speculating, you will lose access to your two thousand sex slaves and you'll probably be hunted down and executed. So retiring is a really bad strategy for your typical tyrant, because they might get executed, but at the very least, whatever openness that comes with retiring and becoming democratic is really going to cut into your two thousand sex slave weekend.
How do you expect a dictator to retire when that's the proposition? Here, here's the deal. How would you like to make peace? We'll have some kind of North Korea-South Korea. You know, we won't necessarily merge right away, but there'll be more travel and openness, more connections, you know, maybe a lot more communication. And you see Kim Jong-un sitting there and thinking, yeah, yeah, yeah, we could do that. We could do that. We could have the peace and openness. I could get rid of my nukes. Or I'll just put this out there. I could keep my nukes, which keeps you out of my country, and I can keep my two thousand sex slaves. How about that?
And so the ability that Kim Jong-un's sister might be the heir apparent if Kim Jong-un actually is incapacitated or dead. And I say to myself, isn't this interesting? Isn't this interesting? Because I don't know if there are historical cases in the modern era of female dictators who have sex slaves. I kind of think they might have a few, right? If you had a female dictator, she might have a few male sex slaves, maybe a few female sex slaves. Why not? But probably not two thousand.
And if you were Kim Jong-un's sister, and let's say hypothetically you decided to make peace and have some kind of transitional stage toward a more democratic system, could you retire? Could Kim Jong-un's sister retire? Would she be safe from the reaches of the law? Don't know. Because certainly she could argue that everything that happened was her brother's fault, because I don't have any decision. She made. She just had to do what the boss said. So she could say, I didn't do anything. I just carried out orders. And by the way, I don't have two thousand sex slaves. I got three or four. Probably take them with me. But you know, maybe we could have some peace.
Because think about it. Is realistically, all joking aside, realistically, would Kim Jong-un ever do anything to ruin his situation? No, nothing. There isn't anything. There's not risk of death. There's nothing that's going to shake him out of his situation with his private train and all the booze he wants and two thousand sex slaves. There's no negotiating in which you say, all right, I got an offer. And then Kim says, before you say your offer, can you tell me how it's better than owning my own country, being a dictator, eating and drinking whatever I want, smoking a lot of pot, I assume he does, and playing with my two thousand sex slaves at my luxury resort? Is your offer better than that? And then the negotiators would say, well, in some ways. And Kim would say, uh-uh. Maybe we'll just put a hold on those negotiations.
So the bottom line is it's possible that Kim Jong-un's sister could negotiate for a peace like a real one. It is not possible, based on this new information, that Kim Jong-un would have any interest in negotiating for something that would cause him to lose access to his two thousand sex slaves anytime soon. So I just don't see it happening.
All right. I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count, which my understanding is that if we go back to work, so I think these estimates are based on we're still mitigating in all the smart ways, but some of us are phasing back to work. So I think this new calculation takes that into account. The low end would be 100,000. High end would be 240,000 based on the current models. Models of course are deeply inaccurate. They don't predict. They simply give you a range of where you might expect things to be. And I would say that they do that actually pretty well. So does that range look reasonable to me? Yes.
We've raced past 60,000. Are we close to 70,000 deaths already? I don't know what today's number is, but we'll be at 70,000 pretty quickly. I would expect that in the month of May we would zoom past 100,000 unless something happens really quickly. You know, it could be that the remdesivir and the hydroxychloroquine, maybe they work a little bit. Maybe we get that going in May a little bit. Maybe it reduces the daily count. Maybe it goes down on its own. But I don't really see a situation where it'll be less than 100,000 when it's all done.
Now of course there's also the issue of whether it's counted correctly. Do they throw in a lot of other things? I don't know. Don't know. I did see a chart that showed total deaths compared to what we would have expected. And here the expected is if it's a normal year. And it looked like most of the weeks were below the normal year. A couple were above it because there were so many deaths from COVID. But it looks like we're actually maybe close to break-even with total deaths if you count the ones that are saved.
Here's an update on what Bill Gates said about testing. And again this agrees with what I was thinking, but he says it better. So I'll give you his. I've been telling you that based on everything I've been hearing at the task forces about testing that you should just forget about testing. Forget about it being a path out, because there's no evidence that we're doing anything that would allow us to test our way out. We're nowhere near the number, and we're nowhere near the number of tests available. We're nowhere near testing the right people. We're not even close.
And I think that you know again people give me a hard time for bolstering the president and saying everything he does is good, but I've been brutal about the reporting from the task force in terms of giving us useful numbers. I would say that the task force's ability to give the public useful information, effectively zero. Just a failing grade. Just a pure failing grade. I can't even give them a D-minus. It's just a pure failing grade. One of the darkest, I would say one of the maybe the biggest mistakes of the Trump administration, I would say so. Yeah, maybe I can think of a few other things because it's hard to think of everything that's happened. But I would say among the most grossly embarrassing incompetent performances is the reporting on the numbers.
Yeah, I think the overall effort is probably successful, but in terms of just specifically the question of is the public being informed? No. Now is it the administration's fault that we don't have enough tests and the right kind of tests and the right kind of priorities? Probably. Probably. Now they're doing this technique. They're using is making sure that the private sector is deeply involved and they're not trying to push too hard as long as the private sector is willing to step up. And they are. But the way the tests are, there's so many different ones. We don't know which ones are accurate.
And then Bill Gates said this on CNN I think. Apparently the tests we have, you're only going to get them if you have symptoms. All right, so if you have symptoms, you've already been spreading it. So getting the test after you have symptoms doesn't help you for all of the time that you already had symptoms and you were spreading it. And it doesn't help you get treatment before that. So in other words, they can't fix the past. And since the only people getting tests were the ones prioritized, the ones who have symptoms, you didn't help the past. But do you help the future? And the answer is it takes about three days to get a result.
You keep hearing about the fast tests. Those exist, but I don't think they're the majority. So imagine that you've had it for five days. You've got symptoms. You've been spreading it like crazy. You get the test and you still don't know. You have it for three days. What do you do for those three days? You live your normal life and you spread it around. So by the time you get it, as Bill Gates says, by the time you get the test result, you've already spread it around and you're practically over it by the time you get the result.
Now yes, there are faster tests and there are startups that have even faster tests and the media tests coming in. But what information do you have about that? Have you seen the chart that says this is how many we have, this is how many the experts say we need of this type, and this is how we're getting there or anything like that? No. No. My advice to you is to make your decision about the whole situation as if testing doesn't exist, as if it's not an option. I would say that it is so poorly reported that you have to assume it's just not even a path. And Bill Gates basically just laughed at it. He freaking laughed at it. He laughed at it that it's not even close. It's not even in the conversation of being something that could be helpful. Just think about that.
And most of the reporting, most of the experts have said we need to do more testing. We all know that. There's nobody who doesn't think if we can magically test everybody we'd be better off. But apparently it's hard to make test kits and it's hard to get it done. So I don't think that we're going to have anything like a testing solution before we have herd immunity accidentally.
I keep watching Tucker Carlson's show where he is essentially complaining the whole show about totalitarianism and how our freedom and rights have all been taken from us and how we kind of just handed them over. To which I say I feel like I'm just watching crazy town. It just looks crazy at this point. Now I'm a big fan of Tucker and I think his show is one of the best shows on TV of its type. You know, in the news genre, definitely one of the best shows of its type. But this particular theme that he's on that we've given up all our freedoms is both true and trivial and unimportant at the same time.
Because let's say you're in a coma. Have you lost your rights? Yeah, you have. Let's say because you can't do all the things you could do before. If you're in jail, have you lost your rights? Yes. If you're in a dangerous neighborhood, can you do all the things you want? No. If you're temporarily, if you have to go to work, are you free? Not really. You have to go to work. So we live in a world in which this little freedom thing is sort of fluid and we're figuring it out as we go. But we have a general idea where we want it to be, but we're always sort of tweaking it all the time.
Now assuming that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last forever, which of these rights that is being denied to us will still be denied to us in let's say the end of the year? Do you think that any of these rights will be permanent? The reduction in rights, do you think when the coronavirus is gone, do you think the government is going to say you can't go to the beach? Do you think they're going to say you can't work, go to a concert? No. No. In what world are any of these going to be permanent?
Now the ones that will be permanent were going to be permanent anyway, which is your loss of privacy. You know, you might argue that this costs you a little bit of extra loss of privacy, but not really, because the government always could have tracked where you were with your cellphone. They always had that ability. They just maybe weren't doing it unless you were a criminal. And so I don't even a little bit understand what Tucker is talking about, because all the examples are true. They're observable. Yes, they can't go to the beach. They live in a free country and without any laws passed, no constitutional authority. These things are all true. You know, the things that Tucker is reporting are true. They just don't lead to the conclusion he's concluding, which is we're in an emergency. The way you would act in an emergency should not be similar to the way you would act in the non-emergency. So why would you ever compare them?
Now if he's going to make the case that there are certain subsets of rights that have a high likelihood of going away during this and then go on, well I'd say that's a pretty good argument if I'd heard it. But I haven't heard that argument. I've only heard that we have lost our rights temporarily during an emergency. I've also heard that you know that's the way tyrants do it. Like they can always find an emergency to use as an excuse for grabbing power. But does that look like that's what's happening here? I'd say not even close, because the minimum requirement for that to happen is that the public would be okay with it.
Now one of the things that people point out is how easily the public became sheep and just quarantined themselves. To which I say, is that what happened? Is the public just turning into sheep and obeying their government? Or is it a public who were informed about a risk and decided to take it seriously, doing what the experts advised them to do? I mean I'm not seeing a problem here.
They say if somebody says because of the slippery slope, right, the slippery slope is purely imaginary. And somebody says emergency, who defines it, Scotty? Well I'm going to block you for that comment. So the comment is emergency, who defines, Scotty. Now I'm deleting. I'm blocking you forever so you'll never be part of this conversation again, because Scotty is personal. You can certainly make a comment about the facts, your opinion, etc. But when you add Scotty on there that's sort of an instant block because you're trying to minimize me. You can minimize the opinion just by saying what your opinion is. But when you add the Scotty then you're just being an and get blocked. Goodbye.
All right, what else we got going on here? There's a New York Times article that was fascinating. It said that stress is not what kills you. You know that stress can kill you, you believe, right? Stress can kill you. But it turns out the stress only kills you if you think it can. Now I'm that's a little bit of an exaggeration, but the article said that the science is pointing toward stress will kill you if you believe that stress will kill you. In other words, if your mindset is the stress is all bad, it's just all bad, it's going to kill me, then it does. It actually has that effect.
But apparently people who have a different mindset and just accept the stress as some sort of response their body has because they're trying to achieve something, stress being a normal reaction of the body, something maybe they can weaponize. You know, I use stress to power my fitness. So my mindset is that when I feel stressed, and by the way this is totally legitimate and this is a lifetime habit, so I'm not making this up because I just read this story. There's something I've done all my life. If I have a day of work and I'm really stressed out and I don't think it's going to go away right away, that's normal, right? Everybody has stressful days of work. I say to myself, man, am I going to have a good workout today? Because there's nothing that can power a good workout better than stress. And when you're done you know you're going to have less of it, less stress. And you know that you used your stress productively to lift more and push yourself and exhaust yourself and really get a good workout.
Now that's my mindset. And one of the things that people always ask me is why do you seem so not stressed. And part of it is that I make it a very much a part of my job, if you will, to avoid stress. And a big part of it is that mindset. It's like what's the first thing you think of when you're stressed? Oh my god, my blood pressure is going up. Or whoa, I'm going to really have a good lift today. And I'm not making that up. That's literally what I think when I feel stress. It's like oh, this is going to be a good run. So get your mindset right.
That's why you should be following people such as Mike Cernovich who talked about getting your mindset right. One of my favorite follows on Twitter is AJ Cortez. Does personal training. And what I like about him as someone to follow on Twitter is that first of all he takes the training to the mind-body mindset whole way. So it's more of a holistic approach where programming your body is a way to program your life. I don't think he says it in those words but it's effectively what it is. So he's more than a trainer about how to lift stuff. He does that too. But it's more about how all of this integrates into a better life.
