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Episode 1718 Scott Adams - Musk, Murder, DarkMAGA, Masks And More. A Meaningful Morning

Episode #1718 Apr 19, 2022 53:15 22,559 views

Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - CNN calls Alex Jones a conspiracy theorist? - Florida judge nixes mask mandates - Malcolm Nance fighting for Ukraine? - Switchblade drones in Ukraine - DarkMAGA and President Trump - Jack Dorsey criticizes Twitter Board ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Good morning everybody, and welcome to, that's right, the best day of your life, a highlight of civilization, and possibly the best thing that's ever happened in any part of the metaverse as far as we know. That's my claim, and look for a fact check on that. I'll bet you, you will not see any fact c…

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SimultaneousSip Energy & Mood Management

let it pass. Yes, I believe it is the best day of your life. All you need is a copper mug or a glass or a Tiger Chelsea stein, a canteen, a sugar flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of th…

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Tangent Energy & Mood Management

now. Watch what it does to you. Go. Oh yeah. Ah, that's so good. So good. It feels like a hike in the woods, doesn't it? Do you know what I like? One of the best feelings in the world. Have you ever had a sneezing attack when you were in a forest? You know, normally if you have to sneeze you're usu…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

feel good. It's like one of the best feelings. There are very few times when you don't have to, let's say, respond to other people's social pressures. But a good sneeze in the woods, that'll set you free. You'll feel good all day. So if you haven't tried that, go try that now. Here's a question tha…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

y pushed as real. How many of the hoaxes that CNN promoted did Alex Jones believe? How about none? How about none? Do you get any credit at all for being able to spot the other side's conspiracy theories? You know, CNN acts like they're the only ones who could spot a conspiracy theory. I'm pretty s…

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NewsReaction General Commentary

on one side solidly they're going to get what they want. So basically this is a victory of the public because who knows what the government would have done on its own. Who knows. But we do know that the public pushed it until it broke. I think that's just what happened. I think that anybody who make…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

ares about the lower end of the income spectrum, I don't know why they're not making a bigger deal about that. It's viscerally disgusting. To me it feels like walking onto a plantation in the days of slavery. Like what it would feel to have such obvious signs of unequal treatment of human beings. Ob…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

of power. Do you all know who Malcolm Nance is? He had been until recently one of the voices or contributors on MSNBC. If you don't know who Malcolm Nance is the story won't be nearly as funny. But apparently he quit MSNBC and he joined the Ukrainian International Legion to go fight for Ukraine. No…

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MainContent Persuasion

hing. Translation as a translator. What languages does he speak? Does anybody know what language Malcolm Nance speaks? He probably speaks a few languages I'm guessing. Anyway I don't even know what to say about that story. All I can say is if you know him and if you know the things he said on MSNBC…

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MainContent Persuasion

igantic number isn't it because they're just continually going. So it seems to me that if the numbers we're looking at is hundreds, the low hundreds of drones, then Russia gets what it wants. Am I right? Somebody says they've done 1,500 missile strikes that Russia has and the missiles are just being…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

g to get business out of there and be tough with them on business and stuff. About five years ago. How about all the noise he made about the border being important? About five years ago. Everything about crime? About five years ago. When he first started talking about everything basically. All you h…

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MainContent Hypnosis & Influence

bably, somebody like him came up with that because it's so sticky. You can make everything fit into it. It's like oh Trump said this. Well that's kind of dark. Oh a Republican said that. Oh that's a dark image. And that if you just get this idea of dark in people's minds, dark just brings with it al…

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Tangent Persuasion

point out that 25% of people polled get every answer wrong. I don't know if it's the same 25%. I worry that it is. I'm concerned that it's always the same 25% but I'd like to think it's a different 25% for each question. Well so there's a, as I tweeted cryptically, there's sort of an I am Spartacus…

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MainContent Hypnosis & Influence

nd of like a famous movie scene. And I'm watching what I would call a subtle Spartacus movement in which people who have tremendous influence in society but they're not elected, it's just people whose opinions are going to move your opinion more than other people, they're starting to emerge. I told…

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Tangent Health & Biohacking

least I haven't seen one. So I've seen people, I've seen Max Boot say it's a bad idea. You might see some people who are purely political say it's a bad idea but you can't count that. They're just being purely political. But tell me, just show me somebody who's sort of not famously political, an ind…

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Closing General Commentary

when that change was never made? Have you been watching that? Because the first time he said it I thought oh obviously they're working on that now because the CEO doesn't say we need to do this unless they're working on it because it's just software. I mean certainly within the doable category of th…

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Good morning everybody, and welcome to, that's right, the best day of your life, a highlight of civilization, and possibly the best thing that's ever happened in any part of the metaverse as far as we know. That's my claim, and look for a fact check on that. I'll bet you, you will not see any fact checkers who consider that false. So go to Google and, you know, Google Fact Check and see if it's wrong or have they decided to let it pass. Yes, I believe it is the best day of your life.

All you need is a copper mug or a glass or a Tiger Chelsea stein, a canteen, a sugar flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day. It's the thing that makes that tingle on the back of your neck. It's, yeah, the simultaneous sip. It's gonna happen now. Watch what it does to you. Go. Oh yeah. Ah, that's so good. So good. It feels like a hike in the woods, doesn't it?

Do you know what I like? One of the best feelings in the world. Have you ever had a sneezing attack when you were in a forest? You know, normally if you have to sneeze you're usually around people and then it's this big awkward thing, especially during COVID, and you're doing the whole thing and then you spray yourself and the entire experience is very unsatisfying. But have you ever been like completely away from everybody? You're just literally in a forest and a sneezing attack comes on and you just let it fly. You're just like, how do you feel? You feel good. It's like one of the best feelings. There are very few times when you don't have to, let's say, respond to other people's social pressures. But a good sneeze in the woods, that'll set you free. You'll feel good all day. So if you haven't tried that, go try that now.

Here's a question that I've been wondering. What is the exact ratio of fake news to real news? Fake news over real news. Do the math. What would be the proper ratio before you could be called a conspiracy theorist? Would it be ten percent? Suppose ten percent of the things you said turned out to be unfounded conspiracy theories. Would that be enough to call you a conspiracy theorist? About fifty percent? About fifty. Would you then be a conspiracy theorist? Suppose more than half of the things you reported or talked about, more than half, what if more than half of them were at least, well let's say, incorrect because of the context they're given? Would that feel like you should be called a conspiracy theorist? Well, I don't know.

But the news today is that several of Alex Jones's companies, I guess three of Alex Jones's companies, have filed for bankruptcy. Now this is actually a legal financial technique. It doesn't mean he's losing money. Some people will read it that way. But he's been called a conspiracy theorist by Bloomberg and CNN. And I'm thinking to myself, especially CNN, well what is the ratio? Are they claiming that he's got a higher ratio of incorrect news to correct news? Maybe he does. I'm not even judging. I've never done the analysis so I don't know. But it begs the question, doesn't it? What if both of them are squarely in the category of, well you know, that's a little conspiracy-ish isn't it? You know, am I right or wrong that CNN pushed the Russia collusion hoax forever? I'm pretty sure they did. I think there were quite a few hoaxes that they pushed as real.

How many of the hoaxes that CNN promoted did Alex Jones believe? How about none? How about none? Do you get any credit at all for being able to spot the other side's conspiracy theories? You know, CNN acts like they're the only ones who could spot a conspiracy theory. I'm pretty sure Alex Jones spotted a few on them. Pretty sure. And we're going to talk about somebody else who spotted some sketchy behavior on CNN in another segment.

So anyway, Alex Jones is responding I think because he lost some lawsuits or one lawsuit about the Sandy Hook story. So I don't need to get into that. But he made some claims that did not hold up and some people proved that they were injured in court. They proved it anyway, at least to a jury's satisfaction. So he owes lots of money to people who claim to be victims of his so-called conspiracy theories, at least one specific one. And so when you file for bankruptcy you're really just trying to give yourself protection against a big lawsuit or a big specific problem. It doesn't mean that he's cash negative or that he's losing money. It just means he couldn't pay all of that money all at once or he chooses to find some way to weasel out of it. So it's more of a financial technique. The only thing we can know for sure is that he's not making so many millions of dollars that it's worth it to him to just pay a few million to make it go away. So we don't know exactly what his financial situation is but don't assume that it's bad just because he uses this financial technique. That doesn't mean he's in trouble financially.

How about this? A Florida judge just put the kibosh on mask mandates and at least the TSA for example is dropping them and now Uber and a number of other places are dropping them. But they're not being dropped everywhere. So there are some cities that are keeping them on local mass transit for example and not all of the airlines have weighed in yet. But most of the airlines are going along with dropping the requirement.

Can we take a moment? I mean it's not over over but it's going to be because you know the slippery slope works in both directions. Right now we're heading back to something closer to normal. Now I never believed that we would have to wear masks forever. Did any of you? How many of you believed? Yeah, somebody I'm seeing in the comments, I don't know if this is true but somebody say it was a Trump-appointed judge. Was it a Trump-appointed judge that made that decision? Is that confirmed or is that just a Twitter thing? A lot of people say yes so let's treat it like it's yes. Isn't that kind of perfect? Remember I told you that one of the prediction methods I use is if things work out too perfectly like a movie would work out it might tell you you live in a simulation. But for some reason it predicts we so often end up in a situation where that could only happen in a movie. There's another one I'll tell you later about one I got wrong.

So I don't have much to say about this except that thank God. Oh my God. And by the way congratulations to all of you. Congratulations. I know some of you fought the mandates and thank you. So for everybody who pushed back against the mandates when it was really clear, once it became clear that they were over-applied, thank you. Thanks for all the citizen pushback. Thanks for being on the right side in my opinion and thanks for being active. At least making your thoughts known. You know I've always told you that I can't speak for other countries but in the United States the public does run the government. We just sort of act like we don't know it. The only thing the public has to do is agree. If the public agrees they can get what they want. Our system pretty much guarantees it. Maybe not on day one but if the public is all on one side solidly they're going to get what they want. So basically this is a victory of the public because who knows what the government would have done on its own. Who knows. But we do know that the public pushed it until it broke. I think that's just what happened. I think that anybody who makes a decision to unmask is doing it in the context of knowing that the public has had enough. It's going to get violent if it goes too much longer. So it took way too long but here we are. So let's at least celebrate the good news that is by far not complete.

And by the way are you having the same impression that I am? The fact that the employees, generally the lower paid people on the scale of these big companies and restaurants and stuff, the fact that they still have to wear masks when the people they're serving do not is just grotesque. I don't know why Black Lives Matter or anybody who cares about the lower end of the income spectrum, I don't know why they're not making a bigger deal about that. It's viscerally disgusting. To me it feels like walking onto a plantation in the days of slavery. Like what it would feel to have such obvious signs of unequal treatment of human beings. Obviously it's not like slavery so before somebody goes wild and says oh you compared mask wearing to slavery, no no no no no. It's just an analogy. Settle down. Settle down. It's not the Holocaust. It's just masks. But in terms of both of them giving you a visceral feel, I don't know. I can't get past it.

And tell me if this makes it worse. If you see somebody who's Black and underpaid and wearing a mask when you're not, doesn't it make you feel a little extra creepy? You know, maybe you shouldn't because again that would be bigoted. It would be bigoted to have any opinion about the color of the person wearing it. But you know we're still primed that way. We're primed by the news, our own history of slavery, etc. So you do see it that way. At least I do. It gives it that little extra like what the hell are we doing? How do we allow it? How do the rich people allow it? Honestly everybody should be complaining about that. The lack, I guess it more than other things shows a lack of consideration for other people in such a fundamental way that it's just disgusting. It's one thing if you say you know I don't want to raise my taxes to give it to other people because that you can explain that in terms of the system works better if everybody has to look out for themselves if they can, if they have the ability. But this isn't one of those times. It's not like there's any larger system that's being supported by it. Nothing's being supported by it. It's literally just discriminating against people who don't have power. That's it. It's just power. It's an absolute brutal disgusting use of power.

