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Episodes Episode #2114

Episode 2114 Scott Adams - Trump vs DeSantis Strategy, Tim Scott Joins The Race, Kari Lake Might Win

Episode #2114 May 20, 2023 52:41 26,569 views

Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Tim Scott enters the race - DeSantis strategy not working against Trump - AI risk is overblown - Kari Lake might win - The left targets Musk ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization that's called Coffee with Scott Adams. I'm pretty sure that science has never discovered a more awesome time or situation, and you lucked into it. Wow, I guess your day's starting well, but it could be even better. An

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

d all you need for that is a cup, a mug or a glass, a tankard, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid — no Bud Light — and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

t, let's start out with this. Did you all see the meme which put Joe Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney? Well, you're gonna see it now. An ice cold Michelob Ultra. So good. Happy Friday. All right everyone, so it's Friday night. I'm getting ready to go out. I'm feeling good before I go out. I've got a…

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MainContent General Commentary

the animals have decided to turn on the humans and they're just going to kill us after all. And it turns out that the animals have a navy. It's all orcas. And the orcas are training. I don't know if NATO is training them or what, but somebody's training these orcas to attack naval vessels. Keep an e…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

t experience where you know something bad is going to happen and it's only going to be a quarter of a second but that quarter of a second seems to just stop in time in your memory? So as I'm flying through the air I have to do triage: which part of my body I want to sacrifice? I'm thinking arm, no,…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

s. I'm like no, no, no, no, no. And I came up with one body part that I thought I could get by with and it was this fat part of my back toward the top, you know, just past the shoulder blade where there's like a little bit of muscle here, a little bit of padding. I managed to spin in the air just fa…

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MainContent AI & Technology

n the simulation. One explanation is oh it's just a coincidence. The other explanation is well stories about bike accidents were always out there, you just didn't notice until you were primed for it. Or number three, I caused it to happen. Not only did I cause the accident but I caused the news stor…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

ented. Nobody knows how that could happen because we don't even have a concept of what it would take to make it smart. All we have is this old model which just makes your search engine and your organization of data really, really cool and it can talk to you better. So it's like Siri plus. It's like…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

convince people you are one, right? It's not like it's a government licensed role. So why not have like hundreds of them until they're all useless? You know the problem with the old search engine before AI is that if I Googled anything the problem wasn't that I would get no results. The problem is…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

s, there's a gay advocacy group, they just stripped Anheuser-Busch of their good rating because they didn't like Anheuser-Busch basically caved to the pressure about Dylan Mulvaney. So now you can't make the right happy because they didn't like how that was treated. But now the left is unhappy becau…

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MainContent Luck, Skill & Timing

s in trouble, right? That's so embarrassing. No that doesn't work the other way, does it? It probably does but I just don't know examples. I'm probably being biased about this. Does it work the other way that Republicans try to turn into Democrats when they're running for election? Maybe they do. M…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

l the fun, right? So don't assume that this is a slam dunk. But boy the simulation is just screaming for it, isn't it? The simulation seriously wants this to happen. So we'll see. We'll see. If I were to predict it's going to happen it would be based entirely on the most entertaining outcome, not on…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

It almost feels too obvious, doesn't it? It feels like it's just really obvious. Yeah, maybe I could see Kristi Noem being a choice as well but Tim Scott seems more obvious. All right, do you know the Trigonometry podcast? It's a pretty big deal. It's made a lot of news with some big interviews. Ap…

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MainContent Decision Making

id and you know maybe exaggerate the other direction what the other person did. So they both seem to have a claim that the other one got it wrong. And I try to follow the argument so I'm like okay on this date DeSantis was a little bit pro-lockdown but on this date he was anti-lockdown. But Trump, h…

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NewsReaction Persuasion

quoting Lawrence Jones, did you immediately think of Bud Light or no? Did Bud Light come into your mind or no? Because it did for some of you. Yes, some of you. It's kind of an interesting framing isn't it? Because it says it's as good as a tribute band although tribute band is really visual and you…

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MainContent Media & Fake News

to fight another day because it's at least some free speech or to go hard and say no Turkey you don't get Twitter. There will be no Twitter for Turkey. Sorry you don't get any. Now how do you know what the right decision was? You don't really know the right decision do you? You know what happened bu…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

inciple. And that's it. That's their laundry list. And here's the title of the piece: "What Happened to Elon Musk?" What happened to him? The title is what people are going to say and they're going to say oh how did he turn bad? Well I don't have time to read that article but it looks like somethin…

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QandA General Commentary

Putin and threatening his borders. What the hell is he supposed to do? Yeah I'd love to know the secret back story with Putin. I feel as if there's something that we don't know about Putin or maybe what we did. Maybe it's something we don't know about the United States but there's something about th…

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Closing General Commentary

aking exactly the position of the people you criticized for being RT stooges on Russia. I'm taking exactly the position of the — no I'm not. No yeah you're hallucinating that. Nothing like that's happening. I have no idea what you're talking about. Now you're hallucinating. All right that's all for…

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Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization that's called Coffee with Scott Adams. I'm pretty sure that science has never discovered a more awesome time or situation, and you lucked into it. Wow, I guess your day's starting well, but it could be even better. And all you need for that is a cup, a mug or a glass, a tankard, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid — no Bud Light — and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. If it happens now, don't forget the "ah" at the end. Go "ah."

All right, let's start out with this. Did you all see the meme which put Joe Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney? Well, you're gonna see it now. An ice cold Michelob Ultra. So good. Happy Friday.

All right everyone, so it's Friday night. I'm getting ready to go out. I'm feeling good before I go out. I've got a free game and the only way I pre-game is with an ice cold Michelob Ultra. So there are some things that AI will be good for. So in case you were thinking AI, what good is AI? There you go. That's what it's good for. The 2024 election is going to be so much fun. Oh my God, it's gonna be meme versus meme.

All right, so in other news there's a report that three boats have been sunk in Europe by orcas. Is there a difference between an orca and a whale? Why does the story say orcas? There is a difference, okay? An orca is not a whale. It's a killer whale. Why can't I just call it a whale? Because it's an orca, I guess. Well, all right. So these orcas have sunk three boats, but that's not the amazing part. The amazing part is that they've been spotted teaching other orcas how to do it. That's right. The war is on. Turns out that the animals have decided to turn on the humans and they're just going to kill us after all. And it turns out that the animals have a navy. It's all orcas. And the orcas are training. I don't know if NATO is training them or what, but somebody's training these orcas to attack naval vessels. Keep an eye on that. Keep an eye on that.

Did you see a video not too long ago where Joe Rogan was showing a video of a rat that learned to use tools? It went and got a stick to trip the rat trap so it could get the cheese without getting hurt, because it knew what the rat trap was and it knew that if it used a tool it could spring it. It actually used a tool, a stick. And now we see these whales learning to attack boats. Put it all together, people. Put it all together. It's not just AI that's getting smarter. So the creatures, the creatures are starting to gang up. See, it's sort of a total head fake. We're all looking at the robots and the AI. It's like, oh look over there, it's the robots. We're afraid of the robots and the AI. Meanwhile the orcas and the rats apparently have conspired to take over everything with their tool making and such. All right, we'll keep an eye on that.

Here's a story I told in the man cave last night, but you're gonna have to hear it because it's important. It's about the simulation. Have you ever had this situation where you worried yourself into the exact problem that you were trying to prevent? Does anybody have that? That's like a real thing, right? There's something that's never happened to you before, and then because you're thinking of it you just think yourself into the problem.

Well yesterday I went to take a ride in my e-bike and uncharacteristically I thought to myself, you know what, I'd hate to fall off my e-bike because I'm at that age now where if you get a serious sporting injury, you know, maybe you don't come back. Yeah, it's kind of the end of your sporting life if you have a bad one. And so I thought to myself about falling off my e-bike. And you know it's not like I've never thought of it. It's just I've never dwelled on it before. So the first time I dwell on it, I take my bike out and I'm going on this path that's too small for automobiles and it looks like the path is going to come to an end and I need to turn around. But the path had narrowed to the point where turning around without getting off your bike was going to be kind of a challenge. And there was gravel on each side of the narrow path. And I said to myself, I calculated, all right, to do a very low speed turn, you know, you can't do it if it's too narrow, you'll fall off. And I thought I better get off my bike and just walk it around. And then I thought to myself, no, no, damn it, I'm no bicycle. I'm not afraid of my bike. I'm not going to talk myself into being afraid of a bicycle. Damn it, I'm gonna just make this turn.

So as I was flying through the air on my way to the hard pavement below — because as you see the turn didn't work out — it was one of those situations where I really should have listened to that little voice in my head that said, well that looks really dangerous, you're not going to make it. So as I was departing from the bicycle itself and more airborne than actually bike-borne, time stood still. Have you ever had that experience where you know something bad is going to happen and it's only going to be a quarter of a second but that quarter of a second seems to just stop in time in your memory?

So as I'm flying through the air I have to do triage: which part of my body I want to sacrifice? I'm thinking arm, no, don't want a broken arm. Leg, knee, no, no, bad news. Head, got a helmet but still you don't want to land on your head. Hands, got to protect the hands, right, because I work with my hands. So I'm running through all my body parts. I'm like no, no, no, no, no. And I came up with one body part that I thought I could get by with and it was this fat part of my back toward the top, you know, just past the shoulder blade where there's like a little bit of muscle here, a little bit of padding. I managed to spin in the air just fast enough to tuck and roll, hitting that back part of my back first. And I gotta say it was quite a crash, but I managed to pop up uninjured.

Now that's not even the weird part. Here's the part I didn't tell you last night in the man cave. So have you had this situation where there's something that never happens and then it's everywhere and you don't know, did you cause that or was it always just there or you didn't notice it? So today I'm looking through the news to get my little news stories for the show and there's a story about Simon Cowell, who happens to be just about my age, like pretty close, and how he got seriously injured falling off his e-bike. Now I've only fallen off my e-bike once, just once. And then I turn around and there's like a major story about a guy my age falling off an e-bike. What are the odds of that? Did I make that happen? See, this is why I believe I live in the simulation. One explanation is oh it's just a coincidence. The other explanation is well stories about bike accidents were always out there, you just didn't notice until you were primed for it. Or number three, I caused it to happen. Not only did I cause the accident but I caused the news story about the topic. So that's how I experience life. Like I just caused it. I don't know if it's true but I also don't know anything else is true.

Well enough about me. The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the bar exam for lawyers is going to be made easier so that more black people can become lawyers. So that's actually in the news. That's a real story. Now of course the story doesn't say black people. Yeah, they have to wink at you. Well it's to make it fair for everybody, you know. But you know that they're talking about. So what do you think about that? Well I'll tell you, if I were currently a black lawyer and I had passed the hard bar exam, I would not feel good about being presumably thrown in with the people who did not pass the hard bar exam. I got a feeling that people are going to be like, I don't know, did you pass the real bar exam or the new fake bar exam, the easy one? I'm not sure. So I feel like we are not considering the side effects of some of our decisions.

You know, as I've said before, historically I've always supported efforts to increase inclusion and equity and not equity but equality of opportunity and all that, including even affirmative action historically. But at some point — am I wrong that at some point it gives you more downside than upside? Am I wrong about that? That at some point you could argue whether we're there or not, but at some point you need to stop doing it before you've reached total equality. If you keep pushing it all the way to everybody's equal all the time, there's no way that's good for everybody. It's just going to be such a fight. But you know in the early days when the disparities are gigantic, yeah, maybe you have to do something a little more aggressive. But at the moment I really think we need to rethink this stuff.

