Episode 547 Scott Adams - How to Win on Social Media for 2020

but bumpin hey everybody it's time for coffee with Scott Adams in the simultaneous up why is this so important you ask yourself well let me explain have you ever noticed that when you were in the bad mood everything seems to go bad that day but if you're in a good mood it seems like everything goes well that day have you ever noticed that not every single thing but it seems like when you're in a good mood you have more good things happen when you're in a bad mood it looks like the universe is conspiring against you I know you've noticed that it's probably not a coincidence it could be because reality is subjective and you're actually creating reality as you go we don't know if that's true we don't know if you're creating reality we don't know if maybe it just seems that way but I can tell you one thing if you start your day in a good mood chances are the rest of your day is gonna be a lot better and one of the ways to do that is to join me for the simultaneous sip an unparalleled pleasure probably the best way to start the morning of all time all you need is a cup or a mug or glass a chalasis stein a tankard possibly a thermos maybe a flask fill it with you afraid of liquid I like coffee and joining me now for the simultaneous and if you haven't learned to do the AA part you should really get on that because it really makes a difference all right well I'm full of good news today I'm probably going to do more good news and bad news from now on I'm gonna become your source of dopamine that chemical that makes you feel good all day so the first thing we should know is that we're coming into the summer news cycle how what is different about these summer news cycle there's not much news so we're going to be entering the period where the news sort of fries there won't be necessarily I mean there could be but chances are there's not a lot happening over the summer last summer was so slow by August the news was so dead by August that the President of the United States invited me and to have a chat I'm not even making that up yeah you know last August the news was so slow you know Congress was off doing their summer vacations or whatever that literally the President of the United States said no it's calling back calling that Dilber guy and we'll chat for a little while now he was talking to a lot of people that summer I think he was just using the time to shore up his his base which was very smart but summer is coming and there isn't a lot of bad news for this president indeed the only news that sort of brewing looks like it's maybe more good news than bad news and so the Democrats are probably just having you know a cow right now so to say can you have a cow under that doesn't make sense I need to have a cow there's that like giving birth to a cow it makes no sense I think it's the same anyway they're gonna desperately need some bad news to give them something to talk about for the summer it doesn't look like it's going to be served up if you look at the Middle East peace plan that Jared is looking into there are two possibilities one nothing good will come of it which would be largely when everybody would expect so that's not really bad news that would be well we tried again nothing happened but there is something different about the Middle East right now that we've never seen before we have never seen a time in history when the Middle East was as well situated for peace some kind of a comprehensive peace in which the Palestinians and the Israelis and the and the Iranians at minimum may some kind of some kind of a deal and what I mean by that is that everybody is flexible in a way they had never been before so you have the most flexible group of countries more flexible than they've ever been for different reasons I'll talk about that at the same time you probably have the strongest leaders and the most I would say the most flexible leaders the people who have the most strength and flexibility at the same time which is really really something you don't want to lose I mean the fact that Jared Kushner is trying to make something happen I think he knows that their main name they may never be a better time here's why Saudi Arabia with all of the issues that we know about with to shogi and everything else has still maintained a good relationship with the United States at great political cost to president Trump he president Trump invested a lot of political capital in keeping Saudi Arabia in our friend circle even if maybe they haven't earned it that's of assets the president created an asset had a nothing this is what he does better than anything he creates something out of nothing because that's something that was Saudi Arabia really really needs to redeem itself in the Middle East redeem itself with the world what could be a better way what could be a better way than some kind of comprehensive peace plan meanwhile other big player the Iranians you know if Iran is forced into some kind of a deal that means that their proxies are also have pressure to make a deal so if you get around you probably make a lot of progress with all the proxies maybe with the Palestinians as well and it looks to me like Iran the way they're talking and the way they're acting is that they realize they're giving have to do something different to get a different result than what they have right now and what they have right now is a bad situation their economy is getting strangled in a way it's never been strangled before we've never had this level of economic pressure on them and to the point where it could bring down the regime in a year or two yes they don't do anything yes they don't make a big change they're probably gonna fail in a year or two so time is not on their side and that makes them flexible now they tried flexing their military muscle a little bit just to see if they could change the variables and president Trump quickly shut that down by sailing much of our naval assets into the area just to say maybe you should not do this and it looks like the Iranians decided maybe we shouldn't do this so I would say Iran is more flexible than they've ever been because there's more pressure than there's ever been and they're getting close to the total failure point Saudi Arabia's got money influence etc other countries in the region or have worked with us before they've got money they're probably getting flexible too and then you've got Israel Israel is coming from the point of strength right now and if Netanyahu continues being their leader he's got a great relationship with with the president and he's he's made at least peace gestures towards the people of Iran and he seems to be the right person the right set of skills the right you know badass personality to make a deal because it helps that you're a hardliner if you're trying to make peace cuz then the then the threat of war is still credible and everybody knows you're doing it from the right reasons it's not because in a week so I'm not going to go so far as to predict that there will be Middle East peace I think you'd have to be foolish to make that prediction after you know a zillion years of no peace but I will say unambiguously we've never had this set of variables where everybody's flexible at the same time for different reasons and we have really strong leaders in all those countries so even the Ayatollah no matter what you think about he's a strong leader and he can he could make something happen if he needs to then maybe he will not be the leader in a year so things could change all right so there's that then of course there's the whole situation with Bill Barra looking into the looking into the what was the origins of the Russia investigation certainly there will be no good news coming into that for Democrats we don't know what will come in it but it's not going to be good news for Democrats so they've got a tough tough summer coming up it's it looks like it's going to be a summer of unparalleled economic success may be something positive looking in the Middle East Kim jong-un remains remains friends with President Trump apparently and by the way people have joked about this but it's it's not really a joke when Kim jong-un started insulting John Bolton he was pacing most of the electorate in the United States it was one of those weird situations in which everybody came together but we didn't see it coming when Kim jong-un said that what did he call Bolton he called national security so North Korea's government called National Security Advisor John Bolton quote a war monger and quote a defective human product and most of the people in the United States saw that and they said yeah that's it's not too far off you know I'm not gonna I'm not gonna put up a canter to that argument at the moment he's John Bolton is somebody that largely the people on both the right and the left are pretty we're wary of him I will go oh even further and say if we did not have a president Trump to make sure that Bolton's instincts you know have some kind of a counter and it's it's a superior counter if we didn't have that I don't know if I would talk about anything else except getting rid of him like nothing would be more important to the well-being of the world and the country then removing John Bolton from office if if you didn't have a president Trump who I think is a reliable you know counter to Mia's impulses you put them together and they're actually a really strong team the this has been said many times but it has to be said again Bolton is the bad cop and he does create a useful asset that the president has skillfully used to say well you know it'd be good to be friends with me because I can make good things happen I can help your economy I can avoid war I can do everything you want I have everything you want and I'm willing to help you with it but if that doesn't work out have you met John Bolton because he's got some ideas that you might not like so much so they're a great team but when kid kim jongwan insults bolton most of the united states says well finally we're on the same page with this now bolton does have his supporters so i don't want to exaggerate that but it is humorous that the worst thing happening with North Korea right now think about it the worst thing happening with North Korea in the United States is the president president Trump is having fun with it you know he's joking about Joe Biden people in the United States are saying well if Kim jong-un is just insulting John Bolton Kim jong-un is he's not done yeah at least at least he thinks like we do on some things so that's pretty funny all right I talked about I did a special periscope yesterday have to do that you listed about Trump's Trump's hilarious tweet in which he said I was actually sticking up for sleepy Joe Biden while on foreign soil kim jeong-hoon called him a quote low IQ idiot and many other things whereas I related the court of Chairman Kim as a much softer quote low IQ individual who could possibly be upset with that now do you remember a couple years ago when people were saying it was popular for people to say I hope this behavior doesn't become normalized don't normalize this behavior this president cannot be normalized whatever you do don't normalize them and I look at this quote and I think aren't you glad this got normalized I mean seriously can you tell me you're not happy that this got normalized this is funny it's fun it doesn't hurt anybody it's just good clean fun and and the fact that President Trump brought it is by Kim jong-un and as part of the joke just makes it funnier and you know Kim Jordan probably saw this and said okay that's pretty funny don't you don't you think kim jagran saw this and said okay well there's two things we agree on Jon Bolton's kind of a wild card and Joe Biden's kind of a low Q individual so it's probably the healthiest maybe the healthiest sign you could ever say is that Trump and Kim Jong are sort of joking about Joe Biden there's no way that's bad you could try to turn that into something bad but it is not it is whatever the opposite of war if you were to make a continuum where you know there's good stuff on this side and all the way to it war on the on this side we're as far away from war as you can get when you're making jokes jokes are a good place to be all right there was a huge thing that happened recently that the news will not recognize as anything it will be completely it will never be news you'll never be a headline and might possibly be and I feel this strongly by the way one of the most important things happening in the world right now and I might be biased because some of you remember I guess a few years ago I had teased on social media that I had an idea that could change the world and I was willing to sell that idea I did as an experiment to see if anybody would fund a company based on an idea and I actually got a company to say yes and send me they sent me a contract and said yeah that idea is so good that we will actually give you a percentage of the company just for the idea and some internal changes happen at the company and they ended up not being able to complete the contract which was independent of whether it was a good idea so I had an idea that I thought would change the world a company was willing to fund it and and I didn't even have to do anything which was very unusual because that's not a normal situation people don't pay for ideas that just doesn't happen nobody pays for an idea unless it's such a good idea here's the idea Y Combinator which is probably the most prestigious startup incubator in the country maybe the world you announced that one of their companies raised monies it's called out schooler o UT schooler one word out of schooler they got investments and what they are they describe themselves as quote the Netflix of education online the Netflix of online education what that means is exactly the idea that I tried to sell unsuccessfully to this company and that idea is to have a marketplace where anybody can create a class just like Netflix is a marketplace where anybody can create a movie and if they make a good movie Netflix will consider putting that on their platform if you make a good TV show the Netflix will put it under plot and so they have done the thing that is somebody saying udemy does that on on making a stark difference between classes that a company puts on a platform versus a platform that lets anybody put content there if they meet certain requirements now I'm not an expert on the other companies doing that so there may be some other companies who are already in the business which would be all good news so the point is that the education field had never been subject to competitive to competition to free market competition if you have a platform the you own it you control who the instructors are etc that's not exactly a free market enough situation but if you have something that's really a Netflix for education then even I I mean literally me I could make a class so I can say to myself you know what you know what kids were 14 through 18 need to learn well they need to learn about maybe systems over goals maybe they need to learn about persuasion maybe they need to learn how to write I could make her class and that I could put it on there and if people like my class I could make money somebody's saying web IQ is this so I'm not going to necessarily say that yeah and and You.

