Episode 572 Scott Adams - CNN Taking Out Biden, Reparations, Iran Shoots Down Drone, Warren

hello everybody come on in here what a great day Sun is out at least where I am and that means it's an excellent morning for coffee with Scott Adams and a little thing I call the simultaneous sip so while you're filing in and finding your seats getting ready fill your cups your mugs your glasses could be a tankard stein chalice might be a thermos could be a flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit that's gonna make your whole day good it goes like this good stuff all right thank you for joining me on that we've got interesting and fun stories I always like waking up and reading interesting and fun stories I remember a time when the news was usually bad news but no more now the news is mostly entertaining news even the stuff that seems like it's really bad is I know we have to we have to stretch a little bit to make it seven bad here's what is in the news first of all let me talk a little bit more about the president's new slogan for 2020 which unless it changes it could change but the idea is Keep America great versus make America great again now the problem with make America great again is that it made people say hey what do you mean again do you want to take it back to segregationist times is that what you're talking about when it was great hey you must be racist so make America great again while it was the single best political slogan of all time it had a really serious weakness that people could say hey the past wasn't so good why do you want to do that Keep America great fixes that problem because you know what people can't say they can't say I don't want to go back to today yeah you don't have to go back at all if you like low unemployment for the african-american community you if you like women succeeding even better than men in college for example if you like all the stuff that we have right now you might want to keep it now I want to mention a important concept in persuasion and this has been tested many times science is pretty clear on this point your human brain will put more importance on keeping things you already have compared to maybe getting something new that you don't have so as much as we like to get new stuff we like to get new money we'd like to acquire things we love all that stuff but we don't love it as much and it's not even close to how much we don't want to lose the things we already have now this can be a little tricky because people said to me well Reagan beat Jimmy Carter and you know the point the country wasn't falling apart then why weren't people afraid of losing what we had under Carter and the answer is that people didn't see what we had under Carter as a good thing to keep the economy was weak the you know patriotism was flagging a little bit and no pun intended and so generally speaking when things are going poorly you take on the risk that's always the smart thing to do when things are going poorly you can inject some risk because the risk of doing nothing means you just keep going in the wrong direction so it's actually a riskier to do nothing if things are going in the wrong way so when Trump ran against Hillary Clinton he made the case that he made the case that things weren't going well so you didn't have anything to lose in fact when he talked to the african-american community he said basically what the hell do you got to lose things are going that well so that was a very very strong argument for a change but once you've got your president in there and he's got some track record and the country is doing well even if you think the reason is because Obama gave us a strong economy whatever the reason is things are going well and now the stronger argument is if it ain't broke don't fix it in fact that statement if it ain't broke don't fix it it would be a real strong campaign slogan if it were not sort of it a little tired saying because the sense of it is things are going well you don't make a change when things are going well you don't change your horse when your horse is halfway across the stream and doing great alright so I would say that the president has once again correctly found exactly the right sweet spot for persuasion in his slogan and I don't know how many times he has to do this before people get that it's not luck this isn't luck this is skill this is the highest level of branding skill you've ever seen bar none I mean there's nobody close there's nobody in his category and I think a lot of it is just sort of a natural talent that he can tell that Keep America grade is a better deal now I'm not gonna say he's gonna keep this slogan he might revise it you know it's everything's an a/b test if it doesn't go well maybe not it doesn't have a great acronym but in terms of persuasion perfection it's exactly where it needs to be make people afraid of losing what they've already gotten that's the strongest persuasion lever all right let's talk about something else talk about reparations here's the topic that will make your head spin first of all pretty much everything you're seeing on the topic of reparations so far if you're watching Fox News is just all wrong it's just all fake news reporting on the talk why do I say that the reason I say that is because this is what's happening the people talking about reparations say let's have a conversation about reparations we don't know what that's going to look like but what is not going to look like we agree what is not going to look like is that the people who are not african-american are writing checks to simply give money to the people who are african-american and have some legacy of slavery so the people talking about reparations say that's not the plan that's not what we're trying to do we're trying to have a conversation and to see if there's some some way to make any kind of a change that people would agree on so then you turn on fox news and fox news will say how can you say you want to make the people who were not slave owners and weren't even here our families were not even here during reparations why should we pay for it and the reparations person will say we're not even talking about that and five minutes later you're next Fox News host will say how could it be fair to give a check from people who weren't to blame to people who were descendants from people who are already dead how could that be fair and the reparations people will say again nobody's even talking about that so be aware that almost everything you see on this topic is fake news but let me tell you the real news as best I understand it first of all I watched some of the hearing I watched a good deal of it actually the the opening speeches and I gotta tell you there's a strong case to be made for reparations now when I said that what did most of you just think I just said there's a strong case for reparations I'll bet 70% of you just said what do you mean you can't tell people who were not involved with slavery to write a check to people who are not we're not even live then no nobody's talking about writing a check I'm not talking about writing a check you're not talking about writing a check and you can see in the comment right people have gone a little boy oh boy this is this is moving some stuff from me to you I don't want any of this there's nothing you can say to me that's gonna make anything preparations are a good idea watch me change your mind you're ready dude how many of you think I could change your mind in the next few minutes on the topic of whether reparations are a good idea or a bad idea none of you right wouldn't you say that none of you think there's anything I could say in the next few minutes that would change your mind on it you think that right let's see you give me five minutes probably less let's just say number one listening to the the people who know the most about the history etc including let's say Sheila jackson-lee and including listening to Cory Booker I listen to both of their little speeches ahead of it you know ahead of the hearings and they were really good really really good and I'll tell you what I liked about them they educated me about you know when you think about slavery it's the easy to have this sanitized version that you learned when you were in school because when you're in school you don't learn the bad stuff when you're in school you learn that slavery existed and that was bad and they they died and maybe the they were punished for things you say you learned a lot of the bad stuff but you don't really learn the bad stuff you don't you don't learn that rape was literally a tool of controlling the slaves you don't learn that you don't learn the really bad stuff so when you get a taste of this it's good to remember it now the first thing I'd say is that if you look at say the way Israel has weaponized the Holocaust now I think we'd all agree that the Holocaust is were saying you know one of the worst things if not the worst thing that ever happened in the entire world but there are plenty of other you know horrible human events that are on the same scale but we don't really talk about them so they're not weaponized they don't help the people or alive today because they're stories they're sort of disappearing Israel's very smart there's a there's power in the story of the Holocaust and so they keep it alive and use it as an asset which has a real advantage for Israel I think it's smart that they do that and has it has power what I see is that the the folks who were talking about reparations are trying to do some version of that in other words they're trying to raise our awareness how much we care about it how much we think about it is that good it might be it's definitely good for the people who might want to weaponize that for some kind of negotiating etc so the first thing I'll say is that we're a democracy or a democratic like system or Republic and I always respect it when people are doing a good job persuading on something that's a real thing you know they're nothing they're not making it up there really was the horror of slavery they're educating us I'm ok with that so so far I'm okay with the conversation here's the party you don't know and here's the clever part when the folks who are who are pushing this are talking about they're talking about forming a committee to talk about it here's how I think this is gonna go it seems to me that reparations as a topic won't go away but there are two problems with it you can't do it because anything that we talk about in terms of doing it is so unfair to other people you just can't get there it's a non-starter at the same time you can't not you can't stop talking about it so you have something that's hanging over us that you can't fix it's the worst possible situation a terrible problem unfixable so but it looks to me like there are some very smart people involved with this or not say exactly what it is that they're trying to do if you read between the lines this looks like what they're trying to do it looks like they're trying to finesse the problem that you have this problem hanging out there that won't go away that the way we feel about slavery and the legacy etc at the same time it can't possibly be fixed with reparations or cheques or anything anything obvious they want an off-ramp so the smart people are looking for an off-ramp and if we're smart too we'll let them look for it I don't know if they can find it but the process of talking about it is valuable the fact if you can get you and I and the people who are you know not descended from slaves if you and I will take this conversation seriously we've made progress we can take you seriously and then agree with the black community with every other community once we've talked it out once we've sort of educated the public your re-educated them about the history then and only then do we have an off-ramp and let me give you an example if did you ever see the movie Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid there's the famous opening scene in that where there's a card game and the Sundance Kid and Butch Cassidy are there and the Sundance Kid is a famous gunfighter he's so fast he'll never lose a gunfight and somebody accuses him achieving and the card game and it looks like they're gonna draw down and there's going to be death right there at the card table because Sundance is starting to talk about you know you should stop stop accusing me of cheating and you know and Butch Cassidy is trying to talk him doubts like don't do it don't do it you know I do because he noticed that this other guy's gonna get killed in a minute so he doesn't want anybody to get killed and then in the famous line Sundance says I won't leave unless he asked me to stay and nobody quite understands what that means so he has to sort of repeat it a few times he's looking at the guy like he's gonna kill him in a second you know his guns gonna come out and he's just gonna blow this guy away he just says again I won't leave unless they asked me to stay and then the guy finally gets it he understands who this is he realizes it's a sudden dance kid and they use he's one second from being dead and the guy says would you stay and play and the son Sundance suddenly changes from I'm gonna kill you at any second - no I gotta go he takes up his chips and he walks away it seems to me that the smartest people in this conversation about rep rep reparations it looks to me like they're smarter than then maybe you thought on the surface and I'm talking about everybody you know I'm not talking just about the civil rights leaders types I'm talking about the Democrats you know the generic white Democrats were part of this I think they're creating an off-ramp very much like the Sundance Kid they need to have the conversation before they can say no thank you do you see it yet you have to have the conversation before you can say no thank you doesn't sound the same now right because you're thinking about it and you thought wait a minute that's not exactly the way this is being reported no it's not because nobody can say what I just said nobody can say that this is theater but really really useful theater this is theater in the best sense of government in the best sense of healing I want to have this conversation I would like I would like to be a constructive part of it you know I've already written the patent I blogged about it I've suggested that we should do it let me tell you how you could thread this needle and have reparations without any reparations are you ready for this are you ready for me to tell you how you can have reparations for slavery at the same time there are no reparations for slavery can be done and I think that they're starting to navigate toward it here it is this is the hawk Newsome strategy hog Newsome a leader of black lives matter in New York once told me one of the smartest things you'll ever hear he said that if you help the black community you can't do it without so I will tell you without simultaneously helping everybody's who's in the same situation doesn't matter your your ethnicity the only way you can help the black community