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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

Back to episode — Episode 2741 CWSA 02/05/25

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one egg per week. Now I'm telling you this so you can start saving up. If you put away a little bit every week, eventually you'll be able to afford an egg. And it's really good for you. I recommend canceling your health care and using that money to buy an egg. Same, same outcome really. Here's some news that might sound nerdy and small to you but it might be really, really big. The company called…

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. So I've got a suggestion for DOGE. If you're looking for an easy cut, I don't think we need a UFO office. Have they found one yet? Let's put it this way. If the UFO office of the FBI found a real UFO, they can stay. If they haven't found a UFO yet, maybe we don't need the UFO office. It's funny that it even exists anyway.

Apparently El Salvador keeps doing smart things. Have you noticed that whenever El Salvador is in the news, no matter what the specifics of the topic are, the general theme is, oh that's really well done, or huh, looks like you got another good idea there El Salvador, or huh, strategically that's kind of brilliant. Have you noticed that? So I guess Bukele is just slaying it. And one of the things he did when Marco Rubio was down there yesterday or whatever it was, I think it was yesterday, they worked on a deal where the United States has offered to help El Salvador build a domestic nuclear energy structure. Now I worry that the United States doesn't have enough nuclear energy experts to build our own stuff, but we better be developing that really quickly because if we're not, we're dumb.

So how important is it that the United States be sort of the big brother to South American countries? They're looking for clean energy. Really, really important. Because the last thing you want is for somebody like El Salvador to say, you know, we need energy, we're not going to do without it, so China can you help us build a nuclear reactor? We can't go there. So yes, everything about this is good. El Salvador being smart again. Good job.

All right, we have to talk about Trump and Gaza. That's what you're waiting for, right? So this is a story that just, I almost fell off my chair. So if you're watching my posting on X you may have noticed a change of opinion on my part. So this is a complete 180. When it was first announced and I saw the video of Trump saying hey, maybe the United States will just take over Gaza. We'll be in charge of cleaning it up and then we'll just own it and we'll rebuild it into the Riviera of the Middle East. And it'll become an important port for the whole world and everything will be great. But the current residents will not be there for many years while it gets cleaned up. Apparently it would take years to even make it safe to live there.

So he drops that. What was your first reaction? Probably like mine. Some of you just like anything that Trump says he's going to do. But your first reaction if it was anything like mine was hell no. Are you effing kidding me? How in the world does that make sense for America? How about America first? We stay the F out of the entire Middle East. Because if we put our stupid foot right in the middle of their business we're going to be pestered forever. We're going to become target number one. Our troops are going to be dying in the sand over there for nothing. The odds of it becoming a prosperous place seem not so good to me because it'll always be under risk of attack. Iran's going to hate it. Saudi Arabia hates it. I don't even think Israel likes it. I think Israel hates it. I think 100% of the people over there don't want us there. So that's bad news.

And guess what? Most of America doesn't want this to happen. So somehow Trump came up with an idea that 100% of the world thinks is a bad idea except for, you know, there'll be some whatever you say Trump. I mean there are a lot of those, right? A lot of people are like, you want to murder all the people? Okay. So some number of Trump supporters are going to say whatever you say, dear leader. But a lot of Trump supporters like me, and even the Israeli ones I imagine, are thinking, huh, I see why you think this is a good idea but do we really need you occupying this land that Israel just cleared for itself? Because it would be basically taking land from Israel because for all practical purposes Israel owns Gaza. They already own it by functional control.

So that's what I thought when I first heard it. Does that match what any of you thought when you first heard it? Was that your first impression? All right, now we're going to give you a more nuanced take because I slept on it. The first thing you have to remember is that Trump doesn't operate like anybody else. So as soon as you imagine that the frame you're evaluating him in would be some kind of standard frame, the standard frame would be, is it a good idea for America to own Gaza? That was my frame last night. Is that a good idea? Is that good for America? No. So if that's the frame you're in, there's only one answer: bad idea.

But let's put it in a Trump frame because that's the one that matters. He never operates in the normal frame. So you've got to find his frame. You know, like how's he operating here? Here's what I think happened. I think Trump just ended a permanent war between Hamas and Israel. He just ended the war. The war's over. Because what he just told both sides is you're never going to have a common border again because the common border was the problem. The fact that they're right there and they'd like to be even closer right there. And they're going to get ready behind their border until they're ready for an attack and then obviously, surely, 100%, there'll be another one.

