Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive August 22, 2026
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Episodes Episode #225 Segments
MainContent Politics as Persuasion

Back to episode — Episode 225 Scott Adams - Prediction Versus Reality and Facts Don’t Matter

Context —

These are the predictions before President Trump took office. He would deport 11 million undocumented aliens. I said he wouldn't. His critics said he would, because he said he would during the campaign. But of course he did not, and there's really no chance that that's going to happen. His critics said he would move us toward nuclear war. It appears the opposite has happened. We appear further fr…

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Speaking of North Korea, so the sticking point with North Korea has been that North Korea is asking for some kind of a big concession in order to give up his nuclear weapons. Now there's not much we have to concede because we're the ones who want something. We're not the ones who have something to give up, in a sense. That's oversimplifying.

But there's talk now between North and South Korea, or at least there's speculation that they're talking about working toward declaring an end to the Korean War. And it seems to me that if North and South Korea and the US and the UN — you know, I guess you need a lot of people involved, probably the UN — to declare the end to the war, that that might be the gesture that allows Kim to get rid of his nukes. Because it's a different story if you just get rid of your nukes because there was pressure. That makes Kim look weak.

But if you get rid of your nukes because you won, that doesn't look the same. And Kim could claim victory in bringing an end to the Korean War, and it would actually be fairly legitimate in my opinion. I think a reasonable person could say that if the end of this process was a formal declaration of the end of the war, I think a reasonable observer could say that Kim made that happen through his nuclear program. And then he could disband it because he could say we made our point, we got the thing we wanted. Once we're unified we don't really need, you know, if we're working toward reunification we don't really need nuclear weapons because that would be like using them on yourself, right? You wouldn't nuke your own country if we were working toward reunification, even if it's a hundred-year plan for reunification.

So it seems to me... y'all would worship Hitler? Let's get rid of the Nazi. North Korea always had the option to declare peace, correct? North Korea always had the option to just say, oh we're peaceful. But it would look like they had just surrendered. Because if you declare peace against the superior force, well you don't have much negotiating room and it just sort of looks like a surrender.

But if you come to peace with a peer, a nuclear peer in some sense — a peer, not really, but in some sense they would both be nuclear powers — that looks different. You could sell that differently. And I think you could.

So you saw all of the predictions, the worst-case predictions that the chompers made, and it's been a few years now. Some of that stuff would have happened by now.

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Did I block the wrong person? Some of that stuff would have happened. I'll unblock her later. My Periscope is not showing them my Twitter feed. That might actually be my fault. I'm on a new device and there's a setting that I need. I'll unblock Nancy. And Nancy, I just can't do it right now. Or okay, like let's see if I can't... what would happen if I do this? You know that doesn't work. All righ…

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