Episode 1811 Scott Adams - Fun Times Ahead. I Will Follow The Money And Tell You The Future

good morning everybody whoa let me put my microphone on you can hear me and everything there you go there you go it's all better now now the book was called the religion war that's an answer to the people on locals who asked the question but that's not why you're here you're here because this is the highlight of civilization every single day and today nothing but optimism can you handle it can you handle nothing but good news it's going to be like that we have entered the golden age and if you'd like to take it up a notch and join the dimension of people vibrating just right all you need is a copper mug or a glass of time hold on take here from the top all you need is a copper mug or glasses to take your chance to find a canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine today i think makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it's amazing it's going to happen now go well i was telling the people on the locals platform before you joined here on youtube and spotify that uh well first of all i saw a news story that drinking three cups of coffee will make you live longer i haven't read it but since the headline agrees with me good enough that's the way i evaluate studies if you're trying to figure out which scientific studies to trust here's a good tip trust the ones that confirm your suspicions and reject everything else that's how i do it it's called science well what i was going to talk about is uh i wrote a book back in 2004 at least that's when it was published there was a prequel to my book god's debris now some of you are saying oh my favorite topic and others of you others of you are saying god's debris that's a weird book i never knew a cartoonist wrote a book named that well if you don't know what i'm talking about it was written in 2001 god's debris was and is still a worldwide phenomenon it's just that there's a certain type of person who's reading it and has ever since it came out and and they formed almost like a secret society at this point like the people who who have read that book and and they they talk to me about it all the time it's one of the biggest topics in my life this is weird probably if you if you're if you're familiar with my work it would probably sound weird to you that one of the biggest topics people talk to me about has nothing to do with dilbert nothing to do with politics or trump or any of that stuff it's a little book i wrote in 2001 called god's debris now it can't be described uh you'd have to you'd have to look into it it's it's beyond description but here's the funny part i wrote a prequel because god's debris did so well and it got very little notice i don't remember why maybe i didn't promote it or something and i called it a sequel but it was actually a prequel and i hadn't read it for 15 years myself so when erica uh so nicely sent me a copy of my own book because i didn't have a copy i wanted to look at it but i didn't have a copy and so so erica sent me a copy of my own book and i started reading it yesterday and uh it is way way stronger than it was in 2004 and the reason is that it held a number of predictions about what was going to happen and the predictions are close enough to reality that it's going to freak you out it freaked me out just reading because i didn't remember all the things i'd done and as i read it i thought oh jeez its relevance just increased so i might read it i don't know i have the digital rights to it so i might read it into youtube or locals or something at some point um that was self-indulgent that had nothing to do with you whatsoever why would you come here to listen to me talk about myself here's the coolest news of the day nasa's perseverance rover they've got a really clear picture of something that's sitting on the mars surface right by the rover and it's a bundle of string wait what no seriously it's a real a very clear picture of a bundle of string i'm not making that up and do you know what nasa said was the uh the explanation the explanation was it was some kind of debris that fell off the uh the the rover itself and so they say it's something about you know the device itself now i'm no engineer but i'm trying to think what could possibly fall off a spacecraft that is also string was there some point during the building of the rover where they said we've been using rivets for this we've been using rivets but on this one component i think we should wrap it with a string how in the world is there any string as part of the rover please can anybody explain how string is part of any part of this here's my theory as you know the the moon landing was faked uh with puppets most of you know that by now right the moon landing never really happened in 1969 that was faked with puppets it was actually an elaborate puppet show and now i think we're seeing evidence that uh the mars rover is not real it's never been real clearly it's just another puppet show and one of the strings fell off the puppets and then got captured on camera and now they're doing this they're doing this scramble you know nasa's like god what are we going to do they got our string and so now they're trying to sell you that some of your finest mars missions do involve string as part of an important part of the engineering so note 2 elon musk no tli musk if you're building rockets to colonize mars and you have no string well maybe you should work on better materials because this string made it all the way to mars it's good strength so there's that story are you noticing that there's a sort of a oh let's say a gap or something missing in the headlines of some of the news but not all of it because i looked on fox news and i saw this fairly what i would consider pretty major story of importance and then i looked for it in other news sources i didn't see it i didn't see it now see if you could come up with any kind of a theory why this story which i believe is true looks like a true story why would it only be on fox news here's the story there was some kind of a shooting incident not too long ago in an indiana mall and there was a fellow named elisha dickens who was in the restroom when it all started and he happened to be armed so he was just a customer at the mall he did not have military or police training but he was armed i guess he had a concealed weapon and he steps out of the the restroom to find that there's a shooting in progress from a distance i didn't hear what the distance was from a distance this guy put 8 out of 10 shots into the shooter with a pistol from distance i don't know what the distance was but you don't have to get too far away so somebody said 40 or 50 yards 50 yards are you serious 40 yards all right trying to visualize that 100 yards is a football field right so 40 yards of a hundred yard football field do you think you could shoot somebody eight out of ten times from 40 yards somebody says feet i don't think it was feet if it was feet he would have been out gunned right because the guy had two rifles and stuff 40 yards all right but it was a good distance but here's the thing apparently this guy was tactically correct like he was he was getting bystanders behind him and he was close he closed he actually closed on the shooter and here's the fun part he neutralized the shooter with 8 out of 10 bullets into the body of the shooter in 15 seconds it took him 15 seconds to leave the restroom assess the risk properly assess the risk properly and neutralize it in 15 seconds oh my god now how republican was he i mean it's not reported nobody reported his political leanings but how republican was he am i right i mean if we find out it was a democrat i will i will publicly you know embarrass myself by saying well no that was i was totally wrong but if that guy isn't a republican i'll be amazed i'll be amazed and so i tweeted that the safest place in america is next to an armed republican that's true isn't it the safest place in america is near a armed republican now now i suppose the i suppose january 6 was a glaring exception to that but generally speaking you couldn't be safer than next to an armed republican so i mean that's a real thing all right um here's a hypothetical question for you yeah i don't think this is going to happen but just hypothetically let's say trump runs for reelection and he wins with 75 percent of the popular vote again it's not going to happen this is not a prediction but what if he did you know let's say the other candidate had some scandal or whatever it was just like it was just a blowout at the end of the election with if trump got 75 of the vote you think the democrats would say wow good race nicely done or do you think that they would say that the election was rigged what do you think do you think they'd say it was rigged despite having no court certified evidence i believe they would now let us predict the future shall we what is the most likely outcome of trump and 2024 the most likely outcome is that he runs right i'm not predicting it yet because i think things could go either way still but probably trump runs right probably he runs that's the most likely if he runs what is most likely to happen in terms of who wins he'll probably win don't you think i think he'll probably run and he'll probably win now what would the democrats say if that happens the most probable outcome they're going to say the election was rigged aren't they and they're not going to have any court approved evidence of it and i don't know how much i'm going to enjoy this but i'm already getting ready for it like i don't know if there's a movie or a tv show i've ever wanted to watch more than the day after the 2024 election when the democrats are screaming that the election was rigged and they need more transparency and they need just a little bit more time to run some audits how much are you going to enjoy that it'll be glorious you remember elon musk said and i've said it as well that there for some reason reality tends to trend toward the most entertaining outcome not to the participants but to the observers can you imagine a more entertaining outcome than trump reclaiming the presidency and the democrats claiming the election was rigged i can't i can't not only would it be the most entertaining it's also the most likely probably there's a solid 60 chance that exact scenario will happen don't you think would you go with me at 60 if you take the entire chain of probability from trump probably running probably getting the nomination probably winning the general election probably the democrats will say it was rigged am i wrong there's at least a 60 chance that we're going to get the most entertaining outcome it's not even i wouldn't even say it's what i want but it's the most entertaining we already have video of them saying it about the 2016 election right so we know that we know that the democratic about 2016 what would stop him from saying it about the next election nothing so entertainment here we come it's coming well um as i've taught you you can predict the future by following the money follow the money and here's something that you should have seen coming and you should continue to see coming it goes like this i heard professor scott galloway talk about this first but it's also kind of a general math based business concept it goes like this if you're a big company just like every company that's public you have sort of an obligation to grow right if you have stockholders they're kind of expecting you to grow so in order to grow if you're a small company any new market you get into will help you grow but if you're an enormous company like amazon or apple you can't just say oh i think we'll make keychains because all the keychains in the world wouldn't make you enough money to you know move your big numbers because you're starting with such a big number so you have to enter markets that are already gigantic and there aren't that many gigantic markets left there's education you know which the the private sector has not really gone big on education but it's guaranteed because it's such a big market one of the big companies has to take it on self-driving cars all of the big companies have to be there they all have to because it's one of the few things that's so big that it could move their their their numbers but the other thing is healthcare the the big companies that are not in healthcare almost have to get into it because that's where the money is there's nothing else that has enough money flowing around that they can they can really improve their their top revenue number and so we see exactly what you would predict so the scott galloway prediction that big companies have to enter big markets they have no choice they literally have no choice so if you wonder it was amazon going to go big in the health care market yes yes turns out they just bought they bought a big health care provider for 3.9 billion one medical so they're a primary care provider so that's we're talking about the actual doctor who touches you so amazon and and but the thing that caught my attention is the way amazon phrased this and by the way if you're not catching this this is one of the biggest stories in the world it just doesn't have that people dying part of it you know there's nobody dying so you know it doesn't look like a big story but it's big this is really big let me let me just say the way amazon's representative described it quote we think healthcare is high on the list of experiences that need reinvention oh here it comes booking an appointment waiting weeks or even months to be seen taking time off work driving to a clinic finding a parking spot waiting in the waiting room then the exam room for what is too often a rushed few minutes with a doctor then making another trip to a pharmacy and they continue we see lots of opportunities to both improve the quality of the experience of give back time this is from sb the amazon's svp neil lindsey now is that exactly what you want to hear from your big american company that is exactly that is exactly what i wanted to hear i because they didn't she didn't even say cost she didn't even say cost or he he didn't even say cost um it was about the experience being completely broken and how often have you had a conversation i've i had two of them this week where some just basic health health care stuff couldn't get done no three of them i think i've been in three conversations this week yeah just this week three of them where the where just the process of getting healthcare was just so broken that a consumer who is paying for it couldn't get a basic feature just the most basic thing and you're paying for it like the whole system is pretty up right now and the expensive yes but that's not even the big problem the big problem is i can't get it the big problem oh okay depends who you are if you have money the big problem isn't the cost so you can't get it like i i struggle at my income level to get basic health care coverage services i have to fight for it like i have kaiser you know it's a hmo and they have set a rules and sometimes the rules work well but lots of times they don't they don't work for me or other people so i'm like fighting for health care that i pay for like what are you what are the rest of you doing right i mean i'm in a privileged situation i have money i've got health care right best situation you can be in and i've got to fight for it like they don't they don't just say here's some health care do you want it no i got to fight for it i got to change policies i got to get exceptions i get to get a doctor's approval what are the rest of you doing i mean jesus seriously i mean i'm in the best situation i can barely get health care it seems like even when i pay for it so when i see amazon saying this thing is just messed up we're going to go fix this the first thing i say is who better seriously who better no nobody better amazon is the very best company you'd want to see doing this now apple too apparently is also announced they've got a 60 page white paper detailing how the the apple watch will be connected to their health care efforts so apple is going also big into health care who better who better right amazon right amazon and apple just going big on health care if you don't think this is the biggest story in the world it's bigger than it's bigger than everything it's just there's all good news and nobody died from it so you're not going to hear much about it so that's all changing good news so apparently there's even cnn is reporting now they're not making a big deal of it but on their page they are reporting that uh the cat is on the roof when it comes to hunter biden and various charges that would include let's see so they're still being talked about charges that would include tax violations maybe false statements and connections with buying of firearms blah blah and so we don't know if there'll be any charges for that but the investigators uh i guess the government has sort of a unwritten rule that they don't like to uh interfere in politics so the fbi for example would be less inclined to prosecute hunter biden while there's an election coming you know they might want to wait so it doesn't bias the election to which i say wait a minute isn't this supposed to buy us the election that this is not the bias you're supposed to remove is it i feel like this is the bias you're supposed to insert does it not make the election let's say more credible for us to have more information about what joe biden did or did not do regarding china wouldn't you like to know if your current president is owned by china or do you think it would be good to wait i wonder if my current president is in the pocket of china there sure is a lot of evidence that he made some deals that would just make you suspect that china has some pretty good