Episode 571 Scott Adams - Hacking the Algorithm and Other Stuff

boom baby hey everybody guess what guess what it's time for a coffee with Scott Adams featuring the highlight of your day the place where your dopamine starts getting on board starts to become part of your day yeah sorry I'm a little late I'll tell you why in a moment but first grab tankard or a Stein or a chalice grab your copy or mug your glass your thermos your flask chiller with your favorite liquid like I like the coffee that's what I like enjoy me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous scent delightful well I was just sending out a humorous tweet which made me be a little late here I couldn't quite get the wording right but I was watching a video of it looks like Jerry Nadler walking in for his hearings with hope Hicks you have to see this tweet because the the contrast le Alexander just pointed this out it's the funniest contrast so normally I don't like to talk about people's appearances because it's sort of the the low the lowest end of humor is talking about people's appearances but I can't help it this time this time is just it's just sort of in your face so find the video you could look at the one I tweeted but you'll see others in which hope Hicks was walking down the hallway to the hearing apparently with Nadler and crew followed by Adler now hope X I don't know if it's she had a good hair day the lighting is good but she looks like I don't know the the most beautiful supermodel who ever walked out of hallway or the second most beautiful light you know Christine is the most beautiful but she's walking down the hallway and you know just looking good and a very very anethe place in this political hallway with bunch of politicians and then the very next person is Nadler then Adler's pants if you haven't noticed every year his his pants level gets higher and higher until he's wearing his pants starting about here now and I was trying to write a funny tweet about you know what's gonna happen if his pants keep getting higher and then I thought wait a minute will they think I'm making a tweet about his pants because ho pics is looking good now I don't want to do that that's you know that's not the direction I want to go so I went with that you have to keep an eye on nethers pants because if they keep rising at this rate he's gonna have to unzip his fly just to talk and I think that was worth thanked yes it wasn't important but it was worth saying all right let's talk about some other interesting news so both both Joe Biden and Don Lemon I have once again in public once again spreading the fph now if you don't know what the f pH is there's a reason I'm using the letters instead of the words because I did a little test yesterday to see if You.

Tube would D monetize me for a certain word or a certain set of words those words are start with F P and H what do you think do you think and and I did the test so I would say nothing else that could possibly be over the line so I was very clear it was a single purpose periscope and just a test which then got loaded onto You.

Tube what do you think happened demonetized instantly deep monetized note no curse words no incorrect information so there were no curses no in the correct information it was not offensive in any way I there were no offensive material the only thing in it was the three words they start with F P and H those of you who are on periscope watching this you can see the see what that means those of you who are watching this later on You.

Tube who are doing it on You.

Tube will not will not see those words but you can figure it out by context now somebody here is asking me if yeah if it might be because of another word another word that sometimes is used to refer to bad people who have a certain belief system and if I were to spell it backwards it would be i Z am so I made sure that I didn't use that word you know use of the word correctly in my test now it did get ramana Thais dafair li quickly so it was instantly demonetized on You.

Tube so that the test worked or there was nothing offensive in it it was just content then apparently somebody doesn't want to monetize and I do understand that you would not want to pair advertisements with any conversation on that topic because most people talking about that topic are going to say something that the advertisers wouldn't want to associate with I don't but here's the problem even if you get D monetized temporarily and that Ramana ties it doesn't help at all because all of your monetization happens in the first 24 hours so pretty much at least in my case the viewership is 80% of the first day so if they D monetize the first day and then say ups while we was an overreach will will Ramana ties you doesn't help at all it doesn't help at all because you've already lost all of your monetization so this was shocking just shocking that content that was completely clean and appropriate and not controversial even not controversial all you know some people might disagree with it but it wouldn't be controversial in the normal sense so anyway um it seems to me that I put a little more work into how we could determine what the algorithm is doing without being the holders of the algorithm and here's how I do it what you do is you take a bunch of different accounts You.

Tube accounts and you'd ask them to report their experience so if they got demonetized they would report to this central central what site or something when they got demonetised in and what was demonetised then that central site can do the same thing that I assume You.

Tube does which is do a speech-to-text and then look for text that may have been the problem text now in the case of You.