Do you all know who Malcolm Nance is? He had been until recently one of the voices or contributors on MSNBC. If you don't know who Malcolm Nance is the story won't be nearly as funny. But apparently he quit MSNBC and he joined the Ukrainian International Legion to go fight for Ukraine. Now he was in, apparently he's a Navy veteran. I guess he was a linguist or something. I don't know if Malcolm Nance ever saw any action. Could anybody confirm that? Because he doesn't exactly look like, at least if he was in the Navy I don't know if he saw any ground action. But there he is pictured in his camouflage. He's got his little name there and he's holding his weapon. And he said he just couldn't stand reporting on it and not doing something so he decided to go over there and do something.

Are you saying to yourself, somebody says he's 61 years old and that feels about right, what do you suppose it is he's doing over there exactly? I don't even know what to think of this. Now the most logical thing to think of it is not that he's helping Ukraine but he's maybe getting ready to write a book. You know he's trying to cash out on it. He's a fluffer. Or somebody says intel gathering, CIA stuff. Somebody says I don't know. I feel like there would be a better way to do almost everything. Translation as a translator. What languages does he speak? Does anybody know what language Malcolm Nance speaks? He probably speaks a few languages I'm guessing.

Anyway I don't even know what to say about that story. All I can say is if you know him and if you know the things he said on MSNBC he is one of the consistently crazy sounding people. Like in a scale of one to Keith Olbermann, you know where Olbermann would be like the top of the crazy scale. He'd be sort of a full Olbermann. You know some people would be like a half Olbermann but he'd be like a full Olbermann. We'll talk about him a little bit too.

Remember I told you that if you wanted to predict who's going to win in Ukraine that the only number that matters at this point would be the number of Switchblade and other drones they have. And I said if they have enough drones, and presumably they could train people fairly quickly to use them, I don't know how long it takes. If your life depends on it how long does it take to learn how to use a drone? A day? I don't know. So 300 Switchblade drones are being sent to Ukraine. So how many Switchblade drones? These would be things which can hover over a target for several minutes I guess or half an hour or ten minutes, whatever it is, and get a really good idea of what's down there before they dive down and destroy it. But they're suicide drones so you get to use them once but they're pretty good. But it's like one and done.

So now they have the ability to make 300 Russian assets explode including maybe some assassinations of generals or whatever. Would 300 successful attacks change the course of the war? I don't think so. Right now it wouldn't even be like a dent because when the Russians do these bombing runs aren't they doing thousands and thousands? By the time Russia is done how many bombing runs will they have made? Like 30,000 or something? It's a gigantic number isn't it because they're just continually going. So it seems to me that if the numbers we're looking at is hundreds, the low hundreds of drones, then Russia gets what it wants. Am I right? Somebody says they've done 1,500 missile strikes that Russia has and the missiles are just being a small percentage of the blow-up stuff they're sending over there. The exploding stuff.

All right so this doesn't look good. If I had to guess without having any military experience whatsoever, which I think I demonstrate every single day, I don't think that Ukraine could win without 5,000 drones. Suppose they had 5,000 Switchblade drones. Could they win? I mean if 5,000 of Russia's more important assets blew up I don't know. That feels like that would start to make an impact if they were the right assets at the right time. Suppose they used all of them to take out their supply lines. Would they just rebuild them as fast as they were being destroyed so it wouldn't make any difference? Maybe. But I feel like you could stop an army with 5,000 successful drone strikes if you took out the right stuff. Because remember it doesn't matter how much stuff Russia has. It only matters how many of it you have to take out to end the whole deal and that would be a much smaller number if you chose correctly.

So somebody is pointing out that my military expertise seems to be limited to how I feel and you are correct. But you agree with the basic idea right? The basic idea is that some number of drones is definitely not enough but some number of drones is definitely enough and it's definitely not 300. I don't think you have to be a military expert to know that right? That's definitely not enough. But is it 5,000? Now I don't know that. The answer to that question I don't know. I don't think anybody does right? So he says so you have no idea what you're talking about. Yeah I do. I know it's really hard to stop a Switchblade drone and I know that 300 is not enough and I know that logically some number would get you anything you want. So I mean that seems fairly straightforward. Now of course if Russia wanted to win badly enough it probably wouldn't matter how many drones there were. They would just level Ukraine.

Let's talk about this weird five-year lag between Trump sounding crazy and Trump being proven right. So I saw a tweet from Jim Jordan, Representative Jordan, and he said the CIA knew as early as 2017, five years ago, that the Trump-Russia collusion data was not technically plausible and was user-created. Both of those in quotes. So those are based on the actual investigation. That's not just Jordan's opinion. That's what the investigation has turned up so far. And I thought to myself, I wonder if that rule of thumb will hold that about five years from the time that Trump says something you find out that it was true.

Here are some of the other things. When was it that Trump first said Germany would be hostage to Russia's energy policy? Around five years ago. Now it's not when he first thought of it but it's when he first said it in public and got mocked. Let's say right about five years ago. How about the idea of making the United States energy independent? He was saying that around five, six years ago. About China being our biggest problem and needing to get business out of there and be tough with them on business and stuff. About five years ago. How about all the noise he made about the border being important? About five years ago. Everything about crime? About five years ago. When he first started talking about everything basically. All you have to do is take Trump minus five years and you can find out everything that's important and big.

So here's something I have some questions about. There's apparently a hashtag slash movement called Dark MAGA. Hashtag Dark MAGA. It involves themes in which Trump-related images are being treated as just red and black scary-looking images. And I've heard it described and I have a real question here. So here's where my skepticism is turned up. I've heard it described as a movement that's waiting for Trump to return to seek vengeance on all those who hurt him or were Republicans I guess. Now certainly there are plenty of Republicans who have that mindset. Can't wait for Trump to get reelected. But you know the swamp didn't get that cleaned out last time did it? I don't remember a lot of swamp draining going on. Not a lot of that happened. In fact the swamp drain to Trump looks like what happened.

But this is how it was described by one tweet. Was this CNN? I think CNN said this. Behind the movement, this Dark MAGA movement they're calling it, there's no single identifiable group or a clear ideology. G-Net, whoever that is, said many of the messages posted by Dark MAGA supporters incite violence and contain misogynistic and or racist comments. Dark MAGA.

Now you might remember that in 2016 I called out the word dark as something that was probably expert made. And I had guessed that maybe Robert Cialdini who has advised Democrats for president in the past such as Obama, they probably, somebody like him came up with that because it's so sticky. You can make everything fit into it. It's like oh Trump said this. Well that's kind of dark. Oh a Republican said that. Oh that's a dark image. And that if you just get this idea of dark in people's minds, dark just brings with it all the scary stuff right?

So it seems to me it would be a branding mistake for pro-Trump people to use dark in their branding. Now I think it did work in the case of deplorables and if you're Black in America it probably does work to use the N-word as sort of owning the word that was so painful in the past so you can take something that was used against you and flip it around and use it as a badge of strength or something I guess. So sometimes you can do that. But I don't think this is a good application of that in my opinion. The MAGA people if they wanted to win should stay as far away from the word dark as they possibly can because what is the biggest issue that anybody who might be a little bit independent on this, what is the biggest issue they have with Trump? That he's scary and dark and he just scares the crap out of people.

The way that Trump won the first time was by being super provocative and aggressive. Is that the same way he would win the second time when the polls have him beating everybody already? We're doing nothing. He doesn't have to do anything and apparently he's ahead in the polls. Should he use the same strategy of ultimate provocation? Well it depends. If he can adjust strategy to fit a situation. Have you seen evidence that he can radically change his approach to fit a new situation? Yes and no. It's not really clear. Trump is famously flexible. I mean he used to be a Democrat and then he became a Republican right? That's pretty flexible. But that's also historical. Once you become president and you got there doing a certain technique it's kind of hard to stop doing the thing that worked even if you think it might be time to destroy your old self to build a new self for the new challenge. You end up fighting the last war the same way or you end up fighting the new war as if it were the last war. It's one of those human impulses. I would call it a failing except that it's sort of universal. We all do it. You're always fighting the last war.

Let me put it out there. If Trump could act any way that works and he were not slave to his past, if he could be anything that would just be good, what would be by far the number one thing that would get him elected for a second term? Number one would be play nice. Because his followers would know what he was doing. They'd say oh I get it. He's just playing nice to get elected but he's still Trump. Once he gets elected he's gonna still do all the things he wants to do. But he could radically change the way he talks about things. Talking about the border he could simply talk about the pressure it's putting on the low-income people at the border, the pressure it's putting on Black Americans and just leave it at that. He doesn't even have to make a big deal about building a wall. He doesn't have to because his case is already won. When he started out with the whole wall thing in my opinion it was brilliant persuasion because he was trying to make a big impact and draw all the attention to him on that subject but he succeeded. Now everybody understands this whole border thing is a problem. Stop arguing. This is a classic case where you don't want to sell past the close. Trump has the close. He closed the sale without trying. After office by leaving office and showing that the alternative to Trump's policies were a disaster he closed the sale. He can let the press do it for him. He should now stop selling. Stop talking about a wall because that will only piss people off. Build the wall? Sure. Build the wall because he already won that argument. You don't need to argue the thing you already won. Just quietly start it up again if somebody asks you and they would ask are you going to rebuild the wall? The proper answer is not build a wall, build a wall, jail Hillary Clinton. That's just old. The new answer should be we should do a variety of things that work but yeah I think the border wall is important to beef it up in areas where we have a special problem. Over time maybe we could get the whole thing walled but we certainly want to do whatever works as quickly as possible to get it under control. Am I right? Because who's going to argue with that at this point? Because even the Democrats agree with a little bit of wall makes a difference. Even they agree with that. So just agree with the Democrats. Say it's a huge problem and everybody knows what you're going to do about it. They'll know he's gonna do the same thing he did last time. There's no mystery. You don't have to rub it in. You don't even have to make a big deal about how right you were because it's just in front of everybody. They can see it.

Trump's big asset is that he could absorb all of the energy from the press. So if you were doing that again is that still the right thing now? Because I think you got too much energy really. Maybe you could tone down the energy and you still out-energy the other side by a mile.

Here's another thing Trump was right on. So the murder rate in America is way up but it's especially shocking in Black populations. So the Black American murder rate shot up 43% in 2020. So the beginning of the pandemic and when there was a lot of Black Lives Matter stuff. So after the Black Lives Matter movement, its stated and very clear intention to improve the impression of the value of Black lives and also to improve their situation and to make it especially more than anything especially safe in terms of police and physical safety. But the outcome was exactly the opposite and in a big way. That the murder rate just shot up and the Black on Black crime especially is through the roof. Was Trump right that keeping the police well funded and doing what we used to do would be better than defunding the police? Probably so. Probably was right.

Let's talk about Twitter. Rasmussen did a poll and 39% of American adults believe it would be good for Twitter if Musk bought the company. So 39% are on Musk's side about buying the company. 22% think it would be bad for Twitter. Now I think a better question would be bad for America or good for America but bad or good for Twitter is an interesting way to put that. All right but 26% think it would not make much difference if the richest man in the world whose intention is to change the lever that moves all of free speech, which is really the operating system for civilization, 26% think that wouldn't make much difference. No no no. Only the most impactful entrepreneur of our lifetime who's got a stated goal of really changing things and already has his teeth into it. 26% think that's not going to make much difference. I mean how much difference could it make if Elon Musk owns the company? What has he ever done that surprised you right? 26%. If we were to round that it's about 25%. 25% think Elon Musk wouldn't make much difference if he bought Twitter.

For those of you who are just joining us I always point out that 25% of people polled get every answer wrong. I don't know if it's the same 25%. I worry that it is. I'm concerned that it's always the same 25% but I'd like to think it's a different 25% for each question.

Well so there's a, as I tweeted cryptically, there's sort of an I am Spartacus thing happening right now. And if you know the reference from the movie Spartacus, Spartacus was hiding among the slaves and when the Romans were asking for Spartacus to stand up because they didn't have facial recognition back then so they couldn't tell who was Spartacus in this crowd of slaves, somebody who was not Spartacus stood up to accept whatever punishment Spartacus would have. And they're like okay you know I guess if you say you're Spartacus come here we'll kill you. And then somebody else stood up and then slowly everybody stands up and they're all Spartacus. So you know it was kind of like a famous movie scene. And I'm watching what I would call a subtle Spartacus movement in which people who have tremendous influence in society but they're not elected, it's just people whose opinions are going to move your opinion more than other people, they're starting to emerge.