So he got a tweet today that made me laugh. I retweeted it not because I agree with every word of it, because it's so provocative that I couldn't help it. Sometimes I just like to see people react to provocative ideas. So this was his tweet from AJ Alexander Cortes: A generation of defective men have been produced to believe that being, and he gives his list. These are the things that make them men according to AJ: agreeable, quiet, passive, desexualized, soft, gentle, and emotional. And he says that this is, this is AJ not me, don't blame me, and he says these are traits of women. And he says these men have been programmed into passive eunuch slaves to the mainstream narrative.
All right, so I retweeted it because it's so darn provocative, not because it's exactly matching my opinion of things. But let me give you my opinion. First of all let's all agree that individuals are so different that it would be ridiculous to have a list of characteristics and say that this applies to men or this applies to women. Can we all agree that individual differences are quite extreme? But that doesn't change the fact that the averages can be the average. So I know you know somebody who is not like that. I know you're not like that. Can we agree that you and your friends are not what we're talking about? So let's get out of the anecdotal mindset. I mean yes we all know individuals are all over the board on everything that people can be different about.
So it is certainly not true in a technical scientific way that women are any of these things: agreeable, quiet, passive, desexualized, soft, gentle or emotional. I think the point is that more that those are sort of traditional. You don't have to say that that's good or bad because I don't think AJ is saying these are good qualities or bad. He doesn't say that. He's just saying that there was some kind of gender difference. You can agree or disagree.
But here's where I'll take this. And it may be good to see if there was any kind of a testosterone difference in Republicans versus Democrats. So I googled that. What do you think? What do you think I found out? Do you think that Trump supporters have more testosterone than anti-Trump? Or what would you say in the comments that based on your non-scientific opinion, just observation, is it your observation that the class of people who are supporters of Trump have more testosterone than those who are opposed to? Look at the comments. The comments is it's unambiguous, right? It's very unambiguous. You could tell me that this doesn't pass the science and then I would just doubt your science because it's so freaking obvious.
Now I don't know how in the world you could not see it. It's as obvious as anything could be obvious. Now what causes that? Now keep in mind there are two things happening. One is that Trump has more male supporters. So if you are simply to measure all the testosterone in the Trump supporters you would of course get more just because there are more men in the group. So that's the first thing. Second thing is just obvious. It's just obvious.
And I had made the hypothesis before that the way people respond to Trump might be based on whatever experience they've had in the past with bullying. And my hypothesis, which I'm going to modify right now, my hypothesis had been that if you'd been the subject of bullying, a victim of it any time during your life, and you saw Trump, he triggered you to remember those situations and you say to yourself no, never again. I'm not going to be in this bullying situation so I can't support him. And then I speculated that if you had been the bully yourself or you just hadn't been bullied, that you didn't see that. And what you saw was a strong leader who may or may not agree with you but that's it. It wasn't scary.
I'm going to modify that because I feel as though the bullying thing might be a factor but not the full explanation. I feel like testosterone is the better explanation. And here's why. And again let me say that this is all speculation. It's based on anecdotal stuff. The moment there is a scientific peer-reviewed controlled study that says that there is no correlation I will immediately adopt that opinion. But at the moment there isn't. There is not that. I just looked. There's no information on that.
So here's what I think. I think that your testosterone level, if you're male, so let's just talk about men, the higher your testosterone level, the less afraid you are of other men. Do you agree with that? Let's say I think if this would be harder to answer for the women. But men, you have experienced just in your own life times when you knew your testosterone was high. Let's say you just went to the contest. You've been working out. You're feeling healthy. You know your testosterone is high. You can feel it. You also know that there have been times when you've been sick or down or you broke up with your girlfriend or whatever your problem was. You knew your testosterone was down.
So can the men here first confirm for me that they have a physical sensation and they know the difference between when their testosterone is jacked up and when it's not? Because their personality changes. I would say my entire personality is quite different if I know my testosterone is raging and I can tell. Right? Let me give you one example. I used to do a lot of public speaking. And when you're a public speaker and you're invited because you're already popular it usually goes well. The audience claps and they cheer and they laugh. If you spend an hour being the subject of affection of an audience, by the time you walk offstage and you're heading back to your hotel room, your testosterone is just raging because it's just automatic. If you become the celebrity on stage and everybody's clapping for you and literally standing, sometimes standing ovations, your testosterone is off the chart. And your personality changes too and you know it. I mean you just feel it. It's almost like you can feel it in your goosebumps and your hair. You can feel it.
And what comes along with, men back me up on this, I'm just looking for the men to answer this question. Women would not be able to. When your testosterone is jacked up, are you ever afraid of another man? Are you? And I think the answer is almost never. And I would say that I'm thinking of any situation in my life then I've ever been afraid of a man or men. Not once. And I've been in lots of situations. You know if you're a male you've been in tons of situations that are dangerous. You can't be a man in America and not have lots of experience with almost getting in a fight. You were there when the trouble went down. You know what I mean? It's just normal life that men are around. The male experience is violence and near violence all the time. It's something that women can't possibly understand. The manly men live in a permanently violent world. And I don't mean that they're actually performing violence at any given moment. I mean that our mindset is that you're ready for violence at the drop of a hat. Maybe not all of you. This also could be a testosterone difference. But I would say, and let the men in the comments confirm or deny this. Men, would you say that you are capable of violence at the drop of a hat for a reason? I'm not saying that you would do violence for no reason. I'm saying that is it true that you're always on the edge of being violent but only if there's a reason and you don't really ever turn that off, do you?
So you guys maybe you'll see some differences here. You see somebody saying correct. I don't know if they're... yeah somebody says I'm never afraid of anything. Survival of the fittest only if he's holding a gun. So I've had guns pulled on me three, four times. So I've had guns pointed at my face four times in my life. Once a Bowie knife. So I've had a knife pulled on me. Four guns. Two of them was when I was working as a bank teller and I got robbed twice. Once was getting mugged in downtown San Francisco. Another time was walking in the Mission District in San Francisco. And when I was walking in the Mission District somebody pointed a real gun out a window as I was walking by on the sidewalk. And the window was really close to the sidewalk so I mean you're looking right at the person in the window. It wasn't like there was a distance involved. And I'm walking by and the guy sticks a gun out the window, holds it up to my basically points it at my head and he pulls the trigger. And I watched the cylinder turn, click, and there wasn't a round in the chamber. He had pointed it at my head as I walked by. A real gun. Click. And pointed it up. I had walked by. So that's the neighborhood I lived in.
So just generalize that to what my neighborhood was like. You know this was when I first moved to San Francisco. It was on the border of a rough place anyway. So I've had numerous guns and weapons pointed at me. And I would say that my adrenaline went through the roof. So if you talk about adrenaline, yeah, adrenaline went through the roof. But I don't know that I was ever afraid. Like I didn't feel like any kind of experience that I would call fear. I have normal fears of normal things, right? I have ordinary appreciation for danger. I'm not a brave guy. I would say as a man I'm not especially brave or especially unbrave. Probably average.
But also I have, I'm guessing, so here's an assumption. I believe my testosterone is relatively high. How does one know that? Well I have the tells for that. So I have the balding. You know losing your hair is either a sign of testosterone or sensitivity to it. I have the squarish jawline. That's a sign of testosterone. I think there's a difference with finger length that tells you you have testosterone. But more importantly I live my lifestyle to maximize it. So you know I lift, I exercise, I eat right, I sleep. You know so I do all the things that should boost it. And my experience of it is nothing really frightens me.
So when I look at Trump I see his tool set but I always see a threat to me. I could totally imagine that if you had low testosterone you would see somebody who was bristling with it and was unpredictable and scary. Anyway so I think that could be tested but we'll leave that open question.
John Roberts reports Fox News that a senior intelligence source still tells him that there's an agreement among most of the 17 intelligence agencies that COVID-19 originated in the Wuhan lab and there was believed to be a mistake. So most of the 17 agencies agree. Does that mean anything? Does that mean anything? It doesn't. The fact that 17 intelligence agencies agree, we know that that doesn't mean anything. I remember when that when I would have heard that and says 17 intelligence agencies, well I mean what are the odds that I'll be wrong?
Now let me tell you what it means when seventeen intelligence agencies agree. If you've ever worked in a large organization you know this is true. If you haven't worked in a large organization you would be totally fooled by this. Let me explain what it means when 17 intelligence agencies agree. It means that one did the work, came up with an opinion, and the others heard about it. You get that? One agency did the work and the others heard about it. The other 16 are useless. They're not duplicating the work. Do you think that the United States has multiple agencies sending different people into North Korea? I hope not. I hope we don't have different agencies doing that. Don't you think maybe there's only one that's got that responsibility? I think there's only one intelligence agency that really has the primary responsibility to figure out what's going on there. And I don't think they know.
So when you see something like 17 intelligence agencies agree, your brain should translate that into one intelligence agency has an opinion. Sixteen of them just said yeah, whatever that guy says. You know he seems credible. And the one who had the opinion is probably not right. So that's how you should interpret it. If you interpreted it as 17 say it's true, well probably true, then you got it completely wrong. There's nothing in the reality that would suggest the 17 intelligence agencies in the United States agreeing tells you anything. It doesn't tell you anything. That's how you should process it.
All right, let's see what else we got here. Yeah that's mostly what I want to talk about today. Or anything I missed in the news today? Somebody says oh there's the question that I was going to bring up. Somebody says what organization did not agree and why exactly? Which organization did not agree? Now it doesn't say that there's an organization that disagrees. So the way I would interpret that is that of the 17 agencies one did the work. Fourteen of them said yeah that looks good to us. We didn't do the work but you know you did the work, looks good to us. And a few of them said we haven't seen it. We haven't looked at it yet. It's going to be more like that.
Somebody says when everyone's thinking the same thing nobody's thinking. Well, less there. All right. I mean you can't rule out the fact that sometimes people are right but it's a good warning. It's a peer-review rubber-stamp. Yeah, peer review I think is totally overrated too.
You got some better information? I do. I got some better information. I watched China's response. If you watched it, China's response to the coronavirus situation, it's pretty obvious that they were concealing information from the world. Do you need 17 intelligence agencies to tell you that China was lying? We already know that. That's public information. So what are the intelligence agencies know that we don't?
Yes, Elon Musk's tweet storm. So Elon tweeted among other things, I think in last 48 hours or so, among other things that his girlfriend was having a baby on Monday. People didn't know that. And that Tesla stock was overpriced in his opinion. He sure likes trouble. Talk about a guy who likes trouble. I think he enjoys it. And then some other random things that he tweeted anyway. The tweets were let's say eyebrow-raising enough that people started wondering if he was on drugs or crazy or trolling or what the heck's going on. So it's like a cottage industry trying to decide what Elon is secretly thinking.
If I had to guess I'd say drugs. It looked like somebody was on some kind of drug and tweeting. Now do I care? You know would I sell my Tesla stock if I learned that Elon had taken mushrooms? I'm just speculating. There's no evidence that he did that. But would I do anything differently with my investments if I heard that Elon took some mushrooms and tweeted too much? Nope. Because you know what? Whoever Elon Musk is today, he was the same guy a few years ago, right? If it worked. Yeah.
Oh yeah, the other thing is he was going to sell off all of his possessions, his houses, etc. Now I don't know if any that's true or whatever but it sounds like somebody was on drugs. Do I care if he was on drugs? Nope. Because if he was, he was still the same Elon Musk who broke all the rules. And you know this will always be remembered I think as one of the great entrepreneurs of our time. Do you care if Henry Ford drank too much? I don't think he drank. I'm not even sure if he did. But do you care if Steve Jobs did LSD? Because he did. Do you care? No. Do you care that almost every major company in Silicon Valley has major top employees who are microdosing on LSD every day? Do you care? Probably not. Do you care that they're using performance-enhancing drugs, Adderall and everything else? And not really. Do you care if they smoke marijuana on nights and weekends? Nope.
So I guess my take on Elon's tweeting is he's still the same person. You know he didn't become less capable of doing anything. He just is letting you know who he is.
I said the uncomfortable truth that nobody wants to say out loud. Let me say it out loud. Let me be the first person to say it out loud. Success in this world is about which drugs you get addicted to. There, I said what a lot of people have thought but you don't want to say. If what you got addicted to is alcohol, probably that's not going to go well for you unless you're a functional alcoholic and you're in sales. If you're a functional alcoholic and you're in a sales profession it might be pretty good. I mean I wouldn't recommend it but it could work out well. In fact I know several people who are clearly functional alcoholics who have tremendous lives as far as I can tell from the outside because they just funnel that drinking into sales. They're very social. They make a lot of sales. Have a good life. And they're drunk all the time and they don't seem to be any the worse for wear. So some people apparently can make that work. Now I'm not recommending that. It's a special case.
