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Episode 2291 Scott Adams - CWSA 11/13/23, Reframing The News So You Can Use It

Episode #2291 Nov 13, 2023 1:08:06 29,495 views

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Opening General Commentary

Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. Do you think you can make this experience go up to another level, a level that nobody can even describe in human words? Even AI has a problem with it.

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

Yes, but all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug, or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill that vessel with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day thing that makes everythin…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

one is it? Doesn't matter. But his granddaughter, Naomi Biden, was walking in Georgetown late on Sunday night, and her Secret Service detail saw that there was a carjacking in action. And apparently they fired three shots to break it up. Now, we don't know enough about this story to really know, lik…

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MainContent AI & Technology

Do you think that Bill ever said to his wife, you know, you just took 40% off our total income forever? Now, I don't know if that's actually the case, but it's never really a good idea to insult 40% of the people who would go to your shows, which is what happened. Now, here's how I took it. You mig…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

le you're talking. However, I had experience that some other people said they had, which is you'll upload some information to the AI, in this case the ChatGPT engine, and it will tell you it sees it. And you can ask questions about it. Yes, it sees every part of it. It can tell you what's in it. So…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

that makes the app says it totally has the data and the app can use it. And then you use it. It says, nope, don't have access to it. But here's the wild part. You can actually negotiate with the app. So I get angry at the app and I say, why do you say you can't see it when I know you can? Right? Yo…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

days he would start out with his inspirational story about how anybody can make it in America. You know, like a real classic American success story kind of thing. And to many Republicans he looked like the antidote to the racial wokeness. It's like, oh yeah, that's it. You did all the right things a…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

rself a new congressperson. So I guess I love the justice. And just, I don't know, every part of that story I like. It's just it's kind of classically wonderfully American. So I guess that's what I like about it. The Wall Street Journal has this big article about black voters moving a little bit mo…

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NewsReaction General Commentary

lse on Earth. We all know that. Now there's a special case where if I ask you is there milk in the refrigerator and you looked and there was one container and you look and it's empty and then you look really carefully in the rest of the refrigerator and there's no other milk, yes, in that very weird…

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MainContent Health & Biohacking

do with QAnon. And also I was debunking QAnon. Yeah yeah yeah, but you get all your news from Fox News. To which I say no I don't. I consciously and publicly look at all the news sources left and right and I criticize them all. Yeah but Trump said that a guy with a disability in his arm, he mocked h…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

table, saucer, and then some third one like plate. The white applicants or the white test takers were more likely to say cup and saucer because they're literally a pair, cup and saucer. But if you were from a low-income house, what are the odds you'd ever seen a saucer? So it turns out that a lot of…

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QandA Politics as Persuasion

ent situations and watch how it works. You see what changes and maybe you look for a pattern. I don't know. But I wonder if pattern recognition could get you to understanding the machinery of a cell if you could see enough parts of it working. You know, too complicated for a human but too complicate…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

employment because that was going to happen naturally. You can't really fault him for the economy not being as good as it was before the pandemic. There are pretty good reasons for that. But in terms of how people react and vote, how in the world can he get elected when more than half of the country…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

tly 150,000 in both cases? But it's two different cases. I don't understand what's going on. I cannot figure out how to combine those two realities even by explaining that one has the wrong information and one has the right information. Like they are just so different worlds right now and I don't kn…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

d because of his belief that there was fraud. It's looking too perfect at the moment. Aaron says to me, yeah you're too smart for a QAnon but you'd readily vote for the QAnon Shaman in Arizona. Yes I would. Was there a point you had to make? I see the anger and the sarcasm but I don't see the point…

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MainContent Decision Making

ful. And it makes the entire Palestinian narrative look like it's not real. Would you agree that the fact that these allegedly legitimate complaints are completely ignored while there seems to be a little bit too much understanding of why something like the Hamas situation could occur, maybe that's…

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NewsReaction Economics & Finance

al departure from the way government has ever done anything that it suddenly opens up your brain. You go, wait a minute, wait a minute. If you can go that far out of the ordinary, maybe you could go out of the ordinary in another way. You know, maybe I've got a better idea to go outside the ordinary…

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MainContent General Commentary

. I think RFK Jr. is a patriot for making the process better by participating. All right, I saw a DC Drano post. Reuters is reporting that Mastercard is now linking their bonuses of their employees to ESG goals. Or as DC Drano points out, they will get a bonus for avoiding hiring white men. Just th…

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MainContent Persuasion

st murdered, 53,000. In my lifetime white people have murdered 53,000 freaking black people. Murdered them. At the same time black people killed 156,000 white people. Now of course your brain is saying wait, there are far fewer black people in the world but they killed three times as many white peop…

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Closing General Commentary

one. That would be the optimism. But not yet. And it's not that unusual that people pivot from where their parents were. So yeah I do have some optimism about that. I absolutely do. All right ladies and gentlemen this is what I've got for you today on YouTube. Thanks for joining and as always you'r…

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Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. Do you think you can make this experience go up to another level, a level that nobody can even describe in human words? Even AI has a problem with it. Yes, but all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug, or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill that vessel with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip.

Go. Oh, that's good. That's a good way to kick off the day.

Well, in lesser news, I guess Biden's granddaughter has Secret Service protection. Which one is it? Doesn't matter. But his granddaughter, Naomi Biden, was walking in Georgetown late on Sunday night, and her Secret Service detail saw that there was a carjacking in action. And apparently they fired three shots to break it up. Now, we don't know enough about this story to really know, like, was that smart that they did that? Did that in any way protect Naomi? I doubt it. Was it something that they just decided they needed to do because it just needed to be done?

Here's what I'm feeling. Despite the Daniel Penny thing and the fact that heroes keep getting arrested, I feel like there's going to be a wave of citizen involvement — I won't say vigilante, but citizen involvement — that's going to just skyrocket. Because it's one thing to know your government should be handling it, in which case it's easy to stay uninvolved. And then there's another phase where you hope they'll be involved, so you still don't get involved because you're like, well, you know, they're not that reliable, but I hope the government will take care of this. And then there's the giving-up phase, which we may be entering, where you realize that if you don't take care of crime on your own, you're going to lose your neighborhood. And I think that people are reaching that giving-up phase, the part where they say, you know what, if I don't take down this robber, I won't have stores in my neighborhood. So, you know, it's a bad idea, by the way. I don't recommend it. I do not recommend vigilantism. You probably get arrested. I'm just saying that people are going to do it because they're just fed up.

So here's the story that appears in my head without any support. I don't know that this is true. Here's what I feel with no evidence whatsoever: that at least one of these Secret Service people was just sick of this and just started firing. Now, I doubt they fired at a person. It was probably a warning shots kind of thing, I'm guessing. But I don't know. Might be some more evidence of this coming up.

Soccer star Megan Rapinoe was in her final game of her career, and three minutes in she got an injury that looked pretty bad. But her comment about it was, quote, "I'm not a religious person or anything, and if there was a god, this is proof that there isn't. This is effed up." So Megan Rapinoe thinks that she has proven there's no God because she got injured in her final game. Well, I don't think she meant that literally, but she might be an example of somebody whose career would look better if she never spoke again. That would be my PR advice. Hey, Megan, I've got an idea. This will work for you. Never speak again. Just don't say anything. This will work out for you. That's my advice.

Well, in the news we've got some Bill Burr and some Bill Barr. Do you know your Burrs from your Barrs? If I told you a story about Bill Barr, would you think it was Bill Burr? Would you get those two confused? Well, they're both in the news. As you know, you probably heard this story yesterday, that Bill Burr, the comedian, stand-up comedian, was with his wife at the UFC event where Trump came. And there was a photo taken of Bill Burr's wife giving the double bird finger to Trump when he wasn't looking. And then I commented that it would be, I would love to know the conversation when they got home and they find out it's headline news and it's trending everywhere. Do you think that Bill ever said to his wife, you know, you just took 40% off our total income forever? Now, I don't know if that's actually the case, but it's never really a good idea to insult 40% of the people who would go to your shows, which is what happened.

Now, here's how I took it. You might have taken it as, hey, this is a political statement. It's a political world. You know, would I be concerned if somebody made a political statement about somebody? No, it wouldn't make me not go to the show. I mean, I watch Bill Maher, and I know he doesn't like President Trump. Doesn't bother me a bit because, you know what, I also think I don't think that Bill Maher would hate me personally. Like, it doesn't feel personal when he talks about it. It feels like it's political. It's not about the individuals, although, you know, some individual voters he might not love. But somehow my impression of this was that giving the finger to Trump in public feels like maybe I wouldn't be welcome in their home either. Anybody have that feeling? That if you ever had voted for Trump, for example, oh, here's a couple who would never invite me to dinner. Like even if I worked with them, you know, even if we were friends, I don't think I would ever be invited to their house. And so I said to myself, huh, I feel like that was personal. Like even though it was about Trump, I don't know that it really is. And again, there's no logic to this. I'm just telling you how it felt. So that was my just feeling.

Now, so I did this post about it on X, and I went to check the traffic on it today because it keeps popping up. And 6.4 million views. Now, for context, I rarely get that many views on any kind of a post, and that's a monster kind of a view, which would suggest that other people felt it the same way I did. That it was more about his supporters maybe than him, or at least that it was equally about them. So we'll see if that has any impact on his career. Probably not, 'cause he's so popular. But it was interesting that so many people might have had the same feeling. That's just a guess.

Well, there is an update on my experience trying to create an app called a GPT with AI. I'll say again, the interface for creating the app, you just talk to it and you tell it what you want it to do. It's the most wildly awesome experience if you've ever programmed anything. So in my younger days I did a lot of programming, wrote a lot of code. Many of you don't know that. And I actually loved it. Actually, if cartooning hadn't worked out, I would have loved being a programmer, 'cause the time went really quick. You know, it was very engaging. Yeah, I would be completely just sucked into the world of the program. It was like living inside a pinball machine. That's how I described it. I loved it. But this new experience of just talking an app into existence is like really actually thrilling. I don't know if I can quite express the feeling of talking an app into existence. It's wild because you watch it happen while you're talking.

However, I had experience that some other people said they had, which is you'll upload some information to the AI, in this case the ChatGPT engine, and it will tell you it sees it. And you can ask questions about it. Yes, it sees every part of it. It can tell you what's in it. So you know that it can see it. But that's the part you're talking to, not the app. So you say, okay, now you can see it. Make sure your app can see it all the time. Whenever I ask a question, it says, totally gotcha. I'm definitely going to use this information and give it to you when you ask a question. And then you use the app that it created. So can you find this? There. And it will say, no, I don't have that data. So the part that makes the app says it totally has the data and the app can use it. And then you use it. It says, nope, don't have access to it.

But here's the wild part. You can actually negotiate with the app. So I get angry at the app and I say, why do you say you can't see it when I know you can? Right? You like talking to it like a human. And again, this isn't the build-the-app part, which actually is side by side on the screen. This is the app itself. So I get into it with the app, and it starts giving me up the information. I actually had to cajole it to tell me information. And until I cajoled it, it was going to lie to me and say it didn't have it. Now at first I thought it was like a bug. But once I realized that it does have the information and it knows it has the information and yet it tells me it doesn't, I think it's lying to me. And so I wonder, could you ever build an app that you could depend on the answer when I built an app that gave me two different answers on something that's purely objective? Does this information exist in your database? And it would say no unless you asked it just right. And yeah, you actually had to challenge it and tell it that you knew it had it, and then it would give it to you. Crazy. Crazy.

I don't know what this implies for building these GPT apps, but it's a wild experience. I recommend it, by the way, if you have any interest in this field. It's just you're seeing the future. Like it's easy to imagine that that's a bug that will get fixed because it's very specific. It's acting like it doesn't see the data. That feels quite fixable. Other people are having the same experience, apparently. But wow. Anyway.

I'd like to test my BS detector. You remember I told you there's a story that allegedly an Arabic version of Mein Kampf was found in a Palestinian child's bedroom. Now, do you remember what I said about that? That's a little bit too on the nose. That doesn't feel real, right? So that was my take on it. Today Glenn Greenwald was calling it out as coming from a source which is a known wild propaganda site. So it did not come from a real source. It came from a source that is well known for simply making up. So I think my BS detector was accurate in this case. Not 100% sure, but the source was so wildly ridiculous it's probably BS.

Tim Scott has dropped out of the race for president. Now some of you are going to say, Tim Scott, who's he? I didn't know he was in the race. Well, that's probably why he had to drop out, because he didn't really make an impression. In the end he turned into an NPC because the NPC part was actually impressive for a while. Because in the early days he would start out with his inspirational story about how anybody can make it in America. You know, like a real classic American success story kind of thing. And to many Republicans he looked like the antidote to the racial wokeness. It's like, oh yeah, that's it. You did all the right things and then you got a good outcome. And indeed we see over and over again that pretty much everybody who does all the right things gets a pretty good outcome. So it was a great story. But it turned out he didn't have much else. I mean, he had policies, but they didn't stand out as, oh, Tim Scott's got this wild policy. We better talk about him. His policies were also generically Republican. That in the end all he had was his story. And then it became, I hate to say it, but it started to get pathetic that the best he could do is go back to the story. It's a good story, a great story, really a great American story, but didn't have enough. Just didn't have the juice. So I think he made the right choice to get out.

About who's getting in. So you remember the QAnon Shaman, Jacob Chansley, who wore the bison hat and got arrested and he was in jail for a long time for January 6. He is going to run for Congress as a Libertarian in Arizona. Hello. Now if he's a Libertarian, that means he's running against a Republican, right, as well as a Democrat, I assume. So I don't know what his odds are. But he is the Nelson Mandela of our time. I'm just saying that so people can get mad. That was intentionally stated to make you angry. What? There's no way you can compare him to Nelson Mandela. I know. That's why it's funny. He's a poor man's Nelson Mandela. But I do like the idea of if you get locked up for reasons which the public seems to think are inadequate, that you can use that to launch a campaign. Honestly, I would vote for him. Like, not a joke. If I were in Arizona, I'd probably vote for him over a Republican, honestly. Because I didn't see any Republicans get anybody out of jail. Did you? Did you see the Republicans fighting very hard to get January 6ers out of jail? Him, if I were him, I'd say, I'm going to run as a Libertarian. And I would vote for him because I don't know what qualities are for the job, but it's sort of a statement, right? If you're going to lock somebody up, you better get it right. You know, it's sort of one of those, if you come for the king — he's not exactly the king — but if you come for him and you miss, you might get yourself a new congressperson. So I guess I love the justice. And just, I don't know, every part of that story I like. It's just it's kind of classically wonderfully American. So I guess that's what I like about it.

