Back to episode — Episode 1846 Scott Adams - DeSantis Gaffe, The FBI Is Running America, And Twitter Gets Interesting
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you know hundreds of billions to bring chip manufacturing back to the United States. But I think it's more than chips, right? It talks about manufacturing. Can somebody tell me if the CHIPS law is more than just chips? It's not potato chips. So some of this is encouraging it to go to India, that's correct. But I think some of it is to encourage manufacturing in the United States. Ultimately I don…
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All right, 62% of the people who follow me and answered one of my polls believe that you can make a decision without knowing the risks on both sides. Does that seem high? 62% of the people who follow me believe you don't need to know the costs and the risks of your alternatives to make a decision. So does that sound high or low? That's about what I'd expect actually. About two-thirds of the public believes they know how to make decisions and actually don't.
And when I say believes they know how to make decisions, I mean the most basic question of should you consider all of the variables. Probably two-thirds of the public would say no, you don't need to. You don't need to know about all the variables. You only need to know about some of them. That's actually pretty common.
So the majority of the world believes that they can analyze situations but they don't have the basic skills to do that. And so sort of a Dunning-Kruger thing.
Now suppose that you know something close to 40% of my followers did know how to make a proper decision. That's pretty high. That's higher than I would have expected actually. So if you thought that 60% not knowing you should compare alternatives is high, I would say that the number of people who do know how to do it is actually the more impressive number. Because I harp on that all the time. So I would expect the people who follow me to be more clued in. And if 40% of you are there, that's actually pretty good.
So Twitter has got some new news. The SEC wants Twitter to explain their bot count. So how do they come up with the number of bots? So that's good for Musk because now the SEC is asking the same question he is.
Now how would you judge the credibility of the Twitter whistleblower who is in charge of security, who says that Twitter basically is hiding things and doing a bad job with security and they might have foreign intelligence in there and all kinds of problems? Now keep in mind that he's a prior hacker. So his background is he was a hacker and he was fired for what Twitter says was poor performance prior to being a whistleblower.
How much credibility would you give to a prior hacker who was fired for poor performance according to the company? What credibility would you give him? Yeah, low. Very low. But it doesn't mean he's wrong. It doesn't mean he's wrong. It just means that if you heard of anybody in this category you should not automatically trus
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t them. So I would say don't assume he's telling the truth. He might be. He might be. But I wouldn't assume it. There's not really enough there to assume it. So we'll find out. All right, I'm going to say one of the best magic tricks that the press has ever played on me. This is the hall of fame magic trick. You know I get how the press can fool people with videos that are edited to make them mis…
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