Episode 1638 Scott Adams - Come Watch a Hypnotist Reframe Reality Right in Front of You
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Wishing a new deadly variant into existence - Australian media blames Fauci for the pandemic - Diversion Narrative? Zelensky Kremlin compromised - Whiteboard1: Military Financial Reframe - George Soros controls U.S., but can't be President? - Democrat scams? BLM, Antifa, Occupy Wall Street ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning everybody. Welcome to the most amazing hour you're likely to ever spend in your entire life. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. Normally it's tremendous. On an average day it's better than anything you've ever experienced. But today even the normal Coffee with Scott Adams experience i…
View segment →f you, get a nice warm blanket because you're going to need to swaddle your brain. But first, how about a simultaneous sip? All you need is a cup or a margarita glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid, a beverage some would say,…
View segment →, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better, and I mean everything in every reality better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go. Would you like to see the matrix? You know some people think that we live in a simulation. And if this were a simulation you wo…
View segment →g that's real if anything is. So my prediction is this. There can never be a major story that has only one interpretation. You always, there could be exceptions of course, but let's say in general that the headlines will always tend toward two interpretations even when it's not just a Democrat-Repu…
View segment →to believe it would have none. Even if the only thing it did is affect somehow the way we acted because you know that you're drawn toward things you think about a lot. Your behavior is attracted to whatever you're thinking about the most just somewhat automatically and subconsciously. So could we j…
View segment →narrative before? How about Trump-Russia collusion? That's a diversion narrative for the fact that Hillary was literally colluding with Russia apparently. All right I'll say allegedly or apparently. How often are diversion narratives really all we're seeing and how often are we just wrong? Because…
View segment →his might create an opening for this second narrative that Zelensky is a puppet of the Kremlin and he's practically inviting them in. And then the other narrative that nothing like that is happening. So once again two worlds. Does the simulation require that in every case? And I'm not even sure thi…
View segment →s them down to what weapons can you use in these smaller conflicts? And so finance is everything. And so when Biden says you can line up your military on the border if you want but at your own peril, it's time for the military financial crossover point. Boom. Now I submit to you that I do not know…
View segment →l parent that could become a rift that lasts forever and becomes a problem. Now I'm not saying every family is the same. You know I think there's a world of difference between a stepkid that you get as a baby and the original parent was never in the picture. That's effectively just a biological par…
View segment →nt. It was t-shirt weather. Beautiful day. So if you don't mind the high taxes and the crime and the drought and the forest fires that are blotting out the sun, if you don't mind that stuff it's a pretty good place to be. And if you can stay away from the tsunamis and the earthquakes but you know I…
View segment →ediately adjust because we're real good at that. We adjust. Probably the single thing that makes humans the dominant species over the planet, although fungi are doing pretty well but you know humans we're having a good run, is because we adjust so well. You know is it Bret Weinstein who says this?…
View segment →universe because you happen to be the right gender at the right time in history that probably would raise your testosterone wouldn't it? Because you would just walk around feeling like oh yeah I'm in charge. Now what would happen if instead you were born in the more current era and you were told th…
View segment →ost stereotypically racist let's put that out there. What would be the most stereotypically racist thing you could imagine would be that you know a Black organization stole a bunch of money right? That's what the racist brain would go there immediately. And then the story comes out that looks like t…
View segment →can handle the complexity. My story and yours don't have to match anymore because I'm in my own subjective reality and it'll never make any difference if your story and mine never match. So every future story even if it doesn't line up perfectly with Democrat and Republican should branch into multi…
View segment →Good morning everybody. Welcome to the most amazing hour you're likely to ever spend in your entire life. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. Normally it's tremendous. On an average day it's better than anything you've ever experienced. But today even the normal Coffee with Scott Adams experience is going to go to a new level. It will. Yeah.
And if you'd like to get us started off right, and by the way you might need a little swaddling for your brain, find a nice warm blanket unless you're exercising. If you're running on the beach right now and you hear me laughing in your ear as you're running on the beach and you're saying, "Damn it, he's making me laugh when I'm running on the beach. I think he's talking about me." And I am. So keep running on the beach. But the rest of you, get a nice warm blanket because you're going to need to swaddle your brain. But first, how about a simultaneous sip?
All you need is a cup or a margarita glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid, a beverage some would say, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better, and I mean everything in every reality better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.
Would you like to see the matrix? You know some people think that we live in a simulation. And if this were a simulation you would be subject to resource constraints, wouldn't you? If we were any kind of computer simulation, the one thing you could be reasonably sure of is it would have some kind of limits because everything has to have a limit just logically. And so could we ever spot the limits of our own simulation as evidence that that's what we're in?
Here's the frame that I'm going to give you for today's entire episode and it goes like this. Did you ever wonder why cognitive dissonance is so common? Or to put it more generally, why people have completely different views of reality? And it doesn't just apply to the news. Don't you know that sometimes you'll be talking to your friends you've known forever and you'll have completely different memories of events in which you both were there? What's up with that?
Why do we have memory but our memory is so close to fantasy that sometimes you can't even untangle them? Why do we so often live in what seems like completely different worlds? And here's the answer. It has to be that way because of resource constraints. Cognitive dissonance isn't a flaw, it's a feature. You couldn't program the simulation without that requirement. Here's why.
Imagine creating a simulation. And by the way, if those of you who have programmed back me up on this. If you were creating a simulation in which every character's actions had to be known to every other object and item in the entire universe because they might someday interact, and someday you might hear about something that somebody else did and it has to be consistent, if our memories were perfect it would have to be consistent.
So if you tried to build an artificial world in which everybody's story, their narrative if you will, or their subjective reality, if they had to be consistent in all ways with all other stories, the resources would be astronomical to the point where it's unimaginable that it could be programmed. But could you build a world in which people believed they were seeing an accurate view of the reality but in fact the accuracy was only a trick of the mind? That'd be a lot easier.
So watch, if you will, the predictive power of the simulation hypothesis. Do I tell you that the simulation is the true way to see the world? Never. Nope. The only thing I could tell you is that some ways of looking at things might be more predictive than others. And that's probably the closest you can get to something that's real if anything is.
So my prediction is this. There can never be a major story that has only one interpretation. You always, there could be exceptions of course, but let's say in general that the headlines will always tend toward two interpretations even when it's not just a Democrat-Republican thing. Because take vaccinations for example. You saw that a lot of, let's say, the Black population and the Republicans were often on the same page. So it wasn't even a left-right thing.
But every story has to have multiple interpretations because that's the only way you could program the simulation.
Let's talk about a few things that are happening now. One is the continuing of what I call the Roganization of the news. The Roganization of the news is another indication that we live in a simulation, that we're reusing themes because it's just simpler. It uses less resources.
So the way we saw the news used to be through a Trump filter and now we see it through a Joe Rogan filter. So if we talk about vaccinations we talk about Joe Rogan. If it's about ivermectin, Joe Rogan. You know, the government taking away our rights, Joe Rogan. Freedom of speech, Joe Rogan. And now even music and streaming, Joe Rogan.
Now some of it is just you get something in your mind and it sticks and he's gigantic in terms of his reach so it makes sense in the same way it made sense that we talked about everything through a Trump filter. But think about how that simplifies the programming. We all just think the same way. We just go through the same filter. It's a big simplification if you were going to program a simulation.
So here's what else is happening. The story is that the following four people, and before you fact-check me I'm going to fact-check myself when I'm done, that the following four people have said they don't want to be on Spotify, the streaming service, if that Joe Rogan is on there with his misinformation about health-related things.
So it started with Neil Young but now then we heard that Barry Manilow joined and then we heard that Peter Frampton was on board and then Joni Mitchell. How much of that story is true? It's like every story, right? There's a true version and a fake version.
And so here's the details. Barry Manilow came out and said, "I don't know. I don't know where that started. It didn't come from me. Didn't come from anybody who represents me." So the Barry Manilow part of the story was completely fake. So at least 25 percent of the story is fake.
And then there's a Peter Frampton tweet in which he said he's always been an Apple guy. So you know he uses Apple streaming. And I said to myself, wait a minute, is Peter Frampton saying he doesn't want to be on Spotify? Is he saying he's never been on Spotify? Or is he saying that he's not even talking as a creator anymore because I don't know the last time he published any music. But is he talking as a consumer? Is he just saying that he didn't use Spotify before to listen to music?
I feel like Peter Frampton trended just because he says he listens to music on a different streaming service. I think that's what happened. Now if that's true, if I'm interpreting it correctly, and again you know we're all going to have different stories, it has to be that way, that would be 50 percent of the story isn't real. So that would leave Joni Mitchell on the side of Neil Young.
And if you take Joni Mitchell's music off of Spotify, well you won't be able to go to Spotify to hear Joni Mitchell's big hit. Joni Mitchell's big hit, she was really big when I was young, had a lot of hits actually. She was very famous. And then her big hit was, I don't know, but I'm going to miss it. I'm going to miss it is what I'm saying.
I never used Spotify before. I was kind of a different streaming guy. But in case you want to put that in the headlines I think I should be trending. Wait a minute, I'm on Spotify aren't I? I'm on Spotify am I not? Can somebody confirm that? I think I am, right? Yeah I mean we, I just published the podcast wherever. I think so. I think it's on there.
Well why the hell did nobody ask me if I am willing to be on Spotify with my highly valuable podcast which probably gets roughly as many listens as Neil Young? But I feel that I've been overlooked. Am I wrong? Should I make a public statement now? I think I'm going to have to. I'm going to have to go on the record.
I think everybody who is on Spotify needs to give their Joe Rogan opinion. And I'm embarrassed to be on Spotify honestly now that I know that Barry Manilow is still on there. So I refuse. I refuse to be on Spotify. I would like my representation to pull all of my podcasts immediately because, you know, Copacabana. It's not really music is it? It's not music. It's sort of like an ear worm that gets in your head and makes you happy and you can't get it out.
Now I personally have spent many, many hours as a busboy in my early days when I was a busboy and we would clean the dining room all at the same time after all the guests had left. It was a hotel and they would play Copacabana over and over again through the ceiling speakers because we only had a few songs for whatever reason. And I've heard more Copacabana than any human has ever heard. And I don't know if I can be on Spotify with that man. Excellent music, very successful, but you got to draw the line somewhere.
Edward Snowden had a funny tweet. He said nobody has stronger opinions about Joe Rogan than people who have never listened to Joe Rogan. And I thought, you know I bet that's exactly true. You know this is one of those tweets where you say to yourself, well that's not, I'm sure that's not true completely. And then you think about it and then you think now that might be actually true for every single human in the conversation. It might literally be true of everybody who is against him is that you haven't heard the context.
Now I don't know how many of you could say the same but I feel like I've been following his career since the earliest days literally on NewsRadio. And do you remember that he had a show, I can't remember the name of the show, you'll probably tell me in which he looked into stuff like Bigfoot. He actually went looking for Bigfoot. Who remembers that? What was the name of the show? You'll remember. I think you'll remind me. No it wasn't Fear Factor. What was it? Come on it wasn't on for a long time. Oh, Joe Rogan Questions Everything. Was that it? Joe Rogan's Questions Everything, right?
So now I'm not going to characterize Joe Rogan's opinion about Bigfoot. You know who knows what he was thinking when or what. But if you know that part of his arc, you know, include literally being an actor, literally being a huge stand-up comic, and literally at one point searching for Bigfoot, all in the name of entertainment, right? If you understand that then don't you have a better appreciation of any other content that he presents? Which is that the larger context is if it's interesting I'm going to put it on.
I don't think there's any other criteria. Does he claim any other criteria for putting on entertainment? This just has to be good, right? Either it has to be funny, it has to be interesting, provocative, something. It just has to be good. So if you understand that the context is things that are interesting then you listen to the rogue doctor and you make your own decision. You're not watching it like the news.
But what if you've only seen clips of his show? You don't know anything about his history, his other work. You know maybe you don't even know he's a stand-up comic. Don't you think a lot of people, his critics, maybe you know vaguely know he's done that kind of work but don't know he would be one of the biggest in the country at the moment? So you know I think the context makes a big difference. Not only the context within the show but the larger context that if it's interesting he's going to let us see it. And who, how do you complain about that, right?
If you know the larger context, if it's interesting I think I'll show it to you. What the hell? How do you get mad at that? Form your own opinion. He's not telling you what to think. If he told you what to think that'd be a whole different conversation wouldn't it? But nowhere are you going to find anything in his record that tells you what to think. Fact-check me on that, right? I'm pretty sure if you scour his record you're not going to find him telling you how to think. He's just going to show you interesting and you make up your own mind. It's a good model.
Those of you who have experienced doing mushrooms, you know that you have a much better understanding of our reality as being a subjective reality. So even if you discard this simulation hypothesis you probably would agree that we are living in our own subjective reality in lots of different ways. And we'll talk about some of those ways.
Number one is many people have lived for the last two years in a subjective reality in which the elites are using COVID as a plot to take control for the great reset and it was never a problem etc. Others, and again I'm not, I don't have an opinion on that right now. I mean I have opinions but not right now. My larger point is that didn't we live in different worlds?
There are some people who just said hey there's a deadly virus. People doing the best they can but people are weasels and liars and so this is what you get. So that was my reality. My reality is just a whole bunch of weasels and liars doing the best they could usually for themselves and this is what you get when you have weasels and liars and a crisis along with lots of people trying to do the right thing. It wasn't like everybody was lying but it's not like everybody was telling the truth. It's not like everybody was trying to get an advantage on other people. Some people were literally just trying to help and nothing else.
And a lot of people, you know that's the best thing that came out of the pandemic by far is the kindness that was expressed pretty much universally at least by the citizens. So those are different worlds that we've been living in for the last two years.
How about what happens if we are a simulation and the way we think affects it? Here's something that worries me because I worry about weird things. What if we wish a new variant into existence? What happens if everyone in the world expects a new deadly variant just because we've been primed that way? Can we actually make that happen? Can we just will it into existence?
You know I worry about that like actually literally because I think our understanding of the reality we live in such as it is is so weak. You know what we actually understand about reality is so weak that I wouldn't discount seven billion people expecting exactly the same thing to happen having no causal effect. Like it might not have enough causal effect that I could believe but it's hard to believe it would have none. Even if the only thing it did is affect somehow the way we acted because you know that you're drawn toward things you think about a lot. Your behavior is attracted to whatever you're thinking about the most just somewhat automatically and subconsciously.
So could we just think our way into problems? I don't know. But I'd like to at least give consideration to thinking our way out of it instead. And maybe focus a little more on February 1 being over now. You see the real power of that? What happens when everybody says February 1 is the day we stop, or at least with mandates in the United States? Could it have the opposite effect? Could it have an effect that doesn't seem to be directly related to the public rising up? In other words could the virus just burn out as if by magic because everybody was focusing on the same time to make it burn out?
I don't know but I'll tell you that I have this one observation. There's no scientific backing right so this is not science but maybe you could compare it to your own situation. I find that the more clearly I can visualize something potentially happening the more likely it'll happen in my actual life. If I can see it as clear as I can see a photograph in front of me sometimes I can, then it just always happens even if it's unlikely.