blackmail material on the president of the united states but you know what you should do with that most important information that you could ever have about your president how about weight uh let's wait a few years see how it plays out what kind of rule is that like i i get the general rule that you don't want to prosecute and influence the elections i get that so and i get why they they would wait to try to go after trump for example now if we were talking about the president himself maybe i'd say maybe wait but the president's son what exactly is the reason for waiting on that i'm not so sure that makes sense does it um anyway um and uh cnn reporter reveals there's new details but they also point out that the republicans are definitely going to look into this hunter biden stuff when they get power which they probably will so do you think that maybe the democrats want to make sure that the investigation of hunter is com complete before the republicans get power and do it right see where i'm going if you're going to cover this thing up you need to get through the entire process and finish it before the republicans come to power so what you might be seeing is the democrats trying to strategize how to handle this and discount it before the election and they mean they may need to handle it themselves before the republicans do it because republicans aren't going to be so kind yeah i think it's going to be a quick role that's right you all saw the story yesterday that joe biden announced he has cancer now cancer isn't funny except that i don't think he has cancer so that's funny all right how much did you laugh about that i couldn't stop tweeting about it because it was just funny and so let's let's start with does he have cancer i don't think so i don't think so does anybody think he actually has cancer and that and that he is slipped out it could is it very possible like i wouldn't rule that out but i doubt it well pros prostate doesn't count everybody's age has prostate cancer you almost don't count that one because that's like a slow grower skin stuff blah blah yeah all right so here's my prediction my prediction is he doesn't have a deadly cancer at the moment does anybody disagree but he definitely said it he said it in clear words but it looked like he just maybe mixed up something he was reading on the teleprompter something like that and then the white house tries to cover it up by saying it had to do with his past non-malignant skin cancer stuff being pre-cancerous stuff being removed as if that's what he was talking about and it was when there was oil on his windshield from the every part of this story was hilarious like and i was as i tweeted imagine the story if trump had made that that little flurb you know i think it was just a speaking misstep imagine if trump had done that and imagine if part of the story had been the oil on his windshield the news would have said that trump claims he got cancer by licking his windshield that's what to say they say trump got cancer from licking his windshield he claims that's what they would have said yeah but they got a different treatment all right so uh kudos to rand paul and cory booker who apparently are joining forces with a couple other lawmakers who i will say their names because i'm going to compliment them too let's see it's uh also with representatives earl blumenauer democrat and nancy mace republican so these four are adding to some existing legislation uh laws giving seriously seriously ill patients access to schedule one drugs including marijuana and psychedelics like psilocybin and mdma now thank you just thank you all right so cory booker somebody he said i have mixed feelings about cory booker i don't think he's quite present material but he's pretty awesome in a lot of ways and yeah i mean and i think this is a case where rand paul and cory booker are just doing something for the country what do you think it's hard it's hard for me to see this as a political positive for either one of them like i love him i love him for doing it so but i don't know that this would overall help them in an electoral way i don't feel like either of them is going to be bragging that up as part of their accomplishments because there are too many people who are scared of the whole drug related space i don't see this as being politically motivated am i wrong i mean maybe that's naive that everything's politically motivated because they're politicians but this just doesn't have the smell of it does it i mean for one thing it's bipartisan right um so am i right that we could um can you turn on slow mode i don't know what that means um is there a slow mode for the comments is that what you're saying is that a thing i'm just looking at youtube somebody said turn on slow mode do the comments have a slow mode i don't think that's a thing is it it's not a feature is it yes maybe all right i'll look into that um but i would just like to say publicly thank you to cory booker and rand paul and mason blumenauer because to me it looks like they're doing a non-political thing that is simply good for the world and probably i'm just guessing i'll bet they all had some personal experience with something some loved one some family relative or something because this looks legitimate to me when was the last time i said here's a story in the news where everybody's acting appropriately they're acting according to science they're bipartisan and they're just doing something that's good for america when was the last time i told you that ever ever so let's give these guys a big hand now i don't even know if they'll be successful if they're if their attempt at legislation will get through i don't know but the fact that they're even doing this is like you know big standing ovation for both of them all four of them actually all right um somebody came after me on twitter again for you know allegedly defending bill gates but i but here's the only thing i'm going to defend i don't defend his personal life that's up to him i just i can't stand people telling me he's in it for the money i just can't handle it because that's so obviously not true that i just don't know what to do it just makes my head explode what could be more obviously not true that he's not in it for the money he's developing toilets for africa do you think that was like at the at the top of his making money list don't think so he's literally giving his money away do you think he has has anybody ever made money through massive philanthropy can you think of one example where somebody gave away his money aggressively and made money because of it no please stop saying that he's in it for the money now others are saying he's in it for the power i don't know it doesn't look like it if bill gates was in it for the power is this the way he'd do it is that the way you do it if you're the re at some point he was like richest person in america do you think the richest person in america would try to get power by inventing toilets for africa that's how he's doing that trying to cure malaria i don't think so i think he would just buy politicians the way anybody else does wouldn't he you would just buy a politician and i'm not have you ever heard that bill gates owns a particular politician there are a lot of people who are owned by billionaires but i haven't heard him owning one he's like the only name i haven't heard in that context i i don't think it could be more obvious that he's not in it for the money and look at the way he presents himself in public do you think his interest isn't looking good to you is there anything about the way bill gates operates that tells you that his real interest is how you think of him everything suggests it's the opposite he does he doesn't he doesn't even dress or exercise or present himself in any way this suggests he he's like really interested in the narcissistic perceptions of himself now what about philanthropy in general do you think he's doing philanthropy because it's you know rehabilitating him and that's the reason he's doing it i don't know i can't read his mind but i will tell you that he said way before he became a philanthropist he said that the second part of his life was going to be giving away his money and then he did it and he would be probably one of the most effective philanthropist because he puts in the work to figure out where the money makes the most difference now why is it that anybody hates him and what do you think he would do if he bought up a bunch of farmland there is no there is no scenario in which he can make money from the things he's doing like one exception would be nuclear energy i do believe that he could make money in gen 4 nuclear energy if that's the thing that takes off but he's not really the guy who would make that kind of play that would just be one of his investments he's got to be doing that for social reasons right if it wouldn't make sense to put that much money in one company i don't think if he were betting on nuclear in general he'd probably spread his money around maybe he has i don't know but for power issues so what what if you think that if you think the gates is going for power like his own personal power then you have to explain why he's doing it the wrong way and it would be obvious what the right way is which is just buy some politicians fund some organizations the usual way does soros you know you don't see george soros inventing any toilets for africa right he doesn't need to he just buys organizations so if you told me that bill gates funded some organization and through it he wanted power i'd say well look at that but if you look at the whole portfolio of what he's doing there isn't okay let's say ego let's say bill gates is doing it for ego do you have a problem with that oh i cured malaria but i don't get any credit because i just did it to look good no that's not how it works you let him get that credit you know you i i labeled myself a uh grandiose narcissist there are a couple different kinds of narcissists there's one that's just all bad the grandiose kind is just trying to get credit for doing good stuff but they actually try to do good stuff they're not just lying they're trying to actually do some good stuff so when you see me trying to you know take any credit for something it's because i'm trying to do some good stuff right that's not a crime all right um so i will publicly debate anybody who wants to embarrass themselves by saying that they know so little about how business works that they think what bill gates is doing the the portfolio of what he's doing is to make money you would have let me challenge you to this i challenge you to find anybody with an mba who holds that opinion somebody who has a master's in business somebody understands business models how to make money here's your challenge find anybody with an mba so that would suggest a lot of business education at least if not experience find anybody with an mba who agrees with you that he's in it for the money and if you say the tax write-offs you really need to talk to somebody who knows what business is no you can't make money on tax write-offs you can only lose less you can't make money with tax write-offs that's not a thing all right uh so uh the panda tribune a twitter account you should probably follow so just look for the panda tribune did a cool analysis of musk and his purchase of twitter and what his best options are and what and the bottom line is that musk is playing this correctly so his his backing out of the deal and then going to court over it etc is the right play no matter how it turns out so he's played the odds correctly and here's the argument let's say that let's say that musk has to pay the one billion dollar breakup fee it's still better than buying a company that used to be worth you know he was going to pay 54 billion but now it's worth only 44 billion the stock price so it's better to to lose a billion than to waste all that difference between what it's actually worth and what he was actually going to pay you know 10 billion or so so it definitely makes sense to walk away but here's the thing that's that the panda tribune adds and i've i've always believed this would be the obvious way things would go but i don't think i've ever said it so tell me if i've ever said this in public the the leaders of twitter have a fiduciary responsibility to get the best deal for twitter they can't walk away from the best deal if there's only one mark if there's only one offer for twitter and it's musk nobody else is offering that's important if there's only one offer and he says he's going to walk away and pay the billion dollars he hasn't said that but if he did what should the twitter leadership do to do their best job for the stockholders they should renegotiate the purchase price and they should try to get something that's between the 54 that he offered that he's walking away from and the 44 that it's worth so if twitter is smart they'll make him an offer that's somewhere in the middle he will have saved let's say five billion dollars by not paying the highest price they will have done better than they could have done before biden has covered somebody's shouting the biden has covered that's not a news event is it that's just somebody shouting that oh it's a new oh it's just announced oh okay huh so biden has covered i don't know if that means anything i mean even at his age he'll probably be fine right he's all boosted and whatever interesting all right well we'll find out more about that um so anyway it looks at this point that the most likely if you follow the money the most likely outcome is that twitter and musk will walk away from the current deal but they will keep negotiating because there might be a price where they can make the deal but i don't know that they'll ever be able to make the deal unless they reveal their bot traffic so maybe maybe a future deal would have more uh more teeth than about proving the bots or something but the bottom line is that musk will uh will come out ahead by walking out of the deal like under every scenario musk comes out ahead by challenging the deal even if he loses a billion dollars it's better than the alternative um so it looks like trump is going to be hit with some uh rupaur videos today by the january six people and by that i mean outtakes that don't show the full context and here's how here's how cnn is trying to frame this in advance so they're they're prepping you for this so uh so adam schiff and you know all the usual people that you don't trust uh are saying oh this is going to be really bad where do you see these outtakes and what they're saying is that there'll be significant quote um i think schiff said this significant in terms of what the president was willing to say and what he wasn't willing to say what's that mean so you're going to be shocked by this bombshell this shift tells you will be significant okay that's general in terms of what the president was willing to say and what he wasn't willing to say in other words they have video of him saying things he wanted to say but they don't have video of him saying the things he didn't want to say i think he said nothing right it would be significant that's general uh because of he wanted to say things and what so if you read this quickly it sounds like he's telling you that there's a bombshell coming but if you read the actual words there's nothing there there's just nothing there and here's what's going to happen they're going to show these and here's what they're warning us we will see on these outtakes you're going to see trump arguing that he wants to characterize the january six protesters as patriots oh no i didn't see that coming bombshell that's right trump wanted to characterize the protests as patriots because that's what they are they could be wrong they could be wrong about why they were there but they were patriots they are even the ones in jail even the ones that got violent they were violent they need to they need to answer for that but they were patriots that was the only reason anybody was there was being a patriot there was no other reason no other reason it was just that and and cnn's reporting that that's like suspicious that's kind of suspicious that you think all the patriots are called patriots why would you call the patriots patriots suspicious um the other thing the other bombshell is that uh what is it there was some other claim that was like as innocuous as that uh all right whatever it is but there there are going to be two claims that are absolutely empty but they're selling us they're gaslighting us that something's happening while proving that to us simultaneously that nothing's happening they're going to show us nothing and then talk about it like it was something and it will work because it just worked right in front of you adam schiff just talked about literally nothing but made it sound like you saw something oh my god the bombshell oh as regarding the thing about the significance of the importance of the bombshell of the shocking news only all they've done is that they've got rid of all the content now and all they do is the shocking words okay mr schiff can you give us your read on today's events well it's a shocking shocking news of a significant event it's going to be a bombshell i think you'll be shocked and appalled at the bombshell shocking events that are significant all the content is gone all the content is gone and and they can still sell it without the content because it was never about the content it wasn't if you could sell it without the content well i should tell you something it was always about the feeling it was never the content all right um here's some new news my favorite story of the day uh 53 this is a rasmussen poll uh 53 percent of democrat voters say uh hillary clinton should not run for president again in 2024.