I told you that Naval has just sort of very subtly weighed in and said of course we're going to fight over Twitter. Of course we're going to fight. He didn't say which side he's on because he famously is not aligned left or right. But do you think he's against free speech? Do you think he's against free speech? I don't think so. I don't think so. But the most surprising one, Jack Dorsey. It wasn't surprising that the news says that Joe Rogan is strongly backing Musk for buying Twitter. You weren't surprised at that. But interesting that it's a major story right? Because Joe Rogan's influence and credibility is now so big that the fact that he endorses somebody for a specific action is national news. I mean who else does that? How about Bill Maher? Bill Maher is also pro-Musk in terms of buying Twitter. Interesting isn't it? I guess he's Spartacus too.

But the most interesting Spartacus is Jack Dorsey who on Twitter of all places has now insulted Twitter's board of directors for their competency. So there was a post by somebody else in which the user equated that the company's early beginning was mired in plots and coups among its founding executives and I guess Jack Dorsey liked that. But then he gets a little back and forth with Brian Stelter of CNN and he also talked about how CNN had faked a news report in Ferguson and Jack Dorsey was there and watched it live. So he actually was there in person in Ferguson during the riot situation there and watched CNN trying to incite some trouble to get it on camera. And I would imagine that's the sort of thing that changes you.

So here's what's news about it. First of all to have Jack Dorsey publicly criticized the board of directors of Twitter as the problem with Twitter. And somebody asked him are you allowed to do that and he said succinctly no. Are you allowed to criticize the board of Twitter? No. And that he did it. It's I am Spartacus. It's basically a whole bunch of people who are just done. They're just done. They're done with being gaslit by everyone. It's not just Fox News. It's not just CNN. It's just everyone. Just everyone's gaslighting everyone. And there appear to be some very influential people who are just done. They're just done with that.

So yeah I can't say this. Okay I'm gonna do it. I can't endorse this guy. I'm gonna do it anyway. Bill Maher. I can't endorse somebody who's not all on the left. Well I'm gonna do it anyway. So there are some Spartaci, that's the plural of Spartacus if you didn't know. So the Spartaci are starting to line up. I'll add my own tiny Spartacus influence to say I'm 100% behind Musk buying Twitter. 100%. I don't have even the slightest reservation about that one. And I would argue that there's really really smart people who disagree with Musk buying Twitter or at least I haven't seen one. So I've seen people, I've seen Max Boot say it's a bad idea. You might see some people who are purely political say it's a bad idea but you can't count that. They're just being purely political. But tell me, just show me somebody who's sort of not famously political, an independent thinker with an IQ over 140. It's a pretty high bar. Show me somebody with a history of independent thinking, an American with an IQ over 140 who has any problem with Musk buying Twitter. I'll bet there are not many of those. I bet there are not many.

Let's see. Warren Buffett. Haven't heard from him. I don't think he's made any comment right? I'm not sure he will but do you think Warren Buffett who is very clearly in the Democrat realm, do you think that Warren Buffett if asked would say it's a bad idea for Musk to take over Twitter? I don't know. He might make some general statements about billionaire control of the media or something but I've got a feeling he would not be against that. I don't think anybody above a certain IQ with a history of independence, I'm not talking about somebody who's actually a politician but people with a history of some independent thought, I don't think any of them are going to be on the other side. Could be wrong. We'll see.

So the other thing that Jack said, Jack Dorsey, he tweeted at Stelter because Stelter was criticizing Tucker Carlson. So Brian Stelter of CNN goes after Tucker Carlson in a quote and said Tucker Carlson is always selling the same thing. He's selling doubt. And I think he was pointing to somebody else's article on that. So he's selling doubt. And then Jack Dorsey responded to that tweet by saying and you all are selling hope. Now how many of you believed that Jack Dorsey was just a Democrat and probably pretty AOC-ish and that's it so that's how you understand him? He's just a Democrat. How many thought he was just way over there on the left? I don't think that's ever been true.

But let me give you a little test. Who is the person who is most publicly been saying and for years now has been saying that Twitter should change its algorithm so that the users have an option of what to do with it so it's not up to the company what you see? Who is the most famous person who has been criticizing Twitter's algorithm for the last several years? Jack Dorsey. Jack Dorsey is the most vocal noticeable person who's been criticizing Twitter's algorithm and the way they do it. And how long was he still at Twitter when that change was never made? Have you been watching that? Because the first time he said it I thought oh obviously they're working on that now because the CEO doesn't say we need to do this unless they're working on it because it's just software. I mean certainly within the doable category of things right? But then Jack Dorsey leaves and criticizes the board. It sounds like we're finding out maybe one of the reasons, certainly not the only one, but we might be finding out one of the reasons he left. It might be that he had a problem with Twitter's free speech management and that he had suggested an obvious way to address it. Very obvious. The obvious way to address it is to let people choose their algorithm and just make it obvious what they get if they choose it. And he got ignored. Well I don't know if ignored is the right word but he was not successful in getting that at the company he ran and then he left.

So I feel like the board may have, this is just speculation based on your reading from the outside which is pretty dangerous, but the speculation is that maybe the board prevented him from fixing the company in a way that any reasonable person would think was a good idea. Give people control over the algorithm. How in the world do you argue against that idea? I've never even heard anybody argue against it. Have you? Have you heard a counterpoint to that suggestion? Oh no don't give users full access to the algorithm. That would give them exactly what they asked for. Who exactly is on the other side? And he still couldn't get that done. That tells you everything doesn't it? And I think that's why he's going full Spartacus. I think he called his time exactly right because with Musk's move on Twitter this is exactly the right time for an independent thinker who I will surprise you by telling you he is. Surprise. He's an independent thinker. And he called his timing perfectly. This is exactly the right time to do it. So watch that space. That's going to get better and better.

I love as much as I don't like the Dark MAGA meme, I suppose people who are doing it probably just like the look of it. It's kind of awesome looking. But I would back away from anything that could be used that easily against you. However I'm seeing the phrase covidiens used a lot by the people who were mocking the people who were too afraid to drop the mandates, mostly in the masks. But Colin you remember the Branch Davidians in Waco. They were a splinter Christian group. Yeah I guess I don't know what to call them but it was a religious group, sort of a cult. But calling the people who were afraid to take off their masks the mask covidiens is just so clever. Like it's not really persuasive I don't think. I mean not in a way that matters because people are just going to do what they want to do now. So I'm not even sure persuasion matters. Okay so I'll just say that I love that branding. The mask covidiens.

All right and that ladies and gentlemen concludes my prepared remarks. Again one of the all-time most insightful and greatest things you've ever seen in your life and it makes you feel good too. Where else can you go to become smarter and better looking at the same time? Almost nowhere. Almost nowhere. You don't think I could make you better looking do you? Think I could use persuasion to make you better looking? Does anybody believe I could do that? I could do that. It's easy because people who are confident look better. It's that easy. So hypnosis can make you more confident. Do you know one way you can do it? To tell you you look great and you look sexy and you've never looked better. In fact I can tell that you've improved your workout since the pandemic. I see you've taken it up a notch. You're looking not only sexier but more confident. I've noticed that your posture is better. Now spend a little time today to improve your posture while you're walking. Just when you're walking somewhere just improve your posture and watch how you're better looking. And it's only because I suggested it that made you think of it and then you thought of it and it was easy to do and you just stood up a little straighter and as soon as you stood up a little straighter felt a little more confident and people looking at you thought to themselves well you're a little more attractive. So I just persuaded you to look more attractive. Literally that just happened. Now not every one of you in some big way but again it's the law of big numbers. If there are a number of people who watch this some substantial number of you will think oh I will put my shoulders back and I will straighten my spine and tuck in my butt and you will actually be more attractive. So sometimes these things are not that hard to accomplish.

So that was your, I guess that's your treat for following to the end. Have you noticed that I sometimes put the most useful bits at the end? Oh it's part of my technique to make you addicted and it's working. That's right. Now if you don't believe that me simply telling you through the screen that you're sexier and better looking will work then you haven't learned yet enough about persuasion. Because it doesn't matter if you regard the persuasion as true. It matters if you hear it a lot. That's it. And you're hearing it because this format is what I call a mass personal experience. So it's a mass broadcast to lots of people but it's weirdly personal isn't it? And because it feels personal because it's me talking to you and I'm telling you that all you have to do is straighten up your back and act a little more confident and other people will see you that way it's going to have more impact than if it was something you read in a magazine or something. Because of the nature of this it will make your brain act as though it worked.

Oh here's the freakiest thing. Are you ready for this? This is something that I may have discovered something but I want you to test it because I only have one anecdotal experience. Please test this. It goes like this. You have to sneeze, back to the sneezing thing, but you can't. Let's say you're someplace you don't want to sneeze. Last night the cat was on my chest. I was really happy. He was kneading into the blanket and stuff and I didn't want to sneeze and scare her off. And so I was trying to work her into the idea that a sneeze was coming by starting small if I could hold off the actual sneeze. So I started this way. I went ah and she didn't move. And then I went ah and she still didn't move. Then I went ah and she still didn't move. And I thought okay now she's primed because when the real one comes it's going to be a little louder than that last one but maybe she's now used to it as something that doesn't hurt. And the next one will be like ah. But you know what happened? My fake sneeze made my urge to actually sneeze stop instantly. And I said to myself oh my God I'll bet that could actually work.

Here's the hypothesis. The hypothesis is that this sneeze is forming in your brain not your body and that if your brain was satisfied that you had sneezed it would turn off the impulse. And I believe that my fake artificial sneeze turned off the switch to make me actually sneeze. So here's what I want you to test. The next time you have a sneeze coming and you're sure it's one that's going to happen do a loud fake sneeze assuming you're somewhere where you can do that. Just go ah choo and try to sell it but it's definitely not a real sneeze. Watch what happens to the real one. If it turns off it's gonna blow your freaking mind like it did mine last night. Now I don't know if this could work for me again and I don't know if it was just a coincidence but I've never stopped a sneeze before. Have you? Have you ever stopped a sneeze? I mean the closest I've ever come is like that but I stopped it cold. Like it was a deafening sneeze and it just boop gone. Somebody here says it works. All right so you need to test that for me and forget I'll forget that I asked you to do it. So test it for me. The first time you get a hit on it if it works you have to message me or put it in the comments or tweet it at me or something. Because if this works it's going to change everything you think about everything and it might work. So that's your test for the day.