I use my example all the time of becoming a best-selling author or becoming a cartoonist, you know famous cartoonist, or visiting the White House and talking to a president. These are things which I visualized really specifically and there are other things that I just sort of want but I don't really visualize them and they don't happen. But the things that I think about specifically, oh my god do they happen on a regular basis in a weird way.
So I just want to put it out there that if you all focus on hashtag February 1 for dropping mandates which is similar to saying that the pandemic itself, the crisis has abated, I'm not going to tell you it'll make it happen but if you want to play it safe, if you want to play it safe I'd rather think about stopping it than having it forever.
All right. Here's a bombshell that's gonna scramble your brain. I saw this on a tweet by a Twitter user called Logic. Bombshell reports from Australia. Australia media places the blame for the pandemic on Fauci, in other words the United States. So there's at least one person, I don't know how many more believe this, but talk about a reframe that made my brain hurt as soon as I heard it.
From somebody else's point of view we just spent two years blaming China. We just spent two years blaming China which you know I'm all on board with that because you know I'm no lover of the Chinese government. But at the same time we were slowly learning Fauci's involvement and somehow it never occurred to me, and I would wonder if this is blowing your mind as well, why had it never occurred to me that the United States is responsible for the pandemic?
I'm not saying we are. I'm not saying we are. I'm saying here's the part. I'm only saying why didn't it occur to me until now? Why did that literally not occur to me? I had only thought of it as a Fauci problem. Did the same thing happen to you? Did you think oh there's a Fauci problem? I never once said to myself this is the United States. We unleashed this pandemic by our actions.
Now does China have some culpability? Probably. Probably. I'm not going to let China off the hook. But why did I never once think of it this way? And I'm going to introduce a new phrase for you and this new phrase is going to act like an antivirus. So it's a phrase that if it catches on would act like an antivirus so that the problem I just described which is my own cognitive blindness, which some of you shared, so I was cognitively blind to America's culpability or potential culpability because you know nothing's proven in this world.
And it's because of what I'm going to call a diversion narrative. A diversion narrative. Watch what happens when you start looking for them and you see how many times there's a narrative about what's true that's really designed primarily as a diversion. What would it do to your brain if you found out that the China is to blame narrative was always a diversion narrative? What if someone in the government or someone always knew that this could come around and become a blame America problem because they knew that chain of events from Fauci to funding to Wuhan to maybe a mistake? We don't know for sure.
What if somebody cooked up the diversion narrative to say it was China so that we would in America be cognitively blind to our own culpability? Have you ever seen anybody cook up a diversion narrative before? How about Trump-Russia collusion? That's a diversion narrative for the fact that Hillary was literally colluding with Russia apparently. All right I'll say allegedly or apparently.
How often are diversion narratives really all we're seeing and how often are we just wrong? Because my usual interpretation of these things is that there are two worlds because there's a Democrat side and a Republican side so we all understand that part. But some of these go beyond that. It seems like there's something else going on besides just the teams. These diversion narratives seem to be almost the operating system of civilization at this point. It's just diversion narratives.
Let's talk about some more as we go. But here's something that I've said a number of times and I just want to explain my thinking on it better because often I'm talking about a topic in the news then we all get diverted about the topic but really I'm trying to say something about the way we think about things.
So if you'll allow me to divorce myself from the topic of something whether it's true or false, all right forget about what's true I don't care about that at the moment. It has to do with a tweet I saw this morning from a Twitter user who calls himself Still Unvaccinated PhD. And he's responding to my thought that the category of rogue experts are generally wrong. And he says rogue doctors and scientists as Adams says likes to call them are often the ones who discover huge breakthroughs in different industries.
Now I agree with that don't you all? Wouldn't you say that the rogues, you know the ones bucking the standard, pretty much create everything good? When you agree, I mean they're all rogues you know all the ones that really make a difference they're all rogues. So have I ever said anything that would be conflicting with that? I've never said anything that conflicts with the fact that pretty much all progress seems to come from rogues and sometimes whistleblowers right?
But is there any conflict with that with the fact that I say that ninety percent of the time the rogues are wrong? You shouldn't think there's any conflict with that. And here's an analogy that's just used to help you see the math better I guess. It goes like this. You know about Google and you know about Amazon.com and you know about Microsoft and you know about all these gigantic companies that at one point were just startups.
If you saw them when they were startups you would have said well the odds are at best one in ten. That's optimistic. It's probably one in twenty. But let's say one in ten. So if you're looking at all startups as ninety percent of them are going to fail and you can be pretty sure that's true. But the ones that become famous are so famous that the narrative of the famous ones makes you cognitively blind to the fact that most things that are like that, most things that are in their category, the category of rogues taking on the world and winning, you know Jeff Bezos is a great example, taking on the world and winning.
So just know that everything important comes from the rogues but mostly they fail. So I use it as a prediction shortcut. So whenever there's a rogue I just say well I'm gonna go with the ninety. I'll vote against it. I'll vote against it.
So when I tell you that I've got suspicions about let's say a Doctor Malone or McCullough, Doctor Corey, any of the names you've seen that are the rogue doctors as I like to call them, I'm not necessarily disagreeing with anything about their science. How would I know? I'm just saying they're in the category that if you and I are going to take a bet I'll bet with the ninety. It's just a category, a category-related prediction that's all. I obviously can't counteract their science.
Jack Posobiec has another tweet and maybe a scoop I don't know but he tweets that Biden chief of staff Ron Klain is planning to start leaking and pushing a narrative. A narrative you say? What kind of a narrative? That President Zelensky of Ukraine is Kremlin compromised. This is according to a White House staffer. And again Jack's got good sources.
So here's the two worlds. Do you see reality just splitting? So I have to admit that when you see Zelensky being less worried about his country being invaded than the United States it's a perfectly reasonable question. Why is Zelensky less worried than we are right? But there's not just one way to explain that.
One explanation is that he is just as worried but he wants to play it differently. He doesn't want to cause panic. So we don't know he's less worried. He's talking about how we talk about it. So he doesn't want the rhetoric to be as high as it is. But this might create an opening for this second narrative that Zelensky is a puppet of the Kremlin and he's practically inviting them in. And then the other narrative that nothing like that is happening.
So once again two worlds. Does the simulation require that in every case? And I'm not even sure this is a Democrat or Republican question is it? Because I think you could find people on both sides of what we should do on Ukraine. But everything has to be at least two stories or more because the simulation can't handle complexity with one story.
If you're coming in late, if we live in the simulation there's got to be a resource constraint like any computer. And so there's a reason that we all have different realities because you couldn't have one reality and make every part of every reality consistent with every other. Too much resources, too many resources.
So the prediction of the simulation is that every major story will branch into multiple realities and that has to happen. You can't program the simulation unless you do that.
Here is my mind-breaking whiteboard for today. The thing you've all been waiting for but you didn't even know it. I call it the military financial reframe and it goes like this. That if you look at the arc of time that power used to be really a military thing which of course was highly correlated with wealth. You know wealth could get you a better military but not necessarily. So if you had a great military you had a lot of power. If you had money that was great. Money was great. But if all you had was money and you didn't have a good military the military next door would come and take your money.
But thanks primarily to the internet and our financial markets becoming global and intertangled and the fact that money has to go through basically wires to get anywhere, it doesn't get on a boat, it's not hidden somewhere, has to go across a wire. So we became so connected with each other because of the internet that finance as a weapon gets more and more powerful the more connected we are and the more trade we do.
And so I would submit to you that Ukraine is our crossover point. The crossover point at which a financial weapon is more useful than a military weapon because the military weapon would guarantee Russia's destruction am I right? So it pretty much guarantees they're not going to go nuclear. So the value of their arsenal is not really that good.
So here they are a nuclear power. They can't really use their nukes so that brings them down to what weapons can you use in these smaller conflicts? And so finance is everything. And so when Biden says you can line up your military on the border if you want but at your own peril, it's time for the military financial crossover point. Boom.
Now I submit to you that I do not know if Ukraine is the point in history at which the experts will say yup that's when it happened. From that day on the larger powers just resolve things through negotiating because you had to use your financial tools. Still there will be plenty of wars with these smaller countries with neighboring conflicts and stuff. But anybody who's a big enough country to have a submarine, I'll just use that as my standard. If your country is big enough to have a submarine in your military probably you're going to work it out financially because you can be taken down by the rest of the world.
Now like I say I don't know if Ukraine is going to be the test case that proves the rule forever but the day will come. You know if it's not Ukraine it's Taiwan or you know it's something. But something is going to prove this rule I think. China-Taiwan is a different situation because of the history there. But I don't see the Russia-Ukraine situation becoming a major shooting war.
So test my prediction. My prediction is that Ukraine probably is the point where the shooting war just stopped making sense. Now I will not rule out minor incursion, minor incursion and continued pressure and cyber and everything else. That stuff probably. But I don't see the Russian military moving in force like a major campaign. And the reason is too expensive. Can't afford it. And Putin is not irrational so he would do a slow but steady pressure probably get what he wants in the end you know. That's why I think a lot. So test that.
I think all the talk about NATO and the US sending some of her forces over there and trainers and sending military and all that I think a lot of that is just theater. And I felt like our own military was saying that. You know they were saying that we're not doing it so much to fight Russia we're doing it to show our allies that we back them. So it was really theater. And I think we said it directly. Well it's sort of theater. We're just showing the allies that we back them. We're not really putting a fighting force there because what would a fighting force look like? A fighting force would look like a real fighting force. I don't think we have anything like that in the neighborhood right? So it's really just for show.
And I think that our military leaders to their credit, to their credit, I think they said so directly and they said it multiple times. This is to show our allies that we have their back. It's a show. Okay so I don't know that that show is something we have to worry about militarily.
All right here's my next provocative question. And I'll start with this priming of your brain. Are all of you aware there's a generally accepted parenting practice that if you're a stepparent you don't do the discipline? Are you all familiar with that rule? Is this generally a universally acknowledged rule?
Now the thinking behind it is fairly solid. The thinking behind it is that there is a biological connection for a biological parent that is a sort of unbreakable bond and that you have this unrestricted love that won't be changed by some punishment. But it is assumed that the non-biological parent doesn't have that. And so if punishment comes from a non-biological parent that could become a rift that lasts forever and becomes a problem.
Now I'm not saying every family is the same. You know I think there's a world of difference between a stepkid that you get as a baby and the original parent was never in the picture. That's effectively just a biological parent for all practical purposes right? But I'm talking about like a stepkid comes in at age 12. Okay that's a different situation. And the real father let's say is still in the picture and involved right? You in that case the stepdad just you just have to step away. You report, observe and report. That's it. Observe and report. Unless it's an immediate danger. If it's an immediate danger then you step in immediately.
But I'm gonna take that analogy to a weird place. Our Constitution has a rule in it that you have to be born in America to be president. You have to be born in America to be president. Not for other jobs but to be president. Do you think of that rule? Does that rule feel appropriate or does it feel racist? Because it is racist I mean an outcome right? It's racist.
Let me give you an example. Do you think that Arnold Schwarzenegger would be a risky president in the sense that he would have too much loyalty to his native-born Austria? Well actually if we ever got into conflict with Austria I would be worried about that. I definitely would be worried about that. But you know we'll never get in a conflict with Austria not realistically. So why is there a constitutional thing that prevents Arnold from running for president? There's no real reason. I mean it just ends up looking racist in his case.
But do you agree with the general statement that people develop a love for the place they were born just ordinarily? It's just the most natural. I don't, must be biological I guess some of it is or a lot of it is cultural but people are very bonded to where they're born. So would most of you have, now given the background, would you all agree that the country is safer, and I'm not even talking about America specifically, or would you give any country probably is a little safer if they restrict their presidents to people born on the soil of any cultural background of course? Yeah most of you would agree with that as reasonable but a little bit racist but it's national defense and that's where we bend things a little bit when we have to right?
You, Elon Musk, perfect example. Would you be worried if Elon Musk were president if he were not born on American soil? I wouldn't. I wouldn't be worried about that at all. It just seems kind of racist that he's, but we still accept I think that a president should be born on the soil of which that president is the president. It just gives you that little extra protection.
This brings us to George Soros who was Hungarian-born but American citizen. Now he can't run for president. Are you happy about that? Are you happy that George Soros with all of his money can't run for president? It's just it's not even an option. I'm saying most people say yes they're glad that in this case they're glad that that rule exists because he did have enough money if you think about it. He did have enough money that if it were constitutionally allowed he probably could have made the grade. Probably could have gotten over the hump because money, I mean you can buy anything.
So we're happy about it there. But here's the provocative question. Why do we allow that same person that we would not trust as a president to donate so much money to activist organizations that they effectively control our government on those issues? Why is that okay? And am I being racist to even ask the question? Because I don't think it's more racist than our current constitutional situation. It's probably equal. They're both racist. I'm just asking the question. That's the podcaster's dodge. I'm just asking the question. But in this case I think that's fair to say I actually wonder why do we allow that? Why is it legal?
No I get that it's constitutional so it's not a constitutional question right now. Why do we allow that? We have all kinds of campaign finance restrictions but why do we not restrict something that is so important to us? It's in the constitution. It's built right into the constitution. It's so fundamental that you want somebody who's let's say biological connection to the soil is unquestionable.
Somebody says it's not racist it's nationalistic. That's a fair characterization. But I would say that almost everything we do has a racist outcome even if you don't intend it for that purpose. It just always does. So I don't think it's, you know I just like mentioning because it gets this one less thing for people to complain about right?
So I think maybe a Republican should run on that if there's a way to do it. Now it might be impossible to stop money because Soros could give money to an entity and say I'm done with it and then the entity could say well now that we have this money it's ours and we'll give it to this cause. So I'm guessing he could probably still launder it somehow and there's no way to stop it. I don't know. Must be a way to do it but don't even try you know if we're concerned about foreign influence so much that we can't have a foreign-born president you know. So we're so concerned that Arnold Schwarzenegger can't be our president who's worried about him being not pro-American enough. Or even Elon Musk. I mean who knows what Elon Musk is thinking. That would be impossible to imagine but I wouldn't be worried.
All right. Here's the answer to the question why I stay in California because people always ask. I'm just going to read this headline from Twitter. The nor'easter storm will bring a major snowstorm and potential blizzard stretching from South Carolina to New England. The storm is predicted to form off the coast of the Carolinas on Friday and move north up the East Coast across the weekend. A storm has brought the East Coast into its first blizzard warning in four years according to blah blah. Airlines have canceled thousands of flights. High winds, heavy snows between six and twelve inches of snow, one to two feet of snow in some places and maybe major power outages. At the same time people be freezing to death in their own homes.
So that's what the people in those states are doing. Yesterday I took a walk in the sun, had some legal cannabis before I went. It was t-shirt weather. Beautiful day. So if you don't mind the high taxes and the crime and the drought and the forest fires that are blotting out the sun, if you don't mind that stuff it's a pretty good place to be. And if you can stay away from the tsunamis and the earthquakes but you know I know where all the faults are. I just stay away from the faults.
