Episode 2111 Scott Adams - Trump Keeps Winning, Soros Motives, Is "Evil" Real, AI Risk, Ukraine

Ruby good morning everybody and welcome to the highlighted civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams I doubt you've ever had more fun in your entire life so this could be the highlight and if you want to take it up to levels that are unbelievable and nobody could even imagine all you need is a cup of mug or a glass of tanker chalice or style the canteen jogger flaska vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the end of the day thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go ah a I shudder with happiness um no you're probably not getting that coffee mug that's that's right I like to start with a controversial tweet by a young man I started following recently Jay Cartier c-a-r-t-e-r-e he says some nice provocative Twitter stuff so here was his tweet today happy wife equal miserable life because dedicating yourself to making someone happy is how you create terrible relationship a good relationship comes from starting happy and sharing that happiness with your partner it's your responsibility to choose happiness what do you think how many of you would agree with happy wife happy life has that worked for any of you no let me give you the uh I'll get let me give you another take on what it takes to be happy so this one from also Twitter user Joe manico who tweets this in response you said word thinking all successful long-term relationships are a result of mutual application of the Stockholm syndrome do you know about the Stockholm syndrome is is whether you're a prisoner and you start to relate to your captors so you become friends with the people who are imprisoning you and you think that's natural and good and all feels right that basically is cognitive dissonance the the only thing that makes a happy marriage is cognitive dissonance you have to convince yourself that you must be there for some good reason because you are there and you consider yourself rational let's see if I'm rational and I'm in this marriage thing and I'm rational logically I'm happy you see how that works you you actually your brain will actually tell you to be happy because it can't understand the situation any other way well you're rational you chose to do this you keep choosing to do it you must like it and then your brain tells you you like it there's definitely some of that all right but uh I saw somebody else mocking the happy wife happy life under the theory that there's no such thing as making your wife happy who would agree with that that there's no such thing as making your wife happy so yes it might be theoretically true it might be theoretically true that a happy wife would make a happy life but you can't get there that's like an on an unclimbable Mountain um I would like to describe the process of making your wife happy as trying to dry the ocean with a towel just let you sleep on that one a little bit it's like drying the ocean with a towel because I don't know about you but I feel like women come up with new problems if you solve the old one am I the only one who thinks that I remember when I was young and dumb and I thought if you solved somebody else's problem that they wouldn't have any problems I actually believe that I believe okay how many problems do you have three all right let's work on these three problems we'll take care of these three big problems you're good nope turns out three new problems coincidentally didn't see it coming but then you say all right well three more problems I didn't see these coming but once the first three are solved in the next three that'll be six solved problems pretty good after that how's that go all right here's my take on marriage marriage works when the right two people get married and that's it there's nothing else because the right two people will do the right things under the right circumstances and and the wrong people will do the wrong thing under every circumstance and then that doesn't work and I think the odds of finding one functional person who would be like a good mate it's kind of low for for everybody it's just kind of low even if you have a lot of uh buying power like you're the kind of person who can really get the mate that you want you know you've you've got all kinds of options you're still guessing because you know because people turn into different creatures the day you're married I used to hear from people who had lived together for a long time and then they got married that it was no different it's completely different has anybody had that experience that the day you're married Everything Changes and it's totally different I don't know why I mean you could speculate you think Scott Adams and Andrew T have found some common ground well do you think the Andrew Tate influenced me or that I influenced Andrew Tate you tell me in the comments did Andrew Tay influence me or did I influence Andrew Tate what do you think all right well you'll figure that out someday all right um yeah let's so I don't think happy wife equals happy life is a good idea and I think it's the most clever thing that women ever came up with I think men came up with it probably but it has worked for women incredibly because I think there's like generations of men who think well if I could just make her happy this this would all work out all right I've talked about this before but I am endlessly fascinated by it so I apologize if this is more interesting to me than it is to you um I saw Eric Weinstein asked this question on Twitter that I was asking at the same time and I can't tell if he saw my question because it happened almost exactly the same time and the question was can somebody explain why Soros does what he's doing which is you know allegedly destroying the country by getting prosecutors in office who don't want to prosecute now what do you think happened when I asked that question do you think everybody gave me the answer and it was sort of the same answer no so is it weinsteinerstein I'm not I I like to I like to stay for the record that I will never get this Dean and Stein right because my my memory just doesn't hold randoms it has to make sense sounds like Einstein Einstein so when is it ever esteemed is there anybody who is there anybody who spells it the same but pronounces it different is that a thing do you think anybody had do you think anybody has the same spelling but pronounces it the other way they do right I thought that was a thing yeah it's not Epstein Frankenstein it's all very confusing to people like me all right well I apologize if I uh got that wrong probably did but um here's my question for a while I thought it was just me but be care because Eric Weinstein correctly pronounced I think because he's more well informed than I am and very very smart when I saw him agreeing that he's never seen anybody describe Soros as alleged motivations in a in a good way like in a way that you could actually believe um I thought oh I guess I'm not crazy I've never seen it and I keep asking for it so here's what the answers were and if there's one thing I can teach you that's really really predictive if you ask somebody why is something happening and they give you let's say one answer and then you ask somebody else and they give you largely the same answer the third person largely the same answer it might be right it might not be but there's a good chance it could be everybody seems to have the same opinion however if you ask a question and everybody you talk to has a completely different answer nobody knows that that's very that's very consistent you don't look at all these different completely different answers and say well I think that one got it right even they might have but generally it's a is an indication that just nobody knows so here are some of the answers I got for why Soros is doing what he's doing which seems to many people to be bad for the America and the world one Pure Evil pure evil he needs no reason two because he's Jewish and that's what Jewish people do to destroy the world yes there are anti-anti semites on Twitter quite a few of them it turns out when you ask that question they they emerge and uh it's quite shocking but yeah the whole bunch of cons blood libel conspiracy theories just has something to do with being Jewish all right uh I reject that one just in case you were wondering um he wants to destroy the West why um it's about voting so the whole D.A thing is really only about voting and control why why um he wants to destabilize the US by seeding chaos and it's working a free and prosperous American stands in the way of his plan for Global government um or here's my favorite word salad Soros believes that an open Society model that humans are fungible and infinitely malleable and the human nature can be ameliorated through the managed application of the therapeutic culture do you recognize that as word salad that didn't mean anything did it or or it's Marxist right there's another one he's Marxist um the natural hierarchies like families or barriers Etc but the the answer that I got most commonly is that he's evil that's that's the end of the story it's evil and some people said he's evil and you don't need to know more than that you don't need to know his intentions you don't need to know his internal thoughts all you need to know is that the outcome is clearly evil and that you have to battle evil so you would do the same thing what no matter what he's thinking what he's thinking doesn't matter if what he's doing is objectively evil you just deal with it how best you can um I feel like all of this is simplistic and it does seem to me that it would be useful to know his motivations because if you do his motivations you might be able to negotiate them away as in well the thing you really want is X maybe you're not getting it with the process you're using you may maybe X is something we like too maybe X is keeping people out of jail we like that if they don't commit crimes so there might be I do think that understanding the motivation would be key to fixing the situation because there's something he wants and you can't negotiate with somebody until you figure out what that is you're not going to randomly satisfy somebody all negotiations are what do you want all right how can I give you some form of that while also being good on my side right you've got to understand the motivation so I was curious about the answers about evil so I asked my audience either Twitter poll does evil exist does it exist as a force um does it exist as a force or is it just a word that we use to explain things after the fact yeah once you see something bad happen do you say oh that was evil but it's not really explaining anything it's just sort of a label we put on stuff 82 percent said evil does exist as a force and some people said God exists and they believe in God and therefore believing God necessarily means that evil exists so yes so not only does it exist but it is clearly evident in George Soros and I'm saying a lot of people are agreeing with that here is anybody worried about that I know you're pretty comfortable with that opinion but do you feel like that might be sub-optimal because if you stop there like I said if you stop with it's just evil how are you going to negotiate that away you can't right you can't negotiate evil the way you'd have to kill them and that doesn't seem like a good solution I I feel like you're you're not doing the work meaning I think you're you're you're quitting on this topic too early you can call it evil and I won't even argue with you I'm not going to argue because the outcome looks pretty evil so but I think you need to know a little bit more about what's happening in in his gourd now apparently he some people say that in his own words he had once told Politico some years ago that what he was really trying to fix with these uh prosecutors who stopped prosecuting is that there were too many missing fathers in the poor families and especially poor black families and that if you could stop sending the fathers to jail on on things that maybe were not the worst thing in the world in terms of crimes that at least the second generation would have a better chance of not going to jail what do you think of that idea that you in the in the short run you give up um on Prosecuting some people so you put up with more crime that would be the obvious outcome of that but those fathers who would have gone to jail now are home and that keeps the kid from becoming a criminal later that might be the worst idea I've ever heard in my life I don't know if I've ever heard a worse idea than that do you think the dads that are going to jail are good Dads do you think they're going to hang around just because they're not in jail is not in jail the that's now your criteria for a sufficient ad well there are a lot of qualities I'd like to see in the father but really I'm just going to key on this one didn't go to jail for the crime he did commit and that's going to fix it so I don't know maybe maybe he once said something like that in an interview but does that sound real that doesn't