Episode 650 Scott Adams - China, Hurricanes and More

bumbum bumbum hey everybody hey Jake come on in here Kevin good to see you Donna have a seat confetti 20/20 always a pleasure Todd Brian Duke Andy I see you all and you know why you're here and I know why you're here it's because you like the simultaneous it but it doesn't take much to do it all it takes us a couple more glasses type the chalice of tacular a thermos of plastic canteen the vessel run-run grab something put a liquid in it like coffee and if you're ready you can join me for the simultaneous up it gets your dopamine govern it's the part that makes your whole day better everything's better after the simultaneous sip go let me say this about the hurricane Dorian if if I say if you're a person who was hoping a hurricane Dorian would wipe out mar-a-lago because you think it would be awesome you're a bad person that's all that's all I'm going to say if you're disappointed that mar-a-lago did is not going to get destroyed by Dorian you're a bad person let me give you an update on the little China as you know China is the number one by far number one exporter of fentanyl to this country generally through Mexico now we have some competing information on this story you will decide what is true and what is not so a border patrol official testified that the flow of deadly fentanyl from China has dropped precipitously that's that was good right so the flow of deadly fentanyl in China has dropped a lot do you believe that whoa what does that mean when we just got we just captured enough fentanyl from China in Virginia I think it was that would would be enough to kill 14 million people and what about the what was it 25 tons of fentanyl that we just caught off the coast of Mexico that was from China are we counting those two gigantic shipments that we caught as part of this precipitous decline in shipments I have some questions I don't believe it so here's something else so President Xi said he would do something to stop the fentanyl trade he said he would make it illegal make it a capital offense and apparently there's some activity along those lines so Lu Yujin a narcotics commissioner vice vice commissioner and narcotics Commission's vice commissioner so this is an official from China told reporters that in May China began regulating all fentanyl related drugs as class of controlled substances so I don't know if that's enough does it count that they change the law to take care of all the the analogues the things that are like fentanyl but just slightly different so they before they used to be legal because they were slightly different and now they're illegal is that enough and Lu Chinese officials noted the fentanyl deaths continue to rise despite increasingly strict controls on the Chinese side well is that true are there are there increasingly strict controls and and Lu said that no fentanyl smuggling cases have been discovered between the US and China since the new measures were implemented what and as the article notes this was uncia nominally that like I said we're officials of Virginia just found a whole bunch of it that they they captured from China so it sounds as though it sounds as though China is pretending to do something but not doing something they're probably just shipping it through their third countries so in other words if they say oh yeah the shipments from from China to the United States or we're going to come they might be it might be way down but they're a way up if you count the stuff they shipped to Mexico that Mexico ships here but here's the canary in the coal mine you should ignore everything that's said on this topic until this one person I think his name is Jang is dead yeah Geum Jang I don't know if I'm pronouncing right Zha ng is the biggest fentanyl dealer in China we know his name the United States has has named him as the guy and as far as I know he's still alive if he's still alive the biggest the biggest fentanyl dealer in China they're not doing anything I want to see a story a reliable story that says that that guy by name is dead you say he's been executed because if it's true that they've changed the laws to make it a capital offense and that's not clear it's not clear that they've changed it that much then that guy should be dead by now China works fast so I'm on record as saying that we are pushing on China meaning the United States the Trump administration and they should they are tying it to trade negotiations and they should China is embarrassed enough that they're doing something about it or pretending to and they should but it's all meaningless it's all meaningless until that one guy is dead because until he's dead it's obvious they're not really doing anything it's obvious that it's just more China making promises they're not keeping speaking of promises they're not keeping let's talk about Hong Kong I have two predictions about Hong Kong number one China can't lose in the long run they might have to pull back they might pretend they're pulling back but remember it's a long game and China has all the power of the influence eventually they'll do whatever they need to do to get full control of Hong Kong I don't think there's any any chance that what would happen but here's the second part of the prediction they're gonna be sorry they won if China had simply said okay Hong Kong you could do your thing over there we'll do our thing as long as it doesn't cause us any trouble we're all good if they had done that they could probably just keep ticking along like they always had and things would be fine but once they absorb Hong Kong and the Chinese people see this story and they see what it's done they will have weaponized however many what millions of people against their own country so Hong Kong is could we eat them from the inside I think that their system is in a lot of peril now because once they do get control of Hong Kong and they will might be in a year it might be in a day might be in 25 years but they will eventually they will they just have too much power to influence for that not to happen eventually but it's gonna take them out it's gonna change their system they're gonna they're gonna choke down Hong Kong and it's gonna kill them over time because it's going to change the psychology and within the country in a way that you can't can't put that you can't put that back on the bottle all right outrage theater of the day you know I'd like to show one outrage a day here's the outrage of the day from Eric's Wawa representatives wall well my representative he says in a tweet if Trump golfing stops hurricanes and mass shooting we'd never see either again but we've been racked by both this weekend so put the club's away and do your damn job you can't be golfing during a hurricane don't golf during a hurricane you're golfing