Back to episode — Episode 225 Scott Adams - Prediction Versus Reality and Facts Don’t Matter
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Bump, bump, bump. Whoa, how's my shirt? Oh my god, my shirt's on inside out. Hey everybody, I'm wearing my shirt inside out, and if that doesn't tell you how tired I am, nothing will. There's nothing like realizing that your shirt is inside out after you've started the Periscope. Sorry I'm late. Four people had lots of speculation about what a Trump presidency would look like. Now I also had spec…
← Previous segment →These are the predictions before President Trump took office. He would deport 11 million undocumented aliens. I said he wouldn't. His critics said he would, because he said he would during the campaign. But of course he did not, and there's really no chance that that's going to happen.
His critics said he would move us toward nuclear war. It appears the opposite has happened. We appear further from nuclear war than at any time. North Korea doesn't seem close to nuclear war. Russia seems to want to deal with us. And Iran has more pressure on it than it did before in developing nuclear weapons. So it seems to me that we are further from nuclear war than we've ever been. So my prediction is right. Critics were wrong.
There were people who, it's hard to believe, but people actually thought that President Trump would round up all the brown people and put them in concentration camps. I have seen no indication that the president is rounding up brown people to put them in concentration camps. I'm gonna say I was right on that one. Critics were wrong.
Critics said that President Trump would be committing much repression against the LGBTQ community. Haven't seen it. In fact, President Trump is, I believe, the most LGBTQ-friendly president we've had. And I say that because he came in favoring gay marriage. He's the first president — correct me if I'm wrong, and I might be wrong, but fact-check me — is President Trump the first president who came into office favoring LGBTQ marriage rights? I believe he is.
And nothing has happened. Nothing that's happened so far. Now somebody says he's appointed anti-LGBTQ judges. I haven't seen any rulings that would suggest that's a problem. And keep in mind that the judges he selects are constitutionalists, so they're only going to rule in favor of what's in the Constitution. All right, so we haven't seen any actual repression. But as somebody said, they're concerned about the judges that he's nominated. But that would be true of any conservative.
People said that there would be Russia collusion. I think we're close to the point where we can say that we can confirm that didn't happen, right? He's releasing the FISA emails, and it sort of looks like things are going to be wrapping up pretty soon. So his critics were probably wrong about Russia collusion. Doesn't seem to be any evidence. Even Bob Woodward couldn't find any.
Somebody said, are you kidding? People know I'm sorry. That's what it sounds like. Then there were people who said he was only in it for the money and that the presidency was just a trick to get richer. But I think probably that didn't happen. I haven't seen any indication that Trump's net worth is going up or that he got some deal he wasn't supposed to get or anything like that. The indications are he may have lost money.
All right, it was at least one economic Nobel person, Krugman, who said it would be an economic disaster when President Trump came into office. Opposite. The economy is doing better than ever. And then of course, you know, ISIS got taken care of and North Korea is probably in a better place than it's ever been.
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Speaking of North Korea, so the sticking point with North Korea has been that North Korea is asking for some kind of a big concession in order to give up his nuclear weapons. Now there's not much we have to concede because we're the ones who want something. We're not the ones who have something to give up, in a sense. That's oversimplifying. But there's talk now between North and South Korea, or…
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