Did you know there's a depopulation time bomb facing the West? And one wonders is there a reason we're talking about a depopulation time bomb that we've known about for a long time now? Some of it may be it's just reaching that critical point where everybody notices. Might be because Elon Musk has brought it up. But the West is hitting this problem. China's going to get it first because that one baby problem or policy they had for over 35 years or something. So deaths are going to outstrip births and pretty soon we'll have all these old people that require all this care and we won't have enough young people to work and take care of them.
I think that maybe technology and civilization will adjust. I think we'll adjust. I think that a lot of those old people live in houses and they'll just say hey, and this is something already happening, they'll say hey young person come live rent free in my house and you do some of the work and we both win. So I think that the first thing that will happen is civilization will just immediately adjust because we're real good at that. We adjust. Probably the single thing that makes humans the dominant species over the planet, although fungi are doing pretty well but you know humans we're having a good run, is because we adjust so well.
You know is it Bret Weinstein who says this? It's our ability to adjust that makes us special I think his new book says that. So I think we'll adjust but it's important. Watch it.
And what is behind this depopulation time bomb? Well it's a number of factors, economic, social. But CNN is also reporting that we are too fat to, that wasn't their exact headline but I think once I read this to you you'll think that the headline "too fat to" kind of fits. So CNN says that 43 percent of women and 31 percent of men have some form of sexual dysfunction with obesity and lack of exercise often being factors.
Now I do not do fat shaming because I don't think anybody chooses bad health right? I just don't think anybody does that. And I don't think people choose to be addicts. I don't think we choose to be a lot of things that it looks like we choose but we really don't. So I don't make fun of people who are in whatever situation they're in because you know if I don't have this one problem well I got my own right?
So I tend not to. And I used to be far more judgmental. I would say this is more of a recent evolution in my case. So I feel not judgmental about other people's issues because I don't see my own as being all solved. If I could solve all of my issues like everything that could be solved well then I'll talk about yours and now why don't you be like me and solve all your problems. I solved all of mine. But as long as my problems aren't all solved like your problems are fine you know. We'll talk about them but it's not about you.
Okay so we'll talk about the problem but it's not about you personally. This is a big deal. And again this is this gigantic path for somebody like a DeSantis to walk right through. How many people would like to see an American president, and the reason I say DeSantis is he makes every right move like he reads the room better than anybody's ever read the room. And well Trump read the room pretty well too but the other thing DeSantis does is he responds to it but he also takes free money.
Free money is the thing that anybody could have said but he says you know Trump used to do that all the time. If there's a thing you can say and it's just sort of obvious anybody could say it but only one person does it's like why did everybody leave this free money laying there? So the free money this gigantic is you've got this enormous health and obesity problem in this country. How about a president, how about a DeSantis says look let's not kid ourselves. You know I can do everything in the world to help this country but if you're overeating and not taking care of yourself it's not going to mean anything to you. So please let's figure out how to like get in shape. Let's figure out a system. Let's get some help. Let's put some money on it. Let's put some attention on it. Let's talk about it right? Let's not judge each other. Let's stay out of the judging business. Let's just treat it as a health problem because it is and just go from there.
Gigantic, gigantic opportunity with no disagreement if you do it right. You would always get the people who are advocates for you know people who are larger and they don't want to be mocked for their I guess lifestyle choice in some cases and that's fine but it's really not about them. Nobody's saying you have to do anything. It's not, you know there wouldn't be mandatory gym. You know I'm talking about helping people not forcing people right? The government could certainly help people. It doesn't have to force anybody to do anything.
Yes so if you have low T and you've got sexual dysfunction that can't be helping the population. It just can't be. Although I suspect these days having a kid is more choice than not.
Sean Penn got in trouble for saying that men in America are becoming quote quite feminized. And he said quote there are a lot of I think cowardly genes that lead to people surrendering their jeans meaning the jeans that they're wearing and putting on a skirt. Now he's talking about some famous celebrities I guess more than the public but what do you think about that? Do you think that's an old man that yells at the clouds ah these kids today back in my day men wore pants? Or is he on to something?
Because remember Sean is not right wing by any stretch of the imagination but he's saying something that you would more associate with somebody who was on the right, the political right. Yeah can we at least come together on that?
Now I unlike many in my audience right now I am very supportive of anybody who doesn't want to be like the mainstream in any social way whatsoever. So LGBTQ love you. Just be whatever makes you happy. You know if society can't allow you to do that then society sucks. You should let people live whatever life they want to live. So I'm in favor of the freedom for people to be who they are.
That said let me ask a question just for the women. Can I? If I could I know this is going to be tough for you guys because I have more men than women watching typically. For the men just if you could hold off for a moment. I want to ask a question just for the women watching this. So women if you don't normally comment this would be a good one to jump in. Do you think that there is a shortage of masculine men now? I don't want to use alpha and beta. You could translate that in your own mind.
Okay on Locals I get faster responses and I'm getting 90 percent yes it looks like. On YouTube I'm seeing so far only yeses. Well okay now this may be a reflection of my audience more than a reflection of the world but at least we agree.
Now don't you think that literally the low testosterone is part of it? I mean it has to be right? That is that am I being anti-science? Did I go too far? Wouldn't we see exactly what we see with no other change than lower testosterone now? What causes the lower testosterone? It's not one thing right? Some of it is diet. Some of it may be getting poor sleep because of screen time. Some of it may be the comparison problem. If you compare yourself to the people on Instagram what's that do to your testosterone? It doesn't help right?
If you're comparing yourself to the best whatever's in the world instead of just your neighbor like in the old days. I mean I could only compare myself to people I knew personally because you know there were some people on TV but it wasn't that big a deal. But today you know you're being compared to the best of the best in the whole world. How does it in theory if you're being compared to something that's better than you it should drop your testosterone is that true? Give me a fact check on that. I never know what things I believe forever are because you know you could always find out oh I believed that forever and that was just never true.
But I think that losing a competition has at least a temporary drop in testosterone. That's been proven right? Being embarrassed as opposed to being victorious I'm pretty sure you can measure a difference in testosterone. Now imagine you live in a society where boys are mostly the winners let's say 50s 60s 70s and you could extend that to wherever your politics want you to extend it. If you grew up in a world where you just felt like you were the king of the universe because you happen to be the right gender at the right time in history that probably would raise your testosterone wouldn't it? Because you would just walk around feeling like oh yeah I'm in charge.
Now what would happen if instead you were born in the more current era and you were told that boys are the cause of all problems which isn't too far off from what's happening right now right? No I'm not going to say that men don't cause a lot of problems. Oh we do. We do our share of crime and whatnot but we're also most of the police force most of the emergency stuff you know so I mean we contribute as well.
So some say divorce. Some say divorce yeah that might be a factor. I'm not sure. It's one factor. I think it's everything from and I'm gonna say allegedly on this one so I don't get sued. Allegedly our soy intake. Have you seen how much the soy is in every freaking product? Like the only thing that doesn't have soy in it is like a stalk of broccoli I swear to god. They're going to figure out how to make soy broccoli just so you can't get away with it. Every packaged food seems to have soy in it as some kind of filler or maybe the source of protein or something I don't know. But why does soy have to be in everything? Everything. All right.
So I do think that this testosterone thing is real.
All right now I've got a question just for the men. Just for the men all right? Women you have to ride this one out. Okay just for the men and I'm gonna further segment it. Okay just for the men watching who would consider themselves masculine compared to the average. I know you're all going to say that's you right? You're all going to say that you but just the ones who consider themselves masculine. Have you seen that the demand for what you're selling is the highest it's ever been? Go.
Just because you just happened to be masculine I believe the answers you should on YouTube you should see the answers. On Locals the comments go by the quickness of the comments is based on how many there are. So the faster they answer the faster they sit by. It was just like this wall of yes it just went yes all right. So I'm not imagining it right? I'm not imagining it.
All right here's my next question and maybe my last for today. Do you remember Black Lives Matter and do you remember Antifa and do you remember Occupy Wall Street? And one thing they all had in common is that they were really really big and then they just sort of went away. Were any of them natural? Were they all scams? They were just funded by somebody right?
I think they were all scams based on today's look backwards. Just the fact that they made such a big impact and then went away just as suddenly that does suggest that it was never real. Now what's going to happen when the next one pops up? Are you going to have a Gell-Mann amnesia? Do you know what that would be? So Gell-Mann amnesia I won't give you the whole background of what that means. What it means is when there's another totally group that starts protesting are you going to say oh this one's real? Are you gonna believe the next group after three in a row that are obviously in my just my opinion in my opinion they're obviously. And I thought they were at the time. I wasn't really following Occupy Wall Street but I didn't really understand that one. I mean when it was happening I kept looking at it thinking well that's kind of weird that this suddenly pops up when nothing is much that different. But now I would say it's somewhat clear that these were scams of some sort.
Now when I say they were scams I don't mean that the people who are individually protesting were insincere. I do think that most of the people on the street were sincere in whatever that means for Antifa. I'm not sure what it means to be a sincere Antifa person but I'm talking about the leadership of the funding and the organization though that apparently that was all a scam.
Now here's some news from the Washington Examiner I think. Report yeah the Washington Examiner. So they were looking into who's in charge of Black Lives Matter at the moment. This is just the best story. Now I don't know if it's because I'm the author of the Dilbert comic that I love this story so much because if you could come up with a more Dilbertian scenario than what I'm going to just describe. Now again this is the Washington Examiner's reporting.
So they were looking into who's in charge now that the person who was in charge the co-founder Patrice Cullors so she moved on and she said that she appointed two of the activists to serve as the group's senior directors. So far so good. So we knew who was in charge. She was a co-founder and I guess when she left she was the last of the co-founders and she appointed two activists and we know their names. So good.
So the Washington Examiner went and talked to the two people who were appointed and they said we didn't accept the appointment. What? They said yeah yeah we were appointed but we didn't accept the appointment. Wait what? Well who's got the 60 million dollars allegedly that they have? I don't know. What? Like this is one of those stories that you can't even read to the end because you just keep going what? What?
Now typically let me give you a warning here. Typically a story like this is so on the nose it's probably wrong. It's probably not true right? When you see something that's just too perfectly stereotypically the worst thing that could possibly happen right? What would be the most stereotypically racist let's put that out there. What would be the most stereotypically racist thing you could imagine would be that you know a Black organization stole a bunch of money right? That's what the racist brain would go there immediately. And then the story comes out that looks like that's exactly what happened.
Your first instinct shouldn't be well I told you so. If your first instinct was I told you so well you might be a racist. Your first instinct should be could be true but your first instinct should be that's a little too close. A little too on the nose. So just be warned about this one okay? I don't know that is fact that I'm not or fiction and I'm not going to predict either way so I don't have an opinion whether it's real or not. I'm just saying that whenever you see one that's this close to exactly a racist trope is that the right word? You got to ask yourself is it real? You just have to ask yourself.
All right. But allegedly that's, we don't know who's in charge and money's missing and the two remaining BLM board members, so there are two board members who are different from the two directors who were appointed right? So there's still two board members. We know who they are and they were asked for a comment and they did not return numerous requests for comment.
All right I give up. This story might be exactly what it looks like. It might be.
So I asked this poll on Twitter today. A little poll. I said were Antifa, BLM and Occupy Wall Street real movements that suddenly evaporated or were they always Democrat scams? So when at last I checked 77 percent said they were always Democrat scams and 23 percent said that they were actually real organizations or that they weren't sure. 23 percent. 23 rounding off 23, 25, 25. This will come as no surprise. Our idiots. And it's a very consistent result.
Now I believe I have delivered on my claim that I would show you that every major topic of any complexity has to branch into different stories. Once you see this you will say to yourself wait a minute maybe the problem isn't cognitive dissonance. Maybe cognitive dissonance is a necessity. It's the only way the simulation that runs our reality can handle the complexity. My story and yours don't have to match anymore because I'm in my own subjective reality and it'll never make any difference if your story and mine never match.
So every future story even if it doesn't line up perfectly with Democrat and Republican should branch into multiple versions because it has to. And that ladies and gentlemen is the reframe of the day.
I believe I have delivered on my promise that this is the best live stream of all time bar none. And I will talk to you tomorrow.