and there's a hurricane I'm outraged but you're not of course you're not because what does wall well think President Trump was supposed to be doing instead of golfing because I'm pretty sure that he told FEMA to do it is going to do I'm pretty sure that the government has is all lined up to do whatever it needs to do what was what exactly was the president's supposed to be doing on the weekend waiting for the hurricane because I don't think he could have flapped his arms and made it go away so this fake outrage that somebody taking the weekend off no matter how often he doesn't I'm pretty sure taking the weekend off this is a good thing not a bad thing so there's that there's a report that is weirdly not on CNN or Fox News but I saw it in a lesser site they said after 18 years of war the US and the Taliban have agreed on some kind of a peace deal where we would remove I know some percentage of forces there do you believe that do you believe that the Taliban and the United States have a peace deal and it might work well I don't know I mean I love to think it is going to happen but until the major sites are new sites are reporting this as a real thing I don't know I'm going to be skeptical on that but we're moving in the right direction there's an interesting thing happening with nuclear power California I just tweeted around an article by Michael and Sheldon Berger and it talks about how California might have to go nuclear or at least keep open some nuclear sites that might have otherwise closed because otherwise they just can't get to where they need to get it just isn't there's no other way to get there renewables won't do it and I was looking at the landscape now and apparently according to this article also a recent Gallup poll shows the support for nuclear energy is inching up in other words nuclear energy which has always been unpopular just sort of hit the bottom and it's inching up could it be could it be all of the persuasion that's happening on this because there are certainly a lot of people talking about it but here's the here's the the landscape I believe Bernie Sanders says no to nuclear I believe he says moratorium meaning don't build any new ones fact check me on that but i think bernie is anti nuclear power interestingly though aoc the most famous architect of the green New Deal is open to it she doesn't say yes and she doesn't say no and it's yet another example of why she's way smarter than most of her critics believe she is she is way smarter than you think she is because nuclear is scientifically speaking kind of the only thing you could do if you're really concerned about climate change now it's not the only thing you can do but it's the only thing that's going to be big enough what and this can be scaled enough to make a difference so now you have yang who's openly and vocally in favor of nuclear energy you've got AOC who's vocally and publicly in favor of at least you know having the conversation and she says it now keep in mind there's no chance that a AOC would say she's open to the car about nuclear unless she already liked it right say you're open to the conversation is pacing hers her base she can't just say hey nuclear all the way but the fact that she says she's open to it tells me where that say 95% certainty that she's looked into it and she knows we need it so I'm gonna say that AOC being on the side of nuclear even though she says she's only open to the conversation I believe that's a clear indication that she's she's leading her her followers you know what first by pacing them and say well we could have the conversation there's nothing wrong with talking yes sir so then people say well alright we'll talk about it maybe there's something new and there is something new which is it used to be a lot more dangerous than it is now that's new so between yang and AOC being on that side and also Biden Biden is pro-nuclear he's not making the biggest deal in the world about it but he's publicly and solidly pollutant pro-nuclear as part of the solution and of course the Trump administration is pro nuclear and the Energy Department is doing things to try to stimulate development of new plants so here's what I think just happened I think public opinion just turned a corner because you know that it's hard to to pick out a turning point when you're in it usually it's it's more obvious you know if you're looking at the history if you look at the far history you can tell where all the points happen because you know you can just graph them but I think we just reached and I mean just as in 2019 a turning point where there's something like well there's a majority the Republicans are already prone OOP there and the most important voices or at least the ones considered the most the youngest scientific irrational voices auc and yang and even Biden are pro-nuclear so I feel as though we've turned a corner and there's something important is going to happen with nuclear and probably pretty soon so there's that let's talk about gun control I've heard you said that you know the the United States is really two countries depending how you want to slice things it could be lots of different countries in one but the gun control since there are big swaths of the country where they're pro-gun there are parts of the country where they're more anti-gun and how do you have one set of policies that apply to everybody when some are pro and they probably would be better off with guns and some are anti it maybe they'd be worse off with guns so what do you do here's what I would do here's my proposal for a gun regulation are you ready I think the federal government should draw up a number of proposals that are complete so a number of proposals on gun control that are complete proposals that the federal government then does nothing with so I'm not asking the federal government to pass any laws none zero laws I'm asking the federal government to create some standardized suggested laws for the states and what makes it more powerful is that they would be complete laws in other words smart people would look into it and they say all right background checks what's the smartest thing we can do with background checks maybe it includes doing something with the gun shows and having background checks there apparently then 90% of the country is in favor of that but what if there's a state that's not what if there's a state that doesn't want to do that why not give them the option why not have the federal government and come up with a set of standardized States state friendly regulations that can be approved by any state or not approved by the state and then just see how it goes now I know what you're saying the motivated people will drive across the state border to do whatever they're going to do yeah but I think we would be able to pick up