But it's also true that people can be more creative depending what they're taking. They can relax. They can, you know if they're on Adderall or other performance-enhancing drugs, sometimes they need them. Sometimes they get them recreationally or just for performance. But the point is Silicon Valley is run on drugs. You know if that wasn't clear enough let me say it as clear as possible. Silicon Valley runs on drugs. And not the legal kind all the time. Some of them are illegal. You know Adderall is legal etc. But Silicon Valley is a drug-fueled industry.
Now that's something that you don't see in the news so much. You've seen stories about it but it's not really emphasized. But the fact is I don't know what percentage but the people in Silicon Valley who are using drugs are using it not recreationally exactly. They're using it functionally. So the Silicon Valley people who are using drugs and also successful, it's because the drugs they're either addicted to or choose to use are productive.
I'll use myself for an example. I'm not, yeah technically you can't be physically addicted to marijuana but I'm certainly psychologically addicted. And I can guarantee you from my own experience that my creativity goes through the roof when I use it. In fact a lot of the ideas that you've seen coming out of me happened when I was enjoying a good 4/20 afternoon. And so would I be more or less successful? I don't know. It's hard to know. But I will tell you that a lot of the most successful people have simply chosen the right kind of drug that works for their particular situation, their particular genetic makeup, their particular whatever.
Now the reason that I don't recommend any of this is that it can kill you, right? Do you need a better reason? How about this: don't do it. It could kill you. That's it. That's a little recommendation. I'm not a doctor and if you're not a doctor don't be playing around experimenting with drugs to make you a better person. You know I'm not going to recommend that. I'm just going to say some people have for whatever reason have discovered that there are some types of drugs that make them better. Other people have found drugs that just make them worse. If you're taking a drug that just makes you worse that's where you're going to end up.
Somebody says pot doesn't kill. Yeah so there's a little bit of disagreement on that. I'm on the side of saying that you know marijuana doesn't kill you but there are other people say well but if you're doing marijuana and try to ride your motorcycle really fast you know I'm suppose you could do something foolish. Somebody says stop taking any marijuana for a while and see if you have physical results. Well I've done that of course and I know the difference. I'm very aware of how different it is.
Often drugs are a fix for an underlying mental issue. I would say every time. I would say that all drugs, unless you just you know trying them on a weekend or something you're just experimenting, but for people who are using them regularly I would say that that statement is true. That people do it to fix something that wasn't giving them enough happiness or something.
I can't drink or get high during work. It's a waste of a good buzz. Yeah most work is not compatible with marijuana but some is.
Somebody says I should plug locals.com. Yeah I will remind you that I've moved a lot of my video content. All the Periscopes will be reproduced there. I'll keep doing them here. This won't change but they're also on the Locals platform. So if you went to scottadams.locals.com you'll find my page. You can look at my Twitter profile to see it as well. And for a small subscription fee you can get extra stuff and you could have everything in one place and the algorithm will not rule you.
I'll tell you my long-term play here. So the long-term reason for putting it on a subscription platform is that the YouTubes of the world they can't really handle my content because their business model requires them to pair content with advertisers. And the advertisers all say why would we take a chance on something that's controversial? Just pair it with kitten videos. So that's the problem that YouTube has. Even if they wanted to, the advertisers would say I'd like to give you money to pair with this stuff. Half the people who watch it are going to get mad at me for just pairing it.
So the advertising-based models, including my comic strip, everything else are advertising model. They don't really work anymore for a variety of reasons. The newspaper advertising model will probably just disappear because newspapers will disappear by the end of the year. I'll probably have no regular cartooning income I would guess from newspapers. So I'm looking to reinvent my content, figure out how to adapt to the new world, the post-coronavirus world. And I'm going to try the subscription service. That's where I am at scottadams.locals.com. If you want to be part of that you get all the good stuff and more.
Where will Dilbert be syndicated? Well it's in 2,000 newspapers and it's on a lot of websites and Dilbert.com. Probably a number of them will continue online but I don't know if newspapers make enough money from just their online presence. So my guess is that the physical newspapers, the local ones, will disappear. The biggest ones don't actually carry comics. You know the biggest newspapers, Wall Street Journal, New York Times, they don't have comics. So when the little ones go away, USA Today is a big one. When the little ones go away so too does the comic business because they're associated with the local papers mostly.
Somebody says they mentioned me on The Five yesterday. I watched The Five. I didn't see that. Did I miss that part? Yeah. Seven dollars is the subscription fee per month. If you're already donating to me on the Patreon site or on the web platform, because people have done both, I would ask you to discontinue that. And whether or not you want to be on the Locals platform, that would be a separate decision. But you know you could discontinue Patreon and you could discontinue using the interface app and I would be just as happy because now I have a little home. And the people who want to use that subscription feed and see a little extra, they're going to see it.
So what I'll be doing on the Locals app is I'm going to put a lot of micro lessons. I put my first micro lesson up there on how to write humor. So these are very, very short videos on one topic where I teach you that one topic. My next will probably be designed so it'd be like five to ten minutes to bring you up to about eighty percent of what you need to be a better designer. So that's what we're going to do. And I will talk to you tonight. Have a good day.
boom-boom-boom-boom hey Greg come on in here good to see you I'm glad you joined the rest of you come on in hurry up it's good to see all of you it's another wonderful day it's a perfect day for a coffee with Scott Adams what a way to spend your morning what a way to wake up and join the weekend which is gonna be amazing best weekend in a while and the best way to kick off the weekend I think you know yeah yep I think you know it requires a little thing called the simultaneous it and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass on a tanker chelators Tyne a canteen director flask a festival a medica and fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee enjoyed me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better including the damn pandemic it's called the simultaneous if it happens now go mm-hmm I can feel the hospitalization rates decreasing with every cent let's talk about some stuff I tweeted a real a real thinker yesterday this one will make you stop and really really think or it won't make any sense at all so one of those two things is gonna happen to you in a moment you're either gonna have a really profound moment or for most of you maybe 80% you're gonna say I don't even know what that meant it goes like this listen carefully twenty percent of you are gonna have a profound a moment eighty percent of you are gonna wish I would just change the topic here's the statement predicting and creating would be the same thing if you were good at both of them yeah let that sink in creating and predicting would be the same thing if you were good at both of them yeah twenty percent of you just went whoa eighty percent of you just went I don't even know what that's supposed to mean so that was just for the twenty percent of you alright let's talk about some other things kim janggun apparently he's been photographed at the opening of a of a fertilizer plant now I had jokingly said that when the news came out that he attended the opening of a fertilizer plant I said on Twitter but we don't know if he attended as a guest or as the fertilizer because it seemed like both possibilities were open at the time but we have been provided with photographs yes actual photographs of something that may or may not be a fertilizer plant and which Kim jong-un is cutting a ribbon as some place that may or may not be North Korea and may or may not have been in the last ten years so in other words we can't really tell from the photographs they don't tell you as much as they oh no we do know he wasn't walking with a cane and unless he got a miracle cure do you think he went away for a week and got a miracle cure and now he doesn't need a cane maybe maybe it was such a good hospital trip that he left looking younger yeah it was such a good hospital trip that they fixed him up and now he's thinner and younger and he doesn't walk with a cane glad we got those photographs huh all right I'm gonna go on record here's my prediction fake photographs fake photographs here's why if you are going to produce real photographs the point of which is to show that your leader is alive they would be a little more unambiguous you know you don't publish ambiguous photos to prove something no you prove something with unambiguous photos perhaps something called video even North Korea has heard a video it's a thing with movement wouldn't be hard to demonstrate that Kim jong-un was alive wouldn't be hard at all in fact it would be quite easy but instead they went with grainy photos of a young girl Kim I don't know I don't know so I heard the news today and I don't know I think I was vaguely aware of this but when you read a story about it it it reminds you of something that you couldn't believe which is that reportedly Kim Jong un has assuming he's still alive mm sex slaves literally mm sex slaves who apparently will accompany him on trips to his you know multiple resort compounds on his train and whatnot to dance and sing and and the other stuff for him and his elites mm sex slaves for Kim Jong un so here's here's the news as best we know it and thank goodness we have intelligence agencies because if we didn't have intelligence agencies and a free press we wouldn't be able to narrow it down so we don't know exactly what Kim Jong on it jong-un is doing this week but thanks to our press and our intelligence agencies we have narrowed it down it's either he's dead or he's partying at his seaside resort with two thousand sex slaves I've come to understand that he doesn't spend much time in between those two extremes because think about it you're Kim jong-un you have 2000 sex slaves what else are you gonna spend your time on and so I present to you a one-act play which features Kim Jong Un's advisors talking to him about the schedule for the day I'll start in the role of the adviser to Kim jong-un you can tell who the advisor is because the advisers always have notepads so that's how you know a Dear Leader we're planning your day and we have very very important budget meetings can I put you down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.
