Episode 2114 Scott Adams - Trump vs DeSantis Strategy, Tim Scott Joins The Race, Kari Lake Might Win
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Tim Scott enters the race - DeSantis strategy not working against Trump - AI risk is overblown - Kari Lake might win - The left targets Musk ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization that's called Coffee with Scott Adams. I'm pretty sure that science has never discovered a more awesome time or situation, and you lucked into it. Wow, I guess your day's starting well, but it could be even better. An
View segment →d all you need for that is a cup, a mug or a glass, a tankard, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid — no Bud Light — and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called…
View segment →t, let's start out with this. Did you all see the meme which put Joe Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney? Well, you're gonna see it now. An ice cold Michelob Ultra. So good. Happy Friday. All right everyone, so it's Friday night. I'm getting ready to go out. I'm feeling good before I go out. I've got a…
View segment →the animals have decided to turn on the humans and they're just going to kill us after all. And it turns out that the animals have a navy. It's all orcas. And the orcas are training. I don't know if NATO is training them or what, but somebody's training these orcas to attack naval vessels. Keep an e…
View segment →t experience where you know something bad is going to happen and it's only going to be a quarter of a second but that quarter of a second seems to just stop in time in your memory? So as I'm flying through the air I have to do triage: which part of my body I want to sacrifice? I'm thinking arm, no,…
View segment →s. I'm like no, no, no, no, no. And I came up with one body part that I thought I could get by with and it was this fat part of my back toward the top, you know, just past the shoulder blade where there's like a little bit of muscle here, a little bit of padding. I managed to spin in the air just fa…
View segment →n the simulation. One explanation is oh it's just a coincidence. The other explanation is well stories about bike accidents were always out there, you just didn't notice until you were primed for it. Or number three, I caused it to happen. Not only did I cause the accident but I caused the news stor…
View segment →ented. Nobody knows how that could happen because we don't even have a concept of what it would take to make it smart. All we have is this old model which just makes your search engine and your organization of data really, really cool and it can talk to you better. So it's like Siri plus. It's like…
View segment →convince people you are one, right? It's not like it's a government licensed role. So why not have like hundreds of them until they're all useless? You know the problem with the old search engine before AI is that if I Googled anything the problem wasn't that I would get no results. The problem is…
View segment →s, there's a gay advocacy group, they just stripped Anheuser-Busch of their good rating because they didn't like Anheuser-Busch basically caved to the pressure about Dylan Mulvaney. So now you can't make the right happy because they didn't like how that was treated. But now the left is unhappy becau…
View segment →s in trouble, right? That's so embarrassing. No that doesn't work the other way, does it? It probably does but I just don't know examples. I'm probably being biased about this. Does it work the other way that Republicans try to turn into Democrats when they're running for election? Maybe they do. M…
View segment →l the fun, right? So don't assume that this is a slam dunk. But boy the simulation is just screaming for it, isn't it? The simulation seriously wants this to happen. So we'll see. We'll see. If I were to predict it's going to happen it would be based entirely on the most entertaining outcome, not on…
View segment →It almost feels too obvious, doesn't it? It feels like it's just really obvious. Yeah, maybe I could see Kristi Noem being a choice as well but Tim Scott seems more obvious. All right, do you know the Trigonometry podcast? It's a pretty big deal. It's made a lot of news with some big interviews. Ap…
View segment →id and you know maybe exaggerate the other direction what the other person did. So they both seem to have a claim that the other one got it wrong. And I try to follow the argument so I'm like okay on this date DeSantis was a little bit pro-lockdown but on this date he was anti-lockdown. But Trump, h…
View segment →quoting Lawrence Jones, did you immediately think of Bud Light or no? Did Bud Light come into your mind or no? Because it did for some of you. Yes, some of you. It's kind of an interesting framing isn't it? Because it says it's as good as a tribute band although tribute band is really visual and you…
View segment →to fight another day because it's at least some free speech or to go hard and say no Turkey you don't get Twitter. There will be no Twitter for Turkey. Sorry you don't get any. Now how do you know what the right decision was? You don't really know the right decision do you? You know what happened bu…
View segment →inciple. And that's it. That's their laundry list. And here's the title of the piece: "What Happened to Elon Musk?" What happened to him? The title is what people are going to say and they're going to say oh how did he turn bad? Well I don't have time to read that article but it looks like somethin…
View segment →Putin and threatening his borders. What the hell is he supposed to do? Yeah I'd love to know the secret back story with Putin. I feel as if there's something that we don't know about Putin or maybe what we did. Maybe it's something we don't know about the United States but there's something about th…
View segment →aking exactly the position of the people you criticized for being RT stooges on Russia. I'm taking exactly the position of the — no I'm not. No yeah you're hallucinating that. Nothing like that's happening. I have no idea what you're talking about. Now you're hallucinating. All right that's all for…
View segment →Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization that's called Coffee with Scott Adams. I'm pretty sure that science has never discovered a more awesome time or situation, and you lucked into it. Wow, I guess your day's starting well, but it could be even better. And all you need for that is a cup, a mug or a glass, a tankard, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid — no Bud Light — and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. If it happens now, don't forget the "ah" at the end. Go "ah."
All right, let's start out with this. Did you all see the meme which put Joe Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney? Well, you're gonna see it now. An ice cold Michelob Ultra. So good. Happy Friday.
All right everyone, so it's Friday night. I'm getting ready to go out. I'm feeling good before I go out. I've got a free game and the only way I pre-game is with an ice cold Michelob Ultra. So there are some things that AI will be good for. So in case you were thinking AI, what good is AI? There you go. That's what it's good for. The 2024 election is going to be so much fun. Oh my God, it's gonna be meme versus meme.
All right, so in other news there's a report that three boats have been sunk in Europe by orcas. Is there a difference between an orca and a whale? Why does the story say orcas? There is a difference, okay? An orca is not a whale. It's a killer whale. Why can't I just call it a whale? Because it's an orca, I guess. Well, all right. So these orcas have sunk three boats, but that's not the amazing part. The amazing part is that they've been spotted teaching other orcas how to do it. That's right. The war is on. Turns out that the animals have decided to turn on the humans and they're just going to kill us after all. And it turns out that the animals have a navy. It's all orcas. And the orcas are training. I don't know if NATO is training them or what, but somebody's training these orcas to attack naval vessels. Keep an eye on that. Keep an eye on that.
Did you see a video not too long ago where Joe Rogan was showing a video of a rat that learned to use tools? It went and got a stick to trip the rat trap so it could get the cheese without getting hurt, because it knew what the rat trap was and it knew that if it used a tool it could spring it. It actually used a tool, a stick. And now we see these whales learning to attack boats. Put it all together, people. Put it all together. It's not just AI that's getting smarter. So the creatures, the creatures are starting to gang up. See, it's sort of a total head fake. We're all looking at the robots and the AI. It's like, oh look over there, it's the robots. We're afraid of the robots and the AI. Meanwhile the orcas and the rats apparently have conspired to take over everything with their tool making and such. All right, we'll keep an eye on that.
Here's a story I told in the man cave last night, but you're gonna have to hear it because it's important. It's about the simulation. Have you ever had this situation where you worried yourself into the exact problem that you were trying to prevent? Does anybody have that? That's like a real thing, right? There's something that's never happened to you before, and then because you're thinking of it you just think yourself into the problem.
Well yesterday I went to take a ride in my e-bike and uncharacteristically I thought to myself, you know what, I'd hate to fall off my e-bike because I'm at that age now where if you get a serious sporting injury, you know, maybe you don't come back. Yeah, it's kind of the end of your sporting life if you have a bad one. And so I thought to myself about falling off my e-bike. And you know it's not like I've never thought of it. It's just I've never dwelled on it before. So the first time I dwell on it, I take my bike out and I'm going on this path that's too small for automobiles and it looks like the path is going to come to an end and I need to turn around. But the path had narrowed to the point where turning around without getting off your bike was going to be kind of a challenge. And there was gravel on each side of the narrow path. And I said to myself, I calculated, all right, to do a very low speed turn, you know, you can't do it if it's too narrow, you'll fall off. And I thought I better get off my bike and just walk it around. And then I thought to myself, no, no, damn it, I'm no bicycle. I'm not afraid of my bike. I'm not going to talk myself into being afraid of a bicycle. Damn it, I'm gonna just make this turn.
So as I was flying through the air on my way to the hard pavement below — because as you see the turn didn't work out — it was one of those situations where I really should have listened to that little voice in my head that said, well that looks really dangerous, you're not going to make it. So as I was departing from the bicycle itself and more airborne than actually bike-borne, time stood still. Have you ever had that experience where you know something bad is going to happen and it's only going to be a quarter of a second but that quarter of a second seems to just stop in time in your memory?
So as I'm flying through the air I have to do triage: which part of my body I want to sacrifice? I'm thinking arm, no, don't want a broken arm. Leg, knee, no, no, bad news. Head, got a helmet but still you don't want to land on your head. Hands, got to protect the hands, right, because I work with my hands. So I'm running through all my body parts. I'm like no, no, no, no, no. And I came up with one body part that I thought I could get by with and it was this fat part of my back toward the top, you know, just past the shoulder blade where there's like a little bit of muscle here, a little bit of padding. I managed to spin in the air just fast enough to tuck and roll, hitting that back part of my back first. And I gotta say it was quite a crash, but I managed to pop up uninjured.
Now that's not even the weird part. Here's the part I didn't tell you last night in the man cave. So have you had this situation where there's something that never happens and then it's everywhere and you don't know, did you cause that or was it always just there or you didn't notice it? So today I'm looking through the news to get my little news stories for the show and there's a story about Simon Cowell, who happens to be just about my age, like pretty close, and how he got seriously injured falling off his e-bike. Now I've only fallen off my e-bike once, just once. And then I turn around and there's like a major story about a guy my age falling off an e-bike. What are the odds of that? Did I make that happen? See, this is why I believe I live in the simulation. One explanation is oh it's just a coincidence. The other explanation is well stories about bike accidents were always out there, you just didn't notice until you were primed for it. Or number three, I caused it to happen. Not only did I cause the accident but I caused the news story about the topic. So that's how I experience life. Like I just caused it. I don't know if it's true but I also don't know anything else is true.
Well enough about me. The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the bar exam for lawyers is going to be made easier so that more black people can become lawyers. So that's actually in the news. That's a real story. Now of course the story doesn't say black people. Yeah, they have to wink at you. Well it's to make it fair for everybody, you know. But you know that they're talking about. So what do you think about that? Well I'll tell you, if I were currently a black lawyer and I had passed the hard bar exam, I would not feel good about being presumably thrown in with the people who did not pass the hard bar exam. I got a feeling that people are going to be like, I don't know, did you pass the real bar exam or the new fake bar exam, the easy one? I'm not sure. So I feel like we are not considering the side effects of some of our decisions.
You know, as I've said before, historically I've always supported efforts to increase inclusion and equity and not equity but equality of opportunity and all that, including even affirmative action historically. But at some point — am I wrong that at some point it gives you more downside than upside? Am I wrong about that? That at some point you could argue whether we're there or not, but at some point you need to stop doing it before you've reached total equality. If you keep pushing it all the way to everybody's equal all the time, there's no way that's good for everybody. It's just going to be such a fight. But you know in the early days when the disparities are gigantic, yeah, maybe you have to do something a little more aggressive. But at the moment I really think we need to rethink this stuff.
All right, I saw another tweet from somebody who's joining my opinion that are worried about AI, at least the current version, and it's not nearly as useful for a lot of things as you think it will be. So here's what AI will be good for: really, really good at complex searches. So it's a better search engine. Really good at summarizing articles, which I would just call a search engine. So I saw somebody say oh it's really good at summarizing the pros and cons of all these articles about some topic, to which I say you mean the search engine? It's just a really good search engine. Oh yeah, I mean it's really, really good but it's also unreliable. So you've got that. But when it works it works pretty awesome.