good morning everybody welcome to the most amazing hour you're likely to ever spend in your entire life it's called coffee with scott adams and normally it's tremendous on an average day it's better than anything you've ever experienced but today even the normal coffee with scott adams experience is going to go to a new level it will yeah and if you'd like to get us started off right and by the way you might need a little swaddling for your brain find a nice warm blanket unless you're exercising if you're running on the beach right now and you hear me laughing in your ear as you're running in the beach and you're saying damn it he's making me laugh when i'm running on the beach i think he's talking about me and i am so keep running on the beach but the rest of you get a nice warm blanket because you're going to need to swallow your brain swaddle it but first how about a simultaneous sip but all you need is a copper a margarita glass a tanker chelsea's time to canteen jogger flask vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid a beverage some would say and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dope being the other day the thing that makes everything better and i mean everything in every reality better it's called the simultaneous step and it happens now go well would you like to see the matrix you know some people think that we live in a simulation and if this were a simulation you would be subject to resource constraints wouldn't it if we were any kind of computer simulation the one thing you could be reasonably sure of is it would have some kind of limits because everything has to have a limit just logically and so could we ever spot the limits of our own simulation as evidence that that's what we're in and here's the frame that i'm going to give you for today's entire episode and it goes like this did you ever wonder why cognitive dissonance is so common or to put it more generally why people have completely different views of reality and it doesn't just apply doesn't just apply to the news don't you know that sometimes you'll be talking to your friends you've known forever and you'll have completely different memories of events in which you both were there what's up with that why do we have memory but our memory is so close to fantasy that sometimes you can't even unentangle them why do we so often live in what seems like a completely different worlds and here's the answer it has to be that way because of resource constraints cognitive dissonance isn't a flaw it's a feature you couldn't program the simulation without that requirement here's why imagine creating a simulation and by the way if those of you who have programmed back me up on this all right if you were creating a simulation in which every character's actions had to be known to every other object and item in the entire universe because they might someday interact and someday you might hear about something that somebody else did and it has to be consistent if our memories were perfect it would have to be consistent so if you tried to build an artificial world in which everybody's story their narrative if you will or their subjective reality if they had to be consistent in all ways with all other stories the resources would be astronomical to the point where it's unimaginable that it could be programmed but could you build a world in which people believed they were seeing an accurate view of the reality but in fact the accuracy was only a trick of the mind that'd be a lot easier so watch if you will the predictive power of the simulation hypothesis do i tell you that the simulation is the true way to see the world never nope the only thing i could tell you is that some ways of looking at things might be more predictive than others and that's probably the closest you can get to something that's real if anything is so my prediction is this there can never be a major story that has only one interpretation you always there could be exceptions of course but let's say in general that the headlines will always tend toward two interpretations even when it's not just a democrat republican thing because take vaccinations for example you saw that a lot of let's say the black population and the republicans were often on the same page so it wasn't even a left right thing but every story has to have multiple interpretations because that's the only way you could program the simulation let's talk about a few things that are happening now one is the continued continuing of what i call the roganization of the news the roganization of the news is another indication that we live in a simulation that we're reusing themes because it's just simpler it uses less resources so the way we see the news used to be through a trump filter and now we see it through a joe rogan filter so if we talk about vaccinations we talk about joe rogan if it's about ivermectin joe rogan you know the government uh taking away our rights joe rogan freedom of speech joe rogan and now even music and streaming joe rogan now some of it is just you get something in your mind and his sticks and he's gigantic uh in terms of his reach so it makes sense in the same way it made sense that we talked about everything through a trump filter but think about how that simplifies the programming we all just think the same way we just go through the same filter it's a big simplification if you were going to program a simulation so here's what else is happening the story is that the following four people and before you fact-check me i'm going to fact check myself when i'm done that the following four people have said they don't want to be on spotify the streaming service if that joe rogan is on there with his misinformation about health-related things so it started with neil young but now then we heard that barry manilow joined and then we heard that uh peter frampton was on board and then joni mitchell how much of that story is true it's like every story right there's a true version and a fake version and so here's the the details barry manilow came out and said i don't know i don't know where that started it didn't come from me didn't come from anybody who represents me so the the barry manilow part of the story was completely fake so at least 25 percent of the story is fake and then there's a peter frampton tweet in which he said he's always been an apple guy so you know he he uses apple streaming and i said to myself wait a minute is peter frampton saying he doesn't want to be on spotify is he saying he's never been on spotify or is he saying that he's not even talking as a creator anymore because i don't know the last time he published any music but is he talking as a consumer is he just saying that he didn't use spotify before to listen to music i i feel like peter frampton trended just because he says he listens to music on a different streaming service i think that's what happened now if that's true if i'm interpreting it correctly and again you know we're all going to have different stories it has to be that way uh that would be 50 of the story isn't real so that would leave joni mitchell on the side of neil young and if if you take joni mitchell's music off of spotify um well you won't be able to go to spotify to hear joni mitchell's uh big hit uh joni mitchell's big hit she was really big when i was young had a lot of hits actually she was very famous and then her big hit was i don't know but i'm going to miss it i'm going to miss it is what i'm saying i'd i never used spotify before uh i was kind of a different streaming guy but in case you want to put that in the headlines i think i should be trending wait a minute i'm on spotify aren't i i'm on spotify am i not can somebody confirm that i think i am right yeah i mean we i just published the podcast wherever i think so i think it's on there well why the hell did nobody ask me if i am willing to be on spotify with my highly valuable podcast which probably gets roughly as many listens as neil young but i feel that i've been overlooked am i wrong should i make a public statement now i think i'm going to have to i'm going to have to go on the record i think everybody who is on spotify needs to give their joe rogan opinion and uh uh i'm i'm embarrassed to be on spotify honestly uh now that i know that barry manilow is still on there so i refuse i refuse to be on spotify i would like my representation to pull all of my podcasts immediately because i just go cabana it's not really music is it it's not music it's sort of like a an ear worm that gets in your head and makes you happy and you can't get it out now i personally have spent many many hours as a bus boy in my early days when i was a busboy and we would clean the dining room all at the same time after all the guests had left it was a hotel and they would play copacabana over and over again through the uh ceiling speakers because we only had a few songs for whatever reason and i've heard more copacabana than any human has ever heard and i don't know if i can be on spotify with that man excellent music very successful but you got to draw the line somewhere um edward snowden had a funny tweet he said nobody has a stronger opinion about nobody has stronger opinions about joe rogan than people who have never listened to joe rogan and i thought you know i bet that's exactly true you know this is one of those tweets where you say to yourself well that's not i'm sure that's not true completely and then you think about it and then you think now that might be actually true for every single human in the conversation it might literally be true of everybody who who is against him is that you haven't heard the context now i don't know how many of you could say the same but i feel like i've been following his career since the earliest days literally on news radio and do you remember that he had a show i can't remember the name of the show you'll probably tell me in which he looked into stuff like uh bigfoot he actually went looking for bigfoot who remembers that what was the name of the show you'll remember you i think you'll remind me no it wasn't fear factor what was it come on it it wasn't on for a long time oh joe grogan questions everything was that it joe rogan's questions everything right so now i'm not i'm not going to characterize joe rogan's opinion about bigfoot you know who knows what he was thinking when or or what but if you know that part of his arc you know include literally being an actor literally being a you know huge stand-up comic uh and literally at one point searching for bigfoot all in the name of entertainment right if you understand that then don't you have a better appreciation of any other content that he presents which is that the larger context is if it's interesting i'm going to put it on i don't think there's any other is there another criteria does he claim and does he claim any other any other criteria for putting on entertainment this just has to be good right either it has to be funny it has to be interesting provocative something it just has to be good so if you understand that the context is things that are interesting then you listen to the rogue doctor and you make your own decision you know you're not you're not watching it like the news but what if you've only seen clips of his show you don't know anything about his history his other work you know maybe you don't even know he's a stand-up comic don't you think a lot of people were his critics maybe you know vaguely know he's done that kind of work but don't know he would be one of the biggest in the country at the moment so you know i think the context makes a big difference not only the context within the show but the the larger context that if it's interesting he's going to let us see it and who how do you complain about that right if you know the larger context if it's interesting i think i'll show it to you what the hell how do you get mad at that form your you know make your own opinion he's not telling you what to think if he told you what to think that'd be a whole different conversation wouldn't it but nowhere nowhere are you going to find anything in his record that tells you what to think fact-check me on that right i'm pretty sure if you scour his record you're not going to find him telling you how to think he's just going to show you interesting and you make up your own mind it's a good model well um those of you who have uh experienced doing mushrooms you know that you have a much better understanding of our reality as being a subjective reality so even if you discard this simulation hypothesis you probably would agree that we are living in our own subjective reality in lots of different ways and we'll talk about some of those ways number one is uh many people have lived for the last two years in a subjective reality in which the elites are using covet as a plot to take control for the great reset and it was never a problem etc others and again i'm not i don't have an opinion on that right now i mean i have opinions but not right now my larger point is that didn't we live in different worlds there are some people who just said hey there's a deadly virus people doing the best they can but people are weasels and liars and so this is what you get so that was my reality my reality is just a whole bunch of weasels and liars doing the best they could usually for themselves and this is what you get when when you have weasels and liars and a crisis along with lots of people doing trying to do the right thing it wasn't like everybody was lying but it's not like everybody was telling the truth it's not like everybody was trying to get an advantage on other people some people were literally just trying to help and nothing else and a lot of people right you know that's the best thing that came out of the pandemic by far is the kindness that was expressed pretty much universally at least by the citizens so those are different worlds that we've been living in for the last two years how about um what happens if we are a simulation and the way we think affects it here's something that worries me because i worry about weird things what if we wish a new variant into existence what happens if everyone in the world expects a new deadly variant just because we've been primed that way can we actually make that happen can we just will it into existence you know i worry about that like actually literally because i i think our understanding of the reality we live in such as it is is so weak you know what we actually understand about reality is so weak that i wouldn't discount seven billion people expecting exactly the same thing to happen having no causal effect like it might not have enough causal effect that i could believe but it's hard to believe it would have none even if the only thing it did is affect somehow the way we we acted because you know that you're drawn toward things you think about a lot your behavior is attracted this is whatever you're thinking about the most just some somewhat automatically and subconsciously so could we just think our way into problems i don't know but i would but i'd like to at least give us give a consideration to thinking our way out of it instead and maybe maybe focus a little more on february 1 being over now you see the you see the the real power of that what happens when everybody says february 1's the day we stop or at least with mandates in the united states could have the opposite effect could it have an effect that doesn't seem to be directly related to the public rising up in other words could the virus just burn out as if by magic because everybody was focusing on the same time to make it burn out i don't know but i'll tell you that i have this one observation there's no scientific backing right so this is not a science but maybe you could you know compare it to your own situation i find that the more um clearly i can visualize something potentially happening the more likely it'll happen in my actual life if if i can see it as clear as i can see a photograph in front of me in some sometimes i can then it just always happens even if it's unlikely yeah i use my example all the time of becoming a best-selling author or becoming a cartoonist you know famous cartoonist or visiting the the white house and talking to a president these are things which i visualized really specifically and there are other things that i just sort of want but i don't really visualize them and they don't happen but the things that i think about specifically oh my god do they happen on a regular basis in a weird way so i just want to put it out there that that if you all focus on hashtag february 1 for dropping mandates which is similar to saying that the you know the pandemic itself the crisis has abated i ca i'm not going to tell you it'll make it happen but if you want to play it safe if you want to play a safe i'd rather think about stopping it than having it forever all right um here's a bombshell that's gonna scramble your brain uh the australia i saw this on a tweet by a twitter user called logic bombshell reports from australia australia media places the blame for the pandemic on fouchy in other words the united states so there's at least you know one person in i don't know how many more believe this but talk about a reframe that made my brain hurt as soon as soon as i heard it from somebody else's point of view we just spent two years blaming china we just spent two years blaming china which you know i'm all on board with that because you know i'm no lover of the chinese government but at the same time we were slowly learning you know fouchy's involvement and somehow it never occurred to me and i would wonder if this is blowing your mind as well why had it never occurred to me that's the united statesist that's responsible for the pandemic i'm not saying we are i'm not saying we are i'm saying here's here's the part i'm only saying why didn't it occur to me until until now why did that literally not occur to me i had only thought of it as a fouchy problem did the same thing happen to you did you think oh there's a fouchy problem i never once said to myself this is the united states we unleashed this pandemic by our actions now does china have some culpability probably probably i'm not going to let china off the hook but why did i never once think of it this way and i'm going going to introduce a new phrase for you and this new phrase is going to act like a an anti-virus so it's a phrase that if it catches on would act like an anti-virus so that the problem i just described which is my own cognitive blindness which some of you shared so i was cognitively blind to america's culpability or potential culpability because you know nothing's proven proven in this world and it's because of what i'm going to call a diversion narrative a diversion narrative watch what happens when you start looking for them and you see how many times there's a narrative about what's true that's really designed primarily as a diversion what hap what would what would it do to your brain if you found out that the china is to blame narrative was always a diversion narrative what if someone in the government or someone's always knew that this could come around and become a blame america problem because they knew that chain of events from fouchy to funding to wuhan to maybe a mistake we don't know for sure what if somebody cooked up the diversion narrative to say it was china so that we would in america be cognitively blind to our own culpability have you ever seen anybody cook up a diversion narrative before how about um trump-russia collusion that's a diversion narrative for the fact that hillary was was literally colluding with russia apparently all right i'll say allegedly or apparently how often are diversion narratives really all we're seeing and how often are we just wrong or because because my usual interpretation of these things is that there are two worlds because there's a democrat side and a republican side so we all understand that part but some of these go beyond that it seems like there's something else going on besides just the teams these diversion narratives seem to be almost the operating system of civilization at this point it's just diversion narratives let's talk about some more as we go um but uh here's something that i've said a number of times and i just want to explain my thinking on it better because often i'm talking about a topic in the news then we we all get diverted about the topic but really i'm trying to say something about the way we think about things so if you'll allow me to divorce myself from the topic of something whether it's true or false all right forget about what's true i don't care about that at the moment it has has to do with a tweet i saw this morning from a twitter user who calls himself still unvaccinated phd and he's he's responding to my thought that the category of rogue experts are generally wrong and he says rogue doctors and scientists as adam says likes to call them are often the ones who discover huge breakthroughs in different industries now i agree with that don't you all wouldn't you say that the rogues you know the ones bucking the standard pretty much create everything good when you agree i mean they're all rogues you know all the ones that really make a difference they're all rogues so have i ever said anything that would be conflicting with that i've never said anything that conflicts with the fact that pretty much all progress seems to come from rogues and sometimes whistleblowers right but is there any conflict with that with the fact that i say that ninety percent of the time the rogues are wrong there's you shouldn't think there's any conflict with that and here's an analogy that's just used to help you see the math better i guess it goes like this you know about google and you know about amazon.com and you know about you know microsoft and you know about all these gigantic companies that at one point were just startups if you saw them when they were startups you would have said well the odds are at best one in 10.
that's optimistic it's probably one in 20.
but let's say one in 10.