Tube they're looking for text that they've already banned or they want to throttle and then it does its thing presumably I'm presuming that's how it happens I might be wrong so if you wanted to find out what keywords they were looking for without them telling you because they won't you could have a number of accounts that volunteer to tell you when they get demonetised and then once somebody reports i've been to monetize this central site that's sort of a monitoring site could check their speech-to-text only if they get demonetised and then running to run it against other people who are d monetized and find the correlations so if every time somebody says orange it gets demonetized you would notice that because would happen to a variety of accounts there wouldn't have much of anything else in common so if he had enough accounts who were willing to report when they got to monetized to a central monitoring organization or a person I think you could work backwards I think you could work backwards to figure out what the keywords were and why you got banned and that would have been very helpful in this situation all right sorry I saw that Chuck Schumer and Tom cotton who are on opposite sides of politics are combining to do some kind of a fentanyl sanctions bill against China so in other words if Congress is working across the aisle Thank You Congress Thank You Chuck Schumer I'm gonna I'll always call out when the people I don't agree with do something I like Chuck Schumer is doing something I like a lot Thank You Chuck Schumer strong play Chuck Schumer so I guess the idea is that they will identify what what companies have direct or indirect involvement with fentanyl production in China and if they seem to be according to us if they seem to be involved in any kind of illicit fentanyl trade that we will sanction them and make them hurt financially now what does that tell you that we need to do that the fact that we need to do this tells you that President Xi lied to our president when he said that he would you know increase the penalties unfenced all and make it a capital case a death penalty case and that they would change the law that they would start getting start getting tough on them now remember what I've said from the start I said from the start don't know that you can believe that that could be just something they're holding out there and apparently apparently they were going to hold that hostage possibly as part of the trade negotiations do you know what I say if I hear that China is holding that out as a trade negotiation item well what I say would get me demonetized everywhere because what I will say privately about China if that's what they're doing if they're holding this out as a negotiating variable well then yeah I don't want to say what I'm gonna say because you can you can think it those of you who don't know I lost my stepson in October actually September 2 fetanyl to to a drug overdose in which fentanyl was part of it and I don't think we should do any kind of a trade deal with China as long as fentanyl from there is coming into our country and it's obvious they're not trying to stop it we should just look for other places to trade I noted in the news that Apple is starting to ask its suppliers to consider looking around for different countries to build the parts for the i.

Phones and the i.