And then you know it's going to be good for helping people who are already programmers code, and you know lawyers will be able to research case law and stuff like that. So there'll be a number of professions in which if you're already an expert in that profession — a writer, researcher, lawyer, whatever — it's really going to help. But it doesn't look like it's coming anywhere near taking jobs. It looks like it's just going to make people work differently.
And so when I said I'm not worried about AI becoming an existential threat in its current form, the pushback I got was, Scott, oh wow, if I may give you some condescending opinion about this. Whoa wow, boomer, boomer, let me explain to you. No, we're not worried about the current version of AI, boomer. No boomer, we're worried about where it's obviously going. You know, yes maybe version 1.0 is not going to destroy the world but obviously as it gets smarter and smarter the risk increases. And boomer, oh boomer please, please boomer, I just, maybe you shouldn't even talk about things you don't know about please. To which I say your genius idea that a rabbit can evolve into a truck is not persuading me. Oh yeah, bad microchips do evolve into better microchips. That's the thing. Bad smartphones do evolve into better smartphones. Totally. Bad cars evolve into better cars. Yep. But not once in the history of the whole universe has a rabbit turned into a truck. And that's what's happening with AI. Because the large language model is never going to be smart. It's just going to be really good at organizing information. And what it takes for AI to become smart has not been invented. It hasn't been invented. Nobody knows how that could happen because we don't even have a concept of what it would take to make it smart. All we have is this old model which just makes your search engine and your organization of data really, really cool and it can talk to you better. So it's like Siri plus. It's like a better Siri basically.
So I would like to submit that the AI that you're worried about is the one that hasn't been invented and nobody knows how to invent it. Should you be worried about things that haven't been invented and nobody knows even the first part of how to make it? That would be everything. You know, I'm worried about the pen because what if it evolves into a laser that shoots out of every hole? Because you know right now it's innocent. Right now there's not much danger, you know, unless it pokes you. But what if it evolved into a laser shooting pen? That's what the conversation about AI is like. No, it does not evolve into a laser shooting pen. There might be lasers that could evolve but a pen doesn't become a laser. All right, enough of that.
All right, as you know the reason that ESG and DEI and CEI and all those racist things that are being pushed upon organizations, the main reasons that they have to fold to those things is not because they think it's right necessarily — some probably do — but because there are all these ratings agencies that will destroy the reputation of your company if you're not doing all the noble and good things. And I thought to myself, well why are there not alternative ratings agencies? And why are there not ratings agencies to rate the other rating agencies? Because wouldn't you like to know, oh this agency says you know Tesla is not woke enough, but wouldn't you like to know that there's a rating agency that rates all the rating agencies? It says this rating agency is. What's wrong with that? Because my understanding is that it doesn't take much to be a rating agency. You just have to say you are one and then see if you can convince people you are one, right? It's not like it's a government licensed role. So why not have like hundreds of them until they're all useless?
You know the problem with the old search engine before AI is that if I Googled anything the problem wasn't that I would get no results. The problem is I'd get too many and they'd all be all over the place. It'd be like go into the library and look through books. It would just take forever, right? So I feel like one way that this ratings agency thing might go is there might be so many different agencies that they all become useless. If you wanted to know what was the rating, you'd look up the agencies to see what they rated Tesla and one would be an A and one would be like a D plus and then what do you do? What do you do?
So I feel like one direction that all this rating agency stuff could go is more of it until it dies under its own weight. That could be one direction. Because what I don't think is going to happen is you'll just have a few ratings agencies and everybody will just agree that they're the ones. Maybe. But I feel like there's no barrier to entry so there should be lots of them.
Then we see that one of the ratings agencies, there's a gay advocacy group, they just stripped Anheuser-Busch of their good rating because they didn't like Anheuser-Busch basically caved to the pressure about Dylan Mulvaney. So now you can't make the right happy because they didn't like how that was treated. But now the left is unhappy because they changed their minds because of the pressure from the right. Do you think that big companies are learning that social advocacy is a bad idea? How many times does a big company need to just get kneecapped before they say, how about we just stay out of all of this? How about you do you, we'll just make money. We'll just try to be a company for a change. How about that?
So anyway, have you noticed that when Democrats want to get reelected there's something that they often do? Tell me what it is. What do Democrats do? And I'm not talking about hoaxes. When they want to get reelected they act Republican. And here's the thing. It's as if Democrats know that their own policies don't work because when they need to get reelected they just suddenly drift into Republican policies to try to make you not realize that they never were there.
So here's a good example of that. Governor Newsom is trying to change the approval process for getting big projects approved in the state. Now a big project would be you know a big energy project or a big dam. So anything with water or energy, you can't get anything approved in California because there's some process. It's called the California Environmental Quality Act. It's a law that's known as CEQA. So apparently the Democrat governor realizes that — I assume this came from Democrats — the Democrats passed a law that made it impossible to manage the state because you couldn't get anything done because you couldn't get it through this approval organization. So Newsom is going to try to become Donald Trump by reducing red tape so he can get things done. Now how do you justify that? I mean he literally has to become Trump to save the state. Does anybody not notice that? Are we supposed to not notice that he has to adopt a baseline Republican policy to save the state because he knows he's in trouble, right? That's so embarrassing.
No that doesn't work the other way, does it? It probably does but I just don't know examples. I'm probably being biased about this. Does it work the other way that Republicans try to turn into Democrats when they're running for election? Maybe they do. Maybe they do a little bit. Maybe they soften. They probably soften on abortion a little bit in some cases. Yeah, some do. So I guess I'm going to modify my statement and say it works both ways.
All right, well here's a little wild card. Remember the best way to predict the future, as Elon Musk reminded us even yesterday, is that the most entertaining outcome is the most likely as determined by an external observer. And I told you if that rule is true then one thing we should see before 2024 is evidence that the 2020 election was in fact rigged. Now I'm not predicting it based on evidence, right? And I'm not saying it was rigged. I'm not saying it's rigged. And there's no evidence that I'm aware of. But wouldn't it be the most entertaining? What would be more entertaining than that, to find out it actually was rigged? Because it would be the cherry on the cake of all the other rigging and impropriety that we've seen.
Because every time I make this joke people get quiet. Do you know the joke I make about the election? Well we know that the following entities are thoroughly corrupt: the FBI, the CIA, Congress, the FDA, the CDC, all big pharma. We know they're all corrupt. But aren't we lucky that all 50 states' separate voting systems worked perfectly? Everything else in the country was rigged. Everything that could be rigged was rigged. But boy are we lucky that the elections were not. And when I say that, Democrats just run away because it's the one argument that you can't say anything about that. Because the rejoinder is but there's no evidence, to which I say absolutely you're so right about that. There is no evidence. You were right. No argument there. And again, aren't we lucky that everything in the country is corrupted and we found out for sure but that one good on you for calling it right and calling the only thing that's not rigged. It's the only thing.
All right, so that's why the most amusing outcome would be to find out that it was. Now Kerry Lake has apparently argued her case. We don't know what the conclusion is yet. But the question was whether or not they had done real signature verification or fake signature verification. Which one do you think they proved? That real signature verification was done or that fake verification was done? Well it turns out according to Kerry Lake's side that they did. I don't know, tens of thousands, seventy thousand signatures that were verified in two seconds. Two seconds. So one of the things that Kerry Lake proved is that the people doing the signature verification were way faster than you think. It's just sort of common sense. I think seventy thousand, how long would that take human beings to look at each one? And I think to myself about two seconds. That sounds about right. Yeah, about two seconds.
So in order for Kerry Lake to lose — and I don't mean legally but let's say lose logically, you know, lose the logical argument. The legal argument might have some legal loophole that I don't know about. But in terms of making her case that there was in fact not really any signature verification, I feel like she's going to land that because the logs themselves apparently are undisputed and they say they were checked in two seconds. Now obviously there's some pushback to that and I haven't heard it so don't assume just because you've heard one side of it that there's not another side. Because so far every time we've heard there's an election story there is another side and it takes away all the fun, right? So don't assume that this is a slam dunk. But boy the simulation is just screaming for it, isn't it? The simulation seriously wants this to happen. So we'll see. We'll see. If I were to predict it's going to happen it would be based entirely on the most entertaining outcome, not on any evidence. Not on any evidence. Because I don't believe anything on the internet.
All right, here's another simulation alert. As you know Senator Tim Scott has announced he's going to run as a Republican and I'm going to make a prediction based on the same phenomenon that reality will be the most entertaining reality for me. So this will be just personal. I believe that Tim Scott will end up being Trump's VP choice. Here's why. Because it will drive me crazy to hear that the ticket is Trump Scott and I will be plagued forever until the election because people will think it's very funny to point out that Scott is my name as well. And people say well it's about time you were running on the ticket. And then they will laugh and it will be funny. So for that reason alone I'm going to predict that Trump will pick Tim Scott as his running mate because it's just the weirdest. It's the weirdest most simulation-like outcome. It's just the weirdest.
Now on top of that Tim Scott's kind of perfect because you want a vice president who's serious and substantial, doesn't have scandals, you know there's no negatives that are coming with it, but is not as fascinating as the top of the ticket. Perfect. You know, Tim Scott is a solid person who you wouldn't mind having as your president. You know I suppose your mileage might differ if you're a Democrat but you can imagine him being president and you can imagine yourself being comfortable with that. So that's a perfect fit. Not as much wattage as the president. Takes care of some of the biggest weakness that Trump has. What's Trump's biggest weakness? Yeah, racism. So if he runs with a black vice president they'll still call him a racist. They'll call him an Uncle Tom but the attacks won't have the same feeling. It will also set up Tim Scott as an obvious person who runs for president after being a vice president. And if you're black and you just want a black president, which we saw with Obama, you know what do you get, 96% of the black vote or something? There might be some people who say you know what, that's the shortest path to the next black president. So maybe they like that. Maybe so.
I think it would be, to me he seems like the most obvious choice. What do you think of that? You got really quiet when I said that. Is there any negative to that? Tim Scott as vice president for Trump. Is there any negative to that? It almost feels too obvious, doesn't it? It feels like it's just really obvious. Yeah, maybe I could see Kristi Noem being a choice as well but Tim Scott seems more obvious.
All right, do you know the Trigonometry podcast? It's a pretty big deal. It's made a lot of news with some big interviews. Apparently they're British based and their bank just shut them down with no explanation. No explanation. They just decided to unbank them and they just said yeah we, I'm sorry we can't be your bank anymore. It's called Tide Business. I never heard of that bank but do you think that's good for Tide's business? I hope not. Now maybe there's some reason we don't know about but as Eric Weinstein was pointing out we do have a problem with choke points. Banks are a choke point. So the bad people don't have to go after everybody. They just go after your bank and you saw what happened to me with the choke point, right? Just go after the publisher. You could take me out of business with just one choke point. That's what happened. So choke points are a big problem in politics right now if that's what happened. But we'll keep an eye on Trigonometry. Wishing them well.
All right, what do you think of the DeSantis versus Trump strategy of saying that the other one was wrong on the pandemic? Do you think that's going to work? So apparently both Trump and DeSantis are going to exaggerate what they did and you know maybe exaggerate the other direction what the other person did. So they both seem to have a claim that the other one got it wrong. And I try to follow the argument so I'm like okay on this date DeSantis was a little bit pro-lockdown but on this date he was anti-lockdown. But Trump, he was pro-vaccination but then not mandatory but then he wasn't against lockdown. And then what about masks? What do they say about masks, you know? So I think it's too complicated. Now if it's too complicated voters will just retreat to their bias and back their candidate. So I don't think it has much punch. What do you think?