you know realistically is in a way that helps everybody so hypothetically if the government said let's do a basket of things that are really good for people at the lowest level of the heck of an economic spectrum well it will do some things to help them get jobs we'll do some things to help low income people get to college better we'll get them better mentors will help them be safe will get them fed better food maybe because nutrition matters maybe we'll work on wait for it prison reform which of the things I said are black specific none none there's not a single thing I said that is specific to the african-american community but if the way we get there yes the way we get there to a place where we figured out collectively an agreeable number of things we can do for the people who need the most help if we can agree on that it's good for everybody the African American community will be primarily responsible for getting that done they will be one of the biggest beneficiaries just because of the numbers of people who are in different categories but they will not be the sole beneficiaries and it will be good for all now my minimum requirement for this is that the only people will pay forward to the rich but it should be the rich black the rich white the rich brown rich whatever else as long as it's the rich not the middle class but only the rich who are everybody lose me if only the rich are paying for it and it helps everybody it's not limited to ethnicity but it does help the black community more because there might be more of them in a certain economic strata would you be against that because it would solve two problems number one it would help people who were who need help and number two it would take the conversation about reparations off the table and it would make the black community in this country the heroes think about that think about think about the legacy of slavery evolving all the way through Jim Crow to you know a better situation to something that's a lot closer to equality in 2019 don't stop there take it to the next level take take the the legacy of slavery all the way through to hero status if the black community is the primary mover of this conversation and what it ends up with is helping white black brown everybody in the lower strata best win of all time if that happens you're going to say Sheila jackson-lee is one of the best politicians on the planet and she would be right so the the the small number of people who are pushing this are doing it with nuance that you don't quite appreciate they have a better plan that it sounds this is a really really positive thing that's being presented as a stupid thing really I mean if it was just white people write checks the black people it would be a stupid thing but that's not going to happen all right let's stop talking about that this topic makes people really uncomfortable you can see it in the comments people are people are begging me to change the topic all right but we will so speaking of this stuff Joe Biden is now I think he's gone to zero chance of winning is does anybody think Joe Biden has any chance of winning I thought his odds were low but I think it's going to zero and the main the main thing that's changed this is CNN has turned on and man did they turn on so Biden the human gaffe machine he said he says this is the first sentence on a CNN article about it right so the first sentence of a CNN article about anybody tells you their editorial opinion the rest of the article might have some facts that sort of soften it but look for the first sentence first sentence was this is the am talking about Biden his campaign started the day by defending his nostalgia for a more civil Washington when getting things done meant working with segregationists on occasion so Biden apparently praised his own ability to get things done in the past saying that he could work with these two senators who he named who were famous for being big ol racists now did Biden do something wrong well in terms of a gaffe it was a gaffe so yes it was wrong in terms of he created a trap and then he fell into it but did he say anything wrong that makes him a racist no because the whole point of it was he could work with anybody and so he picked two people who were the best example of the worst people in the world he said I could even work with those guys and be civil with him now maybe that's a bad idea maybe that doesn't play in 2019 so it was it was a gaffe probably had to probably you know put the final nail in his his attempt so now you see CNN headlines on their page is all anti Biden it's anti Biden and then interspersed with G Elizabeth Warren's looking good Bernie's falling how about that Elizabeth Warren huh Elizabeth Warren looks good huh what about Elizabeth Warren people are saying good things about her huh Elizabeth Warren's poll numbers seem to be improving huh it seems that Elizabeth Warren has lots of plans for things people are starting to get excited about Elizabeth Warren oh oh by the way Joe Biden keeps making racist gaffes and we're gonna we're gonna put a panel together to discuss whether Joe Biden is out of touch they're absolutely killing Joe Biden CNN has turned inviting Mike you've never seen like if you should look at their front page today it's hilarious so or as one of the pundits on CNN said in a little clip that it feeds the narrative now whose narrative was this but it feeds the narrative that there by bears of another time or an except with the modern party and as soon as they start talking about it it becomes the news right so the more CNN asks a question the more the question turns into a fact so I'm just I'm just asking the question is Biden an end of step with 2019 just a question what do you think do you think Biden's Adam step how about you should we talk about how Biden might be on the step I'm not saying he is but let's talk about it's a question and until they said talk about it until it just becomes what everybody believes is true you must be out of touch so it's clear that they're taking him out talking about Warren here's another statement from asan CNN that she has a plan for everything and people are craving substance are they are people craving substance have they ever met people yeah if there's one thing I know about people they're not craving substance that's one thing they're not craving they're craving a good show the craving revenge they're craving money either they're craving sex and food people crave a lot of stuff but you know what people never ever crave political substance the fact that they would even say that let's see it was hilarious because nothing could be less true than that this gets better oh and let me make a an overall statement about Biden that is everything you need to know whoever is the the candidate for the Democrats becomes the de-facto will say figurehead or logo or brand for CNN and MSNBC so see that in embassy embassy and the other the other anti-trump news they start by just talking about these candidates so at first it's just that let's talk about Biden we'll talk about you know these other candidates Buddha judge had a good week Allah so the beginning is easy you're just talking about him but there's some point and and I wish I had said this ahead of time because it was easy to predict but now it's sort of too late so it's not a prediction it's just something for you to look at once it becomes clear that one of them might win or that somebody pulls out in the polls as Biden did then instead of just talking about them they're imagining their future in which they talk non-stop about how great Biden is let's say you're the executives and the on-air hosts of CNN do you want a year from now to be spending all your time talking about how awesome Joe Biden is that's not a good accessory in other words it doesn't go good with you doesn't go well with your clothing doesn't fit your brand it's boring TV has somebody saying in the comments it's a really bad future and I think that CNN and probably the rest of the anti trend media has now had to like live with the imagined future of a Biden candidacy or worse she had a Biden presence of presidency and they're saying he becomes our brand you know who's good for the brand who was really good for CNN's brand who was really good for MSNBC's brand Obama whether you love Obama or you dislike Obama that's not the question right now the fact is he was pretty cool still is pretty cool right you could hate him and all the political reasons you hate him and you think he's he's the devil incarnate whatever but he's still cool he was a cool interesting overachieving you know surprise came from nowhere black guy he was cool he's still cool I'm not a big fan by the way I'm not a big Obama fan but you can't separate from the fact pretty cool guy cool president and so you're CNN and you say to yourself do I want to associate with a cool black guy you know he's young you know you just got a lot going on in the cool in this area and the answer is heck yeah heck yeah you want to associate it with that because that's cool now imagine they have to live with old man Biden as their essentially their mascot for four years oh my god it's horrible so it was predictable that they would have to make a change here's the best part I've saving the best part so one of Sanders top advisers is Simone Sanders you know her as one of the I don't know how much she's on CNN lately because she's taken this role but she was one of the more prominent pundits on CNN and she was one who was always calling President Trump a racist so there are two just precious tweets from her this morning she is responding to the fact that people are getting on Biden for saying that he could work with these segregationists so Simone says in her tweets today at two tweets first one Joe Biden did not praise a segregationist that is a disingenuous take he basically said sometimes in Congress one has to work with terrible or downright racist folks to get things done and then on when when I'd say that you can't work with them work around them now Simone's take on this is a hundred percent correct a hundred percent correct Joe Biden is being misinterpreted they are making something and nothing and then she correctly says no it's more of a statement about Joe Biden being able to work with anybody the whole point is that there are terrible people he's not agreeing with him he's calling them terrible that's the point he could work with anybody even if they're terrible so so first part of her tweet I agree completely but you know what's funny about it is she's one of the biggest pushers of the fine people hoax she got fine people hoaxed herself this whole thing about Biden praising a segregationist never happened it's fake news she is the biggest pusher of the fake news about Charlottesville and it happened to her so karma just gave her her own fine people hoax and she'll probably never get out of it but it gets better there were two parts to her tweet here's the second part then said no and Sanders says tweet number two let's be honest here and that she goes on to be dishonest she goes let's be honest here a person currently sits in the wife's at White House who has in all capital actually praised white supremacists that's the fine people hoax he never did that in fact he condemned them the very thing she says happened is the opposite of what happened easy it's a check just read the read the transcript she's been pushing this fine people hoax harder than just about anybody on CNN and she just got totally trapped by it so I may have tweeted back a couple of responses to her you might want to read those just for your entertainment let's talk about something else god that was a delicious story that's my favorite story of like the whole month is that she got fighting people hoax targeted herself that could not have been more perfect it just couldn't all right Iran has shot down a US drone we say it was of international waters they say it went over Iran at some point but here's what's interesting when when in our history our military history of Earth how often do you get to attack something that doesn't have a human in it attacking somebody's drones is starting to get really close to a Star Trek you know with the or the first Star Trek series on TV plot you know which one I'm talking about so there's a futuristic scene in Star Trek in which they found some planet that was at war but instead of having a real war where people were getting killed fighting each other they would have some kind of a simulated war in the computer and then whoever won the simulated war the other side the losers would have to have their citizens you know go to voluntary you know a death machine so we go into some machine that which is killing so instead of having a proper war there would be the same number of people dead but they wouldn't do a physical war they just killed the people who lost this this shooting down of a drone kind of tells you what the future looks like right here's what the future looks like whoever owns the sky will win every war if they care enough to find it so because of the the power of drones whoever owns the airspace over a country effectively owns that country in the future wouldn't you say and most of that doesn't need to be real people so the Air Force in the future will be unarmed drones because why would you put a person there you don't need to and there will be lots of them and the unarmed Jones will fight it out now do the unarmed Jones need to kill people they don't because whoever owns the airspace can simply tell those people you'd better do what we want because now we own the airspace because we can we can kill you it will we can do anything we want with your country because we own this space above it so in the future undoubtedly entire wars will be felt will be fought by unmanned vehicles in the sky and they'll be you know they'll be falling like flies as they shoot each other eventually one force one country or one entity will win and only their drones will be in the sky at that point the war is over because the humans underneath have no chance against the drones they have no chance drones could just hang up there all day long if you go outdoors they kill you unless you do what the country with the drones tells you to do so I think we're going to see entire Wars of thought without a single human being being involved right why wouldn't that be the case now you could say hey we we control the sky over countries that we can't conquer but that's with human human aircraft if you've got drones and you could have almost like a almost a ceiling of drones at all time you could just see everything you can shoot everything you would not be able to run any kind of a country that's blanketed with drones from an enemy you just couldn't do it so I think that's where we're going we're going to Wars that there are no humans involved just no humans the humans just find out who won at the end except you know the humans are running the drones all right Lindsey Graham has said that we should make a target list and if Iran continues making trouble military