Tube could do this as well but as the free market allows people to compete for online here's the big thing here's the big idea for all of this online training has the potential to be so inexpensive is effectively free we're very close to the point where online education will become good enough that people will prefer it over going in person we're not there yet right now going in person is still up here doing it online is still down here there are exceptions you know they're played you know so certainly there are bad bad in-person teachers and good online things that might be better but in general on average in person is still better than online but these free market classes will allow people to compete just like movies do and the quality of the online is just going to keep going up the quality of in-person education is not going to get much better it's sort of as good as it's going to be but online will keep getting better because these free market forces the moment it crosses over the only thing missing is the certifications the credibility the the the part where you say I got a degree and it means something that is almost certainly going to change in the next five to ten years maybe sooner and all it requires is people with enough credibility I always use Bill case as my example because he works for lots of examples if Bill Gates ever says publicly here's the deal if you take these specific classes online I will award you the the Gates Foundation Bachelors of Education or whatever it is whatever the classes the moment he does that people are gonna say well that's the thing that's the thing Bill Gates looked into it he's credible if he says this is a if he says this is a college degree that's college degree if Warren Buffett says if you take these classes online you have a degree in my opinion I will give you the Warren Buffett college degree certification that means something now not everybody could do that but people who have enough of a credibility could certainly do that could President Trump do that yes he could president Trump through the administration not him personally yeah let's let's not call it Trump University that I guess that's the problem so forget what I said about President Trump let's make it a government certification the government could say we're going to certify college degrees online as collections of classes if they meet certain criteria and the government could say here are the criteria and anybody who meets it can say I got the the government the four-year degree what that whatever that is all right somebody said America first university hmm maybe but but the larger point here is that you know when I say that I've left a birdie which I often say I say because I want all the things he wants except as you can see it is often the case that capitalism can get you it can deliver or what socialism promises so socialism promise use you free education but it doesn't have to get it capitalism doesn't promise you anything but it might give you free education in fact I will upgrade my might to it will at this point there's absolutely nothing good that will stop this from happening because the free market will give you increased quality of online education it will cross over in person education and it won't take long three years maybe I'd say three to five years and online education will be functionally completely superior to in-person but it may not have the credibility until people start blessing certain sets of classes but we're going to get there so we have so free education is going to happen free college is going to happen nothing could stop it birdie doesn't even have to do a darn thing he doesn't have to promise anything he doesn't have to he doesn't have to get out of bed in the morning birdie is gonna get free college he just has to wait that's three to five years all right so that's the other good news apparently Netflix is rethinking speaking of Netflix to Netflix related stories and you know one day the real Netflix is thinking about rethinking their thinking about rethinking their investment in Georgia yeah under the condition that these so-called hard hard to beat bills about abortion get past now they didn't say they pull out they said they did rethink their investment but what I predicted was that these states that make abortion impossible through whatever whatever legislation or other means those states will be so economically damaged that it will limit how many states are willing to do this so I do think some states will become no abortion states that seems likely but they will suffer economically because companies will decide not to go there and probably this is my other prediction from long ago it seems to me that apps will form sort of like the Go.

Fund.

