Episode 1663 Scott Adams - Putin's Brain, Russian Public Opinion, Long Haul TDS and More Fun
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Greta Thunberg caused Ukraine war - 2 year old Hunter Biden, Ukraine investigation - President Trump compliments President Putin - Russian public opinions - Bye bye free speech - Russian sanctions impact ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning everybody, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to anybody who's ever been born anywhere. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. Every now and then I like to remind my audience, just in case you're wondering, that I have more than one t-shirt that looks just like this one. So…
View segment →needs props and all that stuff. That's way too much work. If you're going to do a uniform and a look and a brand, go for basic. Saves you a lot of time. Hey, who came here for the simultaneous sip? Besides everybody. And all you need is a copper mug or a glass or a tanker, Chelsea's done a canteen,…
View segment →I like coffee? A lot. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes all of you better looking, a little bit sexier, definitely smarter. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens right now. Go. Yes, I would like to pay respect to my, uh, wha…
View segment →born somewhere else. Use your cultural heritage and join me now doing your own after-the-sip celebration. I will be doing the whitest white person guy celebration ever, and it goes like this. Now I hope that wherever you were, you did something that was as perfectly suited to your cultural backgrou…
View segment →t has to be looked at on its own, nobody likes it. Well, that's an exaggeration, but it's not so popular. And that brings us to Greta Thunberg. And I tweeted yesterday that Greta Thunberg caused this mess. And by this mess I mean Ukraine. Now do you all see the connection? Because I'm not joking. G…
View segment →0% of the story, and that's pretty big. Yeah, I'd say it's 20% of the story. I mean climate change itself, not just Greta, right? So you know, nothing is, there's no analysis that's the whole story, right? Everything's got lots of facets. So I don't think the woke side of the world is looking so go…
View segment →s too much of a conflict of interest. We're not even talking about conflict of interest, are we? Like but have you even heard the phrase conflict of interest? Can you imagine that you would never hear that phrase if this were Don Jr. and Trump, right? I mean it's just, it's mind-boggling the differe…
View segment →istancing, but for TDS you've actually got to be outside of the listening distance. So you want to be, well, you want to keep your distance of say a quarter mile from other people to reduce the transmission of TDS because if you get closer to it than a quarter mile, they can still shout, you can hea…
View segment →e he and Putin are sharing a secret. Ah, you didn't see that coming, did you? That's about the best technique for persuasion you're ever going to freaking see in your life. Say what you will about Trump. You know, he's not free from criticism, right? I'm not the one who's going to tell you he's the…
View segment →I want to see. I mean, okay, a lot of people. Now how many of you were influenced by me? Because I'm not too confident on my opinion on this. Was anybody influenced by me? Because early on I said I don't think he's going to do it, and I'm sticking with my prediction just because the reasons for the…
View segment →it wants by a two-thirds majority, I'm not sure how concerned I should be. Here's another scary thing. Homeland Security is looking into battling online misinformation and has considered that misinformation could rise to the level of terrorism. I mean in effect. Now do you believe that? Do you beli…
View segment →t raise a little flag for you? Is it a coincidence that CNN is telling us that we should focus on Russia as the problem and not China? That doesn't feel like an independent opinion to me. Now I can't read anybody's mind and I'm not going to allege anything. I'm just saying that when I read it, it do…
View segment →everybody who died because of the shutdowns, everybody who died because of the COVID itself, everybody who died because the vaccination was, you know, unfortunately they were one of the ones who had a bad effect. You'd have to add all of that together. And so I have a feeling that the COVID death is…
View segment →Good morning everybody, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to anybody who's ever been born anywhere. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.
Every now and then I like to remind my audience, just in case you're wondering, that I have more than one t-shirt that looks just like this one. Some of you may be concerned that I only own one t-shirt, but no, I own about a dozen of these, and I call it my uniform. See, if you can get people to think that you're dressing one way because you have a look — I'm talking about the Steve Jobs look, talking about the Mark Zuckerberg look, you know, he wears the hoodie or the black shirt — yeah, the trick, if you can convince people that you have a look, all of your problems are solved, if you know what I mean.
Now don't go full Elton John. You don't want to convince people that your look is an Elton John, you know, over the top, needs props and all that stuff. That's way too much work. If you're going to do a uniform and a look and a brand, go for basic. Saves you a lot of time.
Hey, who came here for the simultaneous sip? Besides everybody. And all you need is a copper mug or a glass or a tanker, Chelsea's done a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. How much do I like coffee? A lot.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes all of you better looking, a little bit sexier, definitely smarter. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens right now. Go.
Yes, I would like to pay respect to my, uh, what would it be, my ethnic origins by doing the whitest thing anybody's ever done after the simultaneous sip. Now feel free to enjoy your own cultural heritage and celebrate the way that makes the most sense for whoever you are, be you born in America or born somewhere else. Use your cultural heritage and join me now doing your own after-the-sip celebration. I will be doing the whitest white person guy celebration ever, and it goes like this.
Now I hope that wherever you were, you did something that was as perfectly suited to your cultural background as I did. Somebody dabbed. That's exactly right.
Well, Rasmussen has a poll asking should the Democratic Party be more like Biden or more like Harris. What do you think Democrats said? The Democratic Party should be more like Biden: 36%, but only 11% thought Harris. So how's the progressive wing of the Democratic Party looking? Not so good.
Now, you want to hear some more bad news for the progressive part? I was asked a question on the Locals platform just before I went live on YouTube. They get a little extra over on Locals. It's a subscription service. And I was asked what has the worst recent murder rate. We're going to compare two regions. I'm going to ask you this question. It's a serious question. It's not a rhetorical question. I actually don't know the answer to it.
And the question is, has the death rate and the murder rate, let's say, has it been worse in the last few months in Chicago or in the occupied separatist regions of Ukraine? Which has been the more deadly place? Now it kind of doesn't matter what the answer is. Kind of doesn't matter what the answer is. It's the fact that we can even ask that question, and it's not a joke. I actually don't know the answer to that question. I don't know. Maybe it'll be a crossover point. But if I had to bet, I think I'd put my money on Chicago because, you know, I assume there's shelling and there's chicanery and there's false flags and all kinds of stuff happening in the separatist regions, but they didn't kill as many people as a weekend in Chicago does. Am I right?
I don't know if I'm right, but you seem to think I am, and that's good enough. You know, we live in a subjective reality, and while I strive to be correct and right about everything, I will settle for you agreeing with me because it feels the same on my end anyway. So thank you for that.
Speaking of wokeness, it's a story that the media is talking about. This story, which is the Newsweek and L.A. Times are both recently warning Democrats that they better get over the wokeness because they're looking at this one anecdote here, I guess the situation where in San Francisco the Democrats voted out some school board members for being too woke and not being useful enough. And the striking part about it is that they were overwhelmingly voted out. The wokesters were just driven out by even Democrats because it's a Democratic city. So that seems like a pretty big story.
But are things getting better or worse for the locus of the woke? Well, shall I continue? It's turning out to be a really bad year to be woke. Am I right? Part of it is because Trump is less in the news because there's not a natural enemy, you know, that's just really salient at the moment. So if you just let the wokeness exist on its own, it just looks like toxic bile and just like an acid eating itself. But if Trump were in the news every day, then the wokeness would have something to play off of, you know, some kind of a productive contrast. But when you take the contrast away and it just has to be looked at on its own, nobody likes it. Well, that's an exaggeration, but it's not so popular.
And that brings us to Greta Thunberg. And I tweeted yesterday that Greta Thunberg caused this mess. And by this mess I mean Ukraine. Now do you all see the connection? Because I'm not joking. Greta Thunberg, she sort of caused the Ukraine war. Does everybody see it? I can explain it if... okay, there I get a few nos there. So let me explain it.
So it goes like this. If we didn't have Greta, climate change wouldn't be as potent a topic as it is. That's a presumption on my part, right? So that part's speculative, but I think most of you would agree with that, that she's turbocharged the topic. She's added a lot. Most people would agree with that.
Now if climate change did not have such a, let's say, persuasive quality to it, how would Trump's policy about energy look compared to Biden's? Biden didn't really have a choice, did he? You know, if you're a Democrat, don't you have to go full Thunberg or at least move in that direction? He didn't go full Thunberg by any means, but he had to be pushed in that direction, right?
So one of the things that Trump would have done that we know for sure that Biden did not do is promote domestic energy production in the United States. Because Biden wants to be more green and save the world and be more Greta Thunberg, and Trump was more, I think this climate change thing was a Chinese hoax to slow down our economy. Let's pump oil and gas as much as we can, build some pipelines and be independent and build up our economy. And by the way, when you substitute gas, natural gas for coal, it reduces your emissions.
So Trump, who was criticized for saying that climate change was a Chinese hoax — I think we're all sure even the Democrats would say this is true — he would have kept the domestic energy production high, which means that prices for energy would have been lower, which means that your inflation would be lower under Trump in that one way. Yet Putin would have far less money to be adventurous, and he would basically have less power. Because if Europe needed to get a different source of gas for a while, it might cost more, but if you took some of the inflation out of it, the more wouldn't be as much as it would be now.
So you've got a situation in which energy is sort of the most important product because there's not enough of it, which makes Putin the most important person because he's got an army and he's got energy. He's got the two things that matter the most today. So quite reasonably you could say that the connection between Greta Thunberg and her influence, which was very effective, definitely put pressure on Democrats. The Democrats definitely reduced energy production. The reduction in energy production definitely increased the cost of energy, which definitely increased the profits for Russia, which definitely increased their strategic power, which definitely increased their confidence, which almost certainly was a major factor in getting exactly where we are now.
Who disagrees with that analysis? Now I'm not going to say it's the only variable, right? You know, maybe Putin would have done what Putin was going to do. But you can see the connection, can't you? It does seem like it's maybe 20% of the story, and that's pretty big. Yeah, I'd say it's 20% of the story. I mean climate change itself, not just Greta, right? So you know, nothing is, there's no analysis that's the whole story, right? Everything's got lots of facets.
So I don't think the woke side of the world is looking so good.
Now here's another interesting angle on Ukraine. Jonathan Turley, who's always a great read, has an article today. He's talking about, and I wasn't, I'm not sure how aware of this I was. How many of you were aware of this story? That for over two years there's been an investigation, I guess it was a stated investigation, into Hunter Biden and his tax and financial issues, specifically related to his foreign dealings.
Now were you aware that there's a two-year investigation ongoing about Hunter Biden's activities and his foreign dealings, which presumably is either all Ukraine or mostly Ukraine is what they're concerned about? And that part of that is they seem to be indicating that Hunter Biden had a lot more cash, or that that seems to be where the evidence is pointing, that he seemed to have a lot more cash than his reported income would suggest.
Now we don't — I'm going to use the same standard that I would use for Trump or anything else, right? Try to be fair about it. Hunter Biden is not charged with anything. No court has found Hunter Biden guilty of anything. I hate to say it, but unfortunately that's the standard. You know, if you're going to be like a decent citizen, you have to accept the standard. Like the standard is more important than the person, all right?
So as painful as it is to say that he hasn't been convicted of anything, that does matter. You know, unfortunately, unfortunately it matters. So, and I wouldn't want to change that. But at the same time they have been investigating for two years and probably not for nothing. I mean there must be at least some smoke. Doesn't mean they'll ever find any fire.
But here's a question which must be asked. Do you think that Zelensky, the head of Ukraine, do you think he has information about the Biden family that we haven't heard yet? What are the odds? I mean just think what the odds would be. So if we know that Hunter was mucking around in Ukrainian business, that much seems true. But we have not seen anything directly illegal about that, only that it seems deeply sketchy and unquestionable and unethical but not technically illegal as far as we know.
So do you think that maybe Ukraine has something on the Biden family at the same time that Biden is trying to manage this situation that's the most important thing going on at the moment?
Now let me do something that I hate to do because of its ordinariness, but damn it, sometimes you have to do the ordinary. And this is so uncreative that it actually hurts me to do it, but sometimes you got to do it. Imagine if this were Don Jr. I hate it. I hate it. I hate doing this. I hate doing this because it's so uncreative. Like how many times have we done that? I mean Don Jr. does it all the time, right, in his tweets. He goes, imagine if this were me. And it's unfortunately it is exactly the right thing. It's the right thought.
Can you even imagine? Just hold this thought for a moment. Imagine a world in which Trump were president and we had this problem with Ukraine and Russia, which maybe we wouldn't even have, but let's say we do. And imagine that the story had been Don Jr. doing business in Ukraine and that there were questions about it and a current ongoing investigation about it. Can you even imagine? I mean seriously, my head is going to explode imagining the difference between how the media would be talking about that and how they're just not talking about Hunter Biden at all. This doesn't even exist.
Somebody said impeachment here on YouTube in the comments. Maybe. Maybe. Would you trust, and let's be honest, would you trust Trump's judgment if Don Jr. might have some hidden secrets, you know, that would come out if you acted a different way? No, even I wouldn't, right? Like I've been pretty supportive of Trump on a number of issues, not in everything, but a lot of stuff. But I wouldn't be comfortable with that.