trouble that we should quote take out their Navy and maybe their refineries now that would be some serious stuff wouldn't it and I thought to myself probably do need to do that I think the odds of us taking out the entire Iranian Navy as well as their refineries it's pretty good I put the odds at 5050 I think we're up to 50-50 chance that we will militarily take out their entire Navy and some or all of the refineries I think that will happen 50/50 chance one other thing about Elizabeth Warren if Elizabeth Warren makes it to the big show and she's the candidate against Trump and I'm not predicting this I'm just saying that if it happened if it happened wouldn't she look like the grandmother running against the dad because even though I think she's younger than Trump right but she she comes off as older because she's got the grandma glasses and the grandma haircut and stuff and Trump doesn't quite look like a grandfather right I mean he is but he feels more like the older dad and so so here's the interesting thing I think when everything's going great grandma looks like a pretty good deal because she'll make you some cocoa and give you a hug yeah that's all you need things are going great give me a hug give me a cocoa when things are dangerous the more the way they were when Trump came into power then you want the badass you know dad you want the one who goes downstairs with the baseball bat now again I'm talking in human stereotypes I'm not saying that there are no badass grandmas you know we're good with a gun I'm not saying every dad will pick up a baseball bat and take care of work people are all different but in our stereotypical bias heads it's gonna look like grandma versus dad right how's that turn out well the other thing that grandma has grandma Warren yeah I don't know if she's actually a grandma but she she just projects sort of grandmotherly qualities which by the way does not eliminate anybody from being president I'm not saying I'm not saying that's bad at all it could be the perfect vibe for the country in the right circumstances but she has two bigger problems here are Warren's two biggest problems she's a lawyer and an academic and for every person who says yes I crave substance and I want to hear all of her policy ideas and my god she certainly understands the details of the policy for every person who says that there to be three people who say she's boring and I don't like her energy and she just doesn't seem like she's strong so her strengths unfortunately don't translate well to the political realm Trump's strengths translate perfectly because he understands that facts don't matter and that how people feel matters Warren believes that how people think matters and not how they feel so much that should be a blowout if she is the candidate I still think that that when Biden and Sanders tank which I predict will happen if Warren became the top the top in the polls or close to the top in the polls I think that you would see also Kamala Harris starting to creep up into that second or third position and I've always said she's the sleeper I think Komal Harris is a sleeper here somebody's prompted me to talk about the Central Park five well the Central Park five is another story that's similar to the fine people hoax in the sense that Trump used the attention that that story got to make a larger case about having the death penalty then people illegitimately said oh he wants to kill innocent black people therefore he's a racist nothing like that happened yeah and even though he is concerned that the five were guilty of other crimes remember the prosecutor well not everybody knows us but the woman who prosecuted the case agreed that they were not guilty of the the primary crime but they were guilty in her opinion and there was plenty of evidence for it in her opinion that there that they could have got a conviction on other similar bad behavior that night but not that specific crime so Trump made a statement about crime in general and never mentioned ethnicity did not mention specifically these people but it's obvious that's what inspired it being against crime is pretty different being racist yeah I'm pretty sure you can be black and not like crime I think that's the thing pretty sure so the the Central Park five thing is just one of the backup hoaxes in case they find people hoax falls apart which it is apparently a number of companies are moving out of China I wasn't sure this was gonna happen and I'm still not sure it is happening but Fox News has a list of several less of fewer than ten but there are big companies who are either considering a move or are planning to move and if China now you should be careful about making too much of this because I don't know this is true but I'm going to speculate that if you were to throw a dart at a time line any time you looked at companies moving in around China there would probably always be a few companies who are considering moving out is that true I somebody fact check me on this but it seems to me that where you do your production is an ongoing revised process all the time so even if you would move to China and ten years ago you're probably still looking at Vietnam you know you probably have somebody in your big multinational corporation whose job it is to look at China and say okay that was a good idea ten years ago but Vietnam is making us an excellent offer or Guatemala or something so I don't know if we're seeing a real uptick in companies leaving well here's what we are seeing we're seeing the risk of companies staying go up considerably I think we're seeing companies say to themselves hey it doesn't look like there's any chance of a real trade deal with China by a real trade deal I mean one in which they're not stealing our technology and and using it to build a military to oppose us if you are Apple computer and you're saying okay at the moment we can sort of get away with having a Chinese production facility but it started to shape up the way public opinion is moving because the president's moving public opinion on this amazingly and it's one of his greatest successes is how he's moved public opinion on both sides about China's unfair trade practices there will be a point coming very soon where if you're a great American company that you can't even on your own conscience you can't be in China so if you're a public company and you care about what your customers and your stockholders saying you're going to be looking at this situation and you say you know it's sort of okay now but it would be actually dumb to plan a move into China could we agree that if you were contemplating moving to China before let's say a few years ago you were you're ramping up and saying yeah we've targeted China we want to build some facilities would it be fair to say that you would not proceed with that project if you had to decide today so if you were sitting around a meeting table today in a big fortune 500 company and somebody says to the boss we need a final decision are we going to move our production into China what's the CEO going to say hold give me some options no smart CEO would commit a large amount of resources to moving into China under these conditions and it doesn't look like those conditions are going to change I don't see China moving against fentanyl they talked about it but there's no action I don't see them doing anything really about theft of intellectual property I don't see them you know ramping down their military and their military seems primarily aimed at us right China's entire military who else are they fighting with they don't have anyone else to fight they're cool with Russia you know what do they need a navy for they don't need a navy to fight Russia right the Navy is about us so I don't think an American company can move into China there's the big story the big story is not how many are moving out the big story is that nobody's going to move in that's that's done in my opinion any big company that makes a new decision one one that's you know they can actually decide either way no big company can do that now I met when was the last time you heard some big company announced they're moving to China it would be suicide it would be crazy it wouldn't matter what the tax situation or the employment situation is you just wouldn't do it so I think that you might see you might see at first a slow trickle of people moving and China but every day that the trade negotiations go on and it seems more and more obvious that no deal can be reached because apparently China doesn't do business that way apparently China does not do honest business where they make a deal and then they keep it it just doesn't seem to be part of the set of possible things and as long as that's the case I would expect China's economy to crash in the next 20 years so that's my prediction China's economy will take quite a beating in the next 20 years all right that is what I wanted to talk about today I have these little pieces of paper so I look more like a real newsman check that off check that off check that off all right can we laugh a little more somebody says I don't know what's funny now let's talk about concentration camps so one of the things that is very amusing about aoc is that she can even tell you what she's doing and you'll still act like it's not happening so she did it again she's right she didn't write in in her sweet spot so she called the let's call them detention centers for immigrants on the border she fell them in concentration camps what happened when she called them concentration camps well suddenly we started seeing photos of these detention centers which I've never seen had you ever seen a photo of the detention centers I hadn't but as soon as she calls them concentration camps photos all over right so suddenly we know a lot more about these detention centers suddenly the priority of them has has gone up we're talking about AOC we're talking about the detention centers we're talking about a topic in which she is relatively strong because she's got sort of a moral argument if not a practical it's not very practical and and and everybody's saying AOC how dare you compare this to Hitler how dare you compare this to the Holocaust and they're completely correct as I often say there are at least two things you should never compare don't prepare the Holocaust to anything ever there's no right time to compare anything to the Holocaust and American slavery there's nothing like it stop saying there's anything like slavery in America there are other slavery situations but these are unique things and you should never compare anything to them you just look dumb but she did it and she did it she did it that's funny so the people who come in here and anyway I'll just block that troll and so anyway AOC is doing what she's really really really good at even if you don't like a lot of things about her she she focused all attention on the thing that helps her helps the Democrats and hurts the president in maybe could someday help the the immigrants themselves although I'm not sure that that's the top priority for a or C I'm not reading your mind I just don't know one way or the other so there's still people on here saying a or C is inherited it has and she looks pretty dumb you are so missing the show if for those of you don't know AOC was is selected based on American Idol like contest she literally auditioned for the job of politician with Democratic people who knew how to pick people it's not an accident that she's this good it's not an accident she was selected out of thousands of people because she can do this this is special you don't have to like it but it's special and she can reproduce it over and over again and every time she does people say that's a stupid thing she's saying how could she be so dumb and then we go on and talk about all the things she wants us to focus on and she gets more powerful and and and it's all because of our reaction to her all right so that's all I have to say about her and by the way you know what the smartest thing yeah now never mind I'm not going to say that I changed my mind in mid-sentence she did - all right she liked you now I'm luckier comments I just make sure I haven't missed any topics that you want to talk about here all right there's just more bad a OC stuff you know it's it's kind of I don't know it makes me sad that you can't appreciate the talent at the same time maybe you you're hating her politics I feel like you could hate her politics and still respect how effective she is and feel like I feel like you can do that because I hate her politics yeah there are things which she said calling you know Republicans racist every five minutes etc there are things I absolutely deplore about her her stated opinions who knows what she's thinking but man you can't say it's not effective we're oh the Libra so Facebook is producing its own crypto that's the scariest thing in the world isn't it is there anything you would want less than Facebook to control your money that just feels like the worst idea in the world I'm just sort of a conceptual level you don't even need to know the details yeah just start with this hey facebook wants to control money what what what it's crazy so let me give you an update on my own shadow banning I expect that this video will get D monetize almost certainly so this this video so remember what I talked about here so during this during this periscope was there any material on here that you think is controversial or should be d monetized anything no no I I in fact I came out in favor of the the fight of people different fighting people but the good people who are talking about reparations I'm on the side of the Angels right there's nothing I said on here this should be d monetized but I am calling out the fine people hoax again it wasn't I didn't want to but it was in the news again so this will be d monetized or it will be like my my video yesterday where I did a test where instead of saying find people hoax I just used the letters F P H and I wanted to see if there their speech-to-text would pick that up and flag it by its initials in theory it would not and what happened instead of getting demonetised that video was suppressed for the first several hours so it was completely throttled back it was it was sort of taken out of the recommended video cues so if it doesn't get recommended to people it just yeah is limited to the audience itself and that that's much smaller so I complained about it in public and said it had to be human interference or human intervention there had to be a human being who is watching my videos and probably other political voices and looked at it and said we don't want this opinion to be to be seen they didn't de monetize it they just throttled it which is way in a way D monetizing at least is honest but since you can't defend the D monetization it's better to hide it because when you do monetize people complain hey I'm demonetised but when they just hide your traffic you can't tell unless you look at the curve and then it's really obvious so you let me explain to you so there's a within within You.