Kim jong-un uh-huh budget meeting yeah yeah I could attend the budget meeting that's that's one possibility or I could go to my seaside resort party with my two thousand sex slaves and maybe you could attend that meeting for me and if I hear later that things didn't go well I could execute you and everyone who attended the meeting how about that instead okay very good very good I won't put you down for the two o'clock meeting but we've got a a ribbon-cutting at a fertilizer plant that's tomorrow could you make the fertilizer plant ribbon-cutting Dear Leader yeah yeah that's completely possible I could drag my fat ass across North Korea to visit a factory that literally makes or or I could go to my seaside resort and I could party with my two thousand sex slaves while you visit the fertilizer plant and if I hear later that anything went wrong I could execute you and kill everybody at the fertilizer plant too just to make sure I've wrapped it all up how about that excellent plan an excellent plan dear leader do we need to talk about the rest of this schedule not so much not so much and seen now here's this is actually an answer to a I guess a mystery that I've had all my life and I should have known the answer because it was kind of obvious and I always say to myself why is it you can't get a dictator to retire why is there never any story about a dictator says uh I've been enjoying my dictatorship but I'll tell you what I'll get a retire will turn this into a democracy or whatever now it turns out that the answer is that if you retire from being a dictator you will lose and here I'm just speculating you will lose access to your two thousand sex slaves and you'll probably be hunted down and executed so retiring is a really bad strategy for your typical tyrant because they might get executed but at the very least whatever openness that comes with retiring and becoming democratic is really going to cut into your 2000 sex slave weekend how do you expect a dictator to retire when that's the proposition here here's the deal how would you like to make peace we'll have some kind of North Korea South Korea you know we won't necessarily merge right away but there'll be more travel and openness more connections you know maybe a lot more communication and you see Kim Jong and sitting there and thinking yeah yeah yeah we could do that we could do that we could have the peace and openness I could get rid of my nukes or or or I'll just put this out there I could keep my nukes which keeps you out of my country and I can keep my two thousand sex slaves how about that and so the ability that Kim Jong Un's is sister might be the heir apparent if Kim jong-un actually is sacred capacitated or dead and I say to myself isn't this interesting isn't this interesting because I don't know if there are historical cases in the modern era of female dictators who have sex slaves I kind of think they might have a few right if you had a female dictator she might have a few male sex slaves maybe a few female sex slaves why not but probably not 2,000 and if you were a kim jong un's sister and let's say hypothetically you decided to make peace and have some kind of transitional stage toward a more democratic system could you retire could Kim Jong Un's sister retire would she be safe from the reaches of the law don't know because certainly she could argue that everything that happened was her brother's fault because I don't have any decision she made she just had to do what the the boss said so she could say I didn't do anything I just carried out orders and by the way I don't have 2000 sex slaves I got three or four probably take them with me but you know maybe we could have some peace because think about it is realistically all joking aside realistically would Kim jong-un ever do anything to ruin his situation no nothing there isn't anything there's not risk of death there's nothing that's going to shake him out of his situation with his private train and all the booze he wants and two thousand sex slaves there's no there's no negotiating in which you say all right I got an offer and then Kim says before you say your offer can you tell me how it's better than owning my own country being a dictator eating and drinking whatever I want smoking a lot of pot I assume he does and playing with my two thousand sex slaves that my luxury resort is your offer better than that and then the negotiators negotiators would say well in some ways and Kim would say uh-uh maybe we'll just put a hold on those negotiations so the bottom line is it's possible that Kim jong-un's sister could negotiate for a piece like a real one it is not possible based on this new information that Kim jong-un would have any interest in the negotiating for something that would cause him to lose access to his 2,000 sex slaves anytime soon so I just don't see it happening all right I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count which my understanding is that if we go back to work so I think these estimates are based on we're still mitigating in all the smart ways but some of us are phasing back to work so I think this new calculation takes that into account the low end would be a hundred thousand si and would be 240,000 based on the current model models of course are deeply inaccurate they don't predict they simply give you a range of where you might expect things to be and I would say that they do that actually pretty well so does that range look reasonable to me yes we've we've raced past 60,000 are we close to seventy thousand deaths already I don't know what today's today's number is but we'll be at 70,000 pretty quickly I would expect that in the month of May we would zoom past a hundred thousand unless something happens really quickly you know it could be that at the rim des of ear and the hydroxychloroquine maybe they work a little bit maybe we get that going in May a little bit maybe maybe it reduces the daily count maybe it goes down on its own but I wrote I don't really see a situation will be less than a hundred when it's all done now of course there's also the issue of whether it's counted correctly do they throw in a lot of other things I don't know don't know I did see a chart that showed total deaths compared to what we would have expected and here the expected is if it's a normal year and it looked like most of the weeks were below the normal year a couple were above it because there were so many deaths from kovat but it looks like we're actually maybe close to break-even with total deaths if you count the ones that are saved here's an update on what Bill Gates said about testing and again this agrees with what I was thinking but he says it better so I'll give you his I've been telling you that based on everything I've been hearing at the task forces about testing that you should just forget about testing forget about it being a path out because there's no there's no evidence that we're doing anything that would allow us to test our way out we're nowhere near the number and we're nowhere near the number of tests available we're no near nowhere near testing the right people we're not even close and I think that you know again people give me a hard time for you know bolstering the president and saying everything he does is good but I've been brutal about the reporting from the task force in terms of the in terms of giving us useful numbers I would say that the task force's ability to give the public useful information effectively zero but just a failing grade just a pure failing grade I can't even give them a d-minus it's just a pure failing grade one of the darkest I would say one of the maybe the biggest mistake of the Trump administration I would say so yeah maybe I can think of a few other things because it's hard to think of everything that's happened but I would say among the most grossly embarrassing incompetent performances is the reporting on the numbers yeah I think the overall effort is probably successful but in terms of just specifically the question of is the public being informed know now is it the administration's fault that we don't have enough tests and the right kind of tests and the right kind of priorities probably probably now they're doing this the technique they're using is making sure that the private sector is deeply involved and they're not trying to push too hard as long as the private sector is willing to step up and they are but the the way the tests are there's so many different ones we don't know which ones are accurate and then Bill Gates said this on CNN I think apparently the tests we have you're only going to get them if you have symptoms all right so if you have symptoms you've already been spreading it so so getting the test after you have symptoms doesn't help you for all of the time that you already had symptoms and you were spreading it and it doesn't help you get treatment before that so in other words they can't fix the past and since the only people are getting tests were the ones prioritized the ones who have symptoms you didn't help the past but do you help the future and the answer is it takes about three days to get a result you keep hearing about the fast tests those exist but I don't think they're the majority so imagine that you you've you've had it for five days you've got symptoms you've been spreading it like crazy you get the test and you still don't know you have it for three days what do you do for those three days you live your normal life and you spread it around so by the time you get it as Bill Gates says by the time you get the test result you've already spread it around you and you're practically over it by the time you get the result now yes there are faster tests and they're they're a startups have even faster tests and the media tests coming in that but what information do you have about that have you seen the chart that says this is how many we have this is how many the experts say we need of this type and this is how we're getting there or anything like that no no my advice to you is to make your decision about you know the whole situation as if testing doesn't exist as if it's not an option I I would say that it is so poorly reported that you have to assume it's just not even a path and Bill Gates basically just laughed at it he freaking laughed at it he laughed at it that it's not even close it's not even in the it's not even in the conversation of being something that could be helpful just think about that and most of the reporting most of the experts have said we need to do more testing we all know that there's nobody who doesn't think if we can magically test everybody we'd be better off but apparently it's hard to make test kits and it's hard to get it done so I don't think that we're gonna have anything like a testing solution before we have herd immunity accidentally I keep watching Tucker Carlson show where he is essentially complaining the whole show about totalitarianism and how our freedom and rights have all been taken from us and how we kind of just handed them over to which I say I feel like I'm just watching crazy town it just looks crazy at this point now I'm a big fan of Tucker and I think his show is one of the best shows on TV of its type you know in the in the news genre definitely one of the best shows of its type but this particular theme that he's on that we've given up all our freedoms is both true and trivial and unimportant at the same time because let's say you're in a coma have you lost your rights yeah you have let's say because you can't do all the things you could do before if you're in jail if you lost your rights yes if you're in a dangerous neighborhood can you do all the things you want yes if you're you know temporarily if you have to go to work are you free not really you have to go to work so we live in a world in which this little freedom thing is sort of fluid and we're figuring it out as we go but we have a general idea where we want it to be but we're always sort of tweaking it all the time now assuming that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last forever which of these rights that is being denied to us will still be denied to us in let's say the end of the year do you think that any of these rights will be permanent yeah I mean the reduction in Rights do you think of the when the coronavirus is gone do you think the government is going to say you can't go to the beach do you think they're gonna say you can't work go to a concert no no in what world and what world are any of these going to be permanent now the ones that will be permanent we're going to be permanent anyway which is your loss of privacy you know you might argue that this costs you a little bit of extra loss of privacy but not really because the government always could have tracked where you were with your cellphone they always had that ability they just maybe weren't doing it unless you were a criminal and so I don't even even a little bit understand what talk Tucker is talking about because all the examples are true they're observable yes they can't go to the beach they live in a free country and without any laws passed no constitutional authority these things are all true you know the things that Tucker is reporting are true they just don't lead to the conclusion they use concluding which is we're in an emergency the way you would act in an emergency should not be similar to the way you would act in the non-emergency so why would you ever compare them now if he's going to make the case that there are certain subsets of Rights that have a high likelihood of of going away during this and then go on well I'd say that's a pretty good argument if I'd heard it but I haven't heard that argument I've only heard that we have lost our rights temporarily during an emergency I've also heard that you know that's the way tyrants do it like they can always find an emergency to use as or excuse for grabbing power but does that look like that's what's happening here I'd say not even close because the minimum requirement for that to happen is that the public would be okay with it now one of the things that people point out is how easily the public became sheep and just quarantined themselves to which I say is that what happened is that the public just turning into sheep and obeying their their government or is it a public who were informed about a risk and decided to take you seriously doing what the experts advise them to do I mean I'm not seeing a problem here they say if somebody says because of the slippery slope right the slippery slope is purely imaginary and somebody says emergency who defines it Scotty well I'm gonna I'm gonna block you for that comment so the comment is emergency who defines Scotty now I'm I'm deleting I'm blocking you forever so you'll never be part of this conversation again because Scotty is personal you can certainly make a comment about the facts your opinion etc but when you add Scotty on there that's sort of an instant block because you're trying to minimize me you can minimize the opinion just by saying what your opinion is but when you add the Scotty then you're just being an and get blocked goodbye all right what else we got going on here there's a New York Times article that was fascinating it said that stress is not what kills you you know that stress can kill you you believe right stress can kill you but it turns out the stress only kills you if you think it can now I'm that's a little bit of an exaggeration but the article said that the science is pointing toward stress will kill you if you believe that stress will kill you in other words if your mindset is the stress is all bad it's just all bad it's gonna kill me then it does it actually has that that effect but apparently people who have a different mindset and just accept the stress as some sort of response their body has because they're trying to achieve something stress being a normal reaction of the body something maybe they can weaponize you know I use stress to power my fitness so my mindset is that when I feel stressed and by the way this is totally legitimate and this is a lifetime a lifetime habit so I'm not making this up because I just read this story there's something I've done all my life if I have a day of work and I'm really stressed out and I don't think it's gonna go away right away that's normal right everybody has stressful days of work I say to myself man am I gonna have a good workout today because there's nothing that can power a good work out better than stress and when you're done you know you're gonna have less of it less stress and you know that you used your stress productively to lift more and push yourself and exhaust yourself and really really get a good at good working out now that's my mindset and one of the things that people always ask me is why do you seem so not stressed and part of it is that I make it a very much a part of my job if you will to avoid stress and a big part of it is that mindset it's like what's the first thing you think of when you're stressed oh my god my blood pressure is going up or whoa I'm gonna really have a good lift today and I'm not making that up that's that literally what I think when I when I feel stress it's like oh this is gonna be a good run so get your mindset right that's why you should be following people such as Mike son of who talked about getting your mind set right one of my favorite follows on Twitter is AJ Cortez does personal training and what I like about him has a someone to follow on Twitter is that first of all he's he takes the training to the mind body mindset you know whole way so it's more of a holistic approach where programing your body is a way to program your life I don't think he says it in those words but it's effectively what it is so he's more than a trainer about how to lift stuff he does that too but it's more about how all of this integrates into a you know a better life so he got a tweet today that made me laugh i retweeted it not because I agree with every word of it because it's so provocative that I couldn't help it sometimes I just like to see people react to provocative ideas so this was his tweet from AJ Alexander Cortes a generation of defective men have been produced to believe that being and they gives his list these are the things that make them men according to AJ agreeable quiet passive desexualized soft gentle and emotional and he says that this is the this is AJ not me don't blame me and he says these are traits of women and he says these men have been programmed into passive eunuch slaves to the mainstream narrative all right so i retweeted it because it's so darn provocative not not because it's exactly matching my opinion of things but let me give you my opinion the thing so first of all let's all agree that individuals are so different that it would be ridiculous to have a list of characteristics and say that this applies to men or this applies to women can we all agree that individual differences are quite extreme but that doesn't change the fact that the averages can be the average so I know you know somebody who is not like that I know you're not like that can we agree that you and your friends are not what we're talking about so let's get out of the anecdotal headset mindset I mean yes we all know individuals are all over the board on everything that people can be you know different about so it is certainly not true in in a technical scientific way that women are any of