The Wall Street Journal has this big article about black voters moving a little bit more toward Trump. But just hold this in your mind. It's the Wall Street Journal, okay? Hold that in your mind. First, so it's one of the most capable, trusted news publications. Keep in mind that it's 2023, and in 2023 the Wall Street Journal has an article which makes the claim that the fine people hoax was not a hoax. I mean, they don't say that. They just refer to the president calling people on both sides fine people like it was a fact in the Wall Street Journal in a major article, feature article, in 2023 in the Wall Street Journal. Now this was Catherine Lucey wrote this. And so I was so curious how you could be so either wrong or unethical. I didn't know what was going on. So I checked her background. She used to work for the AP during the 2016 election. If you work for the AP during the 2016 election, you were brainwashed into thinking that the fine people hoax wasn't a hoax, 'cause I think the AP reported that it was real. And then she goes to the Washington — I'm sorry, she goes to the Wall Street Journal, writes a feature article, and the editors of the Wall Street Journal don't catch that it was a pretty important part of the story. I mean, it was important context of the larger story. What's going on here? Because that's not an opinion. That's a well-established fact that it didn't happen in 2017. You could be maybe excused for not knowing that the fake news was fake, but it's 2023. You telling me that nobody who read this article before it got published was aware that they were perpetrating one of the biggest lies of American politics? Wall Street Journal doesn't know that? Really? What do you think is going on? I actually don't know. Do you think that both the writer and whoever edited it couldn't catch it? And do you think that after it was published they didn't get enough pushback to immediately correct it? I'm actually puzzled.

Here's a challenge. Can you find me if the Wall Street Journal has ever reported factually that the fine people hoax was a hoax? 'Cause I'll bet they have. I feel like I have a memory that the Wall Street Journal is one of the few that correctly said that didn't happen. So I'm wondering if their reporting is now two opposites. Is that what happened? Whereas the Wall Street Journal always imagined that it happened? Have they always reported it wrong? I'd love to know what's going on there anyway.

Here's a little test for your relatives for Thanksgiving. I like before the holidays I like to give you something to say to your relatives that are on the left that will get them all worked up. Just to ruin all of your family relations for fun. All right, here's the test for cognitive dissonance. You want to ask if they agree with the following logic. So you tell them it's a logic question. Do you agree with the following logic? That Attorney General Bill Barr and other advisers told Trump the 2020 election was fair and therefore Trump knew the election was not rigged. So ask them if they agree with that. If they agree with that, that's cognitive dissonance. Right now some of you are saying, but why is that cognitive dissonance? If you're saying that, you're having cognitive dissonance. Because everybody who doesn't have cognitive dissonance knows immediately what's wrong with it. And it's not because some people are good at logic and some people are not. This is something everybody knows, right?

Let me give you an example. If you can't find your phone and the only place you look is in your bedroom, can you conclude that no phone exists? Everybody knows that that would not be logical. There's nobody who needs a logic lesson to know that if the only place you looked and you didn't find it, you could not conclude that it does not exist anywhere else on Earth. We all know that. Now there's a special case where if I ask you is there milk in the refrigerator and you looked and there was one container and you look and it's empty and then you look really carefully in the rest of the refrigerator and there's no other milk, yes, in that very weird specific case you can know there's no milk in the refrigerator. But you know that's a very special case. But an election with 50 different states and however many precincts, hundreds, thousands, I don't even know, who could possibly know that all of the code of all the election machines, every person who could have done something didn't? It's not knowable. And everybody knows that. But you will get Democrats to act like they don't know it. That's cognitive dissonance. So the pretending you don't understand the point is that now if instead of addressing this, the moment you say, okay, that's cognitive dissonance, they say — and you've heard it, you've all heard it — the courts found nothing wrong with the election. That's exactly the same point. The courts don't check everything. And the people who took things to the court also can't check everything. So what the court saw was this tiny little sliver of a grain of sand on the beach. That's all they saw. So if they saw one grain of sand on the beach, can they conclude anything about all beaches in the world? Probably not.

So you will find out that after you point out that somebody's in cognitive dissonance for believing they know something doesn't exist because they didn't look for it very well, they will get angry. And then what do they do? First they get angry. What's the next thing that happens? They change the subject. But but but Trump did something else bad. Fine people hoax. But but but he said drink bleach. The drinking bleach. And it will always go that way. Or it will turn into name calling. I've experienced this. Well, I guess you get your news from QAnon. And I'll say this has nothing to do with QAnon. And also I was debunking QAnon. Yeah yeah yeah, but you get all your news from Fox News. To which I say no I don't. I consciously and publicly look at all the news sources left and right and I criticize them all. Yeah but Trump said that a guy with a disability in his arm, he mocked him in public. No he didn't. You look at the compilation clips that the right never sees where he's been using the same gesture for ordinary everyday people with no disabilities forever, which they have never seen. Anyway, so that's your fun for Thanksgiving.

Washington DC is having trouble getting enough social workers. They've got some kind of a diversity problem here 'cause I guess there's some kind of test you can take to qualify as a social worker. And 76% of white test takers passed but only 33% of black test takers did. And weirdly Asian American test takers were in between, which you don't normally see in these objective tests. But the belief is that what's happening here is that it's letting too many white people get into the jobs and is what they say diversifying the field. In other words, it's a field they want, like everything else, to be diversified. But when you have a test that white people are passing at a three times or more the level of black people, you're going in the opposite direction. And now you might ask yourself, and then the claim is that the test itself is racially biased. So they're not saying that the black applicants have less qualifications. They're saying that it's a test that if you gave it to any white person and any black person, on average, not any person but on average, there would be a racial bias built into the questions so massive that has like a tripling effect of who passes and who fails. I mean, really big effect.

So what's your first question? Can you give me an example of one of those questions? Right. Well it turns out that they're private, and it makes sense 'cause it's a test. You can't give people the questions 'cause then they know the answers before they took the test. So they can't tell you the questions. They can only tell you that they've secretly seen the questions and they think that they might be biased. Do you buy that? Is that a strong argument? The things we can't show you are biased. Well, remember there used to be the same argument about the SATs. Do you remember that years ago? People said the SATs, the questions are biased. And I remember saying the same thing. Can you give me an example of a biased math question or a biased any other kind of question? And they actually had an example that persuaded me. Now I don't know how many of these there are, but I'm going to give you the same example. And I remember hearing it and thinking, I'll be damned, they do actually have an example that's completely racially biased. Here's the example I heard. Now I'm not going to claim that from this one example you can say much, but what if there are more examples? You know, I was surprised there was even one example. And I'm going to give it to you. But what if there are more? Here's the example. The question was something like match this word to the one that's, you know, that goes with it. And the word was cup. And the options were table, saucer, and then some third one like plate. The white applicants or the white test takers were more likely to say cup and saucer because they're literally a pair, cup and saucer. But if you were from a low-income house, what are the odds you'd ever seen a saucer? So it turns out that a lot of the low-income people didn't even know what a saucer was. Is that their fault? Is there something wrong with them that they'd never heard of a saucer? No, actually you would need to be at a certain economic level before you'd ever seen one. You'd never seen one, you know, so it's not even a word in your vocabulary. And I thought to myself, that's actually a good point. Well, do you agree with that one? Do you agree with that one point?

Well, here's what I would say. What did the poor white people do? Did the poor white people say table? So I don't know the answer to that question. But in both cases I was surprised that there could be a question that might actually have some racial bias to it. That was a better example than I was expecting. So I'm not going to say because I don't know that this test is unbiased and you know there's something wrong with the test takers. I don't know that. But we got questions. We got questions.

All right, here's some maybe good news, but it's good news I've been reading about for I know my entire life and it's never been true yet. So here's the thing that's never been true even once but it gets reported once a month forever. There's a gigantic breakthrough in cancer treatment. Now I get that the cancer people have actually made amazing strides in a number of different cancers. So there's been quite a bit of progress. But the major breakthrough, the one that gets all the cancers, you know, we're always hearing that. That's a week away. Never is. Nope. But this one is interesting, more interesting than most. So scientists at the UC Davis Comprehensive Cancer Center in Sacramento, they think they found this thing called the CD95 receptor that can program a cancer cell to die. In other words, there might be a common element to all cancers that's a kill switch. Now all the other treatments have not looked for a kill switch. They've looked for a weakness. I mean this is my non-scientist explanation. They've looked for weaknesses they could exploit but they never found a kill switch. Like if you just tweak this thing, boom, just turns off. Now they don't have any, apparently they don't have any treatments that will turn it off, but they think that's potentially possible.

Now here's even the reason I'm telling you this story at all, because it falls into the category of things that they get real excited about because they cured a mouse and then it just doesn't work in a person. Right? I mean you've seen that a billion times, which is typical. Most of the mouse studies do not actually translate into humans. But it's better than not doing a mouse study. You know, if it fails in the mouse study you're probably done. But the humans just don't work like mice enough to think it's going to work because it worked in a mouse. But here's my question. If you were to look at the machinery of cancer, if you treat the cancer cell like it's a really complicated machine, if you're a human being and you're trying to figure out the machine, how many decades did it take us to find that there's this CD95 receptor? Like it took forever. And it might have even been an accident. I don't know. You know, maybe they just stumbled on it. But how many complications are there in a cancer cell if you imagine it like a machine? Because it is kind of a biological machine with parts. It may be too complicated that any human could even know how to get their head around it. But what about AI? Do you think AI could look at a bunch of cancer cells and a bunch of different situations and then use its advanced pattern recognition — and maybe the visual kind as opposed to the word kind — could it determine the mechanism that makes the machine work simply by seeing lots of examples of a cancer cell working? So you put it in lots of different situations and watch how it works. You see what changes and maybe you look for a pattern. I don't know. But I wonder if pattern recognition could get you to understanding the machinery of a cell if you could see enough parts of it working. You know, too complicated for a human but too complicated for AI? I don't know. A quantum computer with AI? I don't know. So just something to think about.

All right, how about that 2024 election? So Rasmussen did a poll, says 53% of likely voters think the economy has gotten worse under Biden. Well, 30% say the economy has gotten better. How in the world can you get reelected if more than half of the people think the economy got worse under you? Now of course everything's unfair because the pandemic just changed all the economics of things. So you can't really give him credit for the increase in employment because that was going to happen naturally. You can't really fault him for the economy not being as good as it was before the pandemic. There are pretty good reasons for that. But in terms of how people react and vote, how in the world can he get elected when more than half of the country thinks he made the economy worse or he didn't make it better? Well yeah, I'd be worried about those. Worried about election integrity.

But related to this and also Rasmussen, if you don't follow the Rasmussen account, they're very active in running down all the various allegations about 2020 and what evidence there is that has not been debunked. And it is a whole different world when you look at their claims, which by the way are always backed with documents, right? Everything Rasmussen has said about the election, they print the document. You know, they point to the paragraph that matters to their point. You can see it yourself. So there are still a bunch of things going on. I'm kind of lost in it. But I'll tell you this. This world of we almost have the Kraken is completely different from the other world. In the other world everything's been debunked and it's just done.

Do you know the story about — I've told this a bunch of times — there's an allegation that there's a locked closet with 150,000 ballots that are fake ballots and that the courts wouldn't open the thing. But it went to a higher court and they said yes, you got to open it up. But the lower court is dawdling. But if they could open up that door, you know, you could see that the ballots were or were not fake. But then I read the Atlanta Constitution. It says oh that's an old claim and they've already looked at all the ballots and the ballots were fine. Those two things can't be the same. They've either looked at all these questionable ballots and found no problem, which is in the newspaper, or the court is doing something that doesn't make any sense, which is trying to look for those same ballots that have already been checked in a room. Is it exactly 150,000 in both cases? But it's two different cases. I don't understand what's going on. I cannot figure out how to combine those two realities even by explaining that one has the wrong information and one has the right information. Like they are just so different worlds right now and I don't know what to make of it.

So I'll tell you my general advice for every specific claim. The odds of it being true are vanishingly small. But there's a lot of activity going on. The odds of all of it being untrue? Well here I would go back to my general statement that every one of our American institutions has shown itself to be corrupt just recently. Not it's not even historical, but in the last few years you found everything from the Department of Justice, the FBI, the CIA, the FDA, the CDC, the World Health Organization if you go outside of America. Am I right? We found everything from science to Congress. Every bit of it is corrupt in really substantial ways. So what are the odds that the elections in all 50 states were pristine? Close to zero. Now that doesn't mean that there was enough fraud to change the result. I have no information about that to support that theory. But there's a lot going on there in a sketchy domain. So I'm going to say the claims are still alive, but I could not put any kind of likelihood on them based on the facts.

I will default to my three-act play model of prediction. And the third act model says that even though the evidence is unclear, that reality is going to start solidifying toward finding a Kraken right before the election. And it turns out that at least one of these cases, I think the Georgia one, something substantial might be decided in the world of the 2020 election before Trump has his trial about whether his claims about the election he knew they were fake. So the timing is now, as I predicted, the timing is now lined up correctly. That we'll know something about the election of 2020. It may be perfectly fine. We might find that out. But the timing is lined up so we would find that out before Trump is called into account for anything he did because of his belief that there was fraud. It's looking too perfect at the moment.

Aaron says to me, yeah you're too smart for a QAnon but you'd readily vote for the QAnon Shaman in Arizona. Yes I would. Was there a point you had to make? I see the anger and the sarcasm but I don't see the point. You're just saying what I said, that I would vote for him. And I don't believe QAnon. Is there a problem with that? Is there some conflict with that? I didn't say that he'd be a great congressperson. Did you hear something I didn't say? I didn't say that he would do policies that I love. I never said that. Yeah, drunk in the morning I think.

All right, there also in the Rasmussen universe there are some Wisconsin election machines and there's a document that shows a claim that somebody was going to make sure that they kept the important ones connected to the internet with a secret connection. Now that one actually looks too on the nose for me that it's in writing. You know, it looks like a real document. And there somebody was going to keep secret internet connections to some machines. Like that's just too on the nose. If I had to guess, and it would only be a guess, it might be true that there was a techie who said we'll keep these important ones connected to the internet. But that doesn't mean that they connected them to the internet to cheat. It could be they connected them to the internet for some kind of test that was temporary. I don't know. I don't know. So I don't even know how to score this one for its likelihood. There's just so much going on in this election domain. But again remember at least 90% of everything you hear about these elections will be debunked. You can guarantee that. Even if there's anything true, most will be BS.

All right, Greta Thunberg. So you all know her, famous climate science advocate, was at an event and another climate protester who you would think would be on her side came on stage and took the mic away from her because she kept talking about Gaza. And he was like, we're here to talk about climate. This is not for you to talk about Gaza. So that was fun. So watching the climate people hate on each other.

Cornel West making news. So despite the fact that Cornel West says directly that he loves all of his Jewish brothers and sisters, he still calls the situation over there an occupation. And here's what I call word thinking. So word thinking thinks you can win the argument if you get people to agree with your word. So that's what this is. So Cornel West is not engaged in anything like reason or debate. He's trying to win by getting you to think that his use of a word is the way you should use it too. So he says that Israel is an occupation. What does that mean? Is Gaza occupied? Well at the moment it is. But was Gaza occupied when Israel pulled out? Does he mean that? And what does occupied mean if you have a society in which some people like how it's going and some don't? It's like everybody's occupied, right? So that word occupation is doing way too much lifting. And he's getting all the pushback you would imagine. So yeah, a lot of pushback on that. Now he also uses apartheid. So those would be the two most disputed words in this situation. But the biggest problem he makes is trying to conflate all this stuff.