so if you're looking at all startups as 90 of them are going to fail and you can be pretty sure that's true but the ones that become famous are so famous that the narrative of the famous ones makes you cognitively blind to the fact that most things that are like that most things that are in their category the category of rogues taking on the world and winning you know jeff bezos is a great example taking on the world and winning um so just just know that everything important comes from the rogues but mostly they fail so i use it as a prediction shortcut so whenever there's a rogue i just say well i'm gonna i'm gonna go with the ninety i'll vote against it i'll vote against it so when i when i tell you that i've got suspicions about let's say a doctor malone or mcauliffe dr corey any of the names you've seen that are the rogue doctors if as i like to call them i'm not necessarily disagreeing with anything about their science how would i know i'm just saying they're in the category that if you and i are going to take a bet i'll bet with the 90 it's just a category a category related prediction that's all right i i obviously obviously can't um counteract their science all right um jack passovek has another uh tweet and maybe uh maybe a a scoop i don't know but uh he tweets that biden chief of staff ron claim is planning to start leaking and pushing a narrative a narrative you say what kind of a narrative that president zielenski of ukraine is a kremlin compromised this is according to a white house staffer and again jack's got good sources so here's the two worlds do you see reality just splitting so i have to admit that when you see zelinski being less worried about his country being invaded than the united states it's a perfectly reasonable question why is zolensky less worried than we are right but there's not just one way to explain that one explanation is that he is just as worried but he wants to play it differently he doesn't want to cause panic so we don't know he's less worried he's talking about how how we talk about it he so he doesn't want the rhetoric to be as high as it is but this might create an opening for this second narrative that zelensky is a puppet of the kremlin and he's practically inviting them in and then the other narrative that nothing like that is happening so once again two worlds does the simulation require that in every case and i'm not even sure this is a democrat or republican question is it because i think you could find people on both sides of what we should do on uh on ukraine but everything has to be at least two stories or more because the the simulation can't handle complexity with one story if you're coming in late if we live in the simulation there's got to be a resource constraint like any computer and so there's a reason that we all have different realities because you couldn't have one reality and make every part of every reality consistent with every other too much resources too many resources so so the prediction of the simulation is that every major story will branch into multiple uh realities and that has to happen you can't program the simulation unless you do that um here is my mind breaking white board for today the thing you've all been waiting for but you didn't even know it i call it the military financial reframe and it goes like this that if you look at the arc of time that power used to be really a military thing which of course was highly correlated with wealth you know wealth could get you a better military but not necessarily so if you had a great military you had a lot of power if you had money that was great money was great but if all you had was money and you didn't have a good military the military next door would come and take your money but thanks primarily to the internet and our financial markets becoming global and inter intertangled and the fact that money has to go through basically wires to get anywhere it doesn't get on a boat it's not hidden somewhere has to go across a wire so we became so connected with each other because of the internet that finance as a weapon gets more and more powerful the more connected we are and the more trade we do and so i would submit to you that ukraine is our crossover point the crossover point at which a financial weapon is more useful than a military weapon because the military weapon would guarantee russia's destruction am i right so it pretty much guarantees they're not going to go nuclear so the the value of the ar their arsenal is not really that good so here here they are in nuclear power they can't really use their nukes so that brings them down to you know what weapons can you use in these smaller conflicts and so finance is everything and so when biden says you can line up your military on the border if you want but at your own peril it's time for the military financial crossover point boom now i submit to you that i do not know if ukraine is the point in history at which the experts will say yup that's when it happened from that day on the the larger powers just resolve things through negotiating because it was you know you had to use your financial tools still there will be plenty of wars with these smaller countries with neighboring conflicts and stuff but anybody who's a big enough country to have a submarine i'll just use that as my standard if your country is big enough to have a submarine in your military probably you're going to work it out financially because you can be taken down by the rest of the world now like i say i don't know if ukraine is going to be the test case that proves the rule forever but the day will come you know if it's not ukraine this taiwan or you know it's something but but something is going to prove this rule i i think china taiwan is a different situation because of the history there but i don't see the russia-ukraine situation becoming a major shooting war so test my prediction um my prediction is that ukraine probably is the point where the shooting war just stopped making sense now i will not rule out will not rule out minor incursion minor incursion and continued pressure and you know cyber and everything else that stuff probably but i don't see the russian military moving in force like a major campaign and the reason is too expensive can't afford it and putin is not irrational so he would do a slow but steady pressure probably get what he wants in the end you know that's why i think a lot so test that um i think the all the talk about nato and the us and sending some of her forces over there and trainers and sending military and all that i think a lot of that is just theater um and i felt like our own military was saying that you know they were saying that we're not doing it um so much to fight russia we're doing it to show our allies that we back them so it was really theater and i think we said it directly well it's sort of theater we're just showing the allies that we back them we're not really putting a fighting force there because what would a fighting force look like a fighting force would look like a real fighting force i don't think we have anything like that in the neighborhood right so it's really just for show and i think that our military leaders to their credit to their credit i think they said so directly and they said it multiple times this is to show our allies that we have their back it's a show okay so i don't know that that show is something we have to worry about militarily um all right here's my next provocative question um and i'll start with this priming of your brain uh are all of you aware there's a generally accepted parenting practice that if you're a step parent you don't do the discipline are you all familiar with that rule is this generally a universally acknowledged rule now the thinking behind it is fairly solid the thinking behind it is that there is a biological connection for a biological parent that is a sort of unbreakable bond and that you have this um you know unrestricted love that won't be changed by some some punishment but it is assumed that the non-biological parent doesn't have that and so if punishment comes from a non-biological parent that could become a rift that lasts forever and becomes a problem now i'm not saying every family is the same you know i think there's a world of difference between a step kid that you get as a baby and the original parent was never in the picture that's effectively just a biological parent for all for all practical purposes right but i'm talking about like a step kid comes in at age 12.
okay that's a different situation and and the real father let's say you're still in the picture and involved right you in that case in that case the step dad just you just have to step away you you report observe and report that's it observe and report unless it's you know an immediate danger if it's an immediate danger then you step in immediately but um i'm gonna i'm gonna take that analogy to a weird place our constitution has a rule in it that you have to be born in america to be president you have to be born in america to be president not for other jobs but to be president do you what do you think of that rule does that does that rule feel appropriate or does it feel racist because it is racist i mean an outcome right it's racist um let me give you an example do you think that arnold schwarzenegger would be a risky president in the sense that he would have too much loyalty to his native-born austria well actually if we ever got into conflict with austria i would be worried about that i definitely would be worried about that but you know we'll never get in a conflict with austria not realistically so why is there why is there a constitutional thing that prevents arnold from running for president there's no real reason i mean it just ends up looking racist in his case but do you agree with the general statement that people estab they develop a love for the place they were born just ordinarily it's just the most natural i don't must be biological i guess some of it is or a lot of it is cultural but people are very bonded to where they're born so would most of you have now given the background would you all agree that the country is safer and i'm not even talking about america specifically or would you give any country probably is a little safer if they restrict their presidents to people born on the soil of any of any you know cultural background of course yeah most of you would agree with that as a reasonable but a little bit racist but it's national defense and that's where we bend things a little bit when when we have to right you elon musk perfect example would you be worried if elon musk were president if we were not born in american soil i wouldn't i wouldn't i wouldn't be worried about that at all it just seems kind of racist that he's but but we still accept i think that a president should be born on the soil of which that president is the president it just gives you that little extra little extra protection this brings us to george soros who uh was hungor is hungarian-born but american citizen now he can't run for president are you happy about that are you happy that george soros with all of his money can't run for president it's just it's not even an option i'm saying most people say yes they're glad that in this case they're glad that that rule exists because he did he did have enough money if you think about it he did have enough money that if it were constitutionally allowed he probably could have made the grade probably could have gotten over the hump because money i mean you can buy anything so we're happy about it there but here's the provocative question why do we allow that same person that we would not trust as a president to donate so much money to activist organizations that they effectively control our government on those issues why is that okay and am i being racist to even ask the question because i don't think it's more racist than our current constitutional situation it's probably equal they're both racist i'm just asking the question that's the podcaster's dodge i'm just asking the question but in this case i think that's fair to say i actually wonder why do we allow that why is it legal no i get that it's constitutional so it's not a constitutional question right now why do we allow that we have all kinds of campaign finance restrictions but why do we not restrict something that is so important to us it's in the constitution it's built right into the constitution it's so fundamental that you want somebody who's let's say biological connection to the soil is unquestionable somebody says it's not racist it's nationalistic that's a fair characterization but i would say that uh almost everything we do has a racist outcome even if you don't intend it for that purpose it just always does so i don't think it's you know i just like mentioning because it gets this one less thing for people to complain about right so i think i think maybe a republican should run on that if there's a way to do it now it might be impossible to stop money because soros could give money to an entity and say i'm done with it and then the entity could say well now that we have this money it's ours and we'll give it to this cause so i'm guessing he could probably still launder it somehow and there's no way to stop it i don't know must be a way to do it but don't even try you know if we're if we're concerned about foreign influence so much that we can't have a foreign-born president you know so we're so concerned that arnold schwarzenegger couldn't can't be our president who's worried about him being not pro-american enough or even elon musk i mean i don't you know who knows what elon musk is thinking that's that would be impossible to imagine but i wouldn't be worried all right um here's the answer to the question why i stay in california because people always ask i'm going to read i'm just going to read this headline from twitter the nor'easter storm will bring a major snowstorm and potential blizzard stretching from south carolina to new england the storm is predicted to form off the coast of the carolinas on friday and move north up the east coast across the weekend a storm has brought the east coast into its first blizzard warning in four years according to blah blah airlines have canceled thousands of flights high winds heavy snows between 6 and 12 inches of snow one to two feet of snow in some places and maybe maybe major power outages at the same time people be freezing to death in their own homes so that's what uh that's what the people in those states are doing um yesterday uh i took a walk in the sun had some legal cannabis before i went uh it was t-shirt weather beautiful day so if you don't mind if you don't mind the you know the high taxes and the crime and the drought and the forest fires that are blotting out the sun if you don't mind that stuff it's a pretty good place to be and if you can stay away from the uh the tsunamis and the earthquakes but you know i know where all the faults are i just stay away from the falls um did you know there's a depopulation time bomb facing the west and one wonders is there a reason we're talking about a depopulation time bomb that we've known about for a long time now some of it may be it's just reaching that you know critical point where everybody notices might be because elon musk has brought it up um but the west is hitting a uh this problem china's going to get it first because that one one baby problem or policy they had for over 35 years or something so deaths are going to outstrip births and pretty soon we'll have all these old people that require all this care and we won't have enough young people to work and take care of them i think that maybe technology and civilization will adjust i think we'll adjust i think that a lot of those old people live in houses and they'll just say hey and this is something already happening they'll say hey young person come live rent free in my house and you do some of the work and we both win so i think that the first thing that will happen is civilization will just immediately adjust because we're real good at that we we adjust probably the single thing that makes humans the dominant species uh over the planet uh although fungi are doing pretty well but you know humans we're having a good run is because we adjust so well you know other is it uh brett weinstein who says this um it's our ability to adjust that makes us special i think his new book says that um so i think we'll adjust but it's important watch it and what is behind uh this depopulation time bomb well it's a number of factors economic social uh but cnn is also reporting that we are too fat to that wasn't their exact headline but i think once i read this to you you'll think that the headline too fat to kind of fits so cnn says that 43 of women and 31 percent of men have some form of dis sexual dysfunction with obesity and lack of exercise often being factors now i do not do fat shaming because i don't think anybody chooses bad health right i just don't think anybody does that and i don't think people choose to be addicts i don't think we choose to be a lot of things that it looks like we choose but we really don't so i don't make fun of people who are in whatever situation they're in because you know if i don't have this one problem well i got my own right so i tend not to uh and i use i used to be far more judgmental i would say this is more of a recent evolution in my case so i feel not judgmental about other people's issues because i don't see my own as being all solved if i could solve all of my issues like everything that could be solved well then i'll talk about yours and now why don't you be like me and solve all your problems i solved all the mine but as long as my problems aren't all solved like your problems are fine you know we'll we'll talk about them but it's not about you okay so we'll talk about the problem but it's not about you personally this is a big deal and again this is this gigantic path for somebody like a desantis to walk right through how many people would like to see an american president and and the reason i say desantis is he makes every right move like he reads the room better than anybody's ever read the room and well trump read the room pretty well too but the other thing desantis does is he responds to it but he also takes free money free money is the thing that anybody could have said but he says you know trump used to do that all the time if there's a thing you can say and it's just sort of obvious anybody could say it but only one person does it's like why did everybody leave this free money lay in there so the free money this gigantic is you've got this enormous health and obesity problem in this country how about a president how about a desantis says look let's not kid ourselves you know i can do everything in the world to help this country but if you're overeating and not taking care of yourself it's not going to mean anything to you so please let's figure out how to like get in shape let's figure out a system let's get some help let's put some money on it let's put some attention on it let's talk about it right let's not judge each other let's stay out of the judging business let's just treat it as a health problem because it is and and just go from there gigantic gigantic opportunity with no disagreement if you do it right you would always get the the people who are advocates for you know people who are larger and they you know they don't want to be mocked for their i guess lifestyle choice in some cases and that's fine but it's really not about them nobody's saying you have to do anything it's not you know there wouldn't be mandatory gym you know i'm talking about helping people not forcing people right the government could certainly help people it doesn't have to force anybody to do anything yes so if you have a uh low low t and uh you've got sexual dysfunction that can't be helping the population it just can't be although i suspect these days having a kid is more choice than not um sean penn got in trouble for saying that uh men in america are becoming quote quite feminized um and uh he said quote uh there are a lot of i think cowardly genes that lead to people surrendering their their jeans meaning the jeans that they're wearing and putting on a skirt now he's talking about some famous celebrities i guess more than the public but uh what do you think about that do you think that's a old man that yells at the clouds ah these kids today back in my day men wore pants or is he on to something because remember sean is not right wing by any stretch of the imagination but he's saying something that you would more associate with somebody who was on the right the political right yeah can can we at least come together on that now i unlike many in my audience