Me apps in which somebody can finance travel to another state to get an abortion so if several southern states make abortion impossible or the clinics move away because it's too hard to operate there will be and the app I guarantee it I don't know who's gonna make it but I guarantee this will happen there will be an app this says I need an abortion and I'm in the wrong state what do I do and you're going to find all the resources for somebody to give you a ride you'll find somebody to stay with somebody to make sure that you're okay when you're you're in this other state and a ride back home they might even help you fund it it's possible all right so some apps will somebody somebody mentioned my startups app when hub and I wasn't thinking about that when I mentioned this but when hub allows you to talk to any expert about anything and one of those things you could do is connect to somebody who could solve this problem for you I'm not recommending it that's that's not what the app was made for but it's a general purpose happened which any expert can talk to any person for a fee or for free they don't have to have a fee all right let me let me talk about the Washington Post so somebody associated with the Washington Post one of their one of their central players recently tweeted that although President Trump is talking about Biden's 1994 crime bill and president Trump cleverly said that Democrats can't vote for somebody who was supportive that I love the way he put it he didn't say that's going to be a problem or that works against you whatever he actually said in direct language that that african-americans can't vote for somebody who was involved with that that crime bill now of course they can but let me well you put it in these let me frame it this way many of you remember that maybe a year ago or so I was having conversations with black lives matter leader Hawk Newsom and one of the things I was telling him is that as long as Democrats have all of the votes as long as they have all of the votes of the black population they don't have to deliver anything and I also said that if Republicans could deliver anything just anything for the black population that you would have developed a competitive situation for the first time now let me give incredible credit to Candice Owens Candice Owens and you know I think appointment you know more than a lot of other people there lots of people were involved with this but she seems to be that the most effective voice for letting people understand there's an option to vote Republican if they are so inclined so she's done the best job of making that that competitive situation and because the president was successful with prison reform he now has something specific to talk about this as look Democrats couldn't give me this I gave you this now there are a few some other things he can talk about with unemployment and such but they seem a little less direct unemployment seems like well that's something you did for white people just happened to be good for black people too you know if if you were inclined to think of things in racist ways it would be easy to imagine that that was an accomplishment it was just something that happened but the prison reform thing looks like a direct act it looks like something that was done that has a disproportionate benefit for the african-american community and nobody had to do it yeah I think he would agree the president Truong could have not done prison reform and his supporters probably wouldn't care one way or the other would you agree that's largely the case it wasn't something he did for the base it was something he did for the country because it made sense and because he could that was it it made sense and he could he could do it so he did it exactly what you would like to see any of your government it made sense so they did it but that is created now a competitive situation for the first time it is obvious to the african-american community and I think really for the first time it's obvious that they can they can completely control this election that's a big statement but let me say it again because it's true the black community african-americans in this unite in the United States citizens they will determine or at least they could determine it's up to them who the next president is that's not a too strong statement is it because you know it's gonna be closest no matter what you know that if enough for if enough of the black vote goes Republican to maintain this competitive situation where the Republic where the Democrats really have to offer something they haven't offered anything Republicans have let's get some competition let's see the Democrats offer something that's so good that even the Republicans have to agree let's see the Republicans offer something that's so good that even the Democrats have to agree so congratulations Candice owens larry elder all the folks have worked with the president who have tried to create this exact situation this situation is as perfectly crafted as you ever would want it to be you want people to yeah and Kanye Kanye and yes so Kanye and Kim Kardashian you have to give them Kim Kardashian West you have to give them all all kinds of credit because they created a competitive situation now I don't think that every black person should vote Republican by any means what I think is that they should they should vote for whoever is going to help them the most in their opinion whatever wherever that takes them but think about this situation however how many years ago was it when slavery was the law of the land or at least popular in the south how many years ago was that a few hundred years ago and here we are in 2019 we're coming off you know we came off eight years of a african-american president and 160 people are giving me different different numbers so a while ago both correct me if I'm wrong the the black voters of this country are going to decide the next present is that wrong is it wrong to say that the black voters actually have control of the country right now if they want it if they don't want it they don't have it and you know certainly when black voters decided hey this Barack Obama guy looks kind of good what we'd like to have a president who looks like us did they not decide who was the president could you not say conclusively that Barack Obama was elected because black the citizens wanted him to be elected and of course other people did too but I think that was the deciding part and likewise with this upcoming election if black voters decided that they just couldn't vote for Chompy you would have a lot of trouble getting reelected if they decide that some of them want to vote for him he'll probably get elected so I would say it's kind of down to the black vote and they've created this perfect competitive situation and I hate to be the one who's got all the good news but this is the golden age this is the point where the black population figured out how to guess stuff now one of the things that hog Newsom said that I can never get out of my mind it's just it's just so smart in terms of how to frame things he said that if this country does something that's good for the black community it always helps the country and when you first hear that you think well that can't be that can't be true in every case right but it's hard to find an exception if you do things that are good for the black population in this country you you do end up doing things that are good for everybody you know unless you limit it somehow by race which we would not do all right so let's get to the fun part I made you wait I wanted to tell you because people have been asking me if social media is going to put their finger on the scale and social media is powerful enough that they can essentially decide who will get elected president you know they would even have more power than african-americans because everybody is subject to the same persuasion right so the social media could persuade black voters one way or the other and they would have a lot of influence over that but what can you do about that so I want to talk about that so don't leave because I'm going to tell you what to do if you're worried that social media is going to determine the election you might like this and you might not here's my suggestion for all of you this is what you can do not the government not talking about what Trump does or it's this administration and tell you what tell you what you can do all right here's what you can do don't get kicked off of social media that's number one don't get kicked off of social media you know what you're doing when you're doing something edgy you know when you've gone too far you know when you're pushing the boundaries don't there's no there's no law that says you have to push the boundary think about any tweet that God could anybody kicked off a social media think about it any tweet that ever got somebody kicked off of social media or even put in jail on social media was that tweet important to the person's life never never the the the tweets that get people kicked off of social media are never important they're never important they're just something that was over a line so you gotta kick it off so don't do that if you get temporarily kicked off because you've got a bad tweet or a bad post and all you have to do is remove it remove it remove it right away don't take your own power away all right next grow your followers figure out how to grow your following because then you'll have more voice the more people who follow you more the more influence you have so do what you can to learn how to grow your your user base and how to participate effectively you should follow each other to boost your signal if you're following a number of voices on the right and you would like even more people on the right to have more power follow some extra people figure out who you think is influential and then boost their signals by by yeah let's get rid of this guy alright and then next learn persuasion if you haven't read in my book win Bakley you should do it because social media can have a big influence in terms of decisions they make about what you see but you can also have you can also have the big influence by simply learning how to be more persuasive so read my book win big Lea followed my periscopes and try out some of the techniques be visual don't be obscene because the her stuff gets gets more virality over the next year I will teach you more tips about how to be persuasive and that will helps but here's the big one so this is the one to remember I'm gonna be modeling this going forward on social media when Trump was first running for for election it felt like those who were supporting him were pirates it was like he was the head pirate and he had a band of pirates doing things that were edgy and dangerous and sometimes could get you kicked off of