And by the way, I think Don Jr. is awesome. I like him. I like Trump. But if you just put those two people I like in that situation, I wouldn't like that. Oh no, no, that I would back out immediately. I'd be like, okay, I'm out. These two people can't be involved in the same situation. This is too much of a conflict of interest. We're not even talking about conflict of interest, are we? Like but have you even heard the phrase conflict of interest? Can you imagine that you would never hear that phrase if this were Don Jr. and Trump, right? I mean it's just, it's mind-boggling the difference.
All right, um, let's talk about some other stuff. In theory we should be seeing some massive cognitive dissonance by the people who were most supportive of Biden and least supportive of Trump over the past five years now because we're living in different realities. If there are any Democrats watching this right now, you may be saying to yourself, I don't know what you're talking about, Scott. I don't know what you're talking about. And you don't, and I can't fix that. I'm sorry.
So to those of you who don't fall into that category, I guess I'm just talking to you today. It's kind of obvious at this point, like super obvious, that on a whole range of issues, not all of them, not all of them, but on a whole range of issues, Trump was clearly the superior president. At this point it's just obvious. You know, there was certainly a point where you could have said, well, let's see what Biden can do, right? I think it was entirely possible that Biden could have come up with some southern border solution that was kind and generous and yet good enough for the United States. Maybe, I don't know. Give them a chance. It didn't happen.
You know, maybe Biden could come up with some productive way to deal with Russia and China. Didn't happen. So you know, maybe Biden could do something better for the energy. No, it didn't happen. So at this point wouldn't you expect — and I'm just talking to my own audience here. I know you lean a particular way, but don't you think there should be some prominent Democrats just sort of going crazy now because they can see what they did? You know, they caused this problem by insisting on a brain-dead president.
Well, here's an example. Maybe Stephen King had this tweet. This is, I swear to God this happened today. No, yesterday I guess, so it's fresh. He tweets, so Stephen King the novelist, he writes, Mr. Putin has made a serious miscalculation. He forgot he's no longer dealing with Trump. What is he watching the same reality that I'm watching? Because I don't think that Russia did much when Trump was in charge. I don't. So to me it looks like cognitive dissonance.
It was somebody else called it out on, you know, Dale called it out on Twitter. But Raheem had a reply to it. He goes, congrats, you're the dumbest motherfucker in America. That's funny. It's only funny because that was my exact thought when I read it. It was like, wow, you might be the dumbest motherfucker in America. And then I read Raheem's comment: congrats, you're the dumbest. Okay.
Now this does suggest that there might be a medical problem that is under-recognized, and I would call it long-haul TDS. Long-haul TDS. Yeah, long-haul TDS. The original TDS would give you some insanity and anxiety, fear, you know. So you don't want to catch a bad case of TDS, which by the way can be transmitted by personal contact. If you stand, six feet isn't enough for TDS. For COVID, six feet is pretty good for social distancing, but for TDS you've actually got to be outside of the listening distance. So you want to be, well, you want to keep your distance of say a quarter mile from other people to reduce the transmission of TDS because if you get closer to it than a quarter mile, they can still shout, you can hear them, and that's a little too close because it gets transmitted by talking and ideas.
So there was a bad case of TDS going through the country for a few years, but now that's mostly subsided. We've now, it's more endemic situation. We've learned to live with it, sort of a baseline problem like the flu. But we still have to be concerned about long-haul. Are there any long-haul symptoms? And I think this cognitive dissonance is sort of the myocarditis of TDS. That it does seem that having once had TDS, you are more likely to have cognitive dissonance even a year later.
Speaking of Trump, he's getting some attention by calling Putin's moves genius and very savvy for the way that he reframed the separatist regions and then moved in to protect them. So Trump said that that was really smart. And then Trump's critics said, you fool, you Putin lover, you Kissinger Putin puppet, you. Why are you saying good things about Putin? You must be a monster like him.
So is that exactly what was going on? I have two comments about this, maybe more. Number one, there's one thing that Trump never gets credit for: his honesty about how he feels. Now I will grant you that when he's talking about the outside world and the facts in the world, he can play fast and loose with the facts. He is a salesperson. He's unapologetic about that. He uses hyperbole to persuade. He's unapologetic about that. So he is what he is, and you either like that or you don't. But I think we all understand it.
But the thing that you miss about Trump is that when he tells you what his opinion is — am I right? — when he tells you what his opinion is, you always believe that, don't you? You never believe that he's telling you something he doesn't personally believe. I don't think I've ever once had that feeling. But when Biden speaks, Biden sounds like a politician, doesn't he? You don't really think he believes what he even says his opinion, the things he says he really cares about. I don't know that he does really. Who knows? Might be convenient to say he cares about that stuff. Who knows?
But here's, so when Trump calls Putin a genius and savvy, it's basically very similar to what I was thinking in my private thoughts. I was thinking, damn, that's pretty smart the way he's doing this. Looks like it's pretty successful at least in terms of getting stronger control over those separatist regions. They look pretty smart. Now it's evil and manipulative and Hitler-like. I'm not downplaying any of that, but it's smart.
So that's the first thing that we miss about Trump, is that he looks at something that looks smart and he says, hey, that looks smart. He's not approving of it. He's just saying it looks smart. That's just his honest opinion. I don't know. I miss it. I miss it. I miss that part of it. I honestly don't miss the conflict. I feel like I'm a little better off without all of the TDS. The TDS was, for me, surviving the TDS was almost as hard as surviving the pandemic, to be honest. You know, if you're right in the middle of it. I mean there weren't enough vaccinations to get me through TDS, but you know, I got through the pandemic. It was a pain in the ass, but I got through it. The TDS I think is going to last forever. The TDS will affect my career and my reputation, my Wikipedia page for the rest of time.
All right, but let's talk about Trump strategically, given that he might be a future president. Who knows? Why he says about Putin really does matter. And even as an ex-president it would matter. Is it smart or not smart to call Putin a genius and to say that his moves are savvy? Go. Would you say that Trump is smart or not smart to call Putin a genius in public? I think it's smart because if you want to talk to somebody productively later, you call them smart.
I hate to be the one who always has to explain this to the general public. Apparently people who watch this livestream are all, you're all educated about how this works, but the general public doesn't understand that there was only one person who handled this right, and it was Trump. He's the only one who handled it right because ultimately we got to talk to that guy, Putin. We got to talk to him. Who is going to get a better reception? The one who Trump called smart or the one who's just your evil blah blah blah blah blah?
I feel that we're all human, right? Like even Putin's a human being. Do you think that Putin is unaffected by Trump calling him smart? Do you think he's unaffected by that? I think he's affected by it. I think it actually works. And that if anybody were to talk to Putin in the future about any of this, I would want it to be Trump. I would want it to be Trump.
Now I saw some people commenting about how they were suspicious because Trump and Putin had a private conversation once with the interpreter, I guess. But since it was not recorded, what that conversation was, people are afraid that, oh, that's where all the bad stuff happened. That's maybe that's where all the collusion happened. We don't know what happened. You know, there's no way to know anything about that. But here's what I would guess, just speculative. Trump understands that it's always personal. That's it. Trump understands that it's always personal. And I'm not sure why other people don't kind of understand that as well as he understands it. Everything's personal.
Here's another thing. In the book Persuasion by Cialdini, do you know what one of the ways science has shown you can befriend somebody and get them to trust you as a friend? You tell them a secret. That's a well-known persuasion trick. You tell them a secret. That's what Trump did.
Now we don't know what they talked about privately, but because we don't know what, is that called a secret, right? Just, it might have been nothing. Maybe they didn't talk about anything important at all. But Trump created a situation where he and Putin are sharing a secret. Ah, you didn't see that coming, did you? That's about the best technique for persuasion you're ever going to freaking see in your life.
Say what you will about Trump. You know, he's not free from criticism, right? I'm not the one who's going to tell you he's the god king and everything he does is right. But you got to give him credit for the things that are just so right that nobody's ever going to match it, in my opinion. I don't think anybody will match him for personal persuasion.
Now keep in mind, I don't know how many of you have ever been in the room with him, but he does have that thing, that thing, whatever that thing is, that x-factor, that charisma, whatever it is. I'm sure Putin has it too. But you put him in a room and he's going to convince you of something. He is good.
Now by the way, I think Biden's probably pretty good at that too or he wouldn't be where he is. So I'm not saying he's bad at it, but the style difference is striking. And I think Trump is the one who played it, who would have played it completely correctly. You want Putin to think you can work with him, that he can trust you.
What is the biggest thing that, well let's talk about that. Let's talk about what Russian people think about all this. So the Russian people, um, let's see, I'm going to skip ahead to that part. CNN was talking about a poll. It's hard to get information about the Russian public, but I guess CNN ran some kind of a proprietary poll or personal poll or something or a special poll. They have some word, forget what word that is. It doesn't matter.
And here's what they found. One out of every two Russians, actually 50% of them, said it would be right. More Russians think it would be wrong than right to use military force to reunite Russia and Ukraine. So Russians don't want to use military force to take over Ukraine. But the Russian public does think that NATO is an offensive force. So Russians believe NATO is an offensive force with plans to destroy Russia and the Russians. But they do think that the Ukraine people and the Russian people are one people, which is what Putin says.
So Putin has managed to convince much of Russia that the Ukrainian people and the Russian people are all one people. But the Ukrainians don't believe that, not even close. So this is one of those cases where you can see the power of propaganda. Because I need a more of a fact check on this, but I believe that the Russian public has access to the internet right now. There are some things that are regulated and some things that are censored, but generally speaking the average Russian can get the internet, right?
And so if you imagine the average Ukrainian and the average Russian both have access to the outside world, you can see the power of propaganda. Because the only thing, it would be one thing like North Korea to keep your people completely walled off from other information. Then you can control their thoughts pretty well. But if people have access to the alternative opinions, you can see how powerful the propaganda is because they've been turned away from accuracy toward inaccuracy.
So look at the difference between Ukrainian and Russian public opinion about this one question: are the Ukrainians and the Russians one people? Only Putin was the one who was pushing the we're all one people thing, and he successfully did it through propaganda. You can see how many or what percentage of the public can be moved by something as pure as propaganda. It's about half. It's about half. You can tell any story if you tell it often enough and you control enough of the media that you know you can get a monopoly on it.
Now he doesn't even have a monopoly. That's my point. If he had a monopoly on information, well then you'd understand how that many people could be convinced. But he did that — this is the scary part — he did that without a monopoly on information. He did that just with persuasion. Just with persuasion. So I would say that the percentage of the public that you can move with pure propaganda is around half. And you know the topic would vary. So I'm sure there are some topics you can get 80%, sometimes 20%.
But I think you could count on getting half of the public, which is enough to start a war. You know, if you've got half of the public on your side, you can kind of go to war. That's about enough. You know, 55% would be better.
So that answered my question. I was just asking the other day on livestream here, what does the average Russian know about the whole situation? The other thing is that there are a whole lot of people in Russia who don't think there's going to be an invasion proper, you know, where Ukraine itself is completely taken over. There are a lot of people in Russia who don't think that's going to happen. And there are a lot of people in Ukraine, like a big chunk of Ukraine, doesn't think there's going to be an invasion.
But if you ask the people in the United States, wouldn't we say 90% of us who were paying attention, what do you think it would be? What do you think it would be in the United States? Now it's different if you ask people who are paying attention to the news versus people who are not. So I guess it's nonsense to ask the general public. They're not even paying attention.
Yeah, so I think maybe 10%. Well let me ask the question here. How many people on this livestream do not think Russia will try to take over all of Ukraine? So tell me if you don't believe he's going to try to take all of Ukraine. I want to see. I mean, okay, a lot of people.
Now how many of you were influenced by me? Because I'm not too confident on my opinion on this. Was anybody influenced by me? Because early on I said I don't think he's going to do it, and I'm sticking with my prediction just because the reasons for the prediction haven't changed. Although I have to admit it looks a lot like he's going to attack. I wouldn't bet on me. Let's put it this way: if I were you, I wouldn't bet on me to be right. But just to be consistent because my reasons for the prediction never changed, I'm going to stick with it.
Now I'm not going to let my confidence be influenced by the fact that it looks in every possible way it looks exactly like an invasion. Because bluffing would look exactly the same if you wanted to do a really good job of it. Bluffing would look the same. What would also look the same is not having decided yet. That would look exactly the same if the only thing you were doing is pushing for negotiations to get some concessions and just making us think he's going to attack any moment. Or even to find out what our response is because maybe he just is testing public opinion. Maybe he's just testing the resolve of NATO.
Apparently there's a big opinion, and this is a weird one. A lot of people in Russia think that the United States is trying to trick Russia into attacking Ukraine. Is there anybody in the United States you've heard besides me say that? That I'm not going to say that we're actually literally trying to trick them into attacking Ukraine, but I've actually tweeted that it looks like it. In other words, what we're observing looks exactly like trying to trick them into attacking Ukraine.