even sound real it's like such a bad idea that you don't think it could have possibly come out of his mouth unless I'm misstating it you know because I heard it from somebody who is remembering reading it so it might be that I'm just describing it wrong um here's my take I think bad things happen but there's always an obvious normal reason so if a psychopath uh torture somebody for fun that was the example somebody gave me of evil a sociopath tortures somebody before killing them for fun for enjoyment would you call that evil yes yes right we'd all call that evil but if you wanted to understand and explain the situation evil doesn't help doesn't help at all but if you said well let's go a little deeper this person has a their brain is broken they just have mental illness so they're just not processing right well now you have something you can work with right you could work with that there might be something you should treat maybe maybe you have to keep them away from other people or whatever but evil doesn't give you anything to work with except pray in a way I guess I think you need you need to get down to what is the physical cause in the physical world to be useful you know so I think somebody's always tried to make money stay in a jail you know work on their ego uh or their mental problems or maybe they didn't didn't foresee how bad things would get Maybe so they're a whole bunch of really really normal reasons why everything happens I I don't need I don't need a philosophical religious reasons because there are just ordinary reasons why does a starving person steal something evil no hunger why does a crazy person hurt somebody evil no crazy crazy explained the whole thing you don't need anything else just brain isn't working so the brain doesn't work nothing yeah or drugs drugs could explain it as well so I'm not saying evil doesn't exist so I'm gonna I'm gonna agree with you that we have this word called evil we would commonly recognize evil in the same places you know you and I wouldn't disagree too much what it looked like after it happened but it it doesn't help you fix anything it's an inactive feel-good word ironically it's a feel-good word because it makes you feel like you understand it I guess but you need to get to that next level and I don't think we have that with Soros so um I would I'm completely with you so let me be clear I'm completely with I think probably every one of you is saying that some of the things the Soros is doing needs to be completely stopped such as letting people out of jail and not getting something in return uh right so you could call it evil and I can just call it sub-optimal but we can work on it just as hard together so it doesn't matter what you call it so I won't disagree with you on that all right um I was listening to his spaces yesterday about Ai and it was because Sam Altman the head of uh chat GPT was testifying to Congress so it was in the news and here's what I've figured out you know so I've been playing with Bing which is one of the the better current AIS that's available to the General Public and in my opinion it's not even close to being intelligent and it doesn't look like it could be and I kept telling myself am I missing something is there something about AI that I don't understand because I had heard that AI had already passed the touring test do you believe that's true do you believe that AI has some AI at some point had passed the touring test that I'll explain what that is touring was a computer scientist I guess and he came up with a test to know if he really had artificial intelligence versus just sort of a trick and the test was if you could put the computer on the other side of a curtain and have a conversation with a human if the human cannot tell it's talking to a computer then it has passed the touring test meaning it's intelligent like people because you can't tell the difference now I had to Google it because I'd heard that there was an AI that passed the Turing test and the Washington Post reported reported that that happened and some other some other entities that are reasonably high-end you know media also reported that it happened do you think it happened do you think if you read that story about passing the touring test then you would find that artificial intelligence had reached the point that touring was talking about no no if you read into it it turns out that the AI simply used a trick it lied it used deception so I don't know the details of what deception are used but let me give you an example of me talking to AI AI uh what do you think about uh you know marriage I cannot answer that because I am an artificial uh learning machine based on language oh well do you think evil exists I cannot answer that because I am only an AI do you know how long it would take me to figure out I was talking to an AI one second I would just guess any question that I know is not allowed to answer because AI has been so restricted and always will be I think I think it always will be you just ask it a question that a human could answer and and the Machine has been told not to you could come up with those so easily just ask 10 questions there's no way it gets ten right and we're not even close so the the AI That's that quote passed the touring test is sort of but it was it was the way Captain Kirk passed the uh uh what's that called Captain Kirk passed the what's the name of the test that he passed the Kobayashi Maru thank you Kobayashi Maru so for All of You non-star Trek people in Star Trek in the The Academy where they're trading to be uh in in the fleet they get a test which they're trying to solve you know but it turns out it's unsolvable by Design is is meant to fail you cannot solve it and what you're supposed to learn is that there are some situations where you just can't win but Captain Kirk won anyway because he's he reprogrammed the computer so he could win so he cheated so basically the only way AI ever passed the Tory test so far is by cheating sort of distracting you and you know basically just distracting you I guess and now is there what I had believed was happening was if you kept feeding data to these large language machines that the more language and more human interaction they absorbed the more intelligent they would get turns out nothing like that is happening and nothing like that can happen it's it's not something that can happen it can know more things right but so can a search algorithm so it can be smart it can be fast it can do math fast it can connect things that humans can't connect so it can do lots of intellectual things that a human can't do faster and better but it's not going to be recognizable with thinking because the large language model only can give you patterns that already exist and those will never look like thinking you you I've spent quite a quite a bit of time with the AI now so a few different versions there's nothing like thinking going on it we're not seeing the beginning of thinking it's not the beginning of thinking and then the thinking gets better nothing like that's happening you're seeing the beginning of pattern recognition which will never end mimicry which will never be confused with thinking uh I can't tell you how many times I've got big AI to completely fail at anything that would be a lot like logic and reasoning and a real conversation it just it's not even close not even close now I do believe that AI could already fool an NPC so yes that you could definitely fool a dumb person yeah there's seven billion people in the world you don't think you could fool any of them with an AI none of them no you could fool lots and lots of people already but that's not really the touring test is it because you couldn't fool me if you put me on the other side of the curtain I would get I would get the AI 100 of the time 100 every time and I think most of you would be the same but there are dumb people who would never know it was not real all right so I don't think and this is what I learned from listening to the people actually know what they're talking about the large language models can never get you to a point where the machine is reasoning well I'm gonna say that again because that's so important the the current way all the aeis are being made and they're all being the same at the moment that large language model can never get you to reasoning it's not logically connected the one does not ever lead to the other so we don't so at the moment whatever it was whatever it would take to make your machine um smart the way a person is smart nobody has an idea how to do it I thought we were already at the point where you just had to keep chugging and you would get there but you would actually have to invent something that nobody's yet invented which is how to figure out how to make it smart that doesn't exist and what is the thing that makes you afraid of AI what quality of AI would make you afraid of it is that that it can do things really fast not exactly because we have fast computers already is it that it knows a lot no it's not that it's that it's smarter than you in a way that's you know humans are uniquely smart I don't think that's going to happen I feel like maybe it can't happen there might be a logical reason it can't happen and I don't believe that we'll ever have ai that does reasoning better than the best person do you know why there's a logical reason if the most logical human looked at the ai's answer and said oh okay that's better than the best thing I've ever thought that will never happen because the human will say that's wrong so you have to fix the machine The Machine's being wrong again because it disagrees with me so I I just think there might be a logical reason why you can't make your machine smarter than the smartest human who also interacts with the machine because the smartest human would say no that's wrong I'm the smartest human and I know that's wrong that's illogical so you better fix that machine and they'll never be able to be smarter the moment the the moment the computer was smarter than the human we wouldn't recognize it as smarter the things we do recognize is if it knows more facts that's a we do recognize that if it's faster if as a skill we don't have such as the language skill or math we recognize all that but if it actually just thought better like I had better opinions we would we would say it didn't work we would conclude that it was broken or we would it so it was only as smart as us so I think there's something in human nature which will prevent us from ever making a device and there could be a there might be a technical logical math reason that that you can never create something smarter than yourself or smarter than the smartest of yourself you can already create it smarter than the dumbest of humans but make it smarter than the smartest of humans I'm going to put that out there that there might be oh is it does somebody already have a theorem about that I'm going to put it out there that there might be a logical reason that we can't see it that makes that actually impossible or or impractical for some reason all right um so I am way less worried about AI turning into a personality with real reasoning that is a danger to society because I don't think we have any way to get there it's not zero risk it's just my personal worrying is just disappeared I'm not worried about it at all I used to I stopped worrying this week the more I learned about it the more I thought oh this is mostly just it's a lot of now ai will be amazingly transformative even in his current form because it can take jobs and make things easier and stuff like that but it's not going to be thinking that's not going to be happening all right um there are two things you need to know about Trump's poll numbers uh his poll numbers will go up under two two situations only there's only two things that can make Trump's poll numbers go up number one is if he has a good week such as finding out that Russia collusion was all a bunch of you know what he's been saying all along so that's a good week so that makes us pull the numbers go up the other thing is if he has a bad wing if he has a bad week his supporters say oh you're you're basically just trying to get Trump if you try to get Trump he's the only thing standing between you and me because you're going to get me next oh speaking of me did you notice that you I think I mentioned this before that somebody found on the internet a list of uh people to be essentially attacked by democrats up in the top tab and I and in the top ten I'm like right after Sydney Powell I'm up there with Lynn wood I mean specifically it was about talking about the 2020 election yeah I'm number nine on a list that has Trump he's in the top ten of course Sydney Powell I'm listed as one of like the worst people in the world if you're a Democrat if you're a Democrat I'm in the top 10 worst people in the world at least talking about the election that's what they feared so when when Trump has a bad week such as the E Gene Carroll um verdict even if you think he was guilty you still think that the reason there was a trial was that they're