these things agreeable quiet passive desexualized soft gentle or emotional I think the point is that more that those are sort of traditional you know you don't have to say that that's good or bad because I don't think AJ is saying these are good qualities are bad he doesn't say that he's just saying that there was some kind of gender difference you can agree or disagree but here's where I'll take this and it may be Google to see if there was any kind of a testosterone difference in Republicans versus Democrats so I googled that what do you think what do you think I found out do you think that Trump supporters have more testosterone than anti-trump or what would you say in the comments that based on your non-scientific opinion just observation is it your observation that the class of people who are supporters of Trump have more testosterone than those were opposed to look at the comments that the comments is it's unambiguous right it's very unambiguous you you could tell me that this doesn't pass the science and then I would just doubt your science because it's so freakin obvious now I don't know how in the world you could not see it it's as obvious as anything could be obvious now what causes that now keep in mind there are two there are two things happening one is that Trump has more male supporters so if you are simply to you know measure all the testosterone and the the Trump supporters you would of course get more just because there are more men in the group so that's the first thing second thing is just obvious it's just obvious and I had made the hypothesis before that the way people respond to Trump might be based on whatever experience they've had in the past with bullying and my hypothesis which I'm going to modify right now my hypothesis had been that if you'd been the subject of bullying a victim of it any time during your life and you saw Trump he triggered you to remember those situations and you say to yourself no never again I'm not going to be in this bullying situation so I can't support him and then I speculated that if he had been the bully yourself or he just hadn't been bullied that you didn't see that and what you saw was a strong leader who may or may not agree with you but that's it it wasn't scary I'm gonna modify that because I feel as though the bullying thing might be a factor but not the full explanation I feel like testosterone is the better s explanation and here's why and again let me say that this is all speculation it's based on anecdotal stuff the moment there is a scientific peer-reviewed controlled study that says that there is no correlation I will immediately adopt that opinion but at the moment there isn't there is not that I just looked there's no information on that so here's what I think I think that your testosterone level if you're male so let's just talk about men the higher your testosterone level the less afraid you are of other men what do you agree with that let's say I think if this would be harder to answer for the women but men you have experienced you've experienced just in your own life times when you knew your test dose testosterone was high let's say you just want to contest you've been working out you're feeling healthy you know your testosterone is high you can feel it you also know that there have been times wouldn't even sick or down or you broke up with your girlfriend or whatever your problem was you knew your testosterone was down so can the men here first confirm for me that they have a physical sensation and they know the difference between when their testosterone is is jacked up and when it's not because their personality changes I would say my entire personality is quite different if I know my testosterone is raging and I can tell right let me give you one example I used to do a lot of public speaking and when you're a public speaker and you're invited because you're already popular it usually goes well the audience claps and they cheer and they laugh if you spend an hour being the subject of affection of an audience by the time you walk offstage and you're heading back to your hotel room your testosterone is just raging because it's just automatic if you become you know the the celebrity on stage and everybody's clapping for you and literally standing sometimes standing ovations your testosterone is off the chart and you and your personality changes too and you know it I mean if you just feel it it's almost like you can feel it in your goosebumps and your hair you can feel it and what comes along with men men back me up on this I'm just looking for the men to answer this question women would not be able to when your testosterone is jacked up are you ever afraid of another man are you and I think the answer is almost never and I would say that I'm think of any situation in my life then I've ever been afraid of a man or men not once and I've been in lots of situations you know if you're a male you've been in tons of situations that are dangerous you can't be a man in America and not have lots of experience with almost getting in a fight you were there when the trouble went down you know I mean it's just normal life that men are around the male experience is violence and near violence all the time it's something that women can't possibly understand the manly men live in a permanently violent world and I don't mean that they're actually performing violence at any given moment I mean that our mindset is that you're ready for violence at the drop of a hat maybe not all of you this also could be a testosterone difference but I would say and let the men in the comments confirm or deny this men would you say that you are capable of violence at the drop of the Hat for a reason I'm not saying that you would do violence for no reason I'm saying that is it true that you're always on the edge of being violent but only if there's a reason and you don't really ever turn that off do you so you guys maybe you'll see some differences here you see somebody saying correct I don't know if they're yeah somebody says I'm never afraid of anything survival of the fittest only if he's holding a gun so I've had guns pulled on me three four times so I've had guns pointed at my face four times in my life once a bowie knife so I I've had a knife pulled on me four guns two of them was when I was working as a bank teller and I got robbed twice once was getting mugged in downtown San Francisco and other time was walking in the Mission District in San Francisco and when I was walking in the Mission District somebody pointed a a real gun at a window as I was walking by in the sidewalk and that and the window was really close to the sidewalk so I mean you're looking right at the person in the window it wasn't like there was a distance involved and I'm walking by and it guy sticks a gun out the window holds it up to my basically points it at my head and he pulls the trigger and and I watched the I watched the cylinder turn click and there wasn't a there wasn't around in the chamber he had a pointed at my head as I walked by a real gun click and pointed it up I had when I walked by so that's the neighborhood I lived in so just just generalize that to what my neighborhood it was like you know this was when I first moved to San Francisco is a it was a it was on the border of a rough rough place anyway so I've had numerous guns and weapons pointed at me and I would say that my my adrenaline went through the roof so if you talk about adrenaline yeah adrenaline went through the roof but I don't know that I was ever afraid like I didn't feel like any kind of experience that I would call fear I have you know normal fears of normal things right I have you know ordinary appreciation for danger I'm not like the brave I'm not a brave guy I would say as a man I'm not especially brave or especially on brave probably average but I also have I'm guessing so here's an assumption I believe my testosterone is relatively high how does one know that well I have that I have the towels for that so I have the balding you know losing your hair is either a sign of testosterone or sensitivity to it I have the squarish jawline that's a sign of testosterone I think there's a difference with a finger length that tells you you have testosterone but more importantly I live my lifestyle to maximize it so you know I lift I exercise I eat right I sleep you know so I do all the things that should boost it and my experience of it is nothing really frightens me so when I look at I look at Trump I see his tool set but I always see a threat to me I could totally imagine that if you had low testosterone you would see somebody who was bristling with it and was unpredictable and scary anyway so I think that could be tested but we'll leave that open question John Roberts reports Fox News that a senior intelligence source still tells him that there's a agreement among most of the 17 intelligence agencies they covet 19 originated in the wuhan law lab and there was believed to be a mistake so most of the 17 agencies agree does that mean anything does that mean anything it doesn't doesn't the fact that 17 intelligence agencies agree we know that that doesn't mean anything I remember when that when I would have heard that and says 17 intelligence agencies well I mean what are the odds that I'll be wrong now let me tell you what it means when seventeen intelligence agencies agree if you've ever worked in a large organization you know this is true if you haven't worked in a loriatlarge organization you would be totally fooled by this let me explain what it means when 17 intelligence agencies agree it means that one did the work came up with an opinion and the others heard about it you get that one agency did the work and the others heard about it the other 16 are useless they're not duplicating the work do you think that the United States has multiple agencies you know sending different people in to North Korea I hope not I hope we don't have different agencies doing that don't you think maybe there's only one this kind of that's got that responsibility I think there's only one intelligence agency that really has the primary responsibility to figure out what's going on there and I don't think they know so when you see something like 17 intelligence agencies agree your brain should translate that into one intelligence agency has an opinion 16 of them just said yeah whatever that guy says you know he seems credible toss and the one who had the opinion is probably not right that's so that's how you should interpret it if you interpreted it as 17 say it's 17 agencies say it's true well probably true then you got it completely wrong that there's nothing in the reality that would suggest the 17 intelligence agencies in the United States agreeing tells you anything it doesn't tell you anything that's how you should process it all right let's see what else we got here yeah that's mostly what I want to talk about today or anything I missed in the news today somebody says oh there's the question that I was going to bring up some somebody says what organization did not agree and why exactly which organization did not agree now it doesn't say that there's an organization that disagrees so the way I would interpret that is that of the 17 agencies one did the work 14 of them said yeah that looks good to us we didn't do the work but you know you did the work looks good to us and a few of them said we haven't seen a way you've done we haven't looked at it yet it's gonna be more like that somebody says when everyone's thinking the same thing nobody's thinking well less there all right I mean you can't rule out the fact that sometimes people are right but it's it's a good warning it's a peer-review rubber-stamp yeah peer review I think is totally overrated - you got some better information I do I got some better information I watched China's response if you watched it China's response to the coronavirus situation it's pretty obvious that they were concealing information from the world do you need 17 intelligence agencies to tell you that that China was lying we already know that that's public information so what are the intelligence agencies know that we don't yes Elon Musk's tweet storm so Elon tweeted among other things I think in last 48 hours or so among other things that he was his girlfriend was having a baby on Monday people didn't know that and that Tesla stock was overpriced in his opinion he sure likes trouble talk about a guy who likes trouble I think he enjoys it and then some other random things that he tweeted anyway the the tweets were let's say eyebrow-raising enough that people started wondering if he was on drugs or crazy or trolling or what the heck's going on so so it's like a cottage industry trying to decide what Elon is is secretly thinking if I had to guess I'd say drugs to be it look like somebody was on some kind of drug and tweeting now do I care you know would I sell my Tesla stock if I learned that you'll on had taking mushrooms I'm just speculating there's no evidence that he did that but would I do anything differently with my investments if I heard that Elon took some mushrooms and tweeted too much nope because you know what whoever Elon Musk is today he was the same guy a few years ago right if it worked yeah oh yeah the other thing is he was gonna sell off all of his possessions his houses etc now I don't know if any that's true or whatever but it sounds like somebody was on drugs do I care if he was on drugs nope because if he was he was still the same agiel on musk who broke all the rules and you know this will always be remembered I think as one of the great entrepreneurs of our time do you care if Henry Ford drank too much I don't think he drank I'm not even sure if he did but do you care if Steve Jobs did LSD because he did do you care No do you care that almost every major company in Silicon Valley has major top employees or micro dosing on LSD every day do you care probably not do you care that they're using performance-enhancing drugs adderall and everything else and not really do you care if they smoke marijuana on nights and weekends nope so I guess my take on Ilan's tweeting is he's still the same person you know he didn't become less capable of doing anything he just is letting you know who he is I said the the uncomfortable truth that nobody wants to say out loud let me say it out loud let me be the first person to say it out loud success in this world is about which drugs you get addicted to there I said what a lot of people have thought but you don't want to say if what you got addicted to is alcohol probably that's not going to go well for you unless you're a functional alcoholic and you're in sales if you're a functional alcoholic and you're in a sales profession it might be pretty good I mean I wouldn't recommend it but it could work out well in fact I know several people who are clearly functional alcoholics who have tremendous lives as far as I can tell from the outside because they just they just funnel that drinking into sales they're very social they make a lot of sales have a good life and they're drunk all the time and they don't seem to be you know any the worse for wear so some people apparently can make that work now I'm not recommending that it's a special case but it's also true that people can be more creative depending what they're taking they can relax they can you know if they're on adderall or other any performance-enhancing drugs sometimes they need them sometimes they get them recreationally or just for performance but the point is Silicon Valley is is run on drugs you know if that wasn't clear enough let me say it as clear as possible Silicon Valley runs on drugs and not the legal kind all the time some of them are illegal you know adderall is legal etc but Silicon Valley is a drug-fueled industry now that's something that you don't see in the news so much you've seen stories about it but it's not really emphasized but the fact is I don't know what percentage but the the people in Silicon Valley who are using drugs are using it not recreationally exactly they're using it functionally so the Silicon Valley people were using drugs and also successful it's because the drugs are either addicted to or choose to be a day two are productive I'll use myself for an example I'm not yeah technically you can't be physically addicted to marijuana but I'm certainly psychologically addicted and I can I can guarantee you from my own experience that my creativity goes through the roof when I use it in fact a lot of the ideas that you've seen coming out of me happened you know when I was enjoying a good 4/20 afternoon and so would I be more or less successful I don't know it's hard to know but I will tell you that a lot of the most successful people have simply chosen the right kind of drug their works for their particular situation their particular genetic makeup their particular whatever now the reason that I don't recommend any of this is that it can kill you right do you need a better reason how about this don't do it it could kill you that's it that's that's a little recommendation I'm not a doctor and if you're not a doctor don't be playing around experimenting with drugs to make you a better person you know I'm not gonna recommend that I'm just gonna saying some people have for whatever reason have discovered that there are some types of drugs that make them better other people have found drugs that just make them worse if you're taking a drug that just makes you worse that's that's where you're gonna end up somebody says pot doesn't kill yeah so there's a little bit of disagreement on that I'm on the side of saying that you know marijuana doesn't kill you but there are other people say well but if you're doing marijuana and tried to ride your motorcycle really fast you know I'm suppose you could do something foolish somebody says stop taking any marijuana for a while and see if you have physical results well I've done that of course and I know I know the difference I'm very aware of how different it is often drugs are try for a fix for an underlying mental issue I would say every time I would say that all drugs unless you just you know trying them on a weekend or something you're just experimenting but four people are using them regularly I would say that that statement is true that people do it to fix something that wasn't giving them enough happiness or something I can't drink or get high during work it's a waste of a good buzz yeah most work is not compatible with marijuana but some is somebody says I should plug locals calm yeah I will remind you that I've moved moved a lot of my video content all the periscopes will be reproduced there I'll keep doing them here this won't change but they're also on the locals platform so if you went to Scott Adams Scott Adams dot locals calm you'll find my page you can look at my Twitter profile to see it as well and for a for a small subscription fee you can get extra stuff and you could have everything in one place and the algorithm will not rule you I'll tell you my long-term play here so the long-term reason for putting it on a subscription platform is that the the youtubes of the world they can't really handle my content because their business model requires them to pair content with advertisers and the advertisers all say why would we take a chance on something that's controversial just Paris with kitten videos so that's the problem that You.