And YouTube I will see you tomorrow.

good morning everybody and welcome to that's right the best day of your life a highlight of civilization and possibly the best thing that's ever happened in any part of the metaverse as far as we know that's my claim and look for a fact check on that i'll bet you you will not see any fact checkers who consider that false so go to google and you know google fact check and see if it's wrong or have they decided to let it pass yes i believe it is the best day of your life and all you need is a copper mug or a glass of tiger chelsea stein a canteen sugar flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure it's the dopamine head of the day it's the thing that makes that tingle on the back of your neck it's yeah the simultaneous sip it's gonna happen now watch what it does to you go oh yeah ah that's so good so good it feels like a a hike in the woods doesn't it all right um do you know what i like one of the best feelings in the world have you ever had a sneezing attack when you were in a forest you know normally if you have to sneeze you're usually around people and then it's this big awkward thing especially during covet and you're doing the whole and then you spray yourself and the entire experience is very unsatisfying but have you ever been like completely away from everybody you're just literally in a forest and a sneezing attack comes on and you just let it fly you're just like how do you feel you feel good it's like one of the best feelings there's very there are few very few times when you don't have to let's say respond to other people's social pressures but a good sneeze in the woods that'll set you free you'll feel good all day so if you haven't tried that uh go try that now um here's a question that i've been wondering what is the exact ratio of fake news to real news fake news over real news do the math what would be the proper ratio before you could be called a conspiracy theorist would it be ten percent suppose ten percent of the things you said turned out to be unfounded conspiracy theories would that be enough to call you a conspiracy theorist about 50 percent about 50 would you then be a conspiracy theorist suppose more than half of the things you reported or talked about more than half what if more than half of them were at least well let's say incorrect because of the context they're given would that feel like you should be called a conspiracy theorist well i don't know but the news today is that um several of alex jones's company i guess three of alex jones companies have filed for bankruptcy now this is actually a legal financial technique it doesn't mean he's losing money some people will read it that way but uh he's been called a uh conspiracy theorist by bloomberg and cnn and i'm thinking to myself especially cnn well what is the ratio are they claiming that he's got a higher ratio of incorrect news to correct news maybe he does i'm not even judging i i i've never done the you know the analysis so i don't know but it begs the question doesn't it what if both of them are squarely in the category of well you know that's a little conspiracy-ish isn't it you know am i right or wrong that cnn pushed the the russia collusion hoax forever i'm pretty sure they did i think i think uh there were quite a few hoaxes that they pushed as real how many of the how many of the hoaxes the cnn promoted did alex jones believe ah what just happened to you right there how many of the hoaxes the cnn promoted and there were a lot of them big ones the drinking bleach oaks the fine people hoax the you know the russians bounty on american soldiers hoax i mean it just goes on and on but how many of those did alex jones say well yeah i believe that story how about none how about none do you get any credit at all for being able to spot the other side's conspiracy theories right you know cnn acts like they're the only ones who could spot a conspiracy theory i'm pretty sure alex jones spotted a few on them pretty sure and we're going to talk about somebody else who spotted some some sketchy behavior on cnn in another segment so anyway uh just so alex jones is responding i think because he lost some lawsuits or one lawsuit uh about the sandy hook story so i don't need to get into that but he made some claims that did not hold up and uh some people approved that they were injured in in court they proved it anyway at least to a jury satisfaction so he owes lots of money to people who claim to be victims of his uh so-called conspiracy theories at least once one specific one and so when you file for bankruptcy you're really just trying to give yourself protection against a big lawsuit or a big specific problem it doesn't mean that he's cash negative or that he's losing money it just means he couldn't pay all of that money all at once or he chooses to find some way to you know weasel out of it so it's more of a financial financial technique the only thing we can know for sure is that he's not making so many millions of dollars that it's worth it to him to just pay a few million to make it go away so so we don't know exactly what his financial situation is but don't assume that it's bad just because he uses this financial technique that doesn't mean that doesn't mean he's in trouble financially um well how about this a florida judge just put the kibosh on um mask mandates and at least the tsa for example is dropping them and now uber and a number of other places are dropping them but they're not being dropped everywhere so there are some cities that are keeping them on local mass transit for example and not all of the airlines have weighed in yet but most of the airlines are going along with dropping the requirement can we take a moment i mean it's not over over but it's it's going to be because you know the slippery slope works in both directions right now we're heading back to something closer to normal now i never believed that we would have to wear masks forever did any of you how many of you believed yeah somebody i'm seeing in the comments i don't know if this is true but somebody say it was a trump-appointed judge was it a trump-appointed judge that made that decision is that confirmed or is that just a twitter thing a lot of people say yes so let's treat it like it's yes isn't that kind of perfect remember i i told you that one of the prediction methods i use is if things work out too perfectly like a movie would work out it might tell you you live in a simulation but for some reason it predicts we so often end up in a situation where that could only happen in a in a week there's another one i'll tell you later about one i got wrong um so i don't have much to say about this except that thank god oh my god and and by the way congratulations to all of you congratulations you know i know some of you uh fought the mandates and thank you so for everybody who pushed back against the mandates when it was really clear you know once it became clear that they were over applied thank you thanks for all the citizen pushback thanks for thanks for being on the right side in my opinion and thanks for being active you know at least making your your thoughts known that you know i've always told you that i can't speak for other countries but in the united states the the public does run the government we just sort of act like we don't know it the only thing the public has to do is agree if the public agrees they can get what they want we our system pretty much guarantees it maybe not on day one right but if the public is all on one side solidly they're going to get what they want so basically this is a victory of the public because who knows what the government would have done on its own right who knows but but we do know that the public pushed it until it broke i mean i think that's just what happened i think to put i i think that anybody who makes a decision to unmask is doing it in the context of knowing that the public has had enough right it's going to get violent if it if it goes too much longer so um it took way too long but here we are so let's let's at least celebrate the good news that is by far not complete and by the way are you having the same impression that i am the the fact that the employees generally you know the lower paid people on the scale of these big companies and restaurants and stuff the fact that they still have to wear masks when when the people they're serving do not is just grotesque i i don't know why black lives matter or anybody who cares about you know the lower end of the income spectrum i don't know why they're not making a bigger deal about that i mean it's it's viscerally disgusting i mean to me it feels like walking onto a plantation and in the days of slavery like like what it would feel to have such obvious signs of unequal treatment of human beings right obviously it's not like slavery so before somebody goes wild and says oh you compared masquerading to slavery no no no no no it's just an analogy yeah settle down settle down it's not the holocaust it's just masks but in terms of the both of them giving you a visceral feel i don't know i can't get past it and and and tell me if this makes it worse if you say somebody who's black and underpaid and wearing a mask when you're not doesn't it make you feel a little extra creepy you know maybe you shouldn't because again that would be a bigoted right it would be bigoted to have any opinion about the color of the person wearing it but you know we're still primed that way you know we're primed by the news our own history of slavery etc so you do see it that way at least i do like it gives it that little extra like what the hell are we doing like how do we allow it yeah how do how do the rich people allow it honestly like everybody should be complaining about that the the lack i guess it more than other things shows a lack of consideration for other people in such a like fundamental way that it's just disgusting it's one thing if you say you know i don't want to raise my taxes to give it to other people because that you can explain that in terms of the system works better if everybody has to you know look out for themselves if they can if they have the ability but this isn't one of those times it's not like there's any larger system that's being supported by it nothing's being supported by it's literally just discriminating against people who don't have power that's it it's just power it's an absolute brutal disgusting disgusting use of power anyway um so do you all know who malcolm nance is he had been until recently one of the voices or contributors on msnbc um if you don't know who malcolm nance is the story won't be nearly as funny but apparently he quit msnbc and he joined the ukrainian international legion to go fight for ukraine now he was in apparently he's a navy veteran i guess he was a linguist or something i don't know if malcolm nance ever saw any actions could anybody confirm that because he doesn't exactly look like at least if he was in the navy i don't know if he saw any ground action but there he is pictured in his camouflage he's got his little name there and he's holding his his weapon and he said he just couldn't stand you know reporting on it and and not doing something so he decided to go over there and do something and are you saying to yourself somebody says he's 61 years old and that feels about right what do you suppose it is he's doing over there exactly i don't even know what to think of this now the most logical thing to think of it is not that he's helping ukraine but he's maybe getting ready to write a book you know he's trying to cash out on it he's a fluffer or somebody says intel gathering cia stuff somebody says i don't know i feel like there would be a better way to do almost everything translation as a translator what languages does he speak does anybody know what language is malcolm nance speaks um you must he probably speaks a few languages i'm guessing anyway i i don't even know what to say about that story all i can say is if you know him and if you know the things he said on msnbc he is one of the consistently crazy sounding people like in a scale of one to uh keith olbermann you know where olbermann would be like the top of the crazy scale he'd be sort of a full of olbermann you know some people would be like a half oberman but he'd be like a full old man we'll talk about him a little bit too all right um let's see what else has happened remember i i told you that if you wanted to predict who's going to win in ukraine that the only number that matters at this point would be the number of uh switchblade and other drones they have and i said if they have enough drones and presumably they could train people fairly quickly to to use them i don't know how long it takes to if your if your life depends on it how long does it take to learn how to use a drone a day i don't know so uh 300 switch fade blade drones or be sent to ukraine so how many switchblade drones these would be things which can hover over a target for several minutes i guess or half an hour or 10 minutes whatever it is and get a really good idea of what's down there before they dive down and destroy it but they're they're suicide drones so you get to use them once but they're they're pretty good but it's like it's sort of one and done so now they have the ability to make 300 russian assets explode including maybe some assassinations of generals or whatever would 300 successful attacks change the course of the war i don't think so right now it wouldn't even be like a dot because when the russians do these you know bombing runs aren't they doing thousands and thousands you know but by the time russia is done how many bombing runs will they have made like 30 000 or something it's like it's a gigantic number isn't it because they're just continually going so it seems to me that if if the numbers we're looking at is uh hundreds you know the low hundreds of of drones then russia gets what it wants am i right somebody says they've done 1500 missile strikes that russia has and the missiles are just being a small small percentage of the the blow up stuff they're sending over there the the exploding stuff all right so this doesn't look good if i had to guess without having any military experience whatsoever which i think i demonstrate every single day i don't think that ukraine could win without five thousand drones suppose they had five thousand switchblade drones could they win i mean if five thousand of russia's more important assets blew up i don't know that feels like that would start to make an impact if if they were the right assets at the right time suppose they used all of them to take out their supply lines would they just rebuild them as fast as they were being destroyed so it wouldn't make any difference maybe but i feel like you could stop an army with 5 000 successful drone strikes no if you took out the right stuff because remember it doesn't matter how much stuff russia has it only matters how many of it you have to take out to the whole deal and that would be a much smaller number if you chose correctly so uh so somebody is pointing out that my military expertise seems to be limited to how i feel and you are correct but you agree with the basic idea right the basic idea is that some number of drones is definitely not enough but some number of drones is definitely enough and it's definitely not 300 jones is enough i don't think you have to be a military expert to know that right that's definitely not enough but it's five thousand now i don't know that the answer to that question but i don't know i don't think anybody does right so he says so you have no idea what you're talking about yeah i do i know it's really hard to stop a switchblade drone and i know the 300 is not enough and i know that logically some number would get you anything you want so i mean that seems fairly straightforward now of course if russia wanted to win badly enough it probably wouldn't matter how many drones there were they would just level ukraine all right let's talk about uh this weird five-year lag between trump sounding crazy and trump are proven right so i saw a tweet from jim jordan representative jordan and he said the ci the cia knew as early as 2017 five years ago that the trump-russia collusion data was not technically plausible and was user created both of those in quotes so those are based on the actual investigation that's not just jordan's opinion that's what the investigation has turned up so far and i thought to myself is that i wonder if that rule of thumb will hold that about five years from the time that trump says something's you find out that it was because here are some of the other things when was it that trump first said germany would be hostage to russia's energy policy around five years ago now it's not when he first thought of it but it's when he first said it in public and got mocked let's say right about five years ago uh how about the idea of making the united states energy independent right he was saying that around five six years ago about china being our biggest problem and needing to you know get business out of there and be and and be tough with them on business and stuff about five years ago uh how about all the noise you made about the border being important about five years ago everything about crime about five years ago when he first started talking about everything basically all you have to do is take take trump minus five years and you can you can find out everything that's uh important and big so here's something i have some questions about there's apparently a hashtag slash movement called dark magga hashtag dark mega it involves themes in which um trump-related images are being treated as you know just red and black scary-looking images and i've heard it described and i have a real question here so here's where my skepticism is turned up i've heard it described as a movement that's waiting for trump to return to seek vengeance on all those who hurt him or were republicans i guess now certainly there are plenty of republicans who have that mindset can't wait for trump to get reelected and but you know the swamp didn't get that cleaned out last time did it i don't remember a lot of swamp draining going on not a lot of that happened in fact the swamp drain to trump is looks like what happened uh but this is how uh it was described by one tweet um was this cnn i think cnn said this behind the movement this dark mega movement they're calling it there's no single identifiable group or a clear ideology g-net whoever that is said many of the messages posted by dark magus supporters incite violence and contain misogynistic and or racist comments dark magga now you might remember that in 2016 i called out the word dark as something that was probably expert made and i had guessed that maybe you know robert cialdini who has advised democrats democrats for president in the past such as obama they probably somebody like him came up with that because it's so sticky you can make everything fit into it it's like oh trump said this well that's kind of dark oh a republican said that oh that's a dark image and and that if you just get this idea of dark in people's minds dark just brings with it all the scary stuff right so um it seems to me it would be a branding mistake for pro-trump people to use dark in their branding now i think it did work in the case of deplorables and if you're black in america it probably does work to use the n-word as sort of you know owning owning the word that was so painful in the past so you can take something that was used that used against you and flip it around and use it as a badge of you know strength or something i guess so sometimes you can do that but i don't think this is a good application of that in my opinion the maga people if they wanted to win should stay as far away from the word dark as they possibly can because what is the biggest issue that uh anybody who might be a little bit you know independent on this what is the biggest issue they have with trump that he's scary and dark and you know he just scares the crap out of people the way that trump won the first time was by being super provocative and aggressive is that the same way he would win the second time when the polls have him beating everybody already we're doing nothing he doesn't have to do anything and apparently he's ahead in the polls should he use the same strategy of ultimate provocation well it depends if he if he can adjust strategy to fit a situation have you seen evidence that he can he can radically change his approach to fit a new situation ah yes and no it's not really clear trump is famously flexible i mean he used to be a democrat and then he became a republican right that's pretty flexible but that's also historical you know once you become president and you you got there doing a certain technique it's kind of hard to stop doing the thing that worked even if you think it might be time to you know destroy your old self to build a new self for the new challenge you end up fighting the last war the same way or you end up fighting the new war as if it were the last war it's it's one of those human human let's say impulses i would call it a failing except that it's sort of universal we all do it you're always fighting the last war let me let me put it out there if if trump could act any way that works and he were not slave to his past if he could be anything that would just be good what would be by far the number one thing that would get him elected for a second term number one would be play nice because his his followers would know what he was doing they'd say oh i get it he's just playing nice to get elected but he's still trump you know once he gets elected he's gonna still do all the things he wants to do but he could radically change the way he talks about things talking about the border he could simply talk about the pressure it's putting on the low-income people at the border the pressure is putting on black americans and just leave it at that he doesn't even have to make a big deal about building a wall he doesn't have to because his case is already won when he started out with the whole wall thing in my opinion it was brilliant persuasion because he was trying to make a big impact and draw all the attention to him on that subject but he succeeded now everybody understands this whole border thing is a problem stop arguing you know this is a classic case where you don't want to sell past the clothes trump has the close he closed the sale without trying after office by leaving office and showing that the alternative to trump's policies were a disaster he closed the sale he can let the press do it for him he should now stop selling stop talking about a wall because that will only piss people off build the wall sure yeah yeah sure build the wall because he already won that argument you don't need to argue the thing you already want just you know quietly start it up again if somebody asks you and they would ask are you going to rebuild the wall the proper answer is not build a wall build a wall you know jail hillary clinton that's just old the new answer should be we should do a variety of things that work but yeah i think the border was border wall is important to beef it up in areas where we have a special problem over time maybe we could get the whole thing walled but we certainly want to do whatever works as quickly as possible to get it under control am i right because who's going to argue with that at this point because even the democrats agree with a little bit of wall makes a difference even they agree with that so just agree with the democrats say it's a huge problem and everybody knows what you're going to do about it they'll know he's gonna do the same thing he did last time there's no mystery you don't have to rub it in you don't even have to make a big deal about how right you were because it's just in front of everybody they can see it he would make a big deal about it so um now trump's big asset is that he could absorb all of the energy from the press so if you were doing that again is that still the right thing now because i think you got too much energy really you know maybe you could tone down the energy and you still you still out energy the other side by a mile well uh here's another thing trump was right on so the murder rate in america is way up but it's especially shocking in black populations so the black american murder rate shot up 43 in 2020 so the beginning of the pandemic and when there was a lot of black lives matter stuff so after the black lives matter movement it's stated and very clear intention to improve the impression of you know the value of black lives and also to improve their situation and to make it especially more than anything especially safe in terms of police and you know physical safety but the outcome was exactly the opposite and in a big way that the murder rate uh just shot up and the the black on black crime especially is through the roof it was trump right that you know keeping the police well funded and doing what we used to do would be better than defunding the police probably so probably was right all right um let's talk about twitter rasmussen did a poll and uh 39 of uh american adults believe it would be good for twitter if musk bought the company so 39 are on musk's side about buying the company 22 percent think it would be bad for twitter now i think a better question would be bad for america or good for america but bad or good for twitter is an interesting way to put that all right but 26 think it would not make much difference if the richest man in the world whose intention is to change the lever that moves uh all of free speech which is really the operating system for civilization uh 26 think that uh that wouldn't make much difference no no no only the most impactful entrepreneur of our lifetime um who's got a stated goal of really really changing things and already has his teeth into it um 26 percent think that's not going to make much difference i mean how much difference could it make if elon musk owns the company what has he ever done that surprised you right 26 26 if we were to round that it's about uh carry the two it's about 25 25 i think elon musk wouldn't make much difference if he bought twitter for those of you who are just joining us i always point out that 25 of people polled get every answer wrong i don't know if it's the same 25 i worry that it is i i'm concerned that it's always the same 25 but i'd like to think it's a different 25 for each question well so there's a as i tweeted cryptically there's sort of a an i am spartacus thing happening right now and if you know the reference from movie spartacus uh spartacus was hiding among the slaves and when the the romans were asking for the spartacus to stand up because they didn't have they didn't have facial recognition back then so they couldn't tell who was spartacus in this crowd of slaves somebody who was not spartacus stood up to accept whatever punishment spartacus would have and they're like okay you know i guess if you say you're spartacus kabir will kill you and then somebody else stood up and then slowly everybody stands up and they're all spartacus so you know it was kind of like famous movie scene and i'm watching what i would call a subtle spartacus movement in which people who have tremendous influence in society but not they're not elected it's just people whose opinions are going to move your opinion more than other people they're starting to emerge you know i i i told you that neval has just sort of very subtly weighed in and said of course we're going to fight over over twitter of course we're going to fight he didn't say was signed he's on because he he doesn't he famously is not aligned left or right but do you think he's against free speech do you do you think he's against free speech i don't think so i don't think so uh but the most surprising one jack dorsey it wasn't surprising that the news says that joe rogan is strongly backing uh musk for buying twitter you weren't surprised at that but interesting that it's a major story right because joe rogan's influence and credibility is now so big that the fact that he endorses somebody for a specific action isn't is national news i mean who wants who else does that how about bill maher bill maher is also pro-musk in terms of buying twitter interesting isn't it i guess he's spartacus too so um but the most interesting spartacus is uh jack dorsey who on twitter of all places has now insulted twitter's board of directors for their competency competency um so there was a there was a post by somebody else uh in which the user equipped that the company's early beginning was mired in plots and coup among among its founding executives and uh i guess jack dorsey uh liked that but then he gets a little back and forth with brian selter stelter of cnn and um and he also talked about how uh cnn had faked a news report in ferguson and jack dorsey was there and watched it live so he actually was there in person in ferguson during the the riot situation there and watched cnn trying to incite some some trouble to get it on camera and i i would imagine that's the sort of thing that changes you so here's what's news about it first of all uh to have jack dorsey uh publicly criticized the board of directors of twitter as the problem with twitter and somebody asked them are you allowed to do that and he said succinctly no are you allowed to criticize the board of twitter no and that he did it it's i am spartacus it's basically a whole bunch of people who are just done they're just done they're done with being gaslit by everyone right it's it's not just fox news it's not just cnn it's just everyone just everyone's gaslighting everyone and and there there appeared to be some very influential people who are just done they're just done with that so yeah i can't say this okay i'm gonna do it i can't endorse this guy i'm gonna do it anyway bill maher i can't endorse somebody who's you know not all on the left well i'm gonna do it anyway so there are so some spartaci that's the plural of spartacus if you didn't know so the spartakai are starting to line up um i'll i will add my own you know tiny spartacus influence to say i'm 100 behind musk buying twitter 100 i don't have even the slightest reservation about that one um and i would argue that there's nobody really really smart who disagrees with musk buying twitter or at least i haven't seen one so i've seen people you know i've seen max boot say it's a bad idea you might see some people who are purely political say it's a bad idea but you can't count that they're just being purely political but tell me just show me somebody who's sort of not famously political an independent thinker with an iq over 140.