Tube there are these analytics and one of the things they'll do is if you've had lots of videos they'll show you sort of a zone that your video traffic is almost certainly going to be in if it's like the others because it's a pretty big zone it's the the your worst video and your best video so there's a lot of space in there for for where the new one is the first one if this is normal the first one did this it was a straight line for like hours it's not even possible alright that you can't get that curve of just like a straight line when all of your videos go like this I've just walked for several hours just goes into straight line at zero it was pretty obvious that that was human intervention and whoever that human is knows I'm talking about them right now so here's the weird part there's somebody watching this probably I don't know if they watch it to the end but there's probably somebody watching it right now whose job it is to suppress my voice or at least they think it is they think it's their job but I want you to look at this video because I'm talking to you now whoever whoever is watching me for You.

Tube tell me if there was anything in here that cannot be validated by looking at to find people transcript you can look at it yourself just google it fine people Charles will train transcript see it for yourself there's nothing I said that's untrue and there's nothing I said that would be even slightly slightly socially unacceptable do your job please just do your job and that message is for whoever's watching and the rest of you I will talk to you tomorrow

[Music]

hello everybody come on in here what a

great day Sun is out at least where I am

and that means it's an excellent morning

for coffee with Scott Adams and a little

thing I call the simultaneous sip so

while you're filing in and finding your

seats getting ready fill your cups your

mugs your glasses could be a tankard

stein chalice might be a thermos could

be a flask a vessel of any kind fill it

with your favorite liquid I like coffee

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure the dopamine hit that's gonna

