Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive July 2, 2026
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nd I'll talk less about it. But before that, all you need to enjoy this to the maximum extent is a copper mug or glass, tankard, chalice or stein or canteen, jug or flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It make…

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, and he wrote this sentence in an opinion piece. It was kind of shocking to see it. He said for the last two weeks or so I have been carrying around an anger bordering on rage regarding the chunk of Americans eligible to receive the vaccine who continued to refuse it. Have you seen that? I don't think I've run into anybody who would admit to having rage about unvaccinated people. Are you seeing that in your personal bubbles? Because I think you know my audience doesn't really have much crossover with CNN I don't think. But I haven't seen anything like that and I'm pretty sensitive to hate. You know you can spot it pretty easily. I haven't really seen it but I'm gonna guess there's some of it out there because I doubt Chris Cillizza is the one angry person about this topic.

Somebody says I haven't seen it in real life but you've seen it on social media. Yeah, social media became the place where the outrage goes to thrive. Right.

All right. So there's that. Let's talk about Biden's six-prong plan. I'm not going to get into the details. You probably looked at it already. But one of the clever things is he's using OSHA to push his mandatory vaccinations for at least people in the government, government workers, and he's encouraging private companies to have mandates as well. But OSHA is kind of a clever way to do it.

Would I be complaining if Trump had found this clever workaround to get something done? Let's say it was something else, you know, not the vaccinations, because that just becomes political as soon as you hear it. But if I had heard that Trump used this clever workaround and I thought it was good for the country, I don't know if I'd complain. I probably wouldn't. I'd probably say, well yeah, he did what he had to do, cut through some red tape, used a workaround, it was good for the country. So I don't think the question about whether OSHA has or has not authority just personally doesn't bother me that much.

I know people should, and I get the argument that if you become a dictator and you just start making up laws and finding some rationalization for them instead of using the system, it could go to hell. But I don't have the same rules during a pandemic. If it's a pandemic I give my government a little extra power because I want them to have it. If this is one of their little extra powers that they took for themselves, I say that's within the scope of things I'm going to call acceptable during a pandemic. Anything that lasts beyond the pandemic we've got to talk about. And if any of this happened outside the context of the pandemic I'd be completely opposed to it. Right? But you throw in the crisis part and you could argue whether we're still in the crisis or not. I think that that's a fair argument at this point. But anyway I'm just telling you it doesn't bother me but I do see the red flags. So if you're telling me, Scott, Scott, you're not seeing the gigantic red flag here of the precedent, as I do see it but I just don't think that crisis examples are going to be as sticky as maybe you think. But I see the risk.

All right. I have to give you my warning once again. I said it in the title. If you don't want to be convinced to get vaccinated, turn this off right now. And I mean it. And it's not reverse psychology. It's not a trick. If you don't want to be accidentally convinced to get vaccinated because that might happen, I'm not going to do it intentionally because it's unethical for me to do that. All right.

Yeah. So with my blessing, those of you who don't want to be part of this, please, please sign off and come back tomorrow. Come back tomorrow. But for those of you who stay, I'm going to blow your head right off. For some of you. Okay.

Now let me start with this. If I ask you this question, most of you are reasonable people and I know that you made your decisions about vaccinations or not based on reason and risk and you thought it through. Would you agree that all of you, no matter which decision you came by, would you agree with the statement that you thought it through? In the comments can you please confirm that you thought it through? Right? No matter what it was you decided, you thought it through. And some of you came to different answers.

Now second question. Second question. If I were to alter, and you accepted it, one of your biggest assumptions, could it change your opinion? Now I haven't told you what the assumption is yet. Right? So you can hold on that. But if I were to change your most important assumption, could it change your opinion? Just yes or no. If I change your assumptions and you agree with that change you'd go, oh yeah, I hadn't thought of it that way. If I could do that, just one assumption, I'm not going to give you any new data. No data will be presented. I'm just going to change one assumption. And if that big assumption was central to your decision, could you change your mind?

Do you know what I'm doing to you right now? All right. I just primed you. So I made you commit to a change in assumption would change your opinion. If I had not done that it probably wouldn't because confirmation bias would kick in and even if I successfully changed your assumption you would just move to a different argument. It wouldn't change your outcome because people don't really change their minds based on new information. But I just primed you. And if you said yes, Scott, if you change my most basic assumption I could, I'm not guaranteeing it but that would be a condition which could change my decision.