social media things that were maybe on the the border of ethical behavior some of it well beyond that it was a pirate situation and then he won is it appropriate to take your pirate mentality to reelection when this president is successful on all the you know the normal ways that you want success it's not so here's the suggestion become nice it's really powerful if people will support the president simply block everybody who makes a personal comment and never sees that person again you can live first of all a life of far less stress but you will also take it to a higher level you can be a level of maturity that will be hard to fight against it's time to to raise your game it's time to bring your the way you talk about things it's it's it's time to take your your persona align your maturity it's time to take it up a level and recognize that you won you won you got your president right for those of you who are Trump supporters you want act like a winner you don't need to act like a pirate anymore you don't need to argue with their regional I'm watching online as there's there's one particular troll who's been bothering all the people in my timeline because they keep doing this loop where you prove them wrong and then they go back to the original point that you proved wrong before yeah her name is her name is Emily I blocked her but I didn't block all the people who were still interacting with her so I keep seeing their end of it please block her I mean if any of you who are dealing with this Emily troll she's not a real citizen having a real conversation she's not she is a troll she's in it for whatever whatever reaction she's getting don't give it to her so from now on I'm going to completely reverse my pattern online I used to take a personal insult and then insult them back and I'd be it was fun you know mostly it was fun I did it to practice I did it because people would laugh at my replies etc but I'm going to stop doing that as of today I'm going to start giving people no second chance so if somebody comes in with their stupid laundry list oh but your president is a big old racist and here's the 10 things that I hallucinate he did block because that person is not a real voice that person is a person who's got who's got an act they came to bother you and they came to boost their own signal because if you interact with the trolls you're given them more visibility and you're you're making their day you're giving them exactly what they want don't give them what they want just shut them down you can you can completely shut down you can completely shut down the the effectiveness of the other side by blocking them on the first offense so from now on first offense if it's personal so here are the rules I don't block anybody for disagreeing with what I said I don't block anybody for saying oh here's a link you didn't consider this disagreement completely completely acceptable and if I ever if I ever violate that line I know that you'll keep me honest all right but the monitors personal don't wait for the second thing don't answer and don't wait for a second insult removal just like that now the other people I remove are the people who they try to read my mind in public so there are quite a few people who will tweet and they'll include me ins tweets and they'll say something like well Scott will block you for having a people like to say this Scott will block you for proving him wrong online okay if you say that I will block you because I don't do that so anybody who tries to read my mind and say in public what they think I'm thinking you're always wrong so I'm gonna block you instantly because somebody like that doesn't ever go away if you interact with them if you let them go they'll just keep saying more of this stuff so get rid of it all right now at the same time if you are successfully acting nice online eventually that's going to become a story because social media is doing something for you that looks terrible but might not work out as terrible as you think what what the social media platforms are doing are ahead of the 2020 election and maybe just because it's ordinary business they're getting rid of the most provocative voices on social media they are doing both sides alright you could argue that it's not equal and and you know I'm sure that's his argument worth having but the Krassin Stein's have been banned who was it who was the other guy who got banned recently anyway the point is there are bands on both sides I wouldn't worry too much about the fact that there are more conservatives being banned because if the people being banned farik obvious so fair account got banned so what's happening is the the voices on the right that are the ones that would ruin your reputation are being knocked off the system now woods is a special case because he's not really banned all he has to do is get rid of one tweet that has no importance don't don't put Jameson woods into the category of real people who say things and get banned is a different situation he could be back the moment he gets rid of one tweet there's knowing no importance so that's a choice and likewise if you're if you find yourself in the James Woods situation where he in his opinion since the thing he got banned for was a famous quote and it was not really a call to violence he's he's resting on principle apparently I don't want to read his mind but it looks like he's making a principled stand that free speech is free speech and it doesn't matter there's somebody else reinterpreted it wrong that's not the point so I understand that point I accept it it's credible it's you know it's real but if you want to be effective I don't think that's working so it's a principled stand that I'll think works do you know what would work staying on social media and say things that are healthy and good and persuasive that would help did what did you what did James Woods do for you alright when he's online he's a powerful voice that as a you know we hope a productive outcome when he allows himself to be banned over a tweet that has no importance to anybody in the world is he helping you he's not he's not helping you he's not he's not changing anything he's not helping himself he's just got a little vacation from social media so don't be don't be James Woods you know I I say again I'll respect a principled stand and he seems to be taking that so I do respect that I'm just saying that it doesn't help anything does it's not effective it's not effective at all all right so be nice on social media block the trolls immediately do not interact with them don't let them put words in your your mouth so the other people I've I will delete is if I get into a conversation online and they say something along the lines of you know you keep saying this and this is why you're wrong say yes they put words in my mouth you can't fix that the people who say but what you're really thinking you can't fix that all right here's a little lesson on persuasion that I'd like to try it out because you might need to use this one I started on this point and I'm circling back to it so the Washington Post I guess there might have been there Washington bureau chief doesn't matter how it was he tweeted that the president is going to have problems criticizing Biden for his 1994 crime bill because the president quote has his own problems with the the Central Park five situation which was also a long time ago now here's the thing the Central Park five thing President Trump did a full-page ad in which he was complaining about Prague and said maybe we should have the death penalty for these horrible crimes he did not mention race although there was obviously the context was that the five african-american gentleman who had been arrested and later were acquitted were released I forget what but that they were they were found not guilty he believed they were guilty but their race was never part of the conversation Trump Trump never mentioned race he mentioned crime we have seen quite clearly that he talks about crime is crime and when it came to for example the the prison reform bill President Trump did not say oh we can't do that because it's good for black people you know you went ahead and did it because it's good for people so when the Washington Post said he's got this problem because of this Central Park five situation decades ago here's the right response and it's the one that I gave I said that the Washington Post has equated crime and black people and they need to explain that cuz that's what happened I'm not making that up President talked about cried that's it he talked about crime and the death penalty if other people say that's about race you can't make that argument unless you are introducing into the conversation that crime and black people are equated that is racist criticizing the president for making a stand about crime without mentioning race and then going in and saying hey this is some kind of racist anti black people the only way you can make that criticism is if you yourself are a racist who has decided that crime and black people are somehow paired the president didn't do that he never did that he never has done that and I'm pretty sure he'd never will because there's no evidence that he thinks that way he does hate crime that is as clear as possible there's no doubt anyplace mind that he's anti-crime like seriously seriously anti-crime and he's can still do a crime doll because it made sense and it was good for the country somebody's saying I don't agree with you in all issues talking to me but this point is the reason I follow you thank you so if you're in the situation and I know you will be between now and 2020 somebody's going to bring up the Central Park five you've a response to it should be Trump never mentioned race at Bessette that's all you should say about Trump the rest of what you should say is about the fricking jerk who is trying to equate black people and crime which bothers me honestly like I'm not saying this as some clever little thing you know persuasion wise it is persuasion and I am teach you got to do that but it frickin bothers me it bothers me that the racists are accusing somebody who has an active that way of being a racist it's like extra bothering that there's some form of projection going on there ain't using that word projection because I'm not us like psychologist so I withdraw that word I actually mocked that word in my upcoming book all right that's all I got today so so I hope this little little dose of dopamine was good I'm going to keep working on the dopamine angle for these periscopes and by the way if you did not know these periscopes get downloaded in an hour so they will be available on youtube to find them you would just search for the phrase real coffee with scott adams remember the real part real coffee with scallops and then you can have them the You.