Tube has even if they wanted to the advertisers would say I'd like to give you money to pair with this stuff half the people who watch it are going to get me for just pairing it so the advertising based models including my comic strip everything else or advertising model they don't really work anymore for a variety of reasons the newspaper advertising model will probably just disappear because newspapers will disappear by the end of the year I'll probably have no no regular cartooning income I would guess from newspapers so I'm looking to you know re reinvent my content you know figure out how to how to adapt to the new world the post coronavirus world and I'm gonna try the subscription service that's where I am at Scott Adams not locals with an S dot-com if you want to be part of that you get all the good stuff and more where will Dilbert be syndicated well it's in 2000 newspapers and it's on a lot of websites and said Dilbert com probably a number of them will continue online but I don't know if newspapers make enough money from just their online presence so my guess is that the physical newspapers the local ones will disappear the biggest ones don't actually carry comics you know the biggest newspapers Wall Street Journal New York Times they don't have comics so when the little ones go away USA Today is a big one when the little ones go away so so too does the comic business because they're associated with the local papers mostly somebody says they mentioned me on the 5 yesterday I watched the 5 I didn't see that did I did I miss that part yeah $7 is the subscription fee per month if you're already donating to me on the patreon site or on the web platform because people have done both I would ask you to discontinue that and whether or not whether or not you want to be on the locals platform that would be a separate decision but you know you could discontinue patreon and you could discontinue using the interface app and I would be just as happy because now I have a little home and the people who want to use that subscription feed and see a little extra they're going to see it so what I'll be doing on the the locals app is I'm going to put a lot of micro lessons I put my first micro lesson up there on how to write humor so these are very very short videos on one topic where I teach you that one topic my next we'll probably be designed so it'd be like five to ten minutes to bring you up to about eighty percent of what you need to be a better designer so that's what we're going to do and I will talk to you tonight have a good day
boom-boom-boom-boom
hey Greg come on in here good to see you
I'm glad you joined the rest of you come
on in
hurry up it's good to see all of you
it's another wonderful day
it's a perfect day for a coffee with
Scott Adams what a way to spend your
morning what a way to wake up and join
the weekend which is gonna be amazing
best weekend in a while and the best way
to kick off the weekend I think you know
yeah yep
I think you know it requires a little
thing called the simultaneous it and all
you need is a cup or a mug or a glass on
a tanker chelators Tyne a canteen
director flask a festival a medica and
fill it with your favorite liquid I like
coffee enjoyed me now for the
unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit
of the day the thing that makes
everything better including the damn
pandemic it's called the simultaneous if
it happens now go mm-hmm I can feel the
hospitalization rates decreasing with
every cent let's talk about some stuff I
tweeted a real a real thinker yesterday
this one will make you stop and really
really think or it won't make any sense
at all so one of those two things is
gonna happen to you in a moment you're
either gonna have a really profound
moment or for most of you maybe 80%
you're gonna say I don't even know what
that meant it goes like this listen
carefully twenty percent of you are
gonna have a profound a moment
eighty percent of you are gonna wish I
would just change the topic here's the
statement
predicting and creating would be the
same thing if you were good at both of
them yeah let that sink in creating and
predicting would be the same thing if
you were good at both of them yeah
twenty percent of you just went whoa
eighty percent of you just went I don't
even know what that's supposed to mean
so that was just for the twenty percent
of you alright let's talk about some
other things kim janggun apparently he's
been photographed at the opening of a of
a fertilizer plant now I had jokingly
said that when the news came out that he
attended the opening of a fertilizer
plant I said on Twitter but we don't
know if he attended as a guest or as the
fertilizer because it seemed like both
possibilities were open at the time but
we have been provided with photographs
yes actual photographs of something that
may or may not be a fertilizer plant and
which Kim jong-un is cutting a ribbon as
some place that may or may not be North
Korea and may or may not have been in
the last ten years so in other words we
can't really tell from the photographs
they don't tell you as much as they oh
no we do know he wasn't walking with a
cane and unless he got a miracle cure do
you think he went away for a week and
got a miracle cure and now he doesn't
need a cane maybe maybe it was such a
good hospital trip that he left looking
younger yeah it was such a good hospital
trip that they fixed him up and now he's
thinner and younger and he doesn't walk
with a cane glad we got those
photographs huh all right I'm gonna go
on record here's my prediction fake
photographs fake photographs here's why
if you are going to produce
real photographs the point of which is
to show that your leader is alive they
would be a little more unambiguous you
know you don't publish ambiguous photos
to prove something
no you prove something with unambiguous
photos perhaps something called video
even North Korea has heard a video it's
a thing with movement wouldn't be hard
to demonstrate that Kim jong-un was
alive wouldn't be hard at all in fact it
would be quite easy but instead they
went with grainy photos of a young girl
Kim I don't know I don't know so I heard
the news today and I don't know I think
I was vaguely aware of this but when you
read a story about it it it reminds you
of something that you couldn't believe
which is that reportedly Kim Jong un has
assuming he's still alive mm sex slaves
literally mm sex slaves who apparently
will accompany him on trips to his you
know multiple resort compounds on his
train and whatnot to dance and sing and
and the other stuff for him and his
elites mm sex slaves for Kim Jong un so
here's here's the news as best we know
it and thank goodness we have
intelligence agencies because if we
didn't have intelligence agencies and a
free press we wouldn't be able to narrow
it down so we don't know exactly what
Kim Jong on it jong-un is doing this
week but thanks to our press and our
intelligence agencies we have narrowed
it down it's either he's dead or he's
partying at his seaside resort with two
thousand sex slaves
I've come to understand that he doesn't
spend much time in between those two
extremes because think about it
you're Kim jong-un you have 2000 sex
slaves what else are you gonna spend
your time on and so I present to you a
one-act play which features Kim Jong
Un's advisors talking to him about the
schedule for the day I'll start in the
role of the adviser to Kim jong-un you
can tell who the advisor is because the
advisers always have notepads so that's
how you know a Dear Leader we're
planning your day and we have very very
important budget meetings can I put you
down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.
Kim jong-un uh-huh budget meeting yeah
yeah I could attend the budget meeting
that's that's one possibility or I could
go to my seaside resort party with my
two thousand sex slaves and maybe you
could attend that meeting for me and if
I hear later that things didn't go well
I could execute you and everyone who
attended the meeting how about that
instead okay very good very good I won't
put you down for the two o'clock meeting
but we've got a a ribbon-cutting at a
fertilizer plant that's tomorrow could
you make the fertilizer plant
ribbon-cutting Dear Leader yeah yeah
that's completely possible I could drag
my fat ass across North Korea to visit a
factory that literally makes or or
I could go to my seaside resort and I
could party with my two thousand sex
slaves while you visit the fertilizer
plant and if I hear later that anything
went wrong I could execute you and kill
everybody at the fertilizer plant too
just to make sure I've wrapped it all up
how about that excellent plan an
excellent plan dear leader do we need to
talk about the rest of this schedule not
so much not so much and seen now here's
this is actually an answer to a I guess
a mystery that I've had all my life and
I should have known the answer because
it was kind of obvious and I always say
to myself why is it you can't get a
dictator to retire why is there never
any story about a dictator says uh I've
been enjoying my dictatorship but I'll
tell you what I'll get a retire will
turn this into a democracy or whatever
now it turns out that the answer is that
if you retire from being a dictator you
will lose and here I'm just speculating
you will lose access to your two
thousand sex slaves and you'll probably
be hunted down and executed so retiring
is a really bad strategy for your
typical tyrant because they might get
executed but at the very least whatever
openness that comes with retiring and
becoming democratic is really going to
cut into your 2000 sex slave weekend how
do you expect a dictator to retire when
that's the proposition here here's the
deal how would you like to make peace
we'll have some kind of North Korea
South Korea you know we won't
necessarily merge right away but
there'll be more travel and openness
more connections you know maybe a lot
more communication and you see Kim Jong
and sitting there and thinking yeah yeah
yeah we could do that we could do that
we could have the peace and openness I
could get rid of my nukes or or or I'll
just put this out there I could keep my
nukes which keeps you out of my country
and I can keep my two thousand sex
slaves how about that and so the
ability that Kim Jong Un's is sister
might be the heir apparent
if Kim jong-un actually is sacred
capacitated or dead and I say to myself
isn't this interesting
isn't this interesting because I don't
know if there are historical cases in
the modern era of female dictators who
have sex slaves I kind of think they
might have a few right if you had a
female dictator she might have a few
male sex slaves maybe a few female sex
slaves why not but probably not 2,000
and if you were a kim jong un's sister
and let's say hypothetically you decided
to make peace and have some kind of
transitional stage toward a more
democratic system could you retire could
Kim Jong Un's sister retire
would she be safe from the reaches of
the law don't know because certainly she
could argue that everything that
happened was her brother's fault because
I don't have any decision she made
she just had to do what the the boss
said so she could say I didn't do
anything I just carried out orders and
by the way I don't have 2000 sex slaves
I got three or four probably take them
with me but you know maybe we could have
some peace because think about it is
realistically all joking aside
realistically would Kim jong-un ever do
anything to ruin his situation no
nothing there isn't anything there's not
risk of death there's nothing that's
going to shake him out of his situation
with his private train and all the booze
he wants and two thousand sex slaves
there's no there's no negotiating in
which you say all right I got an offer
and then Kim says before you say your
offer can you tell me how it's better
than owning my own country being a
dictator
eating and drinking whatever I want
smoking a lot of pot I assume he does
and playing with my two thousand sex
slaves that my luxury resort is your
offer better than that and then the
negotiators negotiators would say well
in some ways and Kim would say uh-uh
maybe we'll just put a hold on those
negotiations so the bottom line is it's
possible that Kim jong-un's sister could
negotiate for a piece like a real one it
is not possible based on this new
information that Kim jong-un would have
any interest in the negotiating for
something that would cause him to lose
access to his 2,000 sex slaves anytime
soon
so I just don't see it happening all
right
I was asked on Twitter to talk about the
revised death count which my
understanding is that if we go back to
work so I think these estimates are
based on we're still mitigating in all
the smart ways but some of us are
phasing back to work so I think this new
calculation takes that into account the
low end would be a hundred thousand si
and would be 240,000 based on the
current model models of course are
deeply inaccurate they don't predict
they simply give you a range of where
you might expect things to be and I
would say that they do that actually
pretty well so does that range look
reasonable to me yes we've we've raced
past 60,000 are we close to seventy
thousand deaths already I don't know
what today's today's number is but we'll
be at 70,000 pretty quickly I would
expect that in the month of May we would
zoom past a hundred thousand unless
something happens really quickly you
know it could be that at the rim des of
ear and the hydroxychloroquine maybe
they work a little bit maybe we get that
going in May a little bit maybe maybe it
reduces the daily count maybe it goes
down on its own but I wrote I don't
really see a situation will be less than
a hundred
when it's all done now of course there's
also the issue of whether it's counted
correctly do they throw in a lot of
other things I don't know don't know I
did see a chart that showed total deaths
compared to what we would have expected
and here the expected is if it's a
normal year and it looked like most of
the weeks were below the normal year a
couple were above it because there were
so many deaths from kovat but it looks
like we're actually maybe close to
break-even with total deaths if you
count the ones that are saved here's an
update on what Bill Gates said about
testing and again this agrees with what
I was thinking but he says it better so
I'll give you his I've been telling you
that based on everything I've been
hearing at the task forces about testing
that you should just forget about
testing forget about it being a path out
because there's no there's no evidence
that we're doing anything that would
allow us to test our way out we're
nowhere near the number and we're
nowhere near the number of tests
available we're no near nowhere near
testing the right people we're not even
close and I think that you know again
people give me a hard time for you know
bolstering the president and saying
everything he does is good but I've been
brutal about the reporting from the task
force in terms of the in terms of giving
us useful numbers I would say that the
task force's ability to give the public
useful information effectively zero but
just a failing grade just a pure failing
grade I can't even give them a d-minus
it's just a pure failing grade one of
the darkest I would say one of the maybe
the biggest mistake of the Trump
administration I would say so
yeah maybe I can think of a few other
things because it's hard to think of
everything that's happened but I would
say among the
most grossly embarrassing incompetent
performances is the reporting on the
numbers yeah I think the overall effort
is probably successful but in terms of
just specifically the question of is the
public being informed know now is it the
administration's fault that we don't
have enough tests and the right kind of
tests and the right kind of priorities
probably probably now they're doing this
the technique they're using is making
sure that the private sector is deeply
involved and they're not trying to push
too hard as long as the private sector
is willing to step up and they are but
the the way the tests are there's so
many different ones we don't know which
ones are accurate and then Bill Gates
said this on CNN I think apparently the
tests we have you're only going to get
them if you have symptoms all right so
if you have symptoms you've already been
spreading it so so getting the test
