biggest negative now, you could say there are two. I'd say two of his biggest negatives are the deficit. Trump is not as good on reducing the deficit as even his own side would like, and certainly the people who oppose him would use that as a club. But he's running against people who are going to make the deficit worse, and they're not even pretending that's not the case. They're not even pretending.

If you look at Bernie Sanders, is he gonna make the deficit better or worse? Well, I think you know the answer to the question. That's not even a political opinion. I believe Sanders would probably say the same thing I'm saying, which is yeah, this stuff is more expensive than what we're doing now, so of course it's going to make the deficit go up. So even if you increase taxes a lot, most people think the deficit is going to go up under Sanders. So I think President Trump's biggest weakness, one of them, the deficit, the Democrats can't use. It's off the table. It's his biggest flaw that's not about his personality, you know, his personal style, but his biggest flaw that's on policy. They got an opening. They got nobody who's gonna do anything. Now, maybe when Bloomberg gets into the race, you know, in the actual voting part of the race, maybe it would look different. But even he's looking to be very aggressive on climate change. It's hard to imagine that anybody who's going to be super aggressive on climate change is also going to be good for the deficit. So they got nothing against him on the deficit. He's completely free from that criticism, essentially.

And what about the black vote? We'll go through each of the candidates and talk about that. I think that's the other biggest thing. So I saw on some blog that black support for Bernie plunged to eight percent. What? Eight percent? Now, I don't know how they measure such things, because if eight percent is just the share he got from other Democrats, I don't know if it means the same as if you were running in the general election. He's obviously gonna get more than eight percent black support. But the real thing is it looks like it got reduced by half recently. Now, I'm not sure if you can trust these statistics on any of this stuff yet — the way they ask the questions, the earliness of it, all that sort of thing. But it does seem like Sanders does not have some advantage with the black vote. So that would be advantage Trump, because Trump has an actual track record in office that even Democrats say, oh, I gotta admit that's pretty good for the black community. There's everything from supporting the historically black colleges, prison reform, enterprise zones, and a good employment rate. And I don't think you can underestimate how important it is that Trump talks about benefiting the black community more than anybody. Am I wrong about that?

If you were to just look at all the things that people say, all of the Democrats collectively or individually, and then look at all the things that President Trump says, which of them talks more about benefiting the black community in this country? I think it's Trump ten to one. I don't think it's even close. Name the other big policy that any of the Democrats have for helping the black community. Nothing. Am I wrong? I can't think of one. I can't think of a single Democratic candidate — and there are so many of them — who have a policy that I would identify as, oh yeah, that's clearly designed for the benefit of the black community. Though I think Steyer and reparations, but I don't know if anybody takes that seriously, do they? Do you think there are too many black voters who think, yeah, I'm going to get me some reparations? I don't think anybody thinks that's real. That's more of a talking thing anyway.

So I think Bernie's got a problem there with the black vote. Lloyd Blankfein, ex-Goldman Sachs CEO, was tweeting this, and this is important because he's a rich Democrat. All right, he's a rich non-Trump supporter. So a rich Democrat, one of the richest, says in a tweet, "If Dems go on to nominate Sanders, the Russians will have to reconsider who to work for to best screw up the U.S." He tweeted, and he said Sanders is just as polarizing as Trump and he'll ruin our economy and doesn't care about our military. If I'm Russian, I go with Sanders this time around. What about — I mean, right? And this is a Democrat saying that. And I've got a feeling that rich people, what they're maybe really worried about is their taxes and their economic situation. But that's a pretty strong broadside from a rich Democrat, and I got to think there are other rich Democrats who have the same opinion.

Now, if let's say one of the Bernie or one of those super socialists, the ones who are more socialist, gets nominated, there's a gigantic attack vector in there. I don't know if that makes sense, an attack vector. Let's assume that made sense. That Trump has available to him that he hasn't really busted out yet. Could be he's just waiting for the right time to take out the Gatling gun. But it goes like this, and I've told you this before. When the economy is working really, really well, as it is in the opinion of most citizens right now, you don't add risk. You don't completely change something that's working well. And that's what Bernie and Elizabeth Warren and the other socialist-leaning ones want to do. Trump is not trotting out that argument yet that you don't break something that isn't broken, or you don't fix something that isn't broken. And when he does, that's sort of the end of it, because older people are the voters more so than the Berners. Bernie seems to have captured the support of all the people who are least likely to vote — the youth people who are young and don't have health care. I think they're the least likely to vote. Am I right? Can somebody fact-check that? Whereas Trump has a natural constituency, even more so than ever, of people who just say, okay, I'm old, don't rock the boat, things are going okay. Trump owns the "things are going okay, let's not change it" group. And that's all the seniors. So good job, Bernie, in getting such vocal support from people who probably don't vote that much. That's going to cost him.

