Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive October 12, 2026
Scott Adams Philosophy Archive
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behalf of the people who don't exist. Have you ever met anybody who was offended by words? I never have. If you talk to anybody individually they'll say oh no it doesn't bother me. It's just something some jerk said. Why would I care about what some jerk said? But I'm pretty sure other people are going to be offended. I'm pretty sure other people are going to be offended. Now let me say again I'…

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s have proven it but they're all leaning in that direction. So if that turned out to be true or even just a correlation that was important I'd say I got that one early and correctly. But it's definitely not confirmed that boosting your levels would help you with COVID. It might be later.

I predicted that the vaccines wouldn't work. Right now a lot of people believe I did the opposite. But when it was first announced the experts said we've been working for decades, we're not even close. So I said well if the experts think it can't be done I'll go with the experts. Now I don't always go with the experts but in that case I did. And sure enough the vaccinations did not work as vaccinations. But I said at the time that we're probably going to come up with better therapeutics. I would say I had one of the best predictions: that the vaccines wouldn't work as vaccinations but that we would come up with strong therapeutics, which I believe we have.

Then we see the latest studies that say ivermectin did not work. Am I ready to conclude that ivermectin could not have worked under any combination of when you gave it, who you gave it to, or in any combination of anything else? That I would say is unknown. But I said don't buy into ivermectin right away. I said wait for studies. And every day that goes by without confirmation you should lower your odds of it working. So I did the same thing with hydroxychloroquine as with ivermectin. I started with well there's some indication it might work and it doesn't hurt you, why not? But then every time some data came in that made it look like maybe it wasn't working I lowered my percentage likelihood until I got down to about 10 percent and that's where I stopped.

So that's where I have it: hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin somewhere no more than 10 percent possibility that they ever could have worked in the right dosage with the right combination with the right people at the right time, that sort of thing. So I think I had the best ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine predictions, still admitting we don't know if they work. Are you okay with that? That at this moment we still don't know but all of the information is leaning in one direction which is the direction I was going at the same time.

Yeah, what else? Let's see. Yeah I would say that. And then we don't want to talk about masks but I was I believe the only person in the country who said that Fauci was lying when he said masks don't work and he admitted he was lying. So I'm the only person who got that right. And then when masks were rolled out I said from an engineering perspective they almost certainly have to reduce the amount of spread but we won't see it in the big numbers because I told you that you wouldn't see anything with the leadership in the state and country level, which is why I was against mandates. So I was never for mandates of masks.

But unambiguously if water gets stuck on your mask there's some virus on that water. We just don't know how much and whether it made a difference but we could see it didn't make a difference on the state level. I mean the data doesn't seem to support it. So I would say that I was by far the most right about masks. Nobody was even close. I would say I was probably close to eight or nine out of ten and I think most people were closer to a three in rightness on that. Now again this depends on the data that we have now continuing to prove out which might change. So I could be wrong on any one of these things because we never have final confirmations it seems. But I would make my argument that there was nobody even in my general neighborhood of rightness. I wasn't even — nobody was even close to my predictions in my opinion. There is room for disagreement.

All right, so I asked this question on Twitter a few times and I think I have an answer now about the Mar-a-Lago information. And given that a president doesn't have any requirements for a process for declassifying, I ask the following question: If a president signals that something is declassified is that good enough? And one way to signal it would be take these top secret boxes and move them to Mar-a-Lago. To me that's declassifying because it's clear that anybody would know that taking them to Mar-a-Lago takes them away from a secure place and anybody can see them. So in my opinion that would be declassification.

And so I asked lawyers because I'm not one. I said can a president do any kind of signal, any kind of signal at all, and

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would that count as declassification? And the lawyer said — what did the lawyer say? What do you think? Did the lawyers say that that's true as long as he signals by his actions? The answer is yes. The people who identified as lawyers said yes, he just has to signal it by his actions and it's declassified. There isn't any legal risk here is there? Because even if you allow that you found the lawy…

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