now you know you would not be surprised that republicans and independents agree by a larger number but 53 percent of democrats don't want hillary clinton okay but is it worse yes it's worse than that cnn reports and by far this is the most entertaining part of the news like you wouldn't notice it unless you dug in a little bit to get the really funny part but this is cnn's reporting uh they have their own poll in which they say the biggest shifts are that democrats and independents uh stopped believing in the credibility of our elections now let me say that again you probably said did you think i misspoke that since 2021 there's been a big shift in the public's belief about the credibility of the elections the shift is that democrats went from largely believing elections were credible to not to democrats did you think i said it wrong again did you think i said republi you did you think i meant republicans when i said that no let me say it again clearly democrats i'll give you the numbers in early 2021 this is cnn's reporting remember this is important this is cnn all right in early 2021 90 of democrats said they were at least somewhat confident that elections reflected the will of the people uh what in one year they went from 90 democrats saying that the the elections were valid what do you think that is now for democrats did you think i misspoke and said when i met republicans no i'm only talking democrats only democrats went from 90 thinking they trusted the election to currently 57 percent 57 democrats in one year democrats went from 90 trusting their own election to 57 percent and they won they won the election did i mention that they won and they went from 90 i don't even know what to say about this what do you think i have a hypothesis and it goes like this the january 6 hearings are making democrats trust elections less i'll tell you why it's a hypnosis theory and they have not thought this through they did not think it through let me give you an example you've heard this example before don't think of an elephant right now don't do it don't do it don't think of an elephant do not think of a giant pachyderm with big ears and a trunk that's my elephant impression don't do it how did you do did you succeed in not thinking about that elephant okay so the first the first rule of hypnosis is you can't not think about things if it's in your face you're thinking about it you can't unthink things so that's the first rule thinking's automatic second rule is your opinion of what matters is what you hear about the most not because it matters the most what you think matters the most is just what you hear about i keep hearing about that that must matter doesn't matter what did the january 6 hearings do well the logical point of them was to make a logical case that republicans are bad people you know that's the there was a political show trial still is but that's a concept do people remember concepts yeah i mean if you give them a test on it later they might get the right answer but they really remember how you make them feel and so this is what the january 6 event has done those elections were not rigged the elections were not rigged the elections were not stolen all of those many many many claims of evidence of elections are not real those two thousand mules didn't go to those drop boxes all you heal all you hear is that the elections are sketchy no matter how many times they tell you that the republicans are wrong or lying about the elections what you hear is why are we talking about elections being sketchy or what we're still talking about elections being sketchy right i just woke up today and it's a new day and democrats are still talking about elections being sketchy now the concept is they're blaming other people but it feels like all they're talking about is elections being unreliable now here's the payoff what happened to republican opinion about the reliability of the 2020 election or elections in general i think it's elections in general republican confidence in the elections went up in the same period republican confidence in the elections went up in the same period it went from low right it was 23 percent were confident after the trump experience in 2020 but it's up to 29 so republicans have watched the same news and by a smaller margin but they've come to be convinced okay maybe we're in better shape than i thought right because the news showed the republicans that no courts had found anything and time goes by and you know all these crazy kraken claims didn't come through some number of republicans just said well you know i had my questions but maybe i'll release on that for now so am i am i wrong that that's the best hypothesis for what's happening because i don't know what else would be happening if if cnn is non-stop in msnbc non-stop telling their base that the elections are fine how do you explain it how do you how do you explain that gigantic drop in confidence of the democrats when their own side just keeps telling them everything is fine it's got to be the hypnotist thing right it's got to be just that the topic itself is poison because you can't talk about election fraud all day long and then not and then have people think there is none so the entire thing is about look at all this smoke oh look at all this smoke there's no fire there oh look at this other smoke well it's very smoky it's very smoky but every time we look for the source of the smoke it's not there but did i tell you how smoky it is well there's another another smoke oh there's some more smoke but so far all the smoke we found is nothing but boy there's a lot of smoke am i selling my point i don't know that this is what's going on but it looks like they sold the opposite of what they were selling right at least at least you have to throw my hypothesis into the mix at the very least it's a high possibility that this worked just the way it should have worked if you had asked me what would be the likely outcome of this and somehow you could describe it to me before it happened i would have said whoa i don't know if you want to spend so much time talking about the thing you said didn't happen right why does russia collusion persist russia collusion persists in the minds of democrats not because they followed the followed the case and found that it wasn't true they still believe it because they heard it so many times that's it if you say russia collusion enough times it doesn't matter if the outcome was there was none it matters that you heard it a lot so why would that be any different the the democrats are basically a herded a lot machine you say the same thing over and over again and they just hear it right so the problem with the allegations of the election rigging are that the people making the allegations were the republicans if if the situation was that the allegations were being made by the democrats then giving attention to the allegations even if they're false is a good play because you're just giving attention to the thing you want to give attention to they made a big mistake by giving attention to a republican claim so you can't talk about it being false without talking about it they claim the election is rigged they claim the election is rigged they claim the election is rigged i think i think they convinced their own base that the election was rigged yeah it's directly from my book right i mean what i'm saying now is from my book on the same topic it's not like i made it up now to you know fit the facts to it or something i've been saying this for a long time it's a well concept right nothing new here all right um i love cnn's the way they they gaslight with words so they've been saying that republicans claim 2020 was rigged and then they used this phrase despite the lack of evidence do you think that's a true statement that that their claim is the election that people are saying the election in 2020 was rigged quote despite the lack of evidence well it turns that turns out that the word evidence can be used in two ways i had to check just to be sure one way is that evidence is used sort of interchangeably with proof that's one definition and in that case the evidence is not really evidence like it's not actual evidence unless it actually supports the truth so by that definition it wouldn't be evidence if it was just misleading so misleading evidence wouldn't be evidence it would just be something misleading by that definition so they can use evidence and proof sort of interchangeably and the english language allows them to do that do you know what else the english language allows you to do it allows you to treat the word evidence as not being proof so the word could go either way evidence can mean proof or lack of proof when they say no evidence or it could mean the opposite and they since the public can't tell the difference they can get away with that but they've they've stretched that somewhere um they've stretched it to despite the lack of evidence so that part they get away with because of the gray area of the word evidence but then they go all the way to this despite that trump continues to push the quote falsehood that the election was stolen he's pushing the falsehood falsehood how do you know something's false because you proved it that's not a thing all you know is you don't have proof that it's true there's no proof there's no it's not a falsehood so when cnn labels this a falsehood that's just a lie it's just the lie it's a lie that could be true because nobody knows because we don't have an auditable fully auditable system but yeah it's like they they do these little word tricks just to move you from a gray area word evidence that could be taken either way all the way to falsehood that can't be taken either way so you see the the verbal trickery where they can get you from a maybe word to a definite word and make you not notice the difference it's very clever all right here's a question that also might get to why the democrats are maybe having little differences of agreement about january 6.

and let me let me put this out there uh democrats don't like republicans are you with me so far generally speaking democrats are not lovers of republicans in sort of a general way lots of exceptions and wouldn't you say that democrats are always looking for the worst spin to put on whatever republicans are doing and vice versa republicans are looking at the worst spin to put the democrats in that's sorry that's our general situation right but let me ask you this do you think there are any democrats who are under the impression that any republicans are not patriots you think even even if their democrats don't like republicans do you think that they believe that they're not patriots i don't think so i think that they think that republicans are dumb they think republicans are anti-science they think republicans are you know immoral for various reasons whatever that's all true but do you think that anybody like even one even one do you think there's even one democrat anywhere who believes that republicans are not patriots meaning that they're country first i don't think so right i think they now you you see rhetoric that says that they don't but i think that's just twitter rhetoric right that's just trolls the average democrat does believe that the average republican cares about the constitution even more than self sometimes so how does the average democrat explain all of these patriots marching on january 6.

it's a little hard to explain to yourself isn't it because no matter what they think about these people you have to go pretty far into crazy land to imagine that they're not patriots at least in turn in terms of their internal thinking they could be wrong they could be patriots have bad information they could be patriots within within the group some of them criminal that's all possible but i don't think there's any democrat who really believes like in a private moment do you think there's any democrat like a serious person not not a troll but a serious person who thinks that the the republicans are not patriots at the base yeah somebody said bill maher believes that i don't know you think he does about not i don't know what he said but i'll bet if you talk to him privately you said all right bill do you seriously think that republicans in general are not really patriot oriented like protect the congress you know protect not congress protect the constitution i don't think they think that so i think there's something that's bugging democrats that's unspoken and i think that something is they know they're being gaslighted but they don't know exactly what's going on i feel like democrats have to have some suspicion that the most basic thing about republicans that they're patriots first seems to be opposite of what the january 6 hearings are trying to present and i don't know how they can't notice that you could notice a lot of things but you couldn't notice that now i didn't i didn't ask my uh quote democrat friend who i often mentioned i did not i did not ask him that question because it didn't occur to me until recently because i you know one of the things i wanted to do was excuse me um i wanted to make a list of things you would have to believe in order to agree with your own team and it could work for both democrats and republicans so one of the things you would have to believe to believe the january 6 situation is you would have to believe that our elections are both transparent fully auditable and that we can do it somewhat instantly am i right you would have to believe that otherwise asking for more information about the audit would make perfect sense it wouldn't look like any kind of a crime unless you thought it had already been done or could easily be done and or you know that sort of thing but here's another thing in order for you to believe the january 6th narrative as a democrat you would have to believe that republicans are only fake patriots that they're only pretending to be patriots but what they really want is their dictator in power that you'd have to believe that in order to believe any of the narrative because what i believe is that there's not a republican life who would have let trump stay in office if he had lost that's what i believe now that's an exaggeration there would always be some lawyer or something who says yeah stay there there would always be somebody but let's let me back that up to less of an absolute because it just makes people crazy when i talk in absolutes and probably should i try to avoid it yeah i i yeah i just think democrats probably are noticing that there's something fishy about the january 6th thing probably all right so unless something changes your future looks like this trump wins the election and the democrats throw away everything they believed or they say they believe right now and they say these elections we'd better fix these because they don't look reliable now now of course what they're going to say is that the vote was suppressed and i'm sure that'll be the thing they're finally waking up maybe a little bit all right um am i wrong that all the news looks good so the stock market was up yesterday i think the futures were down so it's probably down today so mark it down let's take a look the market is yeah it's almost flat some up some down kind of flat uh something happened with tesla cartoonist says biden getting coveted is good news that's more like a nothing news scott are you buying crypto no no no i'm not a crypto investor uh i'm a crypto diversifier slight difference right you could argue that's not different but i would never invest in a crypto i would only hold some of the big ones just in case you know a little bit in your portfolio just in case you never know in case civilization falls apart you just gotta have a bitcoin for something your dad grew up with biden and never heard of the oil on the windshield biden's hair sniffing finally caught up with him he got covered he caught covered from a little girl's hair tessa evaluation way off the mark i don't know what that means if you have to look at your stock every day then you shouldn't have it that's a good rule my rule is i look at my stocks every day the market is up and every day the market is down i don't look at them because looking at it is only made to make you feel good or bad it doesn't have an investment purpose right that which be this is the point the point is you should buy them and hold them so when i look at them it's just purely for psychological gain so when they're up i look at them when they're down i don't look at them that's my advice yeah look at it from the entertainment value exactly that's perfectly good uh oh bill gates shorting tesla so bill gates shorted tesla what so what i don't know does that tell me anything aren't there a lot of people shorting tesla i think that's a that's not like an obscure position oh they have some billiard battle yeah the us open confirms novak can't play unless he's vaccinated seriously wow really i thought we were past that but it looks like it looks like cove is coming back right um you wonder if biden is going to be taken out because of the coven now let me ask you this if if biden gets long coveted uh but won't tell me what it is yeah if if biden gets long covenant he's not going to be capable at what point does kamal harris have to take over now if you have not had if you've not had coveted or if you and i had a bad case like i did um you don't know how bad this is can i get an amen from anybody who had covet and says i wouldn't want to be president with this in my head right how many how many of you think you could have made presidential decisions under covet i i couldn't my decision was absolutely degraded absolutely degraded and let me ask you this are you comfortable that he hasn't already been removed i don't know what his symptoms are but he's so fragile that covert long covet alone should activate the vice president am i right covid alone should activate the vice president and and let me double down on that all right i'm going to go where you don't want me to go if this were trump same thing right if trump gets coveted in office um he had it right but if come if trump gets it again at whatever his you know future age is right he did but he was a little bit younger but if trump gets at his new age in office you know let's say election plus two years what would trump be in in four years let's say four years trump would be 82 82.