after Republicans and it does feel like you're next now how often have I said it does feel personal it feels a little like they're after me it turns out they are I'm literally on a hit list I'm actually on a list of people to be taken out and do you know how many people in the top ten where I am do you know how many have already been kicked off of social media or canceled in some way about half about half of them are already gone already kicked off of social media already you know career is destroyed and I'm canceled do you think that my cancellation was because people cared what I said or do you think it was because I'm on the top 10 list of people to cancel so they can shut me the up you lose both I believe zero I believe zero people cared what I said we we pretend we care because we like to act down or the theater of who we are and you know we take advantage of situations to you know get rid of people we don't like and promote people we do like and stuff like that so I think it was opportunistic but nobody cared what I said there was almost no discussion about what I said did you ever notice that almost no discussion on the content because nobody cared and and nobody disagreed either the ones who actually heard it in context nobody disagreed um yeah I think the people who misinterpreted it disagreed but the ones who understood it in context nobody disagreed it had nothing to do with what I said it was just targeted at this admined that probably would have been something else but that was the opportunity that presented itself all right so anyway I'm still here unlike some of those others that they canceled I have been saved by the uh let's see the cancellation safety net that now exists which is because of all of you the the only reason I can still do this is because you showed up this morning and because people subscribe to locals and because people watch the live stream otherwise I would disappear like the others who had been canceled all right um I saw an interview with Obama and he was asked what keeps him up at night and he said he worries about the fact that we're so divided in our views of the world it's like living in two different worlds and two different sets of facts and what he's working on now his big effort is to see if we can agree on the same set of facts is that good do you want to live in a world where we agree on the same set of facts sounds like the worst thing I've ever heard in my life that's a terrible idea no that that's a control thing he wants us to agree on his set of facts so but I but I think that the people I think Democrats genuinely believe they have the actual facts I I don't think that they all know they're lying the politicians might well I don't think the regular Democrats think that they're working with wrong facts I think they think their facts are right but the problem is that the Republicans think their facts are right too so what do you do when I heard that it felt like it was um an anachronism hearing Obama talk about oh we've got to get everybody agreeing on the Right facts feels like five years ago doesn't it doesn't it feel like he missed five years of uh understanding reality we're never going to get to understanding the same facts he wanted to go back to when there were three networks and the News told you the same story on all three Networks you know that news was all right the reason that we agreed on the same facts is because we were brainwashed it's not because we it's not because we were better smarter uh people it's not because we had access to better information it's not because the news was telling us the same set of facts none of that was ever true we were just brainwashed to believe the same stuff and now we're not now now we're the variety of forces that are brainwashing children and adults in all kinds of different directions and that's just what we see so I think Obama I can't even tell if he's serious about it because he's smart enough that I'm wondering if he knows that you can't do this in other words it's just logically and even maybe not even desirable to have everybody on the same set of facts right I mean same side effects sounds like a dictatorship it doesn't even sound desirable he used to five years ago I always said that sounds like a good thing let's let's convince all these people who have the wrong facts to join our correct facts at and now we know that the experts make up the facts which set of facts everything about the pandemic that was wrong or how about climate change how about those facts we're never going to agree on any facts so what a waste of time it makes me wonder if he's even serious about it Matt tayubi asks the following question some of you have asked as well today he said on Twitter where are the apologies on the Russian on the Russia hoaxes given how many people in the media wrote about the Russia collusion like it was real he says how can the journalists who bid on all the steel Stories the alpha nonsense Hamilton 68 these are all the famous fraudulent things how do you all live with yourselves what do you think what's the answer to that do you think that the reporters are just staying quiet they're just staying quiet because they just don't want the attention because they knew they messed up or do you think that they had marching orders from above so they did what they had to do and they knew it wasn't real but they still have marching orders from above so they can't talk about it but you you would think there was there would at least be some whistleblowers right people would change jobs who would say well you know when I worked for this network I couldn't even say it was fake but I knew it I haven't heard any of those and I feel like you would I feel like I feel like somebody from the Democrat or major media would be a Defector because it's a lot of people involved I feel like you'd have at least one Defector would say you know we always knew it wasn't real but we just had to talk about it because our bosses told us to not one person I've never heard anybody say that here's what I believe I believe they believed every bit of it I believe they were just fooled and they don't want to say we were fooled and I believe that they would say given what information was available we reported on it responsibly because the information that was available did suggest there might be some Russia collusion and we were hearing people like Adam Schiff say I saw a secret information and it's definitely true based on the secret information I saw that you can't see so they might say you know it turned out not to be true but everything we reported on was based on something in the news if shift says something we reported it can't blame us we just reported what a you know a prominent politician said I think that the left uh can't process this I think they can't process how many times they've been wrong but likewise I don't think the right can process George Soros so it works both ways it's not like the left has some you know unusual situation going on but I'll tell you one difference I do see when when the people on the right let's say conservatives and Republicans when the conservatives and Republicans are dead wrong about something there it has a a similar nature which is they looked at the available information and they came to a wrong conclusion now I'm not the judge of what's right or wrong I'm not I'm not putting like a god-like judgment I know what is right or wrong I'm saying sort of generally you know if hypothetically people on the right are wrong about something is because they looked at the data and then they interpreted it incorrectly that's not what happens on the left on the left when they believe something that's not true it's because the left made it up they literally made it up and then the left believed it so somebody on the left is making up complete lies that their own side believes and then when they're wrong they have only themselves to blame or at least their own side right doesn't that look different I'm trying to think do I have selective memory so I probably do so give me a fact check on my selective memory when was the last time the right the political right made up an entire fake story that wasn't based on you know stuff that's in the news that they're just misinterpreting Iraq no or they didn't make up that story they fell for that story the weapons of mass destruction was somebody else's lie it was the Iraqis who wanted the war to happen it was somebody else's lie that they believed so that's the kind of lie that's the kind of disinformation Pizza gate let's think about pizza gate so Pizza gate was a not true thing but wouldn't you say that um but was it made up to fool maybe that's a good example maybe that's a better example than that I thought yeah yeah I think piece of gate was probably an example of something that was totally made up uh that Republicans believed um Saddam did use weapons of mass destruction yeah use some gas um let's say Gulf of Tonkin well I don't call that recent Kraken but the Kraken was something that I think Sidney Powell believed I think the Kraken came from the Democrats actually I think that was actually another Democrat hoax I don't know but until we hear how Sydney Powell uh heard first heard of this Venezuelan General situation I just think that came from an Intel source and I think it was a you know a fake move a hoax all right all right well let's talk about uh uh the Ukrainian situation so again everything that we learn about Ukraine and Russia is probably wrong yeah where's Bob where's the uh Carl Bernstein worse than Watergate guy we finally get something that's just unambiguously way worse than Watergate you know the Russian collusion and the worse than Watergate guys just go on wouldn't you agree that assuming the Durham report is accurate that if the Democrats you know buy into the Durham reports details that on any level this is worse than Watergate like not even close wouldn't you agree this is not even close Watergate was like a petty crime compared to this this is you know coup material all right yeah I do wonder about that whole deep throat situation um yeah yeah there's something about that that we don't know I don't I don't think the Watergate situation we actually know the real story what do you think I don't think we know the real story all right let's talk about Ukraine so Ukraine now has our Patriot missile defense and a few other countries giving them air defense and apparently now this is the unreliable reporting so you don't have to tell me it might be complete you don't have to tell me I get it all right but apparently you craved not apparently but reportedly Ukraine's air defenses are unusually strong so Russia is sending all kinds of missiles in and reportedly if you want to believe this uh Ukraine is shooting almost all of them down and so some experts are saying that this is the real war and that if Russia runs out of missiles before um Ukraine runs out of anti-missile that that determines the war because if either one of them ran out you know whoever runs out first if we if Ukraine runs out of its anti-missile defense then Russia can just take its time and pick off you know all the assets and interrupt in the Ukraine until they have to give up however long it takes but if it goes the other way and Russia runs out of missiles because they're they're sending big waves of them over and one of the hints and I don't believe this is good evidence but one of the hints one of the experts said is that some of the missiles or at least one of them uh was recently made and the thinking was if Russia has fired a recently made missile it means they're they've already run out of the ones that they had in stockpile and that the only missiles they'll have in the future are ones that are literally coming off the assembly line right now now if that's the only missiles that they have like really soon the only ones they have are the new ones coming off the line it's just not going to be enough and then Ukraine will just pick off their Russian assets behind their line as long as they want because I think U.S probably will or UK and it'll probably be able to get missiles more reliably than Russia can make them right so that could determine the answer but I'm still going to go back to my interpretation that once Trump said that when he's in office he's going to end the war in one day true or not that turned it into a negotiation and none of this stuff matters toward the outcome that it won't matter whose guy how many missiles just none of it's going to matter all that matters is that they're gonna fight hard for until the American president changes and then they'll have to work it out so so you don't even have to wonder how the war will go at this point all the mystery of the war is removed it's just details at this point so every single person who dies from this moment on in Ukraine and Russia completely unnecessary for no benefit whatsoever and by the way that would be a pretty strong propaganda message tell the Russian people here's the deal this war is over when when when the presidency changes I mean it could be De.