I think that both of them are going to be looking at sub-optimal performances because everybody was sub-optimal in the pandemic. You could argue that DeSantis was one of the better ones but apparently even New York state had a lower death rate. Did you know that? That's Trump's claim. I don't know if it's true. So Trump is claiming that even New York state did better on death rates than Florida did. But Florida made a conscious choice to protect the elderly and let everybody else live their life. So was that a mistake? Was it a mistake to let people live free knowing of course that the death rate would be higher? I wouldn't call it a mistake. I would call it a choice. So I don't know. I think neither of them are going to get traction. I think that we're over the pandemic. We understand that nobody was perfect and they both I thought they both did the best they could under great uncertainty. So you know I told you before at the beginning of the pandemic I told you that I was going to be an easy grader for all the leaders who got it wrong because there'd be a lot of people guessing and they would be getting it wrong. So from the very start I said let's be a little bit generous on this one. On this one people are genuinely guessing so you don't want to throw your good leaders under the bus because they guessed wrong. Now you could argue there are things that were more objectively true when they got it wrong but nobody was going to get everything right. That wasn't a thing. So I tend to not care so much about what they got wrong. You know they were in the ballpark. I think both Trump and DeSantis were in the ballpark of my preference, meaning they were struggling to understand as best they could, make the best decisions they could. They were well-meaning. I don't know. I have nothing to complain about honestly even though it was sub-optimal.
All right, Larry Elder has a book, "As Goes California: My Mission to Rescue the Golden State and Save the Nation," now available. That feels like an important read because I think he's right on this. You know, as goes California because California is sort of the canary in the coal mine for the rest of the country. It's like well we're doing this this year. Just wait two years, you're going to be doing it too, whatever it is.
All right, I saw it's not a, Lawrence Jones referred to DeSantis as Trump light. What do you think of that framing? DeSantis is Trump light. Now this is similar to Bill Maher saying that DeSantis is the tribute band. But here's what I like about calling DeSantis Trump light because it reminds you of Bud Light and Bud Light is now carrying some bad vibes with it. So I'm not sure the first time I said it, when the first time I just said that DeSantis is Trump light quoting Lawrence Jones, did you immediately think of Bud Light or no? Did Bud Light come into your mind or no? Because it did for some of you. Yes, some of you. It's kind of an interesting framing isn't it? Because it says it's as good as a tribute band although tribute band is really visual and you know you can almost hear it and nobody's ever liked the tribute band better so that's good. But people do like light beer better. There are people who genuinely like light beer. So but I do like the fact that it associates it with something that the base is already biased against.
All right, so CNN and maybe some others from the left are going after Musk. So there's a big opinion piece. I'm not even going to tell you who wrote it because the opinion pieces on CNN are just such hack jobs. I mean they're just so unprofessional and poorly written that I'm not even going to tell you who it was because it doesn't matter. But it's sort of trying to put together a laundry list of reasons why you shouldn't trust or like Musk.
All right, so here's our laundry list of reasons. Now remember the laundry list persuasion means that you don't have anything. The reason you put them in a list is that individually none of them would bother you but if you see them in a list like whoa that's a lot of smoke there must be some fire there.
All right, so here's their beginning with their little list propaganda against Musk. That he apparently agreed to Turkey's request to censor a bunch of critics of the government. And I guess the choices were that you know to not have Twitter in Turkey during the election which would have been bad or to do what a dictator wanted him to do and censor on their behalf which is bad. So Musk had two choices. One was to stay in business in Turkey and you know live to fight another day because it's at least some free speech or to go hard and say no Turkey you don't get Twitter. There will be no Twitter for Turkey. Sorry you don't get any. Now how do you know what the right decision was? You don't really know the right decision do you? You know what happened but you don't know if he'd made the other decision a better thing would have happened. It's completely unknowable. So the first complaint they have about Musk is that he tried to weigh the benefit of free speech versus all the other variables and realized that there was a no-win situation. Right, there was no good way. So it was either going to be no Twitter in Turkey which is bad or to agree to censor which is bad. You just had two bad choices. So if you picked one of the two bad choices does that mean he sucks or was it just an impossible situation and he picked one? I don't know. Was it a good choice or a bad choice? I don't know. Does it indicate that Elon Musk loves dictators? No. Does it indicate that you know Twitter is always going to go along with the dictator? No. Because one of the factors is that it was right before the election, right? Because it could have gone a different way had there not been an election that was really critical and on point at that moment. So it's easy to be the critic but if you're going to be the critic you have to say what you would have done that was the right answer. What's the right answer? You're saying he did the wrong thing. Now you tell us what's the right answer. Because it wasn't a right answer. But yet they can throw that on the laundry list and oh yeah well that one doesn't bother me so much. Let's see what else is on the list. Maybe when I see it all I'll really be worried.
All right, next on the list is that Musk said that George Soros hates humanity and that gets very close to the line of anti-Semitic. It wasn't anti-Semitic but it reminded them of things that are. So now you've got two terrible things that Musk did. He had a no-win situation in which he didn't win. That's the first strike against him. He didn't win in a no-win situation with Turkey. And then secondly he made a comment about an individual which reminded other people of anti-Semitism. It wasn't anti-Semitism because it was about one person whose actions seemed to suggest that interpretation according to Musk, not according to me. But all right, so you've got two of the sketchiest things in the world but there's two of them. Now if they could only come up with a third thing then they'd have a proper little list then wouldn't they?
See what else. Oh so then the third thing is that when he reinstated thousands of Twitter accounts they were often racist and anti-Semitic people as researchers have documented. So his problem was that he valued free speech over how offended you would be by it which is how free speech works. And he said explicitly it's only free speech like in a real way if you allow the speech that you don't like. So they managed to say supporting free speech which necessarily supports speech you don't like and then he acted upon it by putting them back on Twitter. So now they've got these three terrible things. He didn't win in a no-win situation in Turkey. He said something about one individual which reminded somebody else of something else that was anti-Semitic. And he reinstated people under the First Amendment principle. And that's it. That's their laundry list.
And here's the title of the piece: "What Happened to Elon Musk?" What happened to him? The title is what people are going to say and they're going to say oh how did he turn bad? Well I don't have time to read that article but it looks like something sketchy with that guy. Oh my God. Now is it obvious to you that they're just trying to take down his power because his power is pretty awesome at the moment? Yeah this is not even close to news. And now I realize it was an opinion piece but even as an opinion piece it doesn't belong in the news entity because it's not news. It's just and it's not really an opinion. This is just a hit job to take somebody's power down. Is that why you need CNN to do hit pieces on people? How useful is that?
Well let's talk about Ukraine. Do you remember when we first started and one of the things that we definitely weren't going to do — oh we're definitely not going to, we might give Ukraine some help. Oh yeah give them some old weapons, maybe some ammunition. We weren't going to use yeah give them some Humvees and you know maybe some helmets and stuff whatever. But we're definitely not going to give them any F-16s. I mean let's not be crazy. We're definitely not going to give them any F-16s because if we did that we basically would be in a hot war with Russia because you know Russia is going to say we don't care who's flying them those are your F-16s. We're in a war with you now. So definitely weren't going to do that. No, no F-16s.
So today's news is that Biden has approved F-16s so the Ukrainians are now learning to fly those F-16s. And I started to think that the Democrats led by Biden are doing the same thing to Putin that they do to Republicans which is they're just gaslighting the out of them aren't they? The same technique that they use domestically which is just you know propaganda and gaslighting and lying and oh we definitely won't do that before they do it and blaming the other side for the thing they're doing. It's like every trick they do domestically against the Republicans they're doing against Putin and it's working. Which of course is why they do it. They're totally gaslighting Putin and they're doing a good job of it. I don't think the Republicans are good at that. I think the Republicans just say okay is there a reason for a war? Yes? No? No reason for a war. All right how about let's not have one. Is there a reason for a war? Oh well then let's just win the war. But the Republicans are all this mind games. It's just like a complete propaganda mind game you know the whole thing.
So anyway I don't believe anything that comes out of Ukraine. It's all lies, damn lies, damn lies.
Anything else happening on this quiet Saturday? They're missing these stories. Oh yeah Putin banned Obama from traveling to Russia. Why in the world would Obama travel to Russia? Was that a thing? Are you telling me that Obama was planning a trip to Russia now or was that just preemptive? Does anybody know? He wasn't actually going to go to Russia right during the current situation. No it must have been just some generic thing. He's just calling attention to Obama. Yeah and it's probably smart. We provoked this war. That's true.
How many people think the United States is primarily responsible for the war in Ukraine? Primarily responsible? I do. To me that seems obvious. You know the public information seems to support that narrative completely. Yeah it looks like we did it and it looks like we didn't get any gain for it. Did we gain anything or is there anything we could gain? I see no potential for winning. Do you? I think we screwed the pooch on this since 2014 and earlier. I think we've just been getting this wrong the whole way. Yeah and earlier I mean we've been doing nothing but trying to overthrow Putin and threatening his borders. What the hell is he supposed to do? Yeah I'd love to know the secret back story with Putin. I feel as if there's something that we don't know about Putin or maybe what we did. Maybe it's something we don't know about the United States but there's something about the whole Putin's story that got us to this place that didn't make sense. And the only way to explain it I can think of is that the military-industrial complex is just doing whatever it takes to have more war. That follow the money is the only thing that's completely working. Everything else looks like it doesn't make sense but if you follow the money it just everything suddenly is perfectly ordered. You know you can see the whole field. There's no questions left. Yes he considers Ukraine part of Russia but there are genuine reasons why he needs Ukraine as a buffer.
All right, what if Russia's most valuable threat? Yeah they're the most valuable threat. That's an interesting way to put it. Scott Barnes is saying John are you so somebody who's Scott Barnes are you referring to me incorrectly and also not understanding any of my positions while criticizing me or is there a person named Scott Barnes that you're speaking to? Were you drinking this morning? All right so something about Robert Barnes I guess. Some mentalities passed down from the sources to the sons. Maybe Google is Scott. Google what? That never helps. All right so was that a comment about me? Did somebody think I was changing my opinion? I'm just trying to see if somebody was drunkenly criticizing me or not. Yeah how can you drink all day if you don't start in the morning? That's a good point. All right yeah I don't think I changed my opinion so you must have been talking about Barnes. I don't know. Barnes is an idiot so I don't talk about him.
All right here's John. Scott you're taking exactly the position of the people you criticized for being RT stooges on Russia. I'm taking exactly the position of the — no I'm not. No yeah you're hallucinating that. Nothing like that's happening. I have no idea what you're talking about. Now you're hallucinating.