on that over time in other words we could interview criminals and mass killers and say where did you get your gun we can usually figure it out and we would find out if the only thing that happened is that nothing happened people just went across the state line and nothing changed that might happen but generally speaking whenever you introduce friction people do change behavior so I would expect anything with friction would change behavior so I would take the federal government out of the business of passing laws because they can't apparently our federal government is not capable of passing laws about guns because the politics the NRA etc but they're certainly capable of putting together a set of standardized suggested to policies different states would adopt different ones of them and maybe tweak them a little bit but you'd have a standardized set of smart things to do and then you would be using your States as the laboratories of democracy as they were intended the states far more capable of passing laws would say all right we passed this one this other state on the other side of the country did not pass it let's see how we do let's see if this new law makes makes us have fewer problems over the next five years compared to the other states now if you do this you have a system which everybody can love yeah it's a system instead of a goal and of course there's no end to how much you could keep improving these little suggested changes but I think States should get every you know every up vote on a set of restrictions for themselves and other states may say we don't need it now here's another thing that I was looking at on gun control I didn't realize that that almost half see half of people or half of gun owners I'm not sure but there's a lot of support for a mandatory buyback of all assault weapons when I say a lot of support something like half the country supports that now that's not nearly enough to make something happen and probably the majority of you on this periscope are saying good we don't want it to happen we don't want some irrational buyback of ar-15s just because they look scary so I get that but how about this what do you be would you be in favor of instead of a buyback just changing the laws about who can own one so I said I made some off the top of my head suggestions you of the day suppose you said you can get an ar-15 if you have experience in the military or law enforcement so you already have some credentials as a you know as a person who can handle a gun and maybe secondly if you are already a better gun owner for a while one more gun probably isn't going to make a difference because you already own a bunch of guns so maybe that's an exemption and maybe over 50 ya veterans etc maybe if you're over 50 maybe no restrictions because people over 50 don't tend to be big criminals but and suppose you're a woman if you're a woman who wants to buy a weapon I would say that should be okay too because there's no history of women being big shooters somebody says oh my god Scott is totally drinking the kool-aid if you're saying that you not understand what I'm saying you should understand me to say that there a variety of things people suggested and there are a variety of states that could test it what I'm not suggesting is that everybody have their their guns taken away I'm very Pro Second Amendment and I do look at Hong Kong like the rest of you that the Hong Kong situation just couldn't happen here imagine imagine all those people who are marching in Hong Kong now you move that to the United States and and it's you know it's a life or death question for your Republic how many of those people would be armed to the teeth quite a few you would have a lot of weapons come out in this country if the if the Republic were actually at risk a lot of weapons would come in and it would make a difference it would absolutely make a difference so I'm pro-gun for all the same reasons most of you are but I don't I don't believe this slippery slope I don't believe that we just start going in some direction and we can't change anything almost everything that we do in this country in this dangerous has regulations it doesn't kill us I put my seatbelt on every day it doesn't make me unhappy you know I I have safety features in my car doesn't make me unhappy children can't buy cigarettes that doesn't make me unhappy we already have lots of regulations and they mostly work mostly so I don't mind them on guns if if you're a absolutist on guns because the Constitution I would say that's that's not really a supportable position to be an absolutist on guns it's not supportively the way it's not supportable to be absolutely in favor of no restrictions it is not supportable to have you know to have them all taken away all right so that's where I stand I think we should do a better job of slicing and dicing the public and let's just be honest it's men under the age of 50 we're doing all the gun violence so why should they be treated the same as everybody else let's let discriminate let's discriminate against young men who don't have training that are not part of the NRA don't already own guns haven't been in the military have not been in law enforcement so I would make lots of exceptions lots of exceptions but if you're just a loner who wants to buy your first cut minutes an ar-15 and you're not a member of the NRA you've not been in the military you've never been in law enforcement that's not good enough for me now we already have what 10 10 or 20 million AR type weapons in the country I'm pretty sure we have enough already that if the government wanted to make a play you know we could pass them out we'd have all the guns we needed so I'm not too worried about that all right in fact if everybody is you know if the women all bought the guns they wouldn't necessarily have to do the fighting because if we had a revolution in this country you know the guys would end up with the guns whether the women were the ones that license up in the first place or not all right somebody made a great suggestion for my interface by a-1 Hub app listen to the suggestions so most of you know the the app my startup makes less you contact any kind of expert on any topic whatsoever but you have to be an expert and you can set your price for anything you want so right now there are I'm checking out how many people are hurricane Watchers I've got one two three four five so there are five people on the app right now on the interface by when a bap who are in Florida and you could call them and they could point the camera out the window and they could show you what the weather looks like as a hurricane is approaching probably not too fascinating at the moment because the hurricane installed but it's out there but here's a better idea that somebody had somebody suggested