All right, I saw another tweet from somebody who's joining my opinion that are worried about AI, at least the current version, and it's not nearly as useful for a lot of things as you think it will be. So here's what AI will be good for: really, really good at complex searches. So it's a better search engine. Really good at summarizing articles, which I would just call a search engine. So I saw somebody say oh it's really good at summarizing the pros and cons of all these articles about some topic, to which I say you mean the search engine? It's just a really good search engine. Oh yeah, I mean it's really, really good but it's also unreliable. So you've got that. But when it works it works pretty awesome.

And then you know it's going to be good for helping people who are already programmers code, and you know lawyers will be able to research case law and stuff like that. So there'll be a number of professions in which if you're already an expert in that profession — a writer, researcher, lawyer, whatever — it's really going to help. But it doesn't look like it's coming anywhere near taking jobs. It looks like it's just going to make people work differently.

And so when I said I'm not worried about AI becoming an existential threat in its current form, the pushback I got was, Scott, oh wow, if I may give you some condescending opinion about this. Whoa wow, boomer, boomer, let me explain to you. No, we're not worried about the current version of AI, boomer. No boomer, we're worried about where it's obviously going. You know, yes maybe version 1.0 is not going to destroy the world but obviously as it gets smarter and smarter the risk increases. And boomer, oh boomer please, please boomer, I just, maybe you shouldn't even talk about things you don't know about please. To which I say your genius idea that a rabbit can evolve into a truck is not persuading me. Oh yeah, bad microchips do evolve into better microchips. That's the thing. Bad smartphones do evolve into better smartphones. Totally. Bad cars evolve into better cars. Yep. But not once in the history of the whole universe has a rabbit turned into a truck. And that's what's happening with AI. Because the large language model is never going to be smart. It's just going to be really good at organizing information. And what it takes for AI to become smart has not been invented. It hasn't been invented. Nobody knows how that could happen because we don't even have a concept of what it would take to make it smart. All we have is this old model which just makes your search engine and your organization of data really, really cool and it can talk to you better. So it's like Siri plus. It's like a better Siri basically.

So I would like to submit that the AI that you're worried about is the one that hasn't been invented and nobody knows how to invent it. Should you be worried about things that haven't been invented and nobody knows even the first part of how to make it? That would be everything. You know, I'm worried about the pen because what if it evolves into a laser that shoots out of every hole? Because you know right now it's innocent. Right now there's not much danger, you know, unless it pokes you. But what if it evolved into a laser shooting pen? That's what the conversation about AI is like. No, it does not evolve into a laser shooting pen. There might be lasers that could evolve but a pen doesn't become a laser. All right, enough of that.

All right, as you know the reason that ESG and DEI and CEI and all those racist things that are being pushed upon organizations, the main reasons that they have to fold to those things is not because they think it's right necessarily — some probably do — but because there are all these ratings agencies that will destroy the reputation of your company if you're not doing all the noble and good things. And I thought to myself, well why are there not alternative ratings agencies? And why are there not ratings agencies to rate the other rating agencies? Because wouldn't you like to know, oh this agency says you know Tesla is not woke enough, but wouldn't you like to know that there's a rating agency that rates all the rating agencies? It says this rating agency is. What's wrong with that? Because my understanding is that it doesn't take much to be a rating agency. You just have to say you are one and then see if you can convince people you are one, right? It's not like it's a government licensed role. So why not have like hundreds of them until they're all useless?

You know the problem with the old search engine before AI is that if I Googled anything the problem wasn't that I would get no results. The problem is I'd get too many and they'd all be all over the place. It'd be like go into the library and look through books. It would just take forever, right? So I feel like one way that this ratings agency thing might go is there might be so many different agencies that they all become useless. If you wanted to know what was the rating, you'd look up the agencies to see what they rated Tesla and one would be an A and one would be like a D plus and then what do you do? What do you do?

So I feel like one direction that all this rating agency stuff could go is more of it until it dies under its own weight. That could be one direction. Because what I don't think is going to happen is you'll just have a few ratings agencies and everybody will just agree that they're the ones. Maybe. But I feel like there's no barrier to entry so there should be lots of them.

Then we see that one of the ratings agencies, there's a gay advocacy group, they just stripped Anheuser-Busch of their good rating because they didn't like Anheuser-Busch basically caved to the pressure about Dylan Mulvaney. So now you can't make the right happy because they didn't like how that was treated. But now the left is unhappy because they changed their minds because of the pressure from the right. Do you think that big companies are learning that social advocacy is a bad idea? How many times does a big company need to just get kneecapped before they say, how about we just stay out of all of this? How about you do you, we'll just make money. We'll just try to be a company for a change. How about that?

So anyway, have you noticed that when Democrats want to get reelected there's something that they often do? Tell me what it is. What do Democrats do? And I'm not talking about hoaxes. When they want to get reelected they act Republican. And here's the thing. It's as if Democrats know that their own policies don't work because when they need to get reelected they just suddenly drift into Republican policies to try to make you not realize that they never were there.

So here's a good example of that. Governor Newsom is trying to change the approval process for getting big projects approved in the state. Now a big project would be you know a big energy project or a big dam. So anything with water or energy, you can't get anything approved in California because there's some process. It's called the California Environmental Quality Act. It's a law that's known as CEQA. So apparently the Democrat governor realizes that — I assume this came from Democrats — the Democrats passed a law that made it impossible to manage the state because you couldn't get anything done because you couldn't get it through this approval organization. So Newsom is going to try to become Donald Trump by reducing red tape so he can get things done. Now how do you justify that? I mean he literally has to become Trump to save the state. Does anybody not notice that? Are we supposed to not notice that he has to adopt a baseline Republican policy to save the state because he knows he's in trouble, right? That's so embarrassing.

No that doesn't work the other way, does it? It probably does but I just don't know examples. I'm probably being biased about this. Does it work the other way that Republicans try to turn into Democrats when they're running for election? Maybe they do. Maybe they do a little bit. Maybe they soften. They probably soften on abortion a little bit in some cases. Yeah, some do. So I guess I'm going to modify my statement and say it works both ways.

All right, well here's a little wild card. Remember the best way to predict the future, as Elon Musk reminded us even yesterday, is that the most entertaining outcome is the most likely as determined by an external observer. And I told you if that rule is true then one thing we should see before 2024 is evidence that the 2020 election was in fact rigged. Now I'm not predicting it based on evidence, right? And I'm not saying it was rigged. I'm not saying it's rigged. And there's no evidence that I'm aware of. But wouldn't it be the most entertaining? What would be more entertaining than that, to find out it actually was rigged? Because it would be the cherry on the cake of all the other rigging and impropriety that we've seen.

Because every time I make this joke people get quiet. Do you know the joke I make about the election? Well we know that the following entities are thoroughly corrupt: the FBI, the CIA, Congress, the FDA, the CDC, all big pharma. We know they're all corrupt. But aren't we lucky that all 50 states' separate voting systems worked perfectly? Everything else in the country was rigged. Everything that could be rigged was rigged. But boy are we lucky that the elections were not. And when I say that, Democrats just run away because it's the one argument that you can't say anything about that. Because the rejoinder is but there's no evidence, to which I say absolutely you're so right about that. There is no evidence. You were right. No argument there. And again, aren't we lucky that everything in the country is corrupted and we found out for sure but that one good on you for calling it right and calling the only thing that's not rigged. It's the only thing.

All right, so that's why the most amusing outcome would be to find out that it was. Now Kerry Lake has apparently argued her case. We don't know what the conclusion is yet. But the question was whether or not they had done real signature verification or fake signature verification. Which one do you think they proved? That real signature verification was done or that fake verification was done? Well it turns out according to Kerry Lake's side that they did. I don't know, tens of thousands, seventy thousand signatures that were verified in two seconds. Two seconds. So one of the things that Kerry Lake proved is that the people doing the signature verification were way faster than you think. It's just sort of common sense. I think seventy thousand, how long would that take human beings to look at each one? And I think to myself about two seconds. That sounds about right. Yeah, about two seconds.

So in order for Kerry Lake to lose — and I don't mean legally but let's say lose logically, you know, lose the logical argument. The legal argument might have some legal loophole that I don't know about. But in terms of making her case that there was in fact not really any signature verification, I feel like she's going to land that because the logs themselves apparently are undisputed and they say they were checked in two seconds. Now obviously there's some pushback to that and I haven't heard it so don't assume just because you've heard one side of it that there's not another side. Because so far every time we've heard there's an election story there is another side and it takes away all the fun, right? So don't assume that this is a slam dunk. But boy the simulation is just screaming for it, isn't it? The simulation seriously wants this to happen. So we'll see. We'll see. If I were to predict it's going to happen it would be based entirely on the most entertaining outcome, not on any evidence. Not on any evidence. Because I don't believe anything on the internet.

All right, here's another simulation alert. As you know Senator Tim Scott has announced he's going to run as a Republican and I'm going to make a prediction based on the same phenomenon that reality will be the most entertaining reality for me. So this will be just personal. I believe that Tim Scott will end up being Trump's VP choice. Here's why. Because it will drive me crazy to hear that the ticket is Trump Scott and I will be plagued forever until the election because people will think it's very funny to point out that Scott is my name as well. And people say well it's about time you were running on the ticket. And then they will laugh and it will be funny. So for that reason alone I'm going to predict that Trump will pick Tim Scott as his running mate because it's just the weirdest. It's the weirdest most simulation-like outcome. It's just the weirdest.

Now on top of that Tim Scott's kind of perfect because you want a vice president who's serious and substantial, doesn't have scandals, you know there's no negatives that are coming with it, but is not as fascinating as the top of the ticket. Perfect. You know, Tim Scott is a solid person who you wouldn't mind having as your president. You know I suppose your mileage might differ if you're a Democrat but you can imagine him being president and you can imagine yourself being comfortable with that. So that's a perfect fit. Not as much wattage as the president. Takes care of some of the biggest weakness that Trump has. What's Trump's biggest weakness? Yeah, racism. So if he runs with a black vice president they'll still call him a racist. They'll call him an Uncle Tom but the attacks won't have the same feeling. It will also set up Tim Scott as an obvious person who runs for president after being a vice president. And if you're black and you just want a black president, which we saw with Obama, you know what do you get, 96% of the black vote or something? There might be some people who say you know what, that's the shortest path to the next black president. So maybe they like that. Maybe so.

I think it would be, to me he seems like the most obvious choice. What do you think of that? You got really quiet when I said that. Is there any negative to that? Tim Scott as vice president for Trump. Is there any negative to that? It almost feels too obvious, doesn't it? It feels like it's just really obvious. Yeah, maybe I could see Kristi Noem being a choice as well but Tim Scott seems more obvious.

All right, do you know the Trigonometry podcast? It's a pretty big deal. It's made a lot of news with some big interviews. Apparently they're British based and their bank just shut them down with no explanation. No explanation. They just decided to unbank them and they just said yeah we, I'm sorry we can't be your bank anymore. It's called Tide Business. I never heard of that bank but do you think that's good for Tide's business? I hope not. Now maybe there's some reason we don't know about but as Eric Weinstein was pointing out we do have a problem with choke points. Banks are a choke point. So the bad people don't have to go after everybody. They just go after your bank and you saw what happened to me with the choke point, right? Just go after the publisher. You could take me out of business with just one choke point. That's what happened. So choke points are a big problem in politics right now if that's what happened. But we'll keep an eye on Trigonometry. Wishing them well.

All right, what do you think of the DeSantis versus Trump strategy of saying that the other one was wrong on the pandemic? Do you think that's going to work? So apparently both Trump and DeSantis are going to exaggerate what they did and you know maybe exaggerate the other direction what the other person did. So they both seem to have a claim that the other one got it wrong. And I try to follow the argument so I'm like okay on this date DeSantis was a little bit pro-lockdown but on this date he was anti-lockdown. But Trump, he was pro-vaccination but then not mandatory but then he wasn't against lockdown. And then what about masks? What do they say about masks, you know? So I think it's too complicated. Now if it's too complicated voters will just retreat to their bias and back their candidate. So I don't think it has much punch. What do you think?