Tube experience if you prefer that the live ones will will be on periscope if you want to get refresh but let us end with a second simultaneous sip in case you missed the first one because it's so good so good razor drug with me and join me now that's all for now and let's enjoy the day

[Music]

but bumpin hey everybody it's time for

coffee with Scott Adams in the

simultaneous up why is this so important

you ask yourself well let me explain

have you ever noticed that when you were

in the bad mood everything seems to go

bad that day but if you're in a good

mood it seems like everything goes well

that day have you ever noticed that not

every single thing but it seems like

when you're in a good mood you have more

good things happen when you're in a bad

mood it looks like the universe is

conspiring against you I know you've

noticed that it's probably not a

coincidence it could be because reality

is subjective and you're actually

creating reality as you go we don't know

if that's true we don't know if you're

creating reality we don't know if maybe

it just seems that way but I can tell

you one thing if you start your day in a

good mood

chances are the rest of your day is

gonna be a lot better and one of the

ways to do that is to join me for the

simultaneous sip an unparalleled

pleasure probably the best way to start

the morning of all time all you need is

a cup or a mug or glass a chalasis stein

a tankard possibly a thermos maybe a

flask fill it with you afraid of liquid

I like coffee and joining me now for the

simultaneous and if you haven't learned

to do the AA part you should really get

on that because it really makes a

difference all right well I'm full of

good news today I'm probably going to do

more good news and bad news from now on

I'm gonna become your source of dopamine

that chemical that makes you feel good

all day so the first thing we should

know is that we're coming into the

summer news cycle how what is different

about these summer news cycle there's

not much news so we're going to be

entering the period where the news sort

of fries

there won't be necessarily I mean there

could be but chances are there's not a

lot happening over the summer last

summer was so slow by August the news

was so dead by August that the President

of the United States invited me and to

have a chat I'm not even making that up

yeah you know last August the news was

so slow you know Congress was off doing

their summer vacations or whatever that

literally the President of the United

States said no it's calling back calling

that Dilber guy and we'll chat for a

little while now he was talking to a lot

of people that summer I think he was

just using the time to shore up his his

base which was very smart but summer is

coming and there isn't a lot of bad news

for this president indeed the only news

that sort of brewing looks like it's

maybe more good news than bad news and

so the Democrats are probably just

having you know a cow right now so to

say can you have a cow under that

doesn't make sense I need to have a cow

there's that like giving birth to a cow

it makes no sense I think it's the same

anyway they're gonna desperately need

some bad news to give them something to

talk about for the summer it doesn't

look like it's going to be served up if

you look at the Middle East peace plan

that Jared is looking into there are two

possibilities one nothing good will come

of it which would be largely when

everybody would expect so that's not

really bad news that would be well we

tried again nothing happened but there

is something different about the Middle

East right now that we've never seen

before we have never seen a time in

history when the Middle East was as well

situated for peace some kind of a

comprehensive peace in which the

Palestinians and the Israelis and the

and the Iranians at minimum may

some kind of some kind of a deal and

what I mean by that is that everybody is

flexible in a way they had never been

before so you have the most flexible

group of countries more flexible than

they've ever been for different reasons

I'll talk about that at the same time

you probably have the strongest leaders

and the most I would say the most

flexible leaders the people who have the

most strength and flexibility at the

same time which is really really

something you don't want to lose I mean

the fact that Jared Kushner is trying to

make something happen I think he knows

that their main name they may never be a

better time here's why Saudi Arabia with

all of the issues that we know about

with to shogi and everything else has

still maintained a good relationship

with the United States at great

political cost to president Trump he

president Trump invested a lot of

political capital in keeping Saudi

Arabia in our friend circle even if

maybe they haven't earned it that's of

assets the president created an asset

had a nothing this is what he does

better than anything he creates

something out of nothing because that's

something that was Saudi Arabia really

really needs to redeem itself in the

Middle East redeem itself with the world

what could be a better way what could be

a better way than some kind of

comprehensive peace plan meanwhile other

big player the Iranians you know if Iran

is forced into some kind of a deal that

means that their proxies are also have

pressure to make a deal so if you get

around you probably make a lot of

progress with all the proxies maybe with

the Palestinians as well and it looks to

me like Iran the way they're talking and

the way they're acting is that they

realize they're giving

have to do something different to get a

different result than what they have

right now and what they have right now

is a bad situation their economy is

getting strangled in a way it's never

been strangled before we've never had

this level of economic pressure on them

and to the point where it could bring

down the regime in a year or two yes

they don't do anything yes they don't

make a big change they're probably gonna

fail in a year or two so time is not on

their side and that makes them flexible

now they tried flexing their military

muscle a little bit just to see if they

could change the variables and president

Trump quickly shut that down by sailing

much of our naval assets into the area

just to say maybe you should not do this

and it looks like the Iranians decided

maybe we shouldn't do this so I would

say Iran is more flexible than they've

ever been because there's more pressure

than there's ever been and they're

getting close to the total failure point

Saudi Arabia's got money influence etc

other countries in the region or have

worked with us before they've got money

they're probably getting flexible too

and then you've got Israel Israel is

coming from the point of strength right

now and if Netanyahu continues being

their leader he's got a great

relationship with with the president and

he's he's made at least peace gestures

towards the people of Iran and he seems

to be the right person the right set of

skills the right you know badass

personality to make a deal because it

helps that you're a hardliner if you're

trying to make peace cuz then the then

the threat of war is still credible and

everybody knows you're doing it from the

right reasons it's not because in a week

so I'm not going to go so far as to

predict that there will be Middle East

peace I think you'd have to be foolish

to make that prediction after you know a

zillion years of no peace

but I will say unambiguously we've never

had this set of variables

where everybody's flexible at the same

time for different reasons and we have

really strong leaders in all those

countries so even the Ayatollah no

matter what you think about he's a

strong leader and he can he could make

something happen if he needs to then

maybe he will not be the leader in a

year so things could change all right so

there's that then of course there's the

whole situation with Bill Barra looking

into the looking into the what was the

origins of the Russia investigation

certainly there will be no good news

coming into that for Democrats we don't

know what will come in it but it's not

going to be good news for Democrats so

they've got a tough tough summer coming

up it's it looks like it's going to be a

summer of unparalleled economic success

may be something positive looking in the

Middle East Kim jong-un remains remains

friends with President Trump apparently

and by the way people have joked about

this but it's it's not really a joke

when Kim jong-un started insulting John

Bolton he was pacing most of the

electorate in the United States it was

one of those weird situations in which