what if you have people just register on the app as either Democrats or Republicans and they make themselves available to debate just to debate they're not experts they're just a Democrat or they're just a Republican or whatever and they just say available to debate they don't even have to put a price on it you could do it for free say your price is zero because here's what I found out there are so many people who want to discuss politics but can't write how many people do you know who want to discuss politics with somebody who's not a troll on Twitter and you just want to have an honest discussion with somebody who's completely on the other page when was the last time you've had that discussion I don't even remember I can't even remember the last time I had an honest political discussion with somebody who was completely on the other side literally I can't remember ever I mean I'm sure I've done it but I don't remember the last time it's because you end up talking to people who agree with you or because things are so some was so polarized you end up not having the conversation so if I if I happen to find myself you know alone in a room with somebody who agrees with me we'll have a conversation about politics but it's useless because we already agree if I'm in a room with somebody who's who's got a you know impeach Trump hat on I'm not even gonna start the conversation right if you don't want an unpleasant situation but there are plenty of people in this country who would simply had liked to have an honest conversation with somebody who's completely on the other side somebody who will actually you know engage with you and enjoys being there and I thought that's actually a great idea for the app so if anybody wants to sign up as a an anti-trump ER or a pro Trump or a Democrat it could serve it and illiberal whatever you want to sign up with just say that you're there to debate see if anybody calls you up to debate I'd be surprised if people don't use that for that purpose because I often find myself wanting to know what a typical Democrat is thinking because you can't really tell online because everybody lies and trolls and you don't really know what you're getting online but if you're actually looking at a person on a video call about a little bit of cross pollenization it's scary somebody says there should be a mediator no I don't think so because if somebody lists themselves as available to have the conversation they're already incentivized to be nice about it I mean I don't think trolls are gonna go on there and you know just be obnoxious if you debated em what could they say except you were a racist well if they do say that that you say and I recommend this in my book loser think and I say it online a lot you should say can you give me your one strongest piece of evidence that the president is a racist and and before they do you say and can we agree that if your number one best reason isn't real that you would rethink the other ones because they might not be real either because usually they'll come up with whatever their top thing is and it's usually not real so I just say doxxing rules somebody's talking about doxxing rules and I don't North mess it out within the app you don't have to give your identity way or your contact information so you can have a conversation in the app well actually you should give away your identity your name but not your contact information you don't need to do that we do that behind the scenes so we connect you and but you don't know how to connect with each other unless you tell each other can you rate the experts yes you can you can rate the experts Ted Cruz said he'd be happy to talk with AOC she said yeah we can livestream so people can hear your BS did that really happen a or see in Ted Cruz talking about actually live-streaming a debate I would love to see that I would love to see Ted Cruz and they ever see have a debate as long as there was no time limit they have taken it if they could just livestream that thing and just chat it up oh my god in fact they could do it here let me let me make a better idea they could pay-per-view that thing for charity a or C and Ted Cruz could have a live stream debate in which you have to pay something to watch it and and donate that to charity like let's say a veteran's charity or wherever makes sense or maybe helping how about donated to helping the families on the border how about that how about a pay-per-view debate between Ted Cruz and AOC and the the proceeds of that go to help families and children at the border or in a bad situation okay well could say well who could say no to that now here's the reason that I love this idea Ted Cruz whatever you think of him as presidential material he's one hell of a good debater have you ever seen him you know doing his Congressional stuff where he's interviewing somebody in public I think he's one of the top three Republicans who can do that sort of stuff he's really good at that hey is he also amazing at her you know her public communication skills now which of them has a better grasp of the facts I don't know because I'll bet they both had a pretty good grasp of the facts that are relevant to their side anyway so I can't think of something I would rather watch you could make it one topic or multiple topics I would prefer that they did it with let's say pick three topics let's say immigration gun control climate change you know I think it's better if you if you you know limit it to something so that they don't just talk forever IOC would say no she's trying to stop a beds for children's Detention Center well whatever it is I'm sure that they need more money to make people's lives more comfortable at the border I'd be in favor of that let's do it and by the way I think Ted Cruz that AMC could be friends I think she could actually be friends now that those of you were anti AOC yeah I hear you I hear you what you're saying I'm just saying that you're wrong Cruz is a vincent member upset truth I wouldn't I wouldn't be surprised he seems like he's convinced equality Joe Rogan is moderator yeah could be but you know what I think they wouldn't even need a moderator you could do it without a moderator so long as they both agreed to let the other one have some time to talk and I don't think they would go into it thinking that they were just gonna shout over the other one I mean I imagine that they would both be smart enough to know there's no point in doing it unless you're really gonna let the other one talk if there's no time limit you can let the other one talk make your notes address all their points when they're done I don't know that they need a moderator other than maybe an introduction I'd be happy to do it myself although Joe Rogan wouldn't be better all right that's all for now I'll talk to you later