All right that's all for YouTube. I will talk to you tomorrow in the morning. Don't drink for breakfast. That's my advice to you. Your comments will be much better.
do good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization that's called coffee with Scott Adams I'm pretty sure that science has never discovered a more awesome time or situation and you lucked into it wow I guess your day's starting well but it could be even better and all you need for that is a cup of mug or a glass a tanker jealous of Stein a canteen Joker flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid no Bud Light and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day the thing makes everything better it's cold the simultaneous sip if it happens now don't forget the ah at the end go ah all right let's start out with did you all see the meme which put Joe Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney well you're gonna see it now an ice cold my wife so good happy Friday all right everyone so it's Friday night I'm getting ready to help I'm feeling kind before I go out I've got a free game and the only way I pre-game is with an ice cold on lights so uh there are some things that AI will be good for so in case you were thinking AI what good is AI there you go that's what it's good for 2024 election is going to be so much fun oh my God it's gonna be meme versus me all right so in other news there's a report of three boats have been sunk in Europe by orcas is there a difference between an orca and a whale why does the story say orcas there is a difference okay an orca is not a whale it's a killer whale why can't I just call it a whale because it's an orca I guess well all right so these orcas have sung three boats but that's not the amazing part the amazing part is that they've been spotted teaching other orcas how to do it that's right the war is on turns out that the animals have decided to turn on the humans and they're just going to kill us after all and it turns out that the animals have a Navy it's all orcas and the orcas are trading um I I don't know if NATO is trading them or what but somebody's trading these orcas to attack Naval vessels keep an eye on that keep an eye on that did you see a video not too long ago where Joe Rogan was showing a video of a uh of a rat that learned to use tools it went and got a stick to click the the rat trap so I could get the cheese without getting hurt because it knew what the rap trap was what the rat trap was and it knew that if he used a tool it could spring it it actually used a tool a stick and now we see these whales learning to attack boats put it all together people put it all together it's not just AI That's getting smarter so they have the creatures the creatures are starting to gang up see it's sort of it's a total headshake we're all looking at the robots and the AI it's like oh look over there it's the robots we're afraid of the robots and the AI meanwhile the orcas and the Rats apparently I've conspired to take over everything with their tool making and such all right we'll keep an eye on that here's a story I told in the man cave last night but you're gonna have to hear it because it's important it's about the simulation have you ever had this situation where you worried yourself into the exact problem that you were trying to prevent does anybody have that that's that's like a real thing right there's something that's never happened to you before and then because you're thinking of it you just think yourself into the problem well yesterday I went to take a ride in my e-bike and uncharacteristically I thought to myself you know what I I'd hate to fall off my e-bike because I'm at that age now where if you get a serious sporting injury you know maybe you don't come back yeah it's kind of the end of your Sporting Life if you have a bad one and so I thought to myself about falling off my e-bike and you know it's not like I've never thought of it it's just I've never dwelled on it before so the first time I dwell on it take my back up and I'm I'm going on this uh path that's too small for automobiles and it looks like the path is going to come to an end and I need to turn around but the path had narrowed to the point where turning around without getting off your bike was going to be kind of a challenge and there was gravel on each side of the Narrow Path and I said to myself I calculated all right to do a very low speed turn you know you you can't do it if it's too narrow you'll fall off and I thought I better get off my bike and just you know walk it around and then I thought to myself no no damn it I'm no bicycle I'm I'm not afraid of my bike I'm not going to talk myself into being afraid of a bicycle damn it I'm gonna just make this turn so as I was flying through the air on my way to the hard pavement below because as you see the turn didn't work out it was one of those situations where I really should have listened to that little voice in my head this at well that looks like really dangerous you're not going to make it so as I was uh departing from the bicycle itself and more Airborne than actually bike born um time Stood Still have you ever had that experience where you know something bad is going to happen and it's only going to be a quarter of a second but that quarter of a second seems to just stop in time in your memory so as I'm flying through the air I have to do triage which part of my body I want to sacrifice I'm thinking arm no don't want a broken arm leg knee no no bad news head got a helmet but still you don't want to land on your head hands got to protect the hands right because I work with my hands so I'm running through all my body parts I'm like no no no no no and I came up with one body part that I thought I could I could get by with and it was this fat part of my back toward the top you know just past the shoulder blade where there's like a little bit of muscle here a little bit of padding I managed to spin in the air just fast enough to tuck and roll hitting that back part of my back first and I gotta say it was it was quite a it was quite a crash but I managed to pop up uninjured now here that's not even the weird part here's the part I didn't tell you last night in the man cave so have you had this situation where there's something that never happens and then it's everywhere and you don't know did you cause that or was it always just there or you didn't notice it so today I I'm looking through the news to get my little news stories for the show and there's a story about Simon Cowell who happens to be just about my age like pretty close and how he got seriously injured falling off his e-bike now I've only fallen off my e-bike once just once and then I turn it and there's like a major story about a guy my age falling off an e-bike what are the odds of that did I make that happen see this is why I believe I live in the simulation one explanation is oh it's just a coincidence the other explanation is well stories about bike accidents we're always out there you just didn't notice until you were primed for it or number three I caused it to happen not only did I cause the accident but I caused the news story about the topic so that's how I experience life like I just caused it I don't know if it's true but I also don't know anything else is true well enough about me uh the Wall Street journals reporting that the bar exam for lawyers is going to be made easier so that more black people can become lawyers so that that's actually in the news that's a real story now of course the story they don't say black people yeah they have to wink at you well it's to make it fair for everybody you know but you know that you know they're talking about so what do you think about that well I'll tell you if I were currently a black lawyer and I had passed the the hard bar exam I would not feel good about being presumably thrown in with the people who did not pass the hard bar exam I got a feeling that people are going to be like I don't know did you pass the real bar exam or the new fake bar exam the easy one I'm not sure so I feel like we are not considering the the side effects of some of our decisions you know as I've said before um historically I've always supported you know efforts to increase inclusion and equity and not Equity but equality of opportunity and all that including even uh um affirmative action historically but at some point am I wrong that at some point it it gives you more uh downside than upside am I wrong about that that at some point you could argue whether we're there or not but at some point you need to stop doing it before you've reached total total equality if you keep pushing it all the way to everybody's equal all the time there's no way that's good for everybody it's just going to be such a such a fight but you know in the early days when when the disparities are gigantic yeah maybe you have to do something a little more aggressive but at the moment I really need to I think we need to rethink this stuff all right I saw another uh tweet from somebody who's joining my opinion that are worried about AI is at least the current version and um it's not nearly as useful for a lot of things as you think it will be so here here's what uh AI will be good for really really good at complex searches so it's a better search engine really good at summarizing articles which I would just call the search engine so I saw somebody say oh it's really good at uh you know summarizing the pros and cons of all these articles about some topic to which I say you mean the search engine it's just a really good search engine oh yeah I mean it's really really good but it's also unreliable so you've got that but when it works it works pretty awesome and then you know it's going to be good for helping people who are already programmers code and you know lawyers will be able to research case law and stuff like that so there'll be a number of professions in which if you're already an expert in that profession your writer researcher lawyer whatever is really going to help but it doesn't look like it's coming anywhere near taking jobs it looks like it's just going to make people work differently and so when I said I'm not worried about AI becoming an existential threat in its current form the pushback I got was Scott oh wow if I may give you some condescending opinion about this whoa wow Boomer Boomer let me explain to you no we're not worried about the current version of AI Boomer no Boomer we're worried about where it's obviously going you know yes maybe version 1.0 is not going to destroy the world but obviously as it gets smarter and smarter the risk increases and Boomer a boomer please please Boomer I just maybe you shouldn't even talk about things you don't know about please to which I say your genius idea that a rabbit can evolve into a truck is not persuading me oh yeah bad microchips do evolve into better microchips that's the thing bad smartphones do evolve into better smartphones totally bad cars evolve into better cars yep but not once in the history of the whole universe as a rabbit turned into a truck and that's what's happening with AI because the large language model is never going to be smart it's just going to be really good at organizing information and and what it takes for AI to become smart has not been invented right it hasn't been invented nobody knows how that could happen because we don't even have a like a concept of what it would take to make it smart all we have is this old model which just makes your search engine and your organization of data are really really cool and it can talk to you better so it's like Siri plus it's like you know a better Siri basically so I would like to submit that the AI that you're worried about is the one that hasn't been invented and nobody knows how to invent it should you be worried about things that haven't been invented and nobody knows even the first part of how to make it that would be everything you know I I'm worried about the pen because what if it evolves into a laser that shoots out of every hole because you know right now right now it's it's innocent right now there's not much danger you know unless it pokes you but what if what if it evolved into a laser shooting pen that's what the conversation about AI is like no it does not evolve into a laser shooting pen there might be lasers that could evolve but a pen doesn't become a laser all right enough of that all right um as you know the reason that ESG and Dei and CEI and all those racist things that are being pushed upon organizations the main reasons that they have to fold to those things is not because they think it's right necessarily some probably do but because there are all these ratings agencies that will destroy the reputation of your company if you're not doing all the noble and good things and I thought to myself well why are there not alternative ratings agencies and why are why are there not ratings agencies to rate the other rating agencies because wouldn't you like to know oh this agency says you know Tesla is not woke enough but wouldn't you like to know that there's a rating agency their rates all the rating agencies it says this rating agency is what's wrong with that because my understanding is that it doesn't take much to be a rating the agency you just have to say you are one and then see if you could convince people you are one right it's not like it's a government you know licensed role so why not have like hundreds of them until they're all useless you know the problem with the old search engine before AI is that if I Googled anything the problem wasn't that I would get no results the problem is I'd get too many and they'd all be all over the place it'd be like go into the library and look it through books it would just take forever right so I feel like one way that this ratings agency thing might go is there might be so many different agencies that they all become useless if you wanted to know what was the rating you'd look up the agencies to see what they rated Tesla and one would be an a and one would be like a d Plus and then what do you do what do you do so I feel like One Direction that all this rating agency stuff could go is more of it until it dies under its own weight that could be One Direction because what I don't think is going to happen is you'll just have a few ratings agencies and everybody will just agree that they're the ones maybe but I feel like there's no barrier to entries so there should be lots of them um then we see that one of the ratings agencies there's a a gay advocacy advocacy group they just stripped Anheuser-Busch of their good rating because they didn't like Anheuser-Busch basically came to the pressure about Dylan Mulvaney so now you can't make the right happy because they didn't like you know how that was treated but now the left is unhappy because they change their minds because the pressure from the right do you think that big companies are learning that social advocacy is a bad idea how many times does a big company need to just get kneecapped before they say how about we just stay out of all of this how about how about you do you we'll just make money well we'll just try to be a company for a change how about that so anyway um have you noticed that when Democrats want to get reelected there's something that they often do tell me what it is what do Democrats do and I'm not talking about hoaxes when they want to get reelected lie more well okay it wasn't act Republican they act Republican and here's the thing it's as if it's as if Republican or it's as if Democrats know that their own policies don't work because when they need to get reelected they just suddenly drift into Republican policies to try to make you not realize that they never were there so here's a good example of that um Governor Newsom is trying to change