it's pretty high bar show me somebody who's a history of independent thinking an american with an iq over 140 who has any problem with musk buying twitter i'll bet there are not many of those i bet they're not mine let's take let's see warren buffett haven't heard from him i don't think he's made any comment right i'm not sure he will but do you think warren buffett who is very clearly in the democrat uh realm do you think that warren buffett if asked would say it's a bad idea for musk to take over twitter i don't know he might make some general statements about you know billionaire control of the media or something but i i've got a feeling he would not be against that i don't think anybody above a certain iq with a history of independence i'm not talking about somebody who's actually a politician but people with a history of some independent thought i don't think any of them are going to be on the other side could be wrong we'll see so the other thing that jack said jack dorsey you tweeted at stelter because stelter was criticizing carlson tucker carlson so brian stelter of cnn goes after tucker carlson in a quote and said tucker carlson is always selling the same thing he's selling doubt and i think he was pointing to somebody else's article on that so he's selling doubt and then jack dorsey responded to that tweet by saying and you all are selling hope now how many of you how many of you believed that jack dorsey was just you know he's just a democrat and probably pretty aoc-ish and that's it so that's how you understand them he's just he's just a democrat how many thought he was just he's just way over there in the left i don't think that's ever been true but let me give you a little test who is the person who is most publicly uh been saying and for for years now has been saying that twitter should change its algorithm so that the users have an option of what to do with it so it's not up to the company what you see who is the most famous person who has been criticizing twitter's algorithm for the last several years jack dorsey jack dorsey is the most vocal you know at least you know noticeable person who's been criticizing twitter's algorithm and the way they do it and how long was he still at twitter when that change was never made have you been watching that because the first time you said it i thought oh obviously they're working on that now because the ceo doesn't say we need to do this unless they're working on it because it's just software i mean certainly within the doable category of things right but then jack dorsey leaves and criticizes the board it sounds like we're finding out maybe one of the reasons certainly not the only one but we might be finding out one of the reasons he left it might be that he had a problem with twitter's free speech management and that he had suggested an obvious way to to address it very obvious the obvious way to address it is to let people choose their algorithm and just make it obvious what they get if they choose it and he got ignored well i don't know if ignored is the right word but he was not successful in getting that at the company he ran and then he left so i feel like the board may have this is just speculation based on your reading from the outside which is pretty dangerous but the speculation is that maybe the board prevented him from fixing the company in a way that any reasonable person would think was a good idea give people control over the algorithm how in the world do you argue against that idea i've never even heard anybody argue against it have you have you heard a counterpoint to that suggestion oh no don't give users full access to the algorithm that would give them exactly what they asked for who exactly is on the other side and he still couldn't get that done that tells you everything doesn't it and i think that's why he's he's going full spartacus i think he called his time exactly right because with musk's you know move on twitter this is exactly the right time for an independent thinker who i will surprise you by telling you he is surprise he's an independent thinker and um he pulled he called his he called his timing perfectly this is exactly the right time to do it so watch that space that's going to get better better and better um i love as much as i don't like the black mega meme um i suppose people who are doing it probably just like the the look of it it's kind of you know it's kind of awesome looking but i would back away from anything that could be used that easily against you um however i'm seeing the phrase covidiens used a lot by the people who were mocking the people who were too afraid to drop the mandates mostly in the masks but colin you remember the branch davidians in waco they were a splinter christian group you know yeah i guess i don't know what to call them but it was a religious group sort of a cult but calling the uh people who were afraid to take off their masks the mask covidiens is just so clever like it's not it's not really persuasive i don't i don't think i mean not in a way that matters because people are just going to do what they want to do now so you know i'm not even sure persuasion matters okay so i'll just say that i love that branding the mask covidiens all right and that ladies and gentlemen concludes my prepared remarks again one of the all-time most insightful and greatest things you've ever seen in your life and it makes you feel good too where else can you go to become smarter and better looking at the same time almost nowhere almost nowhere you don't think i could make you better looking do you think i could use persuasion to make you better looking does anybody believe i could do that i could do that it's easy because people who are confident look better it's that easy so hypnosis can make you more confident do you know one way you can do it to tell you you look great and you look sexy and you've never looked better in fact i can tell that you've improved your workout since the pandemic i see you've taken it up a notch you're looking not only sexier but more confident i've noticed that your your posture is better now spend a little time today to improve your posture while you're walking just when you're walking somewhere just just improve your posture and watch how you're better looking and it's only because i suggested it that made you think of it and then you thought of it and it was easy to do and you just stood up a little straighter and as soon as you stood up a little straighter felt a little more confident and people looking at you thought to themselves well you're a little more attractive so i just persuaded you to look more attractive literally that just happened now not every one of you in some big way but again it's the law of big numbers if there are a number of people who watch this some substantial number of you will think oh i will put my shoulders back and i will i will straighten my spine and tuck in my butt and you will actually be more attractive so sometimes these things are not that hard to accomplish so that was your i guess that's your treat for following to the end have you noticed that i sometimes put the most useful uh bits at the end oh it's it's part of my technique to make you addicted and it's working that's right now if you don't believe that me simply telling you through the screen that you're sexier and better looking will work then you haven't learned yet enough about persuasion because it doesn't matter if you if you regard the persuasion as true it matters if you hear it a lot that's it and you're hearing it because this format is what i call a mass personal experience so it's a mass broadcast to lots of people but it's weirdly personal isn't it and because it feels personal because it's me talking to you and i'm telling you that all you have to do is straighten up your back and and act a little more confident and other people will see you that way it's going to have more impact than if it was something you read in a magazine or something because of the nature of this it makes it it will it will make your brain act as though it worked oh here's the freakiest thing are you ready for this this is something that i may have discovered something but i want you to test it because i only i only have one anecdotal experience please test this it goes like this you have to sneeze back to the sneezing thing but you can't let's say you're someplace you don't want to sneeze last night the cat was on my chest i was really happy he was kneading into the blanket and stuff and i didn't want to sneeze and scare her off and so i was trying to work her into the idea that a sneeze was coming by starting small if i could hold off the actual sneeze so i started this way i went at you and she didn't move and then i went at you she still didn't move then i went ah and she still didn't move and i thought okay now she's primed because when the real one comes it's going to be a little louder than that last one but maybe she's now used to it as something that doesn't hurt and the next one will be like ah it's you but you know what happened my fake sneeze made my urge to actually sneeze stop instantly and i said to myself oh my god i'll bet that could actually work here's the hypothesis the hypothesis is that this disease is forming in your brain not your body and that if your brain was satisfied that you had sneezed it would turn off the impulse and i believe that my fake artificial sneeze turned off the switch to make me actually sneeze so here's what i want you to test the next time you have a sneeze coming and you're sure it's one that's going to happen do a loud fake sneeze assuming you're somewhere where you can do that just go ha shoe and try to sell it but it's definitely not a real sneeze watch what happens to the real one if it turns off it's gonna blow your freaking mind like it did mine last night now i don't know if this could work for me again and i don't know if if it was just a coincidence but i've never stopped to sneeze before have you have you ever stopped to sneeze i mean the closest i've ever come is like that kind but i stopped it cold like it was a deafening sneeze and it just boop gone somebody here says it works all right so you need to test that for me and forget i'll forget that i asked you to do it so test it for me the first time you get a hit on it if it works you have to message me or put it in the comments or tweet it at me or something because if this works it's going to change everything you think about everything and it might work so that's your test for the day and youtube i will see you tomorrow