Now I don't know why we would do that except that maybe it'd be bad for Russia. But is it weird that the Russian public actually thinks that? A lot of them, they think we're trying to trick them into attacking Ukraine. How in the world is the Russian public having that opinion and I'm the only one? Do a fact check. Have you heard anybody else in America say that it looks like we're trying to trick them into attacking? Because I didn't even believe my own opinion. I'm just saying that if you look at the facts, it just looks like it. I mean it doesn't seem likely, but it looks like it.
Oh, is it Cernovich and Posobiec? You've heard them. That would make sense. Well I'm not talking about a Wag the Dog situation. The Wag the Dog, I think that's a more specific situation, isn't it?
All right, some more interesting factoids here. Let's get back to this. I saw a good tweet by Eddie Quan. He says if you think trusting the science is smart, wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch. That one just stops you in your tracks, doesn't it? If you think trusting the science is smart, wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch.
I don't think I've ever seen anything summarized that well. Actually I'll give you one thing. Once a friend of mine described the comic strip Marmaduke, which at that point had been like 50 years of Marmaduke comics. You summarize the entire life of the comic as a big dog is on something you want. Now that was a terribly unfair summary, but it's the only one I've seen that was more succinct than if you think trusting the science is smart, wait till you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch.
You could just be done. You should have a college course for a credit, like full credit. You know, it's a Harvard class and you go into the class and the first day you sit down and they just show you this tweet. They go, class, if you think trusting the science is smart, wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch. Class dismissed. Anybody who can remember that tomorrow gets an A in the class and there's no coursework because that's all you need to know. It's all there. The entire class work of how to understand the media, how to work with it, how to understand science, how to work with it, human motivation. It's all there in one tweet.
Meanwhile, speaking of the Canadian gulag, sure enough Canada is going hard after the people involved in the protest. Their accounts are being frozen. Some of them can't get bail. Their names are being posted. The names of people who donated to the truckers are being posted on trees in some neighborhoods so that you can know who to be mad at in Canada. This is the most chilling thing that I've seen in a long time, and I've seen some chilling things. So I don't even know what to say about this. I mean it's so bad that words start to escape. But then you find out that two-thirds of the Canadian public is totally on board with this sort of stuff. Did you know that? Something like 65% of the Canadian public says, you know, they don't like the convoy and they're pretty happy that the government was tough on them. It's something like that, right? Two-thirds.
So if Canada is getting what it wants by a two-thirds majority, I'm not sure how concerned I should be.
Here's another scary thing. Homeland Security is looking into battling online misinformation and has considered that misinformation could rise to the level of terrorism. I mean in effect. Now do you believe that? Do you believe that misinformation, be it intentional or not — I guess the intention kind of would be the worst kind that Homeland Security would care about — but that the misinformation could be like as bad as terrorism? I would say yes. I would say yes. You can see the effect in Russia versus Ukraine, the public opinion and misinformation could actually cause a land war in Europe. This could be a misinformation war.
So on one hand I can totally see how Homeland Security thinks information and the control of it is necessary to avoid terrorism. On the other hand, there goes your free speech. Am I right? How in the world can you regulate speech as a tool of terror and expect anybody's going to give you a fair opinion that doesn't have somebody's self-interest in the government involved? They can't coexist. You just can't have, I don't think, correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think you can have government control over information without giving away free speech. They're just too connected.
All right. I thought Biden was kind of clever in saying that this was a start of an invasion instead of an invasion. You remember all yesterday there was the argument, is an invasion or is it not an invasion? And then Biden comes out and goes, it's the start of an invasion. And I thought, oh that's good. That's actually pretty good because that does, that does actually, I know it feels like he high-grounded it. Like once he says that you go, ah, oh yeah, that's true right now. Because if you thought it was an invasion, he said it's the start of an invasion. And if you thought it wasn't quite an invasion, you could say, well yeah, it's just the start.
I thought it was one of the most clever political twists, you know, linguistic tricks I've seen in a long time. No, I don't think he wrote it. I mean I think somebody came up with it. But if Trump had said this I'd think it was clever, so I'll give Biden this.
So we've got all these sanctions that are going on so far. Can anybody tell me that they know if these sanctions are powerful or not? Is it my imagination or every time we hear about sanctions, isn't there always more to the story? Like, oh our sanction is we're going to behead every baby that's born in Russia. And then you read, but the context is that no babies are actually born in Russia because it's called the Federation of Russia. Yeah, there's always some technicality where you think, oh we got them now. Oh look at those sanctions. We've got those sanctions now. And then you turn out that the Nord Stream pipeline is just a delay of certification. He's not going to be afraid of a delay of certification because, you know, it will stop the delay on the certification running out of fuel in the winter. Yeah, that will pretty much speed up your certifications. You're going to get real flexible with Russia as soon as it gets real cold and you're running out of energy. So that's like a nothing.
Every time you hear that there's something, somebody in five minutes later is going to say, yeah but you know it'd be pretty easy to get around that one. So I can't even tell as an observer if any of this makes any difference.
So two banks were targeted. Sanctions on Russian sovereign debt. I don't even know what that means honestly. I don't even know what that means. I mean obviously they'll have trouble refinancing and getting extra debt, but I don't know the larger ramifications. Does that mean they just get help somewhere else and it doesn't matter? You know, was China going to buy up all their debt anyway? Does it matter? I don't know. Do you?
A ban on purchases of Russian bonds. I don't know. Was that a big deal? Nobody else is going to buy them. How do I judge that? How do they judge it? Sanctions on Russian elites and their families. Oh now we got them. We got some sanctions on Russian elites. Of what kind? Like what is it that they can't do if you've got 10 billion dollars? Tell me what you can't do. Am I right? I mean travel. Is there travel restrictions? Are they not going to let these oligarchs be involved in businesses that we do business with? Is it even practical to stop? Would we be shooting ourselves in the foot harder than we're shooting them if we did?
Why is it that we have no idea if these sanctions even matter? We have no idea and the news doesn't know because I don't think there's anybody smart enough to analyze it and give you the story.
There's no region in Ukraine and no age group where a majority of respondents say the Russians and Ukrainians are one people. That's also from the CNN stuff.
All right, here's another interesting twist on CNN. Chris Cilizza, who's one of their main opinion people, he does a whole piece about how Mitt Romney was right when Romney said as he was running against Obama, he said that Russia was our biggest foe. And of course Obama just slaughtered him in the debate by saying that China was obviously the biggest foe and Russia, you know, that Romney's stuck in the past. Well now Cilizza is basically saying that Romney was right, that Russia is the bigger problem.
And when do you see CNN agreeing with a Republican? Doesn't that raise a little flag for you? Is it a coincidence that CNN is telling us that we should focus on Russia as the problem and not China? That doesn't feel like an independent opinion to me. Now I can't read anybody's mind and I'm not going to allege anything. I'm just saying that when I read it, it doesn't look like somebody independently said, let me think about this with no influence from my corporate masters. Let me just say that maybe Russia is the problem and not China. When CNN has, I believe, more to lose by making China unhappy than Russia because CNN has been anti-Russia. Russia is connected to Trump even though it's not. Forever. So this feels just more like CNN's wave of propaganda against Russia because you tie them to the Republican sorts of Trump.
So how many of you believe that this new study in Nature — so it's been out a few weeks I guess and I think I talked about it — that the risk of myocarditis is five times greater if you had COVID than if you didn't? And that it was five times higher than even the risk of myocarditis from the vaccinations. Do you believe that data? We don't believe any data these days, but it looks like it was a credible publication for a study. But of course you should be skeptical about everything.
Now what would happen if this data stands? Do you think that there'll be future data that will overturn this idea? The idea being that long COVID is bad for your cardiovascular system and that you'd be better off getting the vaccination according to this. Not according to me because I'm not the authority here, but according to this data. Do you think that that someday will change? Do you think that someday the consensus of science will flip? Do you think in 20 years we'll look back and say, oh the vaccinations were the real health problem, not the actual COVID, long COVID? I don't know. I mean I think this is one of those anything-could-happen situations. I wouldn't be surprised either way. I wouldn't be surprised either way.
But suppose it's true that there is a 60% chance of greater cardio problems. Doesn't that mean that we could have a lot of extra COVIDs as much as a year or more after the actual COVID? And therefore they would not be attributed to COVID, but there might be more of those deaths than we've even seen so far. Am I doing the math right? Let's say a million people died. Am I doing the math right? Help me out here with just top of the envelope.
If a million Americans died of COVID, but compare that to how many people got COVID but then just recovered. Now if the group that got COVID and recovered would have a baseline rate of, I don't know, 10% of them maybe getting, dying of cardiovascular problems every year. What's the number? 5? Maybe 5% of them were going to die anyway of cardiovascular. But now let's say that the COVID, let's say this study was accurate. If the COVID gave them a 50 or 60% higher chance of dying, because given that cardiovascular is I believe the number one cause of death in the United States — fact-check me, I believe it's number one — so the number one cause of death, if that got ramped up by another 50%, and it doesn't kick in for a year or more, shouldn't we see over time, maybe it takes five years, but should we see over time more people dying in the future from the pandemic than from the past? Am I, are my numbers way off? What do you think?
Now that's a big assumption, right? The big assumption is that now also you would have to add to that any side effects from the vaccination itself. Because if you're looking at pandemic deaths, you do have to count everybody who died because of the shutdowns, everybody who died because of the COVID itself, everybody who died because the vaccination was, you know, unfortunately they were one of the ones who had a bad effect. You'd have to add all of that together. And so I have a feeling that the COVID death is about double what is reported so far, and that we might lose another million people sooner than they had to go. You know, you could argue that all the changes, it was a little sooner, but that's true for all of us.
All right. Is there anything else happening? Well, Jack Posobiec tweeted that 60, 65% of Democrats — I feel like everything's 65 today, that's weird — 65% of Democrats approve of Trudeau's down on freedom protesters and freezing of bank accounts. So that's obviously Democrats meaning Americans. So I wasn't really completely aware of this until at least halfway through the convoy situation. I didn't realize that so many Democrats were completely in favor of the government's actions there.
Now I guess I would have thought that if I'd seen how many people wear masks in California after it's not required. It is really, really amazing to see how many people are wearing masks without it being required. Now I'm not going to name names, but I actually witnessed yesterday somebody put on a mask. Somebody I know put on the mask in a public place, and I said, oh masks are not required. And said individual who shall remain nameless said, I know, I prefer it. Not for health reasons, not for health reasons. Felt more comfortable. That's a real thing. That is a real thing.
Now you know people have different reasons, but everything from people think the — and by the way there's a name for, have you ever heard of the name mask fishing? I heard this recently. Have you heard of mask fishing? So catfishing is when you pretend you're a different person than the picture. Mask fishing is when you're attractive but only in this little zone here and the rest of it is just a hot mess. So apparently there are a number of people who are pretty happy wearing masks. It improves their overall attractiveness. And that's not a joke. It's not a joke that it improved to some people's overall attractiveness and they wanted to keep it.
And other people I think were shy. And I have to admit that I felt that too. When I walked into a store without a mask after having been so acclimated to wearing masks, I actually felt a little naked and exposed. Has anybody had that yet? Now it wasn't enough to make me put a mask on, but I felt a little naked and a little bit exposed. I didn't have any feelings about virus. It was just a social feeling. And I can absolutely, you know, and I'm not embarrassed by pretty much anything, so it wasn't really embarrassment or anything like that.