the the approval process for getting big projects approved in the state now a big project would be you know a big energy project or a big Dam so anything with water or energy you can't get anything approved in California because there's some process we'll see the process is what's it called uh there's a name for it the California environmental equality act it's a lot of law is known as sequa so apparently the Democrat Governor realizes that I assume this came from Democrats the Democrats passed a law that made it impossible to manage the state because you couldn't get anything done because you couldn't get it through this approval organization so Newsome is going to try to become Donald Trump by getting by reducing red tape so he can get things done now how do you justify that I mean he literally has to become Trump to save the state does anybody not notice that are we supposed to not notice that he has to adopt a baseline Republican policy to save the state because he knows he knows he's in trouble right that's so embarrassing no that doesn't work the other way does it it probably does but I just don't know examples I'm probably being biased about this does it work the other way that Republicans try to turn into Democrats when they're running for election maybe they do maybe they do a little bit maybe they soften they probably soften on abortion a little bit in some cases yeah some do so I guess I guess I'm going to modify my statement and say it works both ways all right well here's a little wild card remember the best way to predict the future as Elon Musk reminded us even yesterday is at the most entertaining outcome is the most likely as as determined by a you know external Observer and I told you if that rule is true then one thing we should see before 2024 is evidence that the 2020 election was in fact rigged now I'm not predicting it based on evidence right and I'm not saying it was rigged I'm not saying it's rigged uh not and there's no evidence that I'm aware of but wouldn't it be the most entertaining what would be more entertaining than that to find out it actually was rigged because it would be the the cherry on the cake of all the other rigging and impropriety that we've seen because every time I make this joke people get quiet do you know the joke I make about the election well we know that the following entities are thoroughly corrupt uh the FBI the CIA Congress ego then list the FDA the CDC all big Pharma we know they're all corrupt but aren't we lucky that all 50 states was separate voting systems worked perfectly everything else in the country was rigged everything everything that could be rigged was rigged but boy are we lucky that the elections were not and when I say that Democrats just run away because it's the one argument that you can't you just can't say anything about that because because the rejoinder is but there's no evidence to which I say absolutely you're so right about that there is no evidence you were right no argument there and again aren't we lucky that everything in the country is corrupted and we found out for sure but that so good on you for calling it right and calling the only thing that's not rigged it's the only thing all right so that's why the most amusing uh out club would be to find out that it was now Kerry lake has apparently arrested her a case we don't know what the conclusion is yet but the question was whether or not they had done real signature verification or fake signature verification which one do you think they proved that real signature verification was done or that fake verification was done well it turns out according to Kerry Lakeside that that they did I know tens of thousands seventy thousand signatures that were verified in two seconds two seconds so one of the things that Kerry Lake proved is that the people doing the signature verification were way faster than you think it's just sort of commonsensically I think seventy thousand how long would that take human beings to look at each one and and I think to myself about two seconds that sounds about right yeah about two seconds so so in order for Kerry Lake to lose and I don't mean legally but let's say lose logically you know lose the logical argument the legal argument might have some you know legal legal uh loophole that I don't know about but in terms of making her case that there was in fact not really any signature verification I feel like she's going to land that because the logs themselves apparently are Undisputed and they say they were checked in two seconds now obviously there's some pushback to that and I haven't heard it so don't assume just because you've heard of one side of it that there's not another side because so far every time we've heard there's an election story there is another side and it takes away all the fun right so don't assume that this is a you know a slam dunk but boy the simulation is just screaming for it isn't it the simulation seriously wants this to happen so we'll see we'll see if I were to predict it's going to happen it would be based entirely on the most entertaining outcome not on any evidence not in any evidence because I don't believe anything on the internet all right here's another simulation alert as you know Senator Tim Scott has announced he's going to run as a Republican and I'm going to make a prediction based on the same the same phenomenon that reality will be the most entertaining reality for me so this will be just personal I believe that Tim Scott will end up being Trump's VP choice here's why because it will drive me crazy to hear that the ticket is Trump Scott and I will be plagued Forever Until the election because people will think it's very funny to point out that Scott is my name as well and people say well it's about time you were running on the ticket and then they will laugh and it will be funny so for that reason alone I'm going to predict that Trump will pick Tim scottish's running mate because it's just the weirdest it's the weirdest most simulation-like outcome it's just the weirdest now on top of that Tim Scott's Kind of Perfect because you want a vice president who's serious and substantial doesn't have scandals you know there's no negatives that are coming with it uh but is not as is not as fascinating as the top of the ticket perfect you know I Tim Scott is a solid person who you wouldn't mind having as your president you know I suppose you're you're mile mileage might differ if you're a Democrat but you can imagine him being president and you can imagine yourself being comfortable with that so that's a perfect bet fit not as much wattage as the president takes care of some of the the biggest weakness that Trump has what's Trump's biggest weakness go what's his biggest weakness yeah racism so if he runs with a black vice president they'll still call him a racist they'll call him and Uncle Tom but the but the the attacks won't have the same feeling it will also set up Tim Scott as an obvious person who runs for president after being a vice president and if you're black and you just want a black president which we saw with Obama you know what do you get 96 of black Vote or something um there might be some people who say you know what that's that's the shortest path to the next black president so maybe they like that Maybe so I think it would be a he to me he seems like the most obvious choice what do you think of that you got really quiet when I said that is there any negative to that Tim Scott is vice president for Trump is there any negative to that it almost feels too obvious doesn't it it feels like it's just really obvious yeah maybe I could see Christy gnome being a choice as well but Tim scottsy was more obvious all right uh do you know the trigonometry podcast it's a pretty big deal it's made a lot of news with some big interviews apparently they're uh so they're British based and their Bank just shut them down with no explanation no explanation they just decided to unbank them and they just said yeah we I'm sorry we can't be your bank anymore it's called The Tide business is the name of the bank a tide bank or something tied Business Bank I never heard of that bank but do you think that's good for Tide's business I hope not now maybe there's some reason we don't know about but as uh Eric Weinstein was pointing out um we do have a re we have a problem with choke points banks are a choke point so the the bad people don't have to go after everybody they just go after your bank and you saw what happened to me with the choke point right just go after the publisher you could take me out of business with just one choke point that's what happened so joke points are a big problem in politics right now if that's what happened but we'll keep an eye on trigonometry wishing him well all right what do you think of the De.
Santis versus Trump strategy of saying that the other one was wrong on the pandemic do you think that's going to work so apparently both Trump and De.
Santis are going to exaggerate what they did and you know maybe exaggerate the other direction what the other person did so they both seem to have a claim that the other one got it wrong and and I try to follow the argument so I'm like okay on this date De.
Santis was a little bit Pro lockdown but on this date he was anti-lockdown but Trump he was pro-vaccination but then not mandatory but then he wasn't against lockdown and then what about Mass what they say about Mass you know so I think it's too complicated now if it's too complicated voters will just Retreat to their bias and back their candidate so I don't think I don't think it has much punch what do you think I think that both of them are going to be looking at uh sub-optimal performances because everybody was sub-optimal in the pandemic You could argue that De.
Santis was one of the better ones but apparently even New York state had a lower death rate did you know that that's that's Trump's claim I don't know if it's true so Trump is claiming that even New York state did better on death rates than Florida did but Florida made a conscious choice to protect the elderly and let everybody else live their life so was that a mistake was it a mistake to let people live free knowing of course that the death rate would be higher I wouldn't call it a mistake I would call it a choice so I don't know I I think neither of them are going to get traction I think that we're over the pandemic we understand that nobody was perfect and they both I thought they both did the best they could under great uncertainty so you know I told you before the at the beginning of the pandemic I told you that I was going to be an easy grader for all the leaders who got it wrong because there'd be a lot of people guessing and they would be getting it wrong so from the very start I said let's be a little bit generous on this one on this one people are genuinely guessing so you don't want to throw your good leaders under the bus because they guessed wrong right now you you could argue there are things that were more objectively true when they got wrong but nobody was going to get everything right that wasn't a thing so I tend to not care so much about what they got wrong you know they were in the ballpark I think both Trump and De.
Santis were in the ballpark of my preference meaning they were struggling to understand as best they could make the best decisions they could they were well-meaning I don't know I have nothing to complain about honestly uh even though it was sub-optable all right uh Larry Elder has a book as goes California my mission to rescue the Golden State and save the nation now available um that feels like an important read because I think he's right on this you know as goes California because California does it is sort of the canary in the coal mine for the rest of the country it's like well we're doing this this year just wait two years you're going to be doing it too whatever it is all right I saw it's not a Lawrence Jones referred to De.
Santis As Trump light what do you think of that framing De.
Santis is Trump light now this similar to Bill Maher saying that De.
Santis is the tribute band but here's what I like about calling uh De.
Santis but uh Trump light because it reminds you of Bud Light and and Bud Light is now carrying uh you know some bad vibes with it so I'm not sure the first time I said it when the first time I just said that De.
Santis is Trump light quoting Lawrence Jones um did you immediately think of Bud Light or no did Bud Light come into your mind or no because it took it did some of you yes some of you know it's kind of an interesting framing isn't it because the it says it's as good as tribute band although trivia band is really Visual and you know you can almost hear it and nobody's ever liked the tribute band better so that's good but people do like light beer better there are people who genuinely like light beer so um but I do like the fact that it Associates it with something that the base is already biased against all right so CNN and maybe some some others from the left are going after musk so there's a big opinion piece I'm not even going to tell you who wrote it because the opinion piece is on CNN are just such hack jobs I mean they're just so unprofessional and poorly written that I'm not even going to tell you who it was because it doesn't matter but um is sort of trying to put together a laundry list of reasons why you shouldn't trust or like Musk all right so here's our laundry list of reasons now remember the laundry list persuasion means that you don't have anything the reason you put them in a list is that individually none of them would bother you but if you see them in a list like whoa that's a lot of smoke there must be some fire there all right so here's their beginning with their little list propaganda against Musk uh that he um apparently agreed to turkey's request to censor a bunch of critics of the government and I guess the choices were that you know to to not have Twitter in Turkey during the election which would have been bad or to do what a dictator wanted him to do and censor on their behalf which is bad so musk had two choices one was to stay in business in Turkey and you know live to fight another day because it's at least at least that's some free speech or to to go hard and say no turkey you don't get Twitter there will be no Twitter for turkey sorry you don't get any now how do you know what the right decision was you don't really know the right decision do you you know what happened but you don't know if he'd made the other decision a better thing would have happened it's completely unknowable so the first complaint they have about mosque is that he tried to weigh you know the benefit of free speech versus all the other variables and realized that there was a no-win situation right there was no good way so it was either going to be no Twitter in Turkey which is bad or to agree to censor which is bad you just had two bad choices so if you picked one of the two bad choices does that means he sucks or was it just an impossible situation and he picked one I don't know was it a good choice or a bad choice I don't know does it indicate that Elon Musk loves dictators no does it indicate that you know Twitter is always going to go along with the dictator no because one of the factors is that it was right before the election right because it could have gone a different way had there not been an election that was really critical and and on point at that moment so to be it's easy to be the critic but if you're going to be the critic you have to say what you would have done that was the right answer what's the right answer you're saying he did the wrong thing now you tell us what's the right answer because it wasn't a right answer but yet they can throw that on the laundry list and oh yeah well that one doesn't bother me so much let's see what else is on the list maybe when I see it all I'll really be worried all right next person in the list is that uh the most said that George Soros hates Humanity and uh that gets very close to the line of anti-Semitic it wasn't anti-Semitic but it reminded them of things that are right so now you've got two terrible things that must did he added no win situation in which he didn't win that's the first strike against him he didn't win in a no-win situation with turkey and then secondly he made a comment about an individual which reminded other people of anti-semitism it wasn't anti-Semitism because it was about one person whose actions seemed to you know suggest that interpretation according to musk not according to me but all right so you got two of the sketchiest things in the world but there's two of them now if they could only come up with a third thing then they'd have a proper little list then wouldn't they um see what else oh so then the third thing is that when he reinstated thousands of Twitter accounts they were often racist and anti-semitic people as researchers have documented so his problem was that he valued free speech over how offended you would be by it which is how Free Speech works and he said explicitly it's only free speech like in a real way if you allow the speech that you don't like so they managed to say the supporting Free Speech which necessarily supports speech you don't like and then he acted upon it by putting him back on on Twitter so now they've got these three terrible things he didn't win in a new in a no win situation in Turkey he said something about one individual which reminded somebody else of something else that was anti-Semitic and he reinstated people under the First Amendment principle and that's it that's their laundry list and here's the uh the title of the piece what happened to Elon Musk what happened to him the title is what people are going to say and they're going to say oh how did he turn bad well I don't have time to read that article but it looks like something something sketches with that guy oh my God now is it obvious to you that they're just trying to take down his power because his power is pretty awesome at the moment yeah this is not even close to news and now and I realized it was an opinion piece but even as an opinion piece it doesn't belong in the news entity because it's not news it's just and it's not really an opinion this is just a head job to take somebody's power down is that why you need CNN to do hip pieces on people how useful is that well let's talk about Ukraine um do you remember when we first started and one of the things that we definitely weren't going to do oh we're definitely not going to we might give Ukraine some help oh yeah give them some old weapons maybe some ammunition we weren't going to use yeah give them give us some memories and you know maybe some helmets and stuff whatever but uh we're definitely not going to give them any f-16s I mean let's not be crazy we're definitely not going to give them any f-16s because if we did that we basically would be in a hot war with Russia because you know Russia is going to say we don't care who's flying them those are your f-16s we're in a war with you now so definitely weren't going to do that no no f-16s so today's news is that uh by the um Biden has approved f-16s so the ukrainians are now uh Learning to Fly those f-16s and I uh I started to think that the Democrats led by Biden are doing the same thing to Putin that they do the Republicans which is they're just gaslighting the out of them aren't they the the same technique that they use domestically which is just you know propaganda and and gaslighting and lying and oh we definitely won't do that before they do it and blaming the other side of the thing they're doing it's like every trick they do domestically against the Republicans they're doing against Putin and it's working which of course is why they do it they're totally gaslighting Putin and they're doing a good job of it I don't think they I don't think the Republicans are good at that I think the Republicans just say okay is there a reason for a war yes no no no reason for a war all right how about let's not have one is there a reason for a war oh well then let's just like win the war but the Republicans are all this Mind Games it's just like a complete propaganda mind game you know the whole thing so anyway I don't believe anything that comes out of Ukraine it's all lies damn lies damn lies anything else happening on this quiet Saturday they're missing these stories oh yeah Putin banned Obama from traveling to Russia why in the world would Obama travel to Russia was that a thing are you telling me that Obama was planning a was Obama planning a trip to Russia now or was that just preemptive does anybody know he wasn't actually going to go to Russia right during the current situation now it must have been just some generic thing he's just calling attention to Obama yeah and it's probably smart we provoke this war that's true how many people think the United States is primarily responsible for the war in Ukraine primarily responsible I do to me that seems obvious you know the public information seems to support that narrative completely yeah it looks like we did it and it looks like we didn't get any gain for it did we gain anything or is there anything we could gain I see no potential for uh winning do you I think we I think we screwed the pooch on this since 2014 and earlier I think we've just been getting this wrong the whole way yeah and earlier I mean we've been doing nothing but trying to overthrow Putin and threatening his borders what the hell is he supposed to do yeah I I'd love to know the secret back story with Putin I feel as if there's something that we don't know about Putin or maybe what we did maybe it's something we don't know about the United States but there's something about the whole Putin's story that got us to this place that didn't make sense and the only the only way to explain it I can think of is that the you know the military-industrial complex is just doing whatever it takes to have more war that follow the money is the only thing that's completely working everything else looks like it doesn't make sense but if you follow the money it just everything suddenly is perfectly ordered you know you can see the whole field there's there's no questions left yes he considers Ukraine part of Russia but but there are genuine uh genuine reasons why he needs Ukraine as a buffer all right um what if Russia's most valuable most valuable threat yeah they're the most valuable threat that's an interesting way to put it uh was Scott Barnes is saying John are you so somebody who's Scott Barnes are you referring to me incorrectly and also not understanding any of my positions while criticizing me or is there a person named Scott Barnes that you're speaking were you drinking this morning all right so something about Robert Barnes I guess all right um um some mentalities passed down from the sources to the sons Maybe Google is Scott Google what that never helps all right um so was that a comment about me did somebody think I was changing my opinion I'm just trying to see if somebody was drunkenly criticizing you or not yeah how can you drink all day if you don't start in the morning that's a good point all right yeah I don't think I changed my opinion so you must been talking about Barnes I don't know Barnes is an idiot so I don't talk I don't talk about him um all right here's John Scott you're taking exactly the position of the people you criticized for being a RT Stooges on Russia I'm taking exactly the position of the no I'm not no yeah you're hallucinating that nothing like that's happening I have no idea what you're talking about now you're hallucinating all right that's all for You.
Tube I will talk to you tomorrow in the morning uh don't drink for breakfast that's my advice to you your comments will be much better
do
good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization
that's called coffee with Scott Adams
I'm pretty sure that science has never
discovered a more awesome time or
situation and you lucked into it wow
I guess your day's starting well but it
could be even better and all you need
for that is a cup of mug or a glass a
tanker jealous of Stein a canteen Joker
flask a vessel of any kind fill it with
your favorite liquid
no Bud Light
and join me now for the unparalleled
pleasure of the dopamine of the day the
thing makes everything better it's cold
the simultaneous sip if it happens now
don't forget the ah at the end go
ah
all right let's start out with
did you all see the meme which put Joe
Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney
well you're gonna see it now
an ice cold my wife so good
happy Friday all right everyone so it's
Friday night I'm getting ready to help
I'm feeling kind before I go out I've
got a free game and the only way I
pre-game is with
an ice cold on lights
[Music]
so uh there are some things that AI will
be good for
so in case you were thinking AI what
good is AI
there you go
that's what it's good for
2024 election is going to be so much fun
oh my God it's gonna be meme versus me
all right so in other news there's a
report of three boats have been sunk in
Europe by orcas
is there a difference between an orca
and a whale
why does the story say orcas there is a
difference
okay
an orca is not a whale
it's a killer whale why can't I just
call it a whale
because it's an orca I guess
well all right so these orcas have sung
three boats but that's not the amazing
part the amazing part
is that they've been spotted teaching
other orcas how to do it
that's right the war is on
turns out that the animals have decided
to turn on the humans and they're just
going to kill us after all and it turns
out that the animals have a Navy
it's all orcas and the orcas are trading
um
I I don't know if NATO is trading them
or what but somebody's trading these
orcas to attack Naval vessels keep an
eye on that keep an eye on that
did you see a video not too long ago
where Joe Rogan was showing a video of a
uh of a rat that learned to use tools
it went and got a stick to click the the
rat trap so I could get the cheese
without getting hurt because it knew
what the rap trap was what the rat trap
was and it knew that if he used a tool
it could spring it it actually used a
tool a stick
and now we see these whales learning to
attack boats
put it all together people
put it all together
it's not just AI That's getting smarter
so they have the creatures the creatures
are starting to gang up
see it's sort of it's a total headshake
we're all looking at the robots and the
AI it's like oh look over there it's the
robots we're afraid of the robots and
the AI meanwhile
the orcas and the Rats
apparently I've conspired to take over
everything with their tool making and
such all right we'll keep an eye on that
here's a story I told in the man cave
last night but you're gonna have to hear
it
because it's important it's about the
simulation have you ever had this
situation where
you worried yourself into the exact
problem that you were trying to prevent
does anybody have that
that's that's like a real thing right
there's something that's never happened
to you before
and then because you're thinking of it
you just think yourself into the problem
well yesterday I went to take a ride in
my e-bike
and
uncharacteristically I thought to myself
you know what
I I'd hate to fall off my e-bike
because I'm at that age now where if you
get a serious sporting injury you know
maybe you don't come back
yeah it's kind of the end of your
Sporting Life if you have a bad one and
so I thought to myself about falling off
my e-bike and you know it's not like
I've never thought of it it's just I've
never dwelled on it before
so the first time I dwell on it
take my back up and I'm I'm going on
this uh path that's too small for
automobiles
and it looks like the path is going to
come to an end and I need to turn around
but the path had narrowed
to the point where turning around
without getting off your bike was going
to be kind of a challenge and there was
gravel on each side of the Narrow Path
and I said to myself I calculated all
right to do a very low speed turn
you know you you can't do it if it's too
narrow you'll fall off
and I thought I better get off my bike
and just you know walk it around and
then I thought to myself no no damn it
I'm no bicycle I'm I'm not afraid
of my bike I'm not going to talk myself
into being afraid of a bicycle damn it
I'm gonna just make this turn
so as I was flying through the air
on my way to the hard pavement below
because as you see the turn didn't work
out
it was one of those situations where I
really should have listened to that
little voice in my head this at well
that looks like really dangerous
you're not going to make it
so as I was uh departing from the
bicycle itself and more Airborne than
actually bike born
um time Stood Still
have you ever had that experience where
you know something bad is going to
happen and it's only going to be a
quarter of a second
but that quarter of a second seems to
just stop in time in your memory
so as I'm flying through the air
I have to do triage which part of my
body I want to sacrifice
I'm thinking arm no don't want a broken
arm
leg knee no no bad news head got a
helmet but still you don't want to land
on your head hands got to protect the
hands right because I work with my hands
so I'm running through all my body parts
I'm like no no no no no and I came up
with one body part that I thought I
could
I could get by with and it was this fat
part of my back
toward the top you know just past the
shoulder blade where there's like a
little bit of muscle here a little bit
of padding I managed to spin in the air
just fast enough to tuck and roll
hitting that back part of my back first
and I gotta say it was
it was quite a it was quite a crash
but I managed to pop up uninjured now
here that's not even the weird part
here's the part I didn't tell you last
night in the man cave
so have you had this situation where
there's something that never happens and
then it's everywhere
and you don't know did you cause that or
was it always just there or you didn't
notice it
so today I I'm looking through the news
to get my little news stories for the
show
and there's a story about Simon Cowell
who happens to be just about my age like
pretty close and how he got seriously
injured falling off his e-bike
now
I've only fallen off my e-bike once
just once
and then I turn it and there's like a
major story about a guy my age falling
off an e-bike
what are the odds of that
did I make that happen
see this is why I believe I live in the
simulation one explanation is oh it's
just a coincidence
the other explanation is well stories
about bike accidents we're always out
there you just didn't notice until you
were primed for it
or number three I caused it to happen
not only did I cause the accident
but I caused the news story about the
topic
so that's how I experience life like I
just caused it I don't know if it's true
but I also don't know anything else is
true well enough about me
uh the Wall Street journals reporting
that the bar exam for lawyers is going
to be made easier so that more black
people can become lawyers
so
that that's actually in the news
that's a real story
now of course the story they don't say
black people
yeah they have to wink at you well it's
to make it fair for everybody
you know but you know that you know
they're talking about
so
what do you think about that well I'll
tell you if I were currently a black
lawyer and I had passed the the hard bar
exam I would not feel good about being
presumably thrown in with the people who
did not pass the hard bar exam I got a
feeling that people are going to be like
I don't know
did you pass the real bar exam or the
new fake bar exam the easy one I'm not
sure so I feel like
we are not considering the
the side effects of some of our
decisions
you know as I've said before
um historically I've always supported
you know efforts to
increase inclusion and equity and not
Equity but equality of opportunity and
all that
including even uh
um affirmative action
historically but at some point am I
wrong that at some point it it gives you
more uh downside than upside
am I wrong about that that at some point
you could argue whether we're there or
not but at some point you need to stop
doing it before you've reached total
total equality
if you keep pushing it all the way to
everybody's equal all the time
there's no way that's good for everybody
it's just going to be such a such a
fight
but you know in the early days when when
the disparities are gigantic yeah maybe
you have to do something a little more
aggressive
but at the moment I really need to I
think we need to rethink this stuff
all right I saw another uh tweet from
somebody who's joining my opinion that
are worried about AI is at
least the current version and
um it's not nearly as useful for a lot
of things as you think it will be
so here here's what uh AI will be good
for really really good at complex
searches so it's a better search engine
really good at summarizing articles
which I would just call the search
engine
so I saw somebody say oh it's really
good at uh you know summarizing the pros
and cons of all these articles about
some topic to which I say you mean the
search engine
it's just a really good search engine oh
yeah
I mean it's really really good
but it's also unreliable so you've got
that but when it works it works pretty
awesome and then you know it's going to
be good for helping people who are
already programmers code
and you know lawyers will be able to
research case law and stuff like that so
there'll be a number of professions
in which if you're already an expert in
that profession your writer researcher
lawyer whatever is really going to help
but it doesn't look like it's coming
anywhere near taking jobs
it looks like it's just going to make
people work differently
and
so when I said I'm not worried about AI
becoming an existential threat in its
current form
the pushback I got was Scott
oh wow if I may give you some
condescending opinion about this whoa
wow Boomer Boomer let me explain to you
no we're not worried about the current
version of AI Boomer no Boomer we're
worried about where it's obviously going
you know yes maybe version 1.0 is not
going to destroy the world but obviously
as it gets smarter and smarter the risk
increases and Boomer a boomer please
please Boomer I just maybe you shouldn't
even talk about things you don't know
about please
to which I say
your genius idea that a rabbit can
evolve into a truck
is not persuading me
oh yeah
bad microchips do evolve into better
microchips that's the thing bad
smartphones do evolve into better
smartphones
totally bad cars evolve into better cars
yep but not once in the history of the
whole universe as a rabbit
turned into a truck
and that's what's happening with AI
because the large language model
is never going to be smart
it's just going to be really good at
organizing information
and and what it takes for AI to become
smart has not been invented
right
it hasn't been invented nobody knows how
that could happen because we don't even
have a like a concept of what it would
take to make it smart
all we have is this old model which just
makes your search engine and your
organization of data are really really
cool and it can talk to you better so
it's like Siri plus it's like you know a
better Siri basically
so
I would like to submit
that the AI that you're worried about
is the one that hasn't been invented and
nobody knows how to invent it
should you be worried about things that
haven't been invented and nobody knows
even the first part of how to make it
that would be everything
you know I I'm worried about
the pen
because what if it evolves into a laser
that shoots out of every hole
because you know right now right now
it's it's innocent right now there's not
much danger you know unless it pokes you
but what if what if it evolved into a
laser shooting pen
that's what the conversation about AI is
like no it does not evolve into a laser
shooting pen
there might be lasers that could evolve
but a pen doesn't become a laser
all right enough of that
all right um
as you know the reason that ESG and Dei
and CEI and all those racist things that
are being pushed upon organizations the
main reasons that they have to fold to
those things is not because they think
it's right necessarily some probably do
but because there are all these ratings
agencies
that will destroy the reputation of your
company if you're not doing all the
noble and good things
and
I thought to myself well
why are there not
alternative ratings agencies
and why are why are there not ratings
agencies
to rate the other rating agencies
because wouldn't you like to know oh
this agency says you know Tesla is not
woke enough
but wouldn't you like to know that
there's a rating agency
their rates all the rating agencies it
says this rating agency is
what's wrong with that because my
understanding is that it doesn't take
much to be a rating the agency you just
have to say you are one and then see if
you could convince people you are one
right it's not like it's a government
you know licensed role so why not have
like hundreds of them
until they're all useless
you know the problem with the old search
engine before AI
is that if I Googled anything the
problem wasn't that I would get no
results the problem is I'd get too many
and they'd all be all over the place
it'd be like go into the library and
look it through books it would just take
forever
right so
I feel like one way that this ratings
agency thing might go is there might be
so many different agencies
that they all become useless
if you wanted to know what was the
rating you'd look up the agencies to see
what they rated Tesla and one would be
an a
and one would be like a d Plus
and then what do you do
what do you do
so I feel like One Direction that all
this rating agency stuff could go is
more of it until it dies under its own
weight
that could be One Direction because what
I don't think is going to happen is
you'll just have a few ratings agencies
and everybody will just agree that
they're the ones
maybe but I feel like there's no barrier
to entries so there should be lots of
them
um
then we see that one of the ratings
agencies there's a a gay advocacy
advocacy group they just stripped
Anheuser-Busch
of their good rating because they didn't
like Anheuser-Busch
basically came to the pressure about
Dylan Mulvaney
so now you can't make the right happy
because they didn't like you know how
that was treated but now the left is
unhappy because they change their minds
because the pressure from the right do
you think that big companies are
learning that social advocacy is a bad
idea
how many times does a big company need
to just get kneecapped before they say
how about we just stay out of all of
this how about how about you do you
we'll just make money
well we'll just try to be a company for
a change how about that
so
anyway
um
have you noticed that when Democrats
want to get reelected there's something
that they often do
tell me what it is what do Democrats do
and I'm not talking about hoaxes when
they want to get reelected lie more well
okay it wasn't act Republican
they act Republican
and here's the thing it's as if it's as
if Republican or it's as if Democrats
know
that their own policies don't work
because when they need to get reelected
they just suddenly drift into Republican
policies to try to make you not realize
that they never were there so here's a
good example of that
um
Governor Newsom
is
trying to change the the approval
process for getting big projects
approved in the state now a big project
would be you know a big energy project
or a big Dam so anything with water or
energy you can't get anything approved
in California because there's some
process
we'll see the process is what's it
called uh
there's a name for it the California
environmental equality act it's a lot of
law is known as sequa so apparently the
Democrat Governor realizes that I assume
this came from Democrats the Democrats
passed a law that made it impossible to
manage the state because you couldn't
get anything done because you couldn't
get it through this approval
organization so
Newsome is going to try to become Donald
Trump by getting by reducing red tape so
he can get things done
now
how do you justify that I mean he
literally has to become Trump
to save the state
does anybody not notice that
are we supposed to not notice that he
has to adopt a baseline Republican
policy
to save the state because he knows he
knows he's in trouble
right
that's so embarrassing
no that doesn't work the other way does
it
it probably does but I just don't know
examples I'm probably being biased about
this does it work the other way that
Republicans try to turn into Democrats
when they're running for election
maybe they do maybe they do a little bit
maybe they soften they probably soften
on abortion a little bit in some cases
yeah some do
so I guess I guess I'm going to modify
my statement and say it works both ways
all right well here's a little wild card
remember
the best way to predict the future as
Elon Musk reminded us even yesterday
is at the most entertaining outcome is
the most likely
as as determined by a you know external
Observer and I told you if that rule is
true then one thing we should see before
2024
is evidence that the 2020 election was
in fact rigged
now I'm not predicting it based on
evidence
right and I'm not saying it was rigged
I'm not saying it's rigged uh not and
there's no evidence that I'm aware of
but wouldn't it be the most entertaining
what would be more entertaining than
that to find out it actually was rigged
because it would be the the cherry on
the cake of all the other rigging and
impropriety that we've seen
because every time I make this joke
people get quiet do you know the joke I
make about the election
well we know that the following entities
are thoroughly corrupt uh the FBI the
CIA
Congress ego then list the FDA the CDC
all big Pharma we know they're all
corrupt
but aren't we lucky
that all 50 states was separate voting
systems worked perfectly
everything else in the country was
rigged everything
everything that could be rigged was
rigged but boy are we lucky that the
elections were not
and when I say that Democrats just
run away
because it's the one argument that you
can't you just can't say anything about
that
because because the rejoinder is but
there's no evidence to which I say
absolutely
you're so right about that there is no
evidence
you were right
no argument there
and again aren't we lucky
that everything in the country is
corrupted and we found out for sure
but that
so good on you for calling it right and
calling the only thing that's not rigged
it's the only thing
all right so that's why the most amusing
uh out club would be to find out that it
was
now Kerry lake has apparently arrested
her a case we don't know what the
conclusion is yet
but the question was whether or not they
had done real signature verification or
fake signature verification which one do
you think they proved that real
signature verification was done or that
fake
verification was done
well it turns out
according to Kerry Lakeside
that that they did I know tens of
thousands seventy thousand signatures
that were verified in two seconds
two seconds
so one of the things that Kerry Lake
proved is that the people doing the
signature verification were way faster
than you think
it's just sort of commonsensically I
think seventy thousand how long would
that take human beings to look at each
one and
and I think to myself about two seconds
that sounds about right yeah about two
seconds
so so in order for Kerry Lake to lose
and I don't mean legally but let's say
lose logically you know lose the logical
argument the legal argument might have
some you know legal legal uh loophole
that I don't know about but in terms of
making her case that there was in fact
not really any signature verification
I feel like she's going to land that
because the logs themselves
apparently are Undisputed and they say
they were checked in two seconds
now obviously there's some pushback to
that and I haven't heard it so don't
assume just because you've heard of one
side of it
that there's not another side
because so far every time we've heard
there's an election story there is
another side and it takes away all the
fun
right so don't assume that this is a you
know a slam dunk
but boy the simulation is just screaming
for it isn't it
the simulation seriously wants this to
happen
so we'll see
we'll see
if I were to predict it's going to
happen it would be based entirely on the
most entertaining outcome not on any
evidence not in any evidence
because I don't believe anything on the
internet
all right here's another simulation
alert
as you know Senator Tim Scott has
announced he's going to run as a
Republican
and
I'm going to make a prediction based on
the same
the same phenomenon that reality will be
the most entertaining reality for me
so this will be just personal
I believe that Tim Scott will end up
being Trump's VP choice
here's why
because it will drive me crazy to hear
that the ticket is Trump Scott
and I will be plagued Forever Until the
election because people will think it's
very funny to point out that Scott is my
name as well
and people say well it's about time you
were running on the ticket
and then they will laugh and it will be
funny
so for that reason alone
I'm going to predict that Trump will
pick Tim scottish's running mate
because it's just the weirdest it's the
weirdest most simulation-like outcome
it's just the weirdest
now on top of that
Tim Scott's Kind of Perfect
because you want a vice president who's
serious and substantial
doesn't have scandals you know there's
no negatives that are coming with it uh
but is not as is not as fascinating as
the top of the ticket
perfect
you know I
Tim Scott
is a solid person who you wouldn't mind
having as your president
you know I suppose you're you're mile
mileage might differ if you're a
Democrat but you can imagine him being
president and you can imagine yourself
being comfortable with that so that's a
perfect bet fit not as much wattage as
the president takes care of some of the
the biggest weakness that Trump has
what's Trump's biggest weakness
go what's his biggest weakness yeah
racism so if he runs with a black vice
president they'll still call him a
racist they'll call him and Uncle Tom
but the but the
the attacks won't have the same feeling
it will also set up Tim Scott as an
obvious
person who runs for president after
being a vice president
and if you're black and you just want a
black president which we saw with Obama
you know what do you get 96 of black
Vote or something
um there might be some people who say
you know what that's that's the shortest
path to the next black president
so maybe they like that
Maybe
so I think it would be a
he to me he seems like the most obvious
choice
what do you think of that you got really
quiet when I said that is there any
negative to that
Tim Scott is vice president for Trump is
there any negative to that
it almost feels too obvious doesn't it
it feels like it's just really obvious
yeah
maybe I could see Christy gnome being a
choice as well but Tim scottsy was more
obvious
all right uh do you know the
trigonometry
podcast it's a pretty big deal
it's made a lot of news with some big
interviews apparently they're uh so
they're British based and their Bank
just shut them down
with no explanation
no explanation they just decided to
unbank them
and they just said yeah we I'm sorry we
can't be your bank anymore
it's called The Tide business is the
name of the bank a tide bank or
something tied Business Bank I never
heard of that bank
but
do you think that's good for Tide's
business
I hope not now maybe there's some reason
we don't know about
but as uh Eric Weinstein was pointing
out
um
we do have a re we have a problem with
choke points
banks are a choke point
so the the bad people don't have to go
after everybody they just go after your
bank
and you saw what happened to me with the
choke point right just go after the
publisher
you could take me out of business with
just one choke point that's what
happened
so joke points are a big problem in
politics right now if that's what
happened but we'll keep an eye on
trigonometry wishing him well
all right what do you think of the
DeSantis versus Trump
strategy of saying that the other one
was wrong on the pandemic
do you think that's going to work
so apparently both Trump and DeSantis
are going to exaggerate what they did
and you know maybe exaggerate the other
direction what the other person did so
they both seem to have a claim
that the other one got it wrong
and and I try to follow the argument so
I'm like okay on this date
DeSantis was a little bit
Pro lockdown but on this date he was
anti-lockdown but Trump
he was pro-vaccination but then
not mandatory but then he wasn't against
lockdown and then what about Mass what
they say about Mass you know so I think
it's too complicated
now if it's too complicated
voters will just Retreat to their bias
and back their candidate so I don't
think I don't think it has much punch
what do you think
I think that both of them are going to
be looking at uh sub-optimal
performances
because everybody was sub-optimal in the
pandemic
You could argue that DeSantis was one of
the better ones
but apparently even New York state had a
lower death rate did you know that
that's that's Trump's claim I don't know
if it's true so Trump is claiming that
even New York state did better on death
rates than Florida did but
Florida made a conscious choice to
protect the elderly and let everybody
else live their life
so was that a mistake
was it a mistake to let people live free
knowing of course that the death rate
would be higher
I wouldn't call it a mistake I would
call it a choice
so I don't know I I think neither of
them are going to get traction
I think that we're over the pandemic
we understand that nobody was perfect
and they both I thought they both did
the best they could
under great uncertainty
so you know I told you before the at the
beginning of the pandemic I told you
that I was going to be an easy grader
for all the leaders who got it wrong
because there'd be a lot of people
guessing and they would be getting it
wrong so from the very start I said
let's be a little bit generous on this
one
on this one people are genuinely
guessing
so you don't want to throw your good
leaders under the bus because they
guessed wrong
right now you you could argue there are
things that were more objectively true
when they got wrong but nobody was going
to get everything right that wasn't a
thing
so I tend to not care so much about what
they got wrong
you know they were in the ballpark I
think both Trump and DeSantis were in
the ballpark of my preference
meaning they were struggling to
understand as best they could make the
best decisions they could
they were well-meaning
I don't know I have nothing to complain
about honestly
uh even though it was sub-optable
all right uh Larry Elder has a book
as goes California my mission to rescue
the Golden State and save the nation now
available
um
that feels like an important read
because I think he's right on this you
know as goes California because
California does it is sort of the canary
in the coal mine for the rest of the
country it's like well we're doing this
this year
just wait two years you're going to be
doing it too whatever it is
all right
I saw
it's not a Lawrence Jones referred to
DeSantis As Trump light
what do you think of that framing
DeSantis is Trump light
now this similar to Bill Maher saying
that DeSantis is the tribute band
but here's what I like about calling uh
DeSantis but uh Trump light because it
reminds you of Bud Light
and and Bud Light
is now carrying uh you know some bad
vibes with it
so I'm not sure the first time I said it
when the first time I just said that
DeSantis is Trump light quoting Lawrence
Jones
um did you immediately think of Bud
Light or no
did Bud Light come into your mind or no
because it took it did some of you yes
some of you know
it's kind of an interesting framing
isn't it
because the it says it's as good as
tribute band
although trivia band is really Visual
and you know you can almost hear it
and nobody's ever liked the tribute band
better so that's good but people do like
light beer better
there are people who genuinely like
light beer so
um but I do like the fact that it
Associates it with something that the
base is already biased against
all right so CNN and maybe some some
others from the left are going after
musk so there's a big opinion piece I'm
not even going to tell you who wrote it
because the opinion piece is on CNN are
just such hack jobs
I mean they're just so unprofessional
and poorly written that I'm not even
going to tell you who it was because it
doesn't matter
but
um
is sort of trying to put together a
laundry list of reasons why you
shouldn't trust or like Musk
all right so here's our laundry list
of reasons now remember the laundry list
persuasion
means that you don't have anything
the reason you put them in a list is
that individually none of them would
bother you but if you see them in a list
like whoa that's a lot of smoke there
must be some fire there
all right so here's their beginning with
their little list propaganda
against Musk
uh that he
um apparently agreed to turkey's request
to censor a bunch of critics of the
government
and I guess the choices were that you
know to to not have Twitter in Turkey
during the election
which would have been bad or to do what
a dictator wanted him to do and censor
on their behalf
which is bad
so musk had two choices
one was to stay in business in Turkey
and you know live to fight another day
because it's at least at least that's
some free speech or
to
to go hard and say no turkey you don't
get Twitter there will be no Twitter for
turkey sorry
you don't get any
now how do you know what the right
decision was
you don't really know the right decision
do you you know what happened but you
don't know if he'd made the other
decision
a better thing would have happened it's
completely unknowable
so the first complaint they have about
mosque is that he tried to weigh you
know the benefit of free speech
versus all the other variables and
realized that there was a no-win
situation right there was no good way so
it was either going to be no Twitter in
Turkey which is bad
or to agree to censor which is bad you
just had two bad choices
so if you picked one of the two bad
choices does that means he sucks
or was it just an impossible situation
and he picked one I don't know was it a
good choice or a bad choice I don't know
does it indicate that Elon Musk loves
dictators
no
does it indicate that you know Twitter
is always going to go along with the
dictator no because one of the factors
is that it was right before the election
right because it could have gone a
different way had there not been an
election that was really critical and
and on point at that moment
so
to be it's easy to be the critic but if
you're going to be the critic you have
to say what you would have done
that was the right answer what's the
right answer
you're saying he did the wrong thing now
you tell us what's the right answer
because it wasn't a right answer
but yet they can throw that on the
laundry list and oh yeah well that one
doesn't bother me so much
let's see what else is on the list maybe
when I see it all I'll really be worried
all right next person in the list
is that uh
the most said that George Soros hates
Humanity
and uh that gets very close to the line
of anti-Semitic
it wasn't anti-Semitic
but it reminded them of things that are
right so now you've got two terrible
things that must did he added no win
situation in which he didn't win
that's the first strike against him he
didn't win in a no-win situation with
turkey
and then secondly he made a comment
about an individual which reminded other
people of anti-semitism
it wasn't anti-Semitism because it was
about one person whose actions
seemed to you know suggest that
interpretation according to musk not
according to me
but
all right so you got two of the
sketchiest things in the world but
there's two of them now
if they could only come up with a third
thing
then they'd have a proper little list
then wouldn't they
um
see what else oh so then the third thing
is that when he reinstated thousands of
Twitter accounts they were often racist
and anti-semitic people
as researchers have documented
so
his problem was that he valued free
speech
over how offended you would be by it
which is how Free Speech works
and he said explicitly it's only free
speech like in a real way if you allow
the speech that you don't like
so they managed to say the supporting
Free Speech which necessarily supports
speech you don't like and then he acted
upon it by putting him back on on
so now they've got these three terrible
things
he didn't win in a new in a no win
situation in Turkey
he said something about one individual
which reminded somebody else of
something else that was anti-Semitic
and he reinstated people under the First
Amendment principle
and that's it
that's their laundry list and here's the
uh the title of the piece what happened
to Elon Musk
what happened to him
the title is what people are going to
say and they're going to say oh how did
he turn bad well I don't have time to
read that article but it looks like
something something sketches with that
guy
oh my God now is it obvious to you
that they're just trying to take down
his power
because his power is pretty awesome at
the moment yeah
this is not even close to news and now
and I realized it was an opinion piece
but even as an opinion piece it doesn't
belong in the news entity because it's
not news it's just and it's not really
an opinion
this is just a head job to take
somebody's power down is that why you
need CNN to do hip pieces on people how
useful is that
well let's talk about
Ukraine
um
do you remember when we first started
and one of the things that we definitely
weren't going to do
oh we're definitely not going to we
might give Ukraine some help
oh yeah give them some old weapons maybe
some ammunition we weren't going to use
yeah give them give us some memories and
you know maybe some helmets and stuff
whatever
but uh we're definitely not going to
give them any f-16s
I mean
let's not be crazy we're definitely not
going to give them any f-16s because if
we did that we basically would be in a
hot war with Russia
because you know Russia is going to say
we don't care who's flying them
those are your f-16s we're in a war with
you now
so definitely weren't going to do that
no no f-16s
so today's news is that uh by the
um Biden has approved f-16s
so the ukrainians are now uh Learning to
Fly those f-16s
and
I uh
I started to think that the Democrats
led by Biden are doing the same thing to
Putin that they do the Republicans
which is they're just gaslighting the
out of them
aren't they
the the same technique that they use
domestically which is just you know
propaganda and and gaslighting
and lying and oh we definitely won't do
that before they do it and blaming the
other side of the thing they're doing
it's like every trick they do
domestically against the Republicans
they're doing against Putin
and it's working which of course is why
they do it they're totally gaslighting
Putin and they're doing a good job of it
I don't think they I don't think the
Republicans are good at that
I think the Republicans just say okay is
there a reason for a war
yes no
no no
reason for a war all right how about
let's not have one
is there a reason for a war oh well then
let's just like win the war
but the Republicans are all this Mind
Games it's just like a complete
propaganda mind game
you know the whole thing
so anyway I don't believe anything that
comes out of Ukraine it's all lies damn
lies damn lies anything else happening
on this quiet Saturday they're missing
these stories oh yeah Putin banned Obama
from traveling to Russia why in the
world would Obama travel to Russia
was that a thing
are you telling me that Obama was
planning a was Obama planning a trip to
Russia now
or was that just preemptive
does anybody know he wasn't actually
going to go to Russia right
during the current situation
now it must have been just some generic
thing
he's just calling attention to Obama
yeah and it's probably smart
we provoke this war that's true how many
people think the United States is
primarily responsible for the war in
Ukraine
primarily responsible
I do
to me that seems obvious
you know the public information seems to
support that narrative completely yeah
it looks like we did it and it looks
like we didn't get any gain for it
did we gain anything or is there
anything we could gain
I see no potential for uh winning
do you
I think we I think we screwed the pooch
on this since 2014 and earlier
I think we've just been getting this
wrong the whole way
yeah and earlier I mean we've been doing
nothing but trying to overthrow Putin
and threatening his borders
what the hell is he supposed to do
yeah
I I'd love to know the secret back story
with Putin
I feel as if
there's something that we don't know
about Putin or maybe what we did maybe
it's something we don't know about the
United States but there's something
about the whole
Putin's story that got us to this place
that didn't make sense
and the only the only way to explain it
I can think of is that the you know the
military-industrial complex
is just doing whatever it takes to have
more war
that follow the money is the only thing
that's completely working everything
else looks like it doesn't make sense
but if you follow the money it just
everything
suddenly
is perfectly ordered
you know you can see the whole field
there's there's no questions left
yes he considers Ukraine part of Russia
but but there are genuine
uh genuine reasons why he needs Ukraine
as a buffer
all right
um
what if Russia's most valuable most
valuable threat yeah
they're the most valuable threat that's
an interesting way to put it
uh was Scott Barnes is saying
John are you so somebody who's Scott
Barnes
are you referring to me incorrectly and
also not understanding any of my
positions while criticizing me or is
there a person named Scott Barnes that
you're speaking
were you drinking this morning
all right so something about Robert
Barnes I guess
all right
um
um
some mentalities passed down from the
sources to the sons Maybe
Google is Scott
Google what
that never helps
all right
um
so was that a comment about me did
somebody think I was changing my opinion
I'm just trying to see if somebody was
drunkenly criticizing you or not
yeah how can you drink all day if you
don't start in the morning that's a good
point
all right
yeah I don't think I changed my opinion
so you must been talking about Barnes
I don't know
Barnes is an idiot so I don't talk I
don't talk about him
um
all right here's John
Scott you're taking exactly the position
of the people you criticized for being a
RT Stooges on Russia I'm taking exactly
the position of the no I'm not
no yeah you're hallucinating that
nothing like that's happening
I have no idea what you're talking about
now you're hallucinating
all right that's all for YouTube I will
talk to you
tomorrow in the morning
uh don't drink for breakfast that's my
advice to you your comments will be much
better