everybody came together but we didn't

see it coming when Kim jong-un said that

what did he call Bolton he called

national security so North Korea's

government called National Security

Advisor John Bolton quote a war monger

and quote a defective human product and

most of the people in the United States

saw that and they said yeah that's it's

not too far off you know I'm not gonna

I'm not gonna put up a canter to that

argument at the moment he's John Bolton

is somebody that largely the people on

both the right and the left are pretty

we're wary of him I will go oh

even further and say if we did not have

a president Trump to make sure that

Bolton's instincts you know have some

kind of a counter and it's it's a

superior counter if we didn't have that

I don't know if I would talk about

anything else except getting rid of him

like nothing would be more important to

the well-being of the world and the

country then removing John Bolton from

office if if you didn't have a president

Trump who I think is a reliable you know

counter to Mia's impulses you put them

together and they're actually a really

strong team the this has been said many

times but it has to be said again Bolton

is the bad cop and he does create a

useful asset that the president has

skillfully used to say well you know

it'd be good to be friends with me

because I can make good things happen I

can help your economy I can avoid war I

can do everything you want I have

everything you want and I'm willing to

help you with it but if that doesn't

work out

have you met John Bolton because he's

got some ideas that you might not like

so much so they're a great team but when

kid kim jongwan insults bolton most of

the united states says well finally

we're on the same page with this now

bolton does have his supporters so i

don't want to exaggerate that but it is

humorous that the worst thing happening

with North Korea right now think about

it the worst thing happening with North

Korea in the United States is the

president president Trump is having fun

with it you know he's joking about Joe

Biden people in the United States are

saying well if Kim jong-un is just

insulting John Bolton Kim jong-un is

he's not done yeah at least at least he

thinks like we do on some things so

that's pretty funny all right I talked

about I did a special periscope

yesterday have to do that you listed

about Trump's Trump's hilarious tweet in

which he said I was actually sticking up

for sleepy Joe Biden while on foreign

soil

kim jeong-hoon called him a quote low IQ

idiot and many other things

whereas I related the court of Chairman

Kim as a much softer quote low IQ

individual who could possibly be upset

with that now do you remember a couple

years ago when people were saying it was

popular for people to say I hope this

behavior doesn't become normalized don't

normalize this behavior this president

cannot be normalized whatever you do

don't normalize them and I look at this

quote and I think aren't you glad this

got normalized I mean seriously

can you tell me you're not happy that

this got normalized this is funny it's

fun it doesn't hurt anybody it's just

good clean fun and and the fact that

President Trump brought it is by Kim

jong-un and as part of the joke just

makes it funnier and you know Kim Jordan

probably saw this and said okay that's

pretty funny don't you don't you think

kim jagran saw this and said okay well

there's two things we agree on Jon

Bolton's kind of a wild card and Joe

Biden's kind of a low Q individual so

it's probably the healthiest maybe the

healthiest sign you could ever say is

that Trump and Kim Jong are sort of

joking about Joe Biden there's no way

that's bad you could try to turn that

into something bad but it is not it is

whatever the opposite of war if you were

to make a continuum where you know

there's good stuff on this side and all

the way to it war on the on this side

we're as far away from war as you can

get when you're making jokes jokes are a

good place to be all right there was a

huge thing that happened recently that

the news will not recognize as anything

it will be completely it will never be

news you'll never be a headline

and might possibly be and I feel this

strongly by the way one of the most

important things happening in the world

right now and I might be biased because

some of you remember I guess a few years

ago I had teased on social media that I

had an idea

that could change the world and I was

willing to sell that idea I did as an

experiment to see if anybody would fund

a company based on an idea and I

actually got a company to say yes and

send me they sent me a contract and said

yeah that idea is so good

that we will actually give you a

percentage of the company just for the

idea and some internal changes happen at

the company and they ended up not being

able to complete the contract which was

independent of whether it was a good

idea so I had an idea that I thought

would change the world

a company was willing to fund it and and

I didn't even have to do anything which

was very unusual because that's not a

normal situation people don't pay for

ideas that just doesn't happen nobody

pays for an idea unless it's such a good

idea here's the idea Y Combinator which

is probably the most prestigious startup

incubator in the country maybe the world

you announced that one of their

companies raised monies it's called out

schooler o UT schooler one word out of

schooler they got investments and what

they are they describe themselves as

quote the Netflix of education online

the Netflix of online education what

that means is exactly the idea that I

tried to sell unsuccessfully to this

company and that idea is to have a

marketplace where anybody can create a

class just like Netflix is a marketplace

where anybody can create a movie and if

they make a good movie Netflix will

consider putting that on their platform

if you make a good TV show the Netflix

will put it under plot

and so they have done the thing that is

somebody saying udemy does that on on

making a stark difference between

classes that a company puts on a

platform versus a platform that lets

anybody put content there if they meet

certain requirements now I'm not an

expert on the other companies doing that

so there may be some other companies who

are already in the business which would

be all good news so the point is that

the education field had never been

subject to competitive to competition to

free market competition if you have a

platform the you own it you control who

the instructors are etc that's not

exactly a free market enough situation

but if you have something that's really

a Netflix for education then even I I

mean literally me I could make a class

so I can say to myself you know what you

know what kids were 14 through 18 need

to learn well they need to learn about

maybe systems over goals maybe they need

to learn about persuasion maybe they

need to learn how to write I could make

her class and that I could put it on

there and if people like my class I

could make money somebody's saying web

IQ is this so I'm not going to

necessarily say that yeah and and

YouTube could do this as well but as the

free market allows people to compete for

online here's the big thing here's the

big idea for all of this online training

has the potential to be so inexpensive

is effectively free we're very close to

the point where online education will

become good enough that people will

prefer it over going in person we're not

there yet right now going in person is

still up here doing it online is still

down here there are exceptions you know

they're played you know so certainly

there are bad bad in-person teachers and

good online things that might be better

but in general on average in person is

still better than online but these free

market

classes will allow people to compete

just like movies do and the quality of

the online is just going to keep going

up the quality of in-person education is

not going to get much better it's sort

of as good as it's going to be but

online will keep getting better because

these free market forces the moment it

crosses over the only thing missing is

the certifications the credibility the

the the part where you say I got a

degree and it means something that is

almost certainly going to change in the

next five to ten years maybe sooner and

all it requires is people with enough

credibility I always use Bill case as my

example because he works for lots of

examples if Bill Gates ever says

publicly here's the deal if you take

these specific classes online I will

award you the the Gates Foundation

[Music]