after you have symptoms doesn't help you
for all of the time that you already had
symptoms and you were spreading it and
it doesn't help you get treatment before
that so in other words they can't fix
the past and since the only people are
getting tests were the ones prioritized
the ones who have symptoms you didn't
help the past but do you help the future
and the answer is it takes about three
days to get a result you keep hearing
about the fast tests those exist but I
don't think they're the majority so
imagine that you you've you've had it
for five days you've got symptoms you've
been spreading it like crazy you get the
test and you still don't know you have
it for three days what do you do for
those three days you live your normal
life and you spread it around so by the
time you get it as Bill Gates says by
the time you get the test result
you've already spread it around you and
you're practically over it by the time
you get the result now yes there are
faster tests and they're they're a
startups have even faster tests and the
media tests coming in
that but what information do you have
about that have you seen the chart that
says this is how many we have this is
how many the experts say we need of this
type and this is how we're getting there
or anything like that no no my advice to
you is to make your decision about you
know the whole situation as if testing
doesn't exist as if it's not an option
I I would say that it is so poorly
reported that you have to assume it's
just not even a path and Bill Gates
basically just laughed at it he freaking
laughed at it he laughed at it that it's
not even close
it's not even in the it's not even in
the conversation of being something that
could be helpful just think about that
and most of the reporting most of the
experts have said we need to do more
testing we all know that there's nobody
who doesn't think if we can magically
test everybody we'd be better off but
apparently it's hard to make test kits
and it's hard to get it done so I don't
think that we're gonna have anything
like a testing solution before we have
herd immunity accidentally I keep
watching Tucker Carlson show where he is
essentially complaining the whole show
about totalitarianism and how our
freedom and rights have all been taken
from us and how we kind of just handed
them over to which I say I feel like I'm
just watching crazy town
it just looks crazy at this point now
I'm a big fan of Tucker and I think his
show is one of the best shows on TV of
its type you know in the in the news
genre definitely one of the best shows
of its type but this particular theme
that he's on that we've given up all our
freedoms is both true and trivial and
unimportant at the same time because
let's say you're in a coma have you lost
your rights yeah you have let's say
because you can't do all the things you
could do before
if you're in jail if you lost your
rights yes if you're in a dangerous
neighborhood can you do all the things
you want yes if you're you know
temporarily if you have to go to work
are you free not really you have to go
to work so we live in a world in which
this little freedom thing is sort of
fluid and we're figuring it out as we go
but we have a general idea where we want
it to be but we're always sort of
tweaking it all the time now assuming
that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last
forever
which of these rights that is being
denied to us will still be denied to us
in let's say the end of the year do you
think that any of these rights will be
permanent yeah I mean the reduction in
Rights do you think of the when the
coronavirus is gone do you think the
government is going to say you can't go
to the beach do you think they're gonna
say you can't work go to a concert no no
in what world and what world are any of
these going to be permanent now the ones
that will be permanent
we're going to be permanent anyway which
is your loss of privacy you know you
might argue that this costs you a little
bit of extra loss of privacy but not
really because the government always
could have tracked where you were with
your cellphone they always had that
ability they just maybe weren't doing it
unless you were a criminal and so I
don't even even a little bit understand
what talk Tucker is talking about
because all the examples are true
they're observable yes they can't go to
the beach they live in a free country
and without any laws passed no
constitutional authority these things
are all true you know the things that
Tucker is reporting are true
they just don't lead to the conclusion
they use concluding which is we're in an
emergency the way you would act in an
emergency should not be similar to the
way you would act in the non-emergency
so why would you ever compare them now
if he's going to make the case that
there are certain subsets of Rights that
have a high likelihood of of going away
during this and then
go on well I'd say that's a pretty good
argument if I'd heard it but I haven't
heard that argument I've only heard that
we have lost our rights temporarily
during an emergency I've also heard that
you know that's the way tyrants do it
like they can always find an emergency
to use as or excuse for grabbing power
but does that look like that's what's
happening here I'd say not even close
because the minimum requirement for that
to happen is that the public would be
okay with it now one of the things that
people point out is how easily the
public became sheep and just quarantined
themselves to which I say is that what
happened is that the public just turning
into sheep and obeying their their
government or is it a public who were
informed about a risk and decided to
take you seriously doing what the
experts advise them to do I mean I'm not
seeing a problem here
they say if somebody says because of the
slippery slope right the slippery slope
is purely imaginary and somebody says
emergency who defines it Scotty well I'm
gonna I'm gonna block you for that
comment so the comment is emergency who
defines Scotty now I'm I'm deleting I'm
blocking you forever so you'll never be
part of this conversation again because
Scotty is personal you can certainly
make a comment about the facts your
opinion etc but when you add Scotty on
there that's sort of an instant block
because you're trying to minimize me you
can minimize the opinion just by saying
what your opinion is but when you add
the Scotty then you're just being an
and get blocked goodbye
all right what else we got going on here
there's a New York Times article that
was fascinating it said that stress is
not what kills you you know that stress
can kill you you believe right stress
can kill you but it turns out the stress
only kills you if you think it can now
I'm that's a little bit of an
exaggeration but the article said that
the science is pointing toward stress
will kill you if you believe that stress
will kill you in other words if your
mindset is the stress is all bad it's
just all bad it's gonna kill me then it
does it actually has that that effect
but apparently people who have a
different mindset and just accept the
stress as some sort of response their
body has because they're trying to
achieve something stress being a normal
reaction of the body something maybe
they can weaponize you know I use stress
to power my fitness so my mindset is
that when I feel stressed and by the way
this is totally legitimate and this is a
lifetime a lifetime habit so I'm not
making this up because I just read this
story there's something I've done all my
life if I have a day of work and I'm
really stressed out and I don't think
it's gonna go away right away that's
normal right everybody has stressful
days of work I say to myself man am I
gonna have a good workout today because
there's nothing that can power a good
work out better than stress and when
you're done you know you're gonna have
less of it less stress and you know that
you used your stress productively to
lift more and push yourself and exhaust
yourself and really really get a good at
good working out now that's my mindset
and one of the things that people always
ask me is why do you seem so not
stressed and part of it is that I make
it a very much a part of my job if you
will to avoid stress and a big part of
it is that mindset it's like what's the
first thing you think of when you're
stressed
oh my god my blood pressure is going up
or whoa I'm gonna really have a good
lift today and I'm not making that up
that's that literally what I think when
I when I feel stress it's like oh this
is gonna be a good run
so get your mindset right that's why you
should be following people such as Mike
son of who talked about getting
your mind set right one of my favorite
follows on Twitter is AJ Cortez does
personal training and what I like about
him has a someone to follow on Twitter
is that first of all he's he takes the
training to the mind body mindset you
know whole way so it's more of a
holistic approach where programing your
body is a way to program your life I
don't think he says it in those words
but it's effectively what it is so he's
more than a trainer about how to lift
stuff he does that too but it's more
about how all of this integrates into a
you know a better life so he got a tweet
today that made me laugh i retweeted it
not because I agree with every word of
it because it's so provocative that I
couldn't help it sometimes I just like
to see people react to provocative ideas
so this was his tweet from AJ Alexander
Cortes a generation of defective men
have been produced to believe that being
and they gives his list these are the
things that make them men according to
AJ agreeable quiet passive desexualized
soft gentle and emotional and he says
that this is the this is AJ not me don't
blame me and he says these are traits of
women and he says these men have been
programmed into passive eunuch slaves to
the mainstream narrative all right so i
retweeted it because it's so darn
provocative not not because it's exactly
matching my opinion of things but let me
give you my opinion the thing
so first of all let's all agree that
individuals are so different that it
would be ridiculous to have a list of
characteristics and say that this
applies to men or this applies to women
can we all agree that individual
differences are quite extreme but that
doesn't change the fact that the
averages can be the average so I know
you know somebody who is not like that I
know you're not like that can we agree
that you and your friends are not what
we're talking about so let's get out of
the anecdotal headset mindset I mean yes
we all know individuals are all over the
board on everything that people can be
you know different about so it is
certainly not true
in in a technical scientific way that
women are any of these things agreeable
quiet passive desexualized soft gentle
or emotional I think the point is that
more that those are sort of traditional
you know you don't have to say that
that's good or bad because I don't think
AJ is saying these are good qualities
are bad he doesn't say that he's just
saying that there was some kind of
gender difference you can agree or
disagree but here's where I'll take this
and it may be Google to see if there was
any kind of a testosterone difference in
Republicans versus Democrats so I
googled that what do you think what do
you think I found out do you think that
Trump supporters have more testosterone
than anti-trump or what would you say in
the comments that based on your
non-scientific opinion just observation
is it your observation that the class of
people who are supporters of Trump have
more testosterone than those were
opposed to look at the comments that the
comments is it's unambiguous right it's
very unambiguous
you you could tell me that this doesn't
pass the science and then I would just
doubt your science because it's so
freakin obvious now I don't know how in
the world you could not see it it's as
obvious as anything could be obvious now
what causes that now keep in mind there
are two there are two things happening
one is that Trump has more male
supporters so if you are simply to you
know measure all the testosterone and
the the Trump supporters you would of
course get more just because there are
more men in the group so that's the
first thing second thing is just obvious
it's just obvious and I had made the
hypothesis before that the way people
respond to Trump might be based on
whatever experience they've had in the
past with bullying and my hypothesis
which I'm going to modify right now
my hypothesis had been that if you'd
been the subject of bullying a victim of
it any time during your life and you saw
Trump he triggered you to remember those
situations and you say to yourself no
never again I'm not going to be in this
bullying situation so I can't support
him and then I speculated that if he had
been the bully yourself or he just
hadn't been bullied that you didn't see
that and what you saw was a strong
leader who may or may not agree with you
but that's it it wasn't scary I'm gonna
modify that because I feel as though the
bullying thing might be a factor but not
the full explanation I feel like
testosterone is the better s explanation
and here's why and again let me say that
this is all speculation it's based on
anecdotal stuff the moment there is a
scientific peer-reviewed controlled
study that says that there is no
correlation I will immediately adopt
that opinion but at the moment there
isn't there is not that I just looked
there's no information on that so here's
what I think I think that your
testosterone level if you're male
so let's just talk about men the higher
your testosterone level the less afraid
you are of other men
what do you agree with that let's say I
think if this would be harder to answer
for the women but men you have
experienced you've experienced just in
your own life
times when you knew your test dose
testosterone was high let's say you just
want to contest you've been working out
you're feeling healthy you know your
testosterone is high you can feel it you
also know that there have been times
wouldn't even sick or down or you broke
up with your girlfriend or whatever your
problem was you knew your testosterone
was down so can the men here first
confirm for me that they have a physical
sensation and they know the difference
between when their testosterone is is
jacked up and when it's not because
their personality changes I would say my
entire personality is quite different if
I know my testosterone is raging and I
can tell right let me give you one
example I used to do a lot of public
speaking and when you're a public
speaker and you're invited because
you're already popular it usually goes
well the audience claps and they cheer
and they laugh if you spend an hour
being the subject of affection of an
audience by the time you walk offstage
and you're heading back to your hotel
room your testosterone is just raging
because it's just automatic if you
become you know the the celebrity on
stage and everybody's clapping for you
and literally standing sometimes
standing ovations your testosterone is
off the chart and you and your
personality changes too and you know it
I mean if you just feel it it's almost
like you can feel it in your goosebumps
and your hair you can feel it and what
comes along with men men back me up on
this I'm just looking for the men to
answer this question women would not be
able to when your testosterone is jacked
up are you ever afraid of another man
are you and I think the answer is almost
never and I would say that I'm think of
any situation in my life then I've ever
been afraid of a man or men not once and
I've been in lots of situations you know
if you're a male you've been in tons of
situations that are dangerous you can't
be a man in America and not have lots of
experience with almost getting in a
fight you were there when the trouble
went down you know I mean it's just
normal life that men are around the male
experience is violence and near violence
all the time it's something that women
can't possibly understand the manly men
live in a permanently violent world and
I don't mean that they're actually
performing violence at any given moment
I mean that our mindset is that you're
ready for violence at the drop of a hat
maybe not all of you this also could be
a testosterone difference but I would
say and let the men in the comments
confirm or deny this men would you say