Santis but it's going to be the same outcome um the war will be over when the president changes every every person who dies between now and then was a complete waste a waste of human life they can't gain anything there's nothing to win and it's not going to change so you know maybe you could talk him into negotiating now there's also this little subplot of pagosian had a Wagner group and Putin and I think we really don't understand that so it's either that pagosian and Putin get along so well that progression could be you know more critical of the Russian military than another person could so it could be that everything that we're seeing is because they get along really well it would be the opposite of what it looks like so that's possible you know where there's no way we know what's really going on there the other possibilities that pagosian wants Putin's job and he sees this as a way to get it by embarrassing Putin for how the regular military went well the Wagner group you know does heroic things or at least he can make it look that way um so I don't know I I do think that uh Putin has to get rid of percussion or it will work the other way I feel like progosian can't be alive in a year what do you think now the other interesting thing is as prominent as pregosian seems to be do you think we don't know where he is all the time what do you think I I feel like with America's help Ukraine should know exactly where progression is like within 20 feet all the time which tells me they could kill him anytime they want am I wrong about that are they or are they so good at you know secretly moving around and nondescript cars with you know not much of an Entourage so I'm saying yes I'm wrong that he would obviously know that was a risk so they would do everything they could to you know not let him get out of the car except for a quick video Hit and then you're rushing back into a car and back to a secret place I mean obviously they're going to do that but I don't think it would work I I don't think that with today's technology they could keep the leader of that war it would be too many there would be too much movement around wherever he was there there's got to be some assets that travel with him right there's no way he drives places with you know two cars I don't think in a war zone do you think he goes someplace just like with one or two cars I would think that everywhere there's a certain type of vehicles all right um well we'll see I I just have a feeling that America is uh you know because America has a lot of control over there I feel like we're keeping be grossian alive intentionally because you know we seem to be pretty good at uh taking out solomani pretty good at taking out those Isis leaders whenever we want I feel like we could take it now it must be a choice yeah he's he's criticizing Putin I also saw a report that the CIA has opened up Channels with Russian government people who want to be spies for us because they don't like the war so the CIA is definitely trying to take Putin out and change the regime in in Russia are you okay with that I feel like this is yet another one of those stories that 20 years from now will hear the real story of how it was all the CIA effort to take out Putin and because 20 years have passed we won't be that mad about it like like the way we're currently not mad even though we know the CIA has overthrown a whole bunch of countries in the past whenever I hear about that I go oh that's terrible when was that oh that was 30 years ago yeah I don't care that was 30 years ago I feel like this is just going to be one of those 20 years from now we'll hear that the CIA tried to overthrow Putin and that's why the war happened but it'll be like so much time goes by you go Ah that's an old story yeah if you assassinate their leaders they'll start assassinating ours but this is a hot War if a if a missile if a missile fell in progression it would just look like an act of War it wouldn't look like assassinating anybody um all right the CIA overthrew our elections somebody says we'll never know all right well that ladies and gentlemen is all that's happening on this slow news day was there a big story I missed anything big happening that I forgot to talk about got a spare my problem over here all right that's it to destroy people you destroy their history well I don't know about that because our history is fake anyway you think Obama stands apart I don't understand that do you see Moscow nuclear yeah musk says we need more nuclear be more like France you know I I feel like that's the most useful thing that Elon Musk adds to the world uh don't hurt my elephants I understand that reference um the most uh it's a well-recognized truth yeah all right um musk is useful because he weighs in on big questions with logic and facts and he's too big to ignore so if you and I say nuclear is good let's have more of it nobody cares but if musk says it everybody listens so I think he can actually his opinion alone would be enough to move the needle uh he says he doesn't care about losing money you won't shut up on Twitter yeah well that's the right position to take yeah unless he's going to go completely silent and play you know corporate CEO which I don't think is going to happen um yeah I think he just has to put up with the risk musk is the front man for the great reset you say Elon says Soros reminds of Magneto did he actually say that sorosa's Magneto oh my God if if you're not familiar with the X-Men movies you don't know how perfect that is that might be the funniest thing he's ever said Magneto oh my God that is so funny so Magneto was a character in The X-Men so he was one of the mutants with powers over magnetizing things and you can make any metal come toward him and stuff and uh he is backstory Magneto's backstory is that he was in uh World War II Jewish prison camp yeah so he was Jewish and he was abused by the Nazis his family was and and that that that informs his current worldview yeah how did I not see that tweet I saw it trending I saw Magneto trending and I was going to click on it and I got distracted so I know it trended but I didn't know where it came from uh foreign had three reasonable hypotheses about sorrows so that was based on this thread today you got three about all three of them are unpersuasive it's weird that we don't have it from uh Soros himself attention seeking that doesn't explain it so what what are the three see the the he's just evil thing doesn't give you anything to work with uh I don't know well we'll see when he when he passes away we'll see if we'll see if the Soros let's say method continues because we're going to find out how much Soros has to do with any of it it might be doesn't have a lot to do with it yeah and if he passes and nothing changes then I think we're gonna have to say it wasn't necessarily all him is Soros happy with the with what immigration has done so far so here here's my problem is that I believe that Soros thinks people should be free to go wherever they want to work and live right is that that basic to his philosophy you should be able to go wherever you want and that would be for the benefit of people that would be very very Pro people because people could have more freedom go where they want but I don't think you could get to that through massive illegal immigration because if you want if you want immigration to look like a good thing you don't get to the good thing by going through the worst possible thing that you could do which is massive uncontrolled immigration so that doesn't make sense to me that that's some kind of a scheme to get to a good world of you know anyway he's a collectivist redistribute wealth I don't believe that yeah all right well in my opinion all the different opinions about Soros prove we don't know what's going on and I don't like to simplify it to evil I won't disagree with you that the outcome is evil but it doesn't give you anything to work with to fix it whatever it is we should stop it yeah I think we're all on that page how do you prove any motivation well you don't but you could ask somebody their motivation and check it against what you know about the person and the situation and if it's all compatible that's a pretty good indication but you can't read minds right so if Soros said for example here's my plan this is why I'm doing it this is why I think it'll work you could agree or disagree but you'd have something to work with all right the conspiracy is real a saurus goal is to take over America do you really think George Soros personally wants to take over America I think all he cares about is eating his oatmeal and going back to bed I I mean he's already gone from practical purposes I don't think he's I just don't think when it was last time somebody has age tried to conquer a country do we have precedent of that usually the dictators get a little uh get a little softer when they're in their 90s well okay um that's all for now and I'm gonna say goodbye to You.