All right, Bernie Sanders hired a band for his last campaign event. The name of the band, and I'm not making this up, what are the odds that Bernie Sanders would hire a band to perform at his event and the name of the band would be The Strokes? Come on. One of two things is possible. Either the person that I named the mole is working for Bernie, meaning secretly giving him bad advice and doing all the wrong things in his social media. I don't think such a person really exists, but it's fun to think about it, because when you see them do stuff like this you say to yourself, that looks more like a mole than an actual thing that would just happen naturally. Now, of course it's a world full of coincidences, as I tell you often, and so if I had to guess, of course it's just a coincidence. But I think somebody should have maybe said, Bernie, maybe we should not associate with strokes. You know, no, Bernie didn't have a stroke, but you still think of the cardiovascular system as all one thing. It sort of blends together in people's minds and reminds you of his mortality.

People are all excited about Buttigieg because he has so much support and he's finished one or two in the last in the first two events. So hey, it's gonna be all him, right? Except that we're gonna run into the states that have an actual minority population for the first time, and he's sort of done already. So I would say that Buttigieg is probably 90 percent certain — I would say he's probably a dead man walking in terms of politics, because I think as soon as he hits the minority vote you're gonna see his strength just evaporate. So that's my prediction. So I think his ride was exciting, but he's sort of closer to the end of his ride than the beginning.

Of course we need to talk about Biden. So there are two views on Biden. One is that he had this clever strategy where he would lose the first two events but then he would come back strong once the states with the bigger minority populations were voting. But it looks like his support has cratered. And I think that the first two outcomes, as somebody smart once said, black people watch the news too. It's one of those dumb ideas. And somebody said if you're a black supporter of Biden, let's say you've been supporting him when you answer the pollsters, and now you had your television on or you heard the news one way or another, you saw the news and you saw that Joe Biden doesn't have white support. He doesn't have white support. So if you're a black supporter of Biden, are you gonna climb on a horse that doesn't have white support in the United States? That's sort of a problem.

So I think the rational black voters who are paying attention are saying, ah, I think I'd rather be with somebody who could get a white vote, because I'm gonna need a few of those if I want to be on the winning team. So I would agree with the pundits who are now saying that Biden is completely done, and it's just a matter of time before he finds the most graceful way to make his exit.

Now, I would like to claim partial credit for predicting — how many people, many people, I think a lot of you were with me here — how many people from the very beginning when Biden was the overwhelming polling favorite, how many people said as clearly as I did he's not going to make it to the nomination? Yeah, I've been saying that since the beginning, and it was because he would falter. He just doesn't — there's just not enough left of him. Unfortunately, age is taking its toll.

So now I got the Kamala Harris thing completely wrong, so I don't want to brag too much about the Biden part. And if Biden is completely out, which I assume will be the case, alas, you know, I suppose he could throw a Hail Mary and say, you know, let me tell you who my vice president would be, then look at me again. So he does have that play to name a vice president, but we haven't seen that play ever work for anybody. So I think Biden's done.

Let's talk about Klobuchar. Klobuchar, in my opinion, is the big winner. And I saw some people mocking the idea that she was the big winner because she came in third. All right, she came in third. How can you be the big winner if two people just kicked your butt and came in first and second? And the answer is this. How many times have I told you that the direction of things matters more than where things are? Where things are is that Biden and Buttigieg just were the two highest vote getters in two events in a row. That's where we are. But where are we heading? That's the Klobuchar story. The Klobuchar story is that she just got a huge boost, and enough so that she's in the serious competition. Enough people are paying attention. Her finish should make all the people who didn't pay attention to her before start paying attention to her.

But there's a really interesting part of the story now. If you read my book "Win Bigly," many of you have, you know that sometimes it's impossible to tell when something happens by coincidence versus when it has been influenced by some event. Can't really tell. And so this is part of the fun. It turns out that if you looked at the signs her supporters, Klobuchar supporters, were holding behind her when she gave her speech, I guess they've picked the slogan "Win Bigly." That's the Klobuchar slogan. Now "Win Bigly" comes loosely from President Trump. Now, I believe he was saying "win big league," but it sounds like "win bigly." And so I used that humorously as my book title, as if he had been saying "bigly." Although lately I think he does say "big league," but that's another story.

So here's the thing, and I've told you before — now this isn't the first time you're gonna hear this. If this were the first time I ever said what I'm gonna say now, it would sound a little — you'd be a little skeptical. But I've been saying this for a while. I tell you that one of the ways that I trace my own influence is by choice of words. When you see an unusual choice of words migrate from the things I've said or written into other people's mouths or their presentation, it doesn't necessarily mean that you influenced them, but it's a flag. It's a little signal. And so I say that's very interesting. I wrote a book with all of the best persuasion techniques that President Trump used to win, and it becomes sort of a manual that any candidate could read to improve their persuasion. And I see that something very close to the title of my book just appeared on