do the math for me how old would trump be in four years how come you haven't told me that how old is trump you'd be 80 in four years you're a baby do you think that an 80 year old president should stay in office when they have covert i don't i mean i'm 65 and there's no way i could have made good decisions while i had coveted no way you take it you take me at 80 and give me you give me the same code that i had uh at 65 at age 80 you do not want me making any decisions trust me and i feel like i'm pretty mentally sound and you would not want me making decisions under those conditions so i think we need to trigger the vice president right away if it's true that he has coveted now i get it that the doctor's gonna look at it and if there's no symptoms there's no symptoms maybe maybe but if there are symptoms that brain fog stuff is really bad stuff you don't want that so i think we need to trigger the vice president right away just just for the risk of it because the thing is i don't know if biden would tell you he had brain fog would he do you have brain fog oh no i don't have any brain fog what do you know yeah what do you know i don't know i'm not see that's the other thing i'm not sure that people know how much their brain is degraded here's a study i'd love to see since we know the brain fog is a thing i mean that's pretty well established i think could you do a test of iq of people who are in covet experiencing it like not even long covered just in it and a test of iq for somebody not infected ever and you do enough of the tests to you know get an average i'll bet there'd be a difference i'll bet you would find that the iq of a person with with covent is lower about you would temporarily because it takes your energy away and have you ever tried to take a test when you're tired it's a big difference right so there's no way that you that people with covet are operating at the same mental capacity as people without it people have never had it no way i mean i'd be lucky if i get back to where i was and by the way i don't know if i have well i was telling you earlier that i was rereading my writing from 2004 and if you if you asked me before yesterday scott did the covid and the long covid that gave you the brain fog do you think there's a permanent you know thing that happened with that i would say no no i feel fine in fact if you ask me i feel like at the top of my mental acuity right now no no problem at all and then i read my own writing for 2004.

modified my opinion a little bit i don't know if you know where i'm going on this but in 200 in 2004 i could write a sentence let me tell you i could write a good sentence i'm not so sure they would be just as good today even though i feel like i'm at 100 but when i read my my younger writing i looked at it and said i don't know if i could do that i don't know maybe i can do better i don't know for sure but i got a real it was a wake-up call when i saw how tight my writing was from 15 years ago if i write a book today which i'm doing which hopefully will be a gigantic bestseller but i got my questions yeah i got my questions whether i'm just as sharp here's what i think is happening i think i'm less sharp but i have more skills in my stack i think i come out ahead but i think you would notice the difference that's what i think i definitely have more skills in my overall skill stack so that might come through in my writing and give me an advantage but definitely the quickness is diminished yeah definitely all right and dems that passed a new protocol to make it easier to remove a president tesla investors what bet on recovery and fantasy yeah tesla tesla definitely has some fantasy elements but let me give you the counter argument for tesla i heard this from adam townsend who's a great follow on twitter by the way adam townsend you should follow him and this is why i actually bought stock in tesla which is unusual for me i wouldn't normally buy an individual company i normally diversify but it's because tesla is a power company it's not a car company if you bought it as a car company you look at all the other electric cars and you say lots of competition there and that doesn't look good but if you see it as an energy company because the world is going to need a whole bunch of batteries it's a whole different deal if you see it as an energy company you have a whole different feeling about it and that completely reframed my opinion of it the the cars might be irrelevant in the long run i mean you remember was it ebay ebay started out selling pez dispensers i think the tesla automobile might be the pez dispenser for tesla it's it's just a total fake out of where the company is going i think cars are the temporary product that the big the big product is energy and maybe ai ai and energy probably logistics that sort of thing probably yeah amazon started out with books right exactly perfect example i think tesla is just starting with cars i don't think it's a car company in the long run um the pez dispenser was a made-up pr story yeah okay you got me the the pez dispenser story about ebay is a sort of up origin story but it was close enough to my point but you're right i take that fact check i accept your fact check but it doesn't change the basic point um you don't care for the looks of the new truck well a lot of people ordered it all right all right that's all for now is there anything i missed is there any topic that you wish you had my opinion on i don't know why um delta airlines started as a crop dusting service all right um i believe the golden age is with us uh no i'm not a gamer somebody asked if i'm a gamer and i'm not and it's only because it's too addictive i'll tell you my gamer story just so you've heard it once in case you haven't at the dawn of video gaming when i think sony sony had the the best console for a while uh i may have the name right i think it was sony and i was a young man computers were just taken off and i said i've got to have one of those video games where i can shoot shoot aliens out of space and so i bought this thing it was really hard to get i forget which one it was and maybe a sega i don't know i can't remember but i got this system and i brought it home uh i forget which one it was and i played it for about eight hours straight and when i was done i felt terrible terrible like i lost eight hours of my life and all i could think of was getting back to do it again and nothing had been better i wasn't smarter stronger more successful i had just lost eight hours that's it and i felt all nervous not only did i lose eight hours it wasn't fun it was like anxious making because i had to shoot more aliens gotta shoot more aliens aliens aliens and so after after uh you know months of trying to get this thing because it was hard to get for some reason there was some kind of shortage i finally got one i packed that thing up took it back to the store for a full refund and said i never want to be close to one of these again and i haven't so i i've avoided gaming in all its forms because it was too dangerous and remember by the by that time i was you know i was already a trained hypnotist as a trained hypnotist you you sample that you run away and this would be this would be an interesting experiment i i'll give you a hypothesis my hypothesis is that trained hypnotists don't play video games test that okay go do a test on that just a claim trained hypnotist and i'll go further somebody who has a phd in psychology they don't play video games i'll bet you i'll bet you people with a phd in psychology do not play video games i'll bet you medical doctors even let's say young ones even going through medical school and stuff probably do some of them but i'll bet not nearly as much as the average person not nearly as much right and there's a reason if you have any exposure to that world you know the world of psychology and mental health if you have any exposure to it at all as soon as you spend a little time playing video games you know this is this shit's dangerous and you just run away it's good for surgery skills somebody says maybe some yeah so that was my take it was too addictive now um how do i explain not running away from twitter does anybody know my rationalization for that how do i rationalize spending so much time on twitter because i know it's addictive yeah i rationalize it as a business tool right but at the same time i'm rationalizing i'm so aware that it's a rationalization so aware now it's also true like it's true it is a business tool it is sort of essential for what i'm doing here it would be tough to do without it but also it's because i love it right i don't i don't have a time scheduled for the russell brand conversation i see some people asking over here um i believe he's filming which by the way i wish someday i could say that russell brand's producer said they'll get back to me with scheduling because uh russell is off filming i want to use that as my excuse someday oh oh i'd love to do that but ah i'll be filming that week doesn't that sound better than anything you're doing because you're working no he's not off working he's off filming he's filming way better than working how much time do you spend each day on twitter pretty much all of the in between time so i try not to like sit down and do twitter but you're always waiting for something aren't you you know like you're walking back and forth or you're you know you're in between stuff so it's my in-between thing but in between is most of my day right i probably spend more time between things than i do on any one thing so if you if you were to mass all the actual minutes good question i'll give you an estimate as best i can subjectively if i if i imagine my day and how many times i check one hour one hour best guess one hour per day it might be off that feels like about right but because it's in 30 second increments so there's probably 120 half minute you know increments during the day yeah it is it is a time suck and it is an addiction but like i said i got a rationalization max says are you dating max i don't think you're my type but thanks for asking check your iphone for time spent on twitter oh yeah let's let's do that it's in the settings screen time that's just screen time right i don't know uh app um i don't want to do tech support while you're live streaming here but i thought it'd be easier to find it um i thought it'd be under screen time that's where i'd put it where would you put it on your phone see all activity all activity where's that all right well thank you apple for making it once again impossible to find anything yeah i can't find it yeah as usual there are three ways to get to it there's always five ways to do i think on your phone and four of them don't work do i like ethnic or spicy food i thought everybody did of course i do um a friend over on youtube somebody's mad at backs for for getting noticed in the comments and wasting his question on it all right battery use um oh it's a battery use thing if i look at my battery use that will tell me what i'm using now there we go battery use and where would i see that all right well i'll figure that out later um i'm just looking at your i know it's in the settings uh scott would you date a trans to avoid persecution i'm not sure i understand the question would i date a trans to avoid persecution i don't know if that's a thing uh count your antennas what your comments are all weird now uh screen time and see all activity i don't have that option if i hit this is like looking for anything on social media if you try to google how to do anything you'll always get an answer and it would be wrong have you had that experience if you have any technical question except for how to how to reboot your uh os that's about the only one you get the right answer but anything that's like a technical question you'll definitely get an answer and it will be wrong every time ninety percent of the time i'd say ninety percent of the technical solutions on google are absolutely wrong all right all right uh that's all for now and i will talk to you oh the name of the prequel to god's debris is called the religion war uh i heard earlier that it's so hard to get it got bit up to 60 on on amazon because it's it's out of print it'd be hard to find but i got to tell you it blew me away when i read it i'm not even sure i could read it without too much of an emotional reaction that was my plan all right that's all for now i'll talk to you tomorrow