I'm going to say it again. I judge the October 7th event like it was the beginning of history. It wasn't. And things that happened before matter, but not to this. Not to this. The actual attack on October 7th requires a strong response that has nothing to do with anything that ever came before. So I refuse to act like that the history had anything to do with anything. And I ask you this question. Given that the Palestinians have a tremendous amount of support, more support than you thought, right? You probably, a lot of you were surprised. Wow, a lot of Palestinian support that you didn't know about. Now given that they have so much support, which means that their public relations has been successful to some extent, don't you think they could use that level of support to really highlight the specific complaints that Cornel West would call occupation or apartheid? Like what would be an example? And if they could give an example, could they give a specific solution?

So one of the cases might be, you know, our water rights were taken over by Israeli farmers. Something like that. You know, some ordinary thing like that. But what was the alternative? You know, you need to know a little bit about that. Was there a legitimate claim? Was the water not being used but it could be used productively over here? Was there any court case about it? I mean there's a lot to know before you can say if something's an occupation or simply the way things made sense at the time. So the dog not barking here — and I'll say it a million times — is if there's really a Palestinian set of complaints that would go under the title an occupation and an apartheid, give us examples. Give us real examples. And then maybe it would look to us like, oh wow, they actually have some real political complaints here. Maybe we should take this seriously. But if on the back of Hamas's incredible terrorist attack you're trying to push this vague notion that there's badness going on with no examples, it doesn't sound like anything useful. And it makes the entire Palestinian narrative look like it's not real.

Would you agree that the fact that these allegedly legitimate complaints are completely ignored while there seems to be a little bit too much understanding of why something like the Hamas situation could occur, maybe that's giving that a little bit too much credibility? And then I'll remind my audience that I'm not trying to be objective about the Israel and Gaza situation. So unlike some other topics where I'm really trying to make an effort to show both sides before I give you an opinion, I'm not going to do that in this case. Not at all. I'm backing the team that wouldn't kill me if they had a chance. Is that fair? I'm telling you this directly. The Jews aren't going to kill me if they had an opportunity, right? But Hamas, they would kill me if they had an opportunity. So it's not like there's two sides. There's my side: people who would even protect me. You know, it would be easy to imagine the Jewish population being protective of the American population if the opportunity came up easily. But I don't see Hamas protecting me if the opportunity came up. So I'm just taking sides with the group that's on my side. That's it. So don't ask me to consider the history. I don't care. I don't care about any of their history. I care about backing the side that's on my side. That's it.

All right, Vivek has an interesting idea for firing government employees because he wants to reduce the number of employees. He said this is really clever. So listen to this. So if I say the number one obstacle to stop Trump from firing the bureaucrats, you know, the civil service people, is because they had too much protection. So if you fired a bunch of civil servants you could expect that some gigantic number of them would file suits and say the only reason you got rid of me is 'cause I'm black or gay or whatever it is. And then even if it's not true, and maybe in some cases it would be true, but in any case you'd have too many lawsuits. So it just isn't practical. Here's Vivek's idea. Fire 50% of federal bureaucrats immediately using any neutral metric. For example, if your social security number ends in an odd number, you're fired. Because nobody can say that discrimination was involved because there's randomness to who has what social security numbers. Now is that a good idea or a bad idea? I actually can't tell. But here's what I like about it. It's outside the box. He just picked up the box and just shook the piss out of it. How much do I like the box shakers? Oh I like them. I like my box shakers. Yeah, shake that freaking box there, Vivek.

Now I put this in the category of brainstorming and the concept I've taught you a million times, which is sometimes the bad idea will get you closer to the good idea because it shakes up the way you're thinking about it. This is such a radical departure from the way government has ever done anything that it suddenly opens up your brain. You go, wait a minute, wait a minute. If you can go that far out of the ordinary, maybe you could go out of the ordinary in another way. You know, maybe I've got a better idea to go outside the ordinary. So this is yet another case of Vivek making the country a better place without yet being elected. Just the fact that he put this into the public mind is freaking awesome, right? You could end up not liking it. There might be an argument against it. I'm sure there is. But wow. I mean he's making us smarter before he's elected. The fact that you now have this in your head as one of the things that you could offer as an idea in a similar situation, he just made you smarter. Like who else does that? And he kind of owns that thing where he's making things well. RFK Jr. too, I would say. I think RFK Jr. is a patriot for making the process better by participating.

All right, I saw a DC Drano post. Reuters is reporting that Mastercard is now linking their bonuses of their employees to ESG goals. Or as DC Drano points out, they will get a bonus for avoiding hiring white men. Just think about that. Your employees will get a bonus for how effectively they discriminate against white men in the real world. That's like a real thing. They use different words to describe it but there's no other way to see it. How's that still okay? Even BlackRock has backed off from pushing ESG because they said it was just poison. You know, too many people just see it as poison. And somebody's handling your money. The people who help you handle your money got this going on. Well I'll tell you, I would never use Mastercard if I had an option. So I would just use something else if you have an option. I wouldn't use it.

All right, I saw a provocative post today but it's provocative in maybe a slightly different way than you're going to take it. So there was some data that showed that since 1959 — so this is basically my lifetime. All right, I was born in '57 so basically my lifetime — this is data that is alleged to be true that the number of black people killed by white people during my lifetime, murdered, you know, just murdered, 53,000. In my lifetime white people have murdered 53,000 freaking black people. Murdered them. At the same time black people killed 156,000 white people. Now of course your brain is saying wait, there are far fewer black people in the world but they killed three times as many white people as the reverse. So there's going to be a racial element to your thinking when I tell you this. But here's what you should be thinking. Like just forget the race part for a minute. We Americans killed 200,000 of each other in my lifetime. Not accidentally. Not accidentally. In my lifetime Americans killed 200,000 other Americans intentionally. That just like makes my brain explode. But I'm still in favor of the Second Amendment, just in case you wondered. So I guess that's the cost of gun ownership. And if you asked me is it worth it? Yes. Yes it is. It's not easy but nothing is.

All right, how would you like me to reprogram Alex Soros who now runs the George Soros funding operation? How would you like me to reprogram him so that he no longer is destroying America? Would you like to give me that challenge? Anybody? Anybody? Challenge accepted. I've already done it. So this morning Alex Soros did a post on X in which he said this. And so this was just nine hours — well probably 10 hours ago. He said, for all those saying that they won't vote for Biden because of Gaza, please realize you will be complicit in Trump being able to do all of this. And then the all of this is a link to his Trump's immigration proposals which were quite draconian. You know, rounding up 4 million people and putting them temporarily into some kind of camps until they can be repatriated to the original countries. Now I'm not going to argue whether Trump had a good or bad plan at the moment. That's a separate conversation. I think he'll end up negotiating it down like he did the first time. You know, not deporting 25 million people like he said he would. But it's a good opening offer. Probably works during the primaries. You know, makes them a little stronger, etc.

So what do you think of that? Is that a reasonable statement from Alexander Soros to say that if you won't vote for Biden because of Gaza you should realize that what you're getting is these Trump immigration policies? Is that a good point? Well kind of, yeah. I mean at least the cause and effect is solid, right? If you get Trump, if the reason you voted for Trump was 'cause Gaza, you're going to get all the Trump stuff. That's true. However, Alex Soros did open up a persuasion channel which I don't think he knew he was doing. And when he opened that channel I said to myself, that's what I've been waiting for. That's exactly what I've been waiting for. I didn't know what I was waiting for but I knew it needed to be an opening. And this opening just came. So I quote tweeted him or quote posted him and I said this to Alexander Soros. I said, you are the reason Trump will get elected, Alex. Open borders, crime in cities. That's what I hear from voters on the right. I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you. The left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this. And we're done.

Now this is why I told you if I had a million followers I could change the world. Generally speaking if you use the X platform at all, if somebody quote tweets you and that person has a million followers, you're going to notice it. Would you say that's — I mean he's a political actor, probably follows social media at least cursorily. But even if he doesn't follow it himself, it's the sort of thing somebody would mention to him, right? Now when I said to Alex Soros, Alex, you are specifically the reason Trump will be elected, is that fair? I think it's fair because the things that are the tiebreakers with what would be a close election is crime in cities and immigration. And especially in the context of the Gaza situation it makes you, it gives you a higher level of concern about our own immigration situation.

Now if Alex Soros saw that, and I think there's a good chance he will, is he going to disagree with my point? Do you think that he doesn't know that what will elect Trump is the open borders that his family supports and funds and then the prosecutors allowing too much crime in the cities? Do you think he doesn't know that? Well if he didn't, and I think it's possible because the bubbles are so extreme, he may have never talked to anybody on the right. Yeah it's possible that in years he hasn't had a serious conversation with anybody who is capable of describing a reasonable Republican opinion about things. Probably. But I kept my comment and look at the technique as well. So you see in the first sentence I use his first name. Now often when people do that they're doing it in sort of a mocking, aggressive way. So people will say to me, well Scotty, here's what you forgot. You know, it's usually when you use somebody's first name and you don't know them it's a little bit of a neu. Right? But I didn't use it that way. So I used it in the way that you would talk to a friend. So I said, you are the reason Trump will get elected, Alex. So I wanted to make sure that he didn't see this as an attack because I don't mean it that way. I mean it as persuasion based on the real world and not in any way a propaganda and not in any way an attack. I honestly believe this is my actual belief with no ambiguity in it whatsoever. That there couldn't be any way that Alex Soros knows the impact of his actions. Would you agree with that? And I think that that's not his fault. I think that we all live in such a bubble that you know I don't know the impact of my actions either because I only see what happens in my bubble. It's perfectly natural to not see the impact of your actions, right? That wouldn't be surprising at all. And especially if you're surrounded with people telling you everything you do is awesome.

All right, so and then I make a claim which is checkable. That the open borders and the crime in the cities are big levers for Trump. Now that's checkable, wouldn't you say? There are polls and people tell you what they care about. You could look at a poll of Republican opinion and just see what's near the top and then see if you are the cause of the things near the top. And the answer is yes. Yeah, immigration and crime would be near the top and they very much would be him.

Now I've said before that I would be surprised if George Soros, all of his views and opinions are completely adopted by his son now while George Soros is alive. And presumably he could maybe still take power away from his son if he needed to. Probably they'll be in lockstep. But soon after the father passes I would expect Alex Soros, because he's not the same person, to have some freedom that maybe he doesn't have at the moment. And I can't believe that he would look at the result of his actions up to this point with his father and say that worked out if he had access to the same information that you and I have. So I think he's persuadable. I do not believe the Elon Musk idea that George Soros hates humanity and that that somehow explains what Alex Soros is doing. That doesn't make sense to me because if George Soros hates humanity because he went through the Holocaust but his son was probably raised in a totally privileged situation nowhere near anything like that, why would they both have the same opinion like that? I mean even though it comes from your father and you know that's very influential, you know there are more cases where people reject their father than accept it, right? So it doesn't quite make sense that the son is acting the way the father does. So my theory is that there's an information problem. There's just a gap in information that I filled in for him. And I kept it short and respectful, right? I tried to keep it respectful.

Well let me ask you, did it come off as respectful? Because if it wasn't respectful then it failed. I'll read it again. Is this respectful? You are the reason Trump will get reelected, Alex. Open borders, crime in cities. That's what I hear from voters on the right. I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you. The left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this. Is that respectful? 'Cause I do mean to be respectful. I have no reason to believe that Alex Soros is a bad guy. I don't. The evidence suggests that the father is his own entity and we don't know what will happen when his influence wanes. So interestingly one person, Alex Soros, has really the leverage to determine who the next president is and also to save the country. Alex Soros can save the country. That's not an exaggeration, is it? Imagine if that just one change, if he just said okay I'm going to have to prioritize the defense of innocent people. That's all it would take. You know, maybe we push too hard. We still want lots of immigration but we don't want to do it this way. Gigantic. So you have one person who absolutely has control over the outcome. And I would ask him, be a citizen of the world, right? Just be a good citizen. Just take the time to see what the Republicans are thinking and saying. Just take the time. Just open up your bubble a little bit. And I think everything works out if you just open up your bubble. Is that too optimistic? Sure. Yeah yeah. One of the things I like to bring you is optimism. Is optimism always a good prediction? Hell no. Optimism can be a pretty bad prediction a lot of the times. But overall I think you know we humans will figure stuff out. And I do think that Alex Soros is young enough and smart enough that if he can escape from his bubble that the world would be immensely better. I mean really big difference if he turned his power just a little bit. He can still have immigration by the way if what he wants is freer immigration. I actually like that a lot. I think the world would be a better place if you could just pick up and move anywhere there was a job as long as you were documented and legal and you obeyed the laws. I think we can make that work actually. In fact it would probably work in America better than we work in other places. So long as we also had some filter for making sure we're getting the good immigrants, you know, the ones who want to work and don't want to do crime. So you know there's a version of the Soros image of the world that actually does work for Republicans. I know it's hard to believe but there is a version that works and he could find it if that's his mission, if he wants to do that. You saying he's disqualified himself? Well I would agree at the moment that his credibility is not where you'd like it to be. But remember we do not see him as an independent actor yet. He might become one. That would be the optimism. But not yet. And it's not that unusual that people pivot from where their parents were. So yeah I do have some optimism about that. I absolutely do.