I think that both of them are going to be looking at sub-optimal performances because everybody was sub-optimal in the pandemic. You could argue that DeSantis was one of the better ones but apparently even New York state had a lower death rate. Did you know that? That's Trump's claim. I don't know if it's true. So Trump is claiming that even New York state did better on death rates than Florida did. But Florida made a conscious choice to protect the elderly and let everybody else live their life. So was that a mistake? Was it a mistake to let people live free knowing of course that the death rate would be higher? I wouldn't call it a mistake. I would call it a choice. So I don't know. I think neither of them are going to get traction. I think that we're over the pandemic. We understand that nobody was perfect and they both I thought they both did the best they could under great uncertainty. So you know I told you before at the beginning of the pandemic I told you that I was going to be an easy grader for all the leaders who got it wrong because there'd be a lot of people guessing and they would be getting it wrong. So from the very start I said let's be a little bit generous on this one. On this one people are genuinely guessing so you don't want to throw your good leaders under the bus because they guessed wrong. Now you could argue there are things that were more objectively true when they got it wrong but nobody was going to get everything right. That wasn't a thing. So I tend to not care so much about what they got wrong. You know they were in the ballpark. I think both Trump and DeSantis were in the ballpark of my preference, meaning they were struggling to understand as best they could, make the best decisions they could. They were well-meaning. I don't know. I have nothing to complain about honestly even though it was sub-optimal.

All right, Larry Elder has a book, "As Goes California: My Mission to Rescue the Golden State and Save the Nation," now available. That feels like an important read because I think he's right on this. You know, as goes California because California is sort of the canary in the coal mine for the rest of the country. It's like well we're doing this this year. Just wait two years, you're going to be doing it too, whatever it is.

All right, I saw it's not a, Lawrence Jones referred to DeSantis as Trump light. What do you think of that framing? DeSantis is Trump light. Now this is similar to Bill Maher saying that DeSantis is the tribute band. But here's what I like about calling DeSantis Trump light because it reminds you of Bud Light and Bud Light is now carrying some bad vibes with it. So I'm not sure the first time I said it, when the first time I just said that DeSantis is Trump light quoting Lawrence Jones, did you immediately think of Bud Light or no? Did Bud Light come into your mind or no? Because it did for some of you. Yes, some of you. It's kind of an interesting framing isn't it? Because it says it's as good as a tribute band although tribute band is really visual and you know you can almost hear it and nobody's ever liked the tribute band better so that's good. But people do like light beer better. There are people who genuinely like light beer. So but I do like the fact that it associates it with something that the base is already biased against.

All right, so CNN and maybe some others from the left are going after Musk. So there's a big opinion piece. I'm not even going to tell you who wrote it because the opinion pieces on CNN are just such hack jobs. I mean they're just so unprofessional and poorly written that I'm not even going to tell you who it was because it doesn't matter. But it's sort of trying to put together a laundry list of reasons why you shouldn't trust or like Musk.

All right, so here's our laundry list of reasons. Now remember the laundry list persuasion means that you don't have anything. The reason you put them in a list is that individually none of them would bother you but if you see them in a list like whoa that's a lot of smoke there must be some fire there.

All right, so here's their beginning with their little list propaganda against Musk. That he apparently agreed to Turkey's request to censor a bunch of critics of the government. And I guess the choices were that you know to not have Twitter in Turkey during the election which would have been bad or to do what a dictator wanted him to do and censor on their behalf which is bad. So Musk had two choices. One was to stay in business in Turkey and you know live to fight another day because it's at least some free speech or to go hard and say no Turkey you don't get Twitter. There will be no Twitter for Turkey. Sorry you don't get any. Now how do you know what the right decision was? You don't really know the right decision do you? You know what happened but you don't know if he'd made the other decision a better thing would have happened. It's completely unknowable. So the first complaint they have about Musk is that he tried to weigh the benefit of free speech versus all the other variables and realized that there was a no-win situation. Right, there was no good way. So it was either going to be no Twitter in Turkey which is bad or to agree to censor which is bad. You just had two bad choices. So if you picked one of the two bad choices does that mean he sucks or was it just an impossible situation and he picked one? I don't know. Was it a good choice or a bad choice? I don't know. Does it indicate that Elon Musk loves dictators? No. Does it indicate that you know Twitter is always going to go along with the dictator? No. Because one of the factors is that it was right before the election, right? Because it could have gone a different way had there not been an election that was really critical and on point at that moment. So it's easy to be the critic but if you're going to be the critic you have to say what you would have done that was the right answer. What's the right answer? You're saying he did the wrong thing. Now you tell us what's the right answer. Because it wasn't a right answer. But yet they can throw that on the laundry list and oh yeah well that one doesn't bother me so much. Let's see what else is on the list. Maybe when I see it all I'll really be worried.

All right, next on the list is that Musk said that George Soros hates humanity and that gets very close to the line of anti-Semitic. It wasn't anti-Semitic but it reminded them of things that are. So now you've got two terrible things that Musk did. He had a no-win situation in which he didn't win. That's the first strike against him. He didn't win in a no-win situation with Turkey. And then secondly he made a comment about an individual which reminded other people of anti-Semitism. It wasn't anti-Semitism because it was about one person whose actions seemed to suggest that interpretation according to Musk, not according to me. But all right, so you've got two of the sketchiest things in the world but there's two of them. Now if they could only come up with a third thing then they'd have a proper little list then wouldn't they?

See what else. Oh so then the third thing is that when he reinstated thousands of Twitter accounts they were often racist and anti-Semitic people as researchers have documented. So his problem was that he valued free speech over how offended you would be by it which is how free speech works. And he said explicitly it's only free speech like in a real way if you allow the speech that you don't like. So they managed to say supporting free speech which necessarily supports speech you don't like and then he acted upon it by putting them back on Twitter. So now they've got these three terrible things. He didn't win in a no-win situation in Turkey. He said something about one individual which reminded somebody else of something else that was anti-Semitic. And he reinstated people under the First Amendment principle. And that's it. That's their laundry list.

And here's the title of the piece: "What Happened to Elon Musk?" What happened to him? The title is what people are going to say and they're going to say oh how did he turn bad? Well I don't have time to read that article but it looks like something sketchy with that guy. Oh my God. Now is it obvious to you that they're just trying to take down his power because his power is pretty awesome at the moment? Yeah this is not even close to news. And now I realize it was an opinion piece but even as an opinion piece it doesn't belong in the news entity because it's not news. It's just and it's not really an opinion. This is just a hit job to take somebody's power down. Is that why you need CNN to do hit pieces on people? How useful is that?

Well let's talk about Ukraine. Do you remember when we first started and one of the things that we definitely weren't going to do — oh we're definitely not going to, we might give Ukraine some help. Oh yeah give them some old weapons, maybe some ammunition. We weren't going to use yeah give them some Humvees and you know maybe some helmets and stuff whatever. But we're definitely not going to give them any F-16s. I mean let's not be crazy. We're definitely not going to give them any F-16s because if we did that we basically would be in a hot war with Russia because you know Russia is going to say we don't care who's flying them those are your F-16s. We're in a war with you now. So definitely weren't going to do that. No, no F-16s.

So today's news is that Biden has approved F-16s so the Ukrainians are now learning to fly those F-16s. And I started to think that the Democrats led by Biden are doing the same thing to Putin that they do to Republicans which is they're just gaslighting the out of them aren't they? The same technique that they use domestically which is just you know propaganda and gaslighting and lying and oh we definitely won't do that before they do it and blaming the other side for the thing they're doing. It's like every trick they do domestically against the Republicans they're doing against Putin and it's working. Which of course is why they do it. They're totally gaslighting Putin and they're doing a good job of it. I don't think the Republicans are good at that. I think the Republicans just say okay is there a reason for a war? Yes? No? No reason for a war. All right how about let's not have one. Is there a reason for a war? Oh well then let's just win the war. But the Republicans are all this mind games. It's just like a complete propaganda mind game you know the whole thing.

So anyway I don't believe anything that comes out of Ukraine. It's all lies, damn lies, damn lies.

Anything else happening on this quiet Saturday? They're missing these stories. Oh yeah Putin banned Obama from traveling to Russia. Why in the world would Obama travel to Russia? Was that a thing? Are you telling me that Obama was planning a trip to Russia now or was that just preemptive? Does anybody know? He wasn't actually going to go to Russia right during the current situation. No it must have been just some generic thing. He's just calling attention to Obama. Yeah and it's probably smart. We provoked this war. That's true.

How many people think the United States is primarily responsible for the war in Ukraine? Primarily responsible? I do. To me that seems obvious. You know the public information seems to support that narrative completely. Yeah it looks like we did it and it looks like we didn't get any gain for it. Did we gain anything or is there anything we could gain? I see no potential for winning. Do you? I think we screwed the pooch on this since 2014 and earlier. I think we've just been getting this wrong the whole way. Yeah and earlier I mean we've been doing nothing but trying to overthrow Putin and threatening his borders. What the hell is he supposed to do? Yeah I'd love to know the secret back story with Putin. I feel as if there's something that we don't know about Putin or maybe what we did. Maybe it's something we don't know about the United States but there's something about the whole Putin's story that got us to this place that didn't make sense. And the only way to explain it I can think of is that the military-industrial complex is just doing whatever it takes to have more war. That follow the money is the only thing that's completely working. Everything else looks like it doesn't make sense but if you follow the money it just everything suddenly is perfectly ordered. You know you can see the whole field. There's no questions left. Yes he considers Ukraine part of Russia but there are genuine reasons why he needs Ukraine as a buffer.

All right, what if Russia's most valuable threat? Yeah they're the most valuable threat. That's an interesting way to put it. Scott Barnes is saying John are you so somebody who's Scott Barnes are you referring to me incorrectly and also not understanding any of my positions while criticizing me or is there a person named Scott Barnes that you're speaking to? Were you drinking this morning? All right so something about Robert Barnes I guess. Some mentalities passed down from the sources to the sons. Maybe Google is Scott. Google what? That never helps. All right so was that a comment about me? Did somebody think I was changing my opinion? I'm just trying to see if somebody was drunkenly criticizing me or not. Yeah how can you drink all day if you don't start in the morning? That's a good point. All right yeah I don't think I changed my opinion so you must have been talking about Barnes. I don't know. Barnes is an idiot so I don't talk about him.

All right here's John. Scott you're taking exactly the position of the people you criticized for being RT stooges on Russia. I'm taking exactly the position of the — no I'm not. No yeah you're hallucinating that. Nothing like that's happening. I have no idea what you're talking about. Now you're hallucinating.