good morning everybody

whoa let me put my

microphone on you can hear me and

everything

there you go there you go

it's all better now now

the book was called the religion war

that's an answer to the people on locals

who asked the question

but that's not why you're here you're

here because this is the highlight of

civilization

every single day and today nothing but

optimism

can you handle it

can you handle nothing but good news

it's going to be like that we have

entered

the golden age

and if you'd like to take it up a notch

and

join the dimension of

people vibrating just right all you need

is a copper mug or a glass of time

hold on

take here from the top

all you need is a copper mug or glasses

to take your chance to find a canteen

jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill

it with your favorite liquid i like

coffee and join me now for the

unparalleled pleasure the dopamine today

i think makes everything better it's

called the simultaneous

sip

and it's amazing it's going to happen

now

go

well i was telling the people on the

locals platform before you joined here

on youtube and spotify

that uh well first of all i saw a news

story that drinking three cups of coffee

will make you live longer

i haven't read it but

since the headline agrees with me

good enough

that's the way i evaluate studies

if you're trying to figure out which

scientific studies to trust

here's a good tip

trust the ones that

confirm your suspicions

and reject everything else that's how i

do it it's called science

well what i was going to talk about is

uh

i wrote a book back in 2004

at least that's when it was published

there was a prequel

to my book god's debris

now some of you are saying oh my

favorite topic

and others of you others of you are

saying

god's debris that's a weird book i never

knew a cartoonist wrote a book named

that

well if you don't know what i'm talking

about

it was written in 2001 god's debris was

and is still a worldwide phenomenon

it's just that

there's a certain type of person who's

reading it and has ever since it came

out and and they formed almost like a

secret society at this point like the

people who who have read that book

and and they they talk to me about it

all the time it's one of the biggest

topics in my life

this is weird probably if you if you're

if you're familiar with my work

it would probably sound weird to you

that one of the biggest topics people

talk to me about has nothing to do with

dilbert nothing to do with politics or

trump or any of that stuff

it's a little book i wrote in 2001

called god's debris

now it can't be described uh

you'd have to you'd have to look into it

it's it's beyond description but here's

the funny part

i wrote a prequel

because god's debris did so well

and it got very little notice i don't

remember why maybe i didn't

promote it or something

and i called it a sequel but it was

actually a prequel

and i hadn't read it for 15 years myself

so when erica uh so nicely sent me a

copy of my own book because i didn't

have a copy

i wanted to look at it but i didn't have

a copy

and so

so erica sent me a copy of my own book

and i started reading it yesterday

and uh

it is way way stronger than it was in

2004

and the reason is that

it held a number of predictions about

what was going to happen

and the predictions are close enough to

reality that it's going to freak you out

it freaked me out just reading because i

didn't remember all the things i'd done

and as i read it i thought oh jeez

its relevance just increased

so i might read it

i don't know i have the digital rights

to it so i might read it into

youtube or locals or something at some

point

um

that was self-indulgent that had nothing

to do with you whatsoever why would you

come here to listen to me talk about

myself

here's the coolest news of the day

nasa's perseverance rover

they've got a really clear picture of

something that's sitting on the mars

surface

right by the rover

and it's a bundle of string

wait

what

no seriously it's a real a very clear

picture of a bundle of string

i'm not making that up

and do you know what nasa said was the

uh

the explanation

the explanation was it was some kind of

debris that fell off

the uh

the the rover itself

and so they say it's something about you

know the device itself

now

i'm no

engineer but i'm trying to think

what could possibly fall off a

spacecraft

that is also string

was there some point during the building

of the rover where they said

we've been using rivets for this

we've been using rivets

but on this one component i think we

should wrap it

with a string

how in the world is there any string

as part of the rover

please can anybody explain

how string is part of any part of this

here's my theory

as you know the

the moon landing was faked uh with

puppets

most of you know that by now right the

moon landing never really happened in

1969 that was faked with puppets

it was actually an elaborate puppet show

and now i think we're seeing evidence

that uh the mars rover is not real

it's never been real

clearly it's just another puppet show

and one of the strings fell off the

puppets

and then got captured on camera and now

they're doing this

they're doing this scramble you know

nasa's like god what are we going to do

they got our string

and so now they're trying to sell you

that

some of your finest mars missions

do involve string as part of an

important part of the engineering

so

note 2 elon musk no tli musk if you're

building rockets to colonize mars

and you have no string

well maybe you should work on better

materials because this string made it

all the way to mars

it's good strength

so there's that story

are you noticing that there's a sort of

a

oh let's say a gap or something missing

in the headlines of some of the news but

not all of it

because i looked on fox news and i saw

this

fairly what i would consider

pretty major story of importance

and then i looked for it in other news

sources i didn't see it i didn't see it

now see if you could come up with any

kind of a theory

why this story which i believe is true

looks like a true story

why would it only be on fox news

here's the story

there was some kind of a shooting

incident not too long ago in an indiana

mall

and

there was a fellow named elisha dickens

who was in the restroom when it all

started

and he happened to be armed

so he was just a

customer at the mall he did not have

military or police training

but he was armed i guess he had a

concealed weapon

and he steps out of the the restroom to

find that there's a shooting in progress

from a distance i didn't hear what the

distance was

from a distance

this guy put 8 out of 10 shots into the

shooter with a pistol

from distance

i don't know what the distance was

but you don't have to get too far away

so somebody said 40 or 50 yards

50 yards

are you serious

40 yards

all right trying to visualize that

100 yards is a football field right

so

40 yards of a hundred yard football

field do you think you could shoot

somebody eight out of ten times

from 40 yards

somebody says feet

i don't think it was feet

if it was feet he would have been out

gunned right because the guy had

two rifles and stuff

40 yards all right but it was a good

distance

but here's the thing

apparently this guy was tactically

correct like he was he was getting

bystanders behind him and he was close

he closed he actually closed on the

shooter

and here's the fun part

he neutralized the shooter with 8 out of

10 bullets into the body of the shooter

in 15 seconds

it took him 15 seconds

to leave the restroom

assess the risk properly

assess the risk properly

and neutralize it in 15 seconds

oh my god

now

how republican was he

i mean it's not reported

nobody reported his political leanings

but

how republican was he

am i right

i mean if we find out it was a democrat

i will i will publicly

you know

embarrass myself by saying well no

that was i was totally wrong but if that

guy isn't a republican i'll be amazed

i'll be amazed and so i tweeted that the

safest place in america is next to an

armed republican

that's true isn't it

the safest place in america

is near a armed republican

now

now i suppose the i suppose january 6

was a glaring exception to that

but generally speaking

you couldn't be safer than next to an

armed republican

so i mean that's a real thing

all right um

here's a hypothetical question for you

yeah i don't think this is going to

happen but just hypothetically

let's say trump runs for reelection and

he wins with 75 percent of the popular

vote again it's not going to happen this

is not a prediction

but what if he did

you know let's say the other candidate

had some scandal or whatever it was just

like it was just a blowout

at the end of the election with if trump

got 75 of the vote you think the

democrats would say

wow good race

nicely done

or do you think that they would say that

the election was rigged what do you

think

do you think they'd say it was rigged

despite having no court

certified

evidence

i believe they would

now let us predict the future shall we

what is the most likely outcome of trump

and 2024 the most likely outcome is that

he runs right

i'm not predicting it yet

because i think things could go either

way still

but probably trump runs right

probably he runs that's the most likely

if he runs what is most likely to happen

in terms of who wins

he'll probably win

don't you think

i think he'll probably run and he'll

probably win

now what would the democrats say if that

happens the most probable outcome

they're going to say the election was

rigged aren't they

and they're not going to have any court

approved evidence of it

and

i don't know how much i'm going to enjoy

this

but i'm already getting ready for it

like i don't know if there's a movie or

a tv show i've ever wanted to watch more

than the day after the 2024 election

when the democrats are screaming that

the election was rigged

and they need more transparency and they

need just a little bit more time to run

some audits

how much are you going to enjoy

that it'll be glorious

you remember elon musk said and i've

said it as well

that there for some reason reality tends

to trend toward the most entertaining

outcome not to the participants but to

the observers

can you imagine a more entertaining

outcome than trump reclaiming the

presidency and the democrats claiming

the election was rigged i can't

i can't not only would it be the most

entertaining

it's also the most likely

probably there's a solid

60 chance that exact scenario will

happen don't you think

would you go with me at 60

if you take the entire chain of

probability from

trump probably running

probably getting the nomination

probably winning the general election

probably the democrats will say it was

rigged

am i wrong

there's at least a 60 chance that we're

going to get the most entertaining

outcome

it's not even i wouldn't even say it's

what i want

but it's the most entertaining

we already have video of them saying it

about the 2016 election right so we know

that we know that the democratic about

2016 what would stop him from saying it

about the next election nothing

so entertainment here we come it's

coming

well

um

as i've taught you you can predict the

future by following the

money follow the money and here's

something that you should have seen

coming

and you should continue to see coming it

goes like this i heard professor scott

galloway talk about this first

but it's also kind of a general math

based business concept it goes like this

if you're a big company

just like every company that's public

you have sort of an obligation to grow

right if you have stockholders they're

kind of expecting you to grow

so in order to grow

if you're a small company

any new market you get into will help

you grow

but if you're an enormous company like

amazon or apple

you can't just say oh i think we'll make

keychains

because

all the keychains in the world wouldn't

make you enough money to you know move

your big numbers because you're starting

with such a big number

so you have to enter markets that are

already gigantic

and there aren't that many gigantic

markets left

there's education

you know which the the private sector

has not really gone big on education but

it's guaranteed because it's such a big

market one of the big companies has to

take it on

self-driving cars

all of the big companies have to be

there

they all have to because it's one of the

few things that's so big

that it could move their their their

numbers

but the other thing is healthcare

the the big companies that are not in

healthcare

almost have to get into it because

that's where the money is there's

nothing else that has enough money

flowing around that they can they can

really improve their their top revenue

number

and so we see exactly what you would

predict so the scott galloway

prediction that big companies have to

enter big markets they have no choice

they literally have no choice

so if you wonder it was amazon going to

go big in the health care market

yes

yes turns out they just bought

they bought a big health care provider

for 3.9 billion one medical

so they're a primary care provider so

that's we're talking about the actual

doctor who touches you

so amazon

and and but the thing that caught my

attention is the way amazon

phrased this

and by the way if you're not catching

this this is one of the biggest stories

in the world

it just doesn't have that

people dying part of it you know there's

nobody dying

so you know it doesn't look like a big

story

but it's big

this is really big

let me let me just say the way amazon's

representative described it

quote we think healthcare is high on the

list

of experiences that need reinvention oh

here it comes

booking an appointment

waiting weeks or even months to be seen

taking time off work driving to a clinic

finding a parking spot waiting in the

waiting room then the exam room for what

is too often a rushed few minutes with a

doctor then making another trip to a

pharmacy

and

they continue we see lots of

opportunities to both improve the

quality of the experience of give back

time

this is from sb the amazon's svp

neil lindsey

now

is that exactly what you want to hear

from your big american company

that is exactly

that is exactly what i wanted to hear i

because they didn't

she didn't even say cost

she didn't even say cost

or he he didn't even say cost

um

it was about the experience being

completely broken

and how often have you had a

conversation i've i had two of them this

week where some just basic health health

care stuff couldn't get done

no three of them i think i've been in

three conversations this week

yeah just this week three of them where

the where just the process of getting

healthcare was just so broken

that a consumer who is paying for it

couldn't get a basic feature

just the most basic thing

and you're paying for it like the whole

system is pretty up right now and

the expensive yes but that's not even

the big problem the big problem is i

can't get it

the big problem

oh okay

depends who you are if you have money

the big problem isn't the cost

so you can't get it

like i i struggle

at my income level to get basic health

care coverage

services i have to fight for it

like i have kaiser you know it's a hmo

and they have set a rules

and sometimes the rules work well

but lots of times they don't

they don't work for me or other people

so i'm like fighting for health care

that i pay for

like what are you what are the rest of

you doing right i mean i'm in a

privileged situation i have money i've

got health care right best situation you

can be in and i've got to fight for it

like they don't they don't just say

here's some health care do you want it

no i got to fight for it

i got to change policies i got to get

exceptions i get to get a doctor's

approval

what are the rest of you doing

i mean jesus seriously

i mean i'm in the best situation i can

barely get health care it seems like

even when i pay for it so when i see

amazon saying this thing is just messed

up we're going to go fix this

the first thing i say is

who better

seriously

who better

no nobody better amazon is the very best

company you'd want to see doing this now

apple too apparently is also

announced they've got a 60 page white

paper detailing how the

the apple watch will be connected to

their health care

efforts so apple is going also big into

health care

who better

who better right amazon right amazon and

apple just going big on health care if

you don't think this is the biggest

story in the world it's bigger than

it's bigger than everything

it's just there's all good news and

nobody died from it so you're not going

to hear much about it

so that's all changing

good news

so apparently there's even cnn is

reporting now they're not making a big

deal of it but on their page they are

reporting

that uh the cat is on the roof when it

comes to hunter biden and various

charges

that would include let's see

so they're still being talked about

charges that would include tax

violations maybe

false statements and connections with

buying of firearms

blah blah and so we don't know if

there'll be any charges for that but the

investigators

uh i guess the government has sort of a

unwritten rule that they don't like to

uh

interfere in politics

so

the fbi for example

would be less inclined to prosecute

hunter biden while there's an election

coming you know they might want to wait

so it doesn't bias the election

to which i say

wait a minute

isn't this supposed to buy us the

election

that this is not the bias you're

supposed to remove

is it

i feel like this is the bias you're

supposed to insert

does it not make the election let's say

more credible

for us to have more information about

what

joe biden did or did not do regarding

china

wouldn't you like to know if your

current president is owned by china

or do you think it would be good to wait

i wonder if my current president

is in the pocket of china there sure is

a lot of evidence that he made some

deals that would just make you suspect

that china has some pretty good