[Music]

good morning everybody

and welcome to

that's right

the best day of your life

a highlight of civilization and possibly

the best thing that's ever happened in

any part of the metaverse

as far as we know

that's my claim and

look for a fact check on that

i'll bet you you will not see any fact

checkers

who consider that false so go to google

and

you know google fact check and see if

it's wrong

or

have they decided to let it pass

yes i believe it is the best day of your

life and all you need is a copper mug or

a glass of tiger chelsea stein a canteen

sugar flask a vessel of any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid

i like coffee

and join me now

for the unparalleled pleasure it's the

dopamine head of the day

it's the thing that makes that tingle on

the back of your neck

it's

yeah the simultaneous sip it's gonna

happen now watch what it does to you go

oh yeah ah that's so good

so good

it feels like a

a hike in the woods doesn't it

all right

um do you know what i like one of the

best feelings in the world

have you ever had a sneezing attack when

you were in a forest

you know normally if you have to sneeze

you're usually around people and then

it's this big awkward thing especially

during covet and you're doing the whole

and then you spray yourself and

the entire experience is very

unsatisfying

but have you ever been like completely

away from everybody

you're just literally in a forest

and a sneezing attack comes on and you

just let it fly you're just like

how do you feel

you feel good

it's like one of the best feelings

there's very there are few very few

times

when you don't have to

let's say respond to other people's

social pressures

but a good sneeze in the woods

that'll set you free you'll feel good

all day

so if you haven't tried that uh go try

that now

um here's a question that i've been

wondering what is the exact ratio of

fake news to real news

fake news over real news do the math

what would be the proper ratio

before you could be called a conspiracy

theorist

would it be

ten percent

suppose ten percent of the things you

said turned out to be

unfounded conspiracy theories

would that be enough

to call you a conspiracy theorist

about

50 percent

about 50

would you then be a conspiracy

theorist

suppose more than half of the things you

reported or talked about more than half

what if more than half of them were at

least

well let's say incorrect because of the

context they're given

would that feel like you should be

called

a conspiracy

theorist

well i don't know but the news today

is that um

several of alex jones's company i guess

three of

alex jones companies have filed for

bankruptcy now this is actually a legal

financial technique it doesn't mean he's

losing money

some people will read it that way

but uh he's been called a uh

conspiracy theorist by bloomberg and cnn

and i'm thinking to myself especially

cnn

well what is the ratio

are they claiming that he's got a higher

ratio of incorrect

news to correct news

maybe he does i'm not even judging

i i i've never done the you know the

analysis

so i don't know

but it begs the question doesn't it

what if both of them are squarely in the

category of well you know that's a

little conspiracy-ish

isn't it

you know

am i right or wrong that cnn pushed the

the russia collusion hoax

forever

i'm pretty sure they did i think i think

uh there were quite a few hoaxes that

they pushed as real

how many of the how many of the hoaxes

the cnn promoted did alex jones believe

ah what just happened to you right there

how many of the hoaxes

the cnn promoted and there were a lot of

them big ones

the drinking bleach oaks the fine people

hoax the you know the russians

bounty on american soldiers hoax

i mean it just goes on and on

but how many of those did alex jones say

well yeah i believe that story how about

none

how about none

do you get any credit at all

for being able to spot the other side's

conspiracy theories

right you know cnn acts like they're the

only ones who could spot a conspiracy

theory i'm pretty sure alex jones

spotted a few on them

pretty sure

and we're going to talk about somebody

else who spotted some

some sketchy behavior on cnn

in another segment

so

anyway uh just

so alex jones is responding i think

because he lost some lawsuits or one

lawsuit

uh about the sandy hook

story

so i don't need to get into that but he

made some claims that did not hold up

and

uh some people approved that they were

injured in in court they proved it

anyway at least to a jury satisfaction

so he owes lots of money to people who

claim to be victims of his

uh

so-called conspiracy theories at least

once one specific one

and

so when you file for bankruptcy

you're really just trying to give

yourself protection against a big

lawsuit or a big specific problem

it doesn't mean that he's cash negative

or that he's losing money

it just means he couldn't pay all of

that money all at once

or he chooses to find some way to you

know

weasel out of it

so it's more of a financial

financial technique the only thing we

can know for sure

is that he's not making so many millions

of dollars

that it's worth it to him to just pay a

few million to make it go away

so

so we don't know exactly what his

financial situation is but don't assume

that it's bad just because he uses this

financial technique that doesn't mean

that doesn't mean he's in trouble

financially

um

well how about this

a florida judge

just put the kibosh on um

[Music]