make your whole day good it goes like

this

good stuff all right thank you for

joining me on that we've got interesting

and fun stories I always like waking up

and reading interesting and fun stories

I remember a time when the news was

usually bad news but no more now the

news is mostly entertaining news even

the stuff that seems like it's really

bad is I know we have to we have to

stretch a little bit to make it seven

bad here's what is in the news first of

all let me talk a little bit more about

the president's new slogan for 2020

which unless it changes it could change

but the idea is Keep America great

versus make America great again now the

problem with make America great again is

that it made people say hey what do you

mean again do you want to take it back

to segregationist times is that what

you're talking about when it was great

hey you must be racist

so make America great again while it was

the single best political slogan of all

time it had a really serious weakness

that people could say hey the past

wasn't so good why do you want to do

that

Keep America great fixes that problem

because you know what people can't say

they can't say I don't want to go back

to today yeah you don't have to go back

at all if you like low unemployment for

the african-american community you if

you like women

succeeding even better than men in

college for example if you like all the

stuff that we have right now you might

want to keep it now I want to mention a

important concept in persuasion and this

has been tested many times science is

pretty clear on this point your human

brain will put more importance on

keeping things you already have compared

to maybe getting something new that you

don't have so as much as we like to get

new stuff we like to get new money we'd

like to acquire things we love all that

stuff but we don't love it as much and

it's not even close to how much we don't

want to lose the things we already have

now this can be a little tricky because

people said to me well Reagan beat Jimmy

Carter and you know the point the

country wasn't falling apart then why

weren't people afraid of losing what we

had under Carter and the answer is that

people didn't see what we had under

Carter as a good thing to keep the

economy was weak the you know patriotism

was flagging a little bit and no pun

intended and so generally speaking when

things are going poorly you take on the

risk that's always the smart thing to do

when things are going poorly you can

inject some risk because the risk of

doing nothing means you just keep going

in the wrong direction so it's actually

a riskier to do nothing if things are

going in the wrong way so when Trump ran

against Hillary Clinton he made the case

that he made the case that things

weren't going well so you didn't have

anything to lose in fact when he talked

to the african-american community he

said basically what the hell do you got

to lose

things are going that well so that was a

very very strong argument for a change

but once you've got your president in

there and he's got some track record and

the country is doing well even if you

think the reason is because Obama gave

us a strong economy whatever the reason

is things are going well and now the

stronger argument is if it ain't broke

don't fix it in fact that statement if

it ain't broke don't fix it it would be

a real strong campaign slogan if it were

not sort of it a little tired saying

because the sense of it is things are

going well you don't make a change when

things are going well you don't change

your horse when your horse is halfway

across the stream and doing great

alright so I would say that the

president has once again correctly found

exactly the right sweet spot for

persuasion in his slogan and I don't

know how many times he has to do this

before people get that it's not luck

this isn't luck this is skill this is

the highest level of branding skill

you've ever seen bar none I mean there's

nobody close

there's nobody in his category and I

think a lot of it is just sort of a

natural talent that he can tell that

Keep America grade is a better deal

now I'm not gonna say he's gonna keep

this slogan he might revise it you know

it's everything's an a/b test if it

doesn't go well maybe not it doesn't

have a great acronym but in terms of

persuasion perfection it's exactly where

it needs to be make people afraid of

losing what they've already gotten

that's the strongest persuasion lever

all right let's talk about something

else

talk about reparations here's the topic

that will make your head spin

first of all pretty much everything

you're seeing on the topic of

reparations so far if you're watching

Fox News is just all wrong it's just all

fake news reporting on the talk why do I

say that the reason I say that is

because this is what's happening

the people talking about reparations say

let's have a conversation about

reparations we don't know what that's

going to look like but what is not going

to look like we agree what is not going

to look like is that the people who are

not african-american are writing checks

to simply give money to the people who

are african-american and have some

legacy of slavery

so the people talking about reparations

say that's not the plan that's not what

we're trying to do we're trying to have

a conversation and to see if there's

some some way to make any kind of a

change that people would agree on so

then you turn on fox news and fox news

will say how can you say you want to

make the people who were not slave

owners and weren't even here our

families were not even here during

reparations why should we pay for it and

the reparations person will say we're

not even talking about that and five

minutes later you're next Fox News host

will say how could it be fair to give a

check from people who weren't to blame

to people who were descendants from

people who are already dead how could

that be fair and the reparations people

will say again nobody's even talking

about that

so be aware that almost everything you

see on this topic is fake news but let

me tell you the real news as best I

understand it first of all I watched

some of the hearing I watched a good

deal of it actually the the opening

speeches and I gotta tell you there's a

strong case to be made for reparations

now when I said that what did most of

you just think I just said there's a

strong case for reparations

I'll bet 70% of you just said what do

you mean you can't tell people who were

not involved with slavery to write a

check to people who are not we're not

even live then no nobody's talking about

writing a check I'm not talking about

writing a check you're not talking about

writing a check and you can see in the

comment

right people have gone a little boy oh

boy this is this is moving some stuff

from me to you I don't want any of this

there's nothing you can say to me that's

gonna make anything preparations are a

good idea watch me change your mind

you're ready dude how many of you think

I could change your mind

in the next few minutes on the topic of

whether reparations are a good idea or a

bad idea none of you right wouldn't you

say that none of you think there's

anything I could say in the next few

minutes that would change your mind on

it you think that right let's see you

give me five minutes

probably less let's just say number one

listening to the the people who know the

most about the history etc including

let's say Sheila jackson-lee and

including listening to Cory Booker I

listen to both of their little speeches

ahead of it you know ahead of the

hearings and they were really good

really really good and I'll tell you

what I liked about them they educated me

about you know when you think about

slavery it's the easy to have this

sanitized version that you learned when

you were in school because when you're

in school you don't learn the bad stuff

when you're in school you learn that

slavery existed and that was bad and

they they died and maybe the they were

punished for things you say you learned

a lot of the bad stuff but you don't

really learn the bad stuff you don't you

don't learn that rape was literally a

tool of controlling the slaves you don't

learn that you don't learn the really

bad stuff so when you get a taste of

this it's good to remember it now the

first thing I'd say is that if you look

at say the way Israel has weaponized the

Holocaust now I think we'd all agree

that the Holocaust is were saying you

know one of the worst things if not the

worst thing that ever happened in the

entire world but there are plenty of

other you know horrible human events

that are on the same scale but we don't

really talk about them so they're not

weaponized they don't help the people

or alive today because they're stories

they're sort of disappearing Israel's

very smart there's a there's power in

the story of the Holocaust and so they

keep it alive and use it as an asset

which has a real advantage for Israel I

think it's smart that they do that and

has it has power what I see is that the

the folks who were talking about

reparations are trying to do some

version of that in other words they're

trying to raise our awareness how much

we care about it how much we think about

it

is that good it might be it's definitely

good for the people who might want to

weaponize that for some kind of

negotiating etc so the first thing I'll

say is that we're a democracy or a

democratic like system or Republic and I

always respect it when people are doing

a good job persuading on something

that's a real thing you know they're

nothing they're not making it up there

really was the horror of slavery they're

educating us I'm ok with that

so so far I'm okay with the conversation

here's the party you don't know and

here's the clever part when the folks

who are who are pushing this are talking

about they're talking about forming a

committee to talk about it here's how I

think this is gonna go it seems to me

that reparations as a topic won't go

away but there are two problems with it

you can't do it because anything that we

talk about in terms of doing it is so

unfair to other people you just can't

get there it's a non-starter at the same

time you can't not you can't stop

talking about it so you have something

that's hanging over us that you can't

fix it's the worst possible situation a

terrible problem unfixable so but it

looks to me like there are some very

smart people involved with this or not

say exactly what it is that they're

trying to do if you read between the

lines this looks like what they're

trying to do it looks like they're

trying to finesse the problem that you

have this

problem hanging out there that won't go

away that the way we feel about slavery

and the legacy etc at the same time it

can't possibly be fixed with reparations

or cheques or anything anything obvious

they want an off-ramp so the smart

people are looking for an off-ramp and

if we're smart too we'll let them look

for it I don't know if they can find it

but the process of talking about it is

valuable the fact if you can get you and

I and the people who are you know not

descended from slaves if you and I will

take this conversation seriously we've

made progress we can take you seriously

and then agree with the black community

with every other community once we've

talked it out once we've sort of

educated the public your re-educated

them about the history then and only

then do we have an off-ramp and let me

give you an example if did you ever see

the movie Butch Cassidy and the Sundance

Kid there's the famous opening scene in

that where there's a card game and the

Sundance Kid and Butch Cassidy are there

and the Sundance Kid is a famous