So how do you solve an unsolvable problem? So Israel and really the entire Middle East had an unsolvable problem. There was no solution. Israel can't just keep it because that would be ethnic cleansing, right? They'd say, okay Israel, you've just turned into the very thing that you complain about the most. So in terms of Israel's brand, just destroying Gaza and then just keeping it would have been really bad for their brand. Now it might have been good for them in the long run. Thirty years from now they would just have more land, more safety, more security. So in the long run it was probably all good. But for decades it was going to be really bad. So Israel didn't really have a clean path to a win. They couldn't depopulate it because that looks like ethnic cleansing. They couldn't say hey, now that we've killed most of the people we hate, why don't you go back there and live there? Well first of all it's too unsafe. Second of all they haven't gotten rid of Hamas. And it looks like they're not even that close. And so there wasn't a solution. It was a 100% unsolvable problem.

So what does Trump do? What do you do if you have people who can't unite and come up with a common solution? What is the one thing that will make people who absolutely are at each other's throats stop fighting each other and unite? There's only one thing: an external common threat. An external common threat. That's the only thing that makes people who hate each other for this long put down their weapons to say all right, temporarily we need to get together and fight this other external threat. Trump's the external threat. He's not good for Israel. He's not good for America. It's not good for any of the residents of Gaza. It's not good for Saudi Arabia. They're already complaining. And I haven't heard what the European countries are saying but you know they don't like it. I haven't heard what China and Russia say about it but I don't think they're in favor of it.

So not only did Trump end the war, let me say that he ended the war. There can't be a war if there's nobody next to somebody else. Because Hamas, wherever they end up under this plan if this happens, wherever they end up would be spread around in different places and it would be really hard to mount any kind of a real attack on Israel proper. So he just basically said the war is over. The only thing you get to decide, you meaning Israel, Gaza and all the related countries, all you get to decide is do you have a better offer? That's it. That's it. The only thing they get to decide is do you have a better offer? And they don't. They don't.

But you know what's going to happen? You're going to see some creativity and some flexibility that you never thought you would see. Suddenly countries that thought okay we can offer this but that's as far as we're going to go, suddenly they're going to get flexible. Because the last thing they want is the United States to set up a giant military base right in the middle of their business and have a dominant role in controlling the shipping in the region. Because Gaza, if they build a little port, I guess they'd have to build an artificial island and then turn it into like a harbor, but it could be the controlling place for a huge amount of trade through the area. So do you think that the Islamic countries, whether they're allies or not, you think any of them want that? No.

So let me say it again. Trump ended the war. The war's over because they need a common border for that Hamas versus Israel thing to continue into the future. He just took away their common border. Now if they come up with a better idea, and I don't know what it would look like, maybe Saudi Arabia says oh we'll do more. You know how about we take over? What if Saudi Arabia came in and said all right here's the deal. I know we want to do this wider, bigger than the Abraham Accords thing but we're not quite ready to step up to that. We can't just have everybody embracing Israel like nothing ever happened and go into this big old deal. But now you can because maybe the larger deal in the region depended on everybody thinking if we don't do this we're going to get something we really don't want, which is a big old Trump boot in the middle of the Middle East.

So watch how this sharpens everybody's thinking. Watch how it makes people who weren't flexible flexible. Watch how perhaps Jordan and Egypt, who had said no no no we'll never take any of these Gaza immigrants, maybe they'll say well yeah, well maybe we could if Saudi Arabia or somebody helped us fund it. And then Saudi Arabia would say we don't want to help you fund it but we don't want Trump in the Middle East with a giant military base. And watch how creative people get. So this is what only Trump can do and he does it all the time. So you should recognize it by now. What he does is he shakes the box so hard that everybody involved just wants it to stop shaking and they all get flexible and they all think all right this is the time to make a deal because if we don't do it now the United States is going to own Gaza.

Now did you see, if you haven't seen it yet you have to watch Netanyahu's reaction when Trump is rolling out this idea in their joint press conference after they met yesterday. I can't read minds but watching Netanyahu squirm because he didn't know how this was going to work out or how

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it was going to go. And I'm pretty sure it wasn't his idea. And I don't know how much he even liked the idea. He may have just decided he had to go along because he was in Trump's house so to speak and he needs Trump on board and they've got a good working relationship. So he's not going to throw that away. And he just sort of let it happen while looking really uncomfortable. Again I can't read hi…

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