Anyway, that is everything I think I wanted to say today. And you have been witness to the best livestream that's ever happened in the history of the world with some of the most fun people, obviously the sexiest, smartest, most flexible and open-minded human beings of all time. Give yourself a pat on the back. Okay, that's enough. That's enough. Cut it out. All right. And tomorrow we'll do it again every single day.
good morning everybody and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to anybody who's ever been born anywhere it's called coffee with scott adams every now and then i like to remind my audience just in case you're wondering that i have more than one t-shirt that looks just like this one some of you may be concerned that i only own one t-shirt but no i own about a dozen of these and i call it my uniform see if you can get people to think that you're dressing one way because you have a look i'm talking about the steve jobs look talking about the mark zuckerberg look you know he wears the hoodie or the black shirt yeah the trick if you can convince people that you have a look all of your problems are solved if you know what i mean now don't go full elton john you don't want to convince people that your look is an elton john you know over the top needs props and all that stuff that's way too much work if you're going to do a uniform and a look and a brand go for basic save you a lot of time hey who came here for the simultaneous sip besides everybody and all you need is a copper mug or a glass of tanker chelsea's done a canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid how much do i like coffee a lot and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes all of you better looking a little bit sexier definitely smarter it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens right now go yes i would like to pay respect to my uh what would it be my ethnic origins by doing the whitest thing anybody's ever done after the simultaneous sip now feel free to enjoy your own cultural heritage and celebrate the way that makes the most sense for whoever you are be you born in america or born somewhere else use your cultural heritage and join me now doing your own after the sip celebration i will be doing the whitest white person guy celebration ever and it goes like this now i hope that wherever you were you did something that was as perfectly suited to your cultural background as i did somebody dabbed that's exactly right well rasmussen uh has a poll uh asking uh should the democratic party be more like biden or more like harris what do you think democrats said uh the democratic party should be more like biden 36 but only 11 percent thought harris and so how's the progressive wing of the democratic party looking not so good now so good you want to hear some more bad news for the progressive part um i was asked a question on the locals platform just before i went live on youtube they get they get a little extra over on locals it's a subscription service and i was asked what has the worst recent murder rate we're going to compare two regions i'm going to ask you this question it's a serious question it's not a rhetorical question i actually don't know the answer to it and the question is has the the death rate and the murder rate let's say has it been worse in the last few months in chicago or in the uh occupied separatist regions of ukraine which has been the more deadly place now it kind of doesn't matter what the answer is kind of doesn't matter what the answer is it's the fact that we can even ask that question and it's not a joke i actually don't know the answer that question i don't know maybe it'll be a crossover point but if i had to bet i think i'd put my money on chicago because you know i assume there's shelling and there's chicanery and there's you know false flags and all kinds of stuff happening in the separatist regions but but they didn't kill as many people as a weekend in chicago does am i right i don't know if i'm right but you seem to think i am and that's good enough you know we live in a subjective reality and while i strive to be correct and right about everything i will settle for you agreeing with me because it feels the same on my end anyway so thank you for that uh speaking of wokeness uh it's it's a story that the media is talking about this story which is the newsweek in l.a times are both recently warning democrats that they better get over the wokeness because they're looking at this uh one anecdote here i guess the situation where in san francisco that the democrats voted out some school board members for being too woke and not being useful enough and the striking part about it is that they were overwhelmingly voted out the the wokesters were just driven out by even democrats because it's a democratic city so that seems like a pretty big story but are things getting better or worse for the locust of the woke well shall i continue it's it's turning out to be a really bad year to be woke am i right part of it is because trump is less than the news because there's not a natural enemy you know that's just really salient at the moment so if you just let the the wokeness exist on its own it just looks like you know toxic bile and just you know it's like an acid to eating itself but if if trump were in the news every day then the wokeness would have something to play off of you know some kind of a productive contrast but when you take the contrast away and it just has to be looked at on its own nobody likes it well that's the exaggeration but it's not so popular and that brings us to grenada tonberg and i tweeted yesterday that greta tunberg caused this mess and by this mess i mean ukraine now do you all see the connection because i'm not joking greta tunberg she sort of caused the ukraine war does everybody see it i can explain it if okay there i get a few no's there so let me explain it so it goes like this if we didn't have greta climate change wouldn't be you know as potent a topic as it is that's no that's a that's a presumption on my part right so that part's speculative but i think most of you would agree with that that she's she's uh turbo charged the topic she's added a lot most people would agree with that now if climate change did not have such a let's say persuasive quality to it how would trump's policy about energy look compared to biden's biden didn't really have a choice did he you know if you're a democrat don't you have to go full tundberg or or at least move in that direction he he didn't go full tonberg by any means but he had to be pushed in that direction right so one of the things that trump would have done that we know for sure that uh biden did not do is promote domestic energy production in the united states because biden wants to be more green and save the world and be more greta tunberg and trump was more i think this climate thing changed thing was a chinese hoax to slow down our economy let's pump uh oil and gas as much as we can build some pipelines and be independent and build up our economy and by the way when you substitute gas natural gas for coal it reduces your emissions so trump who was criticized for saying that climate change was a chinese hoax i think we're all sure even the democrats would say this is true he would have kept the domestic energy production high which means that prices for energy would have been lower which means that your inflation would be lower under trump in that one way yet putin would have far less money to be adventurous and he would basically have less power because if europe needed to get a different source of gas for a while it might cost more but if you took some of the inflation out of it the more wouldn't be as much as it would be now so you've got a situation in which energy is sort of the most important product because there's not enough of it which makes putin the most important person because he's got an army and he's got energy he's got the two things that matter the most today so quite reasonably you could say that the connection between greta tunberg and her influence which was very effective definitely put pressure on democrats the democrats definitely reduced energy production the reduction in energy production definitely increased the cost of energy which definitely increased the profits for russia which definitely increased their strategic power which definitely increased their confidence which almost certainly was a major factor in getting exactly where we are now who who disagrees with that analysis now i'm not going to say it's the only variable right you know maybe putin would have done what putin was going to do but you can see the connection can't you it does seem like it's maybe 20 of the story and that's pretty big yeah i'd say it's 20 of the story i mean climate change itself not just greta right so you know nothing is there there's no analysis that's the whole story right everything's got lots of facets so i don't think the uh the woke side of the world is looking so good now here's another interesting angle on ukraine jonathan turley who's always a great read uh has an article today he's talking about and i wasn't i'm not sure how uh aware of this i was how many of you were aware of this story that for over two years there's been an investigation i guess it was a stated investigation into hunter biden and his tax and financial issues specifically related to his foreign dealings now were you aware that there's a two-year investigation ongoing about hunter biden's activities and his foreign dealings which presumably is either all ukraine or mostly ukraine is what they're concerned about and that part of that is they seem to be indicating that hunter biden had a lot more cash or that that seems to be where the evidence is pointing that he seemed to have a lot more cash than his reported income would suggest now we don't i'm going to use the same standard that i would use for trump or anything else right try to be fair about it hunter biden is not charged with anything no court has found hunter biden guilty of anything i hate to say it but unfortunately that's the standard you know if you're gonna if you're gonna be like a decent citizen you have to accept the standard like the standard is more important than the person all right so as painful as it is to say that he hasn't been convicted of anything that does matter you know unfortunately unfortunately it matters so uh and i wouldn't want to change that but at the same time they have been investigating for two years and probably not for nothing i mean there must be at least some smoke doesn't mean they'll ever find any fire but here's a question which must be asked do you think that zelensky the head of ukraine do you think he has information about the biden family that we haven't heard yet what are the odds i mean just think what the odds would be so if we know the hunter was mucking around in ukrainian business that much seems true but we we have not seen anything directly illegal about that only that it seems deeply sketchy and unquestionable and unethical but not technically illegal as far as we know so do you think that maybe ukraine has something on the biden family at the same time that biden is trying to manage this situation that's the most important thing going on at the moment now let me do something that i hate to do because of its ordinariness but damn it sometimes you have to do the ordinary and i this is so uncreative that it actually hurts me to do it but sometimes you got to do it imagine if this were don jr i hate it i hate it i hate doing this i hate doing this because it's so uncreative like how many times have we done that i mean don jr does it all the time right in his tweets he goes imagine if this were me and it's unfortunately it is exactly the right thing it's the right thought can you even imagine just just hold this thought for a moment imagine a world in which trump were president and we had this problem with ukraine and russia which maybe we wouldn't even have but let's say we do and imagine that the story had been don jr doing business in ukraine and that there were questions about it and and a current ongoing investigation about it can you even imagine i mean seriously my head is going to explode imagining the difference between how the media would be talking about that and how they're just not talking about hunter biden at all this doesn't even exist i fee somebody said impeachment here on youtube in the comments maybe maybe would you trust and let's be honest would you trust trump's judgment if don jr might have some hidden secrets you know that would come out if you acted a different way no even i wouldn't right like i've been pretty supportive of trump on a number of issues not in everything but a lot of stuff but i wouldn't be comfortable with that and by the way i think don jr is awesome i like him i like trump but if you just put those two people i like in that situation i wouldn't like that oh no no that i would back out immediately i'd be like okay i'm out these two people can't be involved in the same situation this is too much of a conflict of interest we're not even talking about conflict of interest are we like but have you even heard the phrase conflict of interest can you imagine that you would never hear that phrase if this were don jr and trump right i mean it's just it's mind-boggling the difference all right um let's talk about some other stuff in theory we should be seeing some massive cognitive dissonance by the people who were most supportive of biden and least supportive of trump over the past five years now because we're living in different realities if there are any democrats watching this right now you may be saying to yourself i don't know what you're talking about scott i don't know what you're talking about and you don't and i can't fix that i'm sorry so to those of you who don't fall into that category i guess i'm just talking to you today it's kind of obvious at this point like super obvious that on a whole range of issues not all of them not all of them but on a whole range of issues trump was clearly the superior president at this point it's just obvious you know there was certainly a point where you could have said well let's see what biden can do right i think it was entirely possible that biden could have come up with some you know southern border solution that was you know kind and generous and yet good enough for the united states maybe i don't know give them a chance it didn't happen you know maybe maybe biden could come up with some productive way to deal with russian china i don't didn't happen so you know maybe biden could do something better for the energy no it didn't happen so at this point wouldn't you expect i'm and just talking to my own audience here i know you're you lean a particular way but no you think there should be some prominent democrats just sort of going crazy now because they can see what they did you know they caused this problem by insisting on a brain dead president well here's an example maybe stephen king had this uh tweet uh this is the i swear to god this happened today no yesterday i guess so it's fresh uh he tweets uh so stephen king the novelist he writes uh mr putin has made a serious miscalculation he forgot he's no longer dealing with trump what is he watching the same reality that i'm watching because i don't think that russia did much when when trump was in charge i i don't so to me it looks like cognitive dissonance it was somebody else called it out on uh you know dale called it out on twitter um but raheem had a uh reply to it he goes congrats you're the dumbest mfr in america that's funny it's only funny because that was my exact thought when i read it was like wow you might be the dumbest m effer in america and then i read raheem's comment you congrats you're the dumbest okay um now this uh does suggest that there might be a medical problem that is under-recognized and i would call it long-haul tds long-haul tds yeah long-haul tds the original tds would give you some insanity and anxiety fear you know like so so you don't want to catch a bad case of tds which by the way can be transmitted by personal contact if you stand uh and six feet isn't enough for tds for uh for coving six feet is pretty good for social distancing for but for tds you've actually got to be outside of the listening distance so you want to be well you want to keep your distance of say a quarter mile from other people to reduce the transmission of tds because if you get closer to it than a quarter mile that can still shout you can hear them and that's a little too close because it gets transmitted by talking and ideas so there was a bad case of tds going through the country for a few years but now that's mostly subsided we've uh now it's more endemic situation we've learned to live with it sort of a baseline problem like the flu and but we still have to be concerned about long haul are there any long-haul symptoms and i think this cognitive dissonance is sort of the myocarditis of tds that it does seem that having once had tds you are more likely to have cognitive dissonance even a year later speaking of uh trump he uh he's getting some attention by calling putin his moves genius and very savvy for the the way that he the way that he reframed the separatist regions and then moved in to protect them so trump said that that was really smart and then trump's critics said you fool you putin lover you ask kissim putin puppet you why are you saying good things about putin you must be a monster like him so is that exactly what was going on i have two comments about this maybe more number one there's one thing that trump never gets credit for his honesty about how he feels now i will grant you that when he's talking about the outside world and the the facts in the world he he can play fast and loose with the facts he is a salesperson he's unapologetic