Back to episode — Episode 1748 Scott Adams - Headlines And A Beverage Sip Because We Like Doing That
Context —
hat I wasn't alone in the man cave. I had a little friend. You see him? That was behind my chair as I was trying to relax. Do you know if you're trying to relax and you see a California king snake coiling through your garage by your feet — well, maybe five feet away from my feet — it doesn't put you in a relaxed mode. Let me just say that. If I could summarize the feeling that I had at that moment…
← Previous segment →iece. So do you know that famous mental experiment where you take a penny and put it on a checkerboard in the corner and then you say, okay, I'll double the penny in each subsequent box. So the second one is two cents and then four cents, eight cents, 16.
And your common sense says, wow, by the time this keeps doubling all the way around the checkerboard, that one cent could turn into thousands of dollars, right? That's what your common sense is telling you. Or maybe hundreds. Maybe your common sense would say, wow, this is going up so fast that by the time we get to the end of the checkerboard it could be hundreds or thousands of dollars from just that one penny. And then you find out it's like a gazillion trillion. You're so far off. You are so far off guessing what will happen when you double stuff that many times. You're just not even close, right? It's not hundreds. It's not thousands. It's a trillion gazillion or something.
And so that's what would happen with the 3D printers. It would start off slow. A printer makes another printer makes another printer. But by the 30th day you could probably be producing 500 drones a day. Now what could Ukraine do with 500 drones that were suicide drones per day? Right now of course there are real world limitations for everything so you can't just do this. But interestingly you could very quickly scale up if you could get the other 10% for both the printer and the drones to massive scale. And you know, a month or two, fairly massive. So just an interesting thing to think about.
So the reason I bring this up is I have a hypothesis that somewhere in the United States there is a massive drone factory that you haven't heard of and that has spun up in the last six months. What do you think? Because doesn't it seem as though there should be some super secret drone factory that we put together in the last six months to just massively create drones for Ukraine? Probably. But I think the problem is that they can't get the parts. So even if you had the factory you'd still be limited with chips and stuff.
I think I heard somebody say that the US has been trying to compete with China on drones. Is it DJI? Is that the big drone company out of China? I think they have a massive market here. And I saw somebody speculate that the US didn't have the technical skill to make these drones, to which I said, what? Of course we do. Are you serious? I'm sure we have more technical skill to make drones than China does. If China is dominating the market it's because of price. Am I right? That's the only reason they would dominate the market. Th
Context —
ey wouldn't have better drones, would they? I mean I don't think so. So I've got a feeling that we'll find out about a giant secret drone making facility someday. Speaking of stuff like that, so Biden — I thought I saw a headline that said Biden is using that wartime production act to make baby formula, to which I say, wasn't that like, you know, didn't Joel Pollak suggest that like a week or tw…
Next segment → →