All right ladies and gentlemen this is what I've got for you today on YouTube. Thanks for joining and as always you're awesome and I'll talk to you tomorrow.

good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization do you think you can make this experience go up to another level a level that nobody can even describe in human words even AI has a problem with it yes but all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass a tanker chalis time a canteen jugg or flask a vessel of any kind fill that vessel with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure it's the dopamine end of the day thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip go oh that's good that's a good way to kick off the day well in uh lesser news uh I guess Biden's Grand granddaughter has Secret Service protection which one is it um doesn't matter but his granddaughter and she was walking in Georgetown late on Sunday night oh Naomi Naomi Biden and at her Secret Service detail saw that there was a carjacking in action and apparently they fired three shots to break it up now we don't know enough about this story to really know like was that smart that they did that did did that in any way protect Naomi I doubt it you was it something that they just decided they needed to do because it just needed to be done here here's what I'm feeling despite the Daniel peny thing and the fact that Heroes keep getting arrested I feel like there's going to be a wave of Citizen involvement I won't say vigilante but citizen involvement that's going to just Skyrocket because it's one thing to know your government should be handling it in which case it's easy to stay uninvolved and then there's another phase where you hope they'll be involved so you still don't get involved because you're like well you know they're not that reliable but I hope the government will take care of this and then there's the giving up phase which we may be entering where you realize that if you don't take care of crime on your own you're going to lose your neighborhood and I think that people are reaching that giving up phase the part where they say you know what if I don't take down this robber I won't have stores in my neighborhood so you know it's a bad idea by the way I don't recommend it I do not recommend vigilante ISM you probably get arrested I'm just saying that people are going to do it because they're just fed up so here's the story that appears in my head without any support right I don't know that this is true here's what I feel with no evidence whatsoever that at least one of these Secret Service people was just sick of this and just and just you know and you know just started firing now I doubt they fired at a person it was probably a warning shots kind of thing I'm guessing but um I don't know might be some more evidence of this coming up so Soccer Star Megan repo was in her final game of her career and 3 minutes in she got an injury that looked pretty bad but her comment about it was quote I'm not a religious person or anything and if there was a god this is proof that there isn't this is effed up so Megan rapo thinks that she has proven there's no God because she got injured in her final game well I don't think she meant that literally but she might be an example of somebody whose career would look better if she never spoke again that that would be my PR advice hey Megan I've got an idea this will this will work for you never speak again just don't say anything this will work out for you that's my advice well in the news we've got some Bill Burr and some Bill bar do you know your Burr's from your bars if I told you a story about Bill bar would you think it was Bill Burr would you get those too confused well they're both in the news uh as you know you probably you heard this story yesterday uh that bill bur the comedian standup comedian was uh with his wife at the uh UFC event where Trump came and there was a photo taken of Bill Burr's wife giving the double bird finger to Trump when he wasn't looking and then uh I commented that you know it would it's going to be uh I would love to know the conversation when they got home and they find out it's a headline news and it's trending everywhere do you think that bill ever said to his wife you know you just took 40% off our total income forever now I don't know if that's actually the case but it's never really a good idea to insult 40% of the people who would go to your shows which is what happened now here here's how I took it you might have taken it as hey this is a political statement it's a political world you know what would I be concerned if somebody made a political statement about somebody no it wouldn't make me not go to the show I mean I watch Bill Mah and I know he doesn't like President Trump doesn't bother me a bit because you know what I also think I don't think that Bill Mar would hate me personally like it doesn't feel personal when he when he talks about it it feels like it's political it's not about the individuals although you know some individual voters he might not love but somehow my impression of this was that giving the finger to Trump in public feels like maybe I wouldn't be welcome in their home either anybody did anybody have that feeling that if you ever had voted for Trump for example oh here's a couple who would never invite me to dinner like even if I worked with them you know even if we were friends I don't think I would ever be invited to their house and so I said to myself huh I feel like that was personal like even though it was about Trump I don't know that it really is like and again there's no logic to this I'm just telling you how it felt so that was my just feeling now so I did this uh this post about it on AXS and I went to check the traffic on it today cuz it keeps popping up and 6.4 million views now for context I rarely get that many views on any kind of a post and that's that's a monster kind of a view uh which would suggest that other people felt it the same way I did that it was more about his supporters maybe than him or at least that it was equally about them so we'll see if that has any impact on his career probably not CU he's so popular but it was it was interesting that so many people might have had the same feeling that's just a guess well there is an update on my experience trying to create an app called a GPT with AI I'll say again the interface for creating the app you just talk to it and you tell it what you want it to do it's the most wildly awesome experience if you've ever programmed anything so in my younger days I did a lot of programming wrote a lot of code many of you don't know that and I actually loved it actually if cartooning hadn't worked out um I would have loved being programmer uh cuz the time went really quick you know it was very engaging yeah I would be completely just sucked into the world of the program it was like living inside a pinball machine that's how I described it I loved it but this new experience of just talking an app into existence is like really actually thrilling I don't know if I can quite Express the feeling of talking an app into existence it's wild because you watch it happen while you're talking um however uh I had experience that some other people said they had which is you'll upload some information to the uh to the AI in this case the chat GPT engine and it will tell you it sees it and you can ask questions about it yes it sees every part of it it can tell you what's in it so you know that it can see it but that's the part you're talking to not the app so you say okay now you can see it make sure make sure your app can see it all the time whenever I ask a question it says totally gotcha I'm definitely going to use this information and give it to you when he ask a question and then you use the app that it created so can you find this there and it will say no I don't have that data so so the part that makes the app says it totally has the data and the app can use it and then you use it it says nope don't have access to it but here's the wild part you can actually negotiate with the app so I so I get angry at the app and I say why do you say you can't see it when I know you can right you like talking to it like a human and again this isn't the this isn't the build the app part which actually is side by side on the screen this is the app itself so I get into it with the app and it and it starts giving me up the information I actually had to cajo it to tell me information and until I cajoled it it was going to lie to me and say it didn't have it now at first I thought it was like a bug but once I realized that it does have the information and it knows it has the information and yet it tells me it doesn't I think it's lying to me and so I and so I wonder could you ever build an app that you could depend on the answer when I I built an app that gave me two different answers on something that's purely objective does this information exist in your database and it would say no unless you asked it just right and yeah you actually had to challenge it and tell it that you knew it had it and then it would give it to you crazy crazy uh I don't know what this implies for building these GPT apps but but it's a wild experience I recommend it by the way if you have any interest in this field it's just you're seeing the future like it's easy to imagine that that's a a bug that will get fixed because it's very specific it's acting like it doesn't see the data that feels quite fixable other people are having the same experience apparently but uh wow anyway I'd like to test my BS detector you remember I told you there's a story that allegedly an Arab Arabic version of mine comp was found in a Palestinian child's bedroom now do you remember what I said about that that's a little bit too on the nose that doesn't feel real right so that was my take on it today uh Glenn Greenwald was calling it out as coming from a source which is a a known uh wild propaganda site so it did not come from a real Source it came from a source that is well known for simply making up so my I think my BS detector was accurate in this case not 100% sure but the source was so wildly ridiculous it's probably BS um Tim Scott has dropped down of the race for president now some of you are going to say Tim Scott who's he I didn't know he was in the race well that's probably why he had to drop out because he didn't really make a an impression in the end he turned into an NPC because the NPC part was actually impressive for a while because in the early days he would start out with his inspirational story about how anybody Can Make It in America you know like a real classic classic American success story kind of thing and and to many Republicans he look like the antidote to the racial wokeness it's like oh yeah that's it you did all the right things and then you got a good outcome and indeed we see over and over again that pretty much everybody who does all the right things gets a pretty good outcome so it was a great story but turned out he didn't have much else I mean he had policies but they didn't stand out as oh Tim Scott's got this wild policy we better talk about him his policies were also generically Republican that in the end all he had was his story and then it became I hate to say it but it started to get pathetic that the best he could do is go back to the story it's a good story a great story really a great American story but didn't have enough just didn't have the juice so I think he made the right choice to get out about who's getting in so you remember the qanan shaman Jacob Chanley who was uh wore the Bison hat and got arrested and he was in jail for a long time for January 6 he is going to run for Congress as a Libertarian in Arizona hello now if he's a Libertarian that means he's running against a republican right as well as a Democrat I assume so I don't you know I don't know what his odds are but he is the Nelson Mandela of our time I'm just saying that so people can get mad that that was intentionally stated to make you angry what there's no way you can compare him to Nelson Mandela I know that's why it's funny he's a poor man's Nelson Mandela but I do like the idea of if you get locked up for reasons which the public seems to think are um inadequate that you can use that to launch a campaign honestly I would vote for him like not a joke if I were in Arizona I'd probably vote for him over a republican honestly because I didn't see any Republicans get anybody out in jail did you did you see the Republicans fighting very hard to get January 6ers in jail him if I were him I'd say him I'm going to run as a Libertarian and I would vote for him because I don't know what qualities are for the job but it's sort of a statement right if you're going to lock somebody up you better get it right you know it's sort of one of those if you come for the king he's not exactly the king but if you come for him and you miss you might get yourself new Congress person so I I guess I love the Justice um and just I don't know every part of that story I like it's just it's kind of classically wonderfully American so I guess that's what I like about it uh the Wall Street Journal has this big article about um black voters you know moving a little bit more toward Trump but just hold this in your mind it's the Wall Street Journal okay hold that in your mind first so it's one of the most you know capable trusted news Publications keep in mind that it's 2023 and in 2023 The Wall Street Journal has an article which makes the CL claim uh that the fine people hoax was not a hoax I mean they don't say that they just refer to the president calling people on both sides of fine people like it was a fact in the Wall Street Journal in a major article feature article in 2023 in the Wall Street Journal now this was uh Katherine Lucy wrote this and so I was so curious how you could be so either wrong or unethical I didn't know what was going on so I checked her background she used to work for the AP during the 2016 election if you work for the AP during the 2016 election you were brainwashed into thinking that the fine people hoax wasn't a hoax cuz I think the AP reported that it was real and then she goes to the Washington U I'm sorry she goes to the uh Wall Street Journal writes a feature article and the editors of the Wall Street Journal don't catch that it was a pretty important part of the story I mean it was you know important context of the larger story what's going on here because that's not an opinion that's a wellestablished fact that it didn't happen in 2017 you could be maybe excused for you know not knowing that the fake news was fake but it's 2013 you telling me that that nobody who read this article before it got published was aware that they were perpetrating one of the biggest lies of American politics Wall Street Journal doesn't know that really what do you think is going on I actually don't know do you think that both the writer and whoever edited it couldn't catch it and do you think that after it was published they didn't get enough push back to immediately correct it I'm I'm actually puzzled here's a i I'd like to challenge you with this um challenge can you find me if the Wall Street Journal has ever reported factually that the fine people hoax was a hoax cuz I'll bet they they have I feel like I have a memory that the Wall Street Journal is one of the few that correctly said that didn't happen so I'm wondering if their reporting is now two opposites is that is that what happened whereas the Wall Street Journal always imagined that it happened have they always reported it wrong I I'd love to I'd love to know what's going on there anyway uh here's a little test for uh your relatives for Thanksgiving I like before the holidays I like to give you something to say to your relatives that are on the left that will get them all you know worked up just just to ruin all of your family relations for fun all right here's the test for cognitive distance um you want to ask if they agree with the following logic so you tell them it's a logic question do you agree with the following logic uh that attorney general bill bar and other advisers told Trump the 2020 election was fair and therefore Trump knew the election was not rigged so ask them if they agree with that if they agree with that that's cognitive dissonance right now some of you are saying but why is it why is that cognitive dissonance if you're saying that you're having cognitive dissonance because everybody who doesn't have cognitive dissonance knows immediately what wrong with it and it's and here's the important part it's not because some people are good at logic and some people are not this is something everybody knows right let me give you an example if you can't find your phone and the only place you look is in your bedroom can you conclude that no phone exists everybody knows that that would not be logical there there's nobody who needs a logic lesson to to know that if the only place you looked and you didn't find it you could not conclude that it does not exist anywhere else on Earth we all know that now there's a special case where if I ask you is there milk in the refrigerator and you looked and there was one container and you look and it's empty and then you look really carefully in the rest of the refrigerator and there's no other milk yes in that very weird specific case you can know there's no milk in the refrigerator but you know that's a very special case but an election with 50 different states and you know who however many precincts hundreds thousands I don't even know who who could possibly know that all of the code of all the the election machines every person who could have done something didn't is not knowable and everybody knows that but you will get Democrats to act like they don't know it that's cognitive dissonance so the pretending you don't understand the point is that now if instead of addressing this you know the moment you say okay that's cognitive distance they say and you've heard you've all heard it the courts found nothing wrong with the election that's exactly the same point the courts don't check everything and the people who took things to the court also can't check everything so what the court saw was you know this light tiny little sliver of a grain of sand on the beach that's all they saw so if they saw one grain of sand on the beach can they conclude anything about all beaches in the world probably not so you will find out that after you point out that somebody's in cognitive dissonance for believing they know something doesn't exist because they didn't look for it very well they will get angry and then what do they do first they get angry what's the next thing that happens they change the subject but but but Trump did something else bad find people hoax but but but he said drink bleach the drinking bleach hes right it and it will always go that way or it will turn into name calling I've experienced this well I guess you get your news from kinon and I'll say this has nothing to do with qanon and also I was debunking qanon yeah yeah yeah but you get your all your news from Fox News to which I say no I don't I consciously and publicly look at all the news sources left and right and I criticize them all yeah but Trump CR Trump said that a guy with a disability in his arm he mocked him in public no he didn't you look at the compilation uh clips that the right never sees where he's been using the same gesture for ordinary everyday people with no disabilities forever which they have never seen anyway so that's your fun for Thanksgiving um Washington DC is having trouble getting enough social workers uh they've got some kind of a diversity problem here cuz I guess there's some kind of test you can take to qualify as a social worker and 76% of white test takers passed but only 33% of black test takers did and weirdly uh Asian American Test takers were in between which you don't normally see in these objective tests but um the belief is that uh what's happening here is that it's letting too many white people get into the jobs and is what they say d diversifying the field in other words it's a field they want like everything else to be Diversified but when you have a test that white people are passing a at a you know three times or more the level of black people you're working you're going in the opposite direction and now you might ask yourself uh and then the claim is that the test itself is racially biased so they're not saying that the black applicants have less qualifications they're saying that it's a test that if you gave it to any white person and any black person on average not any person but on average um there would be a racial bias bias built into the questions so massive that has like a tripling effect of you know who passes and who fails I mean really