about that he uses hype hyperbole to to persuade he's unapologetic about that so he is what he is and you either like that or you don't but i think we all understand it but the thing that you miss about trump is that when he tells you what his opinion is am i right when he tells you what his opinion is you always believe that don't you you never believe that he's telling you something he doesn't personally believe i don't think i don't think i've ever once had that feeling but when biden speaks biden sounds like a politician doesn't he you don't really think he believes what he what even says his opinion the things he says he really cares about i don't know that he does really who knows might be convenient to say he cares about that stuff who knows but uh here's so when trump calls putin a genius and savvy it's basically very similar to what i was thinking in my private thoughts i was thinking damn that's pretty smart the way he's doing this looks like it's you know pretty successful at least in terms of you know getting stronger control over those separatist regions they look pretty smart now it's you know it's evil and manipulative and you know hitler-like i'm not i'm not downplaying any of that but it's smart so that's the first thing that we miss about trump is that he looks at something that looks smart and he says hey that looks smart he's not approving of it he's just saying you look smart that's just his honest opinion i don't know i miss it i miss it i miss that part of it i honestly don't miss the conflict i i feel like i'm a little better off without all of the tds the tds was a for me surviving the tds was almost as hard as surviving the pandemic to be honest you know if if you're right in the middle of it i mean there weren't enough vaccinations to get me through tds but you know i got through the pandemic it was a pain in the ass but i got through it the tds i think is going to last forever the tds will affect my career and my reputation my wikipedia page for the rest of time all right but let's talk about trump strategically given that he might be a future president who knows why he says about putin really does matter and even as an ex-president it wouldn't matter um is as smart or not smart to call putin a genius and to say that his moves are savvy go but would you would you say that trump is smart or not smart to call putin a genius in public i think it's smart because if you want to talk to somebody productively later you call them smart i i hate to be the one who always has to explain this to the general public apparent apparently people watch this live stream are all you're you're all educated about how this works but the general public doesn't understand that there was only one person who handled this right and it was trump he's the only one who handled it right because ultimately we got to talk to that guy putin we got to talk to him who is going to who is going to get a better reception the one who trump called smart or the one who's just your evil blah blah blah blah blah i i feel that we're all human right like even putin's a human being do you think that putin is unaffected by trump calling him smart do you think he's unaffected by that i think he's affected by it i think it actually works and that if anybody were to talk to putin in the future about any of this i would want it to be trump i would want it to be trump now i saw some people commenting about how they were suspicious because trump and putin had a private conversation once with the interpreter i guess but since it was not recorded what that conversation was people are afraid that oh that's where all the bad stuff happened that's maybe that's where all the collusion happened we don't know what happened you know there's no way to know anything about that but here's what i would guess just speculative trump understands that it's always personal that's it trump understands that it's always personal and i'm not sure why other people don't don't kind of understand that as well as he understands it everything's personal here's another thing in the book uh persuasion by childini do you know what uh do you know what one of the ways science has shown you can befriend somebody and get them to trust you as a friend you tell them a secret that's that's a well-known persuasion trick you tell them a secret that's what trump did now we don't know what they talked about privately but because we don't know what is that called a secret right just we it might have been nothing maybe maybe they didn't talk about anything important at all but trump created a situation where he and putin are sharing a secret ah you didn't see that coming did you that's about the best technique for persuasion you're ever going to freaking see in your life say what you will about trump you know he's not free from criticism right i'm not the one who's going to tell you he's he's the the god king and everything he does is right but you got to give him credit for the things that are just so right that nobody's ever going to match it in my opinion i don't think anybody will match him for personal persuasion now keep in mind i don't know how many of you have ever been in the room with him but he does have that thing that thing whatever that thing is that x factor that that charisma whatever it is i'm sure putin has it too but you you put him in a room and he's going to convince you of something he is good now by the way i think biden's probably pretty good at that too or he wouldn't be where he is so i'm not saying he's bad at it but the the style difference is striking and i think trump is the one who played it who would have played it completely correctly you want putin to think you can work with him that he can trust you what what is the biggest thing that well let's talk about that let's talk about uh what russian people think uh about all this so the russian people um let's see i'm going to skip ahead to that part cnn was talking about a poll it's hard to get information about the russian public but i guess cnn ran some kind of a proprietary poll or personal poll or something or a special poll they have some word forget what word that is it doesn't matter and here's what they found uh one out of every two russians actually 50 of them uh said it would be right um more russians think it would be wrong than right to use military force to reunite russia and ukraine so so russians don't want to use military right military force to take over ukraine but the russian public does think that nato is an offensive force what um so russians believe nato is an offensive force with plans to destroy russia and the russians but they do think that the ukraine people and the russian people are one people which is what putin says so putin has managed to convince much of russia that the ukrainian people and the russian people are all one people but the ukrainians don't believe that not even close so this is one of those cases where you can see the power of propaganda because i need a more of a fact check on this but i believe that the russian public has access to the internet right now there are some things that are you know regulated and some things that are censored but generally speaking the average russian can get the internet right and so if you imagine the average ukrainian and the average russian both have access to the outside world you can see the power of propaganda because the only thing it would be one thing like north korea to keep your people completely walled off from other information then you can control their thoughts pretty pretty well but if people have access to the alternative opinions you can see how powerful the propaganda is because you know they've been turned away from accuracy toward inaccuracy so look at the difference between ukrainian and russian public opinion about this one question are the ukrainians and the russians one people only only putin was the one who was pushing the we're all one people thing and he successfully did it through propaganda you can you can see how many or what percentage of the public can be moved by something as pure as propaganda it's about half it's about half you can tell any story if you tell it often enough and you control enough of the media that you know you can get a monopoly on it now he doesn't even have a monopoly that's my point if he had a monopoly on information well then you'd understand how that many people could be convinced but he did that this is the scary part he did that without a monopoly on information he did that just with persuasion just with persuasion so i would say that the percentage of the public that you can move with pure propaganda is around half and you know the topic would vary so i'm sure there are some topics you can get 80 sometimes 20.
but i think you could count on getting half of the public which is enough to start a war you know if you've got half of the public on your side you can kind of go to war that's about enough you know 55 would be better so um that answered my question i was just asking the other day on live stream here what do the what's the average russian know about the whole situation the other thing is that there are a whole lot of people in russia who don't think there's going to be an invasion proper you know where ukraine itself is completely taken over there are a lot of people in russia who don't think that's going to happen and there are a lot of people in ukraine like a big big chunk of ukraine doesn't think there's going to be an invasion but if you ask the people in the united states wouldn't we say 90 of us who were paying attention what do you think it would be what do you think it would be in the united states now it's different if you ask people who are paying attention to the news versus people we're not so i guess it's nonsense to ask the general public they're not even paying attention yeah so i think maybe 10 well let me ask the question here how many people on this live stream do not think tr uh russia will in try to take over all of ukraine so tell me if you don't believe he's going to try to take all of ukraine i want to see i mean okay a lot of people now how many of you were influenced by me because i'm not too confident on my on my opinion on this was anybody influenced by me because early on i said i don't think he's going to do it and i'm sticking with my prediction just because the reasons for the predictions haven't changed although i have to admit it looks a lot like he's going to attack i wouldn't bet on me let's put it this way if i were you i wouldn't bet on me to be right but just to be consistent because my reasons for the prediction never changed i'm going to stick with it now i'm not going to let my confidence be influenced by the fact that it looks in every possible way it looks like exactly like an invasion because bluffing would look exactly the same if you wanted to do a really good job of it bluffing would look the same what would also look the same is not having decided yet that would look exactly the same if you were if the only thing you were doing is you know pushing for negotiations to get some concessions and just making us think he's going to attack any moment or even to find out what her response is because maybe he just is testing public opinion maybe he's just testing the resolve of nato apparently there's a big opinion and this is a um this is a weird one a lot of people in russia think that the united states is trying to trick russia into attacking ukraine is there anybody in the united states you've heard besides me say that that i'm not going to say that we're actually literally trying to trick them into attacking ukraine but i've actually tweeted that it looks like it in other words what we're observing looks exactly like trying to trick them into attacking ukraine now i don't know why we would do that except that maybe it'd be bad for russia but is it weird that the russian public actually thinks that a lot of them they think we're trying to trick them into attacking ukraine how in the world is the russian public having that opinion and i'm the only one do a fact check have you heard anybody else in america say that it looks like we're trying to trick them into attacking because i didn't even believe my own opinion i'm just saying that it if you look at the facts it just looks like it i mean it doesn't seem likely but it looks like it oh is cernovich and posabi you've heard them that would make sense well i'm not talking about a wag the dog situation the wag the dog i think that's a more specific situation isn't it all right some more interesting factoids here let's get back to this i saw a good tweet by eddie quan he says if you think trusting the science is smart wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch that one just stops you in your tracks doesn't it if you think trusting the science is smart wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch i i don't think i've ever seen anything summarized that well actually i'll give you one thing once a friend of mine described the comic strip marmaduke uh which at that point had been like 50 years of marmaduke comics you summarize the entire life of the comic as a big dog is on something you want now that was a terribly unfair summary but it's the only one i've seen that was more succinct than if you think trusting the science is smart wait till you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch you could just be done you you should have a college course for a credit like full credit you know it's a harvard class and you go into the class and the first day you sit down and they just show you this tweet they go class if you think trusting the science is smart wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch class dismissed anybody who can remember that tomorrow gets an a in the class and there's no coursework because that's all you need to know it's all there the entire the entire class work of how to understand the media how to work with it how to understand science how to work with it human motivation it's all there in one tweet uh meanwhile uh speaking of the canadian gulag um sure enough canada is going hard after the people involved in the protest their accounts are being frozen some of them can't get bail their names are being posted the names of people who donated to the truckers are being posted on trees in some neighborhoods so that you can know who to be mad at in canada uh this is the most chilling thing that i've seen in a long time and i've seen some chilling things so i don't even know what to say about this i mean it's so bad that like words words start to escape but then you find out that two-thirds of the canadian public is totally on board with this sort of stuff did you know that something like 65 percent of the canadian public says you know they don't like the convoy and they're pretty happy that the government was tough on them it's something like that right two-thirds so if canada is getting what it wants by a two-thirds majority i'm not sure how concerned i should be here's another scary thing homeland security is looking into battling online and misinformation and has considered that misinformation could rise to the level of terrorism i mean in effect now do you believe that do you believe that misinformation be it intentional or not i guess the intention kind of would be the worst kind that homeland security would care about but that the misinformation could be like as bad as terrorism i would say yes i would say yes you can see the effect in russia versus ukraine the public opinion and misinformation could actually cause a land war in europe this could be a misinformation war so on one hand i can totally see how homeland security thinks information and the control of it is necessary to avoid terrorism on the other hand there goes your free speech am i right how in the world can you regulate speech as a tool of terror and expect anybody's going to give you a fair opinion that doesn't have you know somebody's self-interest in the government involved they can't co-exist you just can't have i don't think correct me if i'm wrong but i don't think you can have government control over information without giving away free speech they're just too connected all right i thought biden was kind of clever and in saying that this was a start of an invasion instead of an invasion you remember all yesterday there was the argument is an invasion or is it not an invasion and then biden comes out and goes it's the start of an invasion and i thought oh that's good that's actually pretty good because that does that does actually i know it feels like he high grounded it like once he says that you go ah oh yeah that's true right now because if you thought it was an invasion he said it's the start of an invasion and if you thought it wasn't quite an invasion you could say well yeah it's just the start i thought it was one of the most clever uh political twists you know linguistic tricks i've seen in a long time no i don't think he wrote it i mean i think somebody came up with it but if you know if trump had said this i'd think it was clever so i'll give biden this so we've got all this these sanctions that are going on so far can anybody tell me that they know if these sanctions are powerful or not is it my imagination or every time we hear about sanctions isn't there always more to the story like oh our sanction is we're going to behead every baby that's born in russia and then you read but the context is uh that no babies are actually born in russia because it's called the federation of russian yeah there's always some technicality where you think oh we got them now oh look at those sanctions we've got those sanctions now and then you turn out that the nordstream pipeline is just a delay of certification what he's not going to be afraid of a delay of certification because you know it will stop the delay on the certification