right now i am very supportive of anybody who doesn't want to be like the mainstream in any social way whatsoever so lgbtq love you just just be whatever makes you happy you know if if society can't allow you to do that then society sucks you should let people you know live whatever life they want to live so i'm i'm in favor of the freedom uh for people to be who they are that said let me ask a question just for the women can i if i could i know this is going to be tough for you guys because i have more men than women watching typically for the men just if you could hold off for a moment i want to ask a question just for the women watching this so women if you don't normally comment this would be a good one to jump in do you think that there is a shortage of masculine men now i don't want to use alpha and beta you you know you could translate that in your own mind um okay on locals i get faster responses and i'm getting uh 90 yes it looks like um on youtube i'm seeing so far only yeses well okay now this this may be a reflection of my audience more than a reflection of of the world but at least we agree now don't you think that uh literally the low testosterone is part of it i mean it has to be right that is that am i being anti-science did i go too far wouldn't we see exactly what we see with no other change than lower testosterone now what causes the lower testosterone it's not one thing right some of it is diet some of it may be getting poor sleep because of screen time some of it may be the comparison problem if you compare yourself to the people on instagram what's that do to your testosterone it doesn't help right if you're comparing yourself to the best whatever's in the world instead of just your neighbor like in the old days i mean i could only compare myself to people i knew personally because you know there were some people on tv but it wasn't that big a deal but today you know you're being compared to the best of the best in the whole world how does it in theory if you're being compared to something that's better than you it should drop your testosterone is that true give me a fact check on that i never know what things i i believe forever are because you know you could always find out oh i believed that forever and that was just never true but i think that losing a competition has at least a temporary drop in testosterone that's been proven right uh being embarrassed as opposed to being victorious i'm pretty sure you can measure a difference in testosterone now imagine you are live in a society where boys are mostly the winners let's say 50s 60s 70s and you could extend that to wherever your politics want you to extend it if you grew up in a world where you just felt like you were the you know king of the universe because you happen to be right you happen to be the the right gender at the right time in history that probably would raise your testosterone wouldn't it because you would just walk around feeling like oh yeah i'm in charge now what would happen if instead you were born in the more current era and you were told that boys are the cause of all problems which isn't too far off from what's happening right now right no i'm not going to say that men don't cause a lot of problems oh we do we do our share of crime and whatnot but we're also most of the police force most of the emergency stuff you know so i mean we contribute as well so some say divorce some say divorce yeah that might be a factor i'm not sure it's one factor i think it's everything from and i'm gonna say allegedly on this one so i don't get sued allegedly our soy intake have you seen how much the soy is in every freaking product like the only thing that doesn't have soy in it is like a stalk of broccoli i swear to god they're going to figure out how to make soy broccoli just so you can't get away with it every packaged food seems to have soy in it as some kind of filler or maybe the source of protein or something i don't know but why do soy have to be in everything everything all right so i do think that this uh testosterone thing is real um all right now i've got a question just for the men just for the men all right women you have to ride this one out okay just for the men and i'm gonna further uh segment it okay just for the men watching who would consider themselves a masculine compared to the average i know you're all going to say that's you right you're all going to say that you but just the ones who consider themselves masculine have you seen that the demand for what you're selling is the highest it's ever been go just just because you just happened to be masculine i believe the answers you should uh on youtube you should see the answers on on locals the the comments go by uh the the the quickness of the comments is based on how many there are so the so the faster they answer the faster they sit by it was just like this wall of yes it just went yes all right so i'm not imagining it right i'm not imagining it all right here's my next question and maybe my last for today um do you remember black lives matter and do you remember antifa and do you remember occupy wall street and one thing they all had in common is that they were really really big and then they just sort of went away were any of them natural were they all scams they were just funded by somebody right i think they were all scams based on today's look backwards just the fact that they made such a big impact and then went away just as suddenly that does suggest that it was never real now what's going to happen when the next one pops up are you going to do are you going to have a gel man amnesia do you know what that would be so galban amnesia i won't give you the whole background of what that means what it means is when there's another totally group that starts protesting are you going to say oh this one's real are you gonna believe the next group after after three in a row that are obviously in my just my opinion in my opinion they're obviously and i thought they were at the time i wasn't really following occupy wall street but i didn't really understand that one i mean when it was happening i kept looking at it thinking well that's kind of weird that this suddenly pops up when nothing is much that different but now i would say it's somewhat clear that these were scams of some sort now when i say there were scams i don't mean that the people who are individually protesting were insincere i do think that most of the people on the street were sincere in whatever that means for antifa i'm not sure what it means to be a sincere antifa person but i'm talking about the leadership of the funding and the organization though that apparently that was all a scam now here's some news from the washington examiner i think report yeah the washington examiner so they were looking into who's in charge of black lives matter at the moment this is just the best story now i don't know if it's because i'm the author of the dilbert comic that i love this story so much because if you could come up with a more deliberate scenario than what i'm going to just describe now again this is the washington examiner's reporting so they were looking into who's in charge now that the person who was in charge the co-founder patrice cullers so she moved on and she said that she appointed two of the activists to serve as the group's senior directors so far so good so we knew who was in charge she was a co-founder and i guess when she left she was the last of the co-founders and she appointed two activists and we know their names so good so the washington examiner went and talked to the two people who were appointed and they said we didn't accept the appointment what they said yeah yeah we were appointed but we didn't accept the appointment wait what well who's got the 60 million dollars allegedly that that they have i don't know what what like this is one of those stories that you you can't even read to the end because you just keep going what what now typically let me give you a warning here typically a story like this is so on the nose it's probably wrong it's probably not true right when you see something that's just too perfectly stereotypically the worst thing that could possibly happen right what would be the most stereotypically racist let's put that out there what would be the most stereotypically racist thing you could imagine would be that you know a a black organization stole a bunch of money right that's that the racist brain would go there immediately and then the story comes out that looks looks like that's exactly what happened your first instinct shouldn't be well i told you so if your first thing if your first instinct was i told you so well you might be a racist your first instinct should be could be true but your first instinct could be should be that's a little too close a little too on the nose so just be warned about this one okay i don't know that is fact that i'm not or fiction and i'm not going to predict either way so i don't have an opinion whether it's real or not i'm just saying that whenever you see one that's this close to exactly a racist trope is that the right word you got to ask yourself is it real you just have to ask yourself all right um but allegedly that's we don't know who's in charge and money's missing and uh and the the two remaining blm board members so there are two board members who are different from the two directors who are appointed right so there's still two board members we know who they are and they were asked for a comment and they did not return numerous they did not return numerous requests for comment all right i give up this story might be exactly what it looks like it might be all right so i asked this poll on twitter uh i said on twitter today a little poll i said were antifa blm and occupy wall street's real movements that suddenly evaporated or were they always democrat scams so when at last i checked 77 said they were always democrat scams and uh 23 said that they were actually real organizations or that they weren't sure 23 percent 23 rounding off 23 25 25 um this will come as no surprise our idiots and it's a very consistent result now i believe i have delivered on my claim that i would show you that every major topic of any complexity has to branch into different stories once you see this you will say to yourself wait a minute maybe the problem isn't cognitive dissonance maybe cognitive dissonance is a necessity it's the only way the simulation that runs our reality can handle the complexity my story and yours don't have to match anymore because i'm in my own subjective reality and it'll never make any difference if your story and mine never match so every future story even if it doesn't line up perfectly with democrat and republican should branch into multiple versions because it has to and that ladies and gentlemen is the reframe of the day i believe i have delivered on my promise that this is the best live stream of all time bar none and i will talk to you tomorrow
good morning everybody
welcome
to the most amazing
hour you're likely to ever spend
in your entire life
it's called coffee with scott adams and
normally
it's tremendous on an average day it's
better than anything you've ever
experienced
but today
even the normal coffee with scott adams
experience is going to go to a new level
it will
yeah and if you'd like to get us started
off right
and by the way
you might need a little swaddling for
your brain
find a nice warm
blanket
unless you're exercising
if you're running on the beach right now
and you hear me laughing in your ear as
you're running in the beach and you're
saying damn it he's making me laugh when
i'm running on the beach
i think he's talking about me
and i am
so keep running on the beach but the
rest of you get a nice warm blanket
because you're going to need to swallow
your brain
swaddle it
but first
how about a simultaneous sip but all you
need is a copper a margarita glass a
tanker chelsea's time to canteen jogger
flask vessel of any kind fill it with
your favorite liquid
a beverage some would say
and join me now for the unparalleled
pleasure the dope being the other day
the thing that makes
everything better and i mean everything
in every reality better
it's called the simultaneous step and it
happens now go
well
would you like to see the matrix
you know some people think that we live
in a simulation and if this were a
simulation you would be subject to
resource constraints wouldn't it
if we were any kind of computer
simulation
the one thing you could be reasonably
sure of
is it would have some kind of limits
because everything has to have a limit
just logically
and so
could we ever spot the limits of our own
simulation
as evidence that that's what we're in
and here's the frame that i'm going to
give you for today's entire episode
and it goes like this
did you ever wonder why
cognitive dissonance
is so common
or to put it more generally why people
have completely different views of
reality
and it doesn't just apply
doesn't just apply
to the news
don't you know that sometimes you'll be
talking to your friends you've known
forever and you'll have completely
different memories of events in which
you both were there
what's up with that
why do we have memory
but
our memory is so close to fantasy
that sometimes you can't even
unentangle them
why do we so often live
in what seems like a completely
different worlds
and here's the answer
it has to be that way
because of resource constraints
cognitive dissonance
isn't a flaw
it's a feature
you couldn't program the simulation
without that requirement
here's why
imagine creating a simulation and by the
way if those of you who have programmed
back me up on this
all right
if you were creating a simulation in
which every character's actions
had to be known to every other
object and item in the entire universe
because they might someday interact
and someday you might hear about
something that somebody else did
and it has to be consistent
if our memories were perfect it would
have to be consistent
so if you tried to build
an artificial world in which everybody's
story
their narrative if you will
or their subjective reality
if they had to be consistent
in all ways with all other stories
the resources would be
astronomical to the point where it's
unimaginable that it could be programmed
but
could you build a world
in which people believed they were
seeing an accurate
view of the reality
but in fact
the accuracy was only a trick of the
mind
that'd be a lot easier
so
watch if you will the predictive power
of
the simulation hypothesis
do i tell you that the simulation is the
true way to see the world
never
nope
the only thing i could tell you is that
some ways of looking at things might be
more predictive than others and that's
probably the closest you can get to
something that's
real
if anything is
so my prediction is this
there can never be a major story
that has only one interpretation
you always
there could be exceptions of course but
let's say in general that the headlines
will always tend toward two
interpretations even when
it's not just a democrat republican
thing
because take vaccinations for example
you saw that a lot of let's say the
black population and the republicans
were
often on the same page so it wasn't even
a left right thing
but every story
has to have multiple interpretations
because that's the only way you could
program the simulation let's talk about
a few things that are happening now
one is the continued continuing
of what i call the roganization of the
news
the roganization of the news is another
indication that we live in a simulation
that we're reusing themes because it's
just simpler it uses less resources
so the way we see the news used to be
through a trump filter
and now we see it through a joe rogan
filter
so if we talk about vaccinations we talk
about joe rogan if it's about
ivermectin joe rogan you know the
government uh taking away our rights joe
rogan
freedom of speech
joe rogan
and now even
music and streaming
joe rogan
now some of it is just you get something
in your mind and his sticks and he's
gigantic
uh in terms of his reach so it makes
sense
in the same way it made sense that we
talked about everything through a trump
filter
but think about how that simplifies the
programming
we all just think the same way we just
go through the same filter
it's a big simplification if you were
going to program a simulation so here's
what else is happening
the story is that the following four
people and before you fact-check me i'm
going to fact check myself when i'm done
that the following four people have said
they don't want to be on spotify the
streaming service if that joe rogan
is on there with his misinformation
about health-related things
so it started with neil young
but now then we heard that barry manilow
joined and then we heard that uh peter
frampton was on board and then joni
mitchell
how much of that story is true
it's like every story right
there's a true version and a fake
version and
so here's the the details barry manilow
came out and said i don't know i don't
know where that started it didn't come
from me
didn't come from anybody who represents
me
so the the barry manilow part of the
story was completely fake so at least 25
percent of the story is fake
and then there's a peter frampton tweet
in which he said he's always been an
apple guy
so you know he he uses apple streaming
and i said to myself wait a minute
is peter frampton saying he doesn't want
to be on spotify
is he saying he's never been on spotify
or is he saying that he's not even
talking as a
creator anymore because i don't know the
last time he published any music
but is he talking as a consumer
is he just saying that he didn't use
spotify before to listen to music
i i feel like peter frampton trended
just because he says
he listens to music on a different
streaming service
i think that's what happened now if
that's true if i'm interpreting it
correctly and again
you know we're all going to have
different stories it has to be that way
uh that would be 50 of the story isn't
real
so that would leave joni mitchell
on the side of neil young
and if if you take joni mitchell's music
off of spotify
um
well you won't be able to go to spotify
to hear joni mitchell's uh big hit
uh
joni mitchell's big hit
she was really big when i was young
had a lot of hits actually she was very
famous
and then her big hit was
i don't know but i'm going to miss it
i'm going to miss it is what i'm saying
i'd i never used spotify before
uh i was kind of a
different streaming guy but
in case you want to put that in the
headlines i think i should be trending
wait a minute i'm on spotify
aren't i
i'm on spotify am i not
can somebody confirm that
i think i am right
yeah i mean
we i just published the podcast wherever
i think so i think it's on there
well
why the hell did nobody ask me if i am
willing to be on spotify
with my highly valuable
podcast which probably gets roughly as
many listens as
neil young but
i feel that i've been overlooked
am i wrong
should i make a public statement now
i think i'm going to have to i'm going
to have to go on the record
i think everybody who is on spotify
needs to
give their joe rogan opinion
and uh uh
i'm
i'm embarrassed
to be on spotify honestly
uh now that i know that barry manilow is
still on there
so
i refuse
i refuse to be on spotify
i would like my representation to pull
all of my podcasts immediately
because i just
go cabana it's not really music is it
it's not music it's sort of like a
an ear worm
that gets in your head and makes you
happy and you can't get it out
now i personally have spent
many many hours
as a
bus boy
in my early days
when i was a busboy and we would clean
the dining room all at the same time
after all the guests had left it was a
hotel
and they would play
copacabana over and over again through
the uh ceiling speakers because we only
had a few songs for whatever reason
and i've heard more copacabana than any
human has ever heard and
i don't know if i can be on spotify with
that man
excellent music
very successful
but you got to draw the line somewhere
um edward snowden
had a funny tweet he said nobody has a
stronger opinion about
nobody has stronger opinions about joe
rogan than people who have never
listened to joe rogan
and i thought
you know i bet that's exactly true
you know this is one of those tweets
where you say to yourself well that's
not i'm sure that's not true
completely and then you think about it
and then you think now that might be
actually true for every single human
in the conversation it might literally
be true of everybody
who who is against him is that you
haven't heard the context
now i don't know how many of you could
say the same
but i feel like i've been following his
career
since the earliest days literally on
news radio
and
do you remember that he had a show i