B big effect so what's your first question what's your first question can you give me an example of one of those questions right well it turns out that there they private and it makes sense cuz it's a test you can't give people the questions cuz then they know the answers before they took the test so they can't tell you the questions they can only tell you they that they've secretly seen the questions and they think that they might be biased do you buy that is that a strong argument the things we can't show you are biased well remember there used to be the same argument about the SATs do you remember that years ago people said the SATs the questions are biased and I remember saying the same thing can you give me an example of a biased math question or or a biased any other kind of question and they actually had an example that that persuaded me now I don't know how many of these there are but I'm going to give you the same example and I remember hearing it and thinking I'll be damned they do actually have an example that's complet completely racially biased here's the example I heard now I'm not going to claim that from this one example you can say much but what if there are more examples you know I was surprised there was even one example and I'm going to give it to you but what if there more or here's the example the question was something like match this word to the to the one that's you know that goes with it and the Word was cup and and the options were table saucer and then some third one like plate the white applicants or the white test takers were more likely to say cup and saucer because they're literally a pair cup and saucer but if you were from a low-income house what are the odds you'd ever seen a saucer so it turns out that a lot of the low-income people didn't even what a saucer was is that their is that their fault is is is there something you know wrong with them that they' never heard of a saucer no actually you would need to be at a certain economic level before you'd ever seen one you'd never seen one you know so it's not even a word in your vocabulary and I thought to myself that's actually a good point well do you agree with that one do you agree with that one point well here's what I would say what did the poor white people do did the poor white people say table so I don't know the answer to that question but in both in both cases I was surprised that there could be a question that might that might actually have some racial bias to it that was a better example than I was expecting so I'm not going to say because I don't know that this test is uh unbiased and you know there's something wrong with the test takers I don't know that but we we got questions we got questions all right here's some maybe good news but it's it's a good news I've been reading about for I know my entire life and it's never been true yet so here's the thing that's never been true even once but it gets reported once a month forever there's a gigantic breakthrough in cancer treatment now I get that the cancer people have actually made amazing strides in a in a number of different cancers so there's been quite a bit of progress but the the major breakthrough the one that gets all the cancers you know we're always hearing that that's that's Ah that's a week way never is no nope but here's but this one is interesting more interesting than most so scientists at the UC Davis Comprehensive Cancer Center in Sacramento they they think they found this thing called the cd95 receptor that can program a cancer cell to die in other words there might be a common element to all cancers that's a kill switch now all the other treatments have not looked for a kill switch they've looked for a weakness I mean this is my non-scientist explanation they've looked for weaknesses they could exploit but they never found a Kill switch like if you just tweak this thing boom just turns off uh now they don't have any apparently they don't have any treatments that will turn it off but but but they think that's potentially possible now here's here's even the reason I'm telling you this story at all because it falls into the category of things that they get real excited about because they cured a mouse and then it just doesn't work in a person right I mean you've seen that a billion times which is typical Mo most of the mouse studies do not actually translate into humans but it's better than not doing a mouse study you know if it fails in the mouse study you're probably done but the humans just don't work like mice enough to think it's going to work because it worked in a mouse but here's my question if you were to look at the let's say the Machinery of cancer if you you treat the cancer cell like it's a a really complicated machine if you're human being and you're trying to figure out the machine how many decades did it take us to find that there's this cd95 receptor like it took forever and it might have even been an accident I don't know you know maybe they just stumbled on it but how many how many complications are there in a cell cancer cell if you imagine it like a machine because it is kind of a biological machine with parts um it may be too complicated that any human could even know how to get their head around it but what about AI do you think AI could look at a bunch of cancer cells and a bunch of different situations and then use its Advanced pattern recognition and maybe the visual kind as opposed to the word kind could it determine the the mechanism that makes the machine work simply by seeing a lots of examples of a cancer cell working so you put it in lots of different situations and watch how works you see what changes and maybe you look for a pattern I don't know but but I wonder if pattern recognition could get you to understanding the Machinery of a cell if you could see enough parts of it working you know too complicated for a human but too complicated for a I don't know a quantum computer with AI I don't know so just something to think about all right uh how about that 2024 election um so rasmuson did a poll says 53% of likely voters think the economy has gotten worse under Biden well 30% say the economy has gotten better how in the world can you get reelected if more than half of the people think the economy got worse under you now of course everything's unfair because the um the pandemic just changed all the economics of things so you can't really give him credit for the increase in employment because that was going to happen naturally you can't really fault him for the economy not being as good as it was before the pandemic there pretty good reasons for that but in terms of how people react and vote how in the world can he get it get elected when more than half of the country thinks he made the economy worse or he didn't make it better well yeah I'd be worried about those worried about election Integrity but related to this and also rasmuson if you if you don't follow the rasmuson account uh they they're very active in running down all the various allegations about 2020 and what evidence there is that has not been debunked and it is a whole different world when you look at their claims which by the way are always backed with documents right everything raspin has said about the election they print the document you know they point to the you know the paragraph that matters to their point you can see yourself so there there are still bunch of things going on I'm kind of lost in it but I'll tell you this this world of we almost have the Kraken is completely different from the other world in the other world uh that everything's been debone and it's just done do you know the story about the I I've told this a bunch of times there's an allegation that there's a locked closet with 150,000 ballots that are fake ballots and that the courts wouldn't open the thing but it went to a higher court and they said yes you got to open it up but the lower court is dawling but if they could open up that door you know you could see that the ballots were or were not fake but then I read the Atlanta Constitution it says oh that's an old claim and they've already looked at all the ballots and the ballots were fine those two things can't be the same they've either looked at all these questionable ballots and found no problem which is in the newspaper or the court is doing something that doesn't make any sense which is trying to look at look for those same ballots that have already been checked in a room is it exactly 150,000 in both cases but it's two different cases I don't understand what's going going on I cannot I cannot figure out how to combine those two realities even by explaining that one has the wrong information and one has the right information like they are just so different worlds right now and I don't know what to make of it so I'll I'll tell you my general advice for every specific claim the odds of it being true or vanishingly small but there's a lot of activity going on the odds of all of it being untrue well here I would go back to my general statement that every one of the our American institutions has shown itself to be corrupt just recently not it's not even historical but in the last just few years you found everything from the Department of Justice the FBI the CIA the you know the FDA the CDC the World Health Organization if you go outside of America am I right we found everything from science to Congress every bit of it is corrupt in really really substantial ways so what are the odds that the elections in all 50 states were pristine close to zero now that doesn't mean that there was enough fraud to over over you know change the result I have no no information about that to support that theory but there's a lot going on there in a sketchy domain so I'm I'm going to say it's the claims are still alive but I could not put any kind of likelihood on them based on the facts uh I will default to my three act play model of prediction and the third act model says that even though the evidence is unclear that reality is going to start solidifying toward finding a kraken right before the election and it turns out that at least one of these cases I think the Georgia one uh something substantial might be decided in the world of the 2020 election before Trump has his trial about whether his claims about the election he knew they were fake so the so the timing is now as I predicted the timing is now lined up correctly that we'll know something about the election of 2020 it it may be perfectly fine we might find that out but the timing is lined up so we would find that out before Trump is called into account for anything he did because of his belief that there was fraud it's looking too perfect at the moment um Aaron says to me yeah you're too smart for a qinon but you'd readily vote for the Lar q q shelan in Arizona position we live in yes I would was there a point you had to make I I see I see the anger and the sarcasm but I don't see the point you're just saying what I said that I would vote for him and I don't believe Kut is there a problem with that is there some some conflict with that I didn't say that he'd be a great Congress person did did you hear something I didn't say I didn't say that he would do policies that I love I never said that yeah drunk in the morning I think all right uh there also in the rasmuson universe um there are some Wisconsin election election machines and there's a document that shows a claim that somebody was going to to make sure that they kept the important ones connected to the internet with a secret connection now that that one actually looks too on the nose for me that it's in writing you know it looks like a real document and there somebody was going to keep secret internet connections to some machines like like that's just too on the nose if I had to guess and it would only be a guess it might be true that there was techi who said we'll keep these important ones connected to the internet but that doesn't mean that they connected to them to to the internet to cheat it could be they connected to them to the internet for some kind of test that was temporary I don't know I don't know so I don't know what I don't even know how to score this one for his likelihood there's just so much going on in this election domain but again remember at least 90% of everything you hear about these election will be debunked you can guarantee that even if there's anything true most will be BS all right um Greta tunberg so you all know her famous climate science Advocate was at an event and uh uh another climate protester who you would think would be on her side uh came on stage and took the mic away from her because she kept talking about um Gaza and he was like um we're here to talk about climate uh this is not for you to talk about Gaza so that was fun so watching the climate people ha hate on each other um Cornell West making news so despite the fact that Cornel West says directly that you know he l loves all of his uh Jewish brothers and sisters um he still calls the situation over there an occupation and here here's what I call word thinking um oh wow um so word thinking thinks you can win the argument if you get people to agree with your word so that's what this is so Corell West is not engaged in anything like you know reason or debate he's trying to win by getting you to think that his use of a word is the way you should use it too so he says that Israel is uh that it's an occupation what does that mean is is Gaza occupied well at the moment it is but was Gaza occupied when Israel pulled out does he mean that or and what does occupied mean if you have a society in which some people like how it's going and some don't it's like everybody's occupied right so that Word occupation is doing way too much lifting and he's getting all the push back you would imagine so uh yeah a lot of push back on that now he also uses um apartheid so those those would be the two most let's say disputed words in in this situation but the biggest problem he makes is trying to conflate all this stuff um I going to say it again I judge the October 7th event like it was the beginning of History it wasn't and things that happened before matter but not to this not to this you know the the you know the actual ATT on October 7th requires a strong response that has nothing to do with anything that ever came before so I refused to act like that that the history had anything to do with anything and I ask you this question given that the Palestinians have a tremendous amount of support more support than you thought right you probably a lot of you were surprised wow a lot of Palestinian uh support that you didn't know about now given that they have so much support which means that their public relations has been successful to some extent don't you think they could use that level of support to really highlight the specific complaints that Corno West would call occupation or or apartheid like what would be an example and and if they could give an example could they give a specific solution so one one of the cases might be you know our water rights were you know taken over by Israeli Farmers something like that you know some ordinary thing like that but what was the alternative you know you need to know a little bit about that was there was there a legitimate claim was the water not being used but it could be used productively over here was there any court case about it I mean there's a lot to know before you can say if something's a an occupation or simply the way things made sense at the time so the dog not barking here and I'll say it a million times is if there's really a Palestinian set of complaints that would go under the title an occupation and an apartheid give us examples give us real examples and then maybe it would look to us like oh wow they actually have some like real political complaints here maybe we should take this seriously but if on the back of hamas's you know incredible terrorist attack you're trying to push this vague notion that there's Badness going on with no examples it doesn't sound like anything useful and it makes the entire Palestinian narrative look like it's not real would you agree that the fact that the these allegedly legitimate complaints are completely ignored while there seems to be a little bit too much um let's say too much understanding of why something like the Hamas situation could occur you maybe that's giving that a little bit too much too much uh credibility so um and then I'll remind my audience that I'm not trying to be objective about the uh Israel in Gaza situation so unlike some other topics where I'm really trying to make you know an effort to show both sides before I give you an opinion I'm not going to do that in this case not at all I I'm backing the team that wouldn't kill me if they had a chance is that fair I'm telling you this directly the Jews aren't going to kill me if they had an opportunity right but Hamas they would kill me if they had an opportunity so it's not like there's you know I I don't recognize two sides there's my side people who would even protect me you know it would be easy to imagine you know the Jewish population being protective of American population if if the opportunity came up easily but I don't see Hamas protecting me if the opportunity came up so I'm just taking um I'm not even looking at it politically I'm just taking sides with the with the group that's on my side that's it so don't ask me to consider the history I don't care I don't care about any of their history I care about backing the side that's on my side that's it all right uh VI has an interesting idea for firing government employees because he wants to reduce the number of uh emplo employees he said uh this is really clever so listen to this so if a says the number one obstacle to stop Trump from firing the bureaucrats you know the Civil Service people is because they had too much protection so if you fired a bunch of civil servants you could expect that some gigantic number of them would file suits and say the only reason you got rid of me is cuz I'm black or gay or whatever it is and then even if it's not true uh and maybe in some cases it would be true but in any case you'd have too many lawsuits so it just isn't practical here's V's idea uh fire 50% of federal bureaucrats immediately using any neutral metric for example if your s social security number ends in an odd number you're fired because nobody can say that discrimination was involved because there there's Randomness to who has what social security numbers now is that a good idea or a bad idea I actually can't tell but here's what I like about it it's outside the box he just picked well he just picked up the box and just shook the piss out of it how much do I like the Box shakers oh I like them I like my box shakers yeah shake that freaking box there V now I I put this in the category of brainstorming and the the concept I've taught you a million times which is sometimes the bad idea will get you closer to the good idea because it shakes up the way you're thinking about it this is such a radical departure from the way government has ever done anything that it suddenly opens up your brain you go wait a minute wait a minute if you can go that far out of the out of the ordinary maybe you could go out of the ordinary in another way you know maybe I've got a better idea to go outside the ordinary so this is this is yet another case of aake uh making the country a better place without yet being elected just the fact that he put this into the public mind is freaking awesome right you could you could end up not liking it there might be an argument against it I'm sure there is but wow I mean he's making us smarter before he's elected the the fact that you now have this in your head as one of the things that you could offer as an idea in a similar situation he just made you smarter like who else does that and he kind of owns that that thing where he's making things well RFK Jr too I would say I think rfj K Jr is a you know a patriot for making the process better by participating all right um I saw a DC Drano post Reuters is reporting that Master Guard is uh now linking their bonuses of their employees to ESG goals or as DC Drano points out uh they will get a bonus for avoiding hiring white men just think about that your employees will get a bonus for the for how effectively they discriminate against white men in the real world that's like a real thing they use different words to describe it but there's no other way to see it how's that still okay even Black Rock has backed off from pushing ESG because they said it was just poison you know too many people just see it as poison and and somebody's handling your money the people you know the people who help you handle your money got this going on well I'll tell you I would never use Master.