running out of fuel in the winter yeah that that will pretty much speed up your certifications you're going to get real flexible with russia as soon as it gets real cold and you're running out of energy so that's like a nothing every time you hear that there's something somebody in five minutes later is going to say yeah but you know it'd be pretty easy to get around that one so i can't even tell as an observer if any of this makes any difference so two banks were targeted so uh uh sanctions on russian sovereign debt i don't even know what that means honestly i don't even know what that means i mean obviously they'll have trouble refinancing and getting extra debt but i don't know the larger ramifications does that mean they just get help somewhere else and it doesn't matter you know was china going to buy up all their debt anyway does it matter i don't know do you um a ban on purchases of russian bonds i don't know was that a big deal nobody else is going to buy them how do i judge that how do they judge it sanctions on russian elites and their families oh now we got them we got some sanctions on russian elites of what kind like what what is it that they can't do if you've got 10 billion dollars tell me what you can't do am i right i mean travel is there travel restrictions are they not going to let these oligarchs be involved in businesses that we do business with is it even practical to stop would we be shooting ourselves in the foot harder than we're shooting them if we did why is it that we have no idea if these sanctions even matter we have no idea and the news doesn't know because i don't think there's anybody smart enough to analyze it and give you the story um there's no region in ukraine and no age group that where a majority of respondents say the russians and ukraines are one people that's also from the cnn stuff all right here's another interesting twist on cnn chris eliza who's one of their main opinion people he does a whole piece about how mitt romney was right when when romney said as he was running against obama he said that russia was our biggest foe and of course obama just slaughtered him in the debate by saying that china was obviously the biggest foe and russia's are you know the that romney's stuck in the past well now seliza is basically saying that romney was right that russia is the bigger problem and um when do you see cnn agreeing with a republican doesn't that raise a little flag for you is it a coincidence the cnn is telling us that we should focus on russia as the problem and not china that doesn't feel like an independent opinion to me now i can't read anybody's mind and i'm not going to allege anything i'm just saying that when i read it it doesn't look like somebody independently said let me think about this with no influence from my corporate masters let me just say that maybe maybe russia is the problem and not china when when cnn has i believe more to lose by making china unhappy than russia because cnn has been anti-russia russia is connected to trump even though it's not forever so this feels just more like cnn's wave of propaganda against russia because you tie them to the republican sorts of trump so how many of you believe that uh this new study in nature so it's been out a few weeks i guess and i think i talked about it that the risk of myocarditis is five times greater if you had coveted than if you didn't and that it's it was five times higher than even a the risk of myocarditis from the vaccinations do you believe that data we don't believe any data these days but it looks like it was a you know a credible publication for a study but of course you should be skeptical about everything now what would happen if this data stands do you think that there'll be future data that will overturn this idea the idea being that long covet is bad for your cardiovascular system uh and that you'd be better off getting the vaccination according to this not according to me because i'm not the authority here but according to this data do you think that that someday will change do you think that someday the the consensus of science will will flip do you think in 20 years we'll look back and say oh the vaccinations were the real health problem not the actual coven long covered i don't know i mean i think this is one of those anything could happen situations i wouldn't be surprised either way i wouldn't be surprised either way um but suppose it's true that there is a 60 chance of of greater cardio problems doesn't that mean that we could have a lot of extra covides as much as a year or more after the actual covent and therefore they would not be attributed to covet but there might be more of those deaths than we've even seen so far am i doing the math right let's say a million people died am i doing the math right help me out here with just top of the envelope if a million americans died of coven uh but compare that to how many people got covered but then just recovered now if the group that got coveted and recovered would have a baseline rate of i don't know 10 of them maybe getting dying of cardiovascular problems every year what's the number 5 maybe five percent of them were going to die anyway um of cardiovascular but now let's say that the covalent let's say let's say this study was accurate if the if the covalent gave them a 50 or 60 percent higher chance of dying because given that cardiovascular is i believe the number one cause of death in the united states fact-check me i believe it's number one so the number one cause of death if that got ramped up by another 50 percent and it doesn't kick in for a year or more shouldn't we see over time maybe it takes five years but should we see over time more people dying in the future from the pandemic than than from the past am i are my numbers way off what do you think now that's that's a big assumption right the big assumption is that now also you would have to add to that any side effects from the vaccination itself because if you're looking at pandemic deaths you do have to count everybody who died because of the shutdowns everybody who died because the cove itself everybody died who because because the vaccination was you know unfortunately they were one of the ones who had a bad effect you'd have to add all of that together and so i i have a feeling that the covenant death is about double what is reported so far and that we might lose another million people sooner than they had to go you know you could argue that all the changes it was a little sooner but that's true for all of us all right um is there anything else happening well uh jack bosovics tweeted that 60 65 percent of democrats i feel like everything's 65 today that's weird 65 percent of democrats approve of trudeau's down on freedom protesters and freezing of bank accounts um so that that's obviously democrats meaning americans so i i wasn't really completely aware of this until at least halfway through the convoy situation i didn't realize that so many democrats were completely in favor of the government's actions there now i guess i would have thought that if i'd seen how many people wear masks in california after it's not required it is really really amazing to see how many people are wearing masks without it being required now i'm not going to name names but i actually witnessed yesterday somebody put on a mask somebody i know put on the mask in a public place and i said oh masks are not required and said individual who shall remain nameless said i know i prefer it not for health reasons not for health reasons felt more comfortable that's a real thing that is a real thing now you know people have different reasons but everything from uh people think the and by the way there's a there's a name for uh have you have you ever heard of the name mask fishing i heard this recently have you heard of mask fishing so catfishing is when you pretend you're a different person than the picture mask fiction mask mask fishing is when you're attractive but only only in this little zone here and the rest of it is just a is a hot mess so apparently there are a number of people who are pretty happy wearing masks it improves their overall attractiveness and that's not a joke it's not a joke that it improved to some people's overall attractiveness and they wanted to keep it and and other people i think were shy and i have to admit that i felt that too when i walked into a store without a mask after having you know been so acclimated to wearing masks i actually felt a little naked and exposed has anybody had that yet now it wasn't enough to make me put a mask on but but i felt a little naked and a little bit exposed i didn't have any feelings about virus it was just a social feeling and i can absolutely you know and i'm i'm uh you know not embarrassed by pretty much anything so it wasn't really embarrassment or anything like that anyway that is everything i think i wanted to say today and you have been witness to the best livestream that's ever happened in the history of the world with some of the most fun people obviously the sexiest smartest most flexible and open-minded human beings of all time give yourself a pat in the back okay that's enough that's enough cut it out all right and tomorrow we'll do it again every single day
good morning everybody
and welcome
to the best thing that ever happened to
anybody who's ever been born
anywhere it's called coffee with scott
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every now and then i like to remind my
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just in case you're wondering
that i have more than one t-shirt that
looks just like this one
some of you may be concerned
that i only own one t-shirt
but no
i own
about a dozen of these
and
i call it my uniform
see if you can get people to think that
you're dressing one way because you have
a look
i'm talking about the steve jobs look
talking about the mark zuckerberg look
you know he wears the hoodie or the
black shirt
yeah the trick
if you can convince people that you have
a look
all of your problems are solved if you
know what i mean
now don't go full elton john
you don't want to convince people that
your look
is an elton john you know over the top
needs props and all that stuff that's
way too much work
if you're going to do a uniform
and a look and a brand
go for basic
save you a lot of time hey who came here
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yes
i would like to pay respect
to my uh
what would it be my ethnic origins
by doing the whitest thing
anybody's ever done after the
simultaneous sip
now feel free
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and celebrate the way that makes the
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for
whoever you are
be you
born in america or born somewhere
else use your cultural heritage and join
me now doing your own after the sip
celebration i will be doing the whitest
white person guy celebration ever and it
goes like this
now i hope that wherever you were
you did something that was as perfectly
suited to your cultural background as i
did
somebody dabbed that's exactly right
well rasmussen uh
has a poll
uh asking uh should the democratic party
be more like biden or more like harris
what do you think democrats said
uh the democratic party should be more
like biden 36
but only 11 percent thought harris
and so
how's the progressive wing of the
democratic party looking
not so good
now so good you want to hear some more
bad news for
the progressive part
um i was asked a question on the locals
platform just before i went live on
youtube
they get they get a little extra over on
locals it's a subscription service
and i was asked
what has the worst recent murder rate
we're going to compare two regions i'm
going to ask you this question it's a
serious question
it's not a rhetorical question
i actually don't know the answer to it
and the question is
has the the death rate and the murder
rate let's say
has it been worse in the last few months
in chicago
or in the uh occupied
separatist regions of ukraine
which has been the more deadly place
now
it kind of doesn't matter what the
answer is kind of doesn't matter what
the answer is
it's the fact that we can even ask that
question
and it's not a joke i actually don't
know the answer that question
i don't know maybe it'll be a crossover
point but if i had to bet
i think i'd put my money on
chicago because you know i assume
there's shelling and there's chicanery
and there's
you know false flags and all kinds of
stuff happening in the separatist
regions
but
but they didn't kill as many people as a
weekend in chicago does
am i right i don't know if i'm right
but you seem to think i am and
that's good enough
you know we live in a subjective reality
and
while i strive to be correct and right
about everything
i will settle for you agreeing with me
because it feels the same
on my end anyway so thank you for that
uh speaking of wokeness uh
it's it's a story that the media is
talking about this story
which is the newsweek in l.a times
are both recently warning
democrats
that they better get over the wokeness
because they're looking at this uh
one anecdote here i guess the situation
where in san francisco that the
democrats voted out some school board
members
for being too woke and not being useful
enough
and
the striking part about it is that they
were overwhelmingly voted out the the
wokesters were just driven out by even
democrats because it's a democratic city
so that seems like a pretty big story
but are things getting better or worse
for the locust of the woke well
shall i continue
it's it's turning out to be a really bad
year to be woke
am i right
part of it is because trump is less than
the news
because there's not a natural
enemy you know that's just really
salient at the moment
so if you just let the the wokeness
exist on its own
it just looks like
you know
toxic bile
and just you know it's like an acid to
eating itself but if if trump were in
the news every day
then the wokeness would have something
to play off of you know some kind of a
productive contrast but when you take
the contrast away and it just has to be
looked at on its own
nobody likes it
well that's the exaggeration but
it's not so popular
and that brings us to grenada tonberg
and i tweeted yesterday that
greta tunberg caused this mess
and by this mess i mean ukraine
now do you all see the connection
because i'm not joking
greta tunberg
she sort of caused the ukraine war
does everybody see it
i can explain it if okay there i get a
few no's there so let me explain it
so it goes like this
if we didn't have greta
climate change wouldn't be you know as
potent a topic as it is
that's no that's a
that's a presumption on my part right so
that part's speculative
but i think most of you would agree with
that that she's she's uh
turbo charged the topic she's added a
lot most people would agree with that
now if
climate change did not have such a
let's say persuasive quality to it
how would trump's policy about energy
look compared to biden's
biden didn't really have a choice did he
you know if you're a democrat
don't you have to go full tundberg
or or at least move in that direction he
he didn't go full tonberg by any means
but he had to be pushed in that
direction right
so
one of the things that trump would have
done that
we know for sure
that uh
biden did not do
is promote domestic energy production in
the united states because biden wants to
be more green and save the world and be
more greta tunberg
and trump was more
i think this climate thing changed thing
was a chinese hoax to
slow down our economy
let's pump uh oil and
gas as much as we can build some
pipelines and be independent and build
up our economy and by the way when you
substitute
gas natural gas for coal it reduces your
emissions
so
trump who was criticized for saying that
climate change was a chinese hoax
i think we're all sure
even the democrats would say this is
true
he would have kept the domestic energy
production high
which means that prices for energy would
have been lower
which means that your inflation would be
lower
under trump
in that one way
yet
putin would have far less money to be
adventurous
and he would
basically have less power
because if europe needed to get a
different source of gas for a while
it might cost more
but if you took some of the inflation
out of it the more wouldn't be as much
as it would be now
so you've got
a situation in which energy is sort of
the most important product because
there's not enough of it which makes
putin
the most important person
because he's got an army and he's got
energy
he's got the two things that matter the
most today
so
quite reasonably
you could say that the connection
between greta tunberg
and her influence which was very
effective
definitely put pressure on democrats
the democrats definitely reduced
energy production the reduction in
energy production definitely increased
the cost of energy
which definitely increased the profits
for russia
which definitely increased their
strategic power
which definitely increased their
confidence
which almost certainly was a major
factor
in getting exactly where we are now
who who disagrees with that analysis now
i'm not going to say it's the only
variable right
you know maybe putin would have done
what putin was going to do
but
you can see the connection can't you it
does seem like
it's
maybe 20 of the story
and that's pretty big
yeah i'd say it's 20 of the story i mean
climate change itself not just greta
right so you know nothing is
there there's no analysis that's the
whole story right
everything's got lots of facets
so i don't think the uh
the woke side of the world is looking so
good
now here's another interesting angle on
ukraine
jonathan turley who's always a great
read
uh has an article today he's talking
about
and i wasn't i'm not sure how
uh aware of this i was how many of you
were aware of this story
that for over two years