Pads now I say to Apple Apple I'm down by the way I own stock an apple not much just you know ordinary part of my portfolio but I would be willing to take a hit to my stock 20% I would take a 20 percent reduction in my Apple stock price for them to take on the extra expense of moving to another country Catana China so Apple one of the maybe the greatest yeah you could argue that Apple is the greatest American company of all time I don't know how you'd measure that sort of thing well you could argue it's the greatest American company and at the moment the greatest America American company is a Richie enriching our biggest enemy in the world and I'm gonna say China is an enemy because as long as they're not doing anything about the fentanyl they're in a in the in let's say a non-shooting war with us at which they're taking maybe 50,000 lives a year and we're taking none so I think I think we should crush their economy I'm in favor of crushing China's economy because they're not you know they're still is stealing our IP and sending us poison killing 50,000 Americans per year and trying to dominate us we should just crush their economy I'm not in favor of any kind of trade deal now if we get one I'm sure the stock will go up that people will be happy about that but I really think the long term the long term move is to get companies out of there and and just shut them down because they have not there's a certain requirement to capitalism which is trust now even in the capitalist system of course nobody fully trusts anybody and there are plenty of bad actors etc so you have to have lots of you know a good core system etc to make capitalism work but at the moment we don't have these kinds of problems with Germany we don't have the kinds of problems we have trading with China we don't have them with I don't think you pick any other country Mexico yeah even Mexico we've got our issues with Mexico but we don't have well we do have problem with Mexico it's a bad example yeah let's say India actually I think India might be a little bit of a source for offense at all I would have to I would have to research that but there might be some coming in from India don't quote me on that because I'm not sure about that but the point is China is not a dependable partner and in capitalism doesn't work unless you have some minimum level of trust all right trust but verify but you have to have a minimum level of at least believing they'll do some of the things they say they'll do and they don't seem to be in the mold they seem to have taken themselves out of the capitalist system by simply not being a reliable dependable honest or a fair player at any sense so now I say we should move all of our industry out of China as quickly as possible and I personally will pay extra to get that done all right here's a question for you who builds the voting machines for smaller democracies I don't know the answer this question so it's a question that I probably should know the answer I shouldn't I shouldn't ask it but for countries that are have legitimate voting processes and people really do you know the leaders do change based on the votes who makes those voting machines let's say let's say Africa if you were to look at the entire continent of Africa I don't know exactly how many of those countries have legitimate democracies 70 of them have puppet governments dictators etc but over time you would expect there would be more and more democratic looking countries in Africa who makes their voting machines because whoever makes the voting machines eventually you know once they're off of paper ballots yeah so there's certainly the at the low end people are on paper ballots but at some point even the paper ballots have to be added up right even the paper ballots get reported somewhere they get into a computer somewhere there's some computing going on to count stuff up it seems to me that whatever country is in charge of the voting technology whether it's the voting machines or it's where they sum up the totals of the voting machines that country would essentially be you know at the mercy of whoever makes the machines I would think and so I would I would keep an eye on that good news russia has put a new FLIR they shouldn't stop in the middle of a sentence russia put a nuclear power plant on a boat so they've they figured out how to make a small enough nuclear power plant that they can put it on a boat and take you to a remote part of russia pull into the bay hook it up with wires and provide power to remote places where it would be too hard apparently to go build a building to just be too hard so they put it on a boat and take the boat there now think about that yeah I know you're you're worried that the Russians don't have the same safety standards that that we would like I got a question for you what happens when radiation gets in the ocean I always wondered if you had a big nuclear event in the ocean like let's say or when we did our underwater nuclear tests and stuff where does all that radiation kow that if you fill the ocean with radiation doesn't it doesn't just sort of spread out forever does it stay in one place I don't understand the risks I don't know the risks of a nuclear event in the ocean is that big or small I can't tell all right those are the big stories of the day I haven't I got a little late start today because my my fire alarm went off or at least the low battery alarm went off so I'm gonna look on CNN's homepage and see what I missed magicians body found after a failed river escape stunt well here's my advice to anybody who wants to copy Houdini that's really not the kind of job that has a long life expectancy I do not recommend that any of you get into the magician Houdini sort of thing oh I forgot to talk about the president duh so how many of you watched the president's announcement speech last night I watched it while I was floating in the pool yes I have a pool and I'm floating there and I had my my phone just playing the speech and I listened to it for I don't know half an hour or 45 minutes or something and here's the thing I I never got bored I can't remember the last time I watched a some other politician speak for half an hour and I didn't get bored think about that when was the last time that happened I liked when Bill Clinton spoke so back in the Bill Clinton days he could keep me out of tain for a long time I really liked I liked him as a public speaker Obama is a good public speaker but not that interesting over the long haul he's a little dry he's great at his job Obama is an amazing politician but he's a little dry on his speeches Reagan was great if any of any of you were old enough to be around during Reagan's time Reagan was great he could hold the crowd but man nobody can hold a crowd like Trump I don't know if we'll ever have a president who can do what he does that the size of his crowds are partly a reflection of his popularity in in a political sense but partly a reflection of he's putting on the best show in the country right now you know if you if he sold tickets to his show people would buy them you know there he doesn't sell tickets but other people would buy those tickets anyway so my favorite part and I will note that he just keeps getting better and better at that so his ability to hold a crowd and you know really have them in the palm of his hand is just getting better and better and he did a little a be testing on his upcoming slogan so I hope you caught that part because it was it was brilliant it was simple and something that you might have said well I would have done too but you didn't and he did and so he sent to the crowd I'll paraphrase but he said