Now that you're primed, let's talk about some things. And I'm going to ease you into it. Okay. Now remember if you're just joining us late, if you don't want to be talked into getting vaccinated, sign off now because it might happen. Right? Seriously. Sign off if you don't want to be talked into it. It would be unethical for me to talk you into it without adding any new information. But I think I will add a new understanding in a minute. We'll get to it. Okay. I'm going to get to it.

There are a number of vaccinations that are already required, as most of you know. If you're a kid in the United States and you want to go to school, the things you have to get would be included by seventh grade. You got to get tetanus, diphtheria, pertussis booster. You got to get your varicella, that's the chickenpox. To get in kindergarten you're required to have polio, diphtheria, pertussis, your first doses, measles, mumps and rubella, the MMR, Hepatitis B vaccination, and chickenpox of course. So those are all the ones that you're required to get.

Now how many of you, and the requirements vary by state so there's a big difference in how they're mandated, so I'm not making any argument about them being similar in mandate. So you got that. It has nothing to do with the government mandate. I'm just saying that they are mandated in most states to go to school.

Now apparently there are a number of people who find workarounds that they don't have to get vaccinated. I heard there are 800,000 unvaccinated people in the country who don't even have these vaccinations. So I guess you can get around it but that's the situation.

Now here's your assumption, speaking now to the people who have decided not to get vaccinated. Is one of your assumptions that these other vaccinations, and by the way if you're anti-vax in general this has nothing to do with you. If you're anti-vax for all vaccinations I'm not even talking to you. Nothing I say will be relevant to you. If you've said no vaccinations, have a nice day. You don't want to watch the rest of this. There's no point.

All right. If you thought the childhood vaccinations are okay because they've been around so long that the side effects are well understood, and the COVID vaccinations are newer. So let's say your biggest reason for not getting vaccinated is that the traditional vaccinations have been around long enough that we would see all of the side effects and we'd have a really good understanding of the long-term risks. Because how could you possibly know the long-term risks of a vaccination that just came out this year? It's not possible. Right?

So you've got the vaccination that comes out this year with completely unknown long-term risks. Would you agree? How many would agree with me the statement that the COVID vaccinations have unknown long-term risk? Everybody agree? We couldn't possibly know it. You can't know the future.

Right now how many would agree with the next statement that we do know the long-term risks of the childhood vaccinations? Agree or disagree? We do know the long-term risks of the childhood vaccinations. Go. Agreed? Disagree? Why would you disagree with that? Not really. Not really. They've been around for decades. What do you mean?

Somebody says yes. Yes. So I'm seeing your answers. Sure we know the risk now. Clearly we would recognize if any of these long-term kid vaccinations, if they were giving long-term problems, you'd know about it by now. Right? Because you look at the database of all the long-term problems. What's the name of that database? Listen, I'm forgetting. What's the name of the database where they collect all of the long-term problems? And not the VAERS because the VAERS is more of a short-term problem. But what's the name of the database where they collect the problem say 10 years after the vaccination? What's that called? No, not VAERS. VAERS would be closer to the time you got the vaccination.

But let me give you an example. I guess I'm being unclear. When I was 49 years old I got an exotic voice problem called spasmodic dysphonia. Was my spasmodic dysphonia entered into a database such that people could look at it and say here's somebody who got the polio vaccination when he was six years old or whatever it was and now he got spasmodic dysphonia at age 49? Is that in the database? It's got to be in the database. It's in the database. Because how in the world could you know that my spasmodic dysphonia is completely unrelated to the vaccinations I got as a kid? How would you know that without a database? There's no data.

Right now which database do they use to test the combinations of childhood vaccinations? Because we know that they test each vaccination extensively. Right? I mean we all know that they do extensive testing on vaccinations. But which database is it where they look at not only the one vaccination but the combination? Where they test what if we give you three different vaccinations that are all required but we give them about the same time and you're six years old or whatever age? Which database is that in? None. Right? It's not in any database.

So your biggest assumption is that we know the risks of those other vaccinations. We don't. And let me tell you what expertise I'm bringing to this conversation. Medical? Nope. Scientific expertise? Nope. Am I bringing my virologist credentials? Nope. I'm the creator of the Dilbert comic strip. If you can find a better expert to predict the likelihood that big corporations are gathering data 40 years after they needed to. Seriously. Seriously. Do you think that these big companies are really tracking this data long term? Come on.

All of you, all of you people who said I don't want to get the new vaccination because it's not as known as the existing ones, you think you know the risk of the existing ones? Do you? No you don't. Because nobody tracks it. You're pretty sure somebody was tracking that, weren't you? Try to Google it. See if you can find any data that tells you 20 years after you got the, I don't know, chickenpox vaccination. You show me the data that says 20 years after that that you can tell what's happened.