can't remember the name of the show
you'll probably tell me in which he
looked into stuff like uh bigfoot
he actually went looking for bigfoot
who remembers that what was the name of
the show
you'll remember you i think you'll
remind me
no it wasn't fear factor
what was it
come on it it wasn't on for a long time
oh joe grogan questions everything was
that it joe rogan's questions everything
right
so
now i'm not i'm not going to
characterize joe rogan's opinion about
bigfoot
you know who knows what he was thinking
when or or what
but
if you know
that part of his arc
you know include literally being an
actor literally being a you know huge
stand-up comic
uh
and literally at one point searching for
bigfoot all in the name of entertainment
right
if you understand that
then don't you have a better
appreciation of any other content that
he presents
which is that the larger context is
if it's interesting i'm going to put it
on
i don't think there's any other is there
another criteria
does he claim and does he claim any
other
any other criteria for putting on
entertainment this just has to be good
right either it has to be funny
it has to be interesting
provocative
something it just has to be good
so if you understand that the context is
things that are interesting then you
listen to the rogue doctor and you make
your own decision
you know you're not you're not watching
it like the news but what if you've only
seen clips of his show you don't know
anything about his history his other
work you know maybe you don't even know
he's a stand-up comic
don't you think a lot of people were his
critics maybe you know
vaguely know he's done that kind of work
but don't know he would be one of the
biggest in the country at the moment
so you know i think the context makes a
big difference not only the context
within the show but the the larger
context that if it's interesting he's
going to let us see it
and who how do you complain about that
right if you know the larger context if
it's interesting i think i'll show it to
you
what the hell
how do you get mad at that
form your you know make your own opinion
he's not telling you what to think
if he told you what to think that'd be a
whole different conversation wouldn't it
but
nowhere
nowhere are you going to find anything
in his record
that tells you what to think
fact-check me on that
right
i'm pretty sure if you scour his record
you're not going to find him telling you
how to think he's just going to show you
interesting and you make up your
own mind
it's a good model
well
um those of you who have uh experienced
doing mushrooms you know that
you have a much better understanding of
our reality as being a subjective
reality so even if you discard this
simulation
hypothesis
you probably would agree that we are
living in our own subjective reality
in lots of different ways and we'll talk
about some of those ways
number one is
uh many people have lived for the last
two years
in a subjective reality in which the
elites
are using covet as a plot to take
control
for the great reset
and it was never a problem
etc
others and again i'm not i don't have an
opinion on that
right now i mean i have opinions but
not right now my larger point is that
didn't we live in different worlds
there are some people who just said hey
there's a deadly virus
people doing the best they can but
people are weasels and liars and so this
is what you get
so that was my reality
my reality is just a whole bunch of
weasels and liars
doing the best they could usually for
themselves
and this is what you get when when you
have weasels and liars and a crisis
along with lots of people doing trying
to do the right thing
it wasn't like everybody was lying
but it's not like everybody was telling
the truth
it's not like everybody was trying to
get an advantage on other people
some people were literally just trying
to help
and nothing else
and a lot of people right you know
that's the best thing that came out of
the pandemic by far
is the kindness
that was expressed pretty much
universally
at least by the citizens
so
those are different worlds that we've
been living in for the last two years
how about um
what happens
if we are a simulation and the way we
think
affects it
here's something that worries me because
i worry about weird things
what if we wish a new variant into
existence
what happens if everyone in the world
expects
a new deadly variant just because we've
been primed that way
can we actually make that happen can we
just will it into existence
you know i worry about that
like actually literally because i i
think our understanding of the reality
we live in such as it is is so weak
you know what we actually understand
about reality is so weak
that i wouldn't discount
seven billion people expecting exactly
the same thing to happen
having no causal
effect
like it might not have enough causal
effect
that i could believe but it's hard to
believe it would have none
even if the only thing it did is affect
somehow the way we we acted because you
know that you're drawn toward things you
think about a lot
your behavior
is attracted this is whatever you're
thinking about the most
just some somewhat automatically and
subconsciously so could we just think
our way into problems
i don't know
but i would but i'd like to at least
give us give a
consideration
to thinking our way out of it instead
and maybe maybe focus a little more on
february 1 being over
now you see the you see the the real
power of that
what happens when everybody says
february 1's the day we stop or at least
with mandates in the united states
could have the opposite effect
could it have an effect that doesn't
seem to be directly related to the
public rising up in other words
could the virus just burn out
as if by magic
because everybody was focusing on the
same time to make it burn out i don't
know
but i'll tell you that i have this one
observation there's no scientific
backing right so this is not a science
but maybe you could you know
compare it to your own situation
i find that the more um
clearly i can visualize something
potentially happening
the more likely it'll happen
in my actual life
if if i can see it as clear as i can see
a photograph in front of me in some
sometimes i can
then it just always happens even if it's
unlikely
yeah i use my example all the time of
becoming a best-selling author or
becoming a cartoonist you know famous
cartoonist
or visiting the
the white house and talking to a
president
these are things which i visualized
really specifically
and there are other things that i just
sort of want
but i don't really visualize them and
they don't happen
but the things that i think about
specifically
oh my god do they happen on a regular
basis in a weird way
so i just want to put it out there that
that if you all focus on
hashtag february 1 for dropping mandates
which is similar to saying that the you
know the pandemic itself the crisis has
abated
i ca i'm not going to tell you it'll
make it happen
but
if you want to play it safe
if you want to play a safe
i'd rather think about stopping it than
having it forever
all right
um
here's a bombshell that's gonna scramble
your brain uh the australia i saw this
on a tweet by a twitter user called
logic
bombshell reports from australia
australia media places the blame for the
pandemic
on fouchy
in other words
the united states
so there's at least you know one person
in i don't know how many more believe
this
but talk about a reframe that made my
brain hurt
as soon as soon as i heard it from
somebody else's point of view
we just spent two years blaming china
we just spent two years blaming china
which you know i'm all on board with
that because
you know
i'm no lover of the chinese government
but
at the same time we were slowly learning
you know
fouchy's involvement and somehow it
never occurred to me
and i would wonder if this is blowing
your mind as well
why had it never occurred to me
that's the united statesist
that's responsible for the
pandemic
i'm not saying we are
i'm not saying we are
i'm saying here's here's the part i'm
only saying
why didn't it occur to me until until
now
why did that literally not occur to me
i had only thought of it as a fouchy
problem
did the same thing happen to you
did you think oh there's a fouchy
problem i never once said to myself this
is the united states
we unleashed
this pandemic by our actions now does
china have some culpability probably
probably i'm not going to let china off
the hook
but why did i never once think of it
this way
and i'm going going to introduce a
new phrase for you
and this new phrase
is going to act like a
an anti-virus
so it's a phrase
that if it catches on would act like an
anti-virus so that the problem i just
described which is my own cognitive
blindness which some of you shared
so i was cognitively blind to america's
culpability or potential culpability
because you know nothing's proven proven
in this world
and it's because of what i'm going to
call a diversion narrative
a diversion narrative
watch what happens when you start
looking for them
and you see how many times there's a
narrative about what's true
that's really designed primarily as a
diversion
what hap what would
what would it do to your brain if you
found out that the china is to blame
narrative was always a diversion
narrative
what if someone in the government or
someone's
always knew that this could come around
and become a blame america problem
because they knew that chain of events
from fouchy to funding
to wuhan to
maybe a mistake we don't know for sure
what if somebody cooked up the diversion
narrative to say it was china so that we
would in america be cognitively blind to
our own culpability
have you ever seen anybody cook up a
diversion narrative before
how about um trump-russia collusion
that's a diversion narrative
for the fact that hillary was
was literally colluding with russia
apparently
all right i'll say allegedly or
apparently
how often are diversion narratives
really all we're seeing
and how often are we just wrong or
because because my usual interpretation
of these things is that there are two
worlds because there's a democrat side
and a republican side so we all
understand that part
but some of these go beyond that
it seems like there's something else
going on besides just the teams these
diversion narratives seem to be
almost the operating system of
civilization at this point
it's just diversion narratives
let's talk about
some more as we go
um
but uh here's something that i've said a
number of times and i just want to
explain my thinking on it better because
often i'm talking about a topic in the
news then we we all get diverted about
the topic but really i'm trying to say
something about the way we think about
things so if you'll allow me
to divorce myself from the topic of
something whether it's true or false
all right forget about what's true
i don't care about that at the moment it
has has to do with a tweet i saw this
morning from a
twitter user who calls himself still
unvaccinated phd
and he's he's responding to my thought
that the category of rogue experts
are generally wrong
and he says rogue doctors and scientists
as adam says likes to call them are
often the ones who discover huge
breakthroughs in different industries
now i agree with that
don't you all wouldn't you say that the
rogues you know the ones bucking the
standard
pretty much create everything good
when you agree
i mean
they're all rogues you know all the ones
that really make a difference they're
all rogues
so
have i ever said anything
that would be conflicting with that
i've never said anything that conflicts
with the fact that pretty much all
progress seems to come from
rogues and sometimes whistleblowers
right
but
is there any conflict with that
with the fact that i say that ninety
percent of the time the rogues are wrong
there's you shouldn't think there's any
conflict with that and here's an analogy
that's just used to help you
see the math better i guess
it goes like this
you know about google and you know about
amazon.com and you know about you know
microsoft and you know about all these
gigantic companies that at one point
were
just startups
if you saw them when they were startups
you would have said well the odds are at
best one in 10.
that's optimistic it's probably one in
20.
but let's say one in 10.
so if you're looking at all startups as
90 of them are going to fail and you can
be pretty sure that's true but the ones
that become famous are so famous
that the narrative of the famous ones
makes you cognitively blind
to the fact that most things that are
like that
most things that are in their category
the category of
rogues taking on the world and winning
you know jeff bezos is a great example
taking on the world and winning
um
so just just know that everything
important comes from the rogues
but mostly they fail
so i use it as a prediction shortcut
so whenever there's a rogue
i just say well i'm gonna i'm gonna go
with the ninety
i'll vote against it
i'll vote against it
so when i when i tell you that i've got
suspicions about let's say a doctor
malone or mcauliffe
dr corey any of the names you've seen
that are the rogue doctors if as i like
to call them i'm not necessarily
disagreeing with anything about their
science
how would i know
i'm just saying they're in the category
that if you and i are going to take a
bet
i'll bet with the 90
it's just a category
a category related prediction that's all
right i i obviously obviously can't
um
counteract their science
all
right um
jack passovek has another uh tweet
and
maybe uh maybe a a scoop i don't know
but uh he tweets that biden chief of
staff ron claim is planning to start
leaking and pushing a narrative a
narrative you say
what kind of a narrative
that president zielenski
of ukraine is a kremlin compromised this
is according to a white house staffer
and again jack's got good sources
so
here's the two worlds
do you see reality just splitting
so i have to admit that when you see
zelinski being
less
worried about his country being invaded
than the united states
it's a perfectly reasonable question
why is zolensky less worried than we are
right
but there's not just one way to explain
that
one explanation is that he is just as
worried but he wants to play it
differently he doesn't want to cause
panic so we don't know he's less worried
he's talking about how how we talk about
it
he so he doesn't want the rhetoric to be
as high as it is
but
this might create an opening for this
second narrative that zelensky is a
puppet of the kremlin and he's
practically inviting them in
and then the other narrative that
nothing like that is happening
so once again
two worlds
does the simulation require
that in every case
and i'm not even sure this is a democrat
or republican question is it
because i think you could find people on
both sides of what we should do on uh on
ukraine
but everything has to be at least two
stories or more
because the the simulation can't handle
complexity
with one story
if you're coming in late
if we live in the simulation there's got
to be a resource constraint like any
computer
and so there's a reason that we all have
different realities because you couldn't
have one reality and make every part of
every reality consistent with every
other too much resources too many
resources
so so the prediction of the simulation
is that every major story
will branch into multiple uh realities
and that has to happen
you can't program the simulation unless
you do that
um
here is my
mind breaking white board for today
the thing you've all been waiting for
but you didn't even know it i call it
the military financial reframe
and it goes like this
that
if you look at the arc of time
that power used to be really a military
thing which of course was highly
correlated with wealth
you know wealth could get you a better
military but not necessarily
so if you had a great military you had a
lot of power
if you had money that was great money
was great but if all you had was money
and you didn't have a good military
the military next door would come and
take your money
but thanks primarily to the internet
and our financial markets becoming
global and inter intertangled and the
fact that money has to go through
basically wires to get anywhere it
doesn't get on a boat it's not hidden
somewhere has to go across a wire
so we became so connected with each
other because of the internet
that finance as a weapon
gets more and more powerful the more
connected we are and the more trade we
do
and so
i would submit to you that ukraine is
our crossover point
the crossover point at which a financial
weapon is more useful
than a military weapon because the
military weapon would guarantee russia's
destruction am i right
so it pretty much guarantees they're not
going to go nuclear
so the the value of the ar their arsenal
is
not really that good
so here here they are in nuclear power
they can't really use their nukes
so
that brings them down to you know what
weapons can you use
in these smaller conflicts
and so finance is everything and so when
biden says
you can line up your military on the
border if you want
but at your own peril
it's time
for
the military financial
crossover point boom
now i submit to you that i do not know
if ukraine is the point in history at
which the experts will say yup that's
when it happened
from that day on the the larger powers
just resolve things
through negotiating because it was
you know you had to use your financial
tools
still there will be plenty of wars with
these smaller countries with neighboring
conflicts and stuff but anybody who's a
big enough country to have a submarine
i'll just use that as my standard
if your country is big enough to have a
submarine in your military
probably you're going to work it out
financially because you can be taken
down by the rest of the world
now
like i say i don't know if ukraine is
going to be the test case
that proves the rule forever
but the day will come
you know if it's not ukraine this taiwan
or you know
it's something but but something is
going to prove this rule
i i think china taiwan is a different
situation because of the history there
but
i don't see the russia-ukraine situation
becoming a major shooting war so test my
prediction
um my prediction is
that ukraine probably is the point where
the shooting war just stopped making
sense
now i will not rule out
will not rule out minor incursion
minor incursion
and continued pressure and you know
cyber and everything else that stuff
probably
but i don't see
the russian military moving in force
like a major campaign
and the reason is too expensive
can't afford it
and putin is not irrational so he would
do a slow but steady pressure
probably get what he wants in the end
you know that's why i think a lot
so test that
um i think
the
all the talk about nato and the us and
sending some of her
forces over there and trainers and
sending military and all that i think a
lot of that is just theater
um and i felt like our own military
was saying that
you know they were saying that we're not
doing it um
so much to fight russia
we're doing it to show our allies that
we back them
so it was really theater
and i think we said it directly well
it's sort of theater we're just showing
the allies that we back them
we're not really putting a fighting
force there
because what would a fighting force look
like
a fighting force would look like a real
fighting force i don't think we have
anything like that
in the neighborhood right
so it's really just for show
and i think that our military leaders to
their credit
to their credit i think they said so
directly
and they said it multiple times this is
to show
our allies that we have their back it's
a show
okay
so i don't know that that show is
something we have to worry about
militarily
um all right here's my next provocative
question
um and i'll start with this priming of
your brain uh are all of you aware
there's a generally accepted
parenting practice
that if you're a step parent you don't
do the discipline
are you all familiar with that rule
is this generally a universally
acknowledged rule now the thinking
behind it is fairly solid
the thinking behind it is that there is
a biological connection
for a biological parent
that is a sort of unbreakable
bond and that you have this um
you know unrestricted love that won't be
changed by some some punishment
but
it is assumed
that the non-biological parent doesn't
have that and so if punishment comes
from a non-biological parent
that could become a rift that lasts
forever and becomes a problem
now
i'm not saying every family is the same
you know i think there's a world of
difference
between a step kid that you get as a
baby and the original parent was never
in the picture
that's effectively just a biological
parent for all for all practical
purposes right but i'm talking about
like a step kid comes in at age 12.