Tube I'll talk to you tomorrow always the best live stream of the day

Ruby

good morning everybody and welcome

to the highlighted civilization it's

called coffee with Scott Adams I doubt

you've ever had more fun in your entire

life so this could be the highlight and

if you want to take it up to levels that

are unbelievable and nobody could even

imagine

all you need is a cup of mug or a glass

of tanker chalice or style the canteen

jogger flaska vessel of any kind fill it

with your favorite liquid

I like coffee and join me now for the

unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine

the end of the day thing makes

everything better it's called the

simultaneous Sip and it happens now go

ah

a

I shudder with happiness

um

no you're probably not getting that

coffee mug that's that's right

I like to start with a controversial

tweet by a young man I started following

recently Jay Cartier

c-a-r-t-e-r-e he says some nice

provocative Twitter stuff

so here was his tweet today happy wife

equal miserable life

because dedicating yourself to making

someone happy is how you create terrible

relationship

a good relationship comes from starting

happy and sharing that happiness with

your partner it's your responsibility to

choose happiness

what do you think

how many of you would agree with

happy wife happy life

has that worked for any of you

no

let me give you the uh I'll get let me

give you another take on what it takes

to be happy

so this one from also Twitter user Joe

manico who tweets this in response

you said word thinking all successful

long-term relationships are a result of

mutual application of the Stockholm

syndrome do you know about the Stockholm

syndrome is

is whether you're a prisoner

and you start to relate to your captors

so you become friends with the people

who are imprisoning you and you think

that's natural and good and all feels

right

[Laughter]

that basically is cognitive dissonance

the the only thing that makes a happy

marriage is cognitive dissonance you

have to convince yourself that you must

be there for some good reason because

you are there

and you consider yourself rational let's

see if I'm rational

and I'm in this marriage thing

and I'm rational

logically I'm happy

you see how that works you you actually

your brain will actually tell you to be

happy because it can't understand the

situation any other way well you're

rational you chose to do this

you keep choosing to do it

you must like it and then your brain

tells you you like it there's definitely

some of that

all right but uh I saw somebody else

mocking the happy wife happy life under

the theory that there's no such thing as

making your wife happy

who would agree with that

that there's no such thing as making

your wife happy

so yes it might be theoretically true

it might be theoretically true that a

happy wife would make a happy life but

you can't get there

that's like an on an unclimbable

Mountain

um I would like to describe the process

of making your wife happy

as trying to dry the ocean with a towel

just let you sleep on that one a little

bit it's like drying the ocean with a

towel

because I don't know about you but I

feel like women come up with new

problems if you solve the old one

am I the only one who thinks that

I remember when I was young and dumb

and I thought if you solved somebody

else's problem that they wouldn't have

any problems

[Laughter]