All right that's all for YouTube. I will talk to you tomorrow in the morning. Don't drink for breakfast. That's my advice to you. Your comments will be much better.

do good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization that's called coffee with Scott Adams I'm pretty sure that science has never discovered a more awesome time or situation and you lucked into it wow I guess your day's starting well but it could be even better and all you need for that is a cup of mug or a glass a tanker jealous of Stein a canteen Joker flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid no Bud Light and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day the thing makes everything better it's cold the simultaneous sip if it happens now don't forget the ah at the end go ah all right let's start out with did you all see the meme which put Joe Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney well you're gonna see it now an ice cold my wife so good happy Friday all right everyone so it's Friday night I'm getting ready to help I'm feeling kind before I go out I've got a free game and the only way I pre-game is with an ice cold on lights so uh there are some things that AI will be good for so in case you were thinking AI what good is AI there you go that's what it's good for 2024 election is going to be so much fun oh my God it's gonna be meme versus me all right so in other news there's a report of three boats have been sunk in Europe by orcas is there a difference between an orca and a whale why does the story say orcas there is a difference okay an orca is not a whale it's a killer whale why can't I just call it a whale because it's an orca I guess well all right so these orcas have sung three boats but that's not the amazing part the amazing part is that they've been spotted teaching other orcas how to do it that's right the war is on turns out that the animals have decided to turn on the humans and they're just going to kill us after all and it turns out that the animals have a Navy it's all orcas and the orcas are trading um I I don't know if NATO is trading them or what but somebody's trading these orcas to attack Naval vessels keep an eye on that keep an eye on that did you see a video not too long ago where Joe Rogan was showing a video of a uh of a rat that learned to use tools it went and got a stick to click the the rat trap so I could get the cheese without getting hurt because it knew what the rap trap was what the rat trap was and it knew that if he used a tool it could spring it it actually used a tool a stick and now we see these whales learning to attack boats put it all together people put it all together it's not just AI That's getting smarter so they have the creatures the creatures are starting to gang up see it's sort of it's a total headshake we're all looking at the robots and the AI it's like oh look over there it's the robots we're afraid of the robots and the AI meanwhile the orcas and the Rats apparently I've conspired to take over everything with their tool making and such all right we'll keep an eye on that here's a story I told in the man cave last night but you're gonna have to hear it because it's important it's about the simulation have you ever had this situation where you worried yourself into the exact problem that you were trying to prevent does anybody have that that's that's like a real thing right there's something that's never happened to you before and then because you're thinking of it you just think yourself into the problem well yesterday I went to take a ride in my e-bike and uncharacteristically I thought to myself you know what I I'd hate to fall off my e-bike because I'm at that age now where if you get a serious sporting injury you know maybe you don't come back yeah it's kind of the end of your Sporting Life if you have a bad one and so I thought to myself about falling off my e-bike and you know it's not like I've never thought of it it's just I've never dwelled on it before so the first time I dwell on it take my back up and I'm I'm going on this uh path that's too small for automobiles and it looks like the path is going to come to an end and I need to turn around but the path had narrowed to the point where turning around without getting off your bike was going to be kind of a challenge and there was gravel on each side of the Narrow Path and I said to myself I calculated all right to do a very low speed turn you know you you can't do it if it's too narrow you'll fall off and I thought I better get off my bike and just you know walk it around and then I thought to myself no no damn it I'm no bicycle I'm I'm not afraid of my bike I'm not going to talk myself into being afraid of a bicycle damn it I'm gonna just make this turn so as I was flying through the air on my way to the hard pavement below because as you see the turn didn't work out it was one of those situations where I really should have listened to that little voice in my head this at well that looks like really dangerous you're not going to make it so as I was uh departing from the bicycle itself and more Airborne than actually bike born um time Stood Still have you ever had that experience where you know something bad is going to happen and it's only going to be a quarter of a second but that quarter of a second seems to just stop in time in your memory so as I'm flying through the air I have to do triage which part of my body I want to sacrifice I'm thinking arm no don't want a broken arm leg knee no no bad news head got a helmet but still you don't want to land on your head hands got to protect the hands right because I work with my hands so I'm running through all my body parts I'm like no no no no no and I came up with one body part that I thought I could I could get by with and it was this fat part of my back toward the top you know just past the shoulder blade where there's like a little bit of muscle here a little bit of padding I managed to spin in the air just fast enough to tuck and roll hitting that back part of my back first and I gotta say it was it was quite a it was quite a crash but I managed to pop up uninjured now here that's not even the weird part here's the part I didn't tell you last night in the man cave so have you had this situation where there's something that never happens and then it's everywhere and you don't know did you cause that or was it always just there or you didn't notice it so today I I'm looking through the news to get my little news stories for the show and there's a story about Simon Cowell who happens to be just about my age like pretty close and how he got seriously injured falling off his e-bike now I've only fallen off my e-bike once just once and then I turn it and there's like a major story about a guy my age falling off an e-bike what are the odds of that did I make that happen see this is why I believe I live in the simulation one explanation is oh it's just a coincidence the other explanation is well stories about bike accidents we're always out there you just didn't notice until you were primed for it or number three I caused it to happen not only did I cause the accident but I caused the news story about the topic so that's how I experience life like I just caused it I don't know if it's true but I also don't know anything else is true well enough about me uh the Wall Street journals reporting that the bar exam for lawyers is going to be made easier so that more black people can become lawyers so that that's actually in the news that's a real story now of course the story they don't say black people yeah they have to wink at you well it's to make it fair for everybody you know but you know that you know they're talking about so what do you think about that well I'll tell you if I were currently a black lawyer and I had passed the the hard bar exam I would not feel good about being presumably thrown in with the people who did not pass the hard bar exam I got a feeling that people are going to be like I don't know did you pass the real bar exam or the new fake bar exam the easy one I'm not sure so I feel like we are not considering the the side effects of some of our decisions you know as I've said before um historically I've always supported you know efforts to increase inclusion and equity and not Equity but equality of opportunity and all that including even uh um affirmative action historically but at some point am I wrong that at some point it it gives you more uh downside than upside am I wrong about that that at some point you could argue whether we're there or not but at some point you need to stop doing it before you've reached total total equality if you keep pushing it all the way to everybody's equal all the time there's no way that's good for everybody it's just going to be such a such a fight but you know in the early days when when the disparities are gigantic yeah maybe you have to do something a little more aggressive but at the moment I really need to I think we need to rethink this stuff all right I saw another uh tweet from somebody who's joining my opinion that are worried about AI is at least the current version and um it's not nearly as useful for a lot of things as you think it will be so here here's what uh AI will be good for really really good at complex searches so it's a better search engine really good at summarizing articles which I would just call the search engine so I saw somebody say oh it's really good at uh you know summarizing the pros and cons of all these articles about some topic to which I say you mean the search engine it's just a really good search engine oh yeah I mean it's really really good but it's also unreliable so you've got that but when it works it works pretty awesome and then you know it's going to be good for helping people who are already programmers code and you know lawyers will be able to research case law and stuff like that so there'll be a number of professions in which if you're already an expert in that profession your writer researcher lawyer whatever is really going to help but it doesn't look like it's coming anywhere near taking jobs it looks like it's just going to make people work differently and so when I said I'm not worried about AI becoming an existential threat in its current form the pushback I got was Scott oh wow if I may give you some condescending opinion about this whoa wow Boomer Boomer let me explain to you no we're not worried about the current version of AI Boomer no Boomer we're worried about where it's obviously going you know yes maybe version 1.0 is not going to destroy the world but obviously as it gets smarter and smarter the risk increases and Boomer a boomer please please Boomer I just maybe you shouldn't even talk about things you don't know about please to which I say your genius idea that a rabbit can evolve into a truck is not persuading me oh yeah bad microchips do evolve into better microchips that's the thing bad smartphones do evolve into better smartphones totally bad cars evolve into better cars yep but not once in the history of the whole universe as a rabbit turned into a truck and that's what's happening with AI because the large language model is never going to be smart it's just going to be really good at organizing information and and what it takes for AI to become smart has not been invented right it hasn't been invented nobody knows how that could happen because we don't even have a like a concept of what it would take to make it smart all we have is this old model which just makes your search engine and your organization of data are really really cool and it can talk to you better so it's like Siri plus it's like you know a better Siri basically so I would like to submit that the AI that you're worried about is the one that hasn't been invented and nobody knows how to invent it should you be worried about things that haven't been invented and nobody knows even the first part of how to make it that would be everything you know I I'm worried about the pen because what if it evolves into a laser that shoots out of every hole because you know right now right now it's it's innocent right now there's not much danger you know unless it pokes you but what if what if it evolved into a laser shooting pen that's what the conversation about AI is like no it does not evolve into a laser shooting pen there might be lasers that could evolve but a pen doesn't become a laser all right enough of that all right um as you know the reason that ESG and Dei and CEI and all those racist things that are being pushed upon organizations the main reasons that they have to fold to those things is not because they think it's right necessarily some probably do but because there are all these ratings agencies that will destroy the reputation of your company if you're not doing all the noble and good things and I thought to myself well why are there not alternative ratings agencies and why are why are there not ratings agencies to rate the other rating agencies because wouldn't you like to know oh this agency says you know Tesla is not woke enough but wouldn't you like to know that there's a rating agency their rates all the rating agencies it says this rating agency is what's wrong with that because my understanding is that it doesn't take much to be a rating the agency you just have to say you are one and then see if you could convince people you are one right it's not like it's a government you know licensed role so why not have like hundreds of them until they're all useless you know the problem with the old search engine before AI is that if I Googled anything the problem wasn't that I would get no results the problem is I'd get too many and they'd all be all over the place it'd be like go into the library and look it through books it would just take forever right so I feel like one way that this ratings agency thing might go is there might be so many different agencies that they all become useless if you wanted to know what was the rating you'd look up the agencies to see what they rated Tesla and one would be an a and one would be like a d Plus and then what do you do what do you do so I feel like One Direction that all this rating agency stuff could go is more of it until it dies under its own weight that could be One Direction because what I don't think is going to happen is you'll just have a few ratings agencies and everybody will just agree that they're the ones maybe but I feel like there's no barrier to entries so there should be lots of them um then we see that one of the ratings agencies there's a a gay advocacy advocacy group they just stripped Anheuser-Busch of their good rating because they didn't like Anheuser-Busch basically came to the pressure about Dylan Mulvaney so now you can't make the right happy because they didn't like you know how that was treated but now the left is unhappy because they change their minds because the pressure from the right do you think that big companies are learning that social advocacy is a bad idea how many times does a big company need to just get kneecapped before they say how about we just stay out of all of this how about how about you do you we'll just make money well we'll just try to be a company for a change how about that so anyway um have you noticed that when Democrats want to get reelected there's something that they often do tell me what it is what do Democrats do and I'm not talking about hoaxes when they want to get reelected lie more well okay it wasn't act Republican they act Republican and here's the thing it's as if it's as if Republican or it's as if Democrats know that their own policies don't work because when they need to get reelected they just suddenly drift into Republican policies to try to make you not realize that they never were there so here's a good example of that um Governor Newsom is trying to change the the approval process for getting big projects approved in the state now a big project would be you know a big energy project or a big Dam so anything with water or energy you can't get anything approved in California because there's some process we'll see the process is what's it called uh there's a name for it the California environmental equality act it's a lot of law is known as sequa so apparently the Democrat Governor realizes that I assume this came from Democrats the Democrats passed a law that made it impossible to manage the state because you couldn't get anything done because you couldn't get it through this approval organization so Newsome is going to try to become Donald Trump by getting by reducing red tape so he can get things done now how do you justify that I mean he literally has to become Trump to save the state does anybody not notice that are we supposed to not notice that he has to adopt a baseline Republican policy to save the state because he knows he knows he's in trouble right that's so embarrassing no that doesn't work the other way does it it probably does but I just don't know examples I'm probably being biased about this does it work the other way that Republicans try to turn into Democrats when they're running for election maybe they do maybe they do a little bit maybe they soften they probably soften on abortion a little bit in some cases yeah some do so I guess I guess I'm going to modify my statement and say it works both ways all right well here's a little wild card remember the best way to predict the future as Elon Musk reminded us even yesterday is at the most entertaining outcome is the most likely as as determined by a you know external Observer and I told you if that rule is true then one thing we should see before 2024 is evidence that the 2020 election was in fact rigged now I'm not predicting it based on evidence right and I'm not saying it was rigged I'm not saying it's rigged uh not and there's no evidence that I'm aware of but wouldn't it be the most entertaining what would be more entertaining than that to find out it actually was rigged because it would be the the cherry on the cake of all the other rigging and impropriety that we've seen because every time I make this joke people get quiet do you know the joke I make about the election well we know that the following entities are thoroughly corrupt uh the FBI the CIA Congress ego then list the FDA the CDC all big Pharma we know they're all corrupt but aren't we lucky that all 50 states was separate voting systems worked perfectly everything else in the country was rigged everything everything that could be rigged was rigged but boy are we lucky that the elections were not and when I say that Democrats just run away because it's the one argument that you can't you just can't say anything about that because because the rejoinder is but there's no evidence to which I say absolutely you're so right about that there is no evidence you were right no argument there and again aren't we lucky that everything in the country is corrupted and we found out for sure but that so good on you for calling it right and calling the only thing that's not rigged it's the only thing all right so that's why the most amusing uh out club would be to find out that it was now Kerry lake has apparently arrested her a case we don't know what the conclusion is yet but the question was whether or not they had done real signature verification or fake signature verification which one do you think they proved that real signature verification was done or that fake verification was done well it turns out according to Kerry Lakeside that that they did I know tens of thousands seventy thousand signatures that were verified in two seconds two seconds so one of the things that Kerry Lake proved is that the people doing the signature verification were way faster than you think it's just sort of commonsensically I think seventy thousand how long would that take human beings to look at each one and and I think to myself about two seconds that sounds about right yeah about two seconds so so in order for Kerry Lake to lose and I don't mean legally but let's say lose logically you know lose the logical argument the legal argument might have some you know legal legal uh loophole that I don't know about but in terms of making her case that there was in fact not really any signature verification I feel like she's going to land that because the logs themselves apparently are Undisputed and they say they were checked in two seconds now obviously there's some pushback to that and I haven't heard it so don't assume just because you've heard of one side of it that there's not another side because so far every time we've heard there's an election story there is another side and it takes away all the fun right so don't assume that this is a you know a slam dunk but boy the simulation is just screaming for it isn't it the simulation seriously wants this to happen so we'll see we'll see if I were to predict it's going to happen it would be based entirely on the most entertaining outcome not on any evidence not in any evidence because I don't believe anything on the internet all right here's another simulation alert as you know Senator Tim Scott has announced he's going to run as a Republican and I'm going to make a prediction based on the same the same phenomenon that reality will be the most entertaining reality for me so this will be just personal I believe that Tim Scott will end up being Trump's VP choice here's why because it will drive me crazy to hear that the ticket is Trump Scott and I will be plagued Forever Until the election because people will think it's very funny to point out that Scott is my name as well and people say well it's about time you were running on the ticket and then they will laugh and it will be funny so for that reason alone I'm going to predict that Trump will pick Tim scottish's running mate because it's just the weirdest it's the weirdest most simulation-like outcome it's just the weirdest now on top of that Tim Scott's Kind of Perfect because you want a vice president who's serious and substantial doesn't have scandals you know there's no negatives that are coming with it uh but is not as is not as fascinating as the top of the ticket perfect you know I Tim Scott is a solid person who you wouldn't mind having as your president you know I suppose you're you're mile mileage might differ if you're a Democrat but you can imagine him being president and you can imagine yourself being comfortable with that so that's a perfect bet fit not as much wattage as the president takes care of some of the the biggest weakness that Trump has what's Trump's biggest weakness go what's his biggest weakness yeah racism so if he runs with a black vice president they'll still call him a racist they'll call him and Uncle Tom but the but the the attacks won't have the same feeling it will also set up Tim Scott as an obvious person who runs for president after being a vice president and if you're black and you just want a black president which we saw with Obama you know what do you get 96 of black Vote or something um there might be some people who say you know what that's that's the shortest path to the next black president so maybe they like that Maybe so I think it would be a he to me he seems like the most obvious choice what do you think of that you got really quiet when I said that is there any negative to that Tim Scott is vice president for Trump is there any negative to that it almost feels too obvious doesn't it it feels like it's just really obvious yeah maybe I could see Christy gnome being a choice as well but Tim scottsy was more obvious all right uh do you know the trigonometry podcast it's a pretty big deal it's made a lot of news with some big interviews apparently they're uh so they're British based and their Bank just shut them down with no explanation no explanation they just decided to unbank them and they just said yeah we I'm sorry we can't be your bank anymore it's called The Tide business is the name of the bank a tide bank or something tied Business Bank I never heard of that bank but do you think that's good for Tide's business I hope not now maybe there's some reason we don't know about but as uh Eric Weinstein was pointing out um we do have a re we have a problem with choke points banks are a choke point so the the bad people don't have to go after everybody they just go after your bank and you saw what happened to me with the choke point right just go after the publisher you could take me out of business with just one choke point that's what happened so joke points are a big problem in politics right now if that's what happened but we'll keep an eye on trigonometry wishing him well all right what do you think of the De.