mask mandates

and at least the tsa for example is

dropping them and now uber and a number

of other places are dropping them but

they're not being dropped everywhere so

there are some cities that are keeping

them on local mass transit for example

and not all of the airlines have weighed

in yet but most of the airlines are

going along with

dropping the requirement

can we take a moment

i mean it's not over over

but it's

it's going to be

because you know the slippery slope

works in both directions right now we're

heading back to something closer to

normal

now

i never believed that we would have to

wear masks forever

did any of you

how many of you believed yeah

somebody

i'm seeing in the comments i don't know

if this is true but somebody say it was

a trump-appointed judge

was it a trump-appointed judge that made

that decision

is that confirmed or is that just a

twitter thing

a lot of people say yes

so

let's treat it like it's yes isn't that

kind of perfect

remember i i told you that one of the

prediction methods i use

is if things work out too perfectly like

a movie would work out

it might tell you you live in a

simulation but for some reason it

predicts

we so often end up in a situation where

that could only happen in a in a week

there's another one

i'll tell you later about one i got

wrong

um

so

i don't have much to say about this

except that

thank god

oh my god

and and by the way

congratulations to all of you

congratulations you know i know some of

you uh fought the mandates

and thank you

so for everybody who pushed back against

the mandates when it was really clear

you know once it became clear that they

were over applied

thank you

thanks for all the citizen pushback

thanks for

thanks for being on the right side in my

opinion

and thanks for being active you know at

least making your your thoughts known

that you know i've always told you that

i can't speak for other countries

but in the united states the the public

does run the government

we just sort of act like we don't know

it

the only thing the public has to do is

agree

if the public agrees they can get what

they want

we our system

pretty much guarantees it maybe not on

day one right but if the public is all

on one side solidly they're going to get

what they want so basically this is a

victory of the public

because who knows what the government

would have done on its own right who

knows

but but we do know that the public

pushed it until it broke

i mean i think that's just what happened

i think to put i i think that anybody

who makes a decision

to unmask

is doing it in the context of knowing

that the public has had enough

right it's going to get violent if it if

it goes too much longer

so

um

it took way too long but here we are so

let's let's at least celebrate the good

news that is by far not complete

and by the way

are you having the same

impression that i am

the the fact that the employees

generally you know the lower paid people

on the scale

of these big companies and restaurants

and stuff the fact that they still have

to wear masks when when the people

they're serving do not

is just grotesque

i i don't know why

black lives matter or anybody who cares

about you know the lower end of the

income spectrum

i don't know why they're not making a

bigger deal about that i mean it's it's

viscerally disgusting

i mean to me it feels like walking onto

a plantation and in the days of slavery

like like what it would feel to have

such obvious

signs of unequal treatment of human

beings

right obviously it's not like slavery

so before somebody goes wild and says oh

you compared masquerading to slavery no

no no no no

it's just an analogy

yeah settle down settle down

it's not the holocaust it's just masks

but in terms of the both of them giving

you a visceral feel

i don't know i can't get past it

and

and and tell me if this makes it worse

if you say somebody who's black

and underpaid

and wearing a mask

when you're not

doesn't it make you feel a little extra

creepy

you know maybe you shouldn't because

again that would be a bigoted

right it would be bigoted to have any

opinion about the color of the person

wearing it but you know we're still

primed that way

you know we're primed by

the news our own history of slavery etc

so you do see it that way at least i do

like it gives it that little extra

like what the hell are we doing like how

do we allow it

yeah how do how do the rich people allow

it honestly

like everybody should be complaining

about that

the the lack

i guess it more than other things shows

a lack of consideration

for other people

in such a

like fundamental way that it's just

disgusting

it's one thing if you say

you know i don't want to raise my taxes

to give it to other people

because that you can explain that in

terms of the system works better if

everybody has to you know look out for

themselves if they can if they have the

ability

but this isn't one of those times it's

not like there's any larger

system that's being supported by it

nothing's being supported by it's

literally just discriminating against

people who don't have power

that's it

it's just power

it's an absolute brutal

disgusting

disgusting use of power

anyway

um

so

do you all know who malcolm nance is he

had been until recently

one of the voices or contributors on

msnbc

um

if you don't know who malcolm nance is

the story won't be nearly as funny

but apparently he quit msnbc and he

joined the ukrainian international

legion

to go fight for ukraine

now

he was in apparently he's a navy veteran

i guess he was a linguist or something i

don't know if malcolm nance ever saw any

actions

could anybody confirm that

because

he doesn't exactly look like

at least if he was in the navy i don't

know if he saw any ground action

but

there he is pictured in his camouflage

he's got his little name there and he's

holding his his weapon

and

he said he just couldn't stand you know

reporting on it and and not doing

something

so he decided to go over there and do

something

and are you saying to yourself

somebody says he's 61 years old and that

feels about right

what do you suppose it is he's doing

over there exactly

i don't even know what to think of this

now the most logical thing to think of

it is not that he's helping ukraine but

he's maybe getting ready to write a book

you know he's trying to cash out on it

he's a fluffer or somebody says

intel gathering

cia stuff somebody says

i don't know

i feel like there would be a better way

to do almost everything

translation

as a translator

what languages does he speak does

anybody know what language is malcolm

nance speaks

um

you must he probably speaks a few

languages i'm guessing

anyway

i

i don't even know what to say about that

story all i can say is if you know him

and if you know the things he said on

msnbc

he is one of the consistently

crazy sounding people

like in a scale of one to

uh keith olbermann you know where

olbermann would be like the top of the

crazy scale

he'd be sort of a full of olbermann

you know some people would be like a

half oberman

but he'd be like a full old man

we'll talk about him a little bit too

all right um

let's see what else has happened

remember i

i told you that if you wanted to predict

who's going to win in ukraine

that the only number that matters at

this point would be the number of uh

switchblade and other drones they have

and i said if they have enough drones

and presumably they could train people

fairly quickly

to to use them i don't know how long it

takes to

if your if your life depends on it how

long does it take to learn how to use a

drone

a day i don't know so

uh 300 switch fade blade drones or be

sent to ukraine

so

how many switchblade drones these would

be things which can hover over a target

for

several minutes i guess or half an hour

or 10 minutes whatever it is and get a

really good idea of what's down there

before they dive down and destroy it

but they're they're suicide drones

so you get to use them once

but they're they're pretty good

but it's like it's sort of one and done

so now they have the ability to make 300

russian assets explode

including maybe some assassinations of

generals or whatever

would 300

successful attacks

change the course of the war

i don't think so

right now it wouldn't even be like a dot

because when the russians do these you

know bombing runs aren't they doing

thousands and thousands

you know but by the time russia is done

how many bombing runs will they have

made

like

30 000 or something it's like it's a

gigantic number isn't it because they're

just continually going

so it seems to me that if if the numbers

we're looking at is

uh hundreds you know the low hundreds of

of drones

then russia gets what it wants

am i right

somebody says they've done 1500 missile

strikes that russia has and the missiles

are just being a small

small percentage of the

the blow up stuff they're sending over

there

the the exploding stuff

all right

so this doesn't look good if i had to

guess without having any military

experience whatsoever which i think i

demonstrate every single day

i don't think that ukraine could win

without

five thousand drones

suppose they had five thousand

switchblade drones

could they win

i mean if five thousand of russia's

more important assets blew up

i don't know

that feels like that would start to make

an impact

if if they were the right assets at the

right time

suppose they used all of them to take

out their supply lines

would they just rebuild them as fast as

they were being destroyed so it wouldn't

make any difference

maybe

but i feel like you could stop an army

with 5 000

successful drone strikes

no

if you took out the right stuff because

remember it doesn't matter how much

stuff russia has

it only matters how many of it you have

to take out to the whole deal

and that would be a much smaller number

if you chose correctly

so

uh

so somebody is

pointing out that my military expertise

seems to be limited to how i feel

and you are correct

but you agree with the basic idea right

the basic idea is that some number of

drones is definitely not enough

but some number of drones is definitely

enough

and it's definitely not 300 jones is

enough

i don't think you have to be a military

expert to know that right that's

definitely not enough

but it's five thousand

now i don't know that the answer to that

question but

i don't know

i don't think anybody does right

so he says so you have no idea what

you're talking about yeah i do

i know it's really hard to stop a

switchblade drone

and i know the 300 is not enough

and i know that logically

some number would get you anything you

want

so i mean that seems fairly

straightforward

now of course if russia wanted to win

badly enough it probably wouldn't matter

how many drones there were they would

just level ukraine

all right let's talk about uh

this weird five-year lag between trump

sounding crazy and trump are proven

right

so i saw a tweet from jim jordan

representative jordan

and he said the ci the cia knew as early

as 2017

five years ago that the trump-russia

collusion data was not technically

plausible and was user created both of

those in quotes so those are based on

the actual investigation that's not just

jordan's opinion

that's what

the investigation has

turned up so far

and i thought to myself is that i wonder

if that rule of thumb will hold

that about five years from the time

that

trump says something's

you find out that it was

because here are some of the other

things when was it that trump first said

germany would be hostage to russia's

energy policy

around

five years ago

now it's not when he first thought of it

but it's when he first said it in public

and got mocked let's say

right about five years ago

uh how about

the idea of making the united states

energy independent

right he was saying that around

five six years ago

about china being our biggest problem

and needing to you know get business out

of there and be and and be tough with

them on business and stuff

about five years ago

uh how about

all the noise you made about the border

being important

about five years ago

[Laughter]