bumbum bumbum

hey everybody hey Jake come on in here

Kevin

good to see you Donna have a seat

confetti 20/20

always a pleasure Todd Brian Duke Andy I

see you all and you know why you're here

and I know why you're here it's because

you like the simultaneous it but it

doesn't take much to do it all it takes

us a couple more glasses type the

chalice of tacular a thermos of plastic

canteen the vessel

run-run grab something put a liquid in

it like coffee and if you're ready you

can join me for the simultaneous up it

gets your dopamine govern it's the part

that makes your whole day better

everything's better after the

simultaneous sip go let me say this

about the hurricane Dorian if if I say

if you're a person who was hoping a

hurricane Dorian would wipe out

mar-a-lago because you think it would be

awesome you're a bad person that's all

that's all I'm going to say if you're

disappointed that mar-a-lago did is not

going to get destroyed by Dorian you're

a bad person let me give you an update

on the little China as you know China is

the number one by far number one

exporter of fentanyl to this country

generally through Mexico now we have

some competing information on this story

you will decide what is true and what is

not so a border patrol official

testified that the flow of deadly

fentanyl from China has dropped

precipitously that's that was good right

so the flow of deadly fentanyl in China

has dropped a lot do you believe that

whoa what does that mean when we just

got we just captured enough fentanyl

from China in Virginia I think it was

that would would be enough to kill 14

million people and what about the what

was it 25 tons of fentanyl that we just

caught off the coast of Mexico that was

from China are we counting those two

gigantic shipments that we caught as

part of this precipitous decline in

shipments I have some questions I don't

believe it

so here's something else so President Xi

said he would do something to stop the

fentanyl trade he said he would make it

illegal make it a capital offense and

apparently there's some activity along

those lines so Lu Yujin a narcotics

commissioner vice vice commissioner and

narcotics Commission's vice commissioner

so this is an official from China told

reporters that in May China began

regulating all fentanyl related drugs as

class of controlled substances so I

don't know if that's enough

does it count that they change the law

to take care of all the the analogues

the things that are like fentanyl but

just slightly different so they before

they used to be legal because they were

slightly different and now they're

illegal is that enough and Lu Chinese

officials noted the fentanyl deaths

continue to rise despite increasingly

strict controls on the Chinese side well

is that true

are there are there increasingly strict

controls and and Lu said that no

fentanyl smuggling cases have been

discovered between the US and China

since the new measures were implemented

what

and as the article notes

this was uncia nominally that like I

said we're officials of Virginia just

found a whole bunch of it that they they

captured from China so it sounds as

though it sounds as though China is

pretending to do something but not doing

something they're probably just shipping

it through their third countries so in

other words if they say oh yeah the

shipments from from China to the United

States or we're going to come they might

be it might be way down but they're a

way up if you count the stuff they

shipped to Mexico that Mexico ships here

but here's the canary in the coal mine

you should ignore everything that's said

on this topic until this one person I

think his name is Jang is dead yeah Geum

Jang I don't know if I'm pronouncing

right

Zha ng is the biggest fentanyl dealer in

China we know his name the United States

has has named him as the guy and as far

as I know he's still alive if he's still

alive the biggest the biggest fentanyl

dealer in China they're not doing

anything I want to see a story a

reliable story that says that that guy

by name is dead you say he's been

executed because if it's true that

they've changed the laws to make it a

capital offense and that's not clear

it's not clear that they've changed it

that much then that guy should be dead

by now

China works fast so I'm on record as

saying that we are pushing on China

meaning the United States the Trump

administration and they should they are

tying it to trade negotiations and they

should China is embarrassed enough that

they're doing something about it or

pretending to and they should but it's

all meaningless it's all meaningless

until that one guy

is dead because until he's dead it's

obvious they're not really doing

anything it's obvious that it's just

more China making promises they're not

keeping speaking of promises they're not

keeping let's talk about Hong Kong I

have two predictions about Hong Kong

number one China can't lose in the long

run they might have to pull back they

might pretend they're pulling back but

remember it's a long game and China has

all the power of the influence

eventually they'll do whatever they need

to do to get full control of Hong Kong I

don't think there's any any chance that

what would happen but here's the second

part of the prediction they're gonna be

sorry they won if China had simply said

okay Hong Kong you could do your thing

over there we'll do our thing as long as

it doesn't cause us any trouble we're

all good if they had done that they

could probably just keep ticking along

like they always had and things would be

fine but once they absorb Hong Kong and

the Chinese people see this story and

they see what it's done they will have

weaponized however many what millions of

people against their own country so Hong

Kong is could we eat them from the

inside I think that their system is in a

lot of peril now because once they do

get control of Hong Kong and they will

might be in a year it might be in a day

might be in 25 years but they will

eventually they will they just have too

much power to influence for that not to

happen eventually but it's gonna take

them out it's gonna change their system

they're gonna they're gonna choke down

Hong Kong and it's gonna kill them over

time because it's going to change the

psychology and within the country in a

way that you can't can't put that you

can't put that back on the bottle all

right

outrage theater of the day you know I'd

like to show one outrage a day here's

the outrage of the day from Eric's Wawa

representatives wall well my

representative he says in a tweet

if Trump golfing stops hurricanes and

mass shooting we'd never see either

again but we've been racked by both this

weekend so put the club's away and do

your damn job you can't be golfing

during a hurricane don't golf

during a hurricane you're golfing and

there's a hurricane I'm outraged but