okay that's a different situation
and and the real father let's say you're
still in the picture and involved right
you in that case
in that case the step dad just you just
have to step away you you report
observe and report that's it observe and
report unless it's you know an immediate
danger
if it's an immediate danger then you
step in immediately
but
um i'm gonna i'm gonna take that analogy
to a weird place
our constitution has a rule in it that
you have to be born in america to be
president
you have to be born in america to be
president not for other jobs
but to be president
do you what do you think of that rule
does that does that
rule feel appropriate
or does it feel racist
because it is racist
i mean an outcome
right it's racist
um let me give you an example
do you think that arnold schwarzenegger
would be a risky president in the sense
that he would have too much loyalty to
his native-born austria
well actually if we ever got into
conflict with austria i would be worried
about that i definitely would be worried
about that but you know we'll never get
in a conflict with austria not
realistically
so
why is there why is there a
constitutional
thing that prevents arnold from running
for president
there's no real reason i mean it just
ends up looking racist
in his case
but
do you agree with the general statement
that people estab
they develop a love
for the place they were born
just ordinarily it's just the most
natural
i don't must be biological
i guess some of it is or a lot of it is
cultural
but people are very bonded to where
they're born so
would most of you have now given the
background would you all agree that the
country is safer
and i'm not even talking about america
specifically
or would you give any country
probably is a little safer
if they restrict their presidents to
people born on the soil of any of any
you know cultural background of course
yeah most of you would agree with that
as a reasonable
but a little bit racist
but it's national defense and that's
where we bend things a little bit when
when we have to
right you elon musk perfect example
would you be worried if elon musk were
president if we were not born in
american soil i wouldn't
i wouldn't i wouldn't be worried about
that at all it just seems kind of racist
that he's but but we still accept i
think
that a president should be born on the
soil of which that president is the
president it just gives you that little
extra
little extra protection
this brings us to george soros
who uh was hungor
is hungarian-born but american citizen
now he can't run for president
are you happy about that
are you happy that george soros with all
of his money can't run for president
it's just it's not even an option
i'm saying most people say yes they're
glad that
in this case they're glad that that rule
exists
because he did he did have enough money
if you think about it
he did have enough money that if it were
constitutionally allowed he probably
could have made the grade
probably could have gotten over the hump
because money i mean you can buy
anything
so
we're happy about it there but here's
the provocative question
why do we allow that same person that we
would not trust as a president
to donate so much money to activist
organizations
that they effectively control our
government
on those issues
why is that okay
and am i being racist to even ask the
question
because i don't think it's more racist
than our current constitutional
situation it's probably equal
they're both racist
i'm just asking the question
that's the podcaster's dodge
i'm just asking the question but in this
case i think that's fair to say
i actually wonder
why do we allow that
why is it legal
no i get that it's constitutional so
it's not a constitutional question right
now
why do we allow that
we have all kinds of campaign finance
restrictions
but why do we
not restrict
something that is so important to us
it's in the constitution
it's built right into the constitution
it's so fundamental that you want
somebody who's
let's say biological connection to the
soil is unquestionable
somebody says it's not racist it's
nationalistic
that's a fair characterization
but i would say that uh almost
everything we do has a racist outcome
even if you don't intend it for that
purpose it just always does
so i don't think it's you know i just
like mentioning because it gets this one
less thing for people to complain about
right
so
i think i think maybe a republican
should
run on that
if there's a way to do it now it might
be impossible to stop money
because soros could give money to an
entity and say i'm done with it and then
the entity could say well now that we
have this money it's ours and we'll give
it to this cause
so
i'm guessing he could probably still
launder it somehow and there's no way to
stop it i don't know
must be a way to do it
but
don't even try
you know if we're if we're concerned
about foreign influence so much that we
can't have a foreign-born president
you know so we're so concerned that
arnold
schwarzenegger couldn't can't be our
president who's worried about him being
not pro-american enough or even elon
musk i mean i don't you know who knows
what elon musk is thinking that's that
would be impossible to imagine
but i wouldn't be worried
all right
um
here's the answer to the question why i
stay in california because people always
ask
i'm going to read i'm just going to read
this headline from twitter
the nor'easter storm will bring a major
snowstorm and potential blizzard
stretching from south carolina to new
england
the storm is predicted to
form off the coast of the carolinas on
friday and move north up the east coast
across the weekend a storm has brought
the east coast into its first blizzard
warning in four years according to blah
blah
airlines have canceled thousands of
flights high winds heavy snows between 6
and 12 inches of snow
one to two feet of snow in some places
and maybe maybe major power outages at
the same time people be freezing to
death in their own homes
so that's what uh that's what the people
in those states are doing
um yesterday
uh i took a walk in the sun
had some legal cannabis before i went
uh it was t-shirt weather
beautiful
day so if you don't mind
if you don't mind the you know
the high taxes and the crime and the
drought and the forest fires that are
blotting out the sun
if you don't mind that stuff
it's a pretty good place to be and if
you can stay away from the
uh the tsunamis
and
the earthquakes but you know i know
where all the faults are
i just stay away from the falls
um
did you know there's a depopulation time
bomb facing the west
and one wonders is there a reason we're
talking about a depopulation time bomb
that we've known about for a long time
now some of it may be it's just reaching
that you know critical point where
everybody notices might be because elon
musk has brought it up
um but
the west is hitting a uh this problem
china's going to get it first because
that one
one baby problem or policy they had for
over 35 years or something
so
deaths are going to outstrip births and
pretty soon we'll have all these old
people
that require all this care and we won't
have enough young people to work and
take care of them
i think that maybe technology and
civilization will adjust
i think we'll adjust
i think that a lot of those old people
live in houses and they'll just say hey
and this is something already happening
they'll say hey young person come live
rent free in my house and you do some of
the work and
we both win
so
i think that the first thing that will
happen is civilization will just
immediately adjust because we're real
good at that we we adjust
probably the single thing that makes
humans the dominant species uh over the
planet uh although fungi are doing
pretty well
but you know humans we're having a good
run
is because we adjust so well you know
other
is it uh brett weinstein who says this
um it's our ability to adjust that makes
us special
i think his new book says that
um
so i think we'll adjust
but it's important watch it
and what is behind uh this depopulation
time bomb well
it's a number of factors economic
social
uh but cnn is also reporting that we are
too fat to
that wasn't their exact headline
but i think once i read this to you
you'll think that
the headline too fat to
kind of fits so cnn says that 43 of
women and 31 percent of men
have some form of dis sexual dysfunction
with obesity and lack of exercise often
being factors
now i do not do fat shaming
because i don't think anybody chooses
bad health
right i just don't think anybody does
that and i don't think people choose to
be addicts i don't think we choose to be
a lot of things that it looks like we
choose but we really don't
so i don't make fun of people who are in
whatever situation they're in because
you know if i don't have this one
problem well i got my own right
so i tend not to uh
and i use i used to be far more
judgmental i would say
this is more of a recent evolution in my
case
so i feel not judgmental about other
people's issues
because i don't see my own as being all
solved
if i could solve all of my issues like
everything that could be solved well
then i'll talk about yours
and now why don't you be like me and
solve all your problems i solved all the
mine
but as long as my problems aren't all
solved
like your problems are fine you know
we'll we'll talk about them but it's not
about you okay
so we'll talk about the problem but it's
not about you personally
this is a big deal
and again
this is this gigantic path for somebody
like a desantis to walk right through
how many people would like to see an
american president
and and the reason i say desantis is he
makes every right move
like he reads the room better than
anybody's ever read the room and well
trump read the room pretty well too but
the other thing desantis does is he
responds to it but he also takes free
money
free money is the thing that anybody
could have said
but he says
you know trump used to do that all the
time if there's a thing you can say
and it's just sort of obvious anybody
could say it but only one person does
it's like why did everybody leave this
free money lay in there
so the free money this gigantic
is you've got this enormous health and
obesity problem in this country
how about a president
how about a desantis
says look let's not kid ourselves
you know i can do everything in the
world to help this country but if you're
overeating and not taking care of
yourself
it's not going to mean anything to you
so please let's figure out how to like
get in shape let's figure out a system
let's get some help let's put some money
on it let's put some attention on it
let's talk about it
right let's not judge each other
let's stay out of the judging business
let's just treat it as a health problem
because it is
and and just go from there gigantic
gigantic opportunity with no
disagreement
if you do it right
you would always get the the people who
are advocates for you know people who
are larger
and they you know they don't want to be
mocked for their i guess lifestyle
choice in some cases
and that's fine but it's really not
about them
nobody's saying you have to do anything
it's not you know there wouldn't be
mandatory gym
you know i'm talking about helping
people
not forcing people right the government
could certainly help people
it doesn't have to force anybody to do
anything
yes so if you have a uh
low low t and uh you've got
sexual dysfunction that can't be helping
the population it just can't be although
i suspect these days
having a kid is more choice than
not
um
sean penn got in trouble
for saying that uh men in america are
becoming quote quite feminized
um
and uh
he said
quote uh there are a lot of i think
cowardly genes that lead to people
surrendering their
their jeans meaning the jeans that
they're wearing
and putting on a skirt now he's talking
about some famous celebrities i guess
more than the public
but uh what do you think about that
do you think that's a old man that yells
at the clouds
ah these kids today
back in my day
men wore pants
or is he on to something
because remember
sean is not right wing
by any stretch of the imagination
but he's saying something that you would
more associate with somebody who was on
the right the political right
yeah can can we at least come together
on that
now i unlike many in my audience right
now
i am very supportive of anybody who
doesn't want to be like the mainstream
in any social way whatsoever so lgbtq
love you
just just be whatever makes you happy
you know if if society can't allow you
to do that then society sucks you should
let people you know live whatever life
they want to live so i'm i'm in favor of
the freedom
uh
for people to be who they are that said
let me ask a question just for the women
can i
if i could i know this is going to be
tough for you guys
because i have more men than women
watching typically
for the men just if you could hold off
for a moment
i want to ask a question just for the
women watching this so women if you
don't normally comment this would be a
good one to jump in
do you think that there is a shortage of
masculine men
now i don't want to use alpha and beta
you you know you could translate that in
your own mind
um
okay on locals i get faster responses
and i'm getting uh
90 yes it looks like
um on youtube i'm seeing
so far only yeses
well okay now this this may be a
reflection of my audience more than a
reflection of of the world
but
at least we agree
[Laughter]
now don't you think that uh literally
the low testosterone
is part of it
i mean it has to be right
that is that am i being anti-science did
i go too far
wouldn't we see exactly what we see with
no other change than lower testosterone
now what causes the lower testosterone
it's not one thing right
some of it is diet
some of it may be getting poor sleep
because of screen time
some of it may be the comparison problem
if you compare yourself to the people on
what's that do to your testosterone
it doesn't help
right if you're comparing yourself to
the best whatever's in the world instead
of just your neighbor like in the old
days i mean i could only compare myself
to people i knew personally
because you know there were some people
on tv but it wasn't that big a deal
but today you know you're being compared
to the best of the best in the whole
world how does it in theory
if you're being compared to something
that's better than you it should drop
your testosterone is that true
give me a fact check on that
i never know what things i i believe
forever are because you know
you could always find out oh i believed
that forever and that was just
never true
but i think that losing a competition
has at least a temporary drop in
testosterone that's been proven right
uh being embarrassed as opposed to being
victorious
i'm pretty sure you can measure a
difference in testosterone
now imagine you are live in a society
where boys are mostly the winners
let's say 50s 60s 70s and you could
extend that
to wherever your politics want you to
extend it
if you grew up in a world where you just
felt like you were the
you know king of the universe because
you happen to be right you happen to be
the
the right gender at the right time in
history that probably would raise your
testosterone wouldn't it
because you would just walk around
feeling like oh yeah
i'm in charge
now what would happen if instead you
were born in the more current era
and you were told that boys are the
cause of all problems
which
isn't too far off from what's happening
right now right
no i'm not going to say that men don't
cause a lot of problems
oh we do we do our share of crime and
whatnot
but we're also most of the police force
most of the emergency
stuff you know so i mean we contribute
as well
so
some say divorce
some say divorce yeah that might be a
factor i'm not sure it's one factor i
think it's everything from
and i'm gonna say allegedly on this one
so i don't get sued
allegedly our soy intake
have you seen how much the soy is in
every freaking product
like the only thing that doesn't have
soy in it is like a
stalk of broccoli
i swear to god they're going to figure
out how to make soy broccoli
just so you can't get away with it
every packaged food seems to have soy in
it as some kind of filler
or maybe the source of protein or
something i don't know
but why do soy have to be in everything
everything
all right
so i do think that this uh testosterone
thing is real
um
all right now i've got a question just
for the men
just for the men
all right women you have to ride this
one out okay
just for the men
and i'm gonna further uh segment it okay
just for the men watching
who would consider themselves a
masculine compared to the average
i know you're all going to say that's
you right
you're all going to say that you but
just the ones who consider themselves
masculine
have you seen that the demand for what
you're selling is the highest it's ever
been go
just just because you just happened to
be masculine
i believe the answers
you should uh on youtube you should see
the answers on on locals the the
comments go by
uh
the the the quickness of the comments is
based on how many there are
so the
so the faster they answer the faster
they sit by it was just like this wall
of yes
it just went
yes
all right so i'm not imagining it right
i'm not imagining it
[Laughter]
all right here's my next question
and maybe my last for today
um
do you remember black lives matter and
do you remember antifa and do you
remember
occupy wall street
and one thing they all had in common is
that they were really really big and
then they just sort of went away
were any of them natural
were they all scams
they were just funded by somebody right
i think they were all scams
based on today's look backwards just the
fact that they
made such a big impact and then went
away just as suddenly
that does suggest that it was never real
now what's going to happen when the next
one pops up
are you going to do
are you going to have a gel man
amnesia do you know what that would be
so galban amnesia i won't give you the
whole background of what that means what
it means is
when there's another totally
group
that starts protesting are you going to
say oh this one's real
are you gonna believe the next
group
after after three in a row that are
obviously in my
just my opinion
in my opinion they're obviously
and i thought they were at the
time i wasn't really following occupy
wall street but i didn't really
understand that one
i mean when it was happening i kept
looking at it thinking
well that's kind of weird that this
suddenly pops up
when nothing is much that different
but now i would say it's somewhat clear
that these were scams of some sort now
when i say there were scams i don't mean
that the people who are individually
protesting were insincere
i do think that most of the people on
the street were sincere in whatever that
means for antifa i'm not sure what it
means to be a sincere antifa person
but i'm talking about the leadership of
the funding and the organization though
that apparently that was all a scam
now here's some news from the
washington examiner i think report yeah
the washington examiner
so they were looking into who's in
charge of black lives matter at the
moment
this is just the best story
now i don't know if it's because i'm the
author of the dilbert comic
that i love this story so much
because if you could come up with a more
deliberate scenario than what i'm going
to just describe
now again this is the washington
examiner's reporting
so they were looking into who's in
charge now that the person who was in
charge
the co-founder patrice cullers
so she moved on
and she said that she appointed two of
the activists to serve as the group's
senior directors
so far so good
so we knew who was in charge
she was a co-founder and i guess when
she left she was the last of the
co-founders
and she appointed two activists and we
know their names so good
so the washington examiner went and
talked to the two people who were
appointed and they said we didn't accept
the appointment
what
they said yeah
yeah we were appointed but we didn't
accept the appointment wait what
well
who's got the 60 million dollars
allegedly that that they have
i don't know
what
what like this is one of those stories
that you you can't even read to the end
because you just keep going what
what
now
typically let me give you a warning here
typically a story like this is so on the
nose
it's probably wrong
it's probably not true
right when you see something that's just
too perfectly
stereotypically the worst thing that
could possibly happen
right what would be the most
stereotypically
racist
let's put that out there what would be
the most stereotypically racist thing
you could imagine
would be that you know a a black
organization stole a bunch of money
right that's that the racist brain would
go there immediately
and then the story comes out
that looks
looks
like that's exactly what happened
your first instinct shouldn't be well i
told you so
if your first thing if your first
instinct was i told you so
well you might be a racist
your first instinct should be
could be true
but your first instinct could be should
be that's a little too close
a little too on the nose so just be
warned about this one okay
i don't know that is fact that i'm not
or fiction and i'm not going to predict
either way
so i don't have an opinion whether it's
real or not i'm just saying that
whenever you see one that's this close
to exactly a racist
trope
is that the right word
you got to ask yourself
is it real
you just have to ask yourself
all right
um
but allegedly that's we don't know who's
in charge and money's missing and uh
and the the two remaining blm board
members so there are two board members
who are different from the two directors
who are appointed right so there's still
two board members we know who they are
and
they were asked for a comment
and they
did not return numerous
they did not return numerous requests
for comment
all right i give up
this story might be exactly what it
looks like
it might be
all right so i asked this poll on
uh i said on twitter today a little poll
i said were antifa blm and occupy wall
street's real movements that suddenly
evaporated or were they always democrat
scams
so when at last i checked 77 said they
were always democrat scams
and uh 23
said that they were actually real
organizations or that they weren't sure
23 percent
23
rounding off 23
25
25
um this will come as no surprise our
idiots
and it's a very consistent result
now i believe i have delivered on my
claim
that i would show you that every major
topic of any complexity has to branch
into different stories
once you see this you will say to
yourself wait a minute maybe the problem
isn't cognitive dissonance
maybe cognitive dissonance is a
necessity
it's the only way the simulation that
runs our reality can handle the
complexity my story and yours don't have
to match anymore
because i'm in my own subjective reality
and it'll never make any difference if
your story and mine never match
so every future story
even if it doesn't line up perfectly
with democrat and republican
should branch into multiple versions
because it has to
and that ladies and gentlemen
is the reframe of the day
i believe i have delivered on my promise
that this is the best live stream
of all time
bar none
and i will talk to you tomorrow