everything about crime about five years

ago when he first started talking about

everything

basically all you have to do is take

take trump minus five years and you can

you can find out

everything that's uh important and big

so here's something i have some

questions about there's apparently a

hashtag slash movement

called dark magga

hashtag dark mega

it involves themes in which um

trump-related images are being treated

as you know just red and black

scary-looking images and

i've heard it described and i have a

real question here so here's where my

skepticism

is turned up i've heard it described as

a movement that's waiting for trump to

return to seek vengeance on all those

who

hurt him or were republicans i guess

now

certainly there are plenty of

republicans who have that mindset

can't wait for trump to get reelected

and

but you know the swamp didn't get that

cleaned out last time did it

i don't remember a lot of swamp draining

going on

not a lot of that happened

in fact the swamp drain to trump is

looks like what happened

uh but this is how uh

it was described by one tweet

um was this cnn i think cnn said this

behind the movement

this dark mega movement they're calling

it there's no single identifiable group

or a clear ideology

g-net whoever that is said many of the

messages posted by dark magus supporters

incite violence and contain misogynistic

and or racist comments

dark magga

now you might remember that in 2016

i called out the word dark as something

that was probably expert made

and i had guessed that maybe you know

robert cialdini

who has advised democrats democrats for

president in the past such as obama

they probably somebody like him came up

with that

because it's so sticky you can make

everything fit into it it's like oh

trump said this well that's kind of dark

oh a republican said that oh that's a

dark image and and that if you just get

this idea of dark in people's minds

dark just brings with it all the scary

stuff

right

so

um

it seems to me it would be a branding

mistake for pro-trump people to use dark

in their

branding

now

i think it did work in the case of

deplorables

and if you're black in america

it probably does work to use the n-word

as sort of you know owning owning the

word that was so painful in the past so

you can take something that was used

that used against you

and flip it around and use it as a badge

of you know strength or something i

guess

so sometimes you can do that but i don't

think this is a good application of that

in my opinion

the maga people if they wanted to win

should stay as far away from the word

dark as they possibly can

because what is the biggest

issue

that uh anybody who might be a little

bit

you know independent on this what is the

biggest issue they have with trump

that he's

scary and dark and

you know he just scares the crap out of

people

the way that trump won the first time

was by being super provocative and

aggressive

is that the same way he would win the

second time when the polls have him

beating everybody already we're doing

nothing

he doesn't have to do anything and

apparently he's ahead in the polls

should he use the same strategy of

ultimate provocation

well

it depends if he if he can adjust

strategy to fit a situation have you

seen evidence that he can

he can radically change his approach

to fit a new situation

ah

yes and no

it's not really clear

trump is famously flexible

i mean he used to be a democrat and then

he became a republican right that's

pretty flexible

but that's also historical

you know once you become president and

you you got there doing a certain

technique it's kind of hard to stop

doing the thing that worked

even if you think it might be time to

you know destroy your old self to build

a new self for the new challenge

you end up fighting the last war the

same way or you end up fighting the new

war

as if it were the last war it's it's one

of those human

human let's say impulses

i would call it a failing except that

it's sort of universal we all do it

you're always fighting the last war

let me let me put it out there if if

trump could act any way that works

and he were not slave to his past if he

could be anything that would just be

good what would be by far

the number one thing that would get him

elected for a second term

number one would be

play nice

because his his followers would know

what he was doing they'd say oh i get it

he's just playing nice to get elected

but he's still trump

you know once he gets elected he's gonna

still do all the things he wants to do

but he could radically change the way he

talks about things

talking about the border he could simply

talk about

the pressure it's putting on the

low-income people at the border

the pressure is putting on black

americans and just leave it at that

he doesn't even have to make a big deal

about building a wall

he doesn't have to because his case is

already won

when he started out with the whole wall

thing

in my opinion it was brilliant

persuasion because he was trying to make

a big impact and draw all the attention

to him on that subject but he succeeded

now everybody understands this whole

border thing is a problem

stop arguing

you know this is a classic case where

you don't want to

sell past the clothes

trump has the close

he closed the sale

without trying after office by leaving

office and showing that the alternative

to trump's policies were a disaster he

closed the sale

he can let the press do it for him

he should now stop selling

stop talking about a wall

because that will only piss people off

build the wall sure

yeah yeah sure build the wall because he

already won that argument

you don't need to argue the thing you

already want

just you know quietly start it up again

if somebody asks you

and they would ask are you going to

rebuild the wall

the proper answer is not build a wall

build a wall

you know

jail hillary clinton

that's just old

the new answer should be

we should do a variety of things that

work

but yeah i think the border was border

wall is important to beef it up in areas

where we have a special problem over

time maybe we could get the whole thing

walled but we certainly want to do

whatever works as quickly as possible to

get it under control

am i right

because who's going to argue with that

at this point

because even the democrats agree with a

little bit of wall makes a difference

even they agree with that

so just agree with the democrats say

it's a huge problem

and everybody knows what you're going to

do about it

they'll know he's gonna do the same

thing he did last time there's no

mystery you don't have to rub it in you

don't even have to

make a big deal about how right you were

because

it's just in front of everybody they can

see it he would make a big deal about it

so

um

now

trump's big asset is that he could

absorb all of the energy from the press

so if you were doing that again

is that still the right thing now

because i think you got too much energy

really

you know maybe you could tone down the

energy and you still you still out

energy the other side by a mile

well uh here's another thing trump was

right on

so

the murder rate in america is way up but

it's especially shocking in black

populations so the black american murder

rate shot up 43 in 2020 so the beginning

of the pandemic and

when there was a lot of

black lives matter stuff so

after the black lives matter movement

it's stated and very clear intention to

improve the

impression of you know the value of

black lives

and also to improve their situation and

to make it especially

more than anything especially safe in

terms of police and you know physical

safety

but the outcome was exactly the opposite

and in a big way

that the murder rate uh just shot up and

the

the black on black crime especially is

through the roof

it was trump right that

you know keeping the police well funded

and doing what we used to do would be

better than

defunding the police

probably so

probably was right

all right um

let's talk about twitter rasmussen did a

poll and uh

39

of uh american adults believe it would

be good for twitter if musk bought the

company so 39

are on musk's side about buying the

company

22 percent think it would be bad for

twitter

now i think a better question would be

bad for america or good for america

but bad or good for twitter is an

interesting way to put that

all right but 26 think it would not make

much difference if the richest man in

the world

whose intention is to change the lever

that moves

uh all of free speech which is really

the operating system for

civilization

uh 26 think that uh that wouldn't make

much difference

no no no only the most impactful

entrepreneur

of our lifetime

um who's got a stated goal of really

really changing things and already has

his teeth into it

um

26 percent think that's not going to

make much difference i mean

how much difference could it make if

elon musk

owns the company

what has he ever done

that surprised you right

26

26

if we were to round that

it's about uh

carry the two it's about 25

25

i think elon musk wouldn't make much

difference if he bought twitter

for those of you who are just joining us

i always point out that 25 of people

polled get every answer wrong

i don't know if it's the same 25

i worry that it is

i i'm concerned that it's always the

same 25 but i'd like to think it's a

different 25 for each question

well

so there's a as i tweeted cryptically

there's sort of a an i am spartacus

thing happening right now

and if you know the reference from

movie spartacus

uh spartacus was hiding among the slaves

and when the

the romans were asking for the spartacus

to stand up because they didn't have

they didn't have facial recognition back

then so they couldn't tell who was

spartacus in this crowd of slaves

somebody who was not spartacus stood up

to accept whatever punishment spartacus

would have and they're like okay you

know i guess if you say you're spartacus

kabir will kill you and then somebody

else stood up

and then slowly everybody stands up and

they're all spartacus

so

you know it was kind of like famous

movie scene

and i'm watching what i would call a

subtle spartacus movement

in which people who have tremendous

influence

in society but not they're not elected

it's just people whose opinions

are going to move your opinion more than

other people

they're starting to

emerge

you know i i i told you that neval has

just sort of very subtly weighed in and

said of course we're going to fight

over over twitter of course we're going

to fight

he didn't say was signed he's on

because he he doesn't

he famously is not aligned left or right

but

do you think he's against free speech

do you

do you think he's against free speech i

don't think so i don't think so

uh but the most surprising one

jack dorsey

it wasn't surprising that the news says

that joe rogan is strongly backing

uh musk for buying twitter you weren't

surprised at that

but interesting that it's a major story

right

because joe rogan's influence and

credibility is now so big

that the fact that he endorses somebody

for a specific action

isn't is national news

i mean who wants who else does that

how about bill maher

bill maher

is also pro-musk in terms of buying

twitter

interesting isn't it i guess he's

spartacus too

so um

but the most interesting spartacus

is uh jack dorsey

who on twitter of all places

has now insulted twitter's board of

directors for their competency

competency

um

so there was a there was a post by

somebody else uh in which the user

equipped

that the company's early beginning was

mired in plots and coup among among its

founding executives and uh i guess jack

dorsey uh liked that

but then he gets a little back and forth

with brian selter stelter of cnn

and

um

and he also talked about how uh

cnn had faked a news

report in ferguson and jack dorsey was

there and watched it live so he actually

was there in person in ferguson during

the the riot situation there and watched

cnn trying to incite some some trouble

to get it on camera

and

i i would imagine that's the sort of

thing that changes you so here's what's

news about it

first of all

uh to have jack dorsey uh publicly

criticized the board of directors of

twitter as the problem with twitter

and somebody asked them are you allowed

to do that and he said succinctly no

are you allowed to criticize the board

of twitter

no

and that he did it

it's i am spartacus it's basically a

whole bunch of people who are just done

they're just done

they're done with

being gaslit by everyone

right it's it's not just fox news it's

not just cnn it's just everyone

just everyone's gaslighting everyone and

and there there appeared to be some very

influential people who are just done

they're just done with that so yeah i

can't say this okay i'm gonna do it

i can't endorse this guy i'm gonna do it

anyway

bill maher i can't endorse somebody

who's you know not all on the left well

i'm gonna do it anyway

so there are so some spartaci that's the

plural of spartacus if you didn't know

so the spartakai are starting to line up

um i'll i will add my own

you know tiny spartacus influence to say

i'm 100

behind musk buying twitter 100

i don't have even the slightest

reservation about that one

um

and i would argue that there's nobody

really really smart who disagrees with

musk buying twitter

or at least i haven't seen one

so i've seen people

you know i've seen

max boot say it's a bad idea

you might see some people who are purely

political say it's a bad idea but you

can't count that they're just being

purely political

but

tell me

just show me somebody who's sort of not

famously political an independent

thinker with an iq over

140.

it's pretty high bar

show me somebody who's a history of

independent thinking an american

with an iq over 140

who has any problem with musk buying

twitter

i'll bet there are not many of those

i bet they're not mine

let's take

let's see

warren buffett

haven't heard from him i don't think

he's

made any comment right i'm not sure he

will but do you think warren buffett who

is very clearly in the democrat

uh realm

do you think that warren buffett if

asked would say it's a bad idea for musk

to take over twitter

i don't know he might make some general

statements about

you know billionaire control of the

media or something but

i i've got a feeling he would not be

against that

i don't think anybody above a certain iq

with a history of independence i'm not

talking about somebody who's actually a

politician but people with a history of

some independent thought i don't think

any of them are going to be on the other

side

could be

wrong we'll see

so the other thing that jack said

jack dorsey

you tweeted at

stelter because stelter was criticizing

carlson tucker carlson

so

brian stelter of cnn goes after tucker

carlson in a quote

and said tucker carlson is always

selling the same thing

he's selling doubt and i think he was

pointing to somebody else's article on

that

so he's selling doubt

and then jack dorsey responded to that

tweet by saying and you all are selling

hope

now

how many of you how many of you believed

that jack dorsey was just you know he's

just a democrat and probably pretty

aoc-ish

and that's it so that's how you

understand them he's just he's just a

democrat how many thought he was just

he's just way over there in the left

i don't think that's ever been true

but let me give you a little test

who is the person who is most publicly

uh been saying and for for years now

has been saying that twitter should

change its algorithm so that the users

have an option

of what to do with it so it's not up to

the company what you see who is the most

famous person who has been criticizing

twitter's algorithm for the last several

years

jack dorsey

jack dorsey is the most vocal

you know at least you know noticeable

person

who's been criticizing

twitter's algorithm

and the way they do it

and

how long was he still at twitter when

that change was never made

have you been watching that because the

first time you said it i thought oh

obviously they're working on that now

because the ceo doesn't say we need to

do this

unless they're working on it because

it's just software

i mean

certainly within the

doable category of things right

but then jack dorsey leaves and

criticizes the board

it sounds like we're finding out maybe

one of the reasons certainly not the

only one

but we might be finding out one of the

reasons he left

it might be that he had a problem with

twitter's free speech management

and that he had suggested an obvious way

to

to address it

very obvious

the obvious way to address it is to let

people choose their algorithm and just

make it obvious what they get if they

choose it

and he got ignored

well i don't know if ignored is the

right word but he was not successful in

getting that at the company he ran

and then he left

so

i feel like the board

may have this is just speculation based

on your reading from the outside which

is pretty dangerous

but the speculation is that maybe the

board

prevented him from fixing the company

in a way that any reasonable person

would think was a good idea give people

control over the algorithm

how in the world do you argue against

that idea

i've never even heard anybody argue

against it have you

have you heard a counterpoint to that

suggestion oh no

don't give users full access to the

algorithm that would give them exactly

what they asked for

who exactly is on the other side and he

still couldn't get that done

that tells you everything doesn't it

and i think that's why he's

he's going full

spartacus i think he called his time

exactly right

because with musk's

you know move on twitter this is exactly

the right time

for an independent thinker

who i will surprise you by telling you

he is

surprise he's an independent thinker

and

um he pulled he called his he called his

timing perfectly this is exactly the

right time to do it

so watch that space that's going to get

better

better and better

um i love

as much as i don't like the black mega

meme

um i suppose people who are doing it

probably just like the the look of it

it's kind of you know it's kind of

awesome looking but i would back away

from anything that could be used that

easily against you

um

however

i'm seeing the phrase covidiens used a

lot

by the people who were mocking the

people who were too afraid to

drop the mandates mostly in the masks

but

colin

you remember the branch

davidians in waco they were a splinter

christian group you know

yeah

i guess i don't know what to call them

but it was a religious

group sort of a cult

but

calling the uh people who were afraid to

take off their masks the mask covidiens

is just so clever like it's not it's not

really persuasive

i don't i don't think i mean not in a

way that matters because people are just

going to do what they want to do now so

you know i'm not even sure persuasion

matters

okay

so i'll just say that i love that

branding the mask covidiens

all right and

that ladies and gentlemen concludes my

prepared remarks

again

one of the all-time

most insightful and greatest things

you've ever seen in your life

and

it makes you feel good too

where else can you go

to become smarter and better looking at

the same time

almost nowhere almost nowhere you don't

think i could make you better looking

do you think i could use persuasion

to make you

better looking

does anybody believe i could do that

i could do that

it's easy

because people who are confident look

better

it's that easy

so hypnosis can make you more confident

do you know one way you can do it

to tell you you look great and you look

sexy

and you've never looked better in fact i

can tell that you've improved your

workout since the pandemic i see you've

taken it up a notch

you're looking not only sexier but more

confident

i've noticed that your

your posture is

better now

spend a little time today to improve

your posture while you're walking

just when you're walking somewhere

just

just improve your posture

and watch

how you're better looking and it's only

because i suggested it that made you

think of it and then you thought of it

and it was easy to do and you just stood

up a little straighter and as soon as

you stood up a little straighter felt a

little more confident

and people looking at you thought to

themselves well you're a little more

attractive

so i just persuaded you

to

look more attractive

literally

that just happened

now not every one of you in some big way

but again it's the law of big numbers if

there are a number of people who watch

this

some substantial number of you will

think oh i will put my shoulders back

and i will i will straighten my spine

and tuck in my butt

and you will actually be more attractive

so sometimes these things are not that

hard to accomplish

so that was your

i guess that's your treat for following

to the end have you noticed that i

sometimes put the most useful

uh bits at the end

oh it's it's part of my technique

to make you addicted

and it's working

that's right

now if you don't believe

that me simply telling you through the

screen that you're sexier and better

looking

will work

then you haven't learned yet enough

about persuasion

because it doesn't matter if you if you

regard the persuasion as true

it matters if you hear it a lot

that's it and you're hearing it because

this format

is what i call a mass personal

experience

so it's a mass broadcast to lots of

people but it's weirdly personal isn't

it

and because it feels personal because

it's me talking to you

and i'm telling you that all you have to

do is

straighten up your back and

and act a little more confident and

other people will see you that way

it's going to have more impact than if

it was something you read in a magazine

or something because of the nature of

this it makes it it will it will make

your brain act as though it worked

oh

here's the freakiest thing are you ready

for this this is something that

i may have discovered something but i

want you to test it

because i only i only have one anecdotal

experience please test this it goes like

this

you have to sneeze

back to the sneezing thing

but you can't let's say you're someplace

you don't want to sneeze

last night the cat was on my chest i was

really happy he was kneading into the

blanket and stuff and i didn't want to

sneeze and scare her off

and so i was trying to

work her into the idea that a sneeze was

coming

by starting small

if i could hold off the actual sneeze so

i started this way i went

at you

and she didn't move and then i went

at you

she still didn't move

then i went ah

and she still didn't move and i thought

okay now she's primed

because when the real one comes it's

going to be a little louder than that

last one but maybe she's now used to it

as something that doesn't hurt and the

next one will be like ah it's you but

you know what happened

my fake sneeze

made my urge to actually sneeze

stop

instantly

and i said to myself

oh my god i'll bet that could actually

work here's the hypothesis

the hypothesis is that this disease is

forming in your brain

not your body

and that if your brain was satisfied

that you had sneezed

it would turn off the impulse

and i believe that my fake artificial

sneeze

turned off the switch to make me

actually sneeze

so here's what i want you to test the

next time you have a sneeze coming and

you're sure it's one that's going to

happen do a loud fake sneeze

assuming you're somewhere where you can

do that just go ha shoe

and try to sell it but it's definitely

not a real sneeze

watch what happens to the real one

if it turns off

it's gonna blow your freaking mind

like it did mine last night now i don't

know if this could work for me again and

i don't know if if it was just a

coincidence

but i've never stopped to sneeze before

have you

have you ever stopped to sneeze

i mean the closest i've ever come is

like that

kind

but i stopped it cold like it was a

deafening sneeze and it just boop gone

somebody here says it works

all right so

you need to test that for me and forget

i'll forget that i asked you to do it so

test it for me

the first time you get a hit on it if it

works

you have to message me or put it in the

comments or tweet it at me or something

because if this works

it's going to change everything you

think about everything

and it might work so that's your

test for the day and youtube i will see

you tomorrow