you're not of course you're not because

what does wall well think President

Trump was supposed to be doing instead

of golfing because I'm pretty sure that

he told FEMA to do it is going to do I'm

pretty sure that the government has is

all lined up to do whatever it needs to

do what was what exactly was the

president's supposed to be doing on the

weekend waiting for the hurricane

because I don't think he could have

flapped his arms and made it go away so

this fake outrage that somebody taking

the weekend off no matter how often he

doesn't I'm pretty sure taking the

weekend off this is a good thing not a

bad thing so there's that there's a

report that is weirdly not on CNN or Fox

News but I saw it in a lesser site they

said after 18 years of war the US and

the Taliban have agreed on some kind of

a peace deal where we would remove I

know some percentage of forces there do

you believe that do you believe that the

Taliban and the United States have a

peace deal and it might work well I

don't know I mean I love to think it is

going to happen but until the major

sites are new sites are reporting this

as a real thing I don't know I'm going

to be skeptical on that but we're moving

in the right direction

there's an interesting thing happening

with nuclear power California I just

tweeted around an article by Michael and

Sheldon Berger and it talks about how

California might have to go nuclear or

at least keep open some nuclear sites

that might have otherwise closed because

otherwise they just can't get to where

they need to get it just isn't there's

no other way to get there renewables

won't do it and I was looking at the

landscape now and apparently according

to this article also a recent Gallup

poll shows the support for nuclear

energy is inching up in other words

nuclear energy which has always been

unpopular just sort of hit the bottom

and it's inching up could it be could it

be all of the persuasion that's

happening on this because there are

certainly a lot of people talking about

it but here's the here's the the

landscape

I believe Bernie Sanders says no to

nuclear I believe he says moratorium

meaning don't build any new ones fact

check me on that but i think bernie is

anti nuclear power

interestingly though aoc the most famous

architect of the green New Deal is open

to it she doesn't say yes and she

doesn't say no and it's yet another

example of why she's way smarter than

most of her critics believe she is she

is way smarter than you think she is

because nuclear is scientifically

speaking kind of the only thing you

could do if you're really concerned

about climate change now it's not the

only thing you can do but it's the only

thing that's going to be big enough what

and this can be scaled enough to make a

difference so now you have yang who's

openly and vocally in favor of nuclear

energy

you've got AOC who's vocally and

publicly in favor of at least you know

having the conversation and she says it

now keep in mind there's no chance that

a AOC would say she's open to the car

about nuclear unless she already liked

it right say you're open to the

conversation is pacing hers her base she

can't just say hey nuclear all the way

but the fact that she says she's open to

it tells me where that say 95% certainty

that she's looked into it

and she knows we need it so I'm gonna

say that AOC being on the side of

nuclear even though she says she's only

open to the conversation I believe

that's a clear indication that she's

she's leading her her followers you know

what first by pacing them and say well

we could have the conversation there's

nothing wrong with talking yes sir so

then people say well alright we'll talk

about it maybe there's something new and

there is something new which is it used

to be a lot more dangerous than it is

now that's new

so between yang and AOC being on that

side and also Biden Biden is pro-nuclear

he's not making the biggest deal in the

world about it but he's publicly and

solidly pollutant pro-nuclear as part of

the solution

and of course the Trump administration

is pro nuclear and the Energy Department

is doing things to try to stimulate

development of new plants so here's what

I think just happened I think public

opinion just turned a corner because you

know that it's hard to to pick out a

turning point when you're in it usually

it's it's more obvious you know if

you're looking at the history if you

look at the far history you can tell

where all the points happen because you

know you can just graph them but I think

we just reached and I mean just as in

2019 a turning point where there's

something like well there's a majority

the Republicans are already prone OOP

there and the most important voices or

at least the ones considered the most

the youngest scientific irrational

voices auc and yang and even Biden are

pro-nuclear so I feel as though we've

turned a corner and there's something

important is going to happen with

nuclear and probably pretty soon

so there's that let's talk about gun

control I've heard you said that you

know the the United States is really two

countries depending how you want to

slice things it could be lots of

different countries in one but the gun

control since there are big swaths of

the country where they're pro-gun there

are parts of the country where they're

more anti-gun and how do you have one

set of policies that apply to everybody

when some are pro and they probably

would be better off with guns and some

are anti it maybe they'd be worse off

with guns so what do you do here's what

I would do here's my proposal for a gun

regulation are you ready I think the

federal government should draw up a

number of proposals that are complete so

a number of proposals on gun control

that are complete proposals that the

federal government then does nothing

with so I'm not asking the federal

government to pass any laws none zero

laws I'm asking the federal government

to create some standardized suggested

laws for the states and what makes it

more powerful is that they would be

complete laws in other words smart

people would look into it and they say

all right background checks what's the

smartest thing we can do with background

checks maybe it includes doing something

with the gun shows and having background

checks there apparently then 90% of the

country is in favor of that but what if

there's a state that's not what if

there's a state that doesn't want to do

that why not give them the option why

not have the federal government

and come up with a set of standardized

States

state friendly regulations that can be

approved by any state or not approved by

the state and then just see how it goes

now I know what you're saying the

motivated people will drive across the

state border to do whatever they're

going to do yeah but I think we would be

able to pick up on that over time in

