Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive October 12, 2026
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MainContent Luck, Skill & Timing

Back to episode — Episode 986 Scott Adams - Was Live and Sipping

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e from the fact that he strategically managed his career better than I know better than everybody. Has anybody ever done it better than that? Because if you look at other stuff like Facebook or somebody starts a social media platform, quite often there's a big piece of luck involved. Or somebody was going to make a Facebook, the Facebook, and Zuckerberg was there. But if you look at Joe Rogan's c…

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ion.

So now Joe Rogan is going from an advertising model on wherever he is to Spotify. And I don't know exactly how that's going to be handled. I guess if you're a member or maybe if you're not, you can watch it there. But whatever the deal is, I think he's just being paid directly by Spotify. So he'll be leaving the advertising model behind.

By going to Locals, I have a subscription model that I'm pursuing. And what happens in both cases is you end up walling off the people who care from the people who are just trolls, which is a gigantic breakthrough. If you're a creator, having any kind of environment where the people who want to be there are there and the people who are just trolls aren't there, it's sort of like heaven.

So I would not be surprised to see more sort of digital tribes, if you will. Tribes of preference. People say, "Yeah, I'd like to be behind that big wall, pay a few bucks a month, and be part of that thing." So I've got a feeling that depending on who the personalities are and what the purpose of forming these little digital warlord fiefdoms — you know, they don't have any power, they're just maybe influence — it could be a big deal.

Imagine if you would somebody putting together a subscription base that a million people in it. If you had a million subscribers to your online whatever, your content, you would have a lot of influence over stuff. Because you could make anything viral. All you'd have to do is say, "Here's my tweet," and your million subscribers would say, "I'll retweet that. I like this person."

So kind of look for that. That's my prediction, that you'll see community slash tribes behind subscription services where there's like entire power bases built up.

How much does that matter? Well, let me give you two examples. Today in the news we find out that the president has signed an executive order to look into the regulations that got temporarily canceled for the coronavirus to see how many of them should stay canceled. Now one of the ones on the list is allowing telemedicine across state lines.

Now if you've been with me since the beginning of the crisis, you know that that came from this. The idea to drop that restriction of telemedicine across state lines happened because I happen to be aware of that issue because my own startup, WhenHub, we dealt with that. So I just happen to be aware of it as a big deal.

So because of you, the audience, you allowed me to have higher visibility. So my visibility in the world is completely dependent on how many of you there are. You're the ones making this a thing. You're the ones who retweet me. You're the ones who basically give it all the energy. Because you gave it energy, that allowed me to have a channel, if you will, through Jonah Shumate, who was helping me connect the good ideas that were coming through me. I wasn't coming up with them all, but a lot of people were suggesting things to me.

And then Jonah, who had watched this Periscope and he's associated with — I'm sorry, he's working in the office of Representative Crawford. And so he was helping me get the good ideas to the people who are asking for good ideas. And in the middle of the beginning of a crisis, the people in charge are really looking for ideas like, "Okay, you have an idea? Anybody?" So it was a perfect time for good ideas to get to the right place.

And the telemedicine idea came from this experience through Jonah. Jonah sent it up to Mark Meadows. Mark Meadows had a good idea. It's on the list. And next thing you know, telemedicine is legal across state lines. Boom. How big a deal is that? Might be a gigantic deal. I mean that's the sort of deal that could change the entire cost structure of healthcare. That's how big a deal it is.

And I'm not sure it would have happened without the crisis and without noticing that there was this little crease of opportunity. And I aimed for the crease because I thought, okay, this is — you can see that there's this little crack in reality where if I can get through it, this telemedicine thing might be sticky, might be able to make this change. Otherwise regulations — and I don't know who else would be involved with it, but obviously it wasn't going to happen on its own. So somebody said New York is not allowing telemedicine. Nothing's easy, is it?

All right. So here's another example. Mark Snyder was pointing out recently, and I noticed as well, that Jack Dorsey, co-founder of Twitter, tweeted out an article about the Department of Energy started a new office of nuclear energy project. So the government is basically putting in $230 million to boost generation for the so-called new generation of nuclear development that will be resistant, pretty much impossible to melt down, at least melt down in the normal way that you think about it.

So they'll be designed that if they fail, they just stop working, which is the big problem with current nuclear designs. If they fail, they can release radiation and be bad for the neighborhood. But the new designs would be designed that if they stopped working, they just stopped working, which is a good thing. And they could be designed to be modular and smaller and have a whole bunch of cost and safety benefits that would be way beyond anything that we're looking at the current generations, which are actually also pretty safe. Generation 3, I think, is at zero problems, and that's the current generation anyway.

Here's this story about this. So Mark is speculating, and I think this is reasonable, that maybe Jack's exposure to generation four and the fact that he would retweet that article — probably, I don't know, probably is too strong — but you may have heard it from here because I know Jack watches this sometimes. So if you're watching, Jack, hi.

Now what's interesting about this is that not only is of course anything that Jack tweets is going to make news because it's Jack, but he would be associated more with — you would imagine in your own biased thinking, you would imagine that Jack would be associated the political left. Now I would say that's probably not. Let me see. I hate to categorize anybody else's opinion, so I want to be really careful the way I say it.

I would say that trying to pigeonhole Jack into a category would be a mistake and that he is in the category of free thinkers who I believe would just follow the data. So if the data is left, I think he'd go there. If the data happens to be compatible with something on the right, but the data is the data, I think he'd go there.

Now you can't say that about a lot of people. I would say that about Joe Rogan. I'll just throw him back in the conversation. I believe Joe Rogan is neither left nor right but would look at an argument and would judge it and go where the argument take

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s him. I don't think there are a lot of people in the world who do that, try to do that, or even can do that. Naval Ravikant, you'd be another example. I would always trust Naval to look at the whole field, look at the data, and then make a decision that common sense and reason and wisdom and data taken together — I would never expect any of the guys I just mentioned to just go left or right beca…

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