basically you know there's a big question where about was slogan we should have they talked about how make America great again was possibly the greatest slogan of all time which I agree I would say he has a strong claim very strong claim to say that that was the best branding best slogan ever created for a political event I think he could say that with a you know that feels like a supportable statement but after he says but it's the greatest one how can we how can we move from this greatest thing how can we really come up with a better slogan than that so he sets it up perfectly because he's signaling to the crowd indirectly but still clearly he's telling the crowd without telling them he's telling them it's time to move on but he told them it's time to move on by paying complete respect to the old one so he didn't he didn't stomp on he said was just the greatest thing ever but then he said what about you know comparing it to Keep America great and so then he did a sort of a vote from the crowd where they were cheer and now he set them up so he's told the group he hasn't told the crowd he hasn't told the crowd what he prefers in direct language but he's very much told them he prefers the new one all right so he hasn't said it but he has indicated it and then he does the what do you like and they cheer for make America great again and then he says Keep America great and the crowd goes nuts of course exactly like he it like he primed them to do so it was in one way you could say it was a fairly ordinary thing to do you simply asked the crowd for their opinion and monitored their response so in one sense very ordinary but here's the thing nobody else did it it worked it was an amazing moment so he has a way of taking the ordinary that was available to everybody you know everybody had the ability to work a crowd this way he didn't have any special access to a crowd or anything but he worked that crowd like I've never seen a crowd worked and and I'm gonna say that actually as a literal not a figurative statement I don't think I've ever seen anybody over to grab that hard you know musicians on their crowds in different ways but but this was masterful now let me if you--if you're not aware of the technique let me tell you the technique you use technique number one he has associated his rally speeches with fun and humor and laughing and good times so people showed up in the perfect mood they showed up laughing happy ready for a good time so he's primed them over you know over the years to know that this is going to be a fun night and they show up in a good mood because they're expecting it they become self-fulfilling but here's the brilliant part for the first I don't know how many minutes was a big chunk of time all the president did was say things that people who were his supporters already believed to be true and he said them in the way that they believed them to be true in other words he just went down the line of everything that a Republican trump supporter believes is true and they said it in his own words that's called pacing he said nothing that a trump supporter would disagree with and he kept hitting a Boom Boom Boom he did not try to challenge the group he did not try to introduce a new idea it was the wrong place he wanted to pace them he wanted to say what they were thinking as they were thinking it and there was a point there where he actually I forget the exact words but he actually said something like you're thinking this or I know what you're thinking which is technique that's persuasion technique so he was trying to create create the understanding that what he was saying is what they were thinking that's that's pacing what you saying is what they're thinking but you say it in a clever way a little bit better way than they're thinking it once he's got them on their side he ask them to do something asking your crowd to do something is a very very very very very very very very very very very effective thing to do I'm hitting this because if you only learn one thing from this periscope it would be the best thing you ever learned let me say it again if you can make your crowd do something do something beyond you know just clapping and showing up if you can make them do something you can own them so he paces them first hey I'm you the the things coming out of my mouth are just the things you're thinking then he has him on his side get some excited gets their energy up and then he asked them to do something which is the vote which is these things he like if you want to do that on a small scale with your own audiences one of the ways that I did it back in my corporate days was I would hand out tic tacs before I talked about a boring topic and I would tell people here here's a there's some tic tacs pass them around everybody take a tic-tac because it'll keep you from from yawning and it does if if your audience has a tic-tac they won't yarn people who have a tic-tac isn't a mouth though you are this is true so I would make them take a tic-tac and pass it around now what I'm doing is making them do something I'm making them do something for me and that's part of controlling the crowd if you could make them do something small you get them on their side so you wants them to do things very important physically do things with their body alright so it was a masterful time you could imagine I felt bad for her can you imagine what are the Democrats watching that thing can you imagine you're one of the Democrat challengers if you watch that Trump that Trump rally huge one you just want to quit it was so so strong I mean you could you can dislike this president and still say all right you know even though I don't like this president that that rally wasn't amazing because it was it was just amazing I'm so happy to be alive during this time to actually see this because that you could imagine that describing what this is like to some future generation isn't going to work because they wouldn't you have to experience it so I was also thinking can you imagine imagine how good he is at this right now forget about politics he's just good at this rally stuff and speeches imagine how good he will be in his second term in the fourth year think about it second term Trump fourth year of his second term nothing to lose top of his game experienced relaxed best there's ever been imagine last year of Trump rally imagine the size of the crowds because people will know in his final year people will know that they'll never see this again think about that in his last year of office presuming that he gets a second term everybody who ever thought of going to one is gonna say this will never happen again we have to go see this once in our life the crowds are going to be he might have a crowd of a million he might be the first president I'll make the prediction here's a prediction assuming that Trump gets reelected which i think is true in his fourth year of the second term he is last year I predict he'll have at least one event live event that will attract 1 million voters 1 million that's my prediction I think you got over a hundred thousand at this last one but 1 million it'll be the first time now obviously a million people can't watch a live event so they would be watching screens they would just be sort of in the general area but I think he's going to get a million people on the street just respect so that's somebody says they'll hold me to that please do Oh July 4th yeah it might be the 4th of July you're right in his final year all right so that's all I have for now sleepy Joe isn't doing much we're waiting for Trump to live tweet their debates that'll be fun and I will talk to you all later