blackmail material on the president of

the united states but you know what you

should do with that most important

information that you could ever have

about your president

how about

weight uh

let's wait a few years see how it plays

out

what kind of rule is that

like i i get the general rule that you

don't want to prosecute and influence

the elections i get that so and i get

why they they would wait to try to go

after trump for example

now if we were talking about the

president himself

maybe

i'd say maybe wait

but the president's son

what exactly is the reason for waiting

on that

i'm not so sure that makes sense does it

um

anyway

um and uh cnn reporter reveals there's

new details

but they also point out that the

republicans are definitely going to look

into this hunter biden stuff when they

get power which they probably will

so do you think that maybe the democrats

want to make sure that the investigation

of hunter

is com complete before the republicans

get power

and do it right

see where i'm going

if you're going to cover this thing up

you need to get through the entire

process and finish it before the

republicans come to power

so what you might be seeing is the

democrats

trying to strategize how to handle this

and

discount it before the election

and they mean they may need to handle it

themselves before the republicans do it

because republicans aren't going to be

so kind

yeah i think it's going to be a quick

role that's right

you all saw the story yesterday that joe

biden announced he has cancer

now cancer isn't funny

except that i don't think he has cancer

so that's funny all right

how much did you laugh about that i

couldn't stop tweeting about it because

it was just funny

and

so let's let's start with does he have

cancer

i don't think so

i don't think so does anybody think he

actually has cancer and that and that he

is slipped out it could is it very

possible

like i wouldn't rule that out

but i doubt it well pros prostate

doesn't count everybody's age has

prostate cancer

you almost don't count that one because

that's like a slow grower

skin stuff blah blah yeah

all right so here's my prediction

my prediction is he doesn't have a

deadly cancer at the moment

does anybody disagree

but he definitely said it he said it in

clear words but it looked like he just

maybe mixed up something he was reading

on the teleprompter something like that

and then the white house tries to cover

it up by saying it had to do with his

past

non-malignant skin cancer stuff being

pre-cancerous stuff being removed

as if that's what he was talking about

and it was when there was oil on his

windshield from the

every part of this story was hilarious

like

and i was

as i tweeted

imagine the story if trump had made that

that little flurb you know i think it

was just a speaking

misstep

imagine if trump had done that

and imagine if part of the story had

been the oil on his windshield

the news would have said

that trump claims he got cancer by

licking his windshield

that's what to say they say trump got

cancer from licking his windshield he

claims

that's what they would have said

yeah

but they got a different treatment

all right so uh

kudos to rand paul and cory booker who

apparently are joining forces with a

couple other lawmakers who i will say

their names because i'm going to

compliment them too

let's see it's uh

also with representatives earl

blumenauer democrat

and

nancy mace republican

so these four are

adding to some existing legislation

uh laws giving seriously seriously ill

patients access to schedule one drugs

including marijuana and psychedelics

like psilocybin and mdma

now

thank you

just thank you

all right so cory booker somebody he

said i have mixed feelings about cory

booker

i don't think he's quite present

material

but he's pretty awesome in a lot of ways

and

yeah i mean

and i think this is a case

where rand paul and cory booker are just

doing something for the country what do

you think

it's hard it's hard for me to see this

as a political positive for either one

of them

like i love him i love him for doing it

so but i don't know that this would

overall help them

in an electoral way

i don't feel like either of them is

going to be bragging that up as part of

their accomplishments because there are

too many people who are scared of

the whole drug related space i don't see

this as being

politically motivated

am i wrong i mean maybe that's naive

that everything's politically motivated

because they're politicians

but this just doesn't have the smell of

it does it i mean for one thing it's

bipartisan

right

um

so am i right that we could

um

can you turn on slow mode i don't know

what that means

um

is there a slow mode for the comments

is that what you're saying

is that a thing i'm just looking at

youtube somebody said turn on slow mode

do the comments have a slow mode i don't

think that's a thing is it

it's not a feature is it

yes maybe all right i'll look into that

um

but i would just like to say publicly

thank you to

cory booker and rand paul and

mason blumenauer because to me it looks

like they're doing a non-political thing

that is simply good for the world

and probably i'm just guessing

i'll bet they all had some personal

experience

with something some loved one some

family relative or something because

this looks legitimate to me

when was the last time i said here's a

story in the news where everybody's

acting

appropriately

they're acting according to science

they're bipartisan and they're just

doing something that's good for america

when was the last time i told you that

ever

ever

so

let's give these guys a big hand now i

don't even know if they'll be successful

if they're if their

attempt at legislation will get through

i don't know but the fact that they're

even doing this

is like you know big standing ovation

for both of them all four of them

actually

all right um somebody came after me on

twitter again for you know allegedly

defending bill gates but i but here's

the only thing i'm going to defend

i don't defend his personal life that's

up to him

i just i can't stand

people telling me he's in it for the

money

i just can't handle it because that's so

obviously not true that i just don't

know what to do it just makes my head

explode what could be more obviously not

true

that he's not in it for the money he's

developing toilets for africa do you

think that was like at the at the top of

his making money list

don't think so he's literally giving his

money away

do you think he has has anybody ever

made money through massive philanthropy

can you think of one example

where somebody gave away his money

aggressively and made money because of

it

no

please stop saying that he's in it for

the money

now others are saying he's in it for the

power

i don't know

it doesn't look like it

if bill gates was in it for the power

is this the way he'd do it

is that the way you do it if you're the

re at some point he was like richest

person in america do you think the

richest person in america

would try to get power

by inventing toilets for africa

that's how he's doing that

trying to

cure malaria

i don't think so

i think he would just buy politicians

the way anybody else does

wouldn't he you would just buy a

politician and i'm not have you ever

heard that bill gates owns a particular

politician

there are a lot of people who are owned

by billionaires but i haven't heard him

owning one he's like the only name i

haven't heard in that context

i i don't think it could be more obvious

that he's not in it for the money

and look at the way he presents himself

in public

do you think his interest isn't looking

good to you

is there anything about the way bill

gates operates that tells you that his

real interest is how you think of him

everything suggests it's the opposite

he does he doesn't he doesn't even dress

or exercise or

present himself in any way

this suggests he he's like really

interested in the narcissistic

perceptions of himself

now what about philanthropy in general

do you think he's doing philanthropy

because it's you know rehabilitating him

and that's the reason he's doing it

i don't know i can't read his mind

but i will tell you that he said

way before he became a philanthropist he

said that the second part of his life

was going to be giving away his money

and then he did it

and he would be probably one of the most

effective

philanthropist because he puts in the

work to figure out where the money makes

the most difference

now

why is it that anybody hates him and

what do you think he would do if he

bought up a bunch of farmland

there is no there is no scenario in

which he can make money from the things

he's doing

like

one exception would be nuclear energy

i do believe that he could make money in

gen 4 nuclear energy if that's the thing

that takes off

but he's not really the guy who would

make that kind of play

that would just be one of his

investments he's got to be doing that

for social reasons

right

if

it wouldn't make sense to put that much

money in one company i don't think

if he were betting on nuclear in general

he'd probably spread his money around

maybe he has i don't know

but

for power issues

so what what

if you think that

if you think the gates is going for

power

like his own personal power

then you have to explain why he's doing

it the wrong way

and it would be obvious what the right

way is which is just buy some

politicians

fund some organizations the usual way

does soros you know you don't see george

soros inventing any toilets for africa

right

he doesn't need to

he just buys organizations

so

if you told me that

bill gates funded some organization

and through it he wanted power i'd say

well look at that

but if you look at the whole portfolio

of what he's doing there isn't

okay let's say ego

let's say bill gates is doing it for ego

do you have a problem with that

oh i cured malaria but i don't get any

credit because i just did it to look

good

no that's not how it works

you let him get that credit

you know you i i labeled myself a uh

grandiose narcissist there are a couple

different kinds of narcissists there's

one that's just all bad

the grandiose kind is just trying to get

credit for doing good stuff

but they actually try to do good stuff

they're not just lying

they're trying to actually do some good

stuff

so when you see me trying to you know

take any credit for something it's

because i'm trying to do some good stuff

right

that's not a crime

all right

um so i will publicly debate anybody who

wants to embarrass themselves

by saying that they know so little about

how business works that they think what

bill gates is doing the the portfolio of

what he's doing is to make money

you would have

let me challenge you to this i challenge

you to find anybody with an mba

who holds that opinion

somebody who has a master's in business

somebody understands business models how

to make money

here's your challenge find anybody with

an mba so that would suggest a lot of

business

education at least if not experience

find anybody with an mba who agrees with

you that he's in it for the money

and if you say the tax write-offs you

really need to talk to somebody who

knows what business is

no you can't make money on tax

write-offs

you can only lose less

you can't make money with tax write-offs

that's not a thing

all right

uh

so uh the panda tribune a twitter

account you should probably follow so

just look for the panda tribune

did a cool analysis of musk and his

purchase of twitter

and what his best options are and what

and the bottom line is that musk is

playing this correctly

so his his backing out of the deal

and then going to court over it etc

is the right play

no matter how it turns out so he's

played the odds correctly and here's the

argument

let's say that

let's say that musk has to pay the one

billion dollar breakup fee

it's still better than buying a company

that used to be worth you know he was

going to pay 54 billion but now it's

worth only 44 billion the stock price

so it's better to to lose a billion

than to waste all that difference

between what it's actually worth

and what he was actually going to pay

you know 10 billion or so

so it definitely makes sense to walk

away

but

here's the thing that's that the panda

tribune adds

and i've i've always believed this would

be the obvious way things would go but i

don't think i've ever said it

so tell me if i've ever said this in

public

the

the leaders of twitter have a fiduciary

responsibility to get the best deal for

twitter

they can't walk away from the best deal

if there's only one mark if there's only

one offer for twitter and it's musk

nobody else is offering that's important

if there's only one offer

and he says he's going to walk away and

pay the billion dollars he hasn't said

that but if he did

what should the twitter leadership do

to

do their best job for the stockholders

they should renegotiate the purchase

price

and they should try to get something

that's between the 54 that he offered

that he's walking away from

and the 44

that it's worth so if twitter is smart

they'll make him an offer that's

somewhere in the middle

he will have saved let's say five

billion dollars

by not paying the highest price

they will have done better than they

could have done before

biden has covered

somebody's shouting the biden has

covered that's not a news event is it

that's just somebody shouting that

oh it's a new oh it's just announced

oh okay

huh

so biden has covered

i don't know if that means anything

i mean even at his age he'll probably be

fine right

he's all boosted and whatever

interesting all right well we'll find

out more about that

um

so anyway it looks at this point that

the most likely if you follow the money

the most likely outcome is that twitter

and musk will walk away from the current

deal

but they will keep negotiating because

there might be

a price where they can make the deal

but i don't know that they'll ever be

able to make the deal unless they reveal

their bot traffic

so maybe maybe a future deal would have

more uh

more teeth than about proving the bots

or something

but the bottom line is that musk will uh

will come out ahead by walking out of

the deal

like under every scenario musk comes out

ahead by challenging the deal even if he

loses a billion dollars it's better than

the alternative

um

so it looks like trump is going to be

hit with some uh rupaur videos today by

the january six people and by that i

mean outtakes that don't show the full

context and here's how

here's how cnn is trying to frame this

in advance so they're they're prepping

you for this

so uh so adam schiff and you know all

the usual people that you don't trust

uh are saying oh this is going to be

really bad where do you see these

outtakes

and what they're saying is that there'll

be significant quote

um

i think schiff said this significant in

terms of what the president was willing

to say and what he wasn't willing to say

what's that mean

so you're going to be shocked by this

bombshell

this shift tells you will be significant

okay that's general

in terms of what the president was

willing to say and what he wasn't

willing to say in other words

they have video of him saying things he

wanted to say

but they don't have video of him saying

the things he didn't want to say

i think he said nothing right

it would be significant that's general

uh because of he wanted to say things

and

what

so if you read this quickly it sounds

like he's telling you that there's a

bombshell coming but if you read the

actual words there's nothing there

there's just nothing there

and here's what's going to happen

they're going to show these and here's

what they're warning us we will see on

these outtakes

you're going to see trump arguing that

he wants to characterize the january six

protesters as patriots

oh no

i didn't see that coming

bombshell

that's right

trump wanted to characterize the

protests as patriots

because

that's what they are

they could be wrong

they could be wrong

about why they were there

but

they were patriots they are

even the ones in jail

even the ones that got violent

they were violent they need to they need

to answer for that

but they were patriots

that was the only reason anybody was

there was being a patriot there was no

other reason no other reason it was just

that

and and cnn's reporting that that's like

suspicious

that's kind of suspicious that you think

all the patriots are called patriots why

would you call the patriots patriots

suspicious

um the other thing the other bombshell

is that uh

what is it

there was some other claim that was like

as innocuous as that

uh

all right whatever it is but there

there are going to be two claims that

are absolutely empty

but they're selling us they're

gaslighting us that something's

happening while proving that to us

simultaneously that nothing's happening

they're going to show us nothing

and then talk about it

like it was something

and it will work

because it just worked right in front of

you adam schiff just talked about

literally nothing

but made it sound like you saw something

oh my god the bombshell

oh as regarding the thing about the

significance of the importance of the

bombshell of the shocking news

only all they've done is that they've

got rid of all the content now and all

they do is the shocking words

okay mr schiff can you give us your read

on today's events

well it's a shocking

shocking news of a significant event

it's going to be a bombshell

i think you'll be shocked and appalled

at the bombshell shocking events that

are significant

all the content is gone

all the content is gone

and

and they can still sell it without the

content

because it was never about the content

it wasn't

if you could sell it without the content

well i should tell you something

it was always about the feeling it was

never the content

all right

um

here's some new news

my favorite story of the day

uh 53 this is a rasmussen poll

uh 53 percent of democrat voters say uh

hillary clinton should not run for

president again in 2024.

