All right, so what were the other topics? Oh, so there's an article in CNN, obviously trying to respond to the Rasmussen poll that shows that black support was up to 36 percent for the president. And I can't remember if I said this on Periscope or I was talking to somebody else, but here's my theory on that. Not a frickin' chance that's real, that 36 percent approval level. I don't think there's the slightest chance that's a real number or really even close to it. Now I'd like that to be true. You know I have my bias, right? Yeah. If there were any number I wanted to be true it would be that one and that would be at the top of my list for something I'd want to be true because it would be such a healthy sign.

But CNN does their reporting and their conclusion, looking at other polls, is that it's more like 9 percent. Now based on your observation of the world, does it feel to you that it's more like 36 percent or more like 9 percent? I'm gonna go with 9. I'm just based on people I know, people I've talked to, reactions I've seen, how the votes have gone, and just, you know, my sense of it is that the number is a lot closer to 9 than it is to 36.

Now having said that, even the CNN article concluded that it's going up. So even if it's only 9 percent, CNN concludes, and let me read it to you because it's, keep in mind this is in the context of debunking that high number of 36 percent, and I think it did a good job of debunking it frankly. And I get to the end, buh-buh-buh-buh. So they're talking about it. So listen to this. This is CNN, no friend of the president here, right? So it says still the importance of even a slight shift in African-American voter sentiment shouldn't be underestimated. They make up greater than 10 percent of the U.S. electorate. Isn't it more like 15 percent? Isn't the black population closer to 15 percent? I thought it was a lot more than 10 percent and more in key swing states.

So here's the important part. That the population is greater in key swing states like Florida, Michigan, and Virginia. If you apply the changes we see in Trump's approval rating among blacks compared with his vote share in 2016 and all other groups have voted the same, it would mean a shift in the national margin of about 1 percent toward Trump. And these swing states mentioned, it could be even greater. Somebody's saying 13 percent. That sounds about right. One point may not seem like a lot but remember that half of Clinton's national margin in 2016. Oh that's half of Clinton's national margin. Yeah. If Trump is able to hold on to his additional African-American support it could aid him in 2020.

So even CNN says it is up and it's up in a way that's definitely substantial. But you know their definition of a boost only this: if African-American support for the president were 36 percent, Republicans would sweep the midterms. Am I wrong? And I don't think there's any chance that they, well there's some chance but not a big chance, that the Republicans will just dominate and just, you know, I don't think there's gonna be a gigantic red tidal wave. And if black support for President Trump were 36 percent that's the only thing you could get. You couldn't have a legitimate 36 percent approval of this president from the black voters and have any result other than a gigantic Republican victory of massive proportions. Do you think we're gonna get that? No we're not gonna get that.

Now it could be that Republicans actually win by a little bit. Could be that they don't lose much, don't lose the House. Could be that it's as close but they do lose the House. There are a lot of possibilities here and I don't have a specific prediction for it. But you're looking at the predictions for the midterm and they don't reflect anything like a 36 percent approval by black voters. However I do think it is absolutely true that the president's support has gone up. Now consider the things that have been thrown at this president and the fact that it has gone up. It's remarkable.