boom baby hey everybody guess what guess

what it's time for a coffee with Scott

Adams featuring the highlight of your

day the place where your dopamine starts

getting on board starts to become part

of your day yeah sorry I'm a little late

I'll tell you why in a moment but first

grab tankard or a Stein or a chalice

grab your copy or mug your glass your

thermos your flask chiller with your

favorite liquid like I like the coffee

that's what I like

enjoy me now for the unparalleled

pleasure of the simultaneous scent

delightful well I was just sending out a

humorous tweet which made me be a little

late here I couldn't quite get the

wording right but I was watching a video

of it looks like Jerry Nadler walking in

for his hearings with hope Hicks you

have to see this tweet because the the

contrast le Alexander just pointed this

out it's the funniest contrast so

normally I don't like to talk about

people's appearances because it's sort

of the the low the lowest end of humor

is talking about people's appearances

but I can't help it this time this time

is just it's just sort of in your face

so find the video you could look at the

one I tweeted but you'll see others in

which hope Hicks was walking down the

hallway to the hearing apparently with

Nadler and crew followed by Adler now

hope X I don't know if it's she had a

good hair day the lighting is good but

she looks like I don't know the the most

beautiful supermodel who ever walked out

of hallway or the second most beautiful

light you know Christine is the most

beautiful but she's walking down the

hallway and you know just looking good

and a very very anethe place in this

political hallway with bunch of

politicians and then the very next

person is Nadler then Adler's pants if

you haven't noticed every year his his

pants level gets higher and higher until

he's wearing his pants starting about

here now and I was trying to write a

funny tweet about you know what's gonna

happen if his pants keep getting higher

and then I thought wait a minute

will they think I'm making a tweet about

his pants because ho pics is looking

good now I don't want to do that that's

you know that's not the direction I want

to go so I went with that you have to

keep an eye on nethers pants because if

they keep rising at this rate he's gonna

have to unzip his fly just to talk and I

think that was worth thanked yes it

wasn't important but it was worth saying

all right let's talk about some other

interesting news

so both both Joe Biden and Don Lemon I

have once again in public once again

spreading the fph now if you don't know

what the f pH is there's a reason I'm

using the letters instead of the words

because I did a little test yesterday to

see if YouTube would D monetize me for a

certain word or a certain set of words

those words are start with F P and H

what do you think do you think and and I

did the test so I would say nothing else

that could possibly be over the line so

I was very clear it was a single purpose

periscope and just a test which then got

loaded onto YouTube what do you think

happened demonetized

instantly deep monetized

note no curse words no incorrect

information so there were no curses no

in the correct information it was not

offensive in any way I

there were no offensive material the

only thing in it was the three words

they start with F P and H those of you

who are on periscope watching this you

can see the see what that means those of

you who are watching this later on

YouTube who are doing it on YouTube will

not will not see those words but you can

figure it out by context now somebody

here is asking me if yeah if it might be

because of another word another word

that sometimes is used to refer to bad

people who have a certain belief system

and if I were to spell it backwards it

would be i Z am so I made sure that I

didn't use that word you know use of the

word correctly in my test now it did get

ramana Thais dafair li quickly so it was

instantly demonetized on YouTube so that

the test worked or there was nothing

offensive in it it was just content then

apparently somebody doesn't want to

monetize and I do understand that you

would not want to pair advertisements

with any conversation on that topic

because most people talking about that

topic are going to say something that

the advertisers wouldn't want to

associate with I don't but here's the

problem even if you get D monetized

temporarily and that Ramana ties it

doesn't help at all because all of your

monetization happens in the first 24

hours so pretty much at least in my case

the viewership is 80% of the first day

so if they D monetize the first day and

then say ups while we was an overreach

will will Ramana ties you doesn't help

at all it doesn't help at all because

you've already lost all of your

monetization so this was shocking just

shocking that content that was

completely clean and appropriate and not

controversial even not controversial

all you know some people might disagree

with it but it wouldn't be controversial

in the normal sense so anyway um it

seems to me that I put a little more

work into how we could determine what

the algorithm is doing without being the

holders of the algorithm and here's how

I do it what you do is you take a bunch

of different accounts YouTube accounts

and you'd ask them to report their

experience so if they got demonetized

they would report to this central

central what site or something when they

got demonetised in and what was

demonetised then that central site can

do the same thing that I assume YouTube

does which is do a speech-to-text and

then look for text that may have been

the problem text now in the case of

YouTube they're looking for text that

they've already banned or they want to

throttle and then it does its thing

presumably I'm presuming that's how it

happens

I might be wrong so if you wanted to

find out what keywords they were looking

for without them telling you because

they won't you could have a number of

accounts that volunteer to tell you when

they get demonetised

and then once somebody reports i've been

to monetize this central site that's