gunfighter he's so fast he'll never lose

a gunfight and somebody accuses him

achieving and the card game and it looks

like they're gonna draw down and there's

going to be death right there at the

card table because Sundance is starting

to talk about you know you should stop

stop accusing me of cheating and you

know and Butch Cassidy is trying to talk

him doubts like don't do it don't do it

you know I do because he noticed that

this other guy's gonna get killed in a

minute so he doesn't want anybody to get

killed and then in the famous line

Sundance says I won't leave unless he

asked me to stay and nobody quite

understands what that means so he has to

sort of repeat it a few times he's

looking at the guy like he's gonna kill

him in a second you know his guns gonna

come out and he's just gonna blow this

guy away

he just says again I won't leave unless

they asked me to stay

and then the guy finally gets it he

understands who this is he realizes it's

a sudden dance kid and they use he's one

second from being dead and the guy says

would you stay and play and the son

Sundance suddenly changes from I'm gonna

kill you at any second - no I gotta go

he takes up his chips and he walks away

it seems to me that the smartest people

in this conversation about rep rep

reparations it looks to me like they're

smarter than then maybe you thought on

the surface and I'm talking about

everybody you know I'm not talking just

about the civil rights leaders types I'm

talking about the Democrats you know the

generic white Democrats were part of

this I think they're creating an

off-ramp very much like the Sundance Kid

they need to have the conversation

before they can say no thank you

do you see it yet you have to have the

conversation before you can say no thank

you

doesn't sound the same now right because

you're thinking about it and you thought

wait a minute that's not exactly the way

this is being reported no it's not

because nobody can say what I just said

nobody can say that this is theater but

really really useful theater this is

theater in the best sense of government

in the best sense of healing I want to

have this conversation I would like I

would like to be a constructive part of

it you know I've already written the

patent I blogged about it I've suggested

that we should do it let me tell you how

you could thread this needle and have

reparations without any reparations are

you ready for this are you ready for me

to tell you how you can have reparations

for slavery at the same time there are

no reparations for slavery can be done

and I think that they're starting to

navigate toward it here it is

this is the hawk Newsome strategy hog

Newsome a leader of black lives matter

in New York once told me one of the

smartest things you'll ever hear he said

that if you help the black community you

can't do it without so I will tell you

without simultaneously helping

everybody's who's in the same situation

doesn't matter your your ethnicity the

only way you can help the black

community you know realistically is in a

way that helps everybody so

hypothetically if the government said

let's do a basket of things that are

really good for people at the lowest

level of the heck of an economic

spectrum well it will do some things to

help them get jobs we'll do some things

to help low income people get to college

better

we'll get them better mentors will help

them be safe will get them fed better

food maybe because nutrition matters

maybe we'll work on wait for it prison

reform which of the things I said are

black specific none none there's not a

single thing I said that is specific to

the african-american community but if

the way we get there yes the way we get

there

to a place where we figured out

collectively an agreeable number of

things we can do for the people who need

the most help if we can agree on that

it's good for everybody the African

American community will be primarily

responsible for getting that done they

will be one of the biggest beneficiaries

just because of the numbers of people

who are in different categories but they

will not be the sole beneficiaries and

it will be good for all now my minimum

requirement for this is that the only

people will pay forward to the rich but

it should be the rich black the rich

white the rich brown rich whatever else

as long as it's the rich not the middle

class but only the rich who are

everybody

lose me if only the rich are paying for

it and it helps everybody it's not

limited to ethnicity but it does help

the black community more because there

might be more of them in a certain

economic strata would you be against

that because it would solve two problems

number one it would help people who were

who need help and number two it would

take the conversation about reparations

off the table and it would make the

black community in this country the

heroes think about that think about

think about the legacy of slavery

evolving all the way through Jim Crow to

you know a better situation to something

that's a lot closer to equality in 2019

don't stop there take it to the next

level take take the the legacy of

slavery all the way through to hero

status if the black community is the

primary mover of this conversation and

what it ends up with is helping white

black brown everybody in the lower

strata best win of all time if that

happens you're going to say Sheila

jackson-lee

is one of the best politicians on the

planet and she would be right so the the

the small number of people who are

pushing this are doing it with nuance

that you don't quite appreciate they

have a better plan that it sounds this

is a really really positive thing that's

being presented as a stupid thing really

I mean if it was just white people write

checks the black people it would be a

stupid thing but that's not going to

happen all right let's stop talking

about that this topic makes people

really uncomfortable you can see it in

the comments people are people are

begging me to change the topic all right

but we will so speaking of this stuff

Joe Biden is now I think he's gone to

zero chance of winning is does anybody

think Joe Biden has any chance of

winning

I thought his odds were low but I think

it's going to zero and the main the main

thing that's changed

this is CNN has turned on and man did

they turn on so Biden the human gaffe

machine he said he says this is the

first sentence on a CNN article about it

right so the first sentence of a CNN

article about anybody tells you their

editorial opinion the rest of the

article might have some facts that sort

of soften it but look for the first

sentence first sentence was this is the

am talking about Biden his campaign

started the day by defending his

nostalgia for a more civil Washington

when getting things done meant working

with segregationists on occasion so

Biden apparently praised his own ability

to get things done in the past saying

that he could work with these two

senators who he named who were famous

for being big ol racists now did Biden

do something wrong well in terms of a

gaffe it was a gaffe so yes it was wrong

in terms of he created a trap and then

he fell into it but did he say anything

wrong that makes him a racist no because

the whole point of it was he could work

with anybody and so he picked two people

who were the best example of the worst

people in the world he said I could even

work with those guys and be civil with

him now maybe that's a bad idea maybe

that doesn't play in 2019 so it was it

was a gaffe probably had to probably you

know put the final nail in his his

attempt so now you see CNN headlines on

their page is all anti Biden it's anti

Biden and then interspersed with G

Elizabeth Warren's looking good Bernie's

falling how about that Elizabeth Warren

huh Elizabeth Warren looks good huh what

about Elizabeth Warren people are saying

good things about her huh Elizabeth

Warren's poll numbers seem to be

improving huh it seems that Elizabeth

Warren has lots of

plans for things people are starting to

get excited about Elizabeth Warren oh oh

by the way Joe Biden keeps making racist

gaffes and we're gonna we're gonna put a

panel together to discuss whether Joe

Biden is out of touch

they're absolutely killing Joe Biden CNN

has turned inviting Mike you've never

seen like if you should look at their

front page today it's hilarious

so or as one of the pundits on CNN said

in a little clip that it feeds the

narrative now whose narrative was this

but it feeds the narrative that there by

bears of another time or an except with

the modern party and as soon as they

start talking about it it becomes the

news right so the more CNN asks a

question the more the question turns

into a fact so I'm just I'm just asking

the question is Biden an end of step

with 2019

just a question what do you think do you

think Biden's Adam step how about you

should we talk about how Biden might be

on the step I'm not saying he is but

let's talk about it's a question and

until they said talk about it until it

just becomes what everybody believes is

true you must be out of touch so it's

clear that they're taking him out

talking about Warren here's another

statement from asan CNN that she has a

plan for everything and people are

craving substance are they are people

craving substance have they ever met

people yeah if there's one thing I know

about people they're not craving

substance that's one thing they're not

craving they're craving a good show

the craving revenge they're craving

money either they're craving sex and

food people crave a lot of stuff but you

know what people never ever crave

political substance the fact that they

would even say that let's see it was

hilarious because nothing could be less

true than that

this gets better oh and let me make a an

overall statement about Biden that is

everything you need to know whoever is

the the candidate for the Democrats

becomes the de-facto will say figurehead

or logo or brand for CNN and MSNBC so

see that in embassy embassy and the

other the other anti-trump news they

start by just talking about these

candidates so at first it's just that

let's talk about Biden we'll talk about

you know these other candidates Buddha

judge had a good week Allah so the

beginning is easy you're just talking

about him but there's some point and and

I wish I had said this ahead of time

because it was easy to predict but now

it's sort of too late so it's not a

prediction it's just something for you

to look at once it becomes clear that

one of them might win or that somebody

pulls out in the polls as Biden did then

instead of just talking about them

they're imagining their future in which

they talk non-stop

about how great Biden is let's say

you're the executives and the on-air

hosts of CNN do you want a year from now

to be spending all your time talking

about how awesome Joe Biden is that's

not a good accessory in other words it

doesn't go good with you doesn't go well

with your clothing doesn't fit your

brand

it's boring TV has somebody saying in

the comments it's a really bad future

and I think that CNN and probably the

rest of the anti trend media has now had

to like live with the imagined future of

a Biden candidacy or worse she had a

Biden presence of presidency and they're

saying he becomes our brand you know

who's good for the brand who was really

good for CNN's brand who was really good

for MSNBC's brand Obama whether you love

Obama

or you dislike Obama that's not the

question right now

the fact is he was pretty cool still is

pretty cool right you could hate him and

all the political reasons you hate him

and you think he's he's the devil

incarnate whatever but he's still cool

he was a cool interesting overachieving