there's been an investigation
i guess it was a stated investigation
into hunter biden and his tax and
financial issues
specifically related to his foreign
dealings
now were you aware that there's a
two-year investigation ongoing about
hunter biden's
activities and his foreign dealings
which
presumably is either all ukraine or
mostly ukraine is what they're concerned
about
and that part of that is they seem to be
indicating
that hunter biden had a lot more cash or
that that seems to be where the evidence
is pointing
that he seemed to have a lot more cash
than his reported income would suggest
now
we don't
i'm going to use the same standard that
i would use for trump or anything else
right try to be fair about it
hunter biden
is not charged with anything
no court has found hunter biden guilty
of anything
i hate to say it but unfortunately
that's the standard
you know if you're gonna if you're gonna
be
like a decent
citizen
you have to accept the standard like the
standard is more important than the
person all right so as painful as it is
to say that he hasn't been convicted of
anything
that does matter you know unfortunately
unfortunately it matters
so uh and i wouldn't want to change that
but
at the same time they have been
investigating for two years and probably
not for nothing i mean there must be at
least some smoke doesn't mean they'll
ever find any fire but
here's a question which must be asked
do you think that
zelensky
the head of ukraine
do you think he has
information about the biden family that
we haven't heard yet
what are the odds i mean just think what
the odds would be
so if we know the hunter was mucking
around in ukrainian business
that much seems true
but we we have not seen anything
directly illegal about that only that it
seems deeply sketchy and
unquestionable and unethical
but not technically illegal as far as we
know
so
do you think that maybe
ukraine has something on the biden
family
at the same time that biden is trying to
manage this situation that's the most
important thing going on at the moment
now
let me do something that i hate to do
because of its ordinariness
but damn it sometimes you have to do the
ordinary
and i this is so uncreative that it
actually hurts me to do it but
sometimes you got to do it
imagine if this were don jr i hate it i
hate it i hate doing this i hate doing
this
because it's so uncreative like how many
times have we done that i mean don jr
does it all the time right
in his tweets he goes imagine if this
were me
and it's unfortunately it is exactly the
right thing
it's the right thought
can you even imagine
just just hold this thought for a moment
imagine a world in which trump were
president
and we had this problem with ukraine and
russia which maybe we wouldn't even have
but let's say we do
and imagine that the story had been don
jr doing business in ukraine and that
there were questions about it and
and
a current
ongoing investigation about it
can you even imagine
i mean seriously
my head is going to explode
imagining the difference between how the
media would be talking about that
and how they're just not talking about
hunter biden at all this doesn't even
exist
i fee somebody said impeachment here on
youtube in the comments
maybe
maybe
would you trust
and let's be honest would you trust
trump's judgment
if don jr might have some hidden secrets
you know that would come out if you
acted a different way
no even i wouldn't right like i've been
pretty supportive
of trump on a number of issues not in
everything but a lot of stuff
but
i wouldn't be comfortable with that
and by the way i think don jr is awesome
i like him
i like trump but if you just put those
two people i like
in that situation i wouldn't like that
oh no
no that i would back out immediately i'd
be like okay
i'm out these two people can't be
involved in the same situation this is
too much of a conflict of interest
we're not even talking about conflict of
interest are we
like but have you even heard the phrase
conflict of interest
can you imagine that you would never
hear that phrase
if this were don jr
and trump
right i mean it's just it's
mind-boggling the difference
all right
um
let's talk about some other stuff
in theory
we should be seeing some massive
cognitive dissonance
by the people who were most supportive
of biden
and least supportive of trump over the
past five years
now
because we're living in different
realities if there are any democrats
watching this right now
you may be saying to yourself i don't
know what you're talking about
scott i don't know what you're talking
about
and you don't and i can't fix that i'm
sorry
so to those of you who don't fall into
that category i guess i'm just talking
to you today
it's kind of obvious at this point
like super obvious
that on a whole range of issues not all
of them
not all of them but on a whole range of
issues trump was clearly the superior
president
at this point it's just obvious
you know there was certainly a point
where you could have said well
let's see what biden can do
right i think it was entirely possible
that biden could have come up with some
you know southern border solution that
was
you know kind and generous and yet good
enough for the united states maybe i
don't know
give them a chance
it didn't happen
you know maybe
maybe biden could come up with some
productive way to deal with russian
china i don't didn't happen
so
you know maybe biden could do something
better for the energy no it didn't
happen
so
at this point wouldn't you expect i'm
and just talking to my own audience here
i know you're you lean a particular way
but no you think
there should be some prominent democrats
just sort of going crazy now
because they can see what they did
you know they caused this problem
by insisting
on a brain dead president
well here's an example maybe
stephen king had this uh tweet
uh this is the i swear to god this
happened today no yesterday i guess
so it's fresh
uh he tweets uh so stephen king the
novelist he writes uh mr putin has made
a serious miscalculation he forgot he's
no longer dealing with trump
what
is he watching the same reality that i'm
watching
because i don't think that russia did
much when when trump was in charge
i i don't so to me it looks like
cognitive dissonance it was somebody
else called it out on uh
you know dale called it out on
um but raheem
had a uh
reply to it
he goes congrats you're the dumbest mfr
in america
that's funny it's only funny because
that was my exact thought
when i read it was like wow you might be
the dumbest m effer in america and then
i read
raheem's comment you congrats you're the
dumbest okay
um
now
this uh does suggest that there might be
a
medical problem that is under-recognized
and i would call it long-haul tds
long-haul tds yeah long-haul tds
the original tds would give you
some insanity and
anxiety
fear
you know like so so you don't want to
catch a bad case of tds
which by the way
can be transmitted
by personal contact
if you stand
uh and six feet isn't enough for tds for
uh for coving six feet is pretty good
for social distancing for but for tds
you've actually got to be outside of the
listening distance
so you want to be
well you want to keep your distance of
say a quarter mile from other people
to reduce the transmission of tds
because if you get closer to it than a
quarter mile that can still shout
you can hear them and that's a little
too close because
it gets transmitted by talking and ideas
so
there was a bad case of tds going
through the country for a few years but
now that's mostly subsided we've uh now
it's more endemic
situation we've learned to live with it
sort of a baseline problem like the flu
and
but we still have to be concerned about
long haul
are there any long-haul symptoms
and i think this cognitive dissonance
is sort of the myocarditis of tds
that it does seem
that having once had tds
you are more likely to have cognitive
dissonance even a year later
speaking of uh trump he uh he's getting
some attention by calling putin his
moves genius and very savvy
for the the way that he
the way that he reframed the separatist
regions
and then moved in to protect them
so trump said that that was really smart
and then
trump's critics said you fool
you putin lover you ask kissim putin
puppet you why are you saying good
things about putin you must be a monster
like him
so
is that exactly what was going on
i have two comments about this maybe
more
number one
there's one thing that trump never gets
credit for
his honesty about how he feels
now
i will grant you that when he's talking
about the outside world and the the
facts in the world he he can play
fast and loose with the facts
he is a salesperson he's unapologetic
about that he uses hype hyperbole to to
persuade he's unapologetic about that so
he is what he is
and you either like that or you don't
but i think we all understand it
but the thing that you miss about trump
is that when he tells you what his
opinion is
am i right
when he tells you what his opinion is
you always believe that
don't you
you never believe that he's telling you
something he doesn't personally believe
i don't think i don't think i've ever
once had that feeling
but when biden speaks
biden sounds like a politician doesn't
he
you don't really think he believes what
he what even says his opinion
the things he says he really cares about
i don't know that he does really
who knows
might be convenient to say he cares
about that stuff who knows
but
uh here's so when trump calls putin a
genius and savvy
it's basically
very similar to what i was thinking
in my private thoughts
i was thinking damn that's pretty smart
the way he's doing this
looks like it's you know pretty
successful at least in terms of
you know getting stronger control over
those separatist regions they look
pretty smart
now it's you know it's evil and
manipulative and
you know hitler-like
i'm not i'm not downplaying any of that
but it's smart
so that's the first thing that we miss
about trump is that he looks at
something that looks smart and he says
hey that looks smart
he's not approving of it
he's just saying you look smart that's
just his honest opinion
i don't know i miss it i miss it i miss
that part of it i honestly don't miss
the conflict
i i feel like i'm a little better off
without all of the
tds the tds was a
for me surviving the tds was almost as
hard as surviving the pandemic to be
honest
you know if if you're right in the
middle of it
i mean
there weren't enough vaccinations to get
me through tds
but you know i got through the pandemic
it was a pain in the ass but i got
through it
the tds i think is going to last forever
the tds will affect my career and my
reputation my wikipedia page
for the rest of time
all right
but let's talk about trump strategically
given that he
might be a future president
who knows why he says about putin really
does matter and even as an ex-president
it wouldn't matter
um
is as smart or not smart to call putin
a genius and to say that his moves are
savvy
go
but would you would you say that trump
is smart
or not smart to call putin a genius in
public
i think it's smart
because if you want to talk to somebody
productively later
you call them smart
i i hate to be the one who always has to
explain this to the general public
apparent apparently people watch this
live stream are all
you're you're all
educated about how this works
but the general public doesn't
understand
that there was only one person who
handled this right
and it was trump
he's the only one who handled it right
because ultimately we got to talk to
that guy
putin we got to talk to him
who is going to who is going to get a
better reception
the one who trump called smart
or the one who's just your evil blah
blah blah blah blah
i i feel that we're all human right
like even putin's a human being
do you think that putin is unaffected
by trump calling him smart
do you think he's unaffected by that
i think he's affected by it
i think it actually works
and that
if anybody were to talk to putin in the
future
about any of this
i would want it to be trump
i would want it to be trump
now i saw some people commenting about
how they were suspicious because trump
and putin had a private conversation
once with the interpreter i guess
but
since it was not recorded what that
conversation was
people are afraid that oh that's where
all the bad stuff happened that's maybe
that's where all the collusion happened
we don't know what happened you know
there's no way to know anything about
that
but here's what i would guess
just speculative
trump understands
that it's always personal
that's it
trump understands that it's always
personal
and i'm not sure why other people don't
don't kind of understand that as well as
he understands it everything's personal
here's another thing in the book uh
persuasion by childini
do you know what uh do you know what one
of the ways science has shown you can
befriend somebody and get them to trust
you as a friend
you tell them a secret
that's that's a well-known persuasion
trick
you tell them a secret
that's what trump did
now we don't know what they talked about
privately
but because we don't know
what is that called
a secret
right just we it might have been nothing
maybe maybe they didn't talk about
anything important at all but trump
created a situation where he and putin
are sharing a secret
ah
you didn't see that coming did you
that's about the best
technique
for persuasion you're ever going to
freaking see in your life
say what you will about trump you know
he's not free from criticism right
i'm not the one who's going to tell you
he's he's the
the god king and everything he does is
right
but
you got to give him credit for the
things that are just so right that
nobody's ever going to match it in my
opinion i don't think anybody will match
him
for personal persuasion now keep in mind
i don't know how many of you have ever
been in the room with him
but he does have that thing
that thing whatever that thing is that x
factor that
that charisma whatever it is
i'm sure putin has it too
but
you you put him in a room and he's going
to convince you of something
[Laughter]
he is good now by the way i think
biden's probably pretty good at that too
or he wouldn't be where he is
so i'm not saying he's bad at it but the
the style difference is striking and i
think trump is the one who played it who
would have played it completely
correctly
you want putin to think
you can work with him that he can trust
you what what is the biggest thing that
well let's talk about that
let's talk about uh
what russian people think
uh
about all this
so the russian people um
let's see i'm going to skip ahead to
that part
cnn was talking about a poll it's hard
to get information about the russian
public but i guess cnn ran some kind of
a
proprietary poll or personal poll or
something or
a special poll they have some word
forget what word that is it doesn't
matter
and here's what they found
uh one out of every two russians
actually 50 of them
uh said it would be
right um
more russians think it would be wrong
than right to use military force to
reunite russia and ukraine
so
so russians don't want to use military
right
military force to take over ukraine
but
the russian public does think that nato
is an offensive force
what
um
so russians believe nato is an offensive
force with plans to destroy russia
and the russians
but they do think
that the ukraine people and the russian
people are one people which is what
putin says
so putin has managed to convince much of
russia
that the ukrainian people and the
russian people are all one people
but the ukrainians don't believe that
not even close
so this is one of those cases where you
can see the power of propaganda
because
i need a more of a fact check on this
but i believe that the russian public
has access to the internet right
now there are some things that are you
know
regulated and some things that are
censored but generally speaking
the average russian can get the internet
right
and so if you imagine the average
ukrainian and the average russian both
have access to the outside world
you can see the power of propaganda
because the only thing
it would be one thing
like north korea to keep your people
completely walled off from other
information
then you can control their thoughts
pretty pretty well but if people have
access to the alternative opinions you
can see how powerful the propaganda is
because you know they've been turned
away from accuracy toward inaccuracy
so look at the difference between
ukrainian
and russian public opinion
about this one question
are the ukrainians and the russians one
people
only only
putin was the one who was pushing the
we're all one people thing
and he successfully did it
through propaganda you can you can see
how many or what percentage of the
public can be moved
by something as pure as propaganda it's
about half
it's about half
you can tell any story
if you tell it
often enough and you control enough of
the media that you know you can get a
monopoly on it now he doesn't even have
a monopoly that's my point if he had a
monopoly on information
well then you'd understand how that many
people could be convinced
but he did that
this is the scary part
he did that without a monopoly on
information
he did that just with persuasion
just with persuasion
so i would say that the percentage of
the public that you can move
with pure propaganda is around half
and you know the topic would vary so i'm
sure there are some topics you can get
80
sometimes 20. but i think you could
count on getting half of the public
which is enough to start a war
you know if you've got half of the
public on your side you can kind of go
to war
that's about enough you know 55 would be
better
so
um that answered my question i was just
asking the other day on live stream here
what do the what's the average russian
know about the whole situation
the other thing is that there are a
whole lot of people in russia
who don't think there's going to be
an invasion proper you know where