sort of a monitoring site could check

their speech-to-text

only if they get demonetised and then

running to run it against other people

who are d monetized and find the

correlations so if every time somebody

says orange it gets demonetized you

would notice that because would happen

to a variety of accounts there wouldn't

have much of anything else in common so

if he had enough accounts who were

willing to report when they got to

monetized to a central monitoring

organization or a person I think you

could work backwards I think you could

work backwards to figure out what the

keywords were and why you got banned and

that would have been very helpful in

this situation all right

sorry I saw that Chuck Schumer and Tom

cotton who are on opposite sides of

politics are combining to do some kind

of a fentanyl sanctions bill against

China so in other words if Congress is

working across the aisle Thank You

Congress Thank You Chuck Schumer I'm

gonna I'll always call out when the

people I don't agree with do something I

like Chuck Schumer is doing something I

like a lot Thank You Chuck Schumer

strong play Chuck Schumer so I guess the

idea is that they will identify what

what companies have direct or indirect

involvement with fentanyl production in

China and if they seem to be according

to us if they seem to be involved in any

kind of illicit fentanyl trade that we

will sanction them and make them hurt

financially now what does that tell you

that we need to do that the fact that we

need to do this tells you that President

Xi lied to our president when he said

that he would you know increase the

penalties unfenced all and make it a

capital case a death penalty case and

that they would change the law that they

would start getting start getting tough

on them now remember what I've said from

the start I said from the start don't

know that you can believe that that

could be just something they're holding

out there and apparently apparently they

were going to hold that hostage possibly

as part of the trade negotiations do you

know what I say if I hear that China is

holding that out as a trade negotiation

item well what I say would get me

demonetized everywhere because what I

will say privately about China if that's

what they're doing if they're holding

this out as a negotiating variable well

then

yeah I don't want to say what I'm gonna

say because you can you can think it

those of you who don't know I lost my

stepson in October actually September 2

fetanyl to to a drug overdose in which

fentanyl was part of it and I don't

think we should do any kind of a trade

deal with China as long as fentanyl from

there is coming into our country and

it's obvious they're not trying to stop

it we should just look for other places

to trade I noted in the news that Apple

is starting to ask its suppliers to

consider looking around for different

countries to build the parts for the

iPhones and the iPads now I say to Apple

Apple I'm down by the way I own stock an

apple not much just you know ordinary

part of my portfolio but I would be

willing to take a hit to my stock 20% I

would take a 20 percent reduction in my

Apple stock price for them to take on

the extra expense of moving to another

country Catana China so Apple one of the

maybe the greatest yeah you could argue

that Apple is the greatest American

company of all time I don't know how

you'd measure that sort of thing well

you could argue it's the greatest

American company and at the moment the

greatest America American company is a

Richie enriching our biggest enemy in

the world

and I'm gonna say China is an enemy

because as long as they're not doing

anything about the fentanyl they're in a

in the in let's say a non-shooting war

with us at which they're taking maybe

50,000 lives a year and we're taking

none so I think I think we should crush

their economy I'm in favor of crushing

China's economy because they're not you

know they're still is stealing our IP

and sending us poison killing

50,000 Americans per year and trying to

dominate us we should just crush their

economy I'm not in favor of any kind of

trade deal now if we get one I'm sure

the stock will go up that people will be

happy about that but I really think the

long term the long term move is to get

companies out of there and and just shut

them down because they have not there's

a certain requirement to capitalism

which is trust now even in the

capitalist system of course nobody fully

trusts anybody and there are plenty of

bad actors etc so you have to have lots

of you know a good core system etc to

make capitalism work but at the moment

we don't have these kinds of problems

with Germany we don't have the kinds of

problems we have trading with China we

don't have them with I don't think you

pick any other country Mexico

yeah even Mexico we've got our issues

with Mexico but we don't have well we do

have problem with Mexico it's a bad

example yeah let's say India actually I

think India might be a little bit of a

source for offense at all I would have

to I would have to research that but

there might be some coming in from India

don't quote me on that

because I'm not sure about that but the

point is China is not a dependable

partner and in capitalism doesn't work

unless you have some minimum level of

trust all right trust but verify but you

have to have a minimum level of at least

believing they'll do some of the things

they say they'll do and they don't seem

to be in the mold they seem to have

taken themselves out of the capitalist

system by simply not being a reliable

dependable honest or a fair player at

any sense so now I say we should move

all of our industry out of China as

quickly as possible and I personally

will pay extra to get that done all

right here's a question for you

who builds the voting machines for

smaller democracies I don't know the

answer this question so it's a question

that I probably should know the answer I

shouldn't I shouldn't ask it but for

countries that are have legitimate

voting processes and people really do

you know the leaders do change based on

the votes who makes those voting

machines let's say let's say Africa if