Card if I had an option so I would just use something else if if you have an option I wouldn't use it all right um I saw a provocative posted today but it's provocative it maybe a slightly different way than you're going to take it so there was some data that showed that since 1959 so this is basically my lifetime all right I was born in 57 so basically my lifetime this is a data that is alleged to be true that um the number of black people killed by white people during my lifetime murdered you know just murdered 53,000 in my lifetime white people have murdered 53,000 freaking black people murdered them at the same time black people killed 156,000 white people now of course your brain is saying wait there are far fewer black people in the world but they killed uh three times as many white people as the reverse so so there's going to be a you know racial element to your thinking when I tell you this but here's what you should be thinking like just forget the Race part for a minute we Americans killed 200,000 of each other in my lifetime not accidentally not accidentally in my lifetime Americans killed 200 thousand other Americans intentionally that that just like makes my brain explode but I'm still in favor of Second Amendment just in case you wondered so I guess that's the cost of of you know gun ownership and if you asked me is it worth it yes yes it's not easy but nothing is all right um how would you like me to reprogram Alex Soros who now runs the George Soros funding operation how would you like me to reprogram him so that he uh no longer is destroying America would you like to give me that challenge anybody anybody challenge accepted I've already done it so this morning um Alex Soros did a post on X in which he said this and so this was just 9 hour well probably 10 hours ago he said uh for all those saying that they won't vote for Biden because of Gaza please realize you will be complicit in Trump being able to do all of this and then the all of this is a link to his uh uh Trump's immigration proposals which were quite Draconian you know rounding up 4 million people and put putting them temporarily into some kind of camps until they can be repatriated to the original countries now I'm not going to argue whether Trump had a good or bad plan at the moment that's a separate conversation I think he'll end up you know negotiating it down like he did the first time you know not deporting 25 million people like he said he would but it's a good you know opening offer probably works during the primaries you makes them a little stronger Etc um so what do you think of that is that is that a reasonable statement from Alexander Soros to say that uh if you won't vote for Biden because of Gaza you should realize that what you're getting is these Trump immigration policies is that a good point well kind of yeah I mean at least the the the cause and effect is solid right if you get Trump if the reason you voted for Trump was cuz Gaza you're going to get all the Trump stuff that's true however Alex Soros did open up a persuasion Channel which I don't think he knew he was doing and when he opened that channel I said to myself that's what I've been waiting for that's exactly what I've been waiting for I didn't know what I was waiting for but I knew it in heed to be an opening and this opening just came so I quote tweeted him or quote posted him and I said this to Alexander Soros I said you are the reason Trump will get elected Alex open borders crime in cities uh that's what I hear from voters on the right I doubt Trump would be competitive I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you the left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this and we're done now this is why I told you if I had a million followers I could change the world generally speaking if you use the xplatform at all if somebody quote treat quote uh tweets you and that person has a million followers you're going to notice it would you say that's I mean he's he's a political actor probably follows social media at least cursory but even if he doesn't follow it himself it's the sort of thing somebody would mention to him right now when I said to Alex Soros Alex you are specifically the reason Trump will be elected is that fair I I think it's fair because the um the things that are the tiebreakers with what would be a close election is crime in cities and immigration and especially in the context of the Gaza situation it makes you it gives you a higher level of concern about our own immigration situation now if Alex Soros saw that and I think there's a good chance he will is he going to disagree with my point do you think that he doesn't know that what will elect Trump is the open borders that his family um supports and funds and the then the prosecutors allowing too much crime in the cities do you think he doesn't know that well if he didn't and I think it's possible because the bubbles are so extreme he he may have never talked to anybody on the right yeah it's possible that in years he hasn't had a serious conversation with anybody who is uh capable of describing a reasonable Republican opinion about things probably probably never but I kept I kept my comment and and look at the technique as well so you see in the first sentence I use this first name now often when people do that they're doing it in sort of a mocking aggressive way so people will say to me well Scotty here's what you forgot you know it's usually when you use somebody's first name and you don't know them it's is a little bit of an Neu right but I didn't use it that way so I used it in the way that you would talk to a friend so I said you are the reason Trump will get elected Alex so I wanted to make sure that he didn't see this as an attack because I don't mean it that way I mean it as persuasion based on the real world and not in any way a propaganda and not in any way an attack I honestly believe this is my actual belief with no ambiguity in it whatsoever that there couldn't be any way that Alex Soros knows the impact of his actions would you agree with that and I think that that's not his fault I think that we all live in such a bubble that you know I don't know the impact of my actions either because I only see what happens in my bubble It's Perfectly Natural to not see the the impact of your actions right that that wouldn't be surprising at all and especially if you're surrounded with people telling you everything you do is awesome all right so and then um and then I make a claim which is checkable that the open borders and the crime in the cities are big levers for Trump now that's checkable wouldn't you say there are polls and people tell you what they care about you could look at a poll of Republican opinion and just see what's near the top and then see if you are the cause of the things near the top and the answer is yes yeah yeah immigration and crime would be near the top and they very much would be him now I've said before that I would be surprised if George Soros um all of his views and opinions are completely adopted by his son now while George Soros is alive and presumably he could maybe still take power away from his son if he needed to probably they'll be in lock step but soon after the the father passes I would expect Alex Soros because he's not the same person to have some Freedom that maybe he doesn't have at the moment and I can't believe that he would look at the result of his actions up to this point with his father and say that worked out if he had access to the same information that you and I have so I think he's persuadable I do not believe uh the um the Elon Musk idea that George Soros hates humanity and that that somehow explains what Alex Soros is doing that doesn't make sense to me because if George Soros hates Humanity because he went through the Holocaust but his son was probably raised in a totally privileged situation nowhere near anything like that why would they both have the same opinion like that I mean even though it comes from your father and you know that's very influential you know there there there are more cases where people reject their father than accept it right so it doesn't quite make sense that the son is acting the way the father does so my my my theory is that there's an information problem there's just a gap in information that I filled it in for him and I I kept it sure and respectful right I tried to keep it respectful well let me ask you did it come off as respectful because if it wasn't respectful then it failed I'll read it again is this respectful uh you are the reason Trump will get reelected Alex open borders crime in cities uh that's what I hear from voters on the right I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you the left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this is that respectful cuz I do mean to be respectful I have no reason to believe that Alex Soros is a bad guy I don't the evidence suggests that the father is his own entity and we don't know what will happen when his influence wains so interestingly one person Alex Soros has really The Leverage to determine who the next president is and also to save the country Alex Soros can save the country that's not an exaggeration is it imagine if that just one change if he just said okay I'm going to have to prioritize you know the defense of innocent people that's all it would take you know maybe we push too hard we still want we still want lots of immigration but we don't want to do it this way gigantic so you have one person who absolutely has control over the outcome and I would ask him be be a citizen of the world right just be a good citizen just just just take the time to see what the Republicans are thinking and saying just take the time just just open up your bubble a little bit and I think everything works out if you just open up your bubble is that too optimistic sure yeah yeah one one of the things I like to bring you is optimism is optimism always a good prediction hell no optimism can be a pretty bad prediction a lot of the times but overall I think you know we humans will figure stuff out and I do think that uh Alex Soros is young enough and smart enough that if he can escape from his bubble that the world would be immensely better I mean really big difference if he you know turned his power just a little bit he can still have immigration by the way if what he wants is Freer immigration I actually like that a lot I think the world would be a better place if you could just pick up and move anywhere there was a job as long as you were documented and legal and you obeyed the laws I think we can make that work actually in fact it would probably work in in America better than we work in other places so long as we also had some filter for making sure we're getting the the good immigrants you know the ones who want to work and don't want to do crime so you know there there's a version of the the Soros image of the world that actually does work for Republicans I know it's hard to believe but there is a version that works and he could find it if if that's his mission if he wants to do that you saying he's disqualified himself well I would agree at the moment that his credibility is not where you'd like it to be but remember we do not see him as an independent actor yet he might become one that would be the optimism but not yet and it's not that unusual that people you know pivot from where their parents were so yeah I do have some optimism about that I absolutely do all right ladies and Gent this is what I've got for you today on You.