other words we could interview criminals

and mass killers and say where did you

get your gun we can usually figure it

out and we would find out if the only

thing that happened is that nothing

happened people just went across the

state line and nothing changed that

might happen but generally speaking

whenever you introduce friction people

do change behavior so I would expect

anything with friction would change

behavior so I would take the federal

government out of the business of

passing laws because they can't

apparently our federal government is not

capable of passing laws about guns

because the politics the NRA etc but

they're certainly capable of putting

together a set of standardized suggested

to policies different states would adopt

different ones of them and maybe tweak

them a little bit but you'd have a

standardized set of smart things to do

and then you would be using your States

as the laboratories of democracy as they

were intended the states far more

capable of passing laws would say all

right we passed this one this other

state on the other side of the country

did not pass it let's see how we do

let's see if this new law makes makes us

have fewer problems over the next five

years compared to the other states now

if you do this you have a system which

everybody can love yeah it's a system

instead of a goal and of course there's

no end to how much you could keep

improving these little suggested changes

but I think States should get every you

know every up

vote on a set of restrictions for

themselves and other states may say we

don't need it now here's another thing

that I was looking at on gun control I

didn't realize that

that almost half see half of people or

half of gun owners I'm not sure but

there's a lot of support for a mandatory

buyback of all assault weapons when I

say a lot of support something like half

the country supports that now that's not

nearly enough to make something happen

and probably the majority of you on this

periscope are saying good we don't want

it to happen we don't want some

irrational buyback of ar-15s just

because they look scary so I get that

but how about this what do you be would

you be in favor of instead of a buyback

just changing the laws about who can own

one so I said I made some off the top of

my head suggestions you of the day

suppose you said you can get an ar-15 if

you have experience in the military or

law enforcement so you already have some

credentials as a you know as a person

who can handle a gun and maybe secondly

if you are already a better gun owner

for a while one more gun probably isn't

going to make a difference because you

already own a bunch of guns so maybe

that's an exemption and maybe over 50 ya

veterans etc maybe if you're over 50

maybe no restrictions because people

over 50 don't tend to be big criminals

but and suppose you're a woman if you're

a woman who wants to buy a weapon I

would say that should be okay too

because there's no history of women

being big shooters somebody says oh my

god Scott is totally drinking the

kool-aid if you're saying that you not

understand

what I'm saying you should understand me

to say that there a variety of things

people suggested and there are a variety

of states that could test it what I'm

not suggesting is that everybody have

their their guns taken away I'm very Pro

Second Amendment and I do look at Hong

Kong like the rest of you that the Hong

Kong situation just couldn't happen here

imagine imagine all those people who are

marching in Hong Kong now you move that

to the United States and and it's you

know it's a life or death question for

your Republic how many of those people

would be armed to the teeth quite a few

you would have a lot of weapons come out

in this country if the if the Republic

were actually at risk a lot of weapons

would come in and it would make a

difference it would absolutely make a

difference so I'm pro-gun for all the

same reasons most of you are but I don't

I don't believe this slippery slope I

don't believe that we just start going

in some direction and we can't change

anything almost everything that we do in

this country in this dangerous has

regulations it doesn't kill us I put my

seatbelt on every day it doesn't make me

unhappy you know I I have safety

features in my car doesn't make me

unhappy children can't buy cigarettes

that doesn't make me unhappy we already

have lots of regulations and they mostly

work mostly so I don't mind them on guns

if if you're a absolutist on guns

because the Constitution I would say

that's that's not really a supportable

position to be an absolutist on guns

it's not supportively the way it's not

supportable to be absolutely in favor of

no restrictions

it is not supportable to have you know

to have them all taken away all right so

that's where I stand I think we should

do a better job of slicing and dicing

the public and let's just be honest it's

men under the age of 50 we're doing all

the gun violence so why should they be

treated the same as everybody else

let's let

discriminate let's discriminate against

young men who don't have training that

are not part of the NRA don't already

own guns haven't been in the military

have not been in law enforcement so I

would make lots of exceptions lots of

exceptions but if you're just a loner

who wants to buy your first cut minutes

an ar-15 and you're not a member of the

NRA you've not been in the military

you've never been in law enforcement

that's not good enough for me

now we already have what 10 10 or 20

million AR type weapons in the country

I'm pretty sure we have enough already

that if the government wanted to make a

play you know we could pass them out

we'd have all the guns we needed so I'm

not too worried about that all right

in fact if everybody is you know if the

women all bought the guns they wouldn't

necessarily have to do the fighting

because if we had a revolution in this

country you know the guys would end up

with the guns whether the women were the

ones that license up in the first place

or not all right

somebody made a great suggestion for my

interface by a-1 Hub app listen to the

suggestions so most of you know the the

app my startup makes less you contact

any kind of expert on any topic

whatsoever but you have to be an expert

and you can set your price for anything

you want so right now there are I'm

checking out how many people are

hurricane Watchers I've got one two

three four five so there are five people

on the app right now on the interface by

when a bap who are in Florida and you

could call them and they could point the

camera out the window and they could

show you what the weather looks like as

a hurricane is approaching probably not

too fascinating at the moment because

the hurricane installed but it's out

there but here's a better idea that

somebody had somebody suggested what if