Santis versus Trump strategy of saying that the other one was wrong on the pandemic do you think that's going to work so apparently both Trump and De.

Santis are going to exaggerate what they did and you know maybe exaggerate the other direction what the other person did so they both seem to have a claim that the other one got it wrong and and I try to follow the argument so I'm like okay on this date De.

Santis was a little bit Pro lockdown but on this date he was anti-lockdown but Trump he was pro-vaccination but then not mandatory but then he wasn't against lockdown and then what about Mass what they say about Mass you know so I think it's too complicated now if it's too complicated voters will just Retreat to their bias and back their candidate so I don't think I don't think it has much punch what do you think I think that both of them are going to be looking at uh sub-optimal performances because everybody was sub-optimal in the pandemic You could argue that De.

Santis was one of the better ones but apparently even New York state had a lower death rate did you know that that's that's Trump's claim I don't know if it's true so Trump is claiming that even New York state did better on death rates than Florida did but Florida made a conscious choice to protect the elderly and let everybody else live their life so was that a mistake was it a mistake to let people live free knowing of course that the death rate would be higher I wouldn't call it a mistake I would call it a choice so I don't know I I think neither of them are going to get traction I think that we're over the pandemic we understand that nobody was perfect and they both I thought they both did the best they could under great uncertainty so you know I told you before the at the beginning of the pandemic I told you that I was going to be an easy grader for all the leaders who got it wrong because there'd be a lot of people guessing and they would be getting it wrong so from the very start I said let's be a little bit generous on this one on this one people are genuinely guessing so you don't want to throw your good leaders under the bus because they guessed wrong right now you you could argue there are things that were more objectively true when they got wrong but nobody was going to get everything right that wasn't a thing so I tend to not care so much about what they got wrong you know they were in the ballpark I think both Trump and De.

Santis were in the ballpark of my preference meaning they were struggling to understand as best they could make the best decisions they could they were well-meaning I don't know I have nothing to complain about honestly uh even though it was sub-optable all right uh Larry Elder has a book as goes California my mission to rescue the Golden State and save the nation now available um that feels like an important read because I think he's right on this you know as goes California because California does it is sort of the canary in the coal mine for the rest of the country it's like well we're doing this this year just wait two years you're going to be doing it too whatever it is all right I saw it's not a Lawrence Jones referred to De.

Santis As Trump light what do you think of that framing De.

Santis is Trump light now this similar to Bill Maher saying that De.

Santis is the tribute band but here's what I like about calling uh De.

Santis but uh Trump light because it reminds you of Bud Light and and Bud Light is now carrying uh you know some bad vibes with it so I'm not sure the first time I said it when the first time I just said that De.

Santis is Trump light quoting Lawrence Jones um did you immediately think of Bud Light or no did Bud Light come into your mind or no because it took it did some of you yes some of you know it's kind of an interesting framing isn't it because the it says it's as good as tribute band although trivia band is really Visual and you know you can almost hear it and nobody's ever liked the tribute band better so that's good but people do like light beer better there are people who genuinely like light beer so um but I do like the fact that it Associates it with something that the base is already biased against all right so CNN and maybe some some others from the left are going after musk so there's a big opinion piece I'm not even going to tell you who wrote it because the opinion piece is on CNN are just such hack jobs I mean they're just so unprofessional and poorly written that I'm not even going to tell you who it was because it doesn't matter but um is sort of trying to put together a laundry list of reasons why you shouldn't trust or like Musk all right so here's our laundry list of reasons now remember the laundry list persuasion means that you don't have anything the reason you put them in a list is that individually none of them would bother you but if you see them in a list like whoa that's a lot of smoke there must be some fire there all right so here's their beginning with their little list propaganda against Musk uh that he um apparently agreed to turkey's request to censor a bunch of critics of the government and I guess the choices were that you know to to not have Twitter in Turkey during the election which would have been bad or to do what a dictator wanted him to do and censor on their behalf which is bad so musk had two choices one was to stay in business in Turkey and you know live to fight another day because it's at least at least that's some free speech or to to go hard and say no turkey you don't get Twitter there will be no Twitter for turkey sorry you don't get any now how do you know what the right decision was you don't really know the right decision do you you know what happened but you don't know if he'd made the other decision a better thing would have happened it's completely unknowable so the first complaint they have about mosque is that he tried to weigh you know the benefit of free speech versus all the other variables and realized that there was a no-win situation right there was no good way so it was either going to be no Twitter in Turkey which is bad or to agree to censor which is bad you just had two bad choices so if you picked one of the two bad choices does that means he sucks or was it just an impossible situation and he picked one I don't know was it a good choice or a bad choice I don't know does it indicate that Elon Musk loves dictators no does it indicate that you know Twitter is always going to go along with the dictator no because one of the factors is that it was right before the election right because it could have gone a different way had there not been an election that was really critical and and on point at that moment so to be it's easy to be the critic but if you're going to be the critic you have to say what you would have done that was the right answer what's the right answer you're saying he did the wrong thing now you tell us what's the right answer because it wasn't a right answer but yet they can throw that on the laundry list and oh yeah well that one doesn't bother me so much let's see what else is on the list maybe when I see it all I'll really be worried all right next person in the list is that uh the most said that George Soros hates Humanity and uh that gets very close to the line of anti-Semitic it wasn't anti-Semitic but it reminded them of things that are right so now you've got two terrible things that must did he added no win situation in which he didn't win that's the first strike against him he didn't win in a no-win situation with turkey and then secondly he made a comment about an individual which reminded other people of anti-semitism it wasn't anti-Semitism because it was about one person whose actions seemed to you know suggest that interpretation according to musk not according to me but all right so you got two of the sketchiest things in the world but there's two of them now if they could only come up with a third thing then they'd have a proper little list then wouldn't they um see what else oh so then the third thing is that when he reinstated thousands of Twitter accounts they were often racist and anti-semitic people as researchers have documented so his problem was that he valued free speech over how offended you would be by it which is how Free Speech works and he said explicitly it's only free speech like in a real way if you allow the speech that you don't like so they managed to say the supporting Free Speech which necessarily supports speech you don't like and then he acted upon it by putting him back on on Twitter so now they've got these three terrible things he didn't win in a new in a no win situation in Turkey he said something about one individual which reminded somebody else of something else that was anti-Semitic and he reinstated people under the First Amendment principle and that's it that's their laundry list and here's the uh the title of the piece what happened to Elon Musk what happened to him the title is what people are going to say and they're going to say oh how did he turn bad well I don't have time to read that article but it looks like something something sketches with that guy oh my God now is it obvious to you that they're just trying to take down his power because his power is pretty awesome at the moment yeah this is not even close to news and now and I realized it was an opinion piece but even as an opinion piece it doesn't belong in the news entity because it's not news it's just and it's not really an opinion this is just a head job to take somebody's power down is that why you need CNN to do hip pieces on people how useful is that well let's talk about Ukraine um do you remember when we first started and one of the things that we definitely weren't going to do oh we're definitely not going to we might give Ukraine some help oh yeah give them some old weapons maybe some ammunition we weren't going to use yeah give them give us some memories and you know maybe some helmets and stuff whatever but uh we're definitely not going to give them any f-16s I mean let's not be crazy we're definitely not going to give them any f-16s because if we did that we basically would be in a hot war with Russia because you know Russia is going to say we don't care who's flying them those are your f-16s we're in a war with you now so definitely weren't going to do that no no f-16s so today's news is that uh by the um Biden has approved f-16s so the ukrainians are now uh Learning to Fly those f-16s and I uh I started to think that the Democrats led by Biden are doing the same thing to Putin that they do the Republicans which is they're just gaslighting the out of them aren't they the the same technique that they use domestically which is just you know propaganda and and gaslighting and lying and oh we definitely won't do that before they do it and blaming the other side of the thing they're doing it's like every trick they do domestically against the Republicans they're doing against Putin and it's working which of course is why they do it they're totally gaslighting Putin and they're doing a good job of it I don't think they I don't think the Republicans are good at that I think the Republicans just say okay is there a reason for a war yes no no no reason for a war all right how about let's not have one is there a reason for a war oh well then let's just like win the war but the Republicans are all this Mind Games it's just like a complete propaganda mind game you know the whole thing so anyway I don't believe anything that comes out of Ukraine it's all lies damn lies damn lies anything else happening on this quiet Saturday they're missing these stories oh yeah Putin banned Obama from traveling to Russia why in the world would Obama travel to Russia was that a thing are you telling me that Obama was planning a was Obama planning a trip to Russia now or was that just preemptive does anybody know he wasn't actually going to go to Russia right during the current situation now it must have been just some generic thing he's just calling attention to Obama yeah and it's probably smart we provoke this war that's true how many people think the United States is primarily responsible for the war in Ukraine primarily responsible I do to me that seems obvious you know the public information seems to support that narrative completely yeah it looks like we did it and it looks like we didn't get any gain for it did we gain anything or is there anything we could gain I see no potential for uh winning do you I think we I think we screwed the pooch on this since 2014 and earlier I think we've just been getting this wrong the whole way yeah and earlier I mean we've been doing nothing but trying to overthrow Putin and threatening his borders what the hell is he supposed to do yeah I I'd love to know the secret back story with Putin I feel as if there's something that we don't know about Putin or maybe what we did maybe it's something we don't know about the United States but there's something about the whole Putin's story that got us to this place that didn't make sense and the only the only way to explain it I can think of is that the you know the military-industrial complex is just doing whatever it takes to have more war that follow the money is the only thing that's completely working everything else looks like it doesn't make sense but if you follow the money it just everything suddenly is perfectly ordered you know you can see the whole field there's there's no questions left yes he considers Ukraine part of Russia but but there are genuine uh genuine reasons why he needs Ukraine as a buffer all right um what if Russia's most valuable most valuable threat yeah they're the most valuable threat that's an interesting way to put it uh was Scott Barnes is saying John are you so somebody who's Scott Barnes are you referring to me incorrectly and also not understanding any of my positions while criticizing me or is there a person named Scott Barnes that you're speaking were you drinking this morning all right so something about Robert Barnes I guess all right um um some mentalities passed down from the sources to the sons Maybe Google is Scott Google what that never helps all right um so was that a comment about me did somebody think I was changing my opinion I'm just trying to see if somebody was drunkenly criticizing you or not yeah how can you drink all day if you don't start in the morning that's a good point all right yeah I don't think I changed my opinion so you must been talking about Barnes I don't know Barnes is an idiot so I don't talk I don't talk about him um all right here's John Scott you're taking exactly the position of the people you criticized for being a RT Stooges on Russia I'm taking exactly the position of the no I'm not no yeah you're hallucinating that nothing like that's happening I have no idea what you're talking about now you're hallucinating all right that's all for You.