you know surprise came from nowhere

black guy he was cool he's still cool

I'm not a big fan by the way

I'm not a big Obama fan but you can't

separate from the fact pretty cool guy

cool president and so you're CNN and you

say to yourself do I want to associate

with a cool black guy you know he's

young you know you just got a lot going

on in the cool in this area and the

answer is heck yeah heck yeah you want

to associate it with that because that's

cool now imagine they have to live with

old man Biden as their essentially their

mascot for four years oh my god it's

horrible

so it was predictable that they would

have to make a change here's the best

part

I've saving the best part so one of

Sanders top advisers is Simone Sanders

you know her as one of the I don't know

how much she's on CNN lately because

she's taken this role but she was one of

the more prominent pundits on CNN and

she was one who was always calling

President Trump a racist so there are

two just precious

tweets from her this morning she is

responding to the fact that people are

getting on Biden for saying that he

could work with these segregationists so

Simone says in her tweets today at two

tweets first one Joe Biden did not

praise a segregationist that is a

disingenuous take he basically said

sometimes in Congress one has to work

with terrible or downright racist folks

to get things done and then on when when

I'd say that you can't work with them

work around them now Simone's

take on this is a hundred percent

correct a hundred percent correct Joe

Biden is being misinterpreted they are

making something and nothing and then

she correctly says no it's more of a

statement about Joe Biden being able to

work with anybody the whole point is

that there are terrible people he's not

agreeing with him he's calling them

terrible that's the point

he could work with anybody even if

they're terrible so so first part of her

tweet I agree completely but you know

what's funny about it is she's one of

the biggest pushers of the fine people

hoax

she got fine people hoaxed herself this

whole thing about Biden praising a

segregationist never happened it's fake

news she is the biggest pusher of the

fake news about Charlottesville and it

happened to her so karma just gave her

her own fine people hoax and she'll

probably never get out of it

but it gets better there were two parts

to her tweet here's the second part then

said no and Sanders says tweet number

two let's be honest here and that she

goes on to be dishonest she goes let's

be honest here a person currently sits

in the wife's at White House who has in

all capital actually praised white

supremacists that's the fine people hoax

he never did that in fact he condemned

them the very thing she says happened is

the opposite of what happened easy it's

a check just read the read the

transcript she's been pushing this fine

people hoax harder than just about

anybody on CNN and she just got totally

trapped by it so I may have tweeted back

a couple of responses to her you might

want to read those just for your

entertainment let's talk about something

else god that was a delicious story

that's my favorite story of like the

whole month is that she got fighting

people hoax targeted herself that could

not have been more perfect

it just couldn't all right Iran has shot

down a US drone we say it was of

international waters they say it went

over Iran at some point but here's

what's interesting

when when in our history our military

history of Earth how often do you get to

attack something that doesn't have a

human in it attacking somebody's drones

is starting to get really close to a

Star Trek you know with the or the first

Star Trek series on TV plot you know

which one I'm talking about so there's a

futuristic scene in Star Trek in which

they found some planet that was at war

but instead of having a real war where

people were getting killed fighting each

other they would have some kind of a

simulated war in the computer and then

whoever won the simulated war the other

side the losers would have to have their

citizens you know go to voluntary you

know a death machine so we go into some

machine that which is killing so instead

of having a proper war there would be

the same number of people dead but they

wouldn't do a physical war they just

killed the people who lost this this

shooting down of a drone kind of tells

you what the future looks like right

here's what the future looks like

whoever owns the sky will win every war

if they care enough to find it so

because of the the power of drones

whoever owns the airspace over a country

effectively owns that country in the

future

wouldn't you say and most of that

doesn't need to be real people so the

Air Force in the future will be unarmed

drones because why would you put a

person there you don't need to and there

will be lots of them and the unarmed

Jones will fight it out now do the

unarmed Jones need to kill people they

don't because whoever owns the airspace

can simply tell those people you'd

better do what we want because now we

own the airspace because we can we can

kill you it will we can do anything we

want with your country because we own

this space above it so in the future

undoubtedly entire wars will be felt

will be fought by unmanned vehicles in

the sky and they'll be you know they'll

be falling like flies as they shoot each

other

eventually one force one country or one

entity will win and only their drones

will be in the sky at that point the war

is over because the humans underneath

have no chance against the drones they

have no chance drones could just hang up

there all day long if you go outdoors

they kill you unless you do what the

country with the drones tells you to do

so I think we're going to see entire

Wars of thought without a single human

being being involved right why wouldn't

that be the case now you could say hey

we we control the sky over countries

that we can't conquer but that's with

human human aircraft if you've got

drones and you could have almost like a

almost a ceiling of drones at all time

you could just see everything you can

shoot everything you would not be able

to run any kind of a country that's

blanketed with drones from an enemy you

just couldn't do it so I think that's

where we're going we're going to Wars

that there are no humans involved just

no humans the humans just find out who

won at the end except you know the

humans are running the drones all right

Lindsey Graham has said that we should

make a target list and if Iran continues

making trouble military trouble that we

should quote take out their Navy and

maybe their refineries now that would be

some serious stuff wouldn't it and I

thought to myself probably do need to do

that I think the odds of us taking out

the entire Iranian Navy as well as their

refineries it's pretty good I put the

odds at 5050 I think we're up to 50-50

chance that we will militarily take out

their entire Navy and some or all of the

refineries I think that will happen

50/50 chance one other thing about

Elizabeth Warren if Elizabeth Warren

makes it to the big

show and she's the candidate against

Trump and I'm not predicting this I'm

just saying that if it happened if it

happened wouldn't she look like the

grandmother running against the dad

because even though I think she's

younger than Trump right but she she

comes off as older because she's got the

grandma glasses and the grandma haircut

and stuff and Trump doesn't quite look

like a grandfather right I mean he is

but he feels more like the older dad and

so so here's the interesting thing I

think when everything's going great

grandma looks like a pretty good deal

because she'll make you some cocoa and

give you a hug yeah that's all you need

things are going great give me a hug

give me a cocoa when things are

dangerous the more the way they were

when Trump came into power then you want

the badass you know dad you want the one

who goes downstairs with the baseball

bat

now again I'm talking in human

stereotypes I'm not saying that there

are no badass grandmas you know we're

good with a gun I'm not saying every dad

will pick up a baseball bat and take

care of work people are all different

but in our stereotypical bias heads it's

gonna look like grandma versus dad right

how's that turn out well the other thing

that grandma has grandma Warren yeah I

don't know if she's actually a grandma

but she she just projects sort of

grandmotherly qualities which by the way

does not eliminate anybody from being

president I'm not saying I'm not saying

that's bad at all it could be the

perfect vibe for the country in the

right circumstances but she has two

bigger problems here are Warren's two

biggest problems she's a lawyer and an

academic and for every person who says

yes I crave substance and I want to hear

all of her policy ideas and my god she

certainly understands the details of the

policy for every person who says that

there

to be three people who say she's boring

and I don't like her energy and she just

doesn't seem like she's strong

so her strengths unfortunately don't

translate well to the political realm

Trump's strengths translate perfectly

because he understands that facts don't

matter and that how people feel matters

Warren believes that how people think

matters and not how they feel so much

that should be a blowout if she is the

candidate I still think that that when

Biden and Sanders tank which I predict

will happen if Warren became the top the

top in the polls or close to the top in

the polls I think that you would see

also Kamala Harris starting to creep up

into that second or third position and

I've always said she's the sleeper

I think Komal Harris is a sleeper here

somebody's prompted me to talk about the

Central Park five well the Central Park

five is another story that's similar to

the fine people hoax in the sense that

Trump used the attention that that story

got to make a larger case about having

the death penalty then people

illegitimately said oh he wants to kill

innocent black people therefore he's a

racist nothing like that happened yeah

and even though he is concerned that the

five were guilty of other crimes

remember the prosecutor well not

everybody knows us but the woman who

prosecuted the case agreed that they

were not guilty of the the primary crime

but they were guilty in her opinion and

there was plenty of evidence for it in

her opinion that there that they could

have got a conviction on other similar

bad behavior that night but not that

specific crime so Trump made a statement

about crime in general and never

mentioned ethnicity did not mention

specifically these people but it's

obvious that's what inspired it being

against crime is pretty different

being racist yeah I'm pretty sure you

can be black and not like crime I think

that's the thing pretty sure so the the

Central Park five thing is just one of

the backup hoaxes in case they find

people hoax falls apart which it is

apparently a number of companies are

moving out of China

I wasn't sure this was gonna happen and

I'm still not sure it is happening but

Fox News has a list of several less of

fewer than ten but there are big

companies who are either considering a

move or are planning to move and if

China now you should be careful about

making too much of this because I don't

know this is true but I'm going to

speculate that if you were to throw a

dart at a time line any time you looked

at companies moving in around China

there would probably always be a few

companies who are considering moving out

is that true I somebody fact check me on

this but it seems to me that where you

do your production is an ongoing revised

process all the time so even if you