now you know you would not be surprised

that republicans and independents agree

by a larger number but 53 percent of

democrats don't want hillary clinton

okay

but is it worse

yes it's worse than that

cnn reports

and by far this is the most entertaining

part of the news like you wouldn't

notice it unless you dug in a little bit

to get the really funny part

but this is cnn's reporting

uh they have their own poll

in which they say the biggest shifts

are that democrats and

independents uh

stopped believing in the credibility of

our elections

now let me say that again you probably

said did you think i misspoke

that since 2021

there's been a big shift in the public's

belief about the credibility of the

elections

the shift is that democrats went from

largely believing elections were

credible

to not

to democrats did you think i said it

wrong again

did you think i said republi you did you

think i meant republicans when i said

that no let me say it again clearly

democrats

i'll give you the numbers

in early 2021 this is cnn's reporting

remember this is important this is cnn

all right

in early 2021 90 of democrats said they

were at least somewhat confident that

elections reflected the will of the

people

uh what in one year

they went from 90 democrats saying that

the

the elections were valid what do you

think that is now for democrats

did you think i misspoke

and said when i met republicans no i'm

only talking democrats only democrats

went from 90 thinking they trusted the

election to currently

57 percent

57

democrats

in one year

democrats went from 90 trusting their

own election

to 57 percent and they won

they won the election

did i mention that they won

and they went from 90

i don't even know what to say about this

what do you think

[Music]

i have a hypothesis

and it goes like this

the january 6

hearings are making democrats trust

elections less

i'll tell you why

it's a hypnosis theory and they have not

thought this through

they did not think it through

let me give you an example

you've heard this example before

don't think of an elephant right now

don't do it

don't do it don't think of an elephant

do not think of a giant pachyderm with

big ears and a trunk

that's my elephant impression don't do

it

how did you do

did you succeed in not thinking about

that elephant okay so the first the

first rule of hypnosis is

you can't not think about things

if it's in your face you're thinking

about it

you can't unthink things so that's the

first rule

thinking's automatic

second rule is

your opinion of what matters

is what you hear about the most

not because it matters the most

what you think matters the most is just

what you hear about

i keep hearing about that that must

matter doesn't matter what did the

january 6 hearings do

well the logical point of them was to

make a logical case

that republicans are bad people

you know that's the there was a

political show trial still is

but that's a

concept

do people remember concepts

yeah i mean

if you give them a test on it later they

might get the right answer

but they really remember how you make

them feel

and so this is what the january 6

event has done

those elections were not rigged

the elections were not rigged

the elections were not stolen

all of those many many many claims of

evidence of elections are not real

those two thousand mules didn't go to

those drop boxes

all you heal all you hear is that the

elections are sketchy

no matter how many times they tell you

that the republicans are wrong or lying

about the elections

what you hear is

why are we talking about elections being

sketchy

or what we're still talking about

elections being sketchy right

i just woke up today and it's a new day

and democrats are still talking about

elections being

sketchy

now the concept is they're blaming other

people

but it feels like

all they're talking about is elections

being unreliable

now here's the payoff

what happened to republican opinion

about the reliability of the 2020

election or elections in general i think

it's elections in general

republican confidence in the elections

went up

in the same period

republican confidence in the elections

went up

in the same period

it went from low right it was 23 percent

were confident after the trump

experience in

2020

but it's up to 29

so republicans have watched the same

news

and

by a smaller margin but they've come to

be convinced okay maybe we're in better

shape than i thought

right because the news showed the

republicans that no courts had found

anything and time goes by and you know

all these crazy kraken claims didn't

come through

some number of republicans just said

well you know i had my questions but

maybe i'll release on that for now

so am i am i wrong that that's the best

hypothesis for what's happening because

i don't know what else would be

happening

if if cnn is non-stop in msnbc non-stop

telling their base that the elections

are fine

how do you explain it

how do you how do you explain that

gigantic drop in confidence of the

democrats when their own side just keeps

telling them everything is fine

it's got to be the hypnotist thing right

it's got to be just that the topic

itself

is poison

because you can't talk about election

fraud

all day long and then not and then have

people think there is none

so the entire thing is about look at all

this smoke

oh look at all this smoke there's no

fire there oh look at this other smoke

well it's very smoky it's very smoky but

every time we look for the source of the

smoke it's not there but did i tell you

how smoky it is well there's another

another smoke oh there's some more smoke

but so far all the smoke we found is

nothing but boy there's a lot of smoke

am i selling my point

i don't know that this is what's going

on but it looks like they sold the

opposite of what they were selling

right

[Laughter]

at least at least you have to throw my

hypothesis into the mix

at the very least

it's a high possibility

that this worked just the way it should

have worked

if you had asked me what would be the

likely outcome of this and somehow you

could describe it to me before it

happened

i would have said whoa

i don't know if you want to spend so

much time talking about the thing you

said didn't happen

right

why does russia collusion persist

russia collusion persists in the minds

of democrats not because they followed

the

followed the case and found that it

wasn't true

they still believe it because they heard

it so many times that's it

if you say russia collusion enough times

it doesn't matter if the outcome was

there was none

it matters that you heard it a lot so

why would that be any different

the the democrats are basically a herded

a lot machine

you say the same thing over and over

again and they just hear it

right

so the problem with the

allegations of the

election rigging

are that the people making the

allegations were the republicans

if if the situation was that the

allegations were being made by the

democrats then giving attention to the

allegations even if they're false

is a good play

because you're just giving attention to

the thing you want to give attention to

they made a big mistake

by giving attention to a republican

claim

so you can't talk about it being false

without talking about it

they claim the election is rigged they

claim the election is rigged they claim

the election is rigged

i think i think they

convinced their own base that the

election was rigged

yeah it's directly from my book

right i mean what i'm saying now is from

my book on the same topic it's not like

i made it up now to you know fit the

facts to it or something

i've been saying this for a long time

it's a well

concept right nothing new here

all right

um i love cnn's the way they they

gaslight with words

so they've been saying

that

republicans claim 2020 was rigged and

then they used this phrase

despite the lack of evidence

do you think that's a true statement

that

that their claim is the election

that people are saying the election in

2020 was rigged

quote despite the lack of evidence

well it turns that turns out that the

word evidence can be used in two ways

i had to check just to be sure

one way

is that evidence is used sort of

interchangeably with proof

that's one definition

and in that case the evidence is not

really evidence like it's not actual

evidence unless it actually supports the

truth

so by that definition it wouldn't be

evidence if it was just misleading

so misleading evidence wouldn't be

evidence it would just be something

misleading

by that definition so they can use

evidence and proof sort of

interchangeably

and the english language allows them to

do that

do you know what else the english

language allows you to do

it allows you to treat the word evidence

as not being proof

so the word could go either way

evidence can mean proof

or lack of proof when they say no

evidence or it could mean the opposite

and they

since the public can't tell the

difference they can get away with that

but they've they've stretched that

somewhere

um

they've stretched it to

despite the lack of evidence so that

part they get away with because of the

gray area of the word evidence but then

they go all the way to this

despite that

trump continues to push the quote

falsehood that the election was stolen

he's pushing the falsehood

falsehood

how do you know something's false

because you proved it

that's not a thing

all you know is you don't have proof

that it's true

there's no proof there's no it's not a

falsehood so when cnn labels this a

falsehood that's just a lie

it's just the lie it's a lie that could

be true because nobody knows because we

don't have an auditable fully auditable

system but

yeah

it's like they they do these little word

tricks just to move you from a gray area

word evidence

that could be taken either way

all the way to falsehood

that can't be taken either way

so you see the the verbal trickery where

they can get you from a maybe word to a

definite word and

make you not notice the difference it's

very clever

all right

here's a question that also might get to

why the democrats are

maybe having little differences of

agreement about january 6.

and let me let me put this out there

uh

democrats don't like republicans

are you with me so far generally

speaking

democrats are not

lovers of republicans in sort of a

general way lots of exceptions

and

wouldn't you say

that democrats are always looking for

the worst spin to put on whatever

republicans are doing and vice versa

republicans are looking at the worst

spin to put the democrats in that's

sorry that's our general situation right

but let me ask you this

do you think there are any democrats

who are under the impression

that any republicans are not patriots

you think

even even if their democrats don't like

republicans do you think that they

believe that they're not patriots

i don't think so

i think that they think that republicans

are dumb they think republicans are

anti-science they think republicans are

you know immoral for various reasons

whatever that's all true

but do you think that anybody like even

one even one

do you think there's even one democrat

anywhere who believes that republicans

are not patriots meaning that they're

country first

i don't think so

right

i think they now you you see rhetoric

that says that they don't but i think

that's just twitter rhetoric right

that's just trolls the average democrat

does believe that the average republican

cares about the constitution

even more than self sometimes

so how does the average democrat explain

all of these patriots

marching on january 6. it's a little

hard to explain to yourself isn't it

because no matter what they think about

these people

you have to go

pretty far into crazy land

to imagine that they're not patriots at

least in turn in terms of their internal

thinking

they could be wrong they could be

patriots have bad information

they could be patriots

within within the group some of them

criminal

that's all possible

but i don't think there's any democrat

who really believes like in a private

moment

do you think there's any democrat like a

serious person not not a troll but a

serious person who thinks that the

[Music]