Here's another problem. What happens if almost everybody gets the same vaccination? How do you know what trouble the vaccination caused? Because everybody's vaccinated. Almost everybody. Right? You can't tell.

Let's take an example. And by the way this is not, this will just be an example for conversation. I'm not making this allegation. We know for example that the average levels of testosterone in men has been falling for decades. Right? Has anybody studied whether the lower testosterone that seems to be all through the population could be caused by vaccinations? I don't think that's the cause. Let me be very clear. I don't think that's the cause. But did anybody study it?

How about obesity? We've got a crazy obesity problem. Do we know exactly why? Because I've heard different opinions. It's everything from fast food to too much air conditioning to too many video games to whatever. But has anybody studied our weight loss or weight gain and whether you got vaccinated? No.

Now do I think that vaccinations cause weight gain later in life? No, I do not. I have no reason to think that. But today, by studying how about my spasmodic dysphonia? Probably 30,000 people who got it and you know since I've gotten it, how many of them were asked about their childhood vaccinations? And if they were asked they would all have the same experience so you wouldn't know. You would just say oh everybody got vaccinated and some subset of them got this problem.

Let me tell you what I know with complete certainty. Nobody is studying the long-term safety of existing vaccinations. Nobody. So if you made your decision about this vaccination based on the fact that the other ones have been studied for a long time and this one hasn't, you need to check that assumption because it's your main assumption and it's baseless. It's baseless.

Now I heard somebody say but Scott, the new vaccines, at least two of them are a different platform, different technology, and we have much more experience with the older kinds of vaccinations and the new one just introduces this new kind of risk. Does it? How do you know that? How do you know it isn't safer? It seems to me that the experts are quite unified on the question of if there are going to be side effects they happen quickly. In other words if you've watched people for a year you pretty well have a good idea. But what happens after a year? Right? Because so we've watched all the vaccines for a year or so but have you watched them longer? I doubt it. And if you did, did you do it right? I mean even if somebody did study it would you trust the study?

And we know that half the studies are. Somebody's saying that the mRNA vaccines are safer. Now if you happen to be an expert in the field I could imagine that you would say to yourself well the nature of the way we're using this should be safer because we have a pretty good idea with this vaccine. You know it grabs onto and it's not grabbing onto things that look dangerous. But if you could tell just by looking at it that it's not dangerous you wouldn't need to test it. Right? You don't know mRNA is safer or less safe. It can't be known. Right? You don't know about looking at it. I mean you don't just look at it logically and say well logically this should be safe. You still have to test them because your logic can't get you safe enough. Right?

So now let me do a little check on you here. How many people until this moment believe that we did have pretty good information about the long-term effects of other vaccinations? How many of you just had an oh moment and said oh, my main variable is completely just a guess? I'm seeing no's and yeses. I see one. Oh not me. Nope me. Don't be a crab, get the jab, Charles says. Somebody says but this was immaterial to my decision. Yeah, for some of you that wasn't part of the decision so this wouldn't make any difference to you.

All right. Let me ask you one final question. Is there anybody here who was anti-vax at the beginning of this or at least anti-COVID vax at the beginning of this livestream who, when they realized that they couldn't know the difference between any of the vaccinations with long-term anything, how many of you are reconsidering your decision not to get vaccinated based on just this? I'm going to watch comments go by for a moment because I want to see. Now most of you should not be. That would you know 90 should dig in. Yes I am. I'm considering. Let's see. Just looking at your comments.

Rephrase this question. The question is how many of you are unvaxxed and now reconsidering that because one of your biggest variables just fell apart. All right. A sad realization. Yes. Okay. So I am seeing yeses go by.

Now remember my warning. My warning was don't get your medical decisions from cartoonists. Right? And I would encourage any of you to unfollow me or stop following if you didn't like this because this is pretty much the kind of content that I have. So yeah, don't follow me if you don't like this. And I'll say again that if you find out my assumption is wrong and there is some kind of magic database, I don't think so but if there is then reconsider.

All rig

Context —

ht. Now when we're talking about vaccine persuasion you convince me to be more skeptical. All right. That's it for today. I just wanted to see if I would change any minds. It looks like some of you did change your minds. Generally persuasion does not change everybody right away. A really strong persuasion would get five percent of the audience. That would be remarkable. If you could swing five per…

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