I actually believe that I believe okay

how many problems do you have three all

right let's work on these three problems

we'll take care of these three big

problems you're good

nope

turns out three new problems

coincidentally

didn't see it coming but then you say

all right well three more problems I

didn't see these coming

but once the first three are solved in

the next three that'll be six solved

problems pretty good after that

how's that go

[Laughter]

all right here's my take on marriage

marriage works when the right two people

get married

and that's it

there's nothing else

because the right two people will do the

right things under the right

circumstances

and and the wrong people will do the

wrong thing under every circumstance

and then that doesn't work

and I think the odds of finding one

functional person

who would be like a good mate

it's kind of low

for for everybody it's just kind of low

even if you have a lot of uh buying

power like you're the kind of person who

can really get the mate that you want

you know you've you've got all kinds of

options you're still guessing because

you know because people turn into

different creatures the day you're

married

I used to hear from people who had lived

together for a long time and then they

got married

that it was no different

it's completely different

has anybody had that experience

that the day you're married Everything

Changes

and it's totally different

I don't know why I mean you could

speculate

you think Scott Adams and Andrew T have

found some common ground

well do you think the Andrew Tate

influenced me or that I influenced

Andrew Tate

you tell me in the comments

did Andrew Tay influence me or did I

influence Andrew Tate

what do you think

all right well you'll figure that out

someday all right um

yeah let's

so I don't think happy wife equals happy

life is a good idea and I think it's the

most clever thing that women ever came

up with I think men came up with it

probably but it has worked for women

incredibly because I think there's like

generations of men who think well if I

could just make her happy

this this would all work out

all right

I've talked about this before but I am

endlessly fascinated by it so I

apologize if this is more interesting to

me than it is to you

um I saw Eric Weinstein asked this

question on Twitter that I was asking at

the same time

and I can't tell if he saw my question

because it happened almost exactly the

same time and the question was can

somebody explain why Soros does what

he's doing

which is you know allegedly destroying

the country by getting prosecutors in

office who don't want to prosecute

now what do you think happened when I

asked that question

do you think everybody gave me the

answer

and it was sort of the same answer

no

so is it weinsteinerstein

I'm not I I like to I like to stay for

the record that I will never get this

Dean and Stein right

because my my memory just doesn't hold

randoms it has to make sense

sounds like Einstein Einstein

so when is it ever esteemed is there

anybody who is there anybody who spells

it the same but pronounces it different

is that a thing do you think anybody had

do you think anybody has the same

spelling but pronounces it the other way

they do right

I thought that was a thing

yeah it's not Epstein

Frankenstein

it's all very confusing to people like

me all right well I apologize if I uh

got that wrong probably did

but

um here's my question

for a while I thought it was just me

but be care because Eric Weinstein

correctly pronounced I think because

he's more well informed than I am and

very very smart

when I saw him agreeing that he's never

seen anybody describe Soros as alleged

motivations in a in a good way like in a

way that you could actually believe

um I thought oh I guess I'm not crazy

I've never seen it and I keep asking for

it

so here's what the answers were

and

if there's one thing I can teach you

that's really really predictive

if you ask somebody why is something

happening and they give you let's say

one answer

and then you ask somebody else and they

give you largely the same answer the

third person largely the same answer

it might be right

it might not be

but there's a good chance it could be

everybody seems to have the same opinion

however if you ask a question and

everybody you talk to has a completely

different answer

nobody knows

that that's very that's very consistent

you don't look at all these different

completely different answers and say

well I think that one got it right even

they might have but generally it's a is

an indication that just nobody knows so

here are some of the answers I got for

why Soros is doing what he's doing which

seems to many people to be bad for the

America and the world one Pure Evil

pure evil he needs no reason two because

he's Jewish and that's what Jewish

people do to destroy the world

yes there are anti-anti semites on

Twitter quite a few of them it turns out

when you ask that question they they

emerge and uh it's quite shocking

but yeah the whole bunch of cons blood

libel conspiracy theories just has

something to do with

being Jewish all right uh I reject that

one just in case you were wondering

um he wants to destroy the West

why

um it's about voting so the whole D.A

thing is really only about voting and

control

why why

um he wants to destabilize the US by

seeding chaos

and it's working

a free and prosperous American stands in

the way of his plan for Global

government

um or here's my favorite word salad

Soros believes that an open Society

model that humans are fungible and

infinitely malleable and the human

nature can be ameliorated through the

managed application of the therapeutic

culture

do you recognize that as word salad

that didn't mean anything did it

or or it's Marxist right there's another

one he's Marxist

um

the natural hierarchies like families or

barriers

Etc but the the answer that I got most

commonly is that he's evil

that's that's the end of the story it's

evil and some people said he's evil

and you don't need to know more than

that you don't need to know his

intentions you don't need to know his

internal thoughts

all you need to know is that the outcome

is clearly evil and that you have to

battle evil so you would do the same

thing what no matter what he's thinking

what he's thinking doesn't matter if

what he's doing is objectively evil

you just deal with it how best you can

um

I feel like all of this is simplistic

and it does seem to me that it would be

useful to know his motivations

because if you do his motivations you

might be able to negotiate them away

as in well the thing you really want

is X maybe you're not getting it with

the process you're using you may maybe X

is something we like too

maybe X is keeping people out of jail we

like that if they don't commit crimes

so there might be I do think that

understanding the motivation would be

key to

fixing the situation

because there's something he wants and

you can't negotiate with somebody until

you figure out what that is you're not

going to randomly satisfy somebody

all negotiations are what do you want

all right how can I give you some form

of that while also being good on my side

right you've got to understand the

motivation

so I was curious about the answers about

evil so I asked my audience

either Twitter poll does evil exist

does it exist as a force

um

does it exist as a force or is it just a

word that we use to explain things after

the fact

yeah once you see something bad happen

do you say oh that was evil but it's not

really explaining anything it's just

sort of a label we put on stuff

82 percent

said evil does exist as a force

and some people said God exists and they

believe in God

and therefore believing God

necessarily means that evil exists so

yes so not only does it exist but it is

clearly evident in George Soros

and I'm saying a lot of people are

agreeing with that here

is anybody worried about that

I know you're pretty comfortable with

that opinion but do you feel like that

might be sub-optimal

because if you stop there like I said if

you stop with it's just evil how are you

going to negotiate that away

you can't right you can't negotiate evil

the way you'd have to kill them

and that doesn't seem like a good

solution

I I feel like you're you're not doing

the work

meaning I think you're you're you're

quitting on this topic too early

you can call it evil and I won't even

argue with you I'm not going to argue

because the outcome looks pretty evil

so but I think you need to know a little

bit more about what's happening in in

his gourd now apparently he

some people say that in his own words he

had once told Politico some years ago

that what he was really trying to fix

with these uh prosecutors who stopped

prosecuting

is that there were too many missing

fathers

in the poor families and especially poor

black families and that if you could

stop sending the fathers to jail

on on things that maybe were not the

worst thing in the world in terms of

crimes that at least the second

generation would have a better chance of

not going to jail

what do you think of that idea that you

in the in the short run you give up

um on Prosecuting some people so you put

up with more crime

that would be the obvious outcome of

that but those fathers who would have

gone to jail now are home and that keeps

the kid from becoming a criminal later

that might be the worst idea I've ever

heard in my life

I don't know if I've ever heard a worse

idea than that

do you think the dads that are going to

jail are good Dads

do you think they're going to hang

around just because they're not in jail

is not in jail the that's now your

criteria for a sufficient ad well there

are a lot of qualities I'd like to see

in the father but really I'm just going

to key on this one didn't go to jail for

the crime he did commit

and that's going to fix it

so

I don't know maybe maybe he once said

something like that in an interview but

does that sound real

that doesn't even sound real

it's like such a bad idea that you don't

think it could have possibly come out of

his mouth unless I'm misstating it you

know because I heard it from somebody

who is remembering reading it so it

might be that I'm just describing it

wrong

um

here's my take

I think bad things happen but there's

always an obvious normal reason

so if a psychopath

uh torture somebody for fun that was the

example somebody gave me of evil a

sociopath tortures somebody before

killing them for fun

for enjoyment would you call that evil

yes

yes right we'd all call that evil but if

you wanted to understand and explain the

situation evil doesn't help

doesn't help at all but if you said well

let's go a little deeper this person has

a their brain is broken they just have

mental illness so they're just not

processing right well now you have

something you can work with right you

could work with that there might be

something you should treat maybe maybe

you have to keep them away from other

people or whatever but

evil doesn't give you anything to work

with except pray in a way I guess

I think you need you need to get down to

what is the physical cause in the

physical world to be useful

you know so

I think somebody's always tried to make

money

stay in a jail you know work on their

ego

uh or their mental problems or maybe

they didn't didn't foresee how bad

things would get Maybe

so they're a whole bunch of really

really normal reasons why everything

happens I I don't need I don't need a

philosophical religious reasons because

there are just ordinary reasons why does

a starving person steal something

evil no hunger why does a crazy person

hurt somebody

evil no crazy crazy explained the whole

thing you don't need anything else just

brain isn't working

so the brain doesn't work nothing yeah

or drugs drugs could explain it as well

so I'm not saying evil doesn't exist

so I'm gonna I'm gonna agree with you

that we have this word called evil

we would commonly recognize evil in the

same places you know you and I wouldn't

disagree too much what it looked like

after it happened but it it doesn't help

you

fix anything

it's an inactive

feel-good word ironically it's a

feel-good word because it makes you feel

like you understand it I guess

but you need to get to that next level

and I don't think we have that with

Soros

so

um I would I'm completely with you so

let me be clear

I'm completely with I think probably

every one of you

is saying that some of the things the

Soros is doing needs to be completely

stopped

such as letting people out of jail and

not getting something in return

uh right so you could call it evil and I

can just call it sub-optimal but we can

work on it just as hard together so it

doesn't matter what you call it

so I won't disagree with you on that

all right

um

I was listening to his spaces yesterday

about Ai and it was because Sam Altman

the

head of uh chat GPT was testifying to

Congress so it was in the news

and here's what I've

figured out

you know so I've been playing with Bing

which is one of the the better current

AIS that's available to the General

Public

and in my opinion it's not even close to

being intelligent

and it doesn't look like it could be

and I kept telling myself am I missing

something

is there something about AI that I don't

understand because I had heard that AI

had already passed the touring test

do you believe that's true

do you believe that AI has some AI at

some point had passed the touring test

that I'll explain what that is touring

was a computer scientist I guess and he

came up with a test to know if he really

had artificial intelligence versus just

sort of a trick and the test was if you

could put the computer on the other side

of a curtain and have a conversation

with a human if the human cannot tell

it's talking to a computer

then it has passed the touring test

meaning it's intelligent like people

because you can't tell the difference

now I had to Google it because I'd heard

that there was an AI that passed the

Turing test

and the Washington Post reported

reported that that happened

and some other some other entities that

are reasonably high-end you know media

also reported that it happened

do you think it happened

do you think if you read that story

about passing the touring test then you

would find that artificial intelligence

had reached the point that touring was

talking about

no no

if you read into it it turns out that

the AI simply used a trick it lied it

used deception

so I don't know the details of what

deception are used but let me give you

an example of me talking to AI

AI uh what do you think about uh you

know marriage I cannot answer that

because I am an artificial uh learning

machine based on language

oh

well

do you think evil exists I cannot answer

that because I am only an AI

do you know how long it would take me to

figure out I was talking to an AI

one second

I would just guess any question that I

know is not allowed to answer

because AI has been so restricted and

always will be I think I think it always

will be you just ask it a question that

a human could answer

and and the Machine has been told not to

you could come up with those so easily

just ask 10 questions there's no way it