Tube thanks for joining and uh as always you're awesome and I'll talk to you tomorrow

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human

civilization do you think you can make

this experience go up to another level a

level that nobody can even describe in

human words even AI has a problem with

it yes but all you need for that is a

cup or a mug or a glass a tanker chalis

time a canteen jugg or flask a vessel of

any kind fill that vessel with your

favorite liquid I like coffee and join

me now for the unparalleled pleasure

it's the dopamine end of the day thing

that makes everything better it's called

the simultaneous sip

go oh that's

good that's a good way to kick off the

day well in uh lesser

news uh I guess Biden's Grand

granddaughter has Secret Service

protection which one is it um doesn't

matter but his granddaughter and she was

walking in Georgetown late on Sunday

night oh Naomi Naomi Biden and at her

Secret Service detail saw that there was

a carjacking in action and apparently

they fired three shots to break it

up now we don't know enough about this

story to really know like was that smart

that they did that did did that in any

way protect

Naomi I doubt it you was it something

that they just decided they needed to do

because it just needed to be

done here here's what I'm

feeling despite the Daniel peny thing

and the fact that Heroes keep getting

arrested I feel like there's going to be

a wave of Citizen involvement I won't

say vigilante but citizen involvement

that's going to just

Skyrocket because it's one thing to know

your government should be handling it in

which case it's easy to stay

uninvolved and then there's another

phase where you hope they'll be involved

so you still don't get involved because

you're like well you know they're not

that reliable but I hope the government

will take care of this and then there's

the giving up phase which we may be

entering where you realize that if you

don't take care of crime on your own

you're going to lose your

neighborhood and I think that people are

reaching that giving up phase the part

where they say you know what if I don't

take down this robber I won't have

stores in my neighborhood so you know

it's a bad idea by the way I don't

recommend it I do not recommend

vigilante ISM you probably get arrested

I'm just saying that people are going to

do it because they're just fed up so

here's the story that appears in my head

without any support right I don't know

that this is true here's what I feel

with no evidence whatsoever

that at least one of these Secret

Service people was just sick of this

and just and just you know and you

know just started firing now I doubt

they fired at a person it was probably a

warning shots kind of thing I'm guessing

but um I don't know might be some more

evidence of this coming up so Soccer

Star Megan repo was in her final game of

her career and 3 minutes in she got an

injury that looked pretty bad but her

comment about it was quote I'm not a

religious person or anything and if

there was a god this is proof that there

isn't this is effed

up so Megan rapo thinks that she has

proven there's no God because she got

injured in her final

game well I don't think she meant that

literally but she might be an example of

somebody whose career would look better

if she never spoke

again that that would be my PR advice

hey Megan I've got an idea this will

this will work for you never speak again

just don't say

anything this will work out for

you that's my

advice well in the news we've got some

Bill Burr and some Bill bar do you know

your Burr's from your

bars if I told you a story about Bill

bar would you think it was Bill Burr

would you get those too confused well

they're both in the news uh as you know

you probably you heard this story

yesterday uh that bill bur the comedian

standup comedian was uh with his wife at

the uh UFC event where Trump came and

there was a photo taken of Bill Burr's

wife giving the double bird finger to

Trump when he wasn't

looking and then uh I commented that you

know it would it's going to be uh I

would love to know the conversation when

they got home and they find out it's a

headline news and it's trending

everywhere do you think that bill ever

said to his wife you know you just took

40% off our total income

forever now I don't know if that's

actually the case but it's never really

a good idea to insult 40% of the people

who would go to your shows which is what

happened now here here's how I took it

you might have taken it as hey this is a

political statement it's a political

world you know what would I be concerned

if somebody made a political statement

about somebody no it wouldn't make me

not go to the show I mean I watch Bill

Mah and I know he doesn't like President

Trump doesn't bother me a bit because

you know what I also think I don't think

that Bill Mar would hate me

personally like it doesn't feel personal

when he when he talks about it it feels

like it's political it's not about the

individuals although you know some

individual voters he might not love but

somehow my impression of this was that

giving the finger to Trump in public

feels like maybe I wouldn't be welcome

in their home either anybody did anybody

have that feeling that if you ever had

voted for Trump for example oh here's a

couple who would never invite me to

dinner like even if I worked with them

you know even if we were friends I don't

think I would ever be invited to their

house and so I said to myself huh I feel

like that was

personal like even though it was about

Trump I don't know that it really is

like and again there's no logic to this

I'm just telling you how it felt so that

was my just

feeling now so I did this uh this post

about it on AXS and I went to check the

traffic on it today cuz it keeps popping

up and 6.4 million

views now for

context I rarely get that many views on

any kind of a post and that's that's a

monster kind of a view uh which would

suggest that other people felt it the

same way I did that it was more about

his supporters maybe than him or at

least that it was equally about them so

we'll see if that has any impact on his

career probably not CU he's so popular

but it was it was interesting that so

many people might have had the same

feeling that's just a

guess well there is an update on my

experience trying to create an app

called a

GPT with AI I'll say again the interface

for creating the app you just talk to it

and you tell it what you want it to do

it's the most wildly awesome experience

if you've ever programmed anything so in

my younger days I did a lot of

programming wrote a lot of code

many of you don't know that and I

actually loved

it actually if cartooning hadn't worked

out um I would have loved being

programmer uh cuz the time went really

quick you know it was very engaging yeah

I would be completely just sucked into

the world of the program it was like

living inside a pinball machine that's

how I described it I loved it but this

new experience of just talking an app

into existence is like really actually

thrilling I don't know if I can quite

Express the feeling of talking an app

into existence it's wild because you

watch it happen while you're talking um

however uh I had experience that some

other people said they had which is

you'll upload some information to the uh

to the AI in this case the chat GPT

engine and it will tell you it sees it

and you can ask questions about it yes

it sees every part of it it can tell you

what's in it so you know that it can see

it but that's the part you're talking to

not the app so you say okay now you can

see it make sure make sure your app can

see it all the time whenever I ask a

question it says totally gotcha I'm

definitely going to use this information

and give it to you when he ask a

question and then you use the app that

it created so can you find this there

and it will say no I don't have that

data so so the part that makes the app

says it totally has the data and the app

can use it and then you use it it says

nope don't have access to it but here's

the wild

part you can actually negotiate with the

app so I so I get angry at the app and I

say why do you say you can't see it when

I know you can right you like talking to

it like a human and again this isn't the

this isn't the build the app part which

actually is side by side on the screen

this is the app itself so I get into it

with the app and it and it starts giving

me up the

information I actually had to cajo it to

tell me information and until I cajoled

it it was going to lie to me and say it

didn't have it now at first I thought it

was like a bug but once I realized that

it does have the information and it

knows it has the information and yet it

tells me it doesn't I think it's lying

to me and so I and so I wonder could you

ever build an app that you could depend

on the answer when I I built an app that

gave me two different answers on

something that's purely objective does

this information exist in your

database and it would say no unless you

asked it just right and yeah you

actually had to challenge it and tell it

that you knew it had it and then it

would give it to you crazy crazy uh I

don't know what this implies for

building these GPT apps but but it's a

wild experience I recommend it by the

way if you have any interest in this

field it's just you're seeing the future

like it's easy to imagine that that's a

a bug that will get fixed because it's

very specific it's acting like it

doesn't see the data that feels quite

fixable other people are having the same

experience

apparently but uh wow anyway I'd like to

test my BS detector you remember I told

you there's a story that allegedly an

Arab Arabic version of mine comp was

found in a Palestinian child's

bedroom now do you remember what I said

about that that's a little bit too on

the

nose that doesn't feel real right so

that was my take on it today uh Glenn

Greenwald was calling it out as coming

from a source which is a a known uh wild

propaganda site so it did not come from

a real Source it came from a source that

is well known for simply making up

so my I think my BS detector was

accurate in this case not 100% sure but

the source was so wildly ridiculous it's

probably

BS um Tim Scott has dropped down of the

race for

president now some of you are going to

say Tim Scott who's he I didn't know he

was in the race well that's probably why

he had to drop out because he didn't

really make a an impression in the end

he turned into an

NPC because the NPC part was actually

impressive for a while because in the

early days he would start out with his

inspirational story about how anybody

Can Make It in America you know like a

real classic classic American success

story kind of thing and and to many

Republicans he look like the antidote to

the racial wokeness it's like oh yeah

that's it you did all the right things

and then you got a good outcome and

indeed we see over and over again that

pretty much everybody who does all the

right things gets a pretty good outcome

so it was a great story but turned out

he didn't have much else I mean he had

policies but they didn't stand out as oh

Tim Scott's got this wild policy we

better talk about him his policies were

also generically

Republican that in the end all he had

was his

story and then it became I hate to say

it but it started to get pathetic that

the best he could do is go back to the

story it's a good story a great story

really a great American story but didn't

have enough just didn't have the juice

so I think he made the right choice to

get

out about who's getting in so you

remember the qanan shaman Jacob Chanley

who was uh wore the Bison hat and got

arrested and he was in jail for a long

time for January 6 he is going to run

for Congress as a Libertarian in

Arizona

hello now if he's a Libertarian that

means he's running against a republican

right as well as a Democrat I assume so

I don't you know I don't know what his

odds are but he is the Nelson Mandela of

our

time I'm just saying that so people can

get

mad that that was intentionally stated

to make you angry what there's no way

you can compare him to Nelson

Mandela I know that's why it's funny

he's a poor man's Nelson

Mandela but I do like the idea of if you

get locked up for reasons which the

public seems to think are um

inadequate that you can use that to

launch a campaign honestly I would vote

for him like not a joke if I were in

Arizona I'd probably vote for him over a

republican honestly because I didn't see

any Republicans get anybody out in jail

did you did you see the Republicans

fighting very hard to get January 6ers

in jail him if I were him I'd say

him I'm going to run as a

Libertarian and I would vote for him

because I don't know what qualities are

for the job but it's sort of a statement

right if you're going to lock somebody

up you better get it right you know it's

sort of one of those if you come for the

king he's not exactly the king but if

you come for him and you

miss you might get yourself new Congress

person so I I guess I love the

Justice um and just I don't know every

part of that story I like it's just it's

kind of classically wonderfully

American so I guess that's what I like

about

it uh the Wall Street Journal has this

big article about um black voters you

know moving a little bit more toward

Trump but just hold this in your mind

it's the Wall Street Journal okay hold

that in your mind first so it's one of

the most you know capable trusted news

Publications

keep in mind that it's

2023 and in

2023 The Wall Street Journal has an

article which makes the CL

claim uh that the fine people

hoax was not a hoax I mean they don't

say that they just refer to the

president calling people on both sides

of fine people like it was a fact in the

Wall Street Journal in a major article

feature article

in 2023 in the Wall Street

Journal now this was uh Katherine Lucy

wrote this and so I was so curious how

you could be so either wrong or

unethical I didn't know what was going

on so I checked her background she used

to work for the AP during the 2016

election if you work for the AP during

the 2016 election you were brainwashed

into thinking that the fine people hoax

wasn't a hoax cuz I think the AP

reported that it was real and then she

goes to the Washington U I'm sorry she

goes to the uh Wall Street Journal

writes a feature

article and the editors of the Wall

Street Journal don't catch

that it was a pretty important part of

the story I mean it was you know

important context of the larger

story what's going on

here because that's not an opinion

that's a wellestablished

fact that it didn't

happen in 2017 you could be maybe

excused for you know not knowing that

the fake news was fake but it's 2013 you

telling me that that nobody who read

this article before it got published was

aware that they were perpetrating one of

the biggest lies of American politics

Wall Street Journal doesn't know that

really what do you think is going on I

actually don't know do you think that

both the writer and whoever edited it

couldn't catch it and do you think that

after it was published they didn't get

enough push back to immediately correct

it I'm I'm actually puzzled here's a i

I'd like to challenge you with this um

challenge can you find me if the Wall

Street Journal has ever reported

factually that the fine people hoax was

a hoax cuz I'll bet they they have I

feel like I have a memory that the Wall

Street Journal is one of the few that

correctly said that didn't happen so I'm

wondering if their reporting is now two

opposites is that is that what happened

whereas the Wall Street Journal always

imagined that it happened have they

always reported it

wrong I I'd love to I'd love to know

what's going on

there anyway uh here's a little test for

uh your relatives for Thanksgiving I

like before the holidays I like to give

you something to say to your relatives

that are on the left that will get them

all you know worked

up just just to ruin all of your family

relations for fun all right here's the

test for cognitive

distance um you want to ask if they

agree with the following logic so you

tell them it's a logic question do you

agree with the following

logic uh that attorney general bill bar

and other advisers told Trump the 2020

election was fair and therefore Trump

knew the election was not

rigged so ask them if they agree with

that if they agree with that that's

cognitive

dissonance right now some of you are

saying but why is it why is that

cognitive dissonance if you're saying

that you're having cognitive dissonance

because everybody who doesn't have

cognitive dissonance knows immediately

what wrong with it and it's and here's

the important part it's not because some

people are good at logic and some people

are not this is something everybody

knows right let me give you an

example if you can't find your phone and

the only place you look is in your

bedroom can you conclude that no phone

exists everybody knows that that would

not be logical there there's nobody who

needs a logic lesson to to know that if

the only place you looked and you didn't

find it you could not conclude that it

does not exist anywhere else on Earth we

all know that now there's a special case

where if I ask you is there milk in the

refrigerator and you looked and there

was one container and you look and it's

empty and then you look really carefully

in the rest of the refrigerator and

there's no other milk yes in that very

weird specific case you can know there's

no milk in the

refrigerator but you know that's a very

special case but an election with 50

different states and you know who

however many precincts hundreds

thousands I don't even

know who who could possibly know that

all of the code of all the the election

machines every person who could have

done something

didn't is not knowable and everybody

knows that but you will get Democrats to

act like they don't know it that's

cognitive dissonance so the pretending

you don't understand the point is that

now if instead of addressing this you

know the moment you say okay that's

cognitive distance they say and you've

heard you've all heard

it the courts found nothing wrong with

the

election that's exactly the same

point the courts don't check everything

and the people who took things to the

court also can't check everything

so what the court saw was you know this

light tiny little sliver of a grain of

sand on the beach that's all they saw so

if they saw one grain of sand on the

beach can they conclude anything about

all beaches in the world probably not

so you will find out that after you

point out that somebody's in cognitive

dissonance for believing they know

something doesn't exist because they

didn't look for it very well they will

get angry and then what do they do

first they get angry what's the next

thing that

happens they change the subject but but

but Trump did something else bad find

people hoax but but but he said drink

bleach the drinking bleach hes right it

and it will always go that way or it

will turn into name calling I've

experienced

this well I guess you get your news from

kinon and I'll say this has nothing to

do with qanon and also I was debunking

qanon yeah yeah yeah but you get your

all your news from Fox News to which I

say no I don't I consciously and

publicly look at all the news sources

left and right and I criticize them all

yeah but Trump CR Trump said that a guy

with a disability in his arm he mocked

him in public no he didn't

you look at the compilation uh clips

that the right never sees where he's

been using the same gesture for ordinary

everyday people with no disabilities

forever which they have never

seen anyway so that's your fun for

Thanksgiving um Washington DC is having

trouble getting enough social workers uh

they've got some kind of a diversity

problem here cuz I guess there's some

kind of test you can take to qualify as

a social worker and 76% of white test

takers passed but only 33% of black test

takers did and weirdly uh Asian American

Test takers were in

between which you don't normally see in

these objective tests but um the belief

is that uh what's happening here is that

it's letting too many white people get

into the jobs and is what they say d

diversifying the field in other words

it's a field they want like everything

else to be Diversified but when you have

a test that white people are passing a

at a you know three times or more the

level of black people you're working

you're going in the opposite

direction and now you might ask

yourself uh and then the claim is that

the test itself is racially

biased so they're not saying that the

black applicants have less

qualifications they're saying that it's

a test that if you gave it to any white

person and any black person on average

not any person but on average um there

would be a racial bias bias built into

the questions so massive that has like a

tripling effect of you know who passes

and who fails I mean really B big effect

so what's your first

question what's your first question can

you give me an example of one of those

questions right well it turns out that

there they private and it makes sense

cuz it's a test you can't give people

the questions cuz then they know the

answers before they took the test so

they can't tell you the questions they

can only tell you they that they've

secretly seen the questions and they

think that they might be

biased do you buy that is that a strong

argument the things we can't show you

are

biased well remember there used to be

the same argument about the SATs

do you remember that years ago people

said the SATs the questions are biased

and I remember saying the same thing can

you give me an example of a biased math

question or or a biased any other kind

of question and they actually had an

example that that persuaded me now I

don't know how many of these there are

but I'm going to give you the same

example and I remember hearing it and

thinking I'll be damned they do actually

have an example that's complet

completely racially biased here's the

example I heard now I'm not going to

claim that from this one example you can

say much but what if there are more

examples you know I was surprised there

was even one example and I'm going to

give it to you but what if there more or

here's the example the question was

something like match this word to the to

the one that's you know that goes with

it and the Word was cup and and the

options were table saucer and then some

third one like

plate the white applicants or the white

test takers were more likely to say cup

and saucer because they're literally a

pair cup and saucer but if you were from

a low-income house what are the odds

you'd ever seen a saucer so it turns out

that a lot of the low-income people

didn't even what a saucer

was is that their is that their fault is

is is there something you know wrong

with them that they' never heard of a

saucer no actually you would need to be

at a certain economic level before you'd

ever seen one you'd never seen one you

know so it's not even a word in your

vocabulary and I thought to myself

that's actually a good

point well do you agree with that one do

you agree with that one

point

well here's what I would say

what did the poor white people

do did the poor white people say

table so I don't know the answer to that

question but in both in both cases I was

surprised that there could be a question

that might that might actually have some

racial bias to it that was a better

example than I was expecting so I'm not

going to say because I don't know that

this test is uh unbiased and you know

there's something wrong with the test

takers I don't know

that but we we got questions we got

questions all

right here's some maybe good news but

it's it's a good news I've been reading

about for I know my entire life and it's

never been true yet so here's the thing

that's never been true even

once but it gets reported once a month

forever there's a gigantic breakthrough

in cancer

treatment now I get that the cancer

people have actually made amazing

strides in a in a number of different

cancers so there's been quite a bit of

progress but the the major breakthrough

the one that gets all the cancers you

know we're always hearing that that's

that's Ah that's a week way never is no

nope but here's but this one is

interesting more interesting than most

so scientists at the UC Davis

Comprehensive Cancer Center in

Sacramento they they think they found

this thing called the cd95 receptor that

can program a cancer cell to die in

other words there might be a common

element to all cancers that's a kill

switch now all the other treatments have

not looked for a kill switch they've

looked for a weakness I mean this is my

non-scientist explanation they've looked

for weaknesses they could exploit but

they never found a Kill switch like if

you just tweak this thing boom just

turns

off uh now they don't have any

apparently they don't have any

treatments that will turn it off but but

but they think that's potentially

possible now here's here's even the

reason I'm telling you this story at all

because it falls into the category of

things that they get real excited about

because they cured a mouse and then it

just doesn't work in a person right I

mean you've seen that a billion times

which is typical Mo most of the mouse

studies do not actually translate into

humans but it's better than not doing a

mouse study you know if it fails in the

mouse study you're probably done but the

humans just don't work like mice enough

to think it's going to work because it

worked in a

mouse but here's my question if you were

to look at the let's say the Machinery

of cancer if you you treat the cancer

cell like it's a a really complicated

machine if you're human being and you're

trying to figure out the

machine how many decades did it take us

to find that there's this cd95 receptor

like it took forever and it might have

even been an accident I don't know you

know maybe they just stumbled on it but

how many how many complications are

there in a cell cancer cell if you

imagine it like a machine because it is

kind of a biological machine with

parts um it may be too complicated that

any human could even know how to get

their head around it but what about

AI do you think AI could look at a bunch

of cancer cells and a bunch of different

situations and then use its Advanced

pattern

recognition and maybe the visual kind as

opposed to the word

kind could it determine the the

mechanism that makes the machine work

simply by seeing a lots of examples of a

cancer cell working so you put it in

lots of different situations and watch

how works you see what changes and maybe

you look for a

pattern I don't know but but I wonder if

pattern recognition could get you to

understanding the Machinery of a

cell if you could see enough parts of it

working you know too complicated for a