the republicans are not patriots at the

base

yeah somebody said bill maher believes

that i don't know you think he does

about not

i don't know what he said but i'll bet

if you talk to him privately you said

all right bill do you seriously think

that republicans in general

are not really patriot oriented like

protect the congress you know protect

not congress protect the constitution

i don't think they think that so i think

there's something that's bugging

democrats

that's unspoken

and i think that something is they know

they're being gaslighted but they don't

know exactly what's going on

i feel like democrats

have to have some suspicion

that the most basic thing about

republicans that they're patriots first

seems to be

opposite of what the january 6

hearings are trying to present

and i don't know how

they can't notice that

you could notice a lot of things

but you couldn't notice that

now i didn't i didn't ask my uh quote

democrat friend who i often mentioned i

did not i did not ask him that question

because it didn't occur to me until

recently because i you know one of the

things i wanted to do was

excuse me

um

i wanted to make a list of things you

would have to believe

in order to agree with your own team and

it could work for both democrats and

republicans

so one of the things you would have to

believe to believe the january 6

situation is you would have to believe

that our

elections are both transparent

fully auditable

and that we can do it somewhat instantly

am i right you would have to believe

that otherwise asking for more

information about the audit would make

perfect sense

it wouldn't look like any kind of a

crime

unless you thought it had already been

done or could easily be done and or you

know that sort of thing

but here's another thing in order for

you to believe the january 6th narrative

as a democrat you would have to believe

that republicans are only fake patriots

that they're only pretending to be

patriots but what they really want is

their dictator in power

that you'd have to believe that in order

to believe any of the narrative

because what i believe

is that there's not a republican life

who would have let trump stay in office

if he had lost

that's what i believe

now that's an exaggeration there would

always be some lawyer or something who

says yeah stay there

there would always be somebody but let's

let me back that up to less of an

absolute because it just makes people

crazy when i talk in absolutes and

probably should i try to avoid it

yeah i i

yeah i just think democrats probably are

noticing that there's something fishy

about the january 6th thing

probably all right

so unless something changes your future

looks like this

trump wins the election and the

democrats

throw away everything they believed

or they say they believe right now and

they say these elections we'd better fix

these because they don't look reliable

now now of course what they're going to

say is that the vote was suppressed

and

i'm sure that'll be the

thing they're finally waking up

maybe a little bit

all right

um

am i wrong that all the news looks good

so the stock market was up yesterday i

think the futures were down so it's

probably down today

so mark it down

let's take a look

the market is

yeah it's almost flat

some up some down

kind of flat

uh something happened with

tesla cartoonist says biden getting

coveted is good news that's more like a

nothing news

scott are you buying crypto no no

no i'm not a crypto investor

uh i'm a crypto diversifier

slight difference right you could argue

that's not different but i would never

invest in a crypto

i would only hold some of the big ones

just in case you know a little bit in

your portfolio just in case you never

know in case civilization falls apart

you just gotta have a bitcoin for

something

your dad grew up with biden and never

heard of the oil on the windshield

biden's hair sniffing finally caught up

with him he got covered

he caught covered from a little girl's

hair

tessa evaluation way off the mark i

don't know what that means

if you have to look at your stock every

day then you shouldn't have it

that's a good rule

my rule is i look at my stocks every day

the market is up

and every day the market is down i don't

look at them

because looking at it is only made to

make you feel good or bad it doesn't

have an investment purpose right that

which be this is the point the point is

you should buy them and hold them

so when i look at them it's just purely

for psychological gain

so when they're up i look at them when

they're down i don't look at them that's

my advice

yeah look at it from the entertainment

value exactly that's perfectly good

uh oh bill gates shorting tesla

so bill gates shorted tesla

what

so what

i don't know does that tell me anything

aren't there a lot of people shorting

tesla

i think that's a

that's not like an obscure position

oh they have some billiard battle yeah

the us open confirms novak can't play

unless he's vaccinated

seriously

wow

really

i thought we were past that but it looks

like it looks like cove is coming back

right

um

you wonder if biden is going to be taken

out because of the coven

now let me ask you this if if biden gets

long coveted

uh

but won't tell me what it is

yeah

if if biden gets long covenant he's not

going to be capable

at what point does kamal harris have to

take over

now if you have not had if you've not

had coveted or if you and i had a bad

case like i did

um you don't know how bad this is

can i get an amen from anybody who had

covet and says i wouldn't want to be

president with this in my head

right how many how many of you think you

could have made presidential decisions

under covet

i i couldn't

my decision was absolutely degraded

absolutely degraded

and let me ask you this

are you comfortable that he hasn't

already been removed

i don't know what his symptoms are

but he's so fragile

that covert long

covet alone should activate the vice

president am i right

covid alone should activate the vice

president and and let me double down on

that

all right i'm going to go where you

don't want me to go

if this were trump

same thing

right if trump gets coveted in office

um

he had it right but if come if trump

gets it again

at whatever his you know future age is

right he did but he was a little bit

younger but if trump gets at his new age

in office you know let's say

election plus two years

what would trump be in

in four years let's say

four years trump would be

82

82.

do the math for me how old would trump

be in four years

how come you haven't told me that how

old is trump you'd be 80 in four years

you're a baby do you think that an 80

year old president

should stay in office when they have

covert

i don't

i mean i'm 65 and there's no way i could

have made good decisions while i had

coveted no way

you take it you take me at 80 and give

me you give me the same code that i had

uh at 65

at age 80

you do not want me making any decisions

trust me

and i feel like i'm pretty mentally

sound and you would not want me making

decisions under those conditions so i

think we need to trigger the vice

president right away

if it's true that he has coveted now i

get it that the doctor's gonna look at

it and if there's no symptoms there's no

symptoms maybe

maybe

but if there are symptoms

that brain fog stuff is really bad stuff

you don't want that

so i think we need to trigger the vice

president right away

just just for the risk of it

because the thing is i don't know if

biden would tell you he had brain fog

would he

do you have brain fog

oh no i don't have any brain fog

what do you know yeah what do you know i

don't know

i'm not see that's the other thing i'm

not sure that people know

how much their brain is degraded here's

a study i'd love to see

since we know the brain fog is a thing i

mean that's

pretty well established i think

could you do a test of iq

of people who are in covet experiencing

it like not even long covered just in it

and a test of iq for somebody not

infected ever

and you do enough of the tests to you

know get an average i'll bet there'd be

a difference

i'll bet you would find that the iq of a

person with with covent

is lower

about you would

temporarily because it takes your energy

away and have you ever tried to take a

test when you're tired

it's a big difference

right

so there's no way

that you that people with covet are

operating at the same mental capacity as

people without it people have never had

it no way

i mean i'd be lucky if i get back to

where i was

and by the way

i don't know if i have

well i was telling you earlier that i

was rereading my writing from 2004

and

if you if you asked me before yesterday

scott did the covid and the long covid

that gave you the brain fog do you think

there's a permanent

you know thing that happened with that i

would say no

no i feel fine in fact if you ask me i

feel like at the top of my mental acuity

right now no no problem at all

and then i read my own writing for 2004.

modified my opinion a little bit

[Laughter]

i don't know if you know where i'm going

on this but in 200 in 2004

i could write a sentence let me

tell you

i could write a good sentence

i'm not so sure they would be just as

good today even though i feel like i'm

at 100

but when i read my my younger writing i

looked at it and said

i don't know if i could do that

i don't know maybe i can do better i

don't know for sure

but

i got a real

it was a wake-up call

when i saw how tight my writing was from

15 years ago

if i write a book today which i'm doing

which hopefully will be a gigantic

bestseller

but

i got my questions

yeah i got my questions whether i'm just

as sharp here's what i think is

happening i think i'm less sharp

but i have more skills in my stack

i think i come out ahead

but i think you would notice the

difference that's what i think

i definitely have more skills in my

overall skill stack

so that might come through in my writing

and give me an advantage but definitely

the quickness

is diminished yeah definitely

all right

and dems that passed a new protocol to

make it easier to remove a president

tesla investors what bet on recovery and

fantasy

yeah

tesla tesla definitely has some fantasy

elements but let me give you the counter

argument for tesla

i heard this from adam townsend

who's a great follow on twitter by the

way adam townsend you should follow him

and this is why i actually bought stock

in tesla which is unusual for me i

wouldn't normally buy an individual

company i normally diversify

but

it's because tesla is a power company

it's not a car company

if you bought it as a car company you

look at all the other

electric cars and you say lots of

competition there

and that doesn't look good but if you

see it as an energy company

because the world is going to need a

whole bunch of batteries

it's a whole different deal

if you see it as an energy company

you have a whole different feeling about

it and that completely reframed my

opinion of it

the the cars might be irrelevant in the

long run

i mean

you remember

was it ebay

ebay started out selling pez dispensers

i think the tesla automobile might be

the pez dispenser for tesla

it's it's just a total fake out of where

the company is going

i think cars are the temporary product

that the big the big product is energy

and

maybe ai

ai and energy probably logistics that

sort of thing

probably yeah amazon started out with

books right exactly perfect example

i think tesla is just starting with cars

i don't think it's a car company

in the long run

um

the pez dispenser was a made-up pr story

yeah okay

you got me

the the pez dispenser story about ebay

is a sort of up origin story

but

it was close enough to my point

but

you're right

i take that fact check i accept your

fact check

but it doesn't change the basic point

um

you don't care for the looks of the new

truck well a lot of people ordered it

all right all right that's all for now

is there anything i missed

is there any topic that you wish

you had my opinion on

i don't know why

um delta airlines started as a crop

dusting service

all right

um i believe the golden age is with us

uh no i'm not a gamer

somebody asked if i'm a gamer

and i'm not and it's only because it's

too addictive i'll tell you my gamer

story just so you've heard it once in

case you haven't

at the dawn of video gaming when i think

sony

sony had the the best console for a

while

uh i may have the name right i think it

was sony and i was a young man

computers were just taken off and i said

i've got to have one of those video

games where i can shoot

shoot aliens out of space and so i

bought this thing it was really hard to

get i forget which one it was

and

maybe a sega i don't know i can't

remember but i got this system and i

brought it home

uh i forget which one it was

and i played it for about eight hours

straight

and when i was done

i felt terrible

terrible

like i lost eight hours of my life

and all i could think of was getting

back to do it again

and nothing had been better

i wasn't smarter stronger

more successful i had just lost eight

hours

that's it

and i felt all nervous

not only did i lose eight hours it

wasn't fun

it was like anxious making because i had

to shoot more aliens

gotta shoot more aliens aliens aliens

and so

after

after uh

you know months of trying to get this

thing because it was hard to get for

some reason there was some kind of

shortage i finally got one i packed that

thing up

took it back to the store for a full

refund

and said i never want to be close to one

of these again

and i haven't

so i i've avoided gaming in all its

forms because it was too dangerous and

remember by the by that time i was you

know i was already a trained hypnotist

as a trained hypnotist

you you sample that you run away

and this would be this would be an

interesting

experiment

i i'll give you a hypothesis my

hypothesis is that trained hypnotists

don't play video games

test that

okay go do a test on that

just a claim

trained hypnotist and i'll go further

somebody who has a phd in psychology

they don't play video games

i'll bet you

i'll bet you people with a phd in

psychology do not play video games

i'll bet you medical doctors even let's

say young ones even going through

medical school and stuff

probably do some of them but i'll bet

not nearly as much as the average person

not nearly as much

right

and

there's a reason

if you have any exposure to that world

you know the world of psychology and

mental health if you have any exposure

to it at all

as soon as you spend a little time

playing video games you know this is

this shit's dangerous and you just run

away

it's good for surgery skills somebody

says maybe some

yeah

so that was my take it was too addictive

now um

how do i explain not running away from

twitter

does anybody know my rationalization for

that

how do i rationalize spending so much

time on twitter

because i know it's addictive

yeah i rationalize it as a business tool

right

but

at the same time i'm rationalizing i'm

so aware that it's a rationalization

so aware now it's also true

like it's true

it is a business tool it is sort of

essential for what i'm doing here it

would be tough to do without it

but

also it's because i love it

right

i don't i don't have a time scheduled

for the russell brand conversation i see

some people asking over here

um i believe he's filming

which by the way

i wish someday i could say that

russell brand's producer said they'll

get back to me with scheduling because

uh russell is off

filming

i want to use that as my excuse someday

oh

oh i'd love to do that but ah

i'll be filming that week

doesn't that sound better than anything

you're doing

because you're working

no he's not off working he's off filming

he's filming

way better than working

how much time do you spend each day on

twitter pretty much all of the in

between time

so i try not to like sit down and do

twitter

but you're always waiting for something

aren't you

you know like you're walking back and

forth or you're

you know you're in between stuff so it's

my in-between thing but in between is

most of my day right

i probably spend more time between

things

than i do on any one thing so

if you if you were to mass all the

actual minutes

good question i'll give you an estimate

as best i can subjectively

if i if i imagine my day and how many

times i check

one hour

one hour

best guess one hour per day

it might be off that feels like about

right

but because it's in 30 second increments

so there's probably 120 half minute

you know increments during the day

yeah it is it is a time suck and it is

an addiction but like i said i got a

rationalization

max

says are you dating

max i don't think you're my type but

thanks for asking

check your iphone for time spent on

twitter oh yeah

let's let's do that

it's in the

settings

screen time

that's just screen time right i don't

know

uh app

um i don't want to do tech support while

you're live streaming here but i thought

it'd be easier to find it

um

i thought it'd be under screen time

that's where i'd put it

where would you put it on your phone

see all activity

all activity

where's that

all right well thank you apple for

making it once again impossible to find

anything

yeah i can't find it

yeah as usual there are three ways to

get to it

there's always five ways to do i think

on your phone and

four of them don't work

do i like

ethnic or spicy food

i thought everybody did

of course i do

um

a friend

[Laughter]

over on youtube

somebody's mad at backs for for getting

noticed in the comments

and wasting his question on it

all right battery use

um oh it's a battery use thing if i look

at my battery use that will tell me what

i'm using now there we go

battery use and where would i see that

all right well i'll figure that out

later

um

i'm just looking at your i know it's in

the settings

uh scott would you date a trans to avoid

persecution

i'm not sure i understand the question

would i date a trans to avoid

persecution

i don't know if that's a

thing

uh

count your antennas what

your comments are all weird now

uh screen time and see all activity i

don't have that option

if i hit

this is like looking for anything on

social media

if you try to google how to do anything

you'll always get an answer

and it would be wrong

have you had that experience if you have

any technical question

except for how to how to reboot your uh

os that's about the only one you get the

right answer but anything that's like a

technical question you'll definitely get

an answer

and it will be wrong

every time

ninety percent of the time

i'd say ninety percent of the technical

solutions on google are absolutely wrong

all right

all right uh that's all for now and i

will talk to you

oh the name of the prequel to god's

debris is called the religion war

uh i heard earlier that it's so hard to

get it got bit up to 60

on on amazon because it's it's out of

print it'd be hard to find

but i got to tell you it blew me away

when i read it i'm not even sure i could

read it without

too much of an emotional reaction

that was my plan

all right that's all for now i'll talk

to you tomorrow