would move to China and ten years ago

you're probably still looking at Vietnam

you know you probably have somebody in

your big multinational corporation whose

job it is to look at China and say okay

that was a good idea ten years ago but

Vietnam is making us an excellent offer

or Guatemala or something so I don't

know if we're seeing a real uptick in

companies leaving well here's what we

are seeing we're seeing the risk of

companies staying go up considerably I

think we're seeing companies say to

themselves hey it doesn't look like

there's any chance of a real trade deal

with China by a real trade deal I mean

one in which they're not stealing our

technology and and using it to build a

military to oppose us if you are Apple

computer and you're saying okay at the

moment we can sort of get away with

having a Chinese production facility but

it started

to shape up the way public opinion is

moving because the president's moving

public opinion on this amazingly and

it's one of his greatest successes is

how he's moved public opinion on both

sides about China's unfair trade

practices there will be a point coming

very soon where if you're a great

American company that you can't even on

your own conscience you can't be in

China so if you're a public company and

you care about what your customers and

your stockholders saying you're going to

be looking at this situation and you say

you know it's sort of okay now but it

would be actually dumb to plan a move

into China could we agree that if you

were contemplating moving to China

before let's say a few years ago you

were you're ramping up and saying yeah

we've targeted China we want to build

some facilities would it be fair to say

that you would not proceed with that

project if you had to decide today so if

you were sitting around a meeting table

today in a big fortune 500 company and

somebody says to the boss we need a

final decision are we going to move our

production into China

what's the CEO going to say hold give me

some options no smart CEO would commit a

large amount of resources to moving into

China under these conditions and it

doesn't look like those conditions are

going to change I don't see China moving

against fentanyl they talked about it

but there's no action I don't see them

doing anything really about theft of

intellectual property I don't see them

you know ramping down their military and

their military seems primarily aimed at

us right China's entire military who

else are they fighting with they don't

have anyone else to fight they're cool

with Russia you know what do they need a

navy for they don't need a navy to fight

Russia right the Navy is about us so I

don't think an American company can move

into China

there's the big story the big story is

not how many are moving out the big

story is that nobody's going to move in

that's that's done in my opinion any big

company that makes a new decision one

one that's you know they can actually

decide either way no big company can do

that now I met when was the last time

you heard some big company announced

they're moving to China it would be

suicide it would be crazy it wouldn't

matter what the tax situation or the

employment situation is you just

wouldn't do it so I think that you might

see you might see at first a slow

trickle of people moving and China but

every day that the trade negotiations go

on and it seems more and more obvious

that no deal can be reached because

apparently China doesn't do business

that way apparently China does not do

honest business where they make a deal

and then they keep it it just doesn't

seem to be part of the set of possible

things and as long as that's the case I

would expect China's economy to crash in

the next 20 years so that's my

prediction China's economy will take

quite a beating in the next 20 years all

right that is what I wanted to talk

about today I have these little pieces

of paper so I look more like a real

newsman check that off check that off

check that off

all right can we laugh a little more

somebody says I don't know what's funny

now let's talk about concentration camps

so one of the things that is very

amusing about aoc is that she can even

tell you what she's doing and you'll

still act like it's not happening so she

did it again she's right she didn't

write in in her sweet spot so she called

the let's call them detention centers

for immigrants on the border she fell

them in concentration camps

what happened when she called them

concentration camps well suddenly we

started seeing photos of these detention

centers which I've never seen had you

ever seen a photo of the detention

centers I hadn't but as soon as she

calls them concentration camps photos

all over right so suddenly we know a lot

more about these detention centers

suddenly the priority of them has has

gone up we're talking about AOC we're

talking about the detention centers

we're talking about a topic in which she

is relatively strong because she's got

sort of a moral argument if not a

practical it's not very practical and

and and everybody's saying AOC how dare

you compare this to Hitler how dare you

compare this to the Holocaust and

they're completely correct as I often

say there are at least two things you

should never compare don't prepare the

Holocaust to anything ever

there's no right time to compare

anything to the Holocaust and American

slavery there's nothing like it

stop saying there's anything like

slavery in America there are other

slavery situations but these are unique

things and you should never compare

anything to them

you just look dumb but she did it and

she did it she did it that's funny so

the people who come in here and anyway

I'll just block that troll and so anyway

AOC is doing what she's really really

really good at even if you don't like a

lot of things about her she she focused

all attention on the thing that helps

her helps the Democrats and hurts the

president in maybe could someday help

the the immigrants themselves although

I'm not sure that that's the top

priority for a or C I'm not reading your

mind I just don't know one way or the

other so there's still people on here

saying a or C is inherited it has and

she looks pretty dumb you are so missing

the show

if for those of you don't know AOC was

is selected based on American Idol like

contest

she literally auditioned for the job of

politician with Democratic people who

knew how to pick people it's not an

accident that she's this good it's not

an accident she was selected out of

thousands of people because she can do

this this is special you don't have to

like it but it's special and she can

reproduce it over and over again and

every time she does people say that's a

stupid thing she's saying how could she

be so dumb and then we go on and talk

about all the things she wants us to

focus on and she gets more powerful and

and and it's all because of our reaction

to her all right so that's all I have to

say about her and by the way you know

what the smartest thing yeah now never

mind I'm not going to say that I changed

my mind in mid-sentence she did - all

right she liked you now I'm luckier

comments I just make sure I haven't

missed any topics that you want to talk

about here all right there's just more

bad a OC stuff you know it's it's kind

of I don't know it makes me sad that you

can't appreciate the talent at the same

time maybe you you're hating her

politics I feel like you could hate her

politics and still respect how effective

she is and feel like I feel like you can

do that because I hate her politics yeah

there are things which she said calling

you know Republicans racist every five

minutes etc there are things I

absolutely deplore about her her stated

opinions who knows what she's thinking

but man you can't say it's not effective

we're oh the Libra so Facebook is

producing its own crypto that's the

scariest thing in the world isn't it is

there anything you would want less than

Facebook to control your money that just

feels like the worst idea in the world

I'm just sort of a conceptual level you

don't even need to know the details yeah

just start with this

hey facebook wants to control money what

what what it's crazy so let me give you

an update on my own shadow banning I

expect that this video will get D

monetize almost certainly so this this

video so remember what I talked about

here so during this during this

periscope was there any material on here

that you think is controversial or

should be d monetized anything no no I I

in fact I came out in favor of the the

fight of people different fighting

people but the good people who are

talking about reparations I'm on the

side of the Angels right there's nothing

I said on here this should be d

monetized but I am calling out the fine

people hoax again it wasn't I didn't

want to but it was in the news again so

this will be d monetized

or it will be like my my video yesterday

where I did a test where instead of

saying find people hoax I just used the

letters F P H and I wanted to see if

there their speech-to-text would pick

that up and flag it by its initials in

theory it would not and what happened

instead of getting demonetised that

video was suppressed for the first

several hours so it was completely

throttled back it was it was sort of

taken out of the recommended video cues

so if it doesn't get recommended to

people it just yeah is limited to the

audience itself and that that's much

smaller so I complained about it in

public and said it had to be human

interference

or human intervention there had to be a

human being who is watching my videos

and probably other political voices and

looked at it and said we don't want this

opinion to be to be seen

they didn't de monetize it they just

throttled it which is way in a way D

monetizing at least is honest but since

you can't defend the D monetization it's

better to hide it because when you do

monetize people complain hey I'm

demonetised but when they just hide your

traffic you can't tell unless you look

at the curve and then it's really

obvious so you let me explain to you so

there's a within within YouTube there

are these analytics and one of the

things they'll do is if you've had lots

of videos they'll show you sort of a

zone that your video traffic is almost

certainly going to be in if it's like

the others because it's a pretty big

zone it's the the your worst video and

your best video so there's a lot of

space in there for for where the new one

is the first one if this is normal the

first one did this it was a straight

line for like hours it's not even

possible alright that you can't get that

curve of just like a straight line when

all of your videos go like this I've

just walked for several hours just goes

into straight line at zero it was pretty

obvious that that was human intervention

and whoever that human is knows I'm

talking about them right now so here's

the weird part there's somebody watching

this probably I don't know if they watch

it to the end but there's probably

somebody watching it right now whose job

it is to suppress my voice or at least

they think it is they think it's their

job but I want you to look at this video

because I'm talking to you now whoever

whoever is watching me for YouTube tell

me if there was anything in here that

cannot be validated by looking at to

find people transcript you can look at

it yourself

just google it fine people Charles will

train transcript see it for yourself

there's nothing I said that's untrue and

there's nothing I said that would be

even slightly slightly socially

unacceptable

do your job please just do your job and

that message is for whoever's watching

and the rest of you I will talk to you

tomorrow