Bachelors of Education or whatever it is

whatever the classes the moment he does

that people are gonna say well that's

the thing that's the thing

Bill Gates looked into it he's credible

if he says this is a if he says this is

a college degree

that's college degree if Warren Buffett

says if you take these classes online

you have a degree in my opinion I will

give you the Warren Buffett college

degree certification that means

something now not everybody could do

that but people who have enough of a

credibility could certainly do that

could President Trump do that yes he

could

president Trump through the

administration not him personally yeah

let's let's not call it Trump University

that I guess that's the problem so

forget what I said about President Trump

let's make it a government certification

the government could say we're going to

certify college degrees online as

collections of classes

if they meet certain criteria and the

government could say here are the

criteria and anybody who meets it can

say I got the the government the

four-year degree what that whatever that

is all right somebody said America first

university hmm maybe but but the larger

point here is that you know when I say

that I've left a birdie which I often

say I say because I want all the things

he wants except as you can see it is

often the case that capitalism can get

you it can deliver or what socialism

promises so socialism promise use you

free education but it doesn't have to

get it capitalism doesn't promise you

anything but it might give you free

education in fact I will upgrade my

might to it will at this point there's

absolutely nothing good that will stop

this from happening because the free

market will give you increased quality

of online education it will cross over

in person education and it won't take

long three years maybe I'd say three to

five years and online education will be

functionally completely superior to

in-person but it may not have the

credibility until people start blessing

certain sets of classes but we're going

to get there so we have so free

education is going to happen free

college is going to happen nothing could

stop it birdie doesn't even have to do a

darn thing

he doesn't have to promise anything he

doesn't have to he doesn't have to get

out of bed in the morning birdie is

gonna get free college he just has to

wait that's three to five years all

right so that's the other good news

apparently Netflix is rethinking

speaking of Netflix to Netflix related

stories and you know one day the real

Netflix is thinking about rethinking

their thinking about rethinking their

investment in Georgia yeah under the

condition that these so-called hard

hard to beat bills about abortion get

past now they didn't say they pull out

they said they did rethink their

investment but what I predicted was that

these states that make abortion

impossible through whatever whatever

legislation or other means those states

will be so economically damaged that it

will limit how many states are willing

to do this so I do think some states

will become no abortion states that

seems likely but they will suffer

economically because companies will

decide not to go there and probably this

is my other prediction from long ago it

seems to me that apps will form sort of

like the GoFundMe apps in which somebody

can finance travel to another state to

get an abortion

so if several southern states make

abortion impossible or the clinics move

away because it's too hard to operate

there will be and the app I guarantee it

I don't know who's gonna make it but I

guarantee this will happen there will be

an app this says I need an abortion and

I'm in the wrong state what do I do and

you're going to find all the resources

for somebody to give you a ride you'll

find somebody to stay with somebody to

make sure that you're okay when you're

you're in this other state and a ride

back home they might even help you fund

it it's possible all right so some apps

will somebody somebody mentioned my

startups app when hub and I wasn't

thinking about that

when I mentioned this but when hub

allows you to talk to any expert about

anything

and one of those things you could do is

connect to somebody who could solve this

problem for you I'm not recommending it

that's that's not what the app was made

for but it's a general purpose happened

which any expert can talk to any person

for a fee or for free they don't have to

have a fee all right let me

let me talk about the Washington Post so

somebody associated with the Washington

Post one of their one of their central

players recently tweeted that although

President Trump is talking about Biden's

1994 crime bill and president Trump

cleverly said that Democrats can't vote

for somebody who was supportive that I

love the way he put it he didn't say

that's going to be a problem or that

works against you whatever he actually

said in direct language that that

african-americans can't vote for

somebody who was involved with that that

crime bill now of course they can but

let me well you put it in these let me

frame it this way many of you remember

that maybe a year ago or so I was having

conversations with black lives matter

leader Hawk Newsom and one of the things

I was telling him is that as long as

Democrats have all of the votes as long

as they have all of the votes of the

black population they don't have to

deliver anything and I also said that if

Republicans could deliver anything just

anything for the black population that

you would have developed a competitive

situation for the first time now let me

give incredible credit to Candice Owens

Candice Owens and you know I think

appointment you know more than a lot of

other people there lots of people were

involved with this but she seems to be

that the most effective voice for

letting people understand there's an

option to vote Republican if they are so

inclined so she's done the best job of

making that that competitive situation

and because the president was successful

with prison reform

he now has something specific to talk

about this as look Democrats couldn't

give me this I gave you this now there

are a few some other things he can talk

about

with unemployment and such but they seem

a little less direct unemployment seems

like well that's something you did for

white people just happened to be good

for black people too you know if if you

were inclined to think of things in

racist ways it would be easy to imagine

that that was an accomplishment it was

just something that happened but the

prison reform thing looks like a direct

act it looks like something that was

done that has a disproportionate benefit

for the african-american community and

nobody had to do it yeah I think he

would agree the president Truong could

have not done prison reform and his

supporters probably wouldn't care one

way or the other

would you agree that's largely the case

it wasn't something he did for the base

it was something he did for the country

because it made sense and because he

could that was it it made sense and he

could he could do it so he did it

exactly what you would like to see any

of your government it made sense so they

did it but that is created now a

competitive situation for the first time

it is obvious to the african-american

community and I think really for the

first time it's obvious that they can

they can completely control this

election that's a big statement but let

me say it again because it's true the

black community african-americans in

this unite in the United States citizens

they will determine or at least they

could determine it's up to them who the

next president is that's not a too

strong statement is it because you know

it's gonna be closest no matter what you

know that if enough for if enough of the

black vote goes Republican to maintain

this competitive situation where the

Republic where the Democrats really have

to offer something they haven't offered

anything Republicans have let's get some

competition let's see the Democrats

offer something that's so good that even

the Republicans have to agree let's see

the Republicans offer something that's

so good that even the Democrats have to

agree so congratulations

Candice owens larry elder all the folks

have worked with the president who have

tried to create this exact situation

this situation is as perfectly crafted

as you ever would want it to be you want

people to yeah and Kanye Kanye and yes

so Kanye and Kim Kardashian you have to

give them Kim Kardashian West you have

to give them all all kinds of credit

because they created a competitive

situation now I don't think that every

black person should vote Republican by

any means what I think is that they

should they should vote for whoever is

going to help them the most in their

opinion whatever wherever that takes

them but think about this situation

however how many years ago was it when

slavery was the law of the land or at

least popular in the south how many

years ago was that a few hundred years

ago and here we are in 2019 we're coming

off you know we came off eight years of

a african-american president and 160

people are giving me different different

numbers so a while ago both correct me

if I'm wrong the the black voters of

this country are going to decide the

next present is that wrong

is it wrong to say that the black voters

actually have control of the country

right now if they want it if they don't

want it they don't have it and you know

certainly when black voters decided hey

this Barack Obama guy looks kind of good

what we'd like to have a president who

looks like us did they not decide who

was the president could you not say

conclusively that Barack Obama was

elected because black the citizens

wanted him to be elected and of course

other people did too but I think that

was the deciding part and likewise with

this upcoming election

if black voters decided that they just

couldn't vote for Chompy you would have

a lot of trouble getting reelected if

they decide that some of them

want to vote for him he'll probably get

elected so I would say it's kind of down

to the black vote and they've created

this perfect competitive situation and I

hate to be the one who's got all the

good news but this is the golden age

this is the point where the black

population figured out how to guess

stuff now one of the things that hog

Newsom said that I can never get out of

my mind it's just it's just so smart in

terms of how to frame things he said

that if this country does something

that's good for the black community it

always helps the country and when you

first hear that you think well that

can't be that can't be true in every

case right but it's hard to find an

exception if you do things that are good

for the black population in this country

you you do end up doing things that are

good for everybody you know unless you

limit it somehow by race which we would

not do all right

so let's get to the fun part I made you

wait I wanted to tell you because people

have been asking me if social media is

going to put their finger on the scale

and social media is powerful enough that

they can essentially decide who will get

elected president you know they would

even have more power than

african-americans because everybody is

subject to the same persuasion right so

the social media could persuade black

voters one way or the other and they

would have a lot of influence over that

but what can you do about that so I want

to talk about that so don't leave

because I'm going to tell you what to do

if you're worried that social media is

going to determine the election you

might like this and you might not here's

my suggestion for all of you this is

what you can do not the government not

talking about what Trump does or it's

this administration and tell you what

tell you what you can do all right

here's what you can do don't get kicked

off of social media that's number one

don't get kicked off of social media you

know what you're doing when you're doing

something edgy you know when you've gone

too far you know when you're pushing the

boundaries don't

there's no there's no law that says you

have to push the boundary think about

any tweet that God could anybody kicked

off a social media think about it any

tweet that ever got somebody kicked off

of social media or even put in jail on

social media was that tweet important to

the person's life

never never the the the tweets that get

people kicked off of social media are

never important they're never important

they're just something that was over a

line so you gotta kick it off so don't

do that if you get temporarily kicked

off because you've got a bad tweet or a

bad post and all you have to do is

remove it remove it remove it right away

