Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive August 22, 2026
Scott Adams Philosophy Archive
Search ideas

Context —

d be genuinely surprised as of today. Now, of course, anything could change in the next couple weeks, right? But as of today, I'd be amazed if he lost. Because in my world the news has been fake for a full four years, so I don't take any of this seriously. And in my world the polls are obviously fake. Now, not every poll, because the Trafalgar guys were close in 2016, probably they're close again.…

← Previous segment →

r regular CEO who just got hired, didn't invent anything, didn't innovate, just sort of worked up through the ranks, I don't know if that CEO makes that much difference. So that's the Dilbert view of it.

I've set the slaughter meter at 100%, meaning that as of today, if nothing changed, President Trump has 100% chance of reelection. But of course we've got over a week. A lot could change. So it doesn't mean it's not a prediction. The slaughter meter is a snapshot in time.

And I kind of feel it now. Do you? Do you feel as though the zeitgeist or the mood of the country, the vibe, the feel, just your gut instinct, does it feel like it changed recently in the last few days? If it feels like two weeks ago was a lifetime ago and it feels like we're feeling something that looks like people know Trump is going to get reelected, doesn't it feel like that now? I don't know if the Democrats in their bubble are feeling that. They may still not be feeling it. But I feel as though that message has even penetrated the Democrats' bubble, and on some level they're kind of scared to death. Whereas I'm seeing that the Republicans are feeling jaunty. Downright jaunty. I don't even know what that means. That's the first time I've ever used that word in public. Is jaunty like happy?

There's also a gigantic enthusiasm difference, where you have the Democrats who want to vote out of this horrid hellscape of a world that's so, you know, it's all they can do. They're beaten down. Yeah, but they can at least vote. Whereas the Trump supporters are seeing it as an opportunity for the best party ever. Which one goes to the polls?

If I said to you, Scott, you've got two choices. One, you can go across town and vote or fill out your ballot or whatever, and you might make some tiny difference in this giant hellscape of a problem. To which I'd say, well, okay, if I can make a tiny difference, I guess I want to vote a little bit. It doesn't sound like it'll make much difference, but you know, it's a hellscape, and if my vote could help, maybe. And then compare that to we're going to have an incredible party. You're not going to want to miss this party. It's going to be lit. We're going to be laughing and joking and chanting all night long. And when Trump wins, it's going to be the laugh and the feel-good vibe. It's going to feel like 2016 all over again, maybe even better. Where do you see the memes of the screaming Democrats? It's gonna be great.

Now, which one of those gets more people to go to the polls? One of them is a party, and the other one's a wake. Which one gets you off the couch? It's the party. It's the party.

Here's a little sign of the times. You know when you wake up and you see that half of the news cycle is just one story after another of an older white man's penis. So now we've got the Rudy Giuliani story. We had the Jeffrey Toobin story. You know, we've got the Ghislaine Maxwell story, which is really about Jeffrey Epstein's penis. And it feels to me as

Context —

if this is one of those election year things. It's like you turn on the news. It's like, well, somebody's blaming Russia for something and something something about an old white man's penis. Must be election time. But you know I've told you before that elections are won or lost based on fear. So whoever has a fear of things the way they're going is more likely to vote because they want to get rid…

Next segment → →