Tube I will talk to you tomorrow in the morning uh don't drink for breakfast that's my advice to you your comments will be much better

do

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization

that's called coffee with Scott Adams

I'm pretty sure that science has never

discovered a more awesome time or

situation and you lucked into it wow

I guess your day's starting well but it

could be even better and all you need

for that is a cup of mug or a glass a

tanker jealous of Stein a canteen Joker

flask a vessel of any kind fill it with

your favorite liquid

no Bud Light

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure of the dopamine of the day the

thing makes everything better it's cold

the simultaneous sip if it happens now

don't forget the ah at the end go

ah

all right let's start out with

did you all see the meme which put Joe

Biden's face on Dylan Mulvaney

well you're gonna see it now

an ice cold my wife so good

happy Friday all right everyone so it's

Friday night I'm getting ready to help

I'm feeling kind before I go out I've

got a free game and the only way I

pre-game is with

an ice cold on lights

[Music]

so uh there are some things that AI will

be good for

so in case you were thinking AI what

good is AI

there you go

that's what it's good for

2024 election is going to be so much fun

oh my God it's gonna be meme versus me

all right so in other news there's a

report of three boats have been sunk in

Europe by orcas

is there a difference between an orca

and a whale

why does the story say orcas there is a

difference

okay

an orca is not a whale

it's a killer whale why can't I just

call it a whale

because it's an orca I guess

well all right so these orcas have sung

three boats but that's not the amazing

part the amazing part

is that they've been spotted teaching

other orcas how to do it

that's right the war is on

turns out that the animals have decided

to turn on the humans and they're just

going to kill us after all and it turns

out that the animals have a Navy

it's all orcas and the orcas are trading

um

I I don't know if NATO is trading them

or what but somebody's trading these

orcas to attack Naval vessels keep an

eye on that keep an eye on that

did you see a video not too long ago

where Joe Rogan was showing a video of a

uh of a rat that learned to use tools

it went and got a stick to click the the

rat trap so I could get the cheese

without getting hurt because it knew

what the rap trap was what the rat trap

was and it knew that if he used a tool

it could spring it it actually used a

tool a stick

and now we see these whales learning to

attack boats

put it all together people

put it all together

it's not just AI That's getting smarter

so they have the creatures the creatures

are starting to gang up

see it's sort of it's a total headshake

we're all looking at the robots and the

AI it's like oh look over there it's the

robots we're afraid of the robots and

the AI meanwhile

the orcas and the Rats

apparently I've conspired to take over

everything with their tool making and

such all right we'll keep an eye on that

here's a story I told in the man cave

last night but you're gonna have to hear

it

because it's important it's about the

simulation have you ever had this

situation where

you worried yourself into the exact

problem that you were trying to prevent

does anybody have that

that's that's like a real thing right

there's something that's never happened

to you before

and then because you're thinking of it

you just think yourself into the problem

well yesterday I went to take a ride in

my e-bike

and

uncharacteristically I thought to myself

you know what

I I'd hate to fall off my e-bike

because I'm at that age now where if you

get a serious sporting injury you know

maybe you don't come back

yeah it's kind of the end of your

Sporting Life if you have a bad one and

so I thought to myself about falling off

my e-bike and you know it's not like

I've never thought of it it's just I've

never dwelled on it before

so the first time I dwell on it

take my back up and I'm I'm going on

this uh path that's too small for

automobiles

and it looks like the path is going to

come to an end and I need to turn around

but the path had narrowed

to the point where turning around

without getting off your bike was going

to be kind of a challenge and there was

gravel on each side of the Narrow Path

and I said to myself I calculated all

right to do a very low speed turn

you know you you can't do it if it's too

narrow you'll fall off

and I thought I better get off my bike

and just you know walk it around and

then I thought to myself no no damn it

I'm no bicycle I'm I'm not afraid

of my bike I'm not going to talk myself

into being afraid of a bicycle damn it

I'm gonna just make this turn

so as I was flying through the air

on my way to the hard pavement below

because as you see the turn didn't work

out

it was one of those situations where I

really should have listened to that

little voice in my head this at well

that looks like really dangerous

you're not going to make it

so as I was uh departing from the

bicycle itself and more Airborne than

actually bike born

um time Stood Still

have you ever had that experience where

you know something bad is going to

happen and it's only going to be a

quarter of a second

but that quarter of a second seems to

just stop in time in your memory

so as I'm flying through the air

I have to do triage which part of my

body I want to sacrifice

I'm thinking arm no don't want a broken

arm

leg knee no no bad news head got a

helmet but still you don't want to land

on your head hands got to protect the

hands right because I work with my hands

so I'm running through all my body parts

I'm like no no no no no and I came up

with one body part that I thought I

could

I could get by with and it was this fat

part of my back

toward the top you know just past the

shoulder blade where there's like a

little bit of muscle here a little bit

of padding I managed to spin in the air

just fast enough to tuck and roll

hitting that back part of my back first

and I gotta say it was

it was quite a it was quite a crash

but I managed to pop up uninjured now

here that's not even the weird part

here's the part I didn't tell you last

night in the man cave

so have you had this situation where

there's something that never happens and

then it's everywhere

and you don't know did you cause that or

was it always just there or you didn't

notice it

so today I I'm looking through the news

to get my little news stories for the

show

and there's a story about Simon Cowell

who happens to be just about my age like

pretty close and how he got seriously

injured falling off his e-bike

now

I've only fallen off my e-bike once

just once

and then I turn it and there's like a

major story about a guy my age falling

off an e-bike

what are the odds of that

did I make that happen

see this is why I believe I live in the

simulation one explanation is oh it's

just a coincidence

the other explanation is well stories

about bike accidents we're always out

there you just didn't notice until you

were primed for it

or number three I caused it to happen

not only did I cause the accident

but I caused the news story about the

topic

so that's how I experience life like I

just caused it I don't know if it's true

but I also don't know anything else is

true well enough about me

uh the Wall Street journals reporting

that the bar exam for lawyers is going

to be made easier so that more black

people can become lawyers

so

that that's actually in the news

that's a real story

now of course the story they don't say

black people

yeah they have to wink at you well it's

to make it fair for everybody

you know but you know that you know

they're talking about

so

what do you think about that well I'll

tell you if I were currently a black

lawyer and I had passed the the hard bar

exam I would not feel good about being

presumably thrown in with the people who

did not pass the hard bar exam I got a

feeling that people are going to be like

I don't know

did you pass the real bar exam or the

new fake bar exam the easy one I'm not

sure so I feel like

we are not considering the

the side effects of some of our

decisions

you know as I've said before

um historically I've always supported

you know efforts to

increase inclusion and equity and not

Equity but equality of opportunity and

all that

including even uh

um affirmative action

historically but at some point am I

wrong that at some point it it gives you

more uh downside than upside

am I wrong about that that at some point

you could argue whether we're there or

not but at some point you need to stop

doing it before you've reached total

total equality

if you keep pushing it all the way to

everybody's equal all the time

there's no way that's good for everybody

it's just going to be such a such a

fight

but you know in the early days when when

the disparities are gigantic yeah maybe

you have to do something a little more

aggressive

but at the moment I really need to I

think we need to rethink this stuff

all right I saw another uh tweet from

somebody who's joining my opinion that

are worried about AI is at

least the current version and

um it's not nearly as useful for a lot

of things as you think it will be

so here here's what uh AI will be good

for really really good at complex

searches so it's a better search engine

really good at summarizing articles

which I would just call the search

engine

so I saw somebody say oh it's really

good at uh you know summarizing the pros

and cons of all these articles about

some topic to which I say you mean the

search engine

it's just a really good search engine oh

yeah

I mean it's really really good

but it's also unreliable so you've got

that but when it works it works pretty

awesome and then you know it's going to

be good for helping people who are

already programmers code

and you know lawyers will be able to

research case law and stuff like that so

there'll be a number of professions

in which if you're already an expert in

that profession your writer researcher

lawyer whatever is really going to help

but it doesn't look like it's coming

anywhere near taking jobs

it looks like it's just going to make

people work differently

and

so when I said I'm not worried about AI

becoming an existential threat in its

current form

the pushback I got was Scott

oh wow if I may give you some

condescending opinion about this whoa

wow Boomer Boomer let me explain to you

no we're not worried about the current

version of AI Boomer no Boomer we're

worried about where it's obviously going

you know yes maybe version 1.0 is not

going to destroy the world but obviously

as it gets smarter and smarter the risk

increases and Boomer a boomer please

please Boomer I just maybe you shouldn't

even talk about things you don't know

about please

to which I say

your genius idea that a rabbit can

evolve into a truck

is not persuading me

oh yeah

bad microchips do evolve into better

microchips that's the thing bad

smartphones do evolve into better

smartphones

totally bad cars evolve into better cars

yep but not once in the history of the

whole universe as a rabbit

turned into a truck

and that's what's happening with AI

because the large language model

is never going to be smart

it's just going to be really good at

organizing information

and and what it takes for AI to become

smart has not been invented

right

it hasn't been invented nobody knows how

that could happen because we don't even

have a like a concept of what it would

take to make it smart

all we have is this old model which just

makes your search engine and your

organization of data are really really

cool and it can talk to you better so

it's like Siri plus it's like you know a

better Siri basically

so

I would like to submit

that the AI that you're worried about

is the one that hasn't been invented and

nobody knows how to invent it

should you be worried about things that

haven't been invented and nobody knows

even the first part of how to make it

that would be everything

you know I I'm worried about

the pen

because what if it evolves into a laser

that shoots out of every hole

because you know right now right now

it's it's innocent right now there's not

much danger you know unless it pokes you

but what if what if it evolved into a

laser shooting pen

that's what the conversation about AI is

like no it does not evolve into a laser

shooting pen

there might be lasers that could evolve

but a pen doesn't become a laser

all right enough of that

all right um

as you know the reason that ESG and Dei

and CEI and all those racist things that

are being pushed upon organizations the

main reasons that they have to fold to

those things is not because they think

it's right necessarily some probably do

but because there are all these ratings

agencies

that will destroy the reputation of your

company if you're not doing all the

noble and good things

and

I thought to myself well

why are there not

alternative ratings agencies

and why are why are there not ratings

agencies

to rate the other rating agencies

because wouldn't you like to know oh

this agency says you know Tesla is not

woke enough

but wouldn't you like to know that

there's a rating agency

their rates all the rating agencies it

says this rating agency is

what's wrong with that because my

understanding is that it doesn't take