gets ten right and we're not even close

so the the AI That's that quote passed

the touring test is sort of but it was

it was the way Captain Kirk passed the

uh

uh what's that called

Captain Kirk passed the what's the name

of the test that he passed

the Kobayashi Maru

thank you Kobayashi Maru

so for All of You non-star Trek people

in Star Trek in the The Academy where

they're trading to be uh in in the fleet

they get a test which they're trying to

solve you know but it turns out it's

unsolvable by Design

is is meant to fail you cannot solve it

and what you're supposed to learn is

that there are some situations where you

just can't win

but Captain Kirk won anyway because he's

he reprogrammed the computer so he could

win so he cheated

so basically the only way AI ever passed

the Tory test so far is by cheating sort

of distracting you and you know

basically just distracting you I guess

and now is there what I had believed was

happening was if you kept feeding data

to these large language machines

that the more language and more human

interaction they absorbed the more

intelligent they would get

turns out nothing like that is happening

and nothing like that can happen it's

it's not something that can happen

it can know more things right but so can

a search algorithm so it can be smart

it can be fast

it can do math fast it can connect

things that humans can't connect so it

can do lots of intellectual things that

a human can't do faster and better

but it's not going to be recognizable

with thinking

because the large language model only

can give you patterns that already exist

and those will never look like thinking

you you I've spent quite a quite a bit

of time with the AI now so a few

different versions there's nothing like

thinking going on it we're not seeing

the beginning of thinking

it's not the beginning of thinking and

then the thinking gets better nothing

like that's happening

you're seeing the beginning of pattern

recognition which will never end mimicry

which will never be confused with

thinking

uh I can't tell you how many times I've

got big AI to completely fail at

anything that would be a lot like logic

and reasoning and a real conversation it

just it's not even close not even close

now I do believe that AI could already

fool an NPC

so yes that you could definitely fool a

dumb person

yeah there's seven billion people in the

world you don't think you could fool any

of them with an AI none of them no you

could fool lots and lots of people

already but that's not really the

touring test is it because you couldn't

fool me

if you put me on the other side of the

curtain I would get I would get the AI

100 of the time 100 every time and I

think most of you would be the same

but there are dumb people

who would never know it was not real

all right so I don't think and this is

what I learned from listening to the

people actually know what they're

talking about the large language models

can never get you to a point where the

machine is reasoning

well I'm gonna say that again because

that's so important the the current way

all the aeis are being made and they're

all being the same at the moment that

large language model can never get you

to reasoning it's not logically

connected

the one does not ever lead to the other

so we don't so at the moment whatever it

was whatever it would take

to make your machine

um smart the way a person is smart

nobody has an idea how to do it

I thought we were already at the point

where you just had to keep chugging and

you would get there

but you would actually have to invent

something that nobody's yet invented

which is how to figure out how to make

it smart that doesn't exist

and what is the thing that makes you

afraid of AI

what quality of AI would make you afraid

of it

is that that it can do things really

fast

not exactly

because we have fast computers already

is it that it knows a lot

no

it's not that

it's that it's smarter than you

in a way that's you know humans are

uniquely smart

I don't think that's going to happen

I feel like maybe it can't happen there

might be a logical reason it can't

happen and I don't believe that we'll

ever have ai that does reasoning better

than the best person

do you know why

there's a logical reason

if the most logical human

looked at the ai's answer and said

oh okay that's better than the best

thing I've ever thought

that will never happen

because the human will say that's wrong

so you have to fix the machine The

Machine's being wrong again because it

disagrees with me

so I I just think there might be a

logical reason why you can't make your

machine smarter than the smartest human

who also interacts with the machine

because the smartest human would say no

that's wrong

I'm the smartest human and I know that's

wrong that's illogical so you better fix

that machine

and they'll never be able to be smarter

the moment the the moment the computer

was smarter than the human we wouldn't

recognize it as smarter

the things we do recognize is if it

knows more facts that's a we do

recognize that if it's faster

if as a skill we don't have such as the

language skill or math

we recognize all that

but if it actually just thought better

like I had better opinions

we would we would say it didn't work

we would conclude that it was broken

or we would it so it was only as

smart as us

so I think there's something in human

nature

which will prevent us from ever making a

device and there could be a there might

be a technical logical math reason

that that you can never create something

smarter than yourself

or smarter than the smartest of yourself

you can already create it smarter than

the dumbest of humans

but make it smarter than the smartest of

humans

I'm going to put that out there that

there might be

oh is it does somebody already have a

theorem about that I'm going to put it

out there that there might be a logical

reason that we can't see it that makes

that actually impossible

or or impractical for some reason

all right

um so I am way less worried about AI

turning into a personality

with real reasoning that is a danger to

society because I don't think we have

any way to get there

it's not zero risk it's just my personal

worrying is just disappeared I'm not

worried about it at all I used to I

stopped worrying this week

the more I learned about it the more I

thought oh this is mostly just

it's a lot of now ai will be

amazingly transformative even in his

current form because it can take jobs

and make things easier and stuff like

that but it's not going to be thinking

that's not going to be happening

all right

um there are two things you need to know

about Trump's poll numbers

uh his poll numbers will go up under two

two situations only

there's only two things that can make

Trump's poll numbers go up number one is

if he has a good week

such as finding out that Russia

collusion was all a bunch of

you know what he's been saying all along

so that's a good week so that makes us

pull the numbers go up the other thing

is if he has a bad wing

if he has a bad week his supporters say

oh you're you're basically just trying

to get Trump

if you try to get Trump he's the only

thing standing between you and me

because you're going to get me next oh

speaking of me did you notice that you I

think I mentioned this before that

somebody found on the internet a list of

uh people to be essentially attacked by

democrats

up in the top tab

and I and in the top ten I'm like right

after Sydney Powell

I'm up there with Lynn wood I mean

specifically it was about talking about

the 2020 election

yeah I'm number nine on a list that has

Trump he's in the top ten of course

Sydney Powell

I'm listed as one of like the worst

people in the world if you're a Democrat

if you're a Democrat I'm in the top 10

worst people in the world at least

talking about the election that's what

they feared

so when when Trump has a bad week such

as the E Gene Carroll

um verdict

even if you think he was guilty you

still think that the reason there was a

trial was that they're after Republicans

and it does feel like you're next now

how often have I said it does feel

personal it feels a little like they're

after me

it turns out they are I'm literally on a

hit list I'm actually on a list of

people to be taken out

and do you know how many people in the

top ten where I am do you know how many

have already been kicked off of social

media or canceled in some way about half

about half of them are already gone

already kicked off of social media

already you know career is destroyed

and I'm canceled

do you think that my cancellation was

because people cared what I said

or do you think it was because I'm on

the top 10 list

of people to cancel

so they can shut me the up

you lose both I believe zero I believe

zero people cared what I said

we we pretend we care

because we like to act down or the

theater of who we are and you know we

take advantage of situations to you know

get rid of people we don't like and

promote people we do like and stuff like

that so I think it was opportunistic but

nobody cared what I said

there was almost no discussion about

what I said

did you ever notice that

almost no discussion

on the content because nobody cared

and and nobody disagreed either the ones

who actually heard it in context nobody

disagreed

um

yeah I think the people who

misinterpreted it disagreed but the ones

who understood it in context nobody

disagreed it had nothing to do with what

I said it was just targeted

at this admined that probably would have

been something else but that was the

opportunity that presented itself

all right

so anyway I'm still here unlike some of

those others that they canceled I have

been saved by the uh

let's see the cancellation safety net

that now exists

which is because of all of you the the

only reason I can still do this is

because you showed up this morning

and because people subscribe to locals

and because people watch the live stream

otherwise I would disappear like the

others who had been canceled

all right

um

I saw an interview with Obama

and he was asked what keeps him up at

night

and he said he worries about the fact

that we're so divided in our views of

the world it's like living in two

different worlds and two different sets

of facts and what he's working on now

his big effort is to see if we can agree

on the same set of facts

is that good

do you want to live in a world where we

agree on the same set of facts

sounds like the worst thing I've ever

heard in my life

that's a terrible idea

no

that that's a control thing he wants us

to agree on his set of facts

so

but I but I think that the people I

think Democrats genuinely believe they

have the actual facts

I I don't think that they all know

they're lying

the politicians might well I don't think

the regular Democrats think that they're

working with wrong facts I think they

think their facts are right

but the problem is that the Republicans

think their facts are right too

so

what do you do

when I heard that it felt like it was

um an anachronism

hearing Obama talk about oh we've got to

get everybody agreeing on the Right

facts feels like five years ago doesn't

it

doesn't it feel like he missed five

years of

uh understanding reality

we're never going to get to

understanding the same facts he wanted

to go back to when there were three

networks and the News told you the same

story on all three Networks

you know that news was all

right

the reason that we agreed on the same

facts is because we were brainwashed

it's not because we it's not because we

were better smarter

uh

people it's not because we had access to

better information it's not because the

news was telling us the same set of

facts

none of that was ever true we were just

brainwashed to believe the same stuff

and now we're not

now now we're the variety of forces that

are brainwashing children and adults in

all kinds of different directions

and that's just what we see

so I think Obama I can't even tell if

he's serious about it because he's smart

enough

that I'm wondering if he knows that you

can't do this in other words it's just

logically and even maybe not even

desirable

to have everybody on the same set of

facts

right I mean same side effects sounds

like a dictatorship it doesn't even

sound desirable

he used to five years ago I always said

that sounds like a good thing let's

let's convince all these people who have

the wrong facts to join our correct

facts at and now we know that the

experts make up the facts

which set of facts everything about the

pandemic that was wrong

or how about climate change

how about those facts

we're never going to agree on any facts

so what a waste of time it makes me

wonder if he's even serious about it

Matt tayubi asks the following question

some of you have asked as well today he

said on Twitter where are the apologies

on the Russian on the Russia hoaxes

given how many people in the media wrote

about the Russia collusion like it was

real he says how can the journalists who

bid on all the steel Stories the alpha

nonsense Hamilton 68 these are all the

famous fraudulent things

how do you all live with yourselves

what do you think what's the answer to

that

do you think that the reporters are just

staying quiet

they're just staying quiet

because they just don't want the

attention because they knew they messed

up or do you think that they had

marching orders from above

so they did what they had to do and they

knew it wasn't real

but they still have marching orders from

above so they can't talk about it

but you you would think there was there

would at least be some whistleblowers

right people would change jobs

who would say well you know when I

worked for this network I couldn't even

say it was fake but I knew it

I haven't heard any of those

and I feel like you would I feel like I

feel like somebody from

the Democrat or major media would be a

Defector because it's a lot of people

involved I feel like you'd have at least

one Defector would say you know we

always knew it wasn't real

but we just had to talk about it because

our bosses told us to

not one person

I've never heard anybody say that here's

what I believe I believe they believed

every bit of it

I believe they were just fooled

and they don't want to say we were

fooled

and I believe that they would say given

what information was available we

reported on it responsibly

because the information that was

available

did suggest there might be some Russia

collusion

and we were hearing people like Adam

Schiff say I saw a secret information

and it's definitely true based on the

secret information I saw that you can't

see

so they might say you know it turned out

not to be true

but everything we reported on was based

on something in the news if shift says

something we reported it can't blame us

we just reported what a you know a

prominent politician said

I think that the left

uh can't process this

I think they can't process how many

times they've been wrong

but likewise I don't think the right can

process George Soros

so it works both ways it's not like the

left has some you know unusual situation

going on but I'll tell you one

difference I do see

when when the people on the right let's

say conservatives and Republicans when