don't take your own power away all right

next grow your followers figure out how

to grow your following because then

you'll have more voice the more people

who follow you more the more influence

you have so do what you can to learn how

to grow your your user base and how to

participate effectively you should

follow each other to boost your signal

if you're following a number of voices

on the right and you would like even

more people on the right to have more

power follow some extra people figure

out who you think is influential and

then boost their signals by by yeah

let's get rid of this guy alright

and then next learn persuasion if you

haven't read in my book win Bakley you

should do it because social media can

have a big influence in terms of

decisions they make about what you see

but you can also have you can also have

the big influence by simply learning how

to be more persuasive so read my book

win big Lea followed my periscopes and

try out some of the techniques be visual

don't be obscene because the

her stuff gets gets more virality over

the next year I will teach you more tips

about how to be persuasive and that will

helps but here's the big one so this is

the one to remember I'm gonna be

modeling this going forward on social

media when Trump was first running for

for election it felt like those who were

supporting him were pirates it was like

he was the head pirate and he had a band

of pirates doing things that were edgy

and dangerous and sometimes could get

you kicked off of social media things

that were maybe on the the border of

ethical behavior some of it well beyond

that it was a pirate situation and then

he won is it appropriate to take your

pirate mentality to reelection when this

president is successful on all the you

know the normal ways that you want

success it's not so here's the

suggestion become nice it's really

powerful if people will support the

president simply block everybody who

makes a personal comment and never sees

that person again you can live first of

all a life of far less stress but you

will also take it to a higher level you

can be a level of maturity that will be

hard to fight against it's time to to

raise your game it's time to bring your

the way you talk about things it's it's

it's time to take your your persona

align your maturity it's time to take it

up a level and recognize that you won

you won you got your president right for

those of you who are Trump supporters

you want act like a winner you don't

need to act like a pirate anymore you

don't need to argue with their regional

I'm watching online as there's there's

one particular troll who's been

bothering all the people in my timeline

because they keep doing this loop where

you prove them wrong and then they go

back

to the original point that you proved

wrong before yeah her name is her name

is Emily I blocked her but I didn't

block all the people who were still

interacting with her so I keep seeing

their end of it

please block her I mean if any of you

who are dealing with this Emily troll

she's not a real citizen having a real

conversation she's not she is a troll

she's in it for whatever whatever

reaction she's getting don't give it to

her so from now on I'm going to

completely reverse my pattern online I

used to take a personal insult

and then insult them back and I'd be it

was fun you know mostly it was fun I did

it to practice I did it because people

would laugh at my replies etc but I'm

going to stop doing that as of today I'm

going to start giving people no second

chance so if somebody comes in with

their stupid laundry list oh but your

president is a big old racist and here's

the 10 things that I hallucinate he did

block because that person is not a real

voice that person is a person who's got

who's got an act they came to bother you

and they came to boost their own signal

because if you interact with the trolls

you're given them more visibility and

you're you're making their day you're

giving them exactly what they want don't

give them what they want just shut them

down you can you can completely shut

down you can completely shut down the

the effectiveness of the other side by

blocking them on the first offense so

from now on first offense if it's

personal so here are the rules

I don't block anybody for disagreeing

with what I said

I don't block anybody for saying oh

here's a link you didn't consider this

disagreement completely completely

acceptable and if I ever if I ever

violate that line I know that you'll

keep me honest all right but the

monitors personal don't wait for the

second thing

don't answer and don't wait for a second

insult removal just like that now the

other people I remove are the people who

they try to read my mind in public so

there are quite a few people who will

tweet and they'll include me ins tweets

and they'll say something like well

Scott will block you for having a people

like to say this Scott will block you

for proving him wrong online okay if you

say that I will block you because I

don't do that so anybody who tries to

read my mind and say in public what they

think I'm thinking you're always wrong

so I'm gonna block you instantly because

somebody like that doesn't ever go away

if you interact with them if you let

them go they'll just keep saying more of

this stuff so get rid of it all right

now at the same time if you are

successfully acting nice online

eventually that's going to become a

story because social media is doing

something for you that looks terrible

but might not work out as terrible as

you think what what the social media

platforms are doing are ahead of the

2020 election and maybe just because

it's ordinary business they're getting

rid of the most provocative voices on

social media they are doing both sides

alright you could argue that it's not

equal and and you know I'm sure that's

his argument worth having but the

Krassin Stein's have been banned who was

it who was the other guy who got banned

recently anyway the point is there are

bands on both sides I wouldn't worry too

much about the fact that there are more

conservatives being banned because if

the people being banned

farik obvious so fair account got banned

so what's happening is the the voices on

the right that are the ones that would

ruin your reputation are being knocked

off the system now woods is a special

case because he's not really banned all

he has to do is get rid of one tweet

that has no importance don't don't put

Jameson woods into the category of

real people who say things and get

banned is a different situation he could

be back the moment he gets rid of one

tweet there's knowing no importance so

that's a choice and likewise if you're

if you find yourself in the James Woods

situation where he in his opinion since

the thing he got banned for was a famous

quote and it was not really a call to

violence he's he's resting on principle

apparently I don't want to read his mind

but it looks like he's making a

principled stand that free speech is

free speech and it doesn't matter

there's somebody else reinterpreted it

wrong that's not the point so I

understand that point I accept it it's

credible it's you know it's real but if

you want to be effective I don't think

that's working so it's a principled

stand that I'll think works do you know

what would work staying on social media

and say things that are healthy and good

and persuasive that would help did what

did you what did James Woods do for you

alright when he's online he's a powerful

voice that as a you know we hope a

productive outcome when he allows

himself to be banned over a tweet that

has no importance to anybody in the

world is he helping you he's not he's

not helping you he's not he's not

changing anything he's not helping

himself he's just got a little vacation

from social media so don't be don't be

James Woods you know I I say again I'll

respect a principled stand and he seems

to be taking that so I do respect that

I'm just saying that it doesn't help

anything

does it's not effective it's not

effective at all all right so be nice on

social media block the trolls

immediately do not interact with them

don't let them put words in your your

mouth

so the other people I've I will delete

is if I get into a conversation online

and they say something along the lines

of you know you keep saying this and

this is why you're wrong

say yes they put words in my mouth you

can't fix that the people who say but

what you're really thinking you can't

fix that all right here's a little

lesson on persuasion that I'd like to

try it out because you might need to use

this one I started on this point and I'm

circling back to it so the Washington

Post I guess there might have been there

Washington bureau chief doesn't matter

how it was he tweeted that the president

is going to have problems criticizing

Biden for his 1994 crime bill because

the president quote has his own problems

with the the Central Park five situation

which was also a long time ago now

here's the thing the Central Park five

thing President Trump did a full-page ad

in which he was complaining about Prague

and said maybe we should have the death

penalty for these horrible crimes he did

not mention race although there was

obviously the context was that the five

african-american gentleman who had been

arrested and later were acquitted were

released I forget what but that they

were they were found not guilty he

believed they were guilty but their race

was never part of the conversation Trump

Trump never mentioned race he mentioned

crime we have seen quite clearly that he

talks about crime is crime and when it

came to for example the the prison

reform bill President Trump did not say

oh we can't do that because it's good

for black people you know you went ahead

and did it because it's good for people

so when the Washington Post said he's

got this problem because of this Central

Park five situation decades ago here's

the right response and it's the one that

I gave I said that the Washington Post

has equated crime and black people and

they need to explain that cuz that's

what happened I'm not making that up

President

talked about cried that's it he talked

about crime and the death penalty if

other people say that's about race you

can't make that argument unless you are

introducing into the conversation that

crime and black people are equated that

is racist criticizing the president for

making a stand about crime without

mentioning race and then going in and

saying hey this is some kind of racist

anti black people the only way you can

make that criticism is if you yourself

are a racist who has decided that crime

and black people are somehow paired the

president didn't do that he never did

that he never has done that and I'm

pretty sure he'd never will because

there's no evidence that he thinks that

way he does hate crime that is as clear

as possible there's no doubt anyplace

mind that he's anti-crime like seriously

seriously anti-crime and he's can still

do a crime doll because it made sense

and it was good for the country

somebody's saying I don't agree with you

in all issues talking to me but this

point is the reason I follow you thank

you so if you're in the situation and I

know you will be between now and 2020

somebody's going to bring up the Central

Park five you've a response to it should

be Trump never mentioned race at

Bessette that's all you should say about

Trump the rest of what you should say is

about the fricking jerk who is trying to

equate black people and crime which

bothers me honestly like I'm not saying

this as some clever little thing you

know persuasion wise it is persuasion

and I am teach you got to do that but it

frickin bothers me it bothers me that

the racists are accusing somebody who

has an active that way of being a racist

it's like extra bothering that there's

some form of projection going on there

ain't using that word projection because

I'm not us like psychologist so I

withdraw that word

I actually mocked that word

in my upcoming book all right that's all

I got today so so I hope this little

little dose of dopamine was good I'm

going to keep working on the dopamine

angle for these periscopes and by the

way if you did not know these periscopes

get downloaded in an hour so they will

be available on youtube to find them you

would just search for the phrase real

coffee with scott adams remember the

real part real coffee with scallops and

then you can have them the YouTube

experience if you prefer that the live

ones will will be on periscope if you

want to get refresh but let us end with

a second simultaneous sip in case you

missed the first one because it's so

good so good razor drug with me and join

me now that's all for now and let's

enjoy the day