ukraine itself is completely taken over
there are a lot of people in russia who
don't think that's going to happen
and there are a lot of people in ukraine
like a big big chunk of ukraine doesn't
think there's going to be an invasion
but if you ask the people in the united
states wouldn't we say
90 of us
who were paying attention
what do you think it would be what do
you think it would be in the united
states
now it's different if you ask people who
are paying attention to the news versus
people we're not so i guess it's
nonsense to ask the general public
they're not even paying attention
yeah so i think maybe 10
well let me ask the question here
how many people on this live stream
do not think tr uh russia will in try to
take over all of ukraine
so tell me if you don't believe he's
going to try to take all of ukraine
i want to see i mean
okay a lot of people
now how many of you were influenced by
me
because i'm not too confident on my on
my opinion on this
was anybody influenced by me because
early on i said i don't think he's going
to do it and i'm sticking with my
prediction
just because the reasons for the
predictions haven't changed
although i have to admit it looks a lot
like he's going to attack
i wouldn't bet on me
let's put it this way
if i were you i wouldn't bet on me to be
right
but just to be consistent because my
reasons for the prediction never changed
i'm going to stick with it
now i'm not going to let my confidence
be
influenced by the fact that it looks in
every possible way it looks like exactly
like an invasion
because
bluffing would look exactly the same
if you wanted to do a really good job of
it bluffing would look the same what
would also look the same
is not having decided yet
that would look exactly the same
if you were if the only thing you were
doing
is you know pushing for negotiations to
get some concessions
and just making us think he's going to
attack any moment or even to find out
what her response is because maybe he
just is testing public opinion
maybe he's just testing the resolve of
nato
apparently there's a big opinion and
this is a
um
this is a weird one
a lot of people in russia think that the
united states is trying to trick russia
into attacking ukraine
is there anybody in the united states
you've heard besides me say that
that
i'm not going to say that we're actually
literally trying to trick them into
attacking ukraine
but i've actually tweeted
that it looks like it in other words
what we're observing looks exactly like
trying to trick them into
attacking ukraine now i don't know why
we would do that
except that maybe it'd be bad for russia
but
is it weird that the russian public
actually thinks that
a lot of them
they think we're trying to trick them
into attacking ukraine
how in the world is the russian public
having that opinion and i'm the only one
do a fact check have you heard anybody
else in america
say that it looks like we're trying to
trick them into attacking
because i didn't even believe my own
opinion i'm just saying that it if you
look at the facts it just looks like it
i mean it doesn't seem likely
but it looks like it
oh is cernovich and
posabi you've heard them
that would make sense
well i'm not talking about a wag the dog
situation the wag the dog i think
that's a more specific situation isn't
it
all right
some more interesting factoids here
let's get back to this i saw a good
tweet by eddie quan
he says if you think trusting the
science is smart wait until you learn
who's taking the scientists out for
lunch
that one just stops you in your tracks
doesn't it
if you think trusting the science is
smart wait until you learn who's taking
the scientists out for lunch
i i don't think i've ever seen anything
summarized
that well
actually i'll give you
one thing
once a friend of mine described the
comic strip marmaduke
uh which at that point had been like 50
years of marmaduke comics you summarize
the entire
life of the comic as a big dog is on
something you want
now that was a terribly unfair summary
but it's the only one i've seen that was
more succinct than if you think trusting
the science is smart wait till you learn
who's taking the scientists out for
lunch you could just be done
you you should have a college course
for a credit like full credit
you know it's a harvard class
and you go into the class and the first
day you sit down and they just show you
this tweet they go class
if you think trusting the science is
smart wait until you learn who's taking
the scientists out for lunch
class dismissed
anybody who can remember that tomorrow
gets an a in the class and there's no
coursework
because that's all you need to know
it's all there the entire
the
entire class work of how to understand
the media
how to work with it
how to understand science how to work
with it
human motivation
it's all there in one tweet
uh meanwhile uh speaking of the canadian
gulag
um
sure enough
canada is going hard after the people
involved in the protest their accounts
are being frozen
some of them can't get bail
their names are being posted the names
of people who donated to the truckers
are being posted on trees in some
neighborhoods so that you can know
who to be mad at in canada
uh this is the most chilling thing that
i've
seen in a long time and
i've seen some chilling things
so
i don't even know what to say about this
i mean it's so bad that like words words
start to escape but then you find out
that two-thirds of the canadian public
is totally on board with this sort of
stuff
did you know that
something like 65 percent of the
canadian public says you know they don't
like the convoy and they're pretty happy
that the government was tough on them
it's something like that right
two-thirds
so
if canada is getting what it wants by a
two-thirds majority i'm not sure how
concerned i should be
here's another scary thing homeland
security is looking into battling online
and misinformation
and has considered that misinformation
could rise to the level of terrorism
i mean in effect
now do you believe that
do you believe that misinformation
be it intentional or not
i guess the intention kind of would be
the worst kind that homeland security
would care about
but that the misinformation could be
like as bad as terrorism
i would say yes
i would say yes
you can see the effect in russia versus
ukraine
the public opinion and misinformation
could actually cause a land war in
europe
this could be a misinformation war
so
on one hand i can totally see how
homeland security thinks information
and the control of it
is necessary to avoid terrorism
on the other hand
there goes your free speech
am i right
how in the world can you regulate
speech
as a
tool of terror
and expect anybody's going to give you a
fair opinion that doesn't have you know
somebody's self-interest in the
government involved
they can't co-exist you just can't have
i don't think
correct me if i'm wrong but i don't
think you can have government control
over information
without giving away
free speech
they're just too connected
all right
i thought biden was kind of clever and
in saying that this was a start of an
invasion instead of an invasion
you remember all yesterday there was the
argument is an invasion or is it not an
invasion
and then biden comes out and goes it's
the start of an invasion and i thought
oh that's good
that's actually pretty good
because that does
that does actually
i know it feels like he high grounded it
like once he says that you go ah
oh yeah that's true
right
now
because if you thought it was an
invasion he said it's the start of an
invasion
and if you thought it wasn't quite an
invasion you could say well yeah it's
just the start
i thought it was one of the most clever
uh political
twists
you know linguistic tricks i've seen in
a long time no i don't think he wrote it
i mean i think somebody came up with it
but if you know if trump had said this
i'd think it was clever
so i'll give biden this
so we've got all this
these sanctions that are going on so far
can anybody tell me that they know if
these sanctions are powerful or not
is it my imagination or every time we
hear about sanctions
isn't there always more to the story
like oh our sanction is we're going to
behead
every
baby that's born in russia
and then you read but the context is
uh that no babies are actually born in
russia because it's called the
federation of russian yeah
there's always some technicality
where you think oh we got them now
oh
look at those sanctions
we've got those sanctions now
and then you turn out that the
nordstream pipeline is just a delay of
certification
what
he's not going to be afraid of a delay
of certification
because you know it will stop the delay
on the certification
running out of fuel in the winter
yeah that that will pretty much speed up
your certifications you're going to get
real flexible with russia as soon as it
gets real cold
and you're running out of energy
so that's like a nothing
every time you hear that there's
something
somebody in five minutes later is going
to say yeah but you know it'd be pretty
easy to get around that one
so i can't even tell as an observer if
any of this makes any difference
so two banks were targeted
so uh
uh sanctions on russian sovereign debt i
don't even know what that means
honestly i don't even know what that
means i mean obviously they'll have
trouble refinancing and getting extra
debt
but i don't know the larger
ramifications does that mean they just
get help somewhere else and it doesn't
matter
you know was china going to buy up all
their debt anyway
does it matter i don't know do you
um
a ban on purchases of russian bonds i
don't know was that a big deal
nobody else is going to buy them
how do i judge that how do they judge it
sanctions on russian elites and their
families oh now we got them
we got some sanctions on russian elites
of what kind
like what what is it that they can't do
if you've got 10 billion dollars
tell me what you can't do
am i right
i mean travel
is there travel restrictions
are they not going to let these
oligarchs be involved in businesses that
we do business with is it even practical
to stop would we be shooting ourselves
in the foot harder than we're shooting
them if we did
why is it that we have no idea if these
sanctions even matter
we have no idea
and the news doesn't know because i
don't think there's anybody smart enough
to analyze it and give you the story
um
there's no region in ukraine and no age
group that where a majority of
respondents say the russians and
ukraines are one people that's also from
the cnn stuff
all right here's another interesting
twist on cnn chris eliza who's one of
their main opinion people
he does a whole piece about how mitt
romney was right
when when romney said as he was running
against obama he said that russia was
our biggest
foe
and of course obama just slaughtered him
in the debate by saying that china was
obviously the biggest foe and russia's
are you know the that romney's stuck in
the past well now seliza is basically
saying that
romney was right that russia is the
bigger problem
and
um
when do you see cnn agreeing with a
republican
doesn't that raise a little flag for you
is it a coincidence the cnn
is
telling us that we should focus on
russia as the problem and not china
that doesn't feel like
an independent opinion to me
now
i can't read anybody's mind and i'm not
going to allege anything i'm just saying
that when i read it it doesn't look like
somebody independently said let me think
about this
with no influence from my corporate
masters let me just say that maybe maybe
russia is the problem and not china
when when cnn has i believe
more to lose
by making china unhappy
than russia because cnn has been
anti-russia russia is connected to trump
even though it's not
forever
so this feels just more like cnn's
wave of propaganda against russia
because you tie them to the republican
sorts of trump
so
how many of you believe that uh
this new study in nature so it's been
out a few weeks i guess
and i think i talked about it that the
risk of myocarditis is five times
greater if you had
coveted
than if you didn't
and that it's it was five times higher
than even a
the risk of myocarditis from the
vaccinations do you believe that data
we don't believe any data these days but
it looks like it was a
you know a credible publication for a
study
but of course you should be skeptical
about everything
now what would happen if this data
stands do you think that there'll be
future data that will
overturn this
idea
the idea being that
long covet is bad for your
cardiovascular system
uh
and that
you'd be better off getting the
vaccination according to this not
according to me
because i'm not the authority here
but according to this data
do you think that that someday will
change
do you think that someday the
the consensus of science will will flip
do you think in 20 years we'll look back
and say oh the vaccinations
were the real health problem not the
actual coven long covered
i don't know i mean i think this is one
of those anything could happen
situations i wouldn't be surprised
either way i wouldn't be surprised
either way
um
but
suppose it's true
that there is a 60 chance
of of
greater cardio problems
doesn't that mean that we could have a
lot of extra covides
as much as a year or more after the
actual covent
and therefore they would not be
attributed to covet
but there might be more of those deaths
than we've even seen so far
am i doing the math right
let's say a million people died
am i doing the math right help me out
here with just top of the envelope if a
million americans died of coven
uh but compare that to how many people
got covered
but then just recovered
now if the group that got coveted and
recovered
would have a baseline rate of
i don't know
10 of them
maybe getting
dying of cardiovascular problems every
year
what's the number 5
maybe five percent of them were going to
die anyway
um
of cardiovascular but
now let's say that the covalent let's
say let's say this study was accurate
if the if the covalent gave them a 50 or
60 percent higher chance of dying
because given that cardiovascular is i
believe the number one cause of death in
the united states
fact-check me i believe it's number one
so the number one cause of death if that
got ramped up by another 50 percent
and it doesn't kick in for a year or
more
shouldn't we see over time
maybe it takes five years
but should we see over time more people
dying in the future
from the pandemic
than than from the past
am i
are my numbers way off
what do you think now that's that's a
big assumption right the big assumption
is that now also you would have to add
to that
any side effects from the vaccination
itself
because if you're looking at
pandemic deaths
you do have to count everybody who died
because of the shutdowns
everybody who died because the cove
itself everybody died who because
because the vaccination was you know
unfortunately they were one of the ones
who had a bad
effect you'd have to add all of that
together and so i i have a feeling that
the covenant death is about double
what is reported so far and that we
might lose another million people
sooner than they had to go
you know you could argue that all the
changes it was a little sooner but
that's true for all of us
all right
um
is there anything else happening
well uh jack bosovics tweeted that 60 65
percent of democrats
i feel like everything's 65 today that's
weird
65 percent of democrats approve of
trudeau's
down on freedom protesters and freezing
of bank accounts
um
so that that's obviously democrats
meaning americans
so
i i wasn't really completely aware of
this until at least halfway through the
convoy situation
i didn't realize that
so many democrats
were completely in favor of the
government's actions there
now i guess i would have thought that if
i'd seen how many people wear masks in
california
after it's not required
it is really really amazing
to see how many people are wearing masks
without it being required now i'm not
going to name names but i actually
witnessed
yesterday
somebody put on a mask somebody i know
put on the mask in a public place
and i said oh masks are not required
and said individual who shall remain
nameless said i know
i prefer it
not for health reasons
not for health reasons
felt more comfortable
that's a real thing
that is a real thing
now
you know people have different reasons
but everything from uh people think the
and by the way there's a there's a name
for uh
have you have you ever heard of the name
mask fishing
i heard this recently have you heard of
mask fishing
so catfishing is when you pretend you're
a different person than the picture
mask fiction
mask
mask fishing is when you're attractive
but only only in this little zone here
and the rest of it is just a is a hot
mess
so apparently there are a number of
people who are pretty happy wearing
masks it improves their overall
attractiveness
and that's not a joke
it's not a joke that it improved to some
people's overall attractiveness and they
wanted to keep it and and other people i
think were
shy
and i have to admit that i felt that too
when i walked into a store without a
mask after having you know been so
acclimated to wearing masks i actually
felt a little naked and exposed
has anybody had that yet
now it wasn't enough to make me put a
mask on but
but i felt a little naked and a little
bit exposed
i didn't have any feelings about virus
it was just a social feeling
and i can absolutely
you know and i'm
i'm uh you know not embarrassed by
pretty much anything
so
it wasn't really embarrassment or
anything like that
anyway that is everything i think i
wanted to say today and you have been
witness to the best livestream that's
ever happened in the history of the
world
with some of the most fun people
obviously the sexiest smartest
most flexible and open-minded
human beings of all time give yourself a
pat in the back
okay that's enough that's enough
cut it out
all right and tomorrow
we'll do it again
every single day