human but too complicated for a I don't

know a quantum computer with AI I don't

know so just something to think

about all right uh how about that 2024

election um so rasmuson did a poll says

53% of likely voters think the economy

has gotten worse under Biden well 30%

say the economy has gotten better how in

the world can you get

reelected if more than half of the

people think the economy got worse under

you now of course everything's unfair

because the um the pandemic just changed

all the economics of things

so you can't really give him credit for

the increase in employment because that

was going to happen naturally you can't

really fault him for the economy not

being as good as it was before the

pandemic there pretty good reasons for

that but in terms of how people react

and vote how in the world can he get it

get elected when more than half of the

country thinks he made the economy worse

or he didn't make it

better well yeah I'd be worried about

those

worried about election

Integrity but related to this and also

rasmuson if you if you don't follow the

rasmuson

account uh they they're very active in

running down all the various allegations

about 2020 and what evidence there is

that has not been debunked and it is a

whole different world when you look at

their claims which by the way are always

backed with documents

right everything raspin has said about

the election they print the document you

know they point to the you know the

paragraph that matters to their point

you can see yourself so there there are

still bunch of things going on I'm kind

of lost in it but I'll tell you this

this world of we almost have the Kraken

is completely different from the other

world in the other

world

uh that everything's been debone

and it's just done do you know the story

about the I I've told this a bunch of

times there's an allegation that there's

a locked closet with 150,000 ballots

that are fake ballots and that the

courts wouldn't open the thing but it

went to a higher court and they said yes

you got to open it up but the lower

court is dawling but if they could open

up that door you know you could see that

the ballots were or were not

fake but then I read the Atlanta

Constitution it says oh that's an old

claim and they've already looked at all

the ballots and the ballots were

fine those two things can't be the same

they've either looked at all these

questionable ballots and found no

problem which is in the

newspaper or the court is doing

something that doesn't make any sense

which is trying to look at look for

those same ballots that have already

been checked in a room is it exactly

150,000 in both cases but it's two

different cases I don't understand

what's going going

on I cannot I cannot figure out how to

combine those two realities even by

explaining that one has the wrong

information and one has the right

information like they are just so

different worlds right now and I don't

know what to make of it so I'll I'll

tell you my general advice for every

specific claim the odds of it being true

or vanishingly

small but there's a lot of activity

going on

the odds of all of it being

untrue well here I would go back to my

general statement that every one of the

our American institutions has shown

itself to be corrupt just recently not

it's not even historical but in the last

just few years you found everything from

the Department of Justice the FBI the

CIA the you know the FDA the CDC the

World Health Organization if you go

outside of America

am I right we found everything from

science to Congress every bit of it is

corrupt in really really substantial

ways so what are the odds that the

elections in all 50 states were

pristine close to zero now that doesn't

mean that there was enough fraud to over

over you know change the result I have

no no information about that to support

that

theory but there's a lot going on there

in a sketchy domain so I'm I'm going to

say it's the claims are still

alive but I could not put any kind of

likelihood on them based on the

facts uh I will default to my three act

play model of prediction and the third

act model says that even though the

evidence is

unclear that reality is going to start

solidifying toward finding a kraken

right before the election and it turns

out that at least one of these cases I

think the Georgia

one uh something substantial might be

decided in the world of the 2020

election before Trump has his trial

about whether his claims about the

election he knew they were

fake so the so the timing is now as I

predicted the timing is now lined up

correctly that we'll know something

about the election of 2020 it it may be

perfectly fine we might find that out

but the timing is lined up so we would

find that out before Trump is called

into account for anything he did because

of his belief that there was

fraud it's looking too perfect at the

moment um Aaron says to me yeah you're

too smart for a qinon but you'd readily

vote for the Lar q q shelan in Arizona

position we live

in yes I would was there a point you had

to

make I I see I see the anger and the

sarcasm but I don't see the

point you're just saying what I said

that I would vote for him and I don't

believe

Kut is there a problem with that is

there some some conflict with that I

didn't say that he'd be a great Congress

person did did you hear something I

didn't say I didn't say that he would do

policies that I love I never said

that yeah drunk in the morning I

think all right uh there also in the

rasmuson

universe um there are some Wisconsin

election

election

machines and there's a document that

shows a claim that somebody was going to

to make sure that they kept the

important ones connected to the internet

with a secret

connection now that that one actually

looks too on the nose for me that it's

in writing you know it looks like a real

document and there somebody was going to

keep secret internet connections to some

machines like like that's just too on

the nose if I had to guess and it would

only be a guess it might be true that

there was techi who said we'll keep

these important ones connected to the

internet but that doesn't mean that they

connected to them to to the internet to

cheat it could be they connected to them

to the internet for some kind of test

that was temporary I don't know I don't

know so I don't know what I don't even

know how to score this one for his

likelihood there's just so much going on

in this election domain but again

remember at least 90% of everything you

hear about these election

will be debunked you can guarantee that

even if there's anything true most will

be

BS all right um Greta

tunberg so you all know her famous

climate science Advocate was at an event

and uh uh another climate protester who

you would think would be on her side uh

came on stage and took the mic away from

her because she kept talking about um

Gaza and he was like um we're here to

talk about climate uh this is not for

you to talk about

Gaza

so that was fun so watching the climate

people ha hate on each

other

um Cornell West making news so despite

the fact that Cornel West says directly

that you know he l loves all of his uh

Jewish brothers and sisters um he still

calls the situation over there an

occupation and here here's what I call

word

thinking

um oh wow

um so word thinking thinks you can win

the argument if you get people to agree

with your word so that's what this is so

Corell West is not engaged in anything

like you know reason or debate he's

trying to win by getting you to think

that his use of a word is the way you

should use it too so he says that Israel

is uh that it's an

occupation what does that

mean is is Gaza occupied well at the

moment it is but was Gaza occupied when

Israel pulled

out does he mean that or

and what does occupied mean if you have

a society in which some people like how

it's going and some

don't it's like everybody's

occupied right so that Word occupation

is doing way too much

lifting and he's getting all the push

back you would

imagine so uh yeah a lot of push back on

that now he also uses um

apartheid so those those would be the

two

most let's say disputed words in in this

situation but the biggest problem he

makes is trying to conflate all this

stuff um I going to say it

again I judge the October 7th event like

it was the beginning of History it

wasn't and things that happened before

matter but not to

this not to this you know the the you

know the actual ATT on October 7th

requires a strong response that has

nothing to do with anything that ever

came before so I refused to act like

that that the history had anything to do

with

anything and I ask you this

question given that the Palestinians

have a tremendous amount of support more

support than you thought right you

probably a lot of you were surprised wow

a lot of

Palestinian uh support that you didn't

know about now given that they have so

much support which means that their

public relations has been successful to

some extent don't you think they could

use that level of support to really

highlight the specific complaints that

Corno West would call

occupation or or

apartheid like what would be an example

and and if they could give an example

could they give a specific solution so

one one of the cases might be you know

our water rights were you know taken

over by Israeli Farmers something like

that you know some ordinary thing like

that but what was the

alternative you know you need to know a

little bit about that was there was

there a legitimate

claim was the water not being used but

it could be used productively over here

was there any court case about it I mean

there's a lot to know before you can say

if something's a

an occupation or simply the way things

made sense at the

time

so the dog not barking here and I'll say

it a million times is if there's really

a Palestinian set of complaints that

would go under the title an occupation

and an

apartheid give us

examples give us real examples and then

maybe it would look to us like oh wow

they actually have some like real

political complaints here maybe we

should take this

seriously but if on the back of hamas's

you know incredible terrorist attack

you're trying to push this vague notion

that there's Badness going on with no

examples it doesn't sound like anything

useful and it makes the entire

Palestinian narrative look like it's not

real would you

agree that the fact that the these

allegedly

legitimate complaints are completely

ignored while there seems to be a little

bit too much um let's say too much

understanding of why something like the

Hamas situation could occur you maybe

that's giving that a little bit too

much too much uh

credibility so um and then I'll remind

my audience that I'm not trying to be

objective about the uh Israel in Gaza

situation so unlike some other topics

where I'm really trying to make you know

an effort to show both sides before I

give you an opinion I'm not going to do

that in this

case not at all I I'm backing the team

that wouldn't kill me if they had a

chance is that fair I'm telling you this

directly the Jews aren't going to kill

me if they had an

opportunity

right but Hamas they would kill me if

they had an opportunity so it's not like

there's you know I I don't recognize two

sides there's my side people who would

even protect me you know it would be

easy to imagine you know the Jewish

population being protective of American

population if if the opportunity came up

easily but I don't see Hamas protecting

me if the opportunity came up so I'm

just taking um I'm not even looking at

it politically I'm just taking sides

with the with the group that's on my

side that's it so don't ask me to

consider the history I don't care I

don't care about any of their history I

care about backing the side that's on my

side that's

it all

right uh VI has an interesting idea for

firing government employees because he

wants to reduce the number of uh emplo

employees he said uh this is really

clever so listen to this so if a says

the number one obstacle to stop Trump

from firing the bureaucrats you know the

Civil Service people is because they had

too much protection so if you fired a

bunch of civil servants you could expect

that some gigantic number of them would

file suits and say the only reason you

got rid of me is cuz I'm black or gay or

whatever it is and then even if it's not

true uh and maybe in some cases it would

be true but in any case you'd have too

many

lawsuits so it just isn't practical

here's V's

idea uh fire 50% of federal bureaucrats

immediately using any neutral metric for

example if your s social security number

ends in an odd number you're

fired because nobody can say that

discrimination was involved

because there there's Randomness to who

has what social security

numbers now is that a good idea or a bad

idea I actually can't tell but here's

what I like about it it's outside the

box he just picked well he just picked

up the box and just shook the piss out

of it how much do I like the Box shakers

oh I like them I like my box shakers

yeah shake that freaking box there

V now I I put this in the category of

brainstorming and the the concept I've

taught you a million times which is

sometimes the bad idea will get you

closer to the good idea because it

shakes up the way you're thinking about

it this is such a radical departure from

the way government has ever done

anything that it suddenly opens up your

brain you go wait a minute wait a minute

if you can go that far out of the

out of the

ordinary maybe you could go out of the

ordinary in another way you know maybe

I've got a better idea to go outside the

ordinary so this is this is yet another

case of aake uh making the country a

better place without yet being

elected just the fact that he put this

into the public mind is freaking awesome

right you could you could end up not

liking it there might be an argument

against it I'm sure there is but wow I

mean he's making us

smarter before he's elected the the fact

that you now have this in your head as

one of the things that you could offer

as an idea in a similar situation he

just made you smarter like who else does

that and he kind of owns that that thing

where he's making things well RFK Jr too

I would say I think rfj K Jr is a you

know a patriot for making the process

better by

participating all right

um I saw a DC Drano

post Reuters is reporting that Master

Guard is uh now linking their bonuses of

their employees to ESG

goals or as DC Drano points

out uh they will get a bonus for

avoiding hiring white men

just think about that your employees

will get a bonus for the for how

effectively they discriminate against

white men in the real world that's like

a real thing they use different words to

describe it but there's no other way to

see

it how's that still

okay even Black Rock has backed off from

pushing ESG because they said it was

just poison you know too many people

just see it as

poison and and somebody's handling your

money the people you know the people who

help you handle your money got this

going on well I'll tell you I would

never use MasterCard if I had an

option so I would just use something

else if if you have an option I wouldn't

use

it all

right

um I saw a provocative posted today but

it's provocative it maybe a slightly

different way than you're going to take

it so there was some data that showed

that since

1959 so this is basically my lifetime

all right I was born in 57 so basically

my lifetime this is a data that is

alleged to be true that um the number of

black people killed by white people

during my lifetime murdered you know

just

murdered

53,000

in my lifetime white people have

murdered

53,000 freaking black people murdered

them at the same time black people

killed

156,000 white

people now of course your brain is

saying wait there are far fewer black

people in the world but they killed uh

three times as many white people as the

reverse

so so there's going to be a you know

racial element to your thinking when I

tell you

this but here's what you should be

thinking like just forget the Race part

for a

minute we Americans killed 200,000 of

each other in my lifetime not

accidentally not accidentally in my

lifetime

Americans killed 200 thousand

other Americans

intentionally that that just like makes

my brain

explode but I'm still in favor of Second

Amendment just in case you

wondered so I guess that's the cost of

of you know gun

ownership and if you asked me is it

worth it yes

yes it's not easy but nothing

is all right um how would you like me to

reprogram Alex Soros who now runs the

George Soros funding operation how would

you like me to reprogram him so that he

uh no longer is destroying

America would you like to give me that

challenge anybody anybody challenge

accepted I've already done it so this

morning

um Alex Soros did a post on X in which

he said this and so this was just 9 hour

well probably 10 hours ago he said uh

for all those saying that they won't

vote for Biden because of Gaza please

realize you will be complicit in Trump

being able to do all of this and then

the all of this is a link to his uh uh

Trump's immigration proposals which were

quite Draconian you know rounding up 4

million people and put putting them

temporarily into some kind of camps

until they can be repatriated to the

original countries now I'm not going to

argue whether Trump had a good or bad

plan at the moment that's a separate

conversation I think he'll end up you

know negotiating it down like he did the

first time you know not deporting 25

million people like he said he would but

it's a good you know opening offer

probably works during the primaries you

makes them a little stronger Etc um so

what do you think of

that is that is that a reasonable

statement from Alexander Soros to say

that uh if you won't vote for Biden

because of Gaza you should realize that

what you're getting is these Trump

immigration policies is that a good

point well kind of yeah I mean at least

the the the cause and effect is solid

right if you get Trump if the reason you

voted for Trump was cuz Gaza you're

going to get all the Trump

stuff that's true

however Alex Soros did open up a

persuasion Channel which I don't think

he knew he was

doing and when he opened that channel I

said to myself that's what I've been

waiting for that's exactly what I've

been waiting for I didn't know what I

was waiting for but I knew it in heed to

be an opening and this opening just came

so I quote tweeted

him or quote posted him and I said this

to Alexander Soros I said you are the

reason Trump will get elected Alex open

borders crime in

cities uh that's what I hear from voters

on the right I doubt Trump would be

competitive I doubt Trump would be

competitive in

2024 without

you the left and right live in different

bubbles so you might not be aware of

this and we're

done now this is why I told you if I had

a million followers I could change the

world generally speaking if you use the

xplatform at all if somebody quote treat

quote uh tweets you and that person has

a million followers you're going to

notice

it would you say that's I mean he's he's

a political actor probably follows

social media at least cursory but even

if he doesn't follow it himself it's the

sort of thing somebody would mention to

him right now when I

said to Alex Soros Alex you are

specifically the reason Trump will be

elected is that

fair I I think it's fair because the um

the things that are the tiebreakers with

what would be a close election is crime

in cities and

immigration and especially in the

context of the Gaza situation it makes

you it gives you a higher level of

concern about our own immigration

situation now if Alex Soros saw that and

I think there's a good chance he will is

he going to disagree with my point do

you think that he doesn't know that what

will elect Trump is the open borders

that his family um supports and funds

and the then the prosecutors allowing

too much crime in the cities do you

think he doesn't know

that well if he didn't and I think it's

possible because the bubbles are so

extreme he he may have never talked to

anybody on the right yeah it's possible

that in years he hasn't had a serious

conversation with anybody who is uh

capable of describing a reasonable

Republican opinion about things probably

probably never but I kept I kept my

comment and and look at the technique as

well so you see in the first sentence I

use this first

name now often when people do that

they're doing it in sort of a mocking

aggressive way so people will say to me

well Scotty here's what you forgot you

know it's usually when you use

somebody's first name and you don't know

them it's is a little bit of an Neu

right but I didn't use it that way so I

used it in the way that you would talk

to a friend so I said you are the reason

Trump will get elected Alex so I wanted

to make sure that he didn't see this as

an

attack because I don't mean it that way

I mean it as

persuasion based on the real world and

not in any way a propaganda and not in

any way an attack I honestly believe

this is my actual belief with no

ambiguity in it whatsoever that there

couldn't be any way that Alex Soros

knows the impact of his

actions would you agree with that and I

think that that's not his fault I think

that we all live in such a bubble that

you know I don't know the impact of my

actions either because I only see what

happens in my

bubble It's Perfectly Natural to not see

the the impact of your actions right

that that wouldn't be surprising at all

and especially if you're surrounded with

people telling you everything you do is

awesome

all right so and then

um and then I make a claim which is

checkable that the open borders and the

crime in the cities are big levers for

Trump now that's checkable wouldn't you

say there are polls and people tell you

what they care about you could look at a

poll of Republican opinion and just see

what's near the top and then see if you

are the cause of the things near the top

and the answer is yes yeah yeah

immigration and crime would be near the

top and they very much would be

him now I've said before that I would be

surprised if George Soros um all of his

views and opinions are completely

adopted by his

son now while George Soros is alive and

presumably he could maybe still take

power away from his son if he needed to

probably they'll be in lock

step but soon after the the father

passes I would expect Alex Soros because

he's not the same person to have some

Freedom that maybe he doesn't have at

the moment and I can't believe that he

would look at the result of his actions

up to this point with his father and say

that worked out if he had access to the

same information that you and I have so

I think he's

persuadable I do not believe uh the um

the Elon Musk idea that George Soros

hates humanity and that that somehow

explains what Alex Soros is doing that

doesn't make sense to me because if

George Soros hates Humanity because he

went through the

Holocaust but his son was probably

raised in a totally privileged situation

nowhere near anything like that why

would they both have the same

opinion like that I mean even though it

comes from your father and you know

that's very influential you know there

there there are more cases where people

reject their father than accept it right

so it doesn't quite make sense that the

son is acting the way the father does so

my my my theory is that there's an

information problem there's just a gap

in

information that I filled it in for him

and I I kept it sure and

respectful right I tried to keep it

respectful well let me ask you did it

come off as

respectful because if it wasn't

respectful then it

failed I'll read it again is this

respectful uh you are the reason Trump

will get reelected Alex open borders

crime in

cities uh that's what I hear from voters

on the right I doubt Trump would be

competitive in 2024 without you the left

and right live in different bubbles so

you might not be aware of this is that

respectful cuz I do mean to be

respectful I have no reason to believe

that Alex Soros is a bad

guy I don't the evidence suggests that

the father is his own entity and we

don't know what will happen when his

influence

wains so interestingly one person Alex

Soros

has really The Leverage to determine who

the next president is and also to save

the country

Alex Soros can save the

country that's not an exaggeration is it

imagine if that just one change if he

just said okay I'm going to have to

prioritize you know the defense of

innocent people that's all it would take

you know maybe we push too hard we still

want we still want lots of immigration

but we don't want to do it this way

gigantic so you have one person who

absolutely has control over the outcome

and I would ask

him be be a citizen of the world right

just be a good citizen just just just

take the time to see what the

Republicans are thinking and saying just

take the time just just open up your

bubble a little bit and I think

everything works out if you just open up

your bubble is that too

optimistic

sure yeah yeah one one of the things I

like to bring you is optimism is

optimism always a good prediction hell

no optimism can be a pretty bad

prediction a lot of the times but

overall I think you know we humans will

figure stuff out and I do think that uh

Alex Soros is young enough and smart

enough that if he can escape from his

bubble that the world would be immensely

better I mean really big difference if

he you know turned his power just a

little bit he can still have immigration

by the way if what he wants is Freer

immigration I actually like that a lot I

think the world would be a better place

if you could just pick up and move

anywhere there was a job as long as you

were documented and legal and you obeyed

the

laws I think we can make that work

actually in fact it would probably work

in in America better than we work in

other places so long as we also had some

filter for making sure we're getting the

the good immigrants you know the ones

who want to work and don't want to do

crime

so you know there there's a version of

the the Soros image of the world that

actually does work for Republicans I

know it's hard to believe but there is a

version that works and he could find it

if if that's his mission if he wants to

do

that you saying he's disqualified

himself well I would agree at the moment

that his credibility is not where you'd

like it to be but remember we do not see

him as an independent actor yet he might

become one that would be the optimism

but not yet and it's not that unusual

that people you know pivot from where

their parents were so yeah I do have

some optimism about that I absolutely

do all right ladies and Gent

this is what I've got for you today on

YouTube thanks for joining and uh as

always you're awesome and I'll talk to

you

tomorrow