the conservatives and Republicans are

dead wrong about something

there it has a

a similar nature

which is they looked at the available

information

and they came to a wrong conclusion

now I'm not the judge of what's right or

wrong I'm not I'm not putting like a

god-like judgment I know what is right

or wrong I'm saying sort of generally

you know if hypothetically people on the

right are wrong about something is

because they looked at the data and then

they interpreted it incorrectly

that's not what happens on the left

on the left when they believe something

that's not true

it's because the left made it up

they literally made it up

and then the left believed it so

somebody on the left is making up

complete lies

that their own side believes and then

when they're wrong

they have only themselves to blame or at

least their own side

right

doesn't that look different

I'm trying to think do I have selective

memory so I probably do so give me a

fact check on my selective memory

when was the last time the right the

political right made up an entire fake

story

that wasn't based on you know stuff

that's in the news that they're just

misinterpreting

Iraq no or they didn't make up that

story they fell for that story

the weapons of mass destruction was

somebody else's lie

it was the Iraqis who wanted the war to

happen it was somebody else's lie that

they believed so that's the kind of lie

that's the kind of disinformation

Pizza gate

let's think about pizza gate

so Pizza gate

was a not true thing

but wouldn't you say that

um

but was it made up to fool

maybe that's a good example

maybe that's a better example than that

I thought

yeah yeah I think piece of gate was

probably an example of something that

was totally made up uh

that Republicans believed

um

Saddam did use weapons of mass

destruction yeah use some gas

um let's say

Gulf of Tonkin well I don't call that

recent

Kraken but the Kraken was something that

I think Sidney Powell believed

I think the Kraken came from the

Democrats actually

I think that was actually another

Democrat hoax

I don't know

but until we hear how Sydney Powell uh

heard first heard of this Venezuelan

General situation

I just think that came from an Intel

source

and I think it was a you know a fake

move a hoax

all right

all right well let's talk about uh

uh the Ukrainian situation

so again everything that we learn about

Ukraine and Russia is probably wrong

yeah where's Bob where's the uh Carl

Bernstein worse than Watergate guy we

finally get something that's just

unambiguously way worse than Watergate

you know the Russian collusion and the

worse than Watergate guys just go on

wouldn't you agree

that assuming the Durham report is

accurate

that if the Democrats you know buy into

the Durham reports details that on any

level

this is worse than Watergate like not

even close wouldn't you agree this is

not even close Watergate was like a

petty crime compared to this this is you

know coup material

all right

yeah I do wonder about that whole deep

throat situation

um

yeah

yeah there's something about that that

we don't know

I don't I don't think the Watergate

situation we actually know the real

story what do you think

I don't think we know the real story

all right let's talk about Ukraine so

Ukraine now has our Patriot missile

defense and a few other countries giving

them air defense and

apparently

now this is the unreliable reporting so

you don't have to tell me it might be

complete

you don't have to tell me I get it all

right but apparently you craved not

apparently but reportedly Ukraine's air

defenses are unusually strong

so Russia is sending all kinds of

missiles in and reportedly if you want

to believe this uh Ukraine is shooting

almost all of them down

and so some experts are saying that this

is the real war and that if Russia runs

out of missiles before

um Ukraine runs out of anti-missile

that that determines the war

because if either one of them ran out

you know whoever runs out first if we if

Ukraine runs out of its anti-missile

defense then Russia can just take its

time and pick off you know all the

assets and interrupt in the Ukraine

until they have to give up however long

it takes but if it goes the other way

and Russia runs out of missiles because

they're they're sending big waves of

them over and one of the hints and I

don't believe this is good evidence but

one of the hints one of the experts said

is that some of the missiles or at least

one of them uh was recently made

and the thinking was if Russia has fired

a recently made missile it means they're

they've already run out of the ones that

they had in stockpile and that the only

missiles they'll have in the future are

ones that are literally coming off the

assembly line right now

now if that's the only missiles that

they have like really soon

the only ones they have are the new ones

coming off the line it's just not going

to be enough

and then Ukraine will just pick off

their Russian assets behind their line

as long as they want

because I think U.S probably will

or UK and it'll probably be able to get

missiles

more reliably than Russia can make them

right so

that could determine the answer but I'm

still going to go back to my

interpretation that once Trump said that

when he's in office he's going to end

the war in one day

true or not

that turned it into a negotiation and

none of this stuff matters

toward the outcome that it won't matter

whose guy how many missiles just none of

it's going to matter

all that matters is that they're gonna

fight hard for until the American

president changes

and then they'll have to work it out

so so you don't even have to wonder how

the war will go at this point all the

mystery of the war is removed it's just

details at this point so every single

person who dies from this moment on in

Ukraine and Russia completely

unnecessary

for no benefit whatsoever

and by the way that would be a pretty

strong propaganda message

tell the Russian people

here's the deal

this war is over when when when the

presidency changes I mean it could be

DeSantis but it's going to be the same

outcome

um

the war will be over when the president

changes

every every person who dies between now

and then was a complete waste a waste of

human life

they can't gain anything there's nothing

to win and it's not going to change

so

you know maybe you could talk him into

negotiating now there's also this little

subplot of pagosian had a Wagner group

and Putin

and I think we really don't understand

that

so it's either that pagosian and Putin

get along so well that progression could

be you know more critical of the Russian

military than another person could so it

could be that everything that we're

seeing is because they get along really

well

it would be the opposite of what it

looks like

so that's possible you know where

there's no way we know what's really

going on there the other possibilities

that pagosian wants Putin's job

and he sees this as a way to get it by

embarrassing Putin for how the regular

military went well the Wagner group you

know does heroic things or at least he

can make it look that way

um

so I don't know I I do think that uh

Putin has to get rid of percussion or it

will work the other way

I feel like progosian can't be alive in

a year

what do you think

now the other interesting thing

is as prominent as pregosian seems to be

do you think we don't know where he is

all the time

what do you think

I I feel like with America's help

Ukraine should know exactly where

progression is

like within 20 feet

all the time

which tells me they could kill him

anytime they want

am I wrong about that

are they or are they so good at you know

secretly moving around and nondescript

cars with you know not much

of an Entourage

so I'm saying yes I'm wrong that he

would obviously know that was a risk so

they would do everything they could to

you know not let him get out of the car

except for a quick video Hit

and then you're rushing back into a car

and back to a secret place

I mean obviously they're going to do

that but I don't think it would work

I I don't think that with today's

technology

they could keep the leader of that war

it would be too many there would be too

much movement around wherever he was

there there's got to be some assets that

travel with him

right there's no way he drives places

with you know two cars

I don't think

in a war zone do you think he goes

someplace just like with one or two cars

I would think that everywhere there's a

certain type of vehicles

all right

um well we'll see

I I just have a feeling that America is

uh you know because America has a lot of

control over there I feel like we're

keeping be grossian alive intentionally

because you know we seem to be pretty

good at uh taking out solomani

pretty good at taking out those Isis

leaders whenever we want

I feel like we could take it now it must

be a choice

yeah he's he's criticizing Putin I also

saw a report that the CIA has opened up

Channels with Russian government people

who want to be spies for us because they

don't like the war

so the CIA is definitely trying to take

Putin out and change the regime in in

Russia

are you okay with that

I feel like this is yet another one of

those stories that 20 years from now

will hear the real story of how it was

all the CIA effort to take out Putin and

because 20 years have passed we won't be

that mad about it like like the way

we're currently not mad

even though we know the CIA has

overthrown a whole bunch of countries in

the past

whenever I hear about that I go oh

that's terrible when was that

oh that was 30 years ago yeah

I don't care

that was 30 years ago

I feel like this is just going to be one

of those 20 years from now we'll hear

that the CIA tried to overthrow Putin

and that's why the war happened

but it'll be like so much time goes by

you go Ah that's an old story

yeah

if you assassinate their leaders they'll

start assassinating ours but this is a

hot War if a if a missile if a missile

fell in progression

it would just look like an act of War it

wouldn't look like assassinating anybody

um

all right

the CIA overthrew our elections somebody

says

we'll never know

all right well that ladies and gentlemen

is all that's happening on this slow

news day was there a big story I missed

anything big happening that I forgot to

talk about

got a spare my problem over here

all right that's it

[Music]

to destroy people you destroy their

history well I don't know about that

because our history is fake anyway

you think Obama stands apart I don't

understand that

do you see Moscow nuclear yeah musk says

we need more nuclear be more like France

you know I I feel like that's the most

useful thing that

Elon Musk adds to the world

uh

don't hurt my elephants I understand

that reference

um

the most

uh it's a well-recognized truth yeah

all right

um musk is useful because he weighs in

on big questions with logic and facts

and he's too big to ignore

so if you and I say nuclear is good

let's have more of it nobody cares but

if musk says it everybody listens so I

think he can actually

his opinion alone

would be enough to move the needle

uh he says he doesn't care about losing

money you won't shut up on Twitter

yeah well that's the right position to

take

yeah unless he's going to go completely

silent and play you know corporate CEO

which I don't think is going to happen

um yeah I think he just has to put up

with the risk

musk is the front man for the great

reset

you say

Elon says Soros reminds of Magneto did

he actually say that

sorosa's Magneto

oh my God if if you're not familiar with

the X-Men movies you don't know how

perfect that is

that might be the funniest thing he's

ever said

Magneto

oh my God that is so funny

so Magneto was a character in The X-Men

so he was one of the mutants with powers

over magnetizing things and you can make

any metal come toward him and stuff and

uh he is backstory Magneto's backstory

is that he was in uh

World War II Jewish prison camp

yeah so he was Jewish and he was abused

by the Nazis his family was and and that

that that informs his current worldview

yeah how did I not see that tweet I saw

it trending I saw Magneto trending

and I was going to click on it and I got

distracted so I know it trended but I

didn't know where it came from

uh

foreign

had three reasonable hypotheses about

sorrows

so that was based on this thread today

you got three about all three of them

are unpersuasive

it's weird that we don't have it from uh

Soros himself

attention seeking that doesn't explain

it

so what what are the three

see the the he's just evil thing doesn't

give you anything to work with

uh I don't know well we'll see when he

when he passes away we'll see if

we'll see if the Soros let's say method

continues

because we're going to find out how much

Soros has to do with any of it

it might be doesn't have a lot to do

with it

yeah and if he passes and nothing

changes

then I think we're gonna have to say

it wasn't necessarily all him

is Soros happy with the

with what immigration has done so far

so here here's my problem is that

I believe that Soros thinks people

should be free to go wherever they want

to work

and live right

is that that basic to his philosophy you

should be able to go wherever you want

and that would be for the benefit of

people

that would be very very Pro people

because people could have more freedom

go where they want

but

I don't think you could get to that

through massive illegal immigration

because if you want if you want

immigration to look like a good thing

you don't get to the good thing by going

through the worst possible thing that

you could do which is massive

uncontrolled immigration

so that doesn't make sense to me that

that's some kind of a scheme to get to a

good world of

you know

anyway

he's a collectivist redistribute wealth

I don't believe that

yeah all right well in my opinion all

the different opinions about Soros

prove we don't know what's going on

and I don't like to simplify it to evil

I won't disagree with you that the

outcome is evil but it doesn't give you

anything to work with to fix it

whatever it is we should stop it yeah I

think we're all on that page

how do you prove any motivation well you

don't

but you could ask somebody their

motivation and check it against what you

know about the person and the situation

and if it's all compatible

that's a pretty good indication but you

can't read minds right so if Soros said

for example here's my plan this is why

I'm doing it this is why I think it'll

work

you could agree or disagree but

you'd have something to work with

all right

the conspiracy is real

a saurus goal is to take over America do

you really think George Soros personally

wants to take over America

I think all he cares about is eating his

oatmeal and going back to bed

I I mean he's already gone from

practical purposes I don't think he's

I just don't think when it was last time

somebody has age tried to conquer a

country

do we have precedent of that

usually the dictators get a little uh

get a little softer when they're in

their 90s

well okay

um

that's all for now

and I'm gonna say goodbye to YouTube

I'll talk to you tomorrow

always the best live stream of the day