you have people just register on the app

as either Democrats or Republicans and

they make themselves available to debate

just to debate they're not experts

they're just a Democrat or they're just

a Republican or whatever and they just

say available to debate they don't even

have to put a price on it you could do

it for free

say your price is zero because here's

what I found out there are so many

people who want to discuss politics but

can't write how many people do you know

who want to discuss politics with

somebody who's not a troll on Twitter

and you just want to have an honest

discussion with somebody who's

completely on the other page when was

the last time you've had that discussion

I don't even remember I can't even

remember the last time I had an honest

political discussion with somebody who

was completely on the other side

literally I can't remember ever I mean

I'm sure I've done it but I don't

remember the last time it's because you

end up talking to people who agree with

you or because things are so some was so

polarized you end up not having the

conversation so if I if I happen to find

myself you know alone in a room with

somebody who agrees with me we'll have a

conversation about politics but it's

useless because we already agree if I'm

in a room with somebody who's who's got

a you know impeach Trump hat on I'm not

even gonna start the conversation right

if you don't want an unpleasant

situation but there are plenty of people

in this country who would simply had

liked to have an honest conversation

with somebody who's completely on the

other side somebody who will actually

you know engage with you and enjoys

being there and I thought that's

actually a great idea for the app so if

anybody wants to sign up as a an

anti-trump ER or a pro Trump or a

Democrat it could serve it and illiberal

whatever you want to sign up with just

say that you're there to debate see if

anybody calls you up to debate I'd be

surprised if people don't use that

for that purpose because I often find

myself wanting to know what a typical

Democrat is thinking because you can't

really tell online because everybody

lies and trolls and you don't really

know what you're getting online but if

you're actually looking at a person on a

video call about a little bit of cross

pollenization it's scary somebody says

there should be a mediator no I don't

think so

because if somebody lists themselves as

available to have the conversation

they're already incentivized to be nice

about it I mean I don't think trolls are

gonna go on there and you know just be

obnoxious

if you debated em what could they say

except you were a racist well if they do

say that that you say and I recommend

this in my book loser think and I say it

online a lot you should say can you give

me your one strongest piece of evidence

that the president is a racist and and

before they do you say and can we agree

that if your number one best reason

isn't real that you would rethink the

other ones because they might not be

real either because usually they'll come

up with whatever their top thing is and

it's usually not real so I just say

doxxing rules somebody's talking about

doxxing rules and I don't North mess it

out within the app you don't have to

give your identity way or your contact

information so you can have a

conversation in the app well actually

you should give away your identity your

name but not your contact information

you don't need to do that we do that

behind the scenes so we connect you and

but you don't know how to connect with

each other unless you tell each other

can you rate the experts yes you can you

can rate the experts Ted Cruz said he'd

be happy to talk with AOC she said yeah

we can livestream so people can hear

your BS did that really happen

a or see in Ted Cruz talking about

actually live-streaming a debate I would

love to see that I would love to see Ted

Cruz and they ever see have a debate as

long as there was no time limit they

have taken it if they could just

livestream that thing and just chat it

up oh my god in fact they could do it

here let me let me make a better idea

they could pay-per-view that thing for

charity a or C and Ted Cruz could have a

live stream debate in which you have to

pay something to watch it and and donate

that to charity like let's say a

veteran's charity or wherever makes

sense or maybe helping how about donated

to helping the families on the border

how about that how about a pay-per-view

debate between Ted Cruz and AOC and the

the proceeds of that go to help families

and children at the border or in a bad

situation okay well could say well who

could say no to that now here's the

reason that I love this idea Ted Cruz

whatever you think of him as

presidential material he's one hell of a

good debater have you ever seen him you

know doing his Congressional stuff where

he's interviewing somebody in public I

think he's one of the top three

Republicans who can do that sort of

stuff he's really good at that

hey is he also amazing at her you know

her public communication skills now

which of them has a better grasp of the

facts I don't know because I'll bet they

both had a pretty good grasp of the

facts that are relevant to their side

anyway so I can't think of something I

would rather watch you could make it one

topic or multiple topics I would prefer

that they did it with let's say pick

three topics let's say immigration gun

control climate change you know I think

it's better if you if you you know limit

it to something so that they don't just

talk forever

IOC would say no she's trying to stop a

beds for children's Detention Center

well whatever it is I'm sure that they

need more money to make people's lives

more comfortable at the border I'd be in

favor of that let's do it and by the way

I think Ted Cruz that AMC could be

friends I think she could actually be

friends now that those of you were anti

AOC yeah I hear you I hear you what

you're saying I'm just saying that

you're wrong

Cruz is a vincent member upset truth I

wouldn't I wouldn't be surprised he

seems like he's convinced equality Joe

Rogan is moderator yeah could be but you

know what I think they wouldn't even

need a moderator you could do it without

a moderator so long as they both agreed

to let the other one have some time to

talk and I don't think they would go

into it thinking that they were just

gonna shout over the other one I mean I

imagine that they would both be smart

enough to know there's no point in doing

it unless you're really gonna let the

other one talk if there's no time limit

you can let the other one talk make your

notes address all their points when

they're done I don't know that they need

a moderator other than maybe an

introduction I'd be happy to do it

myself

although Joe Rogan wouldn't be better

all right that's all for now I'll talk

to you later