you were to look at the entire continent

of Africa I don't know exactly how many

of those countries have legitimate

democracies 70 of them have puppet

governments dictators etc but over time

you would expect there would be more and

more democratic looking countries in

Africa who makes their voting machines

because whoever makes the voting

machines eventually you know once

they're off of paper ballots yeah so

there's certainly the at the low end

people are on paper ballots but at some

point even the paper ballots have to be

added up right even the paper ballots

get reported somewhere they get into a

computer somewhere there's some

computing going on to count stuff up it

seems to me that whatever country is in

charge of the voting technology whether

it's the voting machines or it's where

they sum up the totals of the voting

machines that country would essentially

be you know at the mercy of whoever

makes the machines I would think and so

I would I would keep an eye on that good

news russia has put a new FLIR they

shouldn't stop in the middle of a

sentence russia put a nuclear power

plant on a boat so they've they figured

out how to make a small enough nuclear

power plant that they can put it on a

boat and take you to a remote part of

russia pull into the bay hook it up with

wires and provide power to remote places

where it would be too hard apparently to

go build a building

to just be too hard so they put it on a

boat and take the boat there now think

about that yeah I know you're you're

worried that the Russians don't have the

same safety standards that that we would

like I got a question for you what

happens when radiation gets in the ocean

I always wondered if you had a big

nuclear event in the ocean like let's

say or when we did our underwater

nuclear tests and stuff where does all

that radiation kow that if you fill the

ocean with radiation doesn't it doesn't

just sort of spread out forever

does it stay in one place I don't

understand the risks I don't know the

risks of a nuclear event in the ocean is

that big or small I can't tell all right

those are the big stories of the day I

haven't I got a little late start today

because my my fire alarm went off or at

least the low battery alarm went off so

I'm gonna look on CNN's homepage and see

what I missed

magicians body found after a failed

river escape stunt well here's my advice

to anybody who wants to copy Houdini

that's really not the kind of job that

has a long life expectancy I do not

recommend that any of you get into the

magician Houdini sort of thing oh I

forgot to talk about the president duh

so how many of you watched the

president's announcement speech last

night I watched it while I was floating

in the pool yes I have a pool and I'm

floating there and I had my my phone

just playing the speech and I listened

to it for I don't know half an hour or

45 minutes or something and here's the

thing I I never got bored

I can't remember the last time I watched

a some other politician speak for half

an hour and I didn't get bored think

about that when was the last time that

happened I liked when Bill Clinton spoke

so back in the Bill Clinton days he

could keep me out of tain for a long

time I really liked I liked him as a

public speaker Obama is a good public

speaker but not that interesting over

the long haul he's a little dry he's

great at his job Obama is an amazing

politician but he's a little dry on his

speeches Reagan was great if any of any

of you were old enough to be around

during Reagan's time Reagan was great he

could hold the crowd but man nobody can

hold a crowd like Trump I don't know if

we'll ever have a president who can do

what he does that the size of his crowds

are partly a reflection of his

popularity in in a political sense but

partly a reflection of he's putting on

the best show in the country right now

you know if you if he sold tickets to

his show people would buy them you know

there he doesn't sell tickets but other

people would buy those tickets anyway so

my favorite part and I will note that he

just keeps getting better and better at

that so his ability to hold a crowd and

you know really have them in the palm of

his hand is just getting better and

better and he did a little a be testing

on his upcoming slogan so I hope you

caught that part because it was it was

brilliant it was simple and something

that you might have said well I would

have done too but you didn't and he did

and so he sent to the crowd I'll

paraphrase but he said basically you

know there's a big question where about

was slogan we should have they talked

about how make America great again was

possibly the greatest slogan of all time

which I agree I would say he has a

strong claim

very strong claim to say that that was

the best branding best slogan ever

created for a political event I think he

could say that with a you know that

feels like a supportable statement but

after he says but it's the greatest one

how can we how can we move from this

greatest thing how can we really come up

with a better slogan than that so he

sets it up perfectly because he's

signaling to the crowd indirectly but

still clearly he's telling the crowd

without telling them he's telling them

it's time to move on but he told them

it's time to move on by paying complete

respect to the old one so he didn't he

didn't stomp on he said was just the

greatest thing ever

but then he said what about you know

comparing it to Keep America great and

so then he did a sort of a vote from the

crowd where they were cheer and now he

set them up so he's told the group he

hasn't told the crowd he hasn't told the

crowd what he prefers in direct language

but he's very much told them he prefers

the new one all right so he hasn't said

it but he has indicated it and then he

does the what do you like and they cheer

for make America great again and then he

says Keep America great and the crowd

goes nuts of course exactly like he it

like he primed them to do so it was in

one way you could say it was a fairly

ordinary thing to do you simply asked

the crowd for their opinion and

