d steroids, right? Make you look puffy or something.

So my take on Putin from quite a while ago was he looked like he was dying. Do you remember when I was saying — how long ago was I saying that Putin was dying? Six months ago? Can somebody give me when's the first time you heard me say it? Five months ago? Six months ago or ish? Right now when I said Putin was dying six months ago and you could tell because he just looks it. Where I said he was sick, one or the other. How many people agreed with me? If you wait longer, he's done. And I got mocked, didn't I? Didn't most people mock me?

And my argument was that people can identify illness fairly well and that just looking at them actually is better than you think as a way of predicting. Humans actually are pretty good at determining illness just looking. You don't have to be a doctor in it. Yeah, Norm Macdonald puffed up. That's actually — I hate to say that was a good example, wasn't it? At first he said he thought he was on a testosterone. Well, it looked like he was on something. Looked like he was on something.

So anyway, there's I think a big health problem, and the rumors about a coup already starting would make a little bit of sense with the military situation. Here's a way to understand why Russia's military is not succeeding so well on the battlefield. You ready for this? Because they know that Putin's a short timer. That could be why Russia is not performing on the battlefield. Because imagine that you are one of the leaders and you know that at the end of this there's a really good chance you're going to be brought up on war crime charges. Pretty good chance. How would you play it if you thought Putin would only have a week or two left in office? Would you go balls to the wall and do every military war crime that you possibly could, or would you slow walk it? Exactly.

If you were a military leader and you saw that Putin was not going to last, you would slow walk it. And it's hard to explain why the Russian military is doing so poorly. We do know that the opinions of American training, NATO training, and great weapons — maybe that's enough. Maybe they're just a really, really good military, the Ukrainians. That's entirely possible. That could be the entire explanation. The other explanation is that Russia's military isn't exactly taking orders from Putin the way they used to. The way they used to is if I don't do this, he's going to kill me, right? If I don't sacrifice a third of my troops to take this town, I will personally be killed. I'll be jailed. So then you sacrifice a third of your troops because you got to do it, otherwise you die.

But what happens if you think Putin's not going to last? Do you sacrifice a third of your troops, or do you tell Putin there's something stopping you from attacking? Yeah, we're gonna attack as soon as we get those new supplies you're sending. Oh, the new supplies are the wrong kind? Well, as soon as we get those new supplies, we're totally goin