that you are capable of violence at the
drop of the Hat for a reason I'm not
saying that you would do violence for no
reason I'm saying that is it true that
you're always on the edge of being
violent but only if there's a reason and
you don't really ever turn that off do
you so you guys maybe you'll see some
differences here you see somebody saying
correct I don't know if they're yeah
somebody says I'm never afraid of
anything
survival of the fittest only if he's
holding a gun so I've had guns pulled on
me three four times so I've had guns
pointed at my face four times in my life
once a bowie knife so I I've had a knife
pulled on me four guns two of them was
when I was working as a bank teller and
I got robbed twice once was getting
mugged
in downtown San Francisco and other time
was walking in the Mission District in
San Francisco and when I was walking in
the Mission District somebody pointed a
a real gun at a window as I was walking
by in the sidewalk and that and the
window was really close to the sidewalk
so I mean you're looking right at the
person in the window it wasn't like
there was a distance involved and I'm
walking by and it guy sticks a gun out
the window holds it up to my basically
points it at my head and he pulls the
trigger and and I watched the I watched
the cylinder turn click and there wasn't
a there wasn't around in the chamber
he had a pointed at my head as I walked
by a real gun click and pointed it up I
had when I walked by so that's the
neighborhood I lived in so just just
generalize that to what my neighborhood
it was like you know this was when I
first moved to San Francisco is a it was
a it was on the border of a rough rough
place anyway so I've had numerous guns
and weapons pointed at me and I would
say that my my adrenaline went through
the roof so if you talk about adrenaline
yeah adrenaline went through the roof
but I don't know that I was ever afraid
like I didn't feel like any kind of
experience that I would call fear I have
you know normal fears of normal things
right I have you know ordinary
appreciation for danger I'm not like the
brave I'm not a brave guy I would say as
a man I'm not especially brave or
especially on brave probably average but
I also have I'm guessing so here's an
assumption I believe my testosterone is
relatively high how does one know that
well I have that I have the towels for
that so I have the balding you know
losing your hair is either a sign of
testosterone or sensitivity to it I have
the squarish jawline
that's a sign of testosterone I think
there's a difference with a finger
length that tells you you have
testosterone but more importantly I live
my lifestyle to maximize it so you know
I lift I exercise I eat right I sleep
you know so I do all the things that
should boost it and my experience of it
is nothing really frightens me
so when I look at I look at Trump
I see his tool set but I always see a
threat to me
I could totally imagine that if you had
low testosterone you would see somebody
who was bristling with it and was
unpredictable
and scary anyway so I think that could
be tested but we'll leave that open
question John Roberts reports
Fox News that a senior intelligence
source still tells him that there's a
agreement among most of the 17
intelligence agencies they covet 19
originated in the wuhan law lab and
there was believed to be a mistake so
most of the 17 agencies agree does that
mean anything does that mean anything it
doesn't doesn't the fact that 17
intelligence agencies agree we know that
that doesn't mean anything I remember
when that when I would have heard that
and says 17 intelligence agencies well I
mean what are the odds that I'll be
wrong now let me tell you what it means
when seventeen intelligence agencies
agree if you've ever worked in a large
organization you know this is true if
you haven't worked in a loriatlarge
organization you would be totally fooled
by this let me explain what it means
when 17 intelligence agencies agree it
means that one did the work came up with
an opinion and the others heard about it
you get that one agency did the work and
the others heard about it the other 16
are useless they're not duplicating the
work do you think that the United States
has multiple agencies you know sending
different people in to North Korea I
hope not I hope we don't have different
agencies doing that don't you think
maybe there's only one this kind of
that's got that responsibility I think
there's only one intelligence agency
that really has the primary
responsibility to figure out what's
going on there and I don't think they
know so when you see something like 17
intelligence agencies agree your brain
should translate that into one
intelligence agency has an opinion 16 of
them just said yeah whatever that guy
says you know he seems credible toss and
the one who had the opinion is probably
not right that's so that's how you
should interpret it if you interpreted
it as 17 say it's 17 agencies say it's
true well probably true then you got it
completely wrong that there's nothing in
the reality that would suggest the 17
intelligence agencies in the United
States agreeing tells you anything
it doesn't tell you anything that's how
you should process it all right let's
see what else we got here yeah that's
mostly what I want to talk about today
or anything I missed
in the news today somebody says oh
there's the question that I was going to
bring up some somebody says what
organization did not agree and why
exactly which organization did not agree
now it doesn't say that there's an
organization that disagrees so the way I
would interpret that is that of the 17
agencies one did the work 14 of them
said yeah that looks good to us we
didn't do the work but you know you did
the work looks good to us and a few of
them said we haven't seen a way you've
done we haven't looked at it yet it's
gonna be more like that
somebody says when everyone's thinking
the same thing
nobody's thinking well less there all
right I mean you can't rule out the fact
that sometimes people are right but it's
it's a good warning
it's a peer-review rubber-stamp yeah
peer review I think is totally overrated
- you got some better information I do I
got some better information
I watched China's response if you
watched it China's response to the
coronavirus situation it's pretty
obvious that they were concealing
information from the world do you need
17 intelligence agencies to tell you
that that China was lying we already
know that that's public information so
what are the intelligence agencies know
that we don't yes Elon Musk's tweet
storm so Elon tweeted among other things
I think in last 48 hours or so among
other things that he was his girlfriend
was having a baby on Monday people
didn't know that and that Tesla stock
was overpriced in his opinion he sure
likes trouble talk about a guy who likes
trouble I think he enjoys it and then
some other random things that he tweeted
anyway the the tweets were let's say
eyebrow-raising
enough that people started wondering if
he was on drugs or crazy or trolling or
what the heck's going on so so it's like
a cottage industry trying to decide what
Elon is is secretly thinking if I had to
guess I'd say drugs to be it look like
somebody was on some kind of drug and
tweeting now do I care you know would I
sell my Tesla stock if I learned that
you'll on had
taking mushrooms I'm just speculating
there's no evidence that he did that but
would I do anything differently with my
investments if I heard that Elon took
some mushrooms and tweeted too much nope
because you know what whoever Elon Musk
is today he was the same guy a few years
ago right if it worked yeah oh yeah the
other thing is he was gonna sell off all
of his possessions his houses etc now I
don't know if any that's true or
whatever but it sounds like somebody was
on drugs do I care if he was on drugs
nope because if he was he was still the
same agiel on musk who broke all the
rules and you know this will always be
remembered I think as one of the great
entrepreneurs of our time do you care if
Henry Ford drank too much I don't think
he drank I'm not even sure if he did but
do you care if Steve Jobs did LSD
because he did do you care
No do you care that almost every major
company in Silicon Valley has major top
employees or micro dosing on LSD every
day do you care probably not do you care
that they're using performance-enhancing
drugs adderall and everything else and
not really do you care if they smoke
marijuana on nights and weekends nope
so I guess my take on Ilan's tweeting is
he's still the same person you know he
didn't become less capable of doing
anything he just is letting you know who
he is I said the the uncomfortable truth
that nobody wants to say out loud let me
say it out loud let me be the first
person to say it out loud success in
this world is about which drugs you get
addicted to
there I said what a lot of people have
thought but you don't want to say if
what you got addicted to is alcohol
probably that's not going to go well for
you unless you're a functional alcoholic
and you're in sales if you're a
functional alcoholic and you're in a
sales profession it might be pretty good
I mean I wouldn't recommend it but it
could work out well in fact I know
several people who are clearly
functional alcoholics who have
tremendous lives as far as I can tell
from the outside because they just they
just funnel that drinking into sales
they're very social they make a lot of
sales have a good life and they're drunk
all the time
and they don't seem to be you know any
the worse for wear so some people
apparently can make that work
now I'm not recommending that it's a
special case but it's also true that
people can be more creative depending
what they're taking they can relax they
can you know if they're on adderall or
other any performance-enhancing drugs
sometimes they need them sometimes they
get them recreationally or just for
performance but the point is Silicon
Valley is is run on drugs you know if
that wasn't clear enough let me say it
as clear as possible Silicon Valley runs
on drugs and not the legal kind all the
time some of them are illegal you know
adderall is legal etc but Silicon Valley
is a drug-fueled industry now that's
something that you don't see in the news
so much you've seen stories about it but
it's not really emphasized but the fact
is I don't know what percentage but the
the people in Silicon Valley who are
using drugs are using it not
recreationally exactly they're using it
functionally so the Silicon Valley
people were using drugs and also
successful it's because the drugs are
either addicted to or choose to be a day
two are productive I'll use myself for
an example I'm not yeah technically you
can't be physically addicted to
marijuana but I'm certainly
psychologically addicted and I can I can
guarantee you from my own experience
that my creativity goes through the roof
when I use it in fact a lot of the ideas
that you've seen coming out of me
happened you know when I was enjoying a
good 4/20 afternoon and so would I be
more or less successful I don't know
it's hard to know but I will tell you
that a lot of the most successful people
have simply chosen the right kind of
drug their works for their particular
situation their particular genetic
makeup their particular whatever now the
reason that I don't recommend any of
this is that it can kill you right do
you need a better reason how about this
don't do it it could kill you that's it
that's that's a little recommendation
I'm not a doctor and if you're not a
doctor
don't be playing around experimenting
with drugs to make you a better person
you know I'm not gonna recommend that
I'm just gonna saying some people have
for whatever reason have discovered that
there are some types of drugs that make
them better other people have found
drugs that just make them worse if
you're taking a drug that just makes you
worse that's that's where you're gonna
end up
somebody says pot doesn't kill yeah so
there's a little bit of disagreement on
that I'm on the side of saying that you
know marijuana doesn't kill you but
there are other people say well but if
you're doing marijuana and tried to ride
your motorcycle really fast you know I'm
suppose you could do something foolish
somebody says stop taking any marijuana
for a while and see if you have physical
results well I've done that of course
and I know I know the difference I'm
very aware of how different it is often
drugs are try for a fix for an
underlying mental issue I would say
every time I would say that all drugs
unless you just you know trying them on
a weekend or something you're just
experimenting but four people are using
them regularly I would say that that
statement is true that people do it to
fix something that wasn't giving them
enough happiness or something
I can't drink or get high during work
it's a waste of a good buzz yeah most
work is not compatible with marijuana
but some is somebody says I should plug
locals calm yeah I will remind you that
I've moved moved a lot of my video
content all the periscopes will be
reproduced there I'll keep doing them
here this won't change but they're also
on the locals platform so if you went to
Scott Adams Scott Adams dot locals calm
you'll find my page you can look at my
Twitter profile to see it as well and
for a for a small subscription fee you
can get extra stuff and you could have
everything in one place and the
algorithm will not rule you I'll tell
you my long-term play here so the
long-term reason for putting it on a
subscription platform is that the the
youtubes of the world they can't really
handle my content because their business
model requires them to pair content with
advertisers and the advertisers all say
why would we take a chance on something
that's controversial just Paris with
kitten videos so that's the problem that
YouTube has even if they wanted to the
advertisers would say I'd like to give
you money to pair with this stuff half
the people who watch it are going to get
me for just pairing it so the
advertising based models including my
comic strip everything else or
advertising model they don't really work
anymore for a variety of reasons the
newspaper advertising model will
probably just disappear because
newspapers will disappear by the end of
the year I'll probably have no no
regular cartooning income I would guess
from newspapers so I'm looking to you
know re reinvent my content you know
figure out how to how to adapt to the
new world the post coronavirus world and
I'm gonna try the subscription service
that's where I am at Scott Adams not
locals with an S dot-com if you want to
be part of that you get all the good
stuff and more where will Dilbert be
syndicated well it's in 2000 newspapers
and it's on a lot of websites and said
Dilbert com
probably a number of them will continue
online but I don't know if newspapers
make enough money from just their online
presence so my guess is that the
physical newspapers the local ones will
disappear the biggest ones don't
actually carry comics you know the
biggest newspapers Wall Street Journal
New York Times they don't have comics so
when the little ones go away USA Today
is a big one when the little ones go
away so so too does the comic business
because they're associated with the
local papers mostly somebody says they
mentioned me on the 5 yesterday I
watched the 5 I didn't see that did I
did I miss that part yeah $7 is the
subscription fee per month if you're
already donating to me on the patreon
site or on the web platform because
people have done both I would ask you to
discontinue that and whether or not
whether or not you want to be on the
locals platform that would be a separate
decision but you know you could
discontinue patreon and you could
discontinue using the interface app and
I would be just as happy because now I
have a little home
and the people who want to use that
subscription feed and see a little extra
they're going to see it so what I'll be
doing on the the locals app is I'm going
to put a lot of micro lessons I put my
first micro lesson up there on how to
write humor so these are very very short
videos on one topic where I teach you
that one topic my next we'll probably be
designed so it'd be like five to ten
minutes to bring you up to about eighty
percent of what you need to be a better
designer so that's what we're going to
do and I will talk to you tonight
have a good day