monitored their response so in one sense

very ordinary but here's the thing

nobody else did it it worked it was an

amazing moment so he has a way of taking

the ordinary that was available to

everybody you know everybody had the

ability to work a crowd this way he

didn't have any special access to a

crowd or anything but he worked that

crowd like I've never seen a crowd

worked and and I'm gonna say that

actually as a literal not a figurative

statement I don't think I've ever seen

anybody over to grab that hard you know

musicians on their crowds in different

ways but but this was masterful

now let me if you--if you're not aware

of the technique let me tell you the

technique you use technique number one

he has associated his rally speeches

with fun and humor and laughing and good

times

so people showed up in the perfect mood

they showed up

laughing happy ready for a good time so

he's primed them over you know over the

years to know that this is going to be a

fun night and they show up in a good

mood because they're expecting it they

become self-fulfilling but here's the

brilliant part for the first I don't

know how many minutes was a big chunk of

time all the president did was say

things that people who were his

supporters already believed to be true

and he said them in the way that they

believed them to be true in other words

he just went down the line of everything

that a Republican trump supporter

believes is true and they said it in his

own words

that's called pacing he said nothing

that a trump supporter would disagree

with and he kept hitting a Boom Boom

Boom

he did not try to challenge the group he

did not try to introduce a new idea it

was the wrong place he wanted to pace

them he wanted to say what they were

thinking as they were thinking it and

there was a point there where he

actually I forget the exact words but he

actually said something like you're

thinking this or I know what you're

thinking which is technique that's

persuasion technique so he was trying to

create create the understanding that

what he was saying is what they were

thinking that's that's pacing what you

saying is what they're thinking but you

say it in a clever way a little bit

better way than they're thinking it once

he's got them on their side he

ask them to do something asking your

crowd to do something is a very very

very very very very very very very very

very effective thing to do I'm hitting

this because if you only learn one thing

from this periscope it would be the best

thing you ever learned let me say it

again if you can make your crowd do

something do something beyond you know

just clapping and showing up if you can

make them do something you can own them

so he paces them first

hey I'm you the the things coming out of

my mouth are just the things you're

thinking then he has him on his side

get some excited gets their energy up

and then he asked them to do something

which is the vote which is these things

he like if you want to do that on a

small scale with your own audiences one

of the ways that I did it back in my

corporate days was I would hand out tic

tacs before I talked about a boring

topic and I would tell people here

here's a there's some tic tacs pass them

around everybody take a tic-tac because

it'll keep you from from yawning and it

does if if your audience has a tic-tac

they won't yarn people who have a

tic-tac isn't a mouth though you are

this is true so I would make them take a

tic-tac and pass it around now what I'm

doing is making them do something I'm

making them do something for me and

that's part of controlling the crowd if

you could make them do something small

you get them on their side so you wants

them to do things very important

physically do things with their body

alright so it was a masterful time you

could imagine I felt bad for her can you

imagine what are the Democrats watching

that thing can you imagine

you're one of the Democrat challengers

if you watch that Trump that Trump rally

huge one you just want to quit it was so

so strong I mean you could you can

dislike this president and still say all

right you know even though I don't like

this president that that rally wasn't

amazing because it was it was just

amazing

I'm so happy to be alive during this

time to actually see this because that

you could imagine that describing what

this is like to some future generation

isn't going to work because they

wouldn't you have to experience it so I

was also thinking can you imagine

imagine how good he is at this right now

forget about politics he's just good at

this rally stuff and speeches imagine

how good he will be in his second term

in the fourth year think about it second

term Trump fourth year of his second

term nothing to lose top of his game

experienced relaxed best there's ever

been

imagine last year of Trump rally imagine

the size of the crowds because people

will know in his final year people will

know that they'll never see this again

think about that in his last year of

office presuming that he gets a second

term everybody who ever thought of going

to one is gonna say this will never

happen again we have to go see this once

in our life the crowds are going to be

he might have a crowd of a million he

might be the first president I'll make

the prediction here's a prediction

assuming that Trump gets reelected which

i think is true in his fourth year of

the second term he is last year I

predict he'll have at least one event

live event that will attract 1 million

voters 1 million that's my prediction I

think you got over a hundred thousand at

this last one but 1 million it'll be the

first time now obviously a million

people can't watch a live event so they

would be watching screens they would

just be sort of in the general area but

I think he's going to get a million

people on the street just

respect so that's somebody says they'll

hold me to that

please do Oh July 4th yeah it might be

the 4th of July

you're right in his final year all right

so that's all I have for now

sleepy Joe isn't doing much we're

waiting for Trump to live tweet their

debates that'll be fun and I will talk

to you all later