much to be a rating the agency you just

have to say you are one and then see if

you could convince people you are one

right it's not like it's a government

you know licensed role so why not have

like hundreds of them

until they're all useless

you know the problem with the old search

engine before AI

is that if I Googled anything the

problem wasn't that I would get no

results the problem is I'd get too many

and they'd all be all over the place

it'd be like go into the library and

look it through books it would just take

forever

right so

I feel like one way that this ratings

agency thing might go is there might be

so many different agencies

that they all become useless

if you wanted to know what was the

rating you'd look up the agencies to see

what they rated Tesla and one would be

an a

and one would be like a d Plus

and then what do you do

what do you do

so I feel like One Direction that all

this rating agency stuff could go is

more of it until it dies under its own

weight

that could be One Direction because what

I don't think is going to happen is

you'll just have a few ratings agencies

and everybody will just agree that

they're the ones

maybe but I feel like there's no barrier

to entries so there should be lots of

them

um

then we see that one of the ratings

agencies there's a a gay advocacy

advocacy group they just stripped

Anheuser-Busch

of their good rating because they didn't

like Anheuser-Busch

basically came to the pressure about

Dylan Mulvaney

so now you can't make the right happy

because they didn't like you know how

that was treated but now the left is

unhappy because they change their minds

because the pressure from the right do

you think that big companies are

learning that social advocacy is a bad

idea

how many times does a big company need

to just get kneecapped before they say

how about we just stay out of all of

this how about how about you do you

we'll just make money

well we'll just try to be a company for

a change how about that

so

anyway

um

have you noticed that when Democrats

want to get reelected there's something

that they often do

tell me what it is what do Democrats do

and I'm not talking about hoaxes when

they want to get reelected lie more well

okay it wasn't act Republican

they act Republican

and here's the thing it's as if it's as

if Republican or it's as if Democrats

know

that their own policies don't work

because when they need to get reelected

they just suddenly drift into Republican

policies to try to make you not realize

that they never were there so here's a

good example of that

um

Governor Newsom

is

trying to change the the approval

process for getting big projects

approved in the state now a big project

would be you know a big energy project

or a big Dam so anything with water or

energy you can't get anything approved

in California because there's some

process

we'll see the process is what's it

called uh

there's a name for it the California

environmental equality act it's a lot of

law is known as sequa so apparently the

Democrat Governor realizes that I assume

this came from Democrats the Democrats

passed a law that made it impossible to

manage the state because you couldn't

get anything done because you couldn't

get it through this approval

organization so

Newsome is going to try to become Donald

Trump by getting by reducing red tape so

he can get things done

now

how do you justify that I mean he

literally has to become Trump

to save the state

does anybody not notice that

are we supposed to not notice that he

has to adopt a baseline Republican

policy

to save the state because he knows he

knows he's in trouble

right

that's so embarrassing

no that doesn't work the other way does

it

it probably does but I just don't know

examples I'm probably being biased about

this does it work the other way that

Republicans try to turn into Democrats

when they're running for election

maybe they do maybe they do a little bit

maybe they soften they probably soften

on abortion a little bit in some cases

yeah some do

so I guess I guess I'm going to modify

my statement and say it works both ways

all right well here's a little wild card

remember

the best way to predict the future as

Elon Musk reminded us even yesterday

is at the most entertaining outcome is

the most likely

as as determined by a you know external

Observer and I told you if that rule is

true then one thing we should see before

2024

is evidence that the 2020 election was

in fact rigged

now I'm not predicting it based on

evidence

right and I'm not saying it was rigged

I'm not saying it's rigged uh not and

there's no evidence that I'm aware of

but wouldn't it be the most entertaining

what would be more entertaining than

that to find out it actually was rigged

because it would be the the cherry on

the cake of all the other rigging and

impropriety that we've seen

because every time I make this joke

people get quiet do you know the joke I

make about the election

well we know that the following entities

are thoroughly corrupt uh the FBI the

CIA

Congress ego then list the FDA the CDC

all big Pharma we know they're all

corrupt

but aren't we lucky

that all 50 states was separate voting

systems worked perfectly

everything else in the country was

rigged everything

everything that could be rigged was

rigged but boy are we lucky that the

elections were not

and when I say that Democrats just

run away

because it's the one argument that you

can't you just can't say anything about

that

because because the rejoinder is but

there's no evidence to which I say

absolutely

you're so right about that there is no

evidence

you were right

no argument there

and again aren't we lucky

that everything in the country is

corrupted and we found out for sure

but that

so good on you for calling it right and

calling the only thing that's not rigged

it's the only thing

all right so that's why the most amusing

uh out club would be to find out that it

was

now Kerry lake has apparently arrested

her a case we don't know what the

conclusion is yet

but the question was whether or not they

had done real signature verification or

fake signature verification which one do

you think they proved that real

signature verification was done or that

fake

verification was done

well it turns out

according to Kerry Lakeside

that that they did I know tens of

thousands seventy thousand signatures

that were verified in two seconds

two seconds

so one of the things that Kerry Lake

proved is that the people doing the

signature verification were way faster

than you think

it's just sort of commonsensically I

think seventy thousand how long would

that take human beings to look at each

one and

and I think to myself about two seconds

that sounds about right yeah about two

seconds

so so in order for Kerry Lake to lose

and I don't mean legally but let's say

lose logically you know lose the logical

argument the legal argument might have

some you know legal legal uh loophole

that I don't know about but in terms of

making her case that there was in fact

not really any signature verification

I feel like she's going to land that

because the logs themselves

apparently are Undisputed and they say

they were checked in two seconds

now obviously there's some pushback to

that and I haven't heard it so don't

assume just because you've heard of one

side of it

that there's not another side

because so far every time we've heard

there's an election story there is

another side and it takes away all the

fun

right so don't assume that this is a you

know a slam dunk

but boy the simulation is just screaming

for it isn't it

the simulation seriously wants this to

happen

so we'll see

we'll see

if I were to predict it's going to

happen it would be based entirely on the

most entertaining outcome not on any

evidence not in any evidence

because I don't believe anything on the

internet

all right here's another simulation

alert

as you know Senator Tim Scott has

announced he's going to run as a

Republican

and

I'm going to make a prediction based on

the same

the same phenomenon that reality will be

the most entertaining reality for me

so this will be just personal

I believe that Tim Scott will end up

being Trump's VP choice

here's why

because it will drive me crazy to hear

that the ticket is Trump Scott

and I will be plagued Forever Until the

election because people will think it's

very funny to point out that Scott is my

name as well

and people say well it's about time you

were running on the ticket

and then they will laugh and it will be

funny

so for that reason alone

I'm going to predict that Trump will

pick Tim scottish's running mate

because it's just the weirdest it's the

weirdest most simulation-like outcome

it's just the weirdest

now on top of that

Tim Scott's Kind of Perfect

because you want a vice president who's

serious and substantial

doesn't have scandals you know there's

no negatives that are coming with it uh

but is not as is not as fascinating as

the top of the ticket

perfect

you know I

Tim Scott

is a solid person who you wouldn't mind

having as your president

you know I suppose you're you're mile

mileage might differ if you're a

Democrat but you can imagine him being

president and you can imagine yourself

being comfortable with that so that's a

perfect bet fit not as much wattage as

the president takes care of some of the

the biggest weakness that Trump has

what's Trump's biggest weakness

go what's his biggest weakness yeah

racism so if he runs with a black vice

president they'll still call him a

racist they'll call him and Uncle Tom

but the but the

the attacks won't have the same feeling

it will also set up Tim Scott as an

obvious

person who runs for president after

being a vice president

and if you're black and you just want a

black president which we saw with Obama

you know what do you get 96 of black

Vote or something

um there might be some people who say

you know what that's that's the shortest

path to the next black president

so maybe they like that

Maybe

so I think it would be a

he to me he seems like the most obvious

choice

what do you think of that you got really

quiet when I said that is there any

negative to that

Tim Scott is vice president for Trump is

there any negative to that

it almost feels too obvious doesn't it

it feels like it's just really obvious

yeah

maybe I could see Christy gnome being a

choice as well but Tim scottsy was more

obvious

all right uh do you know the

trigonometry

podcast it's a pretty big deal

it's made a lot of news with some big

interviews apparently they're uh so

they're British based and their Bank

just shut them down

with no explanation

no explanation they just decided to

unbank them

and they just said yeah we I'm sorry we

can't be your bank anymore

it's called The Tide business is the

name of the bank a tide bank or

something tied Business Bank I never

heard of that bank

but

do you think that's good for Tide's

business

I hope not now maybe there's some reason

we don't know about

but as uh Eric Weinstein was pointing

out

um

we do have a re we have a problem with

choke points

banks are a choke point

so the the bad people don't have to go

after everybody they just go after your

bank

and you saw what happened to me with the

choke point right just go after the

publisher

you could take me out of business with

just one choke point that's what

happened

so joke points are a big problem in

politics right now if that's what

happened but we'll keep an eye on

trigonometry wishing him well

all right what do you think of the

DeSantis versus Trump

strategy of saying that the other one

was wrong on the pandemic

do you think that's going to work

so apparently both Trump and DeSantis

are going to exaggerate what they did

and you know maybe exaggerate the other

direction what the other person did so

they both seem to have a claim

that the other one got it wrong

and and I try to follow the argument so

I'm like okay on this date

DeSantis was a little bit

Pro lockdown but on this date he was

anti-lockdown but Trump

he was pro-vaccination but then

not mandatory but then he wasn't against

lockdown and then what about Mass what

they say about Mass you know so I think

it's too complicated

now if it's too complicated

voters will just Retreat to their bias

and back their candidate so I don't

think I don't think it has much punch

what do you think

I think that both of them are going to

be looking at uh sub-optimal

performances

because everybody was sub-optimal in the

pandemic

You could argue that DeSantis was one of

the better ones

but apparently even New York state had a

lower death rate did you know that

that's that's Trump's claim I don't know

if it's true so Trump is claiming that

even New York state did better on death

rates than Florida did but

Florida made a conscious choice to

protect the elderly and let everybody

else live their life

so was that a mistake

was it a mistake to let people live free

knowing of course that the death rate

would be higher

I wouldn't call it a mistake I would

call it a choice

so I don't know I I think neither of

them are going to get traction

I think that we're over the pandemic

we understand that nobody was perfect

and they both I thought they both did

the best they could

under great uncertainty

so you know I told you before the at the

beginning of the pandemic I told you

that I was going to be an easy grader

for all the leaders who got it wrong

because there'd be a lot of people

guessing and they would be getting it

wrong so from the very start I said

let's be a little bit generous on this

one

on this one people are genuinely

guessing

so you don't want to throw your good

leaders under the bus because they

guessed wrong

right now you you could argue there are

things that were more objectively true

when they got wrong but nobody was going

to get everything right that wasn't a

thing

so I tend to not care so much about what

they got wrong

you know they were in the ballpark I

think both Trump and DeSantis were in

the ballpark of my preference

meaning they were struggling to

understand as best they could make the

best decisions they could

they were well-meaning

I don't know I have nothing to complain

about honestly

uh even though it was sub-optable

all right uh Larry Elder has a book

as goes California my mission to rescue

the Golden State and save the nation now

available

um

that feels like an important read

because I think he's right on this you

know as goes California because

California does it is sort of the canary

in the coal mine for the rest of the

country it's like well we're doing this

this year

just wait two years you're going to be

doing it too whatever it is

all right

I saw

it's not a Lawrence Jones referred to

DeSantis As Trump light

what do you think of that framing

DeSantis is Trump light

now this similar to Bill Maher saying

that DeSantis is the tribute band

but here's what I like about calling uh

DeSantis but uh Trump light because it

reminds you of Bud Light

and and Bud Light

is now carrying uh you know some bad

vibes with it

so I'm not sure the first time I said it

when the first time I just said that

DeSantis is Trump light quoting Lawrence

Jones

um did you immediately think of Bud

Light or no

did Bud Light come into your mind or no

because it took it did some of you yes

some of you know

it's kind of an interesting framing

isn't it

because the it says it's as good as

tribute band

although trivia band is really Visual

and you know you can almost hear it

and nobody's ever liked the tribute band

better so that's good but people do like

light beer better

there are people who genuinely like

light beer so

um but I do like the fact that it

Associates it with something that the

base is already biased against

all right so CNN and maybe some some

others from the left are going after

musk so there's a big opinion piece I'm

not even going to tell you who wrote it

because the opinion piece is on CNN are

just such hack jobs

I mean they're just so unprofessional

and poorly written that I'm not even

going to tell you who it was because it

doesn't matter

but

um

is sort of trying to put together a

laundry list of reasons why you

shouldn't trust or like Musk

all right so here's our laundry list

of reasons now remember the laundry list

persuasion

means that you don't have anything

the reason you put them in a list is

that individually none of them would

bother you but if you see them in a list

like whoa that's a lot of smoke there

must be some fire there

all right so here's their beginning with

their little list propaganda

against Musk

uh that he

um apparently agreed to turkey's request

to censor a bunch of critics of the

government

and I guess the choices were that you

know to to not have Twitter in Turkey

during the election

which would have been bad or to do what

a dictator wanted him to do and censor

on their behalf

which is bad

so musk had two choices

one was to stay in business in Turkey

and you know live to fight another day

because it's at least at least that's

some free speech or

to

to go hard and say no turkey you don't

get Twitter there will be no Twitter for

turkey sorry

you don't get any

now how do you know what the right

decision was

you don't really know the right decision

do you you know what happened but you

don't know if he'd made the other

decision

a better thing would have happened it's

completely unknowable

so the first complaint they have about

mosque is that he tried to weigh you

know the benefit of free speech

versus all the other variables and

realized that there was a no-win

situation right there was no good way so

it was either going to be no Twitter in

Turkey which is bad

or to agree to censor which is bad you

just had two bad choices

so if you picked one of the two bad

choices does that means he sucks

or was it just an impossible situation

and he picked one I don't know was it a

good choice or a bad choice I don't know

does it indicate that Elon Musk loves

dictators

no

does it indicate that you know Twitter

is always going to go along with the

dictator no because one of the factors

is that it was right before the election

right because it could have gone a

different way had there not been an

election that was really critical and

and on point at that moment

so

to be it's easy to be the critic but if

you're going to be the critic you have

to say what you would have done

that was the right answer what's the

right answer

you're saying he did the wrong thing now

you tell us what's the right answer

because it wasn't a right answer

but yet they can throw that on the

laundry list and oh yeah well that one

doesn't bother me so much

let's see what else is on the list maybe

when I see it all I'll really be worried

all right next person in the list

is that uh

the most said that George Soros hates

Humanity

and uh that gets very close to the line

of anti-Semitic

it wasn't anti-Semitic

but it reminded them of things that are

right so now you've got two terrible

things that must did he added no win

situation in which he didn't win

that's the first strike against him he

didn't win in a no-win situation with

turkey

and then secondly he made a comment

about an individual which reminded other

people of anti-semitism

it wasn't anti-Semitism because it was

about one person whose actions

seemed to you know suggest that

interpretation according to musk not

according to me

but

all right so you got two of the

sketchiest things in the world but

there's two of them now

if they could only come up with a third

thing

then they'd have a proper little list

then wouldn't they

um

see what else oh so then the third thing

is that when he reinstated thousands of

Twitter accounts they were often racist

and anti-semitic people

as researchers have documented

so

his problem was that he valued free

speech

over how offended you would be by it

which is how Free Speech works

and he said explicitly it's only free

speech like in a real way if you allow

the speech that you don't like

so they managed to say the supporting

Free Speech which necessarily supports

speech you don't like and then he acted

upon it by putting him back on on

Twitter

so now they've got these three terrible

things

he didn't win in a new in a no win

situation in Turkey

he said something about one individual

which reminded somebody else of

something else that was anti-Semitic

and he reinstated people under the First

Amendment principle

and that's it

that's their laundry list and here's the

uh the title of the piece what happened

to Elon Musk

what happened to him

the title is what people are going to

say and they're going to say oh how did

he turn bad well I don't have time to

read that article but it looks like

something something sketches with that

guy

oh my God now is it obvious to you

that they're just trying to take down

his power

because his power is pretty awesome at

the moment yeah

this is not even close to news and now

and I realized it was an opinion piece

but even as an opinion piece it doesn't

belong in the news entity because it's

not news it's just and it's not really

an opinion

this is just a head job to take

somebody's power down is that why you

need CNN to do hip pieces on people how

useful is that

well let's talk about

Ukraine

um

do you remember when we first started

and one of the things that we definitely

weren't going to do

oh we're definitely not going to we

might give Ukraine some help

oh yeah give them some old weapons maybe

some ammunition we weren't going to use

yeah give them give us some memories and

you know maybe some helmets and stuff

whatever

but uh we're definitely not going to

give them any f-16s

I mean

let's not be crazy we're definitely not

going to give them any f-16s because if

we did that we basically would be in a

hot war with Russia

because you know Russia is going to say

we don't care who's flying them

those are your f-16s we're in a war with

you now

so definitely weren't going to do that

no no f-16s

so today's news is that uh by the

um Biden has approved f-16s

so the ukrainians are now uh Learning to

Fly those f-16s

and

I uh

I started to think that the Democrats

led by Biden are doing the same thing to

Putin that they do the Republicans

which is they're just gaslighting the

out of them

aren't they

the the same technique that they use

domestically which is just you know

propaganda and and gaslighting

and lying and oh we definitely won't do

that before they do it and blaming the

other side of the thing they're doing

it's like every trick they do

domestically against the Republicans

they're doing against Putin

and it's working which of course is why

they do it they're totally gaslighting

Putin and they're doing a good job of it

I don't think they I don't think the

Republicans are good at that

I think the Republicans just say okay is

there a reason for a war

yes no

no no

reason for a war all right how about

let's not have one

is there a reason for a war oh well then

let's just like win the war

but the Republicans are all this Mind

Games it's just like a complete

propaganda mind game

you know the whole thing

so anyway I don't believe anything that

comes out of Ukraine it's all lies damn

lies damn lies anything else happening

on this quiet Saturday they're missing

these stories oh yeah Putin banned Obama

from traveling to Russia why in the

world would Obama travel to Russia

was that a thing

are you telling me that Obama was

planning a was Obama planning a trip to

Russia now

or was that just preemptive

does anybody know he wasn't actually

going to go to Russia right

during the current situation

now it must have been just some generic

thing

he's just calling attention to Obama

yeah and it's probably smart

we provoke this war that's true how many

people think the United States is

primarily responsible for the war in

Ukraine

primarily responsible

I do

to me that seems obvious

you know the public information seems to

support that narrative completely yeah

it looks like we did it and it looks

like we didn't get any gain for it

did we gain anything or is there

anything we could gain

I see no potential for uh winning

do you

I think we I think we screwed the pooch

on this since 2014 and earlier

I think we've just been getting this

wrong the whole way

yeah and earlier I mean we've been doing

nothing but trying to overthrow Putin

and threatening his borders

what the hell is he supposed to do

yeah

I I'd love to know the secret back story

with Putin

I feel as if

there's something that we don't know

about Putin or maybe what we did maybe

it's something we don't know about the

United States but there's something

about the whole

Putin's story that got us to this place

that didn't make sense

and the only the only way to explain it

I can think of is that the you know the

military-industrial complex

is just doing whatever it takes to have

more war

that follow the money is the only thing

that's completely working everything

else looks like it doesn't make sense

but if you follow the money it just

everything

suddenly

is perfectly ordered

you know you can see the whole field

there's there's no questions left

yes he considers Ukraine part of Russia

but but there are genuine

uh genuine reasons why he needs Ukraine

as a buffer

all right

um

what if Russia's most valuable most

valuable threat yeah

they're the most valuable threat that's

an interesting way to put it

uh was Scott Barnes is saying

John are you so somebody who's Scott

Barnes

are you referring to me incorrectly and

also not understanding any of my

positions while criticizing me or is

there a person named Scott Barnes that

you're speaking

were you drinking this morning

all right so something about Robert

Barnes I guess

all right

um

um

some mentalities passed down from the

sources to the sons Maybe

Google is Scott

Google what

that never helps

all right

um

so was that a comment about me did

somebody think I was changing my opinion

I'm just trying to see if somebody was

drunkenly criticizing you or not

yeah how can you drink all day if you

don't start in the morning that's a good

point

all right

yeah I don't think I changed my opinion

so you must been talking about Barnes

I don't know

Barnes is an idiot so I don't talk I

don't talk about him

um

all right here's John

Scott you're taking exactly the position

of the people you criticized for being a

RT Stooges on Russia I'm taking exactly

the position of the no I'm not

no yeah you're hallucinating that

nothing like that's happening

I have no idea what you're talking about

now you're hallucinating

all right that's all for YouTube I will

talk to you

tomorrow